Gift Nifty bullishNSEIX:NIFTY1!
We are already bullish in Gift Nifty, in the analysis of which it was bought from 24930. Now the current market price of 25728 is near the previous resistance point 25856, which can become a profit book point, but the close of 26082 again gives bullishness to the market,
Otherwise, according to the report, buy support is again seen at 25350, which can be traded with a close stoploss of 25130.
Futures market
Bearish market near bottom expecting bullish reversal soonWe are currently in a bearish structure until the price breaks above 3300.
Until then, we can look for sell opportunities around the key levels of 3281, 3290, and 3300.
Downside targets are in the range of 3255 to 3235,
which also align with the 1-hour timeframe bullish order blocks.
From this higher timeframe bullish order block zone,
we may also see a potential bullish reversal.
Additionally, a countertrend scalp buy entry is possible around 3264–3267,
with upside targets at 3281, 3290, and 3300.
Gold – Can It Recover From 3 Week LowsGold is back in focus this morning after it fell to a 3 week low at 3287 in early European trading.
Part of the reason for the fall may have been the on-going ceasefire agreement holding between Israel and Iran, which can reduce the need for Gold as a safe haven, or prices may have been influenced by comments from US Commerce Secretary Lutnick made to Bloomberg TV overnight which suggested that the Trump administration have plans to reach agreements with a set of 10 major trading partners ahead of the July 9th pause deadline to reinstate higher tariffs.
Of course, these potential Gold negatives need to be balanced against the potential positives of increased optimism in recent days that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by more than expected into the end of 2025 as the US economy stalls, and the US dollar printing a fresh 3 year low yesterday.
Looking forward, the release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Index at 1330 BST later today could hold the key to whether Gold falls below support to even lower levels (see technical section below) or moves back higher again into Friday’s close.
Whatever the outcome, its setting up for an interesting end of the week for Gold.
Technical Update:
With selling pressure developing in Gold again so far this morning, traders might well be searching for next support levels that may be successful in limiting current price declines, or if broken, could in turn lead to a more extended phase of weakness.
Much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, but as the chart above shows, latest price activity is this morning posting new 3-week lows for Gold. This suggests traders might now be focused on 3245, equal to the last correction low in price posted on May 29th as the next possible support level.
While not a guarantee of further declines if broken, 3245 closing breaks could lead to further price weakness towards 3120, the May 15th downside extreme.
Of course, it is possible this 3245 low does continue to act as support to price weakness and may turn activity higher again. However, if this is to lead to a more sustained period of price strength, resistance might now stand at 3356.
Equal to the Bollinger mid-average, closing breaks might be required to suggest possibilities to resume price strength back towards the 3435/3452 May 6th and June 16th price failure highs.
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Finally strong weekly trendline brokeFinally strong weekly trendline broke
with the very lotsa uncertainty in the world news. gold has not been healthy in my opinion.
however finally we can see what its trying to do.
familiar with the last ATH during covid era.
gold return and respected ath area of 2070 and return to the key level of support 1681.
so now we can already see that the strong level of resistance is 3450 and it has identified 3125 as strong level of support.
so now we are in a strong down trend however we are at the level of double weekly breakout. that is why gold close rejection at 3256 as the key level.
so the question is for upcoming week where it will be heading. we should be able to witness a strong pull back as the last day of closing left gold with lotsa FVG above to be filled however,
we broke strong level of support 3290 which now place as first resistance. so, if this resistance is being respected hence it will continue downwards towards the support.
one possible scenario is gold could react from here to do the break of weekly trendline and as usual and break and retest.
so bias is bearish however the bull pullback is not to be missed as that's a good quality range.
XAUUSD sellW candle and D candle both support selling gold, in the small frame, it has created a bearish structure
_ Scenario 1: WAIT to SELL at the current price zone to the small frame to find an entry. If the price breaks through this resistance zone, you can WAIT to BUY back to supply
_ Scenario 2: wait for the price to return to supply WAIT to SELL
NQ Holding Above Daily Highs – Trend Structure Intact📈 NASDAQ 100 (NQ) – Riding the Trend, Holding Above Key Daily Highs | 4H Chart
NQ remains in a strong uptrend, respecting structure and reclaiming key daily highs going into the final trading days of June.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔼 Price is currently holding above Thursday’s high: 22,740
✅ Strong support formed at Wednesday high: 22,693.25
🔁 Clean reclaim of Tuesday and Wednesday lows — confirming bullish pressure
🔸 Trendline from June 23 low continues to guide the rally
🗓️ Previous Day Levels Providing Structure:
SUN LO / MON LO (~21,550–21,650) → Base of the rally
JUNE 17–21: Price consolidated just below 22,400, forming resistance
JUNE 25: Breakout above Sun/Mon Highs confirmed expansion phase
🧠 Bias & Plan:
Bias: Bullish, as long as price remains above 22,693
🕵️♂️ Watch for reaction around 22,800–22,900 zone (potential exhaustion or continuation)
If we sweep Thursday’s high and shift structure → possible short-term pullback
📌 Summary:
NQ continues to honor the prior week’s highs as new support. The market is trending cleanly with structure, and as long as daily highs hold, the bullish case remains intact.
#NQ100 #NASDAQ #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #DailyLevels #PlaymakerTrades
XAU/USD (Gold) Breakout or Breakdown Setup – Key Decision ZoneThe Gold Spot (XAU/USD) price action is currently at a crucial inflection point after consolidating in a rising wedge pattern between ascending support and horizontal resistance. This type of structure typically indicates a strong directional breakout is likely, and the current daily candle shows a close below the ascending support, signaling a potential bearish breakdown confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Confirmed Below 3250)
If price sustains below the 3250 support breakdown level, it confirms a bearish breakdown from the wedge. The height of the wedge (distance between the base of the move and the resistance) is used to project the downside target, giving us key levels to monitor:
Breakdown Confirmation: Below 3250.00
Target 1: 3111.67
Target 2: 2990.31
Projected Downside Target: 2861.24
This move suggests that gold could enter a deeper correction if buyers fail to reclaim the ascending structure quickly.
🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Above 3500)
On the flip side, if bulls manage to push price back above the 3500 level, it would invalidate the current bearish momentum and confirm a bullish breakout. The projected upside targets are based on the same measured move logic:
Breakout Confirmation: Above 3500.00
Target 1: 3621.90
Target 2: 3741.84
Projected Upside Target: 3855.78
A close above 3500 with volume would set the tone for a fresh rally toward new highs.
🧭 Strategy Outlook
Short Bias (active): Entry below 3250; SL above 3300; TP at 3110 / 2990 / 2860
Long Bias (if reversal): Entry above 3500; SL below 3460; TP at 3620 / 3740 / 3850
Always wait for a strong daily candle close beyond the breakout/breakdown levels before initiating any trades
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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06/27/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis 06/27/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +915
Sleep: 6 hours
Overall health: edgy from sleep
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/4 success**
9:37 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check:
9:55 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
10:31 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double sell) iffy
1:43 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today?
and What major news or event impacted the market today?
**
Early on in the market, I noticed that there was heavy manipulate by the MM with violent buy and sell. This somewhat warns that today's market could be tough to trade and you have to be very patient.
News
PRES TRUMP: ENDING ALL TRADE TALKS WITH CANADA; WILL TELL CANADA ITS TARIFF LEVEL IN COMING DAYS - around 1 :40pm est
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6200= Bullish, Under 6185= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Gold Trade Setup - 27/Jun/2025Hi Traders,
I expect this pair to go Up after finishing the correction.
1) Need to wait for market to show changing of the direction.
2) The current move can be just a part of a correction or an impulse in itself. Going to follow the market behavior at my zones.
How to Enter : Look for engulfing with in the SL zone.
Trade Setup - XAUUSD (Gold)Timeframe: 30 Minutes
Trade Type: Short (Sell)
📉 Entry: 3275
🎯 Target: 3220
🛑 Stop Loss: 3311
📊 Technical outlook suggests potential downside pressure below the 3275 level, with RSI and price action signaling weakness.
📌 Risk management is key – always trade with proper stop loss.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on June 27:
Core logic of the current market
Gold has recently shown the characteristics of oscillating bottoming out. The daily level forms a key support near 3295. If it holds this position, it may start a rebound; on the contrary, if it falls below, it may continue the downward trend. The focus of the short-term long and short competition is concentrated in the 3340-3355 area, and the breakthrough direction will determine the trend of the next stage.
Analysis of key technical signals
1. Daily level: bottoming out and rebounding, bulls are accumulating momentum
Form: The previous day bottomed out and closed positive, and the rebound continued yesterday, indicating that the 3295 support is effective and the short-term short momentum is weakened.
Key pressure: 3355 (Bollinger middle track), it is expected to test 3385 after breaking through.
Key support: 3295 (recent low), breaking below will open up downside space.
2. 4-hour level: Golden cross is bullish, but BOLL suppression has not been broken
The stochastic indicator (KD) is golden cross, short-term bullish, but the price is still subject to the pressure of 3345-3347 (BOLL middle track).
The MACD momentum column is shrinking, indicating that long and short positions are still competing, and it is necessary to observe whether it can stand above 3340.
3. 1-hour level: Moving average dead cross, short-term still has the risk of callback
The short-term moving average (5/10EMA) dead cross indicates that there is still selling pressure in the short term. If it cannot break through 3340, it may fall back to the support of 3312-3315.
Key watershed: 3340 (1-hour trend suppression), if it breaks through, the short-term will turn strong.
Today's operation strategy (key range trading)
1. Short order strategy (short under pressure near 3340)
Entry point: 3340-3345 (1-hour pressure + 4-hour BOLL middle track)
Stop loss: above 3355 (short order invalid if it breaks through)
Target: 3320-3315 (previous low support area)
Logic: Before effectively breaking through 3340, short-term high-short order can still bet on callback.
2. Long order strategy (stable long near 3315)
Entry point: 3312-3315 (yesterday's low support)
Stop loss: below 3307 (to prevent false break)
Target: 3330-3340 (reduce position in pressure area)
Logic: If the retracement does not break the support, you can bet on a rebound at a low price.
3. Breakout strategy (turn to long after stabilizing 3355)
Confirmation signal: 1-hour closing stabilizes at 3355
Target: 3385 (daily resistance)
Logic: The trend becomes stronger after the breakthrough, and you can follow the trend.
Key risk reminder
Dollar trend: If the US dollar rebounds sharply, it may suppress the rebound space of gold.
Market sentiment: Rising risk aversion (such as geopolitical conflicts) may promote gold breakthroughs.
Fed policy expectations: If the recent speeches of officials are hawkish, it may limit the rise of gold.
Summary: Sell high and buy low, wait for a breakthrough
Oscillating range: 3315-3340, you can sell high and buy low.
Breakthrough direction: If it stabilizes at 3355, it will be bullish to 3385; if it falls below 3295, the trend will turn bearish.
Trading discipline: Strictly stop loss and avoid carrying orders.
Fatty Platty PattyPlatinum
Is it time, Sir?
bodl and hodl thx
Look, Sir, chart description must be satisfying some certain minimum character limit. Therefore I tell you, buy Sir, buy. Based on this one descending line, Sir. We are in breakout mode, Sir, with confluence of averages most beautiful, Sir. The time for acquiring shiney metal is coming, Sir. This is not financial advice, Sir.
Next week's gold trend analysis strategy:
1. News interpretation: Fed policy and market sentiment dominate the direction
✦ Review of key factors:
The situation in the Middle East has eased
The safe-haven demand for gold has declined, which is bearish for gold prices.
Fed Focus: PCE Price Index
If PCE data rises → Strengthen interest rate hike expectations → Gold prices are under pressure
If personal spending is weak → Interest rate hike expectations slow down → Favorable gold price rebound
Investors' wait-and-see sentiment heats up
→ There is no panic selling in the market, and it tends to fluctuate downward rather than plummet.
2. Technical analysis: Bearish dominance, pay attention to key support areas
Daily structure:
The bearish trend is clear, and the moving average system turns downward;
The price is running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and there is a suspicion of short-term oversold;
The 3280-3295 area constitutes a pressure zone, which has not been broken after multiple tests.
Key points at the 4-hour level:
A step-down channel is clearly formed;
Support levels gradually move downward, a typical bearish pattern;
Lower support: 3270 → 3263 → 3250-3245
Upper pressure: 3280 → 3300 → 3310
III. Gold trend forecast for next week
📉 Main trend: bearish, short-term or bottoming out
If it falls to the 3245-3250 area, a short-term technical rebound can be expected;
After the rebound, it may be blocked again in the 3280-3295 range, suitable for short selling;
Unless it strongly recovers above 3310, it will be difficult to reverse the downward trend.
IV. Operation strategy suggestions (core)
Sell on highs 3285 - 3295 Stop loss 3310 Target 3255 / 3245 Layout short orders near resistance
Trend bottom-picking 3245 - 3250 Stop loss 3238 Target 3275 / 3280 Oversold rebound expected, try to buy long with a light position
Aggressive short selling near 3310 Stop loss above 3336 Target 3280 / 3263 Top and bottom conversion resistance level, if the test is not broken, short
V. Summary and Outlook
✅ Conclusion: Next week, the trend of gold will still be "high-short as the main and low-long as the auxiliary", focusing on the game between 3250 support and 3295 pressure level.
Gold has not yet broken out of the short structure, and the inertial decline after breaking 3295 will continue. It is recommended that traders avoid chasing ups and downs, strictly implement stop losses, and remain flexible.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup | Support Levels in SightGold has broken down from the ascending channel, indicating a potential shift in market structure toward bearish momentum.
🔎 Technical Highlights:
Clear breakdown from the ascending channel
Price currently facing resistance near $3,323
Two key support zones:
🟩 First Support: $3,295 – potential bounce area
🟩 Second Support: $3,258 – deeper downside target
📊 Short-Term Outlook: Expecting a minor pullback before continuation lower toward the $3,295 support. If that level fails to hold, the next target becomes $3,258.
💡 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection below $3,323 for a possible short opportunity targeting $3,295 and $3,258. Keep an eye on momentum and volume.
🔔 Note: Always use proper risk management. This setup is based on current price action and may change with market dynamics.
Bearish Wolfewave still in playThe head and shoulders measured move target already got made.
As long as the weekly SAR is above price, the lower targets are still in play.
The bearish Wolfewave target is the 1-4 line.
The magic lines are alternative targets.
Patterns can fail.
Do your own due diligence.
XAUUSD – Bearish Trend Continues After Channel BreakoutGold is currently moving within a clearly defined descending channel, with successive lower highs confirmed at each retest of the dynamic resistance line. Following news of a temporary ceasefire between Iran and Israel, gold's safe-haven appeal weakened, triggering strong selling pressure that drove prices sharply lower, breaking below the key $3,260 support.
A rounded top pattern and a clean breakout beneath the channel indicate that sellers are in control. The next downside target lies around the $3,218 confluence zone, where a temporary bullish reaction may occur. The nearest resistance on a pullback is around $3,349 – aligned with the broken upper channel boundary and a dense FVG zone.
If the price fails to quickly reclaim the broken channel, the bearish trend is likely to persist in the short term. Traders should closely monitor price action near the $3,218 zone for potential entries or reversals.
The Nifty Futures Intraday Trend analysis on June 30, 2025According to my analysis and time cycle study, a Gap Down opening is likely on Monday, June 30, 2025. However, the intraday trend appears bullish. Key support levels are at 25,707 and 25,635, while resistance is seen at 25,788 and 25,808. I consider 25,808 to be a strong resistance level—if breached, it may trigger further bullish momentum.
The magnitude of the gap remains uncertain. These levels reflect my personal analysis and are not guaranteed.
Trading in Futures and Options involves significant risk. Traders are strongly advised to conduct their own technical analysis before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish MomentumXAUUSD Daily Update: Gold Enters "Strong Bearish Momentum" – Where Are the Opportunities?
Hello TradingView Community!
Hot news from the Gold (XAUUSD) market today! We've just closely analyzed the Daily Chart and spotted a crucial signal: Gold's downward momentum is extremely strong and clear! This indicates that the short-term trend may have shifted, or selling pressure is currently overwhelming other supporting factors.
🌍 Current Macroeconomic Context (A Multi-faceted View):
Previously, we discussed how a weaker USD might support Gold. Indeed, concerns about the Fed's independence (due to rumors of Powell's replacement) and expectations of Fed rate cuts have pushed the USD lower, typically a positive for Gold.
However, the market isn't driven by just one factor. The sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran is reducing Gold's safe-haven demand. It appears that, at present, factors like decreased safe-haven demand and potentially strong technical breakdowns are prevailing, creating significant selling pressure on the daily timeframe. We also need to emphasize that the market remains very cautious about confirming a bottom for Gold, and we are still awaiting crucial US economic data (especially PCE on Friday) and FOMC speeches.
➡️ In summary: While a weaker USD theoretically supports Gold, the price action on the daily chart clearly shows bears are dominating. We must respect this signal and adjust our strategy accordingly.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (Focus on Daily Chart - Strong Bearish Momentum!):
Based on the strong bearish signal from the Daily timeframe and key price levels from the chart (image_e9d325.png):
Primary Trend on Daily: Clearly strong bearish momentum. Large, consecutive bearish candles breaking previous support zones indicate overwhelming selling pressure.
Resistance Zones (Potential SELL Opportunities - where price might retrace before falling further):
3313.737 - 3315: This is the nearest and most important resistance area. If the price retraces here, it could present an opportunity to sell.
3321.466 - 3330.483: A stronger resistance zone, if price retraces deeper.
3341.947: Extremely strong resistance, unlikely to be reached in this context unless there's a major trend-reversing news event.
Support Zones (BUY Opportunities - extremely cautious, only for Scalp or clear reversal signals):
3294.414: Immediate support, but could be easily broken if bearish momentum persists.
3276.122: The next support area if the price continues to fall.
3264.400: This is a very strong support and a potential downside target if bearish momentum holds. Consider BUYs here only if price hits this level and shows clear reversal patterns on smaller timeframes.
🎯 Updated XAUUSD Trading Plan (Prioritizing SELLs):
Given the strong bearish momentum on the Daily chart, we will prioritize active SELL entries and approach BUY scalps with extreme caution, only at very strong support levels or with clear reversal confirmations.
1. ACTIVE SELL TRADES (Priority):
SELL ZONE 1 (Selling at near resistance):
Entry: 3313 - 3315 (If price retraces to this area and shows bearish rejection candle patterns on H1/H4)
SL: 3320 (Just above the nearest resistance)
TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3276.122 (Next target according to the chart) - 3264.400 (Final target if strong bearish momentum continues)
SELL ZONE 2 (Selling at stronger resistance - if deeper retracement):
Entry: 3331 - 3333 (If price retraces deeper and shows reversal signals)
SL: 3337
TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3294.414
2. CAUTIOUS BUY TRADES (Only for Scalp/Clear Reversal Signals):
BUY ZONE (BUY SCALP AT STRONG SUPPORT):
Entry: 3266 - 3264 (Only buy if price hits this zone and shows clear reversal signals on M15/M30, such as reversal candle patterns, RSI divergence, etc.)
SL: 3260 (Very tight, acknowledging higher risk)
TP: 3270 - 3276.122 - 3280 - 3284 - 3290 (Aim for short TPs, no expectation of prolonged uptrend in strong bearish conditions)
INTERMEDIATE BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3284 - 3282 (If price has broken down through here and retraces, wait for confirmation)
SL: 3278
TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 (Short-term targets only)
⚠️ Crucial Factors to Monitor Closely Today:
Price Action at Resistance/Support Levels: How price reacts at these key marks will dictate the next move.
US Macro Data (especially PCE on Friday): Any surprising news can rapidly reverse the current trend.
FOMC Speeches: Can induce significant volatility in USD and Gold.
Geopolitical Situation: Although currently optimistic, any unexpected developments could reignite safe-haven demand.