Futures market
"XAUUSD Reversal Setup – Long Opportunity from SupportAs XAUUSD is bouncing off a strong support’ zone of 3245, this is after a bullish rejection candle forming. Looking at the lower time frame of 30 minutes, price looks to have broken a minor bearish structure and aims higher.
If the price holds above 3245, there is a high probability that the price can continue climbing towards the predefined targets. The targets are as follows;
TP1: 3250
TP2: 3255
TP3: 3260
SL: 3232 (below structure)
These targets provide a very good R:R ratio set up whilst maintaining clean structure to the upside unless we see a break at 3232.
The most critical step is to wait for breakout confirmation before closing entry. I am watching this move closely for a scaling long setup with ideal risk parameters.
Gold market analysis referenceThe short-term market is still affected by geopolitical factors, the easing of the Russian-Ukrainian war, and the consensus reached between Trump and China on the tariff war. These factors are all bearish for gold. Gold has fallen rapidly in the short term and continued to fall yesterday. Yesterday's decline was more than one hundred US dollars, which has changed the short-term upward trend. It will still be the main market for bears in the future. The downward trend of gold prices since 3439 is still continuing. If it falls below the previous low, that is, 3200, the decline will be further expanded and will run towards the target of 2909 in our previous analysis. Everyone can pay attention to this. Gold opened low and went low this week, and it rebounded near the previous low. Now at the four-hour level, a downward trend channel is formed from 3500 to 3440. The current support below the gold price is near 3164. This is the condition that it can fall below the previous low of 3200 before it can continue to push down.
Rebound means short, short-term pressure level focuses on the high point of 3265 as the watershed of strength and weakness. Gold failed to stand on 3265 in the short term, which means that the market is still in the rhythm of short-selling. Our layout during the day is also based on 3265. When the rebound reaches the top near the pressure level, we boldly short! In view of the release of CPI data in the US market, the current volatility of gold prices has slowed down, so it is recommended to keep an eye on it first. If the gold price touches 3270 after the release of the US market data, you can start to arrange short orders to look down at the key support position of 3200. After breaking the position, you can continue to look at the lower track of the downward channel analyzed in the morning near 3160. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3265-3270 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3200-3160 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches around 3265-3270 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 10 points, target around 3230-3210, break the position and look at the 3200 line
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3200-3205, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 10 points, target around 3230-3250, break the position and look at 3290
CPI data released, golden day analysis and operation layout🗞News side:
1. CPI data is in line with expectations, short-term positive
📈Technical aspects:
As we wrote in the last post, from the 4H point of view, the oversold is serious, and there is a need for rebound correction in the short term. At present, the fluctuation of gold prices is mainly affected by news. Technical analysis and indicators can only be used as a side analysis guide and reference. Gold bottomed out in the morning and rebounded, and the European market continued to rise above 3250. This means that today is not a very weak bear. At the same time, the daily line touches the 30-day moving average support. There is a high probability of turning positive today. The overall idea is to treat the market as a shock.
Intraday gold operation suggestions:
🎁BUY 3240-3250
🎁TP 3260-3270
Looking further towards the 3277 line
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAU/USD – Things are waiting I’ve been quietly tracking XAU/USD, and something’s been standing out: no new high, no conviction, and no clear follow-through. That’s not weakness — that’s bait. It’s the kind of setup that shakes out the impulsive traders... right before the real move begins.
I’m not interested in chasing this range. The real opportunity — the one that matters — sits lower.
There’s only 2 zones I’m watching: the blue boxes.
That’s where I’ll position. That’s where the real story unfolds.
The market has been hovering just above a liquidity pocket, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a fast sweep, a volume spike, or even a CDV divergence down there. I want to see a reaction — not just a touch. A reclaim. A shift in control. That’s when I act.
This zone isn’t random. It’s built on order flow and inefficiency — where price previously moved too fast, leaving imbalances behind. If we return there with intent, the bounce could be aggressive.
“I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.”
That applies here too. If we never reach the blue box, or if the move back into it lacks confirmation — I don’t touch it. No signal, no entry. That simple.
🧠 If you ignore this zone and price rockets without you — that’s fine. But if it hits the blue box cleanly and you hesitate, that’s on you.
As someone who’s watched this pattern unfold more times than I can count… this is where smart money loads, not where it exits.
Let’s see if we get the dip. If we do, and it reacts the way I expect — this could be the move.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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GOLD Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,242.49.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,415.14 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Will gold fall further after its rebound correction?The short-term market is still affected by geopolitical factors, the easing of the Russian-Ukrainian war, and the consensus reached between Trump and China on the tariff war. These factors are all bearish for gold. Gold has fallen rapidly in the short term and continued to fall last night. Yesterday's decline was more than one hundred US dollars, which has changed the short-term upward trend. It will still be the main market for shorts in the future. For our intraday operations, the direction is very clear. Rebound is short. The short-term pressure level focuses on the high point of 3265 as the watershed between strength and weakness. Gold has not been able to stand on 3265 in the short term, which means that the market is still in the rhythm of short-selling. Our intraday layout is also based on 3265. When the rebound reaches the pressure level and the top pattern appears, we boldly short! In view of the release of CPI data in the US market, the current volatility of gold prices has slowed down. On the whole, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3265-3270 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3200-3160.
CPI DAY XAUUSD CHART FORMATION # TRADE RANGE #SEMS #13-05-2025📌 Trading Framework – Positioning on Pullbacks | Reacting at Resistance
🟢 Rebound Strategy – Buy Zones:
• Entry: $3,215 → $3,190 → $3,165 → $3,135
• Targets: TP1 $3,250 → TP2 $3,265 → TP3 $3,295 → TP4 $3,320
🔴 Downtrend Strategy – Sell Zones:
• Entry: $3,340 → $3,378 → $3,408 → $3,428
• Targets: TP1 $3,310 → TP2 $3,290 → TP3 $3,260 → TP4 $3,230
📊 Technical Snapshot
Indicator Status
D1 SMA 100 ✅ Buy @ $3,050.15
D1 SMA 200 ✅ Buy @ $2,980.78
H4 SMA 100/200 ❌ Sell / ✅ Buy ($3,330 / $3,190)
H1 SMA 100/200 ❌ Sell ($3,310 / $3,325)
RSI (14) ❌ Sell
MACD / ADX / STOCH ❌ Sell / ❌ Sell / ⚖️ Neutral
ATR (14) 🔕 Low Volatility
Overall Sentiment ✅ Buy
📌 Key Guidance
• CPI data may trigger sharp moves—adjust stop-loss & lot sizes
• Watch: Headline CPI (YoY) and Core CPI (MoM) (April release)
• Prior zones have yielded results—levels remain highly actionable
🟡 Conclusion: Stay adaptable. CPI will guide short-term trend. We're ready for breakouts or pullbacks.
⚠️ Risk management is your best strategy—profits follow discipline.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Professional InsightAs of today’s session, Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a sensitive consolidation phase, with short-term sentiment driven by macroeconomic releases and geopolitical developments.
🔻 Support Range Focus: $3,230 – $3,225
This zone holds strategic importance for the following reasons:
Structural Role: $3,230–$3,225 represents a key demand zone tested multiple times during previous intraday lows—validating it as a potential base for a rebound.
Buy Liquidity Zone: Order flow indicates accumulation around this range, suggesting institutional interest in defending this level.
Confluence Factors:
Previous resistance-turned-support
Fib retracement (38.2% from last rally)
H1 bullish divergence forming on RSI below 30
🎯 Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Rebound Scenario
If the $3,225 support holds:
Upside Targets: $3,248 (pivot), $3,267, and $3,289
Watch for confirmation: bullish engulfing candle or breakout on volume from consolidation range
🔴 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
If price breaks below $3,225 with momentum:
Next supports lie at $3,195 and deeper at $3,167
Breakdown could accelerate selling as stop-losses trigger under $3,225
📊 Momentum & Indicators
RSI: Hovering near oversold (H1), suggesting potential for mean reversion
MACD: Flat to slightly negative, showing loss of upward momentum
ATR: Contracting, pointing to a likely breakout scenario ahead
🧠 Strategic Takeaway
"$3,230–$3,225 is the critical decision zone. Stay reactive—not predictive. Look for reaction strength, not just the level itself."
Gold May Drop Further Below the $3,200 Level in the Short TermGold (XAU/USD) faces the risk of a deeper decline if the following factors continue to develop unfavorably for the precious metal:
📌 1. Continued Improvement in US-China Relations
• The joint statement between the US and China has eased trade tensions.
• If both sides announce more concrete agreements or actions (such as tariff reductions or market access), safe-haven demand may weaken significantly, leading to gold sell-offs.
📌 2. Sustained Strength in the US Dollar
• The USD is strengthening on expectations that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for longer.
• Capital continues to flow into the USD rather than gold, especially as US bond yields rise.
📌 3. Lack of Supportive News for Gold
• Geopolitical risk factors have temporarily subsided.
• Inflationary pressure is no longer strong enough to support gold prices as before.
📉 Key Support Levels Ahead
If gold breaks below the $3,200 level, the next potential support zones include:
• $3,185 – a recent short-term low (if applicable)
• $3,160 – $3,170 – a technical support confluence zone
• $3,140 – a strong psychological support level, and a potential target if a sell-off intensifies
⚠️ Recommendation
• If gold decisively breaks below $3,200 with rising volume and continued positive developments in US-China trade, the downtrend could accelerate.
• Traders should monitor the $3,195–$3,200 range closely to assess whether to expand short positions.
USOIL prediction for Tue the 13th of MayApologies about not sharing predictions recently. For today, I can see the USOIL has reached a beautiful supply that has a FVG inside of it. My prediction is that the price might reverse for a short correction. If you are day-trading, that might be a good opportunity.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This idea reflects my personal analysis and bias. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research, apply risk management, and trade only when you have clear confirmation. Protect your capital first.
XAUUSD signal Gold rebounds and trades near $3,260 at the time of writing on Tuesday, recovering from the 2.65% drop the previous day after the US-China trade deal was announced. Traders are starting to get wary about the lack of detail in the announcement, and another flare-up could propel bullion back toward the record high set last month.
Gold now buy 3252
Support 3270
Support 3290
Support 3300
Resistance 3240
Restaurants 3210
USOILUSOIL is in a correction phase. If the price can stay above 61.5, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Gold operation strategyJudging from the current gold trend, pay attention to the 3206-3215 support line on the downside, with a focus on the 3200 support line. Pay attention to the 3260-65 short-term resistance on the upside, and strong resistance near the 3275-3281 level. This position is also the watershed between the strength of bulls and bears. Before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position, the main short rhythm of the pullback will continue to remain unchanged.
XAUUSD-Bearish Setup Within Descending ChannelHello, traders
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a clear descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. Price is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, around a previous support-turned-resistance zone. The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation before entering a short position.
Key observations:
Price has failed to break above resistance and is showing signs of rejection.
A bearish confirmation (e.g., strong bearish candle or lower high) could signal continuation toward the lower boundary of the channel.
The target is around 3151, aligning with the channel's support and a previous demand level.
In summary: the bias is bearish, and traders are advised to wait for confirmation before shorting, with a target near 3151.
TP1: 3,200 – Near recent minor support, useful for partial profit-taking.
TP2: 3,151 – Main target shown on the chart, aligned with the lower boundary of the descending channel and a strong previous support zone.
You could also trail your stop after TP1 to lock in profits if price continues to move lower.