A temporary drop in gold is logical for an upward moveGold is in an upward trend in higher timeframes, and to form this trend, we need to reach a position where buyers step in. At this moment, a slight pullback in the 15-minute timeframe seems logical, as we are in a small descending channel. OANDA:XAUUSD
Futures market
After gold fell back, the market returned to adjustment
Gold market analysis: Narrow range fluctuations awaiting breakthrough, short-term rebound under pressure in the medium term
Market review
Recently, the volatility of the gold market has narrowed significantly. Yesterday's Asian session volatility was only $15, and the full trading day volatility was $25, hitting a new low in the past six months. The fundamentals have returned to calm, the market lacks a clear driver, and gold has entered a technical adjustment phase.
Technical analysis
Daily structure; a large negative line followed by a small positive cross line, the long-short game intensified, but no clear reversal signal was formed.
Key support: rising trend line since 2614 (2957-3120 extension), June 9 low and 60-day moving average (3292-3295 area).
Key resistance: 3355-3360 area, after breaking through, it may test the 3380-3400 mark.
Viewpoint: Short-term tendency to rebound, medium-term expectations of high-rise and fall, need to pay attention to whether the trend support is broken.
4-hour and hourly chart
4-hour chart: MACD golden cross appears, but the middle track and MA30 suppress (3339-3347), strong resistance 3372 (MA60).
Hourly chart: MACD shrinks, STO falls quickly, short-term or retracement 3328-3322 support, break down to 3316-3311.
Operation strategy
Long opportunity
Aggressive: 3333 light position long, stop loss 3325, target 3340-3350.
Steady: 3320-3318 long, stop loss 3310, target 3330-3350.
After the break: If it falls below 3311, wait for 3294-3287 area long, stop loss 3280, target to be determined.
Short opportunity
3350-3355 short, stop loss 3360, target 3340-3328.
Strong resistance zone: 3367-3370 can be used for secondary short positions, stop loss 3380, target 3350-3330.
Key tips
Intraday watershed: 3311 low point, if it holds, the rebound will continue, if it breaks down, it will turn to oscillation and test the 3290 support.
Medium-term direction: After the rebound, we still need to be vigilant about the risk of high-rise decline, and the 3380-3400 area may be the ideal medium-term short position entry position.
Direction is only upside in XAUUSDGold update:
.simple correction may lead to strong upward move
.correction types uncertain (pullback)
.Upside direction favored
Action:
Hold existing long positions
Buy on dips or corrections
Reminders:
.Market volatility
.Adjust positions according to risk tolerance
XAUUSD H4 IDEAGold market update
Gold is currently trading at a critical support level : 2590-2580
Key insights:
.Gold maintaining support, poised for potential bounce
.Resistance level : 2685 (retest expected)
.Breakdown below support: next support at 2525
Stay tuned!
Monitor gold's price action closely for potential trading opportunities
XAUUSD H4
*H4 Chart*
- Continuous increase leads to low liquidity
- Correction expected to $2,770-$2,756
- Requires sharp H4 candlestick drop with close below support
*Trading Signals*
*Buy Zone*
- $2,656-$2,653
- Stop-loss (SL): $2,649
- Take-profit (TP): $2,659-$2,669
*Note*
- Refer to the attached chart for better market visibility.
XAUUSD M15Gold (XAU/USD) touches fresh highs, retreats to $2,780 (+0.25% intraday)
Key drivers:
- Geopolitical tensions
- US presidential election uncertainty
- Traders await US macro releases for Fed's interest rate clues
*Technical Overview*
*M15 Chart*
- Price holds above trend line and liquidity zone ($2,779)
- Breakdown expected to retest $2,775-$2,770
*H4 Chart*
- Continuous increase leads to low liquidity
- Correction expected to $2,770-$2,756
- Requires sharp H4 candlestick drop with close below support
*Trading Signals*
*Buy Zone*
- $2,656-$2,653
- Stop-loss (SL): $2,649
- Take-profit (TP): $2,659-$2,669
*Note*
- Refer to the attached chart for better market visibility.
Analysis and strategy of gold trend on June 26:
I. Analysis of core contradictions
Focus of long and short game:
Short advantage: geopolitical risk premium fades + hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve
Multiple support: technical oversold (daily RSI 28) + physical buying intervention
Key turning point: Whether 3340 breaks through or not determines the short-term direction
Institutional capital trends:
COMEX large sell orders pile up above 3350 (about 150 million US dollars)
Shanghai gold premium maintains 9-10 US dollars (Asian buying support)
II. Technical essentials analysis
Key chart signals:
4-hour chart: The descending channel is complete (upper rail 3342, lower rail 3288)
1-hour chart: Potential double bottom formed (neckline 3332, volume cooperation)
Daily chart: 5/10-day moving average dead cross angle expands (3326 vs 3349)
Key resistance and support levels:
Resistance level: 3335 (Asian session high) → 3342 (trend line) → 3352 (breakthrough level)
Support level: 3315 (intraday low) → 3295 (weekly low) → 3280 (200-day moving average)
III. Practical trading strategy
Main strategy: trend following trading
Entry trigger: 3342-3345 test short selling (4-hour trend line suppression)
Stop loss setting: 3353 (breakthrough previous high + spread buffer)
Target: 3310 → 3295 → 3280
Auxiliary Support strategy: defensive long position
Trigger condition: bullish engulfing + volume expansion below 3300
Stop loss setting: 3285 (0.5% below the previous low)
Target position: 3320-3330
IV. Risk control matrix
Breakthrough scenario response:
Break above 3352: stop loss short immediately, reverse light position to try long (target 3375)
Break below 3285: chase short position not more than 1% (target 3265)
Operational iron rule:
Strictly follow the 1:2 risk-return ratio
Single loss ≤ 0.5% of account net value
Clear 80% of position before the US market closes
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Bearish Breakout Within Descending ChannelGold continues to respect the descending channel, and price action has now broken below a key structure support, indicating sustained bearish momentum on the daily timeframe.
TP1: 3,330
TP2: 3,298
A clean break and daily close below TP1 could potentially open the door toward TP2. We’ll be monitoring price behavior around these levels for further confirmation.
Bullish breakout for the Gold?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,343.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,296.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,390.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Price Splurge Eyes 3325–30 MitigationGold market splurges through the 3350's, creating momentum that is likely to lure price back to mitigate the 3325–30 zone before initiating the next bullish leg. The structure signals a healthy correction in line with ongoing upward sentiment. follow for more insights ,comment and boost idea
SHORT GOLD✅ TRADE REVIEW SUMMARY
🔎 1. Setup Overview
Market: XAUUSD
Timeframes: Daily (D1) for bias + M15 for entry
Setup Type: Bearish setup with expected SFP (Stop Hunt Fakeout) at key resistance zone
Structure: Market is ranging, price is returning to retest key liquidity zone and previous breakdown.
📍 2. Key Technical Zones
Level Description
3,360–3,375 Liquidity Zone / Potential SFP trap area
3,393 Swing high – SL location if trap confirms
3,295 / 3,245 TP zones – support + volume cluster (POC)
✅ These levels align perfectly with volume profile and previous price reaction — smart trap area.
🔁 3. Plan Structure (According to FX Dream Trading System)
Step Action Reference
1 Wait for price to retest 3,360–3,375 zone Key Volume zone
2 Look for trap candle (SFP/Pinbar/Engulf) on M15 Trap entry logic
3 Entry: Sell after confirmed trap + rejection PA confirmation
4 SL: Above trap candle (or high: ~3,393)
5 TP1: ~3,300, TP2: ~3,245 Liquidity target (R:3 or more)
📉 4. Risk Management
Maximum risk per trade: 1–2% of capital
Minimum RR: 1:3
Accept if SL hits, don’t re-enter same zone unless re-trap happens
Do not enter early — wait after trap candle is confirmed!
Seize the rebound opportunity and prepare to short goldGold continued to rebound as expected and has now extended to above 3340. In the short term, it tends to fluctuate and rise. In the previous trading idea overnight, I emphasized that everyone should not take the risk of shorting gold near 3330. Now it seems that this reminder is completely necessary. Although gold continues to rebound, the overall performance of the bulls is still not strong, and the upper side is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area. So I still advocate that you can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area after the rebound.
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Trading Game of the Day 26-JUNE-2025Trading Plan:-
In reality ,I missed the opportunity 2 times ,may be due to emotion and not vigilant to the chart
But the most important thing that i should make it is the Disciplined with Awareness that play an important role in the market
NOTE:-
put in your mind that there is something wrong in the market
Gold is sideways. Is a new trend brewing?Information summary:
On June 23, Trump announced that Iran and Israel reached a comprehensive ceasefire, but the asymmetric terms of the agreement caused the conflict to continue. Israel launched another air strike on Iran, and Israel threatened to kill Iranian senior officials. The uncertainty of geopolitical risks continues to support gold prices.
Market analysis:
From the 4-hour chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages show signs of upward divergence, and the K-line stands firm on the moving average support and fluctuates upward. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough and decline of the 3350 pressure level. The current market's downward momentum has weakened, and the overall market remains volatile. We need to be wary of the risk of short-term adjustments after continuous surges. Be alert to the short-term adjustment risks after continuous highs.
Operation strategy:
Short near the price rebound of 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range: 3330-3320.