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XAUUSD GOLD -- ANALYSIS AFTER CORE PCE NEWS A series of key macroeconomic releases from the US on 27th June has delivered mixed signals, with markets particularly focused on inflation data and consumer indicators. Gold (XAUUSD) is now caught between hawkish inflation pressures and weakening economic momentum. Let’s break it down: 📊 US Economic Snapshot – 27 June: 🔴 Core PCE Price Index (MoM) Actual: 0.2% Forecast: 0.1% Previous: 0.1% → Negative for Gold The Fed’s preferred inflation measure rose above expectations, suggesting inflation remains persistent. This reinforces the case for prolonged higher interest rates, putting downward pressure on Gold, a non-yielding asset. 🟡 Personal Income (MoM) Actual: -0.4% Forecast: +0.3% Previous: +0.7% → Mildly Positive for Gold A notable decline in personal income raises concerns about the resilience of household finances, potentially leading to slower economic growth – a scenario that could favour Gold in the medium term. 🟡 Personal Spending (MoM) Actual: -0.1% Forecast: +0.1% Previous: +0.2% → Supportive for Gold Weaker spending signals softening demand and could ease inflationary pressure down the line, indirectly supporting Gold prices. 🗣️ FOMC Member Speeches – Cook & Hammack → Awaiting clarity Market sentiment may shift depending on their tone. Hawkish commentary would bolster the USD, while a dovish approach may provide relief to Gold. 📉 Revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Actual: 60.4 Forecast: 60.4 → Neutral impact 🔍 Revised UoM Inflation Expectations Previous: 5.1% → Impact pending release A surprise here could sway expectations regarding future Fed policy moves. 🏦 Bank Stress Test Results → Watch for risk sentiment shift If results show financial fragility, markets may tilt towards safe havens such as Gold. A strong showing, however, may weaken demand for Gold. 🧭 Trading Strategy & Key Levels: With Core PCE coming in hotter, near-term pressure remains on Gold. However, softer income and spending data offer a counterbalance. Short-term bias: Cautiously Bearish Resistance levels: 2352 – 2366 Support zones: 2310 – 2295 Further direction will depend on FOMC tone and the upcoming inflation expectations data.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 35.998 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 35.727..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
XAUUSD - Gold Bearish Bias Remains StrongXAU/USD remains under bearish pressure on the 4-hour timeframe. Until price breaks and closes above $3,336 with strength, selling the rallies remains a preferred strategy. However, watch for potential bounces near support zones, especially if momentum weakens or reversal candles appear. The price is currently trading below both the 50, 100 and 200 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend. The recent price action has respected the trendline resistance and failed to break higher, reinforcing sellers’ control. Price structure has formed a descending channel, which often signals a bearish continuation. However, if price finds a strong reaction from support, a temporary rebound could occur before further downside. Overall sentiment is cautious due to recent geopolitical de-escalation between Iran and Israel, which reduced gold’s safe-haven demand. Dollar strength, driven by hawkish Fed tone, continues to pressure gold. Key Support Levels : $3,295 – A minor support where previous candles showed buying interest. $3,289 – Critical horizontal support and psychological level. $3,270 – Next significant support if $3,289 breaks. $3,240 – Major support zone, last line before larger downside moves. Key Resistance Levels: $3,310 – Near-term resistance and EMA zone. $3,320 – Price rejection level from earlier 4H candles. $3,336 – Strong resistance with previous swing highs. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
Gold fluctuates and rebounds, don't chase shorts at low levels 💡Message Strategy Yesterday, Thursday, we believed that the easing of tensions in the Middle East, the cooling of market risk aversion, and the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve, which believed that the possibility of rate cuts should not be overly expected, suppressed expectations of rapid rate cuts, dragged down the dollar, and jointly suppressed the trend of gold. However, trade uncertainty, geopolitical situation and expectations of rate cuts still support gold prices, which temporarily supports gold's rebound from a three-week low. Therefore, in terms of operations, it is recommended that everyone pay attention to the upper pressure of $3,345, followed by $3,357, and the lower support of $3,325, followed by $3,310. From the subsequent trend, during the Asian session, gold fell back to $3,330 and stabilized. After the opening of the European session, the gold price rebounded and rose to $3,350 and encountered resistance. After that, gold fluctuated and fell. The decline continued after the opening of the US session, falling to $3,310 and stabilizing. After the rebound of $3,336 and encountering resistance, gold fell again, and continued to fall after the opening of Friday, refreshing the June low to $3,291, and performing weakly in the short term. Overall, gold rebounded to $3,350 on Thursday and encountered resistance, then fell back to $3,310 and stabilized. It basically operated between the support and pressure levels we gave. On Friday, the gold price tried to break downward, and the short-term downside risk increased. 📊Technical aspects On the daily chart, gold fell from a two-month high and rebounded from a low in June this week, but as gold prices fell back on Thursday, the short-term trend of gold prices turned downward again. For gold's upper pressure, pay attention to the integer position of $3,300, followed by Thursday's low of $3,310, and the 1-hour Bollinger band middle track of $3,325; For gold's lower support, pay attention to the current intraday low of $3,291, which is also the lower track of the daily Bollinger band. A downward break may increase the risk of short-term decline. Pay attention to the two lows of $3,270 and $3,250 when gold prices rebounded at the end of May. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator cross, and the KDJ and RSI indicators cross. The short-term technical aspect shows that gold prices are at risk of continuing to fall. 💰Strategy Package Short Position：3275-3295，SL：3315，Target: 3240-3250
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
This Trendline Has Held Since January, Will Gold Finally Break?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a key ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support since early 2025. Today's price action shows strong bearish pressure, but confirmation is still needed as the daily candle has not yet closed below the trendline. A decisive close beneath this level would signal a potential shift in market structure and open the door for further downside. Fundamentally, mixed U.S. data adds to the uncertainty—while Personal Income (-0.4%) and Spending (-0.1%) came in below expectations, the Core PCE Price Index rose to 0.2%, suggesting lingering inflationary pressure. If price breaks and closes below 3,260, I’ll consider a bearish continuation toward 3,200, 3,120, and possibly 3,000. However, if bulls defend this zone and reclaim 3,300+, a short-term bounce could still play out. For now, I'm staying patient and waiting for the daily close to confirm direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DNP-FX
Gold Accurate Trading StrategyThe recent market has been up and down, and the long and short positions have been frequently switched. Many investment friends are caught off guard or don’t know where to start. As soon as they buy, the price drops, and when they exit, the price rises. In fact, this is the situation that many novice friends will encounter. Here I tell you that when trading, first of all, do not trade frequently. Secondly, you need to have a precise control of the market and stick to your own trading system. Gold trend analysis: Gold technical aspect, yesterday's Asian and European sessions continued to rebound and repair, and the highest reached 3350 and then continued the previous decline. In the US session, it reached the lowest level of 3309 and then continued to rebound to 3336, and also touched the high point of the previous day again. Combined with yesterday's 3350, an effective head and shoulders top pattern was formed in the short term, and the market started to continue to expand the decline in the morning. It started to fall directly after the morning opening. So far, the lowest reached 3288, and the integer support of 3300 was directly broken. Then the short space in the later period has been further expanded. The later target below is maintained at 3250. If this position continues to be lost, it may continue to challenge the 3200 line, and the upper pressure is maintained at the top and bottom conversion of 3310 in the near future. This position is also the limit position of the short-term rebound. At present, gold's hourly and multi-hourly lines show the shape of a falling channel. The daily line is under pressure below the moving average system. The support below the day will also be maintained at 3280. This position is likely to be the day's extreme retracement position, but since the current general trend is in a short position, we will not consider long orders in the short term, and patiently wait for the pullback before continuing to short. The tolerance rate may be higher. During the day, we will still wait to short near 3308-3309, with a target around 3295-3280 and a stop loss of 3318. If the European session is under pressure below 3300 for a long time, we can also consider shorting directly, with a target around 3280.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LeopoldTed
PCE data week gold under pressure! Rebound high altitude strategFrom the analysis of the 4-hour trend of gold, the price of gold continued to decline after opening today. In view of the particularity of the closing stage of the weekly line, it is recommended that you avoid blindly chasing shorts and should adhere to the idea of ​​​​swinging short trading. The technical level shows that the Bollinger Bands in the 4-hour cycle show a clear closing trend, and the price is constrained by the operation below the middle track, and the short-term weak pattern is established. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to adopt a rebound short-selling-dominated strategy, focusing on the key pressure range of 3311-3316. It is necessary to arrange short orders in batches according to the strength of the rebound, and the lower target is to look at the support area of ​​3265-3260. Based on the comprehensive technical indicators, gold currently maintains a short trend, and it is recommended to use a rebound short-selling strategy as the main operation. Operation strategy: Gold is recommended to rebound in the 3311-3316 area to short, stop loss at 3324, target 3300-3280
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LeopoldTed
Gold bears revel: 3300 has been broken, is 3250 far behind?Gold bears revel: 3300 has been broken, is 3250 far behind? On Friday (June 27) in the European session, gold continued to fall, 3287 was shaky, and it was only one step away from the key support of 3277. Last night, the gold price was still "fake high" near 3350, but today it was directly pressed to the floor by the bears - the break of 3320 declared the end of the rebound, and after the 3300 integer mark was lost, the market officially entered the "harvest" mode. News: Bulls trembled before PCE data The situation in the Middle East cooled down, safe-haven buying retreated, and gold lost a major support. And tonight's US PCE price index is the real "Judgment Day" - if the data warms up beyond expectations and the Fed's interest rate cut expectations are suppressed again, the gold price may directly break through 3277 and go straight to 3263 or even lower. However, the market expects that the annual rate of PCE may rise slightly (bad for gold), but the monthly rate of personal expenditure is expected to fall (good for gold), which means that the market may fall first and then rise, but the rebound is a better opportunity to short! After all, once the trend is formed, any rebound is fuel for shorts. Technical aspect: The 4-hour chart has been "broken", and the decline is not bottoming out. Key pressure: 3300-3310 (top and bottom conversion + previous high resistance) Support below: 3277 (short-term support), 3263 (key long defense line) Trend prediction: Rebound is the short point, especially above 3300. As long as it does not break through 3310, any rebound is an opportunity for shorts to increase their positions. The most disgusting thing about the falling market is that you think it is going to rebound, but it continues to fall; when you can't help but chase the short, it rebounds slightly and hits your stop loss. Therefore, the best strategy is to focus on high-altitude, not chasing the short, and wait for the rebound before entering the market. Trading strategy: Let short profits run Aggressive short: Try short with a light position at the current price of 3287, stop loss 3305, target 3277-3263. Steady short: Short in batches at rebound 3300-3310, stop loss 3315, target 3280-3263. Bottom-fishing? Be careful! You can try short-term long near 3263, but you must set a stop loss of 3258 and enter and exit quickly. Today's focus: If the PCE data is bearish, gold may accelerate to 3260 or even lower. If the data is unexpectedly bullish, the rebound of 3320-3330 is still a short-selling opportunity. Summary: The general trend of gold has turned bearish, and any rebound is a good opportunity to short! Remember: In a downward trend, it is better to go short than to guess the bottom, let the market tell you where the bottom is!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Liz_Trading_gold
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent. A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter). Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time. However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least. What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1. A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150... Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility. I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BallaJi
Gold fluctuates, operate at the right time! 💡Message Strategy Trump called Powell "terrible" and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace Powell. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October. The current mainstream narrative in the market is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chairman, market expectations will tend to favor a more "dovish" Fed. This in turn could lead to a weaker dollar, higher U.S. long-term Treasury yields, and higher stock prices. Powell testified before the U.S. Senate on Wednesday that while Trump's tariffs could trigger a one-off price increase, the risk of sustained inflation is significant enough for the Fed to be cautious about further rate cuts. Markets are now focused on U.S. GDP data due out that day and will closely watch personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data on Friday for further clues on whether the Fed will cut rates. On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to hold on Wednesday. Trump hailed the swift end to the 12-day conflict at a NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week. 📊Technical aspects From the 1-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 3350. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue the main short-term decline. The lower short-term support focuses on the 3300-3310 integer mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the 3350 mark. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3370. It is difficult to say that it is strong before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Short Position：3340-3350，SL：3320，Target: 3310-3300 Long Position:3310-3320，SL：3290，Target: 3350-3360
TVC:GOLD
by TheodoreSilas
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD), with the current price at 3,282.080, reflecting a decrease of 45.740 (-1.37%). The chart includes a downward trendline indicating a potential bearish trend, with key support and resistance levels marked at 3,245.627 and 3,316.901, respectively. The chart covers data from June to July 2025, with the latest update at 01:22:46.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alee_Gold_Trader
"COTTON CFD HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Trap!"🔥 COTTON CFD HEIST: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap! 🚨💰 🌟 Attention Market Robbers & Profit Pirates! 🌟 (Hola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!) 🔎 Strategy Based on THIEF TRADING ANALYSIS (Technical + Fundamental): We’re staging a bullish heist on the 🧵 COTTON CFD market—time to grab the loot and exit before the bears ambush us near the Dangerous Red Zone (key resistance). Overbought? Maybe. A trap? Likely. But thieves don’t overstay—we escape with profits! 📌 ENTRY (Bullish Vault is Open!): "SWIPE THE LOOT!" – Buy at current price OR set buy limits (15m/30m pullbacks). Pro Tip: Strong hands enter now; cautious robbers wait for dips. ⛔ STOP LOSS (Safety Net): Thief’s Rule: Set SL below nearest 4H swing low wick (~65.00). Adjust based on your risk tolerance & position size. 🎯 TARGETS (Escape Routes): Take Profit @ 68.50 Bail early if momentum fades! (Don’t be greedy—real thieves lock in gains.) ⚡ SCALPERS NOTE: Longs only! Use trailing stops to protect profits. No money? Join swing traders—this heist is teamwork! 📢 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Bullish drivers: COT Report, Macro Trends, Geopolitics, Seasonals. Full analysis herre: 👉🔗 🌍📊 🚨 TRADING ALERTS: News = Volatility! Avoid new trades during high-impact events. Trailing SLs save heists. Lock profits before the market turns. 💥 BOOST THIS PLAN → STRONGER ROBBERY SQUAD → MORE GAINS! (Like & Share to help us steal the market’s money daily! 🏴‍☠️💸) Next heist coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🤫🚀
VELOCITY:COTTONLong
by Thief_Trader
Gold is weak. Can it continue?Gold is still fluctuating and falling slightly today. Gold is weak, so gold is likely to be short-term. If the price rebounds, it will be a short opportunity. We need to pay attention to the release of US PCE data later. From the 1-hour chart the moving average continues to cross the short arrangement and diverge downward. After gold fell below the early support near 3340, it began to move downward weakly. The current upward pressure is around 3295-3310. From the daily chart, the price is below the MA20 cycle and the 50 cycle, but remains above the 100 cycle. The technical indicators turned higher, but the momentum indicator is at a neutral level, and the RSI index is around 42.7, which does not point to an upward trend. Since the upcoming data may have some impact on the price, the price may have a short-term high opportunity. Steady trading is still waiting for the price to rise and then short. Of course, if your trading strategy is more aggressive, you can use a long strategy before the price rises. Operation suggestions: Radical: Buy near 3280, stop loss at 3265, profit range 3305-3310. Conservative: Wait for the price to rise and then bear pressure, sell near 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3290-3285.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1