GOLD Next Movement Very Clear , Are You Ready To Got This ?Here is my new place if i will sell gold after daily closure below 3400.00 m it will be a great chance to sell it with the retest if we have a good daily closure , gold gave me today more than 1000 pips if you checked my last updates , just wait for closure and then we can sell it again .
Futures market
GOLD KEY LEVELS FOR 22/04/2025// All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: tradingview.com/u/tony_fx_sm/
// Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work.
I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue:
👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
Everything else—the way I nail it the method and applied it—is my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent.
Explanation:
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
Entry/Exit Points:
- Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
Timeframe:
Use a 15 mins timeframe for trading.
Risk Disclaimer:
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details
Gold price 3500 may usher in a selling waveGold price 3500 may usher in a selling wave
Without any news stimulus, gold price hit a high of 3500 points today, completing a single-day increase of 100 points. So far, gold price has almost completely given up, and the current support level is around 3410 points.
According to our latest analysis, gold price has risen by more than 500 points in the past half month, which is due to the accelerated rise of emotional out-of-control.
But selling will happen eventually, after all, cashing out at high levels is a consistent mainstream thinking.
Many retail investors and offline gold investors began to sell gold to make profits, which also truly reflects that 3500 points have reached the public's psychological expectations.
Judging from today's trend, the selling is not fierce, and the gold price is showing a gradual downward trend.
This shows that the selling has not yet touched the panic selling sentiment.
But panic selling stampede incidents are definitely inevitable.
The possibility of a sharp drop in gold prices in the next few days is gradually increasing. At present, 3400 points is the latest long-short watershed.
1: The price has been maintained above 3400 points, forming a high consolidation trend. (In this case, there is only one way to deal with it, go long at a low price, and set the stop loss near 3400 points)
2: Fall below 3400 points, fall below 3360 points after adjustment, and continue to adjust and accelerate below 3300 points. (This situation indicates that panic selling has arrived, and the gold price will accelerate in a short period of time until the bottom is formed)
Trading strategy for the next two days:
As long as the price is above 3400 points, go long on dips
As long as the price is below 3400 points, go short on rallies
If you have new ideas, please leave me a message
Gold hits 3500 retracement adjustmentGold Technical Forecast:
From a technical perspective, gold is confidently moving along a bullish trajectory. There is no doubt about that. But the signals now sent by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators are worth paying attention to. The daily RSI reading is close to 80, which has entered the severely overbought area. However, this does not necessarily indicate impending doom. It just confirms what we already know: buyers are in control.
So, is the price close to a top? Possibly. But I would not sound the alarm bells just yet. These high indicators are more of a warning than a battle cry. It is more of a "stay alert" than a "get out of here".
Spot Gold Technical Levels to Watch
Gold's climb to a record $3,500 was impressive, but as expected, it has begun to retreat slightly from this psychological high, most likely due to some conventional profit-taking. There is no natural resistance above this level; all we have are round numbers. However, on the way down, the situation is different.
Technical Analysis
Initial support includes Monday's high of $3,430 and the round number mark of $3,400 on the daily chart. Looking further down, $3,357 is last week's breakout level, followed by reliable support at $3,300. If a more meaningful pullback occurs, $3,245 and $3,167 will be worth watching, both of which were previous resistance ranges and are now likely to become support levels.
X3: FUTURES NQ SCALP 1:1 Pending OrderFUTURES NQ SCALP 1:1FUTURES NQ SCALP 1:1 Pending Order
Risking 1% to make 1%
If price comes down and long not triggered: cancel it, I will update in comment.
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Trump and Powell's "power showdown" ignites global risk aversion
📌 Driving events
On Tuesday (April 22), gold prices soared and set a new record high. Spot gold once hit the $3,500 mark, an increase of about 2.2%. US President Trump criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Powell for worrying the market, suppressing risk appetite and pushing investors to turn to safe-haven gold. After hitting the 3,500 mark, the price of gold fell slightly. Spot gold is currently trading at nearly $3,478.55 per ounce.
📊Comment analysis
KCM Trade Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer pointed out that under the double blow of tariff concerns and the Trump-Powell farce, investors are fleeing US assets across the board. The continued weakness of the US dollar has created an excellent opportunity for gold to rise.
On Monday, Trump made a tough statement, asking the Federal Reserve to "cut interest rates immediately" otherwise the US economy will face the risk of slowing down. Powell insisted last week that interest rates should not be easily adjusted until the impact of Trump's tariff policy on inflation becomes clear.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate near 3430, with profit target above 3500 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold rose 90 points and then fell back? Maybe there will be a suIt rose from the early trading, rose to the 3500 mark and was under pressure, and then returned to the 3409 line at the lowest. If it does not fluctuate by more than 100 points every day, is it not the ultimate safe-haven asset? My heart really can't stand it. Brothers who have observed carefully should have discovered that the current round of gold rise started from 2961, and rose by 500 US dollars in just 14 days. Only when today's upper lead is really closed, can we say that the bulls will cool down a little!
But this is not the first time. For example, last week's weekly line retreated, and it was directly pulled up at night. This week's opening rose by more than 100 points. The current market retreat is to go long. No matter what point you are at, as long as it is currently rising, then you can only witness one thing, that is, rising!
At present, I am not optimistic about the continued decline. The market sentiment of long positions also leaves me no choice. The current long positions have not reached the top. The best opportunity is to look at the integer support of 3400, which may give the bulls an unexpected surprise!
I am Quide. Seeing my analysis strategy, no matter the past gains and losses, I hope that you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
23/4/25 FCPO Bulls Need Strong Follow-through Buying Today
Yesterday's candlestick was a bull reversal closing near its high with a long tail below.
In our previous report, we said traders would to see if the bears can create a strong retest of the 3850-3800 area and close (yesterday) as a strong bear bar near its low, or if the candlestick would close with a long tail below and above the middle of its range instead.
The market tested near the 3850 area but reversed to close as a strong bull bar.
The bears couldn't get a strong bear bar after testing the 3850-00 support area.
They got a strong second leg sideways to down (Apr 14 to Apr 22) to retest the January low.
They hope to get a breakout below the January low followed by a measured move based on the height of the 5-month trading range.
For that, they must create a strong breakout below 3850-00 with strong follow-through selling.
If the market trades higher, they want the 4000 or 4050-80 area or the 20-day EMA to act as resistance followed by at least a small retest of the recent leg low (Apr 22, even if it only forms a higher low).
The bulls want a reversal from a wedge pattern (Mar 25, Apr 9, and Apr 22) and a lower low major trend reversal.
They see the current move as a sell vacuum and a bear leg within the trading range.
They hope that the 3850 trading range low area will act as support.
If the market trades lower, they want a failed breakout below the 3850 area.
Since yesterday's candlestick was a bull reversal bar closing near its high, the bulls need to create strong follow-through buying tomorrow to increase the odds of a retest of the 4000-4080 area or the 20-day EMA.
If the bulls can create a strong follow-through bull bar, it could start a 2-legged sideways to up pullback phase.
Or will the market lack follow-through buying instead? If this is the case, that would indicate that the bulls are not yet strong.
The market remains in a large trading range (4500 - 3850). Traders may Buy Low and Sell High within the trading range.
That means buying in the lower third of the trading range, and selling in the upper third until there is a strong breakout from either direction with follow-through buying/selling.
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold has retreated from $3,500, is the price near a top? Possibly. But I wouldn't sound the alarm bells just yet. This is most likely due to some regular profit-taking. The high indicators are more of a warning than a call to arms. Rather than "get out of here," it's more of a "stay alert."
At present, the initial support below is in the 3405-3400 area. Further down are the two key support levels of 3380 and 3357. 3380 is the support level near the middle track of the 4-hour level, and 3357 is an important top and bottom conversion position in the previous period. These two positions still provide strong support for the future market rise. At present, the 4-hour level high has closed in a bearish pattern of Yin engulfing Yang engulfing, and the K-line is negative. The short-term is expected to improve and fall back. Short-term operations will mainly rebound from high altitudes. Pay attention to the resistance near 3435 and 3450 on the top and do not break the air. Pay attention to the support near 3408-3400 on the bottom. If it breaks, adjust the position and continue to look at 3380.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today. After completing our 1h chart route map yesterday, we moved onto our 4 chart route map.
On this chart idea, we got our Bullish target at 3330 hit, followed with candle body close gaps to 3372 and 3414, as ema5 didn't catch up due to momentum. However, the body close breaks on each level still gave us enough time for the confirmation before being hit.
We then managed to get ema5 cross and lock above 3414 opening 3457, which was also hit perfectly, completing this target with confirmation. No further lock above 3457 confirmed the rejection. However, we now have a body close above 3457 with a gap to 3503, which just fell short by a few pips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3457 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3457 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3503
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3224
3190
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3131 - 3077
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold - 25% crash to 2650, then pump to 7000! (must see)A crash to 2650 is very likely in the next few weeks! Why? Let's take a look at the most popular oscillators - RSI, MACD and STOCHASTIC.
Let's start with the RSI indicator on the monthly chart. The RSI indicator moves between 0 and 100. What we can see here is a strong horizontal resistance at the 85 level in the overbought region. Every time gold hits this strong resistance, a huge crash follows, specifically in 2006, 2008, 2020, and now in 2025. So this is a sell signal. We don't want to chase gold, while the RSI indicator is at such high levels - we want to wait for a pullback.
The next is the MACD indicator - the histogram hit a new all-time high on gold. We have never seen such crazy levels on gold. The histogram is currently too far away from the 0 line, which is a sign of an extremely overbought market. What we want to do here is to wait for the histogram to return to 0 and buy. There isn't really any bearish sign on the MACD indicator yet, but if you want to wait for a confirmation, then wait for a first downtick on the histogram and sell.
The last very popular indicator is STOCHASTIC . This indicator pretty much screams to sell, because both lines have been in the overbought territory since 2023. Plus, we have a bearish crossover this month (if the candle closes like today's price). To see this bearish crossover, you have to zoom in. So this indicator is giving us a bearish signal to sell gold.
Additional bearish reasons: The first reason is that the price of gold just hit a major trendline on the monthly chart. Monthly charts are incredibly powerful, so you want to make sure to know what is going on here. Always trade with a valid trend. The next reason is an untested POC on the volume profile. This POC is exactly at 2650, so this should be a great buying opportunity!
Please write a comment below and let me know what you think about this upcoming crash on GOLD? And are you bullish or bearish? Also hit the like button for more ideas on gold, so I know you are interested!
XAUUSD Sell IdeaGold price have climbed very quickly in the past 72 Trading Hours and has left gaps in the market. This is famously know as "Fair Value Gap". Usually, I would only base my trade on the trend line breakout and head and shoulders pattern, but I read a definition recently, let us see if the dictionary is right.
Gold continuous short stop profit follow-up!Gold, as stated in the analysis of the general trend, the market is still in an irrational upward cycle dominated by risk aversion. Although there is no reversal signal in the daily chart structure, the price is running on the upper Bollinger band of the daily, weekly and monthly charts at the same time. The attached indicator is overbought, so we need to be alert to the risk of selling at high levels; 4H recorded a long-lost continuous negative structure; short-term resistance 3436-3642, strong resistance 3446; short-term support 3420, strong support 3408-3404, strong support 3394; in terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound and sell;
Strategy 1: Sell near 3442, protect 3452, target 3400; hold after breaking;
Planning the Trade: Crude Oil Scenarios in a Shifting Macro LandNYMEX:CL1!
In volatile times, both opportunities and risks increase. Traders gain the ability to be more selective, adapting to new market regimes by adjusting risk and trade management strategies. Key tools in this process include indicators such as the Average True Range and Close-to-Close volatility sigma bands. April 20, 2020: A historic day, WTI Crude Oil prices traded negative for the first time, and we have yet another volatile April.
"If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail." Preparation is essential before taking on the market head-on.
Many participants choose to stay on the sidelines when volatility exceeds 1 standard deviation. Others, however, see this as an opportunity—adapting their risk per trade, adjusting targets, and refining trade management. Reducing position size can be an effective way to manage periods of heightened volatility.
This Week's Trade Idea: Crude Oil
We'll be reviewing Crude Oil price action with updated levels, fresh insights, and framing a trade plan with an example idea for reference.
Key Levels:
• April Monthly Open: 70.75
• 2025 mCVPOC: 71.13
• Yearly Open: 69.64
• 2024 Mid: 69.52
• 2025 Developing Mid: 66.52
• 2025 mCVAL: 65.08
• March 2025 Low: 64.37
• 2022 CVAL: 61.60
• 2024 Low: 59.91
The recent announcement of reciprocal tariffs, coupled with OPEC+ production plans (though scheduled earlier), and the rising uncertainty around a possible recession, have collectively weighed on demand expectations—resulting in a significant decline in oil prices. Although the 2024 low was reclaimed and prices have remained above this level, the sustainability of this recovery remains uncertain.
Scenario 1: Push Higher Towards 2025 Mid
In this scenario, we anticipate prices closing above March lows. Price then pushes higher toward the 2025 developing mid-range, re-entering the 2025 micro composite value area (mCVA).
Example Trade Idea:
• Timeframe: Hourly
• Setup: Wait for a candle close above March lows. Look for a pullback reaction off the 2025 Value Area Low (VAL).
• Entry: 64.50
• Stop: 64.00
• Target: 66.50
• Risk: 50 ticks
• Reward: 200 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 4R
________________________________________
Scenario 2: Range-Bound Price Action
In this scenario, the March low acts as strong resistance, aligning with the 2025 mCVAL. Price reverts lower towards the 2022 CVAL.
Example Trade Idea:
• Setup: Watch for signs of buyer exhaustion near March lows. If sellers regain control, look for a move back down toward 2022 CVAL.
• Timeframe: Hourly
• Entry: 64.00
• Stop: 64.40
• Target: 62.00
• Risk: 40 ticks
• Reward: 200 ticks
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 5R
________________________________________
Important Notes:
These are example trade ideas provided for educational purposes and are not intended as trade recommendations. Traders should perform their own analysis and thorough preparation before entering any positions.
Please be aware that stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at the specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.
________________________________________
Glossary:
• VA: Value Area
• VPOC: Volume Point of Control
• VAL: Value Area Low
• C: Composite (used as a prefix: VA, VAL, VAH, VPOC, etc.)
• mC: micro Composite (used as a prefix: mCVA, mCVAL, etc.)
Gold's retracement is an opportunity to go longStay long and don't relax. Continue to buy gold when it falls back!
The gold market has fluctuated violently recently, with a rise of $100 and a fall of $90, which has brought great obstacles to our trading. Long and short positions with bad entry positions will be washed out, so we need to wait patiently for opportunities in operation. The strong market remains unchanged. Continue to buy when it falls back. Find the watershed position to participate in the transaction. It is better to miss it than to be too aggressive. In the Asian session, I will share with you the support of the 3405/3410 watershed of gold. I will rely on this position to buy when it falls back. Gold hit a high of 3499 during the day, which is one step away from 3500. The European and American sessions fell back by $90, which just happened to fall back to the watershed position shared with you in the Asian session. The long orders have also been realized at the target position. Friends who have participated should pay attention to protecting profits, and friends who are short should wait patiently for opportunities and not be too aggressive!
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(SELL)trade( XAUUSD ) SELL zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3430) to (3428) 📊
FIRST TP (3420)📊
2ND TARGET (3410) 📊
LAST TARGET (3402) 📊
STOP LOOS (3440)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
XAU/USD: Trend Remains Strong as Price Holds Above Key SupportThe XAU/USD market continues its impressive rally, recently reaching a new all-time high at 3500 before pulling back toward support and the previous day's high. The price action completed an ABC structure prior to this retracement.
Currently, the market may be forming a triangle or flag pattern, similar to past consolidation setups. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and the critical 3400 support level, the probability of a trend continuation remains high. A retest of the ATH level followed by a move higher is likely, with the next target at the resistance zone around 3520
The latest operation layout of gold,long is still the main trendGold once touched the 3,500 mark today, setting a record high, with an intraday increase of more than 2%. Today, gold once started to rise from the early trading low near 3413, reaching the highest level near the 3500 mark. But then the trend suddenly changed, and the European and American markets have been in a correction and retracement. So far, gold has hit a low near 3410, and is currently correcting to maintain a correction near 3430.
From the trend of 3285 to 3500, we can see that 3420-18 is exactly the 61.8% support position of the Fibonacci dividing line.
The upper area near 3450 is currently the moving average suppression position, and there may be a correction here. If gold cannot close above 3450 tonight, then it is estimated that there is a possibility of a fall later. However, once it continues to stand firm at 3450 tonight, it will continue to test 3500 or even a new high. Therefore, for subsequent operations, I suggest that we can rely on 3430-20 to enter the market and do long, and the target is 3450-60.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Silver: Elliott Wave Shows Room For More UpsideSilver made a very strong drop after breaking out of the upward channel at the end of March. This caused a sharp and fast move below 29 dollars where metal is showing some first evidence of a bottom as price recovers back above 32.00.
In fact, this can be the beginning of a new impulse, especially if we consider that on a daily chart market might complete an A-B-C drop back in wave IV. As such, we think there is room for more gains, after retracements which can give an opportunity to join the trend.
Can gold finally cacth silver? What you think?
GH
NASDAQ 100 Elliott Wave Update – Wave (5) in Play?CME_MINI:NQ1!
📊 NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures – Elliott Wave Analysis
🗓️ Weekly Chart – April 2025
The NASDAQ 100 appears to have completed an ABC corrective pattern, marking the end of wave (4). A bullish move toward wave (5) is now projected, with a potential target zone highlighted in yellow:
🎯 Target 1: 32,291 (100% extension)
🎯 Target 2: 38,678 (127% extension)
This zone marks the Fibonacci projection for the fifth wave, based on the Elliott Wave principle. The bullish structure remains valid as long as the key support at 16,551 holds.
🔎 Key things to watch:
Confirmation of a reversal at wave (C) low
Increasing volume on upward moves
Momentum indicators like RSI / MACD
Gold still has short-term adjustments! The fall continues!Analysis of gold news:
Gold prices fell slightly after rising to a record high of $3,500 in the Asian market on Tuesday. Short-term technical overbought prompted bulls to wait and see for the time being. However, rising trade concerns, escalating geopolitical risks and doubts about the independence of the Federal Reserve continue to support safe-haven buying, making the overall trend of gold prices still strong. Recently, Trump pressured the Federal Reserve to weaken the dollar and support non-yielding assets such as gold. He criticized the Federal Reserve for its slow action and failure to cut interest rates in a timely manner, and even threatened to remove it in advance, which aroused the market's high attention to the independence and policy consistency of the Federal Reserve.
Gold technical analysis:
The daily RSI of gold is still above 70, indicating that gold is overheated in the short term and the risk of a correction is rising. The 4-hour MACD has a serious top divergence, and the market may fall and adjust at any time. From a technical perspective, it is difficult to see that the market has such a large room for growth, but in real time, the gold price has risen by nearly 90 US dollars today. This is the current market's emotional rise and fall.
Gold has begun to form an inverted V reversal pattern in the 1 hour. If the gold 1-hour moving average begins to turn, then gold may have a deep adjustment. If the gold daily line cannot close today, it will be a high-level shooting star. If there is no strong risk-averse news for gold, then adjustments are inevitable. Gold is at least volatile in the short term, so don't chase it easily. The US market rebounded under pressure and fell directly near 3450, so gold continued to go short at highs after the US market rebounded below 3450.
Investment strategy: Gold 3446 short, target 3415-3400;
Investment itself is not risky, but out-of-control investment is risky. Don't use your luck to challenge the market. Luck is something, don't expect it a second time if you encounter it once.
Learn to stop loss. Stop loss is more important than stop profit, because at any time, capital preservation is the first priority, and profit is the second priority; the ultimate goal of stop loss is to preserve strength, improve capital utilization and efficiency, and avoid small mistakes from turning into big mistakes, or even leading to the annihilation of the whole army. Stop loss cannot avoid risks, but it can avoid greater unexpected risks, so stop loss skills are something every investor should master. Stop loss is the lifeline of investment. Don't lose more than you gain because of a small loss. Remember one sentence, when you really know how to control risks, you will turn losses into profits.