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Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis #### **Current Market Overview** - **Price:** $3,092 - **Support Level:** $3,087 - $3,083 - **Resistance Level:** $3,095 - $3,100 - **Trend:** Uptrend continuation, with price holding above key EMAs --- ### **📈 Bullish Scenario** - If the price **breaks above $3,095 - $3,100** resistance, expect further upside movement towards **$3,110 - $3,120**. - The **rising trendline and EMA support** suggest buyers are in control. - A strong close above resistance could trigger **momentum buying** and fuel a rally. --- ### **📉 Bearish Scenario** - A **failure to break $3,100** may lead to a pullback towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support. - If sellers push below this support zone, further downside towards **$3,076 and $3,065** is possible. - Increased selling pressure may shift sentiment, leading to a correction. --- ### **Conclusion** - **Above $3,095:** Bullish continuation toward higher levels. - **Below $3,087:** Potential bearish correction before another leg up.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by elitetrader9090
Monthly view of Gold. A crash from April 2025 - Aug 2027Taking a step back on Gold, we can see how it clearly has been trading within an ascending triangle for many years, often finding resistance and support where we would expect to see it such as on the upper and lower trend lines, as well as the channels equilibrium line in the centre. Currently Gold remains in the lower half of this trend, and it has room to the upside, or downside (since it currently sits near resistance - the channels equilibrium - ), buying is a risk). If we take a look at the previous bull run which occurred Aug 2018-Aug 2020, Gold seen a $1,000 change in price during this time, moving from $1,000 to $2,000 per ounce, psychologically both being key levels. Those two levels also imply that Gold achieved a -1 Fibonacci extension from the previous move. Taking the above into account, and also drawing over the previous moves using with arrow drawings, copying and replacing over the anticipated future direction (starting from the lowest point of the current bull run $1,600, the 50% retracement level in Oct 2022) this too gives us yet another confluence, another perfect line up with regards to all the other analytical reasons why Gold should hit $3,000 and then fall. We will take a look on a closer more relevant timeframe so we can see what will happen in the coming weeks. Take a look below:
FLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
Gold/Silver Ratio AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) currently trading at $3,118 has significantly outpaced Silver ( SILVER) at $34.07 since mid-March. This divergence has pushed the Gold/Silver ratio to elevated levels, creating a potential mean-reversion opportunity. Looking at the chart, both metals maintained strong correlation through January-February 2025 before Gold began its dramatic acceleration in March-April. While both assets remain in strong uptrends, Gold's nearly vertical move in April suggests potential overextension relative to its historical relationship with Silver. Trading Strategy Consider a pairs trade setup: SHORT Gold / LONG Silver at current ratio Target: Reversion to 50-day moving average of Gold/Silver ratio Stop: 2% additional expansion of current ratio Risk Management Key to this trade is position sizing that equalizes dollar exposure between the two positions. Use reduced leverage as precious metals volatility remains elevated across the complex. TVC:XAU NASDAQ:XAG #PairsTrading
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by ProTradeSignals
Bearish Outlook on Dow Jones Amid Corrective Phase- Key Insights: The Dow Jones is currently under bearish pressure with institutional selling prevalent across major indices. The corrective phase is expected to continue, potentially pushing the Dow towards support levels between 39,800 and 39,700. Investors should prepare for market volatility fueled by economic factors like upcoming tariffs, which may slow down potential recovery actions. - Price Targets: Short position advised next week. - Targets: T1 = 39,700, T2 = 39,500 - Stops: S1 = 40,500, S2 = 41,000 - Recent Performance: The Dow Jones recently exhibited a downward trend, filling a gap before moving further downwards similar to NASDAQ and S&P 500. This decline suggests a consistent bearish sentiment is affecting the markets. - Expert Analysis: Experts believe the Dow is in a corrective phase with an eventual rally towards new highs expected post-correction. Current sentiment remains bearish due to worries about tariffs and broader economic challenges, but optimism exists for future recovery to levels above 47,000, hitting as high as 51,000 in bull scenarios. - News Impact: Market sentiments are marred by the anticipation of new tariffs set to unveil on April 2nd. These tariffs could introduce significant volatility impacting both equity and cryptocurrency markets, which will be crucial for investors to closely monitor due to potential negative influences on the Dow Jones trajectory in the near term.
OSE:DJIA1!Short
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Long for Gold: Seizing Safe-Haven Opportunities Next Week -Key Insights: Gold is maintaining its robust uptrend as it benefits from global economic uncertainties, making it a favored safe-haven asset. Investors are moving towards gold due to geopolitical tensions and a volatile stock market. The precious metal's performance is strong compared to other sectors, with a bullish outlook supported by experts and analysts. -Price Targets: For the upcoming week, traders should consider the following targets and stop levels for long positions: T1 at 3155 and T2 at 3220, indicating potential gains. Set your stop levels at S1 of 3080 and a more conservative S2 of 3050 to mitigate risks. -Recent Performance: Gold has showcased a strong and consistent uptrend, distinguishing itself amidst broader market volatility. Its appeal as a safe- haven asset has attracted investor interest, particularly as geopolitical tensions and trade developments influence market dynamics. -Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a bullish perspective on gold's trajectory. Despite warnings of possible corrections if certain resistance levels are met, the overall sentiment is optimistic. Experts emphasize the strength of gold in current economic conditions, underscoring its appeal. -News Impact: Ongoing trade war developments and geopolitical tensions are significantly impacting gold prices, reinforcing its position as a safe haven. Investors are advised to stay informed about tariff changes and policy shifts, which can influence demand and drive price momentum. In conclusion, gold remains in a favorable position, driven by persistent economic uncertainties and investor flights to safety. Targeting the specified levels can optimize outcomes for those positioning long in the market next week.
CLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Can the gold rally continue?Spot gold opened higher and rose further in the early trading on Monday (March 31st). It once broke through the level of $3,090 per ounce and reached a new all-time high of $3,128 per ounce. This market movement was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to flock to safe-haven assets. From a technical perspective, gold surged after opening in the morning and then quickly declined, but it stabilized and rebounded later. The weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts all show a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. On the hourly chart, gold maintains a good upward trend, with previous highs and lows continuously rising, and the bulls are in the dominant position. Currently, the upper resistance is in the range of $3,135 - $3,138, while the lower support is in the range of $3,070 - $3,080. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long on pullbacks as the main strategy and go short on rebounds as a supplementary strategy. XAUUSD buy@3090-3100 tp:3120-3130-3150
CLong
by Kmissok
Precise gold trading signalsSpot gold opened higher and moved higher in the morning trading on Monday (March 31), breaking through $3,090/ounce and setting a new record high of $3,111.54/ounce. The market was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to safe-haven assets. The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 63 basis points this year, starting in July. Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a US recession from 20% to 35%. Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in July, September and November. The market is currently preparing for Trump's plan for reciprocal tariffs on April 2. This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings on Tuesday, ADP employment on Wednesday, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims on Thursday. Gold has four consecutive positive weekly lines, and the price has risen strongly based on 5MA. The K-line continues to diverge upward against the upper Bollinger track. Last week, the K-line closed with a real big positive line, and there will be further continuation this week. The upper track has moved up to around 3122, but today's monthly line is closed. After the high, we must also be careful of the risk of retracement. The daily K-line also broke the high after the consolidation last week. The current price has risen to 3111. The bulls are very strong, and there is further short-term growth. Pay attention to the resistance near the upper track 3117 in the short term, but it should be noted that MACD has signs of top divergence, so be careful of the market going up and falling back to wash the market. The 4-hour chart is also in a very strong trend. Intraday operations still adopt the idea of ​​low-to-long, bullish but not chasing the rise, gold rose and broke the high in the morning, so the European session will continue, the intraday support is 3097-3086, the watershed is the early low of 3076, the European session falls back to around 3097-86 and continues to be long, focusing on the strength of the European session, the European session is strong, and the US session has a second rise, if the European session is weak, the US session will fluctuate. Gold strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3097-3095, stop loss at 3086, and target 3113-3122-3132
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by JosephChristian
#XAUUSD – Breakout or Reversal? Key Levels to Watch | 30M Analys Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern, attempting to break out after forming a falling wedge. The price is fluctuating near $3,022, with key formations indicating potential volatility ahead. Technical Analysis: Triangle Formation – Price nearing a decisive move Falling Wedge Breakout – Temporary bullish push, but resistance holding Support at $3,010 - $3,020, Resistance at $3,040+ Right Shoulder Formation – Possible Head & Shoulders pattern forming Fundamental Outlook: Fed rate policy & inflation data impacting gold sentiment US Dollar strength could limit upside movement If gold holds above support, a bullish push toward $3,040 - $3,060 is possible. However, a breakdown below the triangle could send prices lower. Watch for volume confirmation!
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by Gold_Traders_Team
GOLD 4HR CHART Monday Open has taken off continuation close of Friday NZ time We are looking at another ATH with 3.111 33 at the time of writing this currently still a good trade position will close out once T/P is hit. there maybe a small correction. 3,157,65 is my target goal once my T/P is hit. Observation: News out the USA around Trumps Tariffs have now taken effect on todays open however this just the beginning. Disclaimer: this not financial advice never risk more than your prepared to loose S/L and T/P must be in place at all times. update : T/P hit target small correction maybe 3088?
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by jt453
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute Chart AnalysisThis chart provides a technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) price action using Fibonacci levels, consolidation zones, and key support/resistance levels. Key Observations: Price Level & Consolidation Zone The price is currently around $3,119.525, experiencing a consolidation phase (marked in the gray box). The market is indecisive, moving within a range, waiting for a breakout. Fibonacci Levels (Support & Resistance) 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement Level ($3,111.919) is acting as support. 0.618 Fibonacci Level ($3,135.728) is acting as resistance, a potential target if the price breaks upward. Breakout Scenarios: Bullish Breakout (Up Move) 🚀 If the price breaks above the consolidation zone, the next resistance level is around $3,135-$3,140. An uptrend continuation could be expected. Bearish Breakdown (Down Move) 📉 If the price drops below $3,111, it may head towards the $3,100-$3,090 area. This is confirmed by the downward arrows, showing potential price movement. Volume & Trendline Considerations Volume has increased significantly, indicating strong market interest. A dotted downward trendline suggests a potential bearish scenario if the price fails to break above resistance. Trading Plan: Bullish Bias: Wait for a breakout above $3,125-$3,130 before entering long trades. Bearish Bias: A breakdown below $3,110 could signal short opportunities. Neutral Stance: If consolidation continues, wait for a clearer direction.
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by xxChartWhizxx
DXY forms a bottom, gold reaches a peak, and BTC rises again?The flow of investment capital in the broader financial market is currently like this: DXY, BTC, and SP500. XAU, GBP, and EUR are moving within the same structure. Currently, the major trend for DXY is undergoing a downward correction, forming a bottom before resuming its upward move. During the process of DXY reaching its peak, market makers will take profits from the Dollar and Bitcoin, redirecting them into gold. Right now, DXY is continuing its downward slope, which will help gold reach a strong peak. When XAU hits its peak, DXY will begin a new upward phase. At that point, profits will be taken from XAU and shifted to push BTC’s price higher.
OLong
by rainbow_sniper
March 31, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Bullish momentum remains strong. The strategy is to buy on pullbacks to support. Avoid taking short positions without a clear bearish signal. Key Levels to Watch: 3130–3135: Bullish target zone 3128: ATH resistance 3114: Bullish/Bearish pivot line 3106: Key intraday support 3098: Bearish target zone Short-Term Trading Strategy: For Shorts: Enter a SELL position if the price breaks below 3114. Watch 3111 for initial support; if the decline continues, monitor 3106, 3103, and 3100. For Longs: Enter a BUY position if the price pulls back to 3128 and holds. Watch 3130 for confirmation; if bullish momentum continues, monitor 3135, 3138, and 3140. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
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by Ombabibi
Silver Chart in AUD is breaking out.My take on Silver. I'm on the same scenario again but this time it's on Silver. I want to go long on gold when it reaches its all-time high in Australian dollars around 2023. I didn’t pull the trigger because I thought it was too late. You never know if you’re late until the price moves higher or lower. The RANGE indicator (BLUE line) helps me decide the best time to buy gold; You get one or two chances in a decade to buy gold. If unprepared, it’s not late, but the reward shrinks. Gold has no risk—it’s real money. This time, its Silver. After the gold price reach new high it almost doubled in AUD. The Silver are in new high in AUD but not in USD. From what i observed, USD is the last currency go all time high on gold and silver. If silver price will go $50 USD, what do you think the silver price in AUD? I am targeting Silver miner as they give you more leverage than physical metal and i already have a Silver position since 2021. The 3 month BREAKOUT chart is closing above the diagonal trendline which is why its called breakout indicator. Once it breaks it, the price moves significantly.
FLong
by Theordertaker
Gold Surges as BTC Falters -Institutional Rotation. +75,100 pipsOur original idea has given us 46,000 pips so far. - See below Our Intra trade ideas has given us 29,100 pips so far. - See below 📍Gold has printed one of its most aggressive quarterly candles in history, currently trading around $3,117 — a full breakout above the long-standing macro trend channel, confirming a decisive phase shift in the market. 📍This breakout is not a wick or deviation — Gold has broken clean through the upper boundary of its decades-long rising channel, invalidating the idea of a return to mean and instead pointing to an acceleration phase. 📍Previous all-time highs in Gold have aligned closely with the -1.414 Fibonacci extensions of major bull runs. The first major top (1980) and the second (2011) respected this exact Fib level. Projecting that logic forward, the current structure suggests a third ATH around $4,270 (-1.414), with further upside possible toward $4,608 (-1.618). 📍The March 2025 candle is extremely strong — nearly a vertical move — and while a small short-term pullback is possible depending on April’s open, the longer-term picture remains undeniably bullish. 📊 Technical Outlook: ✅ Breakout above long-term macro channel = structural shift. Re-entry into the channel is highly unlikely at this point. ✅ Major Fib levels ahead: $3,582 (-1.0), $4,270 (-1.414), $4,608 (-1.618). ✅ Gold is showing repeating expansion behaviour from prior cycles, with historical confluence at Fibonacci projections. 📍Key Support Levels: ❗ $2,948 – Now flipped to support (-0.618 Fib) ❗ $2,609 – Deeper support (-0.414 Fib), unlikely to be retested unless macro conditions shift 📍Key Resistance Levels: 🎯 $3,582 – Next technical barrier (-1.0 Fib) 🎯 $4,270 – Targeted 3rd ATH (-1.414) 🎯 $4,608 – Macro extension (-1.618), likely terminal point of current cycle 🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Context (as of March 2025): 🛑 1. Rising Global Tensions Fueling Safe-Haven Demand The Russia-Ukraine war shows no sign of de-escalation, with new reports indicating increased mobilization on both sides. Simultaneously, conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has intensified, spilling over into broader regional instability in the Middle East. U.S.-China tensions have also resurfaced after Taiwan conducted military exercises and received advanced weaponry from Western allies, provoking responses from Beijing. Trump's renewed political presence and rhetoric on “America First” policies, combined with potential NATO withdrawal, have created uncertainty about future global order. All of this is driving institutions, central banks, and retail investors alike into hard assets like gold — the original safe haven. 📈 2. Central Banks Are Buying Gold at Record Levels 2024 saw the largest central bank gold purchases in history, led by China, Russia, and emerging markets seeking to de-dollarize. The trend has continued into Q1 2025, with multiple central banks publicly declaring increased gold reserves. This structural shift in reserves policy underpins gold demand even during minor pullbacks. 📉 3. Bitcoin Facing Pressure – Gold Poised to Outperform? Bitcoin mining difficulty is at an all-time high as we approach the April 2025 halving. Margins for miners are shrinking rapidly. Many publicly listed mining firms are capitulating or reducing operations — hash rate divergence suggests instability. With interest rates still elevated and risk assets under pressure, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its highs. Technicals on BTC suggest a correction from current ~$70K levels down to $50K, potentially driven by miner distribution, ETF rotation, and lack of momentum. We could even see 40k. This has caused a relative rotation from crypto risk assets back into traditional inflation hedges like gold. 🛢 4. Inflation, Oil, and Economic Instability Oil has broken above $100 again amid Middle East instability, feeding back into global inflation concerns. The U.S. economy is showing signs of stagflation: stubborn inflation with weakening job growth. The Fed remains hawkish due to CPI persistence, making liquidity tighter — typically gold-positive. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ Only a breakdown below $2,948 would indicate failed structure. This would put gold back inside the channel, negating the breakout — but with current macro tailwinds, this appears extremely unlikely. ⚡ Summary & Alignment: 🔹 Technicals: Massive breakout above channel + historical Fib extensions imply $4,270–$4,600 targets. 🔹 Fundamentals: War, inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank demand all reinforce gold’s bullish case. 🔹 Bitcoin Weakness: Mining costs + halving + macro pressures = BTC to $50K risk, leading capital rotation into gold. 🔹 Geopolitics: Global uncertainty at multi-decade highs — gold thrives on instability. 📈 Outlook: Extremely Bullish for Gold As fiat volatility, geopolitical instability, and crypto fragility intensify, gold continues to assert its role as the ultimate store of value. Technically and fundamentally, it is aligned for a macro push toward $4,270–$4,600 over the coming quarters. Previous intra trade idea which played out perfectly (1 - 15 Risk to Reward) Original idea (+46,000 PIPS so far)
OLong
by Who-Is-Caerus