Analysis and layout of the latest gold trends during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
Judging from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing and the MACD is showing a trend of forming a death cross, indicating that the short-selling momentum is still relatively strong in the short term. However, as the overall upward structure has not been destroyed, there is still a possibility of a rebound and repair in the future. During the day, we need to pay special attention to the support strength of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. It is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting at high levels and going long at low levels. The key support below is the 3305-3295 area, and the upper resistance is the 3340-3350 range. However, judging from the chart, in the short term, there may be a rebound near 3313. At present, it has indeed rebounded to around 3319 as expected. If it falls weakly to this week's low of 3295, you can buy if it does not break. On the whole, if it rebounds to 3335-3345, you can consider shorting, and if the support below 3305-3295 is not broken, go long. Today is Friday, and as it is near the end of the month, market liquidity is strong. Please be cautious in your operations today and be sure to set stop losses strictly.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3350
TP 3320-3315-3300
BUY 3305-3295
TP 3310-3320-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Futures market
Gold Breaks Trendline – Deeper Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) has just broken below its short-term ascending trendline formed since mid-May. The candle closed around $3,333, confirming a bearish engulfing pattern and highlighting growing selling pressure after multiple failed attempts to reclaim the $3,383–$3,399 resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618).
Key Levels to Watch:
- Immediate Support: $3,315 (tested twice before)
- Main Resistance: $3,383–$3,399 (Fibonacci zone)
- Major Resistance: $3,435–$3,451 (May high zone)
If $3,315 fails to hold, gold could retest $3,285–$3,270, with deeper downside toward $3,222.
Technical Overview:
- The ascending trendline is now broken.
- Bearish engulfing candlestick confirms momentum shift.
- Price rejected sharply from Fibonacci 0.618 – $3,399.
Trade Setups to Consider:
Sell Opportunity: Short near $3,360–$3,383; stop loss above $3,400; targets at $3,315 and $3,270.
Speculative Buy: Watch for reversal patterns near $3,315; stop loss below $3,300; short-term target $3,350–$3,365.
Caution: This week brings major U.S. economic events (GDP, PCE, Fed speeches). Trade reactively, manage risk tightly, and avoid overleveraging.
Gold is a "BUY" @ Market Sentiment $3295 Market Sentiment
Forex market sentiment can be measured using various tools and indicators. One of the most popular methods of measuring sentiment is using sentiment indicators. These indicators provide insights into market sentiment , such as the percentage of traders who are bullish or bearish on a particular currency.
Forex Sentiment
One of the main advantages of using forex sentiment analysis is that it can help traders make more informed trading decisions. By understanding the overall sentiment of the market, traders can better anticipate price movements, identify potential trading opportunities, and manage risk more effectively.
What is Forex Sentiment?
Forex Sentiment is the feeling or perception of market participants towards a currency pair. It is an essential aspect of forex trading, as it plays a crucial role in determining the direction of the market. Forex sentiment is driven by a wide range of factors, including economic data, geopolitical events, news events, and market trends.
While there are various methods of measuring sentiment, traders should use sentiment analysis in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make informed trading decisions.
Gold LongsBullish weekly bias for Gold.
Classic Expansion Weekly profile in play. Price opened lower first, Im treating this as the possible manipulation for the week. Tuesday swept key ssl and closed back inside the range.
Drop to a 4h and OB is confirmed. 1h CISD aligned with 4h. Execution off 4h OB with stop at OB Low / Tuesday low. If BSL is the draw, I would like to see Tuesday low be protected.
LRLR is first low hanging fruit objective. 3420 roughly, with equal highs at 3476 being final target.
XAUUSD DAILY, TRIPLE TOP? DIVERGENCE VOLUME?Hello everyone, how are you?
How’s your day going?
Let’s talk about XAUUSD on the Daily timeframe.
As we can see, XAUUSD has attempted several times to break out from the TRIPLE TOP trendline,
but it hasn’t been successful. Looking at the volume, there is no increase in buying—
on the contrary, there’s an increase in selling volume, which can be considered a FAKE OUT.
So, in my opinion, XAUUSD has the potential to return to the support area,
around the psychological level of $3,300 - $3,000,
or as shown in the chart, a weekly candle closed with high volume.
Well, that’s my take. Good luck!
Remember, trading carries high risk—don’t be reckless.
Waiting for the best opportunity is never a bad idea, right?
Gold Falls After Rejection at 3350 – Eyes on Short-Term Pullback📊 Market Drivers:
• Gold spiked to $3,350/oz early in the day but later dropped to $3,310/oz as profit-taking kicked in and U.S. yields recovered slightly.
• Market is in a wait-and-see mode ahead of PCE inflation data on Friday, limiting upside momentum late in the session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $3,345–3,350 (daily high)
• Nearest support: $3,310 – session low; then $3,290
• EMA09: Price trading above EMA09, but below EMA21, signaling a neutral bias
• Candle/momentum: Formed shooting star reversal near $3,348 on H1 with declining volume → short-term weakness ahead
📌 Outlook:
Gold may pull back toward $3,300–3,290 short-term if USD rebounds and selling persists. But medium-term bullish bias remains if inflation data disappoints and USD continues weakening.
💡 Trade Ideas:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,335–3,345
🎯 TP: 3,315
❌ SL: 3,352
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,295–3,305
🎯 TP: 3,315
❌ SL: 3,285
GOLD IDEA - Could we see gold end lower this week?Gold is clearly creating lower lows & lower highs. We've also measured with our fib and we are sitting in our 50-60% zone! We've identified our bearish engulfings on the 1hr, 30 mins, & 15 min time frame. Everything is aligning, our final step is waiting for our ctl to break then scaling into our position slowly.
Gold shorting opportunity not to be missedGold hit the key resistance of 3350 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 3309, and was temporarily supported by the low point on Wednesday. The intraday showed a pattern of rapid decline after a volatile rise, highlighting the long-short tug-of-war pattern. The hourly line fell again after a pullback to 3328, indicating that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: short orders can be entered again near the pullback of 3328-3335. If the market continues to decline, focus on the support range of 3300-3290, and long orders can be arranged if it stabilizes. The overall idea of oscillation is maintained. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or losing 3290, high-altitude and low-long are still the main strategy.
Gold recommendation: short near 3328-3335, target 3315-3305
The idea of oscillating crude oil
💡Message Strategy
Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years
In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight of this growth was concentrated in June, when Asia's crude oil arrivals soared to 28.65 million barrels/day, setting a record high since January 2023, far exceeding 27.3 million barrels/day in May and 26.42 million barrels/day in June last year.
Import boom driven by price
What drove the surge in Asian crude oil imports in June? The answer has a lot to do with price. China and India are known to be extremely sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, usually increasing imports when prices are low and choosing to shrink when prices are high. Crude oil arriving in June is usually scheduled six to eight weeks in advance of delivery, which means that these cargoes were purchased when oil prices were low in April and May.
Geopolitics and market uncertainty
The sharp fluctuations in oil prices in June are inseparable from the fueling of geopolitics. Israel's military action against Iran and the subsequent intervention of the United States once pushed crude oil prices to a five-month high. After Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, the market risk premium quickly subsided, but geopolitical uncertainty is still an important variable affecting oil prices. In the future, any new geopolitical events may push up oil prices again, which will further pressure Asia's import demand.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. The momentum is stalemate between long and short positions, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day.
However, crude oil is never that simple. It is greatly affected by international trends. At present, crude oil is still waiting for direction. So how can we obtain greater future returns in a volatile market?
The answer is simple. At this time, what we need to do is to use a small stop loss to leverage large returns within the pressure and support range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 64.50-63.50/60.00
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50/70.00
2025.06.27 Range | Anticipate without expectation of FridayOANDA:XAUUSD
Range Trading Series | 4H TF – 2025.06.27 Update
Yesterday’s trading range held to the dot , with price failing to break through 3355 , the prior swing pivot. A second upside attempt stalled, leading to a short-lived retracement from 3313 to 3336 . NYSE then moved below 3329 POC , closing at 3327 , reinforcing bearish bias beneath immediate resistance at 3342 .
Today, the 4H trading range remains boxed between 3329–3313 . The next 4H bar of the Asian session will offer clearer directional intent if price retests 3313 .
Sell Bias:
Below 3329 , anticipate downside continuation after a clean retest of 3313 .
Watch PA at:
3303 → 3297 → 3290 → 3281 → 3276 → 3267
Buy Bias:
Rebound above 3313 following a failed breakdown.
PA watch levels:
3319 → 3328 → 3330 → 3333 → 3335 → 3342 → 3348 → 3355 → 3366 → 3375 → 3386 → 3390 → 3400 → 3403 → 3408 → 3417 → 3423
Micro-range Watch:
3326 → 3322 → 3316 → 3313
If price closes above 3322 on the 4H and the next candle confirms, it signals a potential sentiment shift .
Continue monitoring PA at key levels.
Anticipate (not expect) short-cycle directional moves outside the micro-range before real flow materializes— patience remains tactical .
Chart Reference
XAUUSD SELLYesterday XAUUSD touched the peak area, broke through the pinbar candle pair and the bearish confirmation candle, waiting for the price to return to enter the order to optimize profit. The last 4-hour candle is a good time to enter the order. If you missed the entry, wait for the next 4-hour candle to close above 3312. CANH SELL continues. If not, wait for the price to return to a higher area CANH SELL
Silver Futures Rally: Riding the Upper Bollinger Band
Price is riding the upper band, a classic signal of strong bullish trend continuation.
Strong support near $34.50–$35.00 (prior consolidation zone and Bollinger midline).
Psychological support at $36.00 which was broken and now may act as support-turned-resistance.
Dollar Outlook – Bearish Trend with Key Support Levels AheadThe market is clearly bearish, and I do not recommend buying the dollar at the moment.
If the price breaks through the important zone between 98.525 and 96.725, we could see a move down toward the next zone between 95.935 and 94.790.
This lower zone is a key support level if it gets broken, the dollar could face a very difficult situation.
XAUUSD – Key Inflection Zone Before Core PCE Price Index m/mGold opened today with a bearish gap, once again struggling to stay above the 3327–3305 support zone, the same range where it hovered yesterday. While the price did form a higher low and higher high structure on the lower timeframes, this move still lacks the strength to signal a proper reversal—rather, it looks more like a minor consolidation ahead of tonight’s US GDP and Unemployment Claims release.
At this point, gold is trapped between two key forces:
A resilient resistance zone formed by the downtrendline, unfilled gap from earlier this week, and confluence of MA50 & MA200
A rising minor support trendline, creating a tightening range and indicating that the next breakout may provide a clearer direction.
⚠️ Technical Outlook
As long as gold remains below 3366–3367, the prevailing downtrend structure remains valid. Any rally into that zone should be viewed cautiously, especially if accompanied by weak volume or rejection candles. However, if gold manages to break and close H4 above 3367, it could trigger a short-term correction toward 3396 or even higher, aiming to fill the previous gap.
But so far, the momentum remains bearish, and lower highs continue to dominate the mid-term structure.
🔽 Trade Idea (Cautious Swing Trade)
Due to the wide stop-loss required, we recommend using reduced position size to maintain proper risk management.
🔵 Sell Area: 3358 – 3367
❌ Stop Loss: 3396 (above the trendline and prior key high)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3331
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3306
🎯 Take Profit 3: 3289
🧠 Risk Level: Moderate to High (Lot size should be adjusted)
R3: 3379
R2: 3366
R1: 3350
Pivot: 3327
S1: 3305
S2: 3286
S3: 3256
After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL),Instrument: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1 hour (1h)
Current Price: Approximately $3,322.345
🔍
Marked Zones and Labels
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Highlighted near the top yellow zone around the $3,336 - $3,344 range.
Price previously swept above this zone and then reversed, indicating a liquidity grab.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Indicated near the bottom zone, around the $3,300 level.
This suggests a potential target area for price to draw down into.
Supply Zone: The top yellow rectangle, where price was previously rejected.
Demand Zone (or Support): The bottom yellow rectangle labeled with “SSS” (possibly short for “Strong Support Structure”).
📉
Price Action & Forecast
A downward arrow projection is drawn, suggesting a bearish bias.
After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL), the expectation is for the market to seek sell-side liquidity (SSL).
Potential downside target near $3,300 or below.
06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis 06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +731.25
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: meh
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/3 success**
— 9:38 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
What’s are some news or takeaway from today?
and What major news or event impacted the market today?
today was another interesting day, i am noticing that when market structure changes 2x in the same direction, it is usally pretty effective and scammy at the same time
News
*NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA SHARES HIT A NEW HIGH TO RECLAIM WORLD'S LARGEST STOCK TITLE - market is being carried by the momentum of mag 7
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6175 = Bullish, Under 6155= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Update last post# Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Style:** Heikin Ashi
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔸 **Focus:** BOS (Break of Structure), OB (Order Block), TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest)
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish (Higher Timeframe)
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — price action has filled major imbalances
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. Multiple **BOS** levels suggest active momentum shifts
2. **TLQ** has formed at the recent HH — liquidity likely grabbed
3. **OB Demand Zone** (labeled A) marked for bullish reaction
4. Expecting short-term rally from OB (A) to (B)
5. Watch for reversal at TLQ/B to drop toward (C)
---
## 📌 Scalping Plan:
- **Entry:** Wait for CHoCH / bullish confirmation inside OB (A)
- **SL:** Just below OB (≈ 3327)
- **TP1:** Near TLQ or zone (B)
- **TP2:** Possible extended run if liquidity is swept
---
## 🚨 Alternate Bearish Scenario:
> If price breaks below OB (A),
> → Look for short setup toward 3314–3310 (target C)
---
## ✅ Summary:
Scalping based on Smart Money flow:
**BOS ➝ OB ➝ Liquidity ➝ Reaction**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient
MS: 🔼 MSU (locally bullish)
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
Gold Market Under Pressure - Key Support Levels📉 Update – Gold
Since Friday the 13th, buyers have been squeezed and sellers have taken control of the market.
The trend is currently bearish, and large buyers are not present. The price could drop toward the 3320 – 3298 zone.
If this zone is broken, we could see a further decline toward 3255 – 3175.
Today, while watching the New York session using order flow, we saw large buy orders hit the market.
Global Gold at the Crossroads of CrisisGold’s response to historic geopolitical crises demonstrates that while “big fear” is rapidly priced in, the durability of rallies—or the depth of corrections—depends on a confluence of monetary policy, dollar valuation, oil prices, and the genuine scale of the threat.
At present, the gold market sits squarely between global “fear of instability” and “hope for de-escalation.” Divergent signals from the Fed, global central banks, and oil markets only deepen volatility, making investor decisions more complex. As previous wars (Iran–Iraq, Ukraine) have shown, gold is prone to both scenarios, but its long-term direction will be shaped by a mix of economic, policy, and psychological factors.
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday’s chart analysis played out well.
Price broke above the MA50 and tested the $3,346 resistance zone. However, this zone failed to hold, and gold dropped aggressively toward the $3,306 support.
Once again, price is trending below both the 50 and 200 moving averages, indicating continued bearish pressure.
For now, the $3,306 support is holding. Bulls need to break above $3,330-$3,346 for higher levels to open up.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242