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XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18: STRATEGY BASED ON FIBONACCI, TRENDLINE & STRUCTURE 1. XAUUSD Technical Overview (4H Chart) Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,343 USD, showing signs of a slight rebound from key support. On the 4H timeframe, the price structure is forming higher lows, maintaining above a short-term rising trendline – a technically bullish signal. 2. Key Support & Resistance Zones Immediate Supports: 3,338 USD: aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement – a zone tested multiple times. 3,333 – 3,335 USD: strong support, overlapping with EMA and rising trendline. 3,327 USD: previous swing low – last defense for the bullish structure. Immediate Resistances: 3,345 – 3,346 USD: frequently rejected zone in recent sessions. 3,350 USD: psychological and technical resistance. 3,358 USD: recent swing high – breakout confirmation level. 3. Price Action & Fibonacci Confluence Price is currently hovering between Fibo 0.5 (3,343 USD) and Fibo 0.618 (3,338 USD) – a potential bounce zone if bullish momentum holds. The pullback from 3,358 to 3,286 has respected standard Fibonacci retracement levels, confirming technical price behavior. 4. Trendline Analysis The ascending trendline from the 3,275 USD low remains intact, providing solid dynamic support. If the price continues to bounce from this trendline, it may form a bullish continuation pattern (flag/pennant). 5. Suggested Trading Strategies Long Entry: 3,338 – 3,340 USD SL: 3,327 USD TP: 3,345 – 3,350 – 3,358 USD Note: Buying the dip near Fib & trendline Short Entry: Below 3,327 USD (breakdown) SL: Above 3,340 USD TP: 3,310 – 3,298 USD Notes: Only if price breaks trendline & support 6. Supporting Technical Indicators EMA20/EMA50 show slight upward momentum – early bullish bias. RSI (14) hovers near 50 – neutral zone, awaiting breakout confirmation. Conclusion: Gold is consolidating around a critical support zone. The short-term bias leans bullish if the 3,338 – 3,333 USD region holds and price breaks above 3,346 – 3,350 USD. This is a key moment to position early using Fibonacci and trendline confluence. 👉 Follow for more strategies in upcoming sessions. Save this if you find it useful! Do you have a different view? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
7.18 Gold intraday operation strategy, short-term short first stFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3316-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. The overall support of 3316-3345 range still maintains the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
Gold Short Term Outlook Gold has held above the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305) after yesterday’s volatility, with buyers stepping in to defend the zone. Price is now trading around 3,338, caught between the 50MA and the 200MA. Despite the recent dip, the structure remains supportive as long as price holds above 3,335. A clean break and hold above 3,354 would confirm renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 3,383 and 3,400, with 3,416 as a higher‑timeframe target. If price fails to clear 3,354 and turns lower again, watch for signs of exhaustion back into the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305). A decisive break below 3,305 would shift focus to the Support Zone (3,289–3,267), with further downside exposing the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208). 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,354 ‣ 3,383 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,416 Support: ‣ 3,335 ‣ 3,305 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 🔎Fundamental Focus 📌 4:00pm: UoM Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – can spark sharp USD/gold moves. ➡️ Expect volatility around releases.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold bullish bias (18th july 2025)Daily is reacting from a bullish BOS. 4H shows strong rejection from a 4H BOS — confirming a bullish bias. Currently expecting a 15M CHOCH in this area. However, if no CHOCH forms here, treat it as a retracement and watch for another 15M CHOCH lower — all the same scenarios and targets will still apply. For BUYS (Scenario 1 – Impulse + Retest): 1️⃣ 15M makes a clean bullish move to 3345.747. 2️⃣ Price retests the broken level. 3️⃣ Form a 1/3M bullish CHOCH + BOS, then BUY toward 3360.072. For BUYS (Scenario 2 – Structure Flip Entry): 1️⃣ 15M forms a bullish CHOCH + BOS (expected in the current zone). 2️⃣ Retest the BOS zone. 3️⃣ Enter on a 3/5M bullish engulfing or 1/3M confirmation CHOCH, then BUY toward 3360.072. For SELLS (Scenario 3 – Bullish Failure & Reversal): 1️⃣ 15M forms a BOS, but is invalidated by a 15M momentum candle close below. 2️⃣ Price retests the broken BOS. 3️⃣ Use 2/3M bearish confirmation (CHOCH or BOS) to SELL toward 3313.808. 🔁 NOTE: 📌 A 15M CHOCH is expected in this zone. If it fails to form, it’s likely a retracement. 🔍 Watch for a new 15M CHOCH to form lower — all same entry principles and targets still apply.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by professornganga217
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025📈 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal. While we need to wait for today's D1 candle to close for confirmation, it's likely that yesterday’s upward move marks Wave 1, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bearish reversal → suggesting a potential corrective pullback, likely forming Wave 2. H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse upward → supporting the expectation of a short-term bullish move during the current session. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update On the H4 chart, the abcde triangle correction structure remains largely unchanged. However, a strong H4 bullish candle appeared yesterday, indicating unusual market behavior that deserves attention. There are two main scenarios: - Wave 1 (black) has already completed, and the market is now entering Wave 2 correction. - Alternatively, the current movement could be Wave 4 within Wave 1 (black). 🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure - With D1 momentum signaling a potential uptrend lasting the next 4–5 days, it suggests that Wave e (blue) may have completed. - This opens the door for an impulsive 5-wave advance. Specifically: + If H1 continues its bullish reversal, the current move could be Wave 5 of Wave 1 (black), targeting the 3358 level. + Afterwards, a retracement toward the 3330–3323 zone would form Wave 2 (black). + Alternatively, price might drop directly to 3330–3323, implying Wave 1 has already finished and the current move is Wave 2. 🎯 => Both scenarios converge at the 3330–3323 price zone, making it a high-probability BUY ZONE. 🧭 Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3330 – 3327 Stop Loss: 3320 Take Profits: TP1: 3342 TP2: 3358 TP3: 3402 📌 Note: Since this is a relatively wide entry zone, it's best to wait for price action confirmation at this level before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23262.75 - PR Low: 23245.25 - NZ Spread: 39.0 No key scheduled economic events Pushing ATH through overnight hours Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 7/18) - Session Open ATR: 272.56 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
Gold (XAU/USD) Premium Technical Outlook - 18 July 2024As gold continues to trade near record highs, the market’s current price action around $3,336–3,340 demands a sharp, disciplined technical view. This premium analysis combines price action, Fibonacci techniques, institutional concepts (ICT and Smart Money Concepts), and advanced supply–demand dynamics to identify actionable trade opportunities. We anchor on the 4-hour timeframe for directional bias and zoom into the 1-hour chart for precision intraday setups. 📊 4‑Hour Timeframe: Structure and Directional Bias Gold remains in a clear bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, as evidenced by sustained higher highs and higher lows. The most recent bullish Break of Structure (BOS) occurred above the $3,320–3,325 level, confirming buyers’ control for now. Currently, price hovers near equilibrium at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, testing prior resistance as potential support. This zone aligns with a small fair value gap (FVG), reinforcing it as an area of interest for smart money participants. Key 4H Levels to Watch Level Significance $3,360–3,365 Major supply zone & bearish OB $3,350–3,355 Minor resistance $3,337–3,340 61.8% Fib / equilibrium $3,330–3,333 BOS retest & key support $3,300–3,310 Strong demand zone & bullish OB $3,285–3,295 Secondary demand zone below BOS The directional bias on 4H remains neutral-to-bullish, contingent on price holding above $3,300. A clean break and close above $3,360 could open a path to $3,400–3,420, while a sustained drop below $3,300 would mark a change of character (CHOCH) and shift bias to bearish. 🪙 Institutional Concepts in Play Order Blocks (OB): Strong bullish OB sits at $3,300–3,310, while a bearish OB dominates at $3,355–3,365. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): On the bullish side, $3,300–3,315 remains unfilled; on the bearish side, $3,330–3,345 caps rallies. Liquidity Grabs: Dips toward $3,295–3,300 appear to sweep sell-side liquidity, while spikes above $3,360 tap into resting buy stops. The area around $3,330 remains a key battleground where smart money likely accumulates positions before the next impulsive move. ⏳ 1‑Hour Timeframe: Intraday Trade Setups On the 1-hour chart, the market is compressing between a bullish order block and bearish supply. Price action shows evidence of short-term liquidity sweeps and reactions to imbalances, offering two clear scenarios for intraday traders. 📈 Setup A – Bullish Zone Bounce Entry: Buy limit at $3,332–3,333 Stop-loss: Below $3,328 Take-Profit 1: $3,345 Take-Profit 2: $3,355 Rationale: Confluence of 4H demand, Fib retracement, BOS retest, and 1H bullish order block. 📉 Setup B – Supply Rejection Short Entry: Sell limit at $3,355–3,360 Stop-loss: Above $3,365 Take-Profit 1: $3,337 Take-Profit 2: $3,330 Rationale: Price into 4H bearish OB, aligning with supply and stop runs above recent highs. 🌟 The Golden Setup Among these, the Bullish Zone Bounce at $3,332–3,333 stands out as the highest-probability trade. This level represents maximum confluence: Retest of 4H BOS. Bullish OB on 1H. 61.8% Fibonacci support. Unmitigated fair value gap. This setup offers a favorable risk–reward profile with clear invalidation and multiple upside targets. 🔎 Summary Table Bias Key Support Zones Key Resistance Zones Neutral-to-bullish $3,300–3,310, $3,330–3,333 $3,350–3,355, $3,360–3,365 Intraday Setups Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets Bullish Zone Bounce 🌟 $3,332–3,333 < $3,328 $3,345 / $3,355 Supply Rejection Short $3,355–3,360 > $3,365 $3,337 / $3,330 📣 Final Word Gold maintains a structurally bullish outlook above $3,300, with strong institutional footprints evident in the $3,300–3,333 demand zones. Traders should remain vigilant around $3,360, where sell-side liquidity and supply are concentrated. The Golden Setup — a bullish bounce from $3,332 — offers the best confluence and statistical edge intraday.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold Market Reacts to 3377 Mitigation — Eyes on 3388 Amid Job DaGold market mitigated the 3377 level, pushing price down to sweep imbalance at 3320’s. With the daily demand candle formation holding, a rejection here could ignite a push to take out full liquidity at 3388. As we approach the unemployment claims release (forecast: 233k), market sentiment leans toward a hawkish gold reaction—should data indicate more jobs are needed, the bullish pressure on gold could intensify. follow for more insights, comment , and boost idea
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ak_capitalist
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
XAUUSD – TCB Setup (Pre-Breakout Watchlist)📈 XAUUSD – TCB Setup (Pre-Breakout Watchlist) Strategy: Trend → Countertrend → Breakout (TCB) Timeframe: 15-Min Status: Pre-breakout — watching for NY session confirmation 🔍 🔍 Setup Breakdown: ✅ Trend: Bullish channel structure holding above 3,310 ⚠️ Countertrend: Pullback to demand zone (3,330–3,332) respected 🚀 Breakout: Watching key breakout above 3,348 for retest entry 📌 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 3,348–3,350 (on retest) SL: Below 3,330 TP1: 3,375 TP2: 3,390 Checklist Score: 85–90% (will update to 100% on breakout + retest) Session: NY Session breakout preferred 🧠 TCB Tip: Wait for confirmation — a clean close + retest of 3,348 turns this into a high-probability continuation play. #XAUUSD #TCBFlow #PriceAction #GoldAnalysis #BreakoutTrade #SmartMoney
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by J1000PIPSfx
Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF)# Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF) ### 🔍 Market Context: Gold has recently formed a strong bullish retracement after a sharp impulsive bearish move. Now, price has returned to a critical zone — the **Equilibrium level (EQ)** — which also aligns with a **valid supply zone** and **bearish trendline resistance**. This zone is often considered the "decision point" where Smart Money evaluates whether to continue upward or resume the previous bearish trend. --- ## 📉 Strategy: Sell Limit Based on Structure + Liquidity ### ✅ Entry Zone: **3341.500 – 3343.000** (At the EQ zone + premium pricing area) ### 🛑 Stop Loss: **Above 3345.000** (Just beyond the last liquidity wick and top of supply) ### 🎯 Take Profit Targets: - **TP1:** 3338.000 → First demand zone - **TP2:** 3332.500 → Liquidity sweep target under previous lows ### 📐 Risk to Reward Ratio: **1:3 or higher**, depending on execution precision. --- ## 🔎 Confluences Supporting the Setup: | Factor | Confirmation | |--------|--------------| | EQ Zone (50% of previous move) | ✅ | | Supply Zone | ✅ | | Bearish Trendline Resistance | ✅ | | Liquidity above EQ | ✅ | | CHoCH + BOS (Market Structure Shift) | ✅ | --- ## 🧠 Why This Setup Works: This is a classic **"Premium Price Rejection"** in a bearish environment, combining: - Institutional logic (EQ level) - Structural resistance (previous BOS) - Liquidity traps above --- ## 🧵 Summary: - **Sell Limit:** 3341.5 – 3343 - **SL:** 3345 - **TP1:** 3338 - **TP2:** 3332.5 - **RR:** 1:3+ - **Style:** Smart Money / Liquidity + Structure Based --- 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly. #gold #XAUUSD #smartmoney #tradingview #liquidity #supplydemand #priceaction #forex #structure
TVC:GOLD
by mmozafari1357
DOW APPROACHING ALL TIME HIGH BUY THE DIP?Hey Traders so today was looking at the DOW and it is showing strong uptrend as Stock Indices normally move in tandem. So now that the Nasdaq and S&P500 have broken all time high I believe it only makes sense for the DOW to do so also. However seems to be lagging behind for the moment. So therefore I think it's a good buy the dip if market can pullback to the buy zone of 44,000 maybe a stop of 43,000. If bearish however I would wait for strong reversal below trendline at 43,000 before consider selling into rally. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
CBOT_MINI:YMU2025Long
by TradeTheIndex