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With the heavy tariff policy coming, will gold rise or fall?On the technical side of gold, the 4-hour chart shows that the short-term moving average of gold is sticking together, and the lower shadows of the K-line appear frequently. The downward momentum is weakening, which may indicate that the technical repair after the sideways shock is expected to usher in a second rise. The hourly chart shows that the price range is tightening, and the technical pattern is gradually adjusted in place. The current upper resistance is 3137-3142, and the lower support is 3111-3107. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 3135-3140 on the rebound, with a stop loss of 3146, and the target is 3115-3100. If it breaks, it will be 3080. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 3082-3077 on the pullback, with a stop loss of 3072, and the target is 3130-3160.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
Gold is rising strongly, is it one step closer to 3200?Gold has risen sharply again, and the current surge has reached the 3167.5 US dollar line! Gold continues to be bullish and long, and there is still room and demand for further increases! It is not easy to operate at present. The resistance is the intraday high, and a small stop loss is needed to be short. In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to mainly short on rebounds and supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3138-3140 is the focus, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3110 is the focus. Strategy reference: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3175-3178 of gold rebound, stop loss 6 points, target near 3155-3145, break to see 3140 line; Strategy 2: Long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3138-3140 of gold pullback, stop loss 6 points, target near 3160-3170, break to see 3180 line;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
1
The last chance for bulls to fight back after the gold crash!After gold rose rapidly, it ushered in a rapid decline. At present, the key support below has moved down to the 3057 line. This is the previous top-bottom conversion level, and it is also the support near the daily 10 moving average. If it does not break here, gold is still in a long correction. After consolidation, it will stand on the 5-day moving average. The line will rise again and hit the previous high. If the level is broken, it will enter the mid-term adjustment. The current lowest market price has touched the first line of 3062, which is closer to the previous high of 3157. We must dare to test near the key support level. Gold is near 3057, and the target is 3100-3105; Strategy: It is recommended to buy around 3057, stop loss at 3050, target at 3100-05-20;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MarjorieMatthew
Analysis of the latest trend of gold surge and plungeAfter a sharp rise, gold fell sharply again, reaching a high of over 3167 and a low of around 3054, with a fluctuation of more than 110 US dollars. Judging from the current trend of gold, there is a high probability of a short-term volatile decline, but the overall trend is still bullish, and the market outlook is still mainly low-long; the upper pressures are 3134, 3145 and 3153, and the near pressure is around 3119. The lower supports are 3085, 3079 and 3060, and the near support is 3096. Suggestion: Wait for it to fall back to around 3080 or slightly below, stop loss at 3070, short-term target around 3130, target around 3140 or higher,
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MarjorieMatthew
Copper Bearish Crab Pattern In 2024, copper prices have exhibited notable fluctuations, driven by macroeconomic trends, industrial demand, and supply constraints. Key Fibonacci retracement levels have played a crucial role in shaping market movements. With the 0% level at $3.96, the 23.6% retracement at $4.11 acted as an initial support, while the 38.2% level at $4.225 provided stronger stability. The 50% retracement at $4.28 served as a key equilibrium zone, with the 61.8% level at $4.361 marking a critical support for potential reversals. According to the harmonic Crab pattern , the 161.8% Fibonacci extension near $5.00 is expected to act as a major resistance. If the price reaches this level, a sharp bearish reversal is likely due to overbought conditions. A rejection at this resistance could drive prices down toward the support zones, completing the harmonic correction phase. However, a breakout above $5.00 could invalidate this scenario and lead to further bullish momentum. If you like this trading idea and want to stay updated with the next one, please give it a thumbs up and follow along! Your support means a lot, and I’m excited to share more insights with you. Let’s embark on this journey together! SEYED.
PEPPERSTONE:COPPER
by SEYED98
Aggressive sell set up🔍 Institutional Liquidity Analysis • Liquidity Zones: • Above: $3,118–$3,120 (weak highs & EQH) • Below: $3,111–$3,108 (liquidity pool & EMA cluster) • Point of Control (POC: $3,114.33) just under current price → suggests price may sweep down before true move • Volume Clusters: Exhaustion at current candle top (weak bullish imbalance). Institutions may be preparing a liquidity sweep soon. ⸻ 📈 Momentum Indicators • RSI (1m): Entering overbought territory → signal for short-term reversal • MACD (15m): Still bearish but trying to cross bullish, early confirmation • VWAP: Price hovering just above VWAP zone, potential for mean reversion • EMA 50 & 200: Tightening up – possible micro-pullback or trap setup ⸻ 📰 News Impact Summary Recent headlines from TradingView suggest: • Gold hit all-time highs but reversed due to Trump Tariff headlines and risk-off shift • Macro tone is now uncertain, with gold reacting to short-term risk sentiment, not long-term dovish Fed policy • Sentiment = Neutral to Bearish, especially after euphoric highs were sold off ⸻ 🛑 Trade Decision: SELL SETUP (High Probability – 75-80%) Price is entering minor supply, and forming equal highs just under $3,118 – classic trap pattern for liquidity sweep. Entry: $3,116.50 – $3,118.00 (watch for rejection wicks or engulfing patterns on 1m) Stop Loss: Above $3,120.50 (above weak high + institutional wick trap) Take Profit Targets: 1. TP1: $3,111.50 → POC retest zone 2. TP2: $3,108.00 → Demand zone base 3. TP3: $3,104.00 → Discount rebalance Risk-Reward: Minimum 3.2:1 R:R ⸻ 🚨 Final Institutional Verdict: 🔴 SELL at Premium! Price is now in a liquidity engineering zone, with high likelihood of pullback toward POC or lower imbalance. Institutions likely to grab liquidity above equal highs, then rotate price lower. ⸻ ⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan • Confirm on 1m with bearish engulfing OR SFP wick • Volume spike + RSI > 70 = trigger for entry • Monitor order book flow and footprint for absorption near $3,116–$3,118 ⸻ WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! Let’s trap the trap! Institutions are hunting liquidity – we hunt with them! SELL NOW and BANK those pips! 💰🔥📉🚨💣💵
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50. The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading. Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions. At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086. Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur
OIL Today's strategyYesterday, after comprehensively studying the market data, I judged that the price of US Oil (USOIL) would enter a downward channel. According to my analysis, the oil price would experience a period of continuous decline. First, it would break through the key demarcation point, and then it was highly likely to consolidate near the previous low level. However, the market trend far exceeded expectations. Yesterday, the price of USOIL did not follow the regular pattern. After we exited the market with profits according to our strategy, it plummeted again and rapidly approached the previous low level. Currently, all aspects of information point in a negative direction. From macroeconomic data to industry internal dynamics, there is nothing that provides favorable support for it. Based on this, I infer that today it is highly probable that the price will fall back to the previous low level. OIL Today's strategy sell@67.5-67 tp:66-65.5 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
TVC:USOIL
by HenryClarke
Tariffs are implemented-good news is all out!US President Trump announced a 10% base tariff on all imported goods and higher tariffs on some major trading partners, which caused shocks in global financial markets. Gold prices once rose to a historical high of around 3167, but technical indicators showed that gold was overbought in the short term, and bulls temporarily chose to take profits, resulting in an avalanche of gold bulls. Multiple institutional positions were obviously fleeing, and retail investors' long positions were liquidated, leading to a large correction in gold on Thursday; although gold fell, it was easy to rebound after encountering key split support, so this is an opportunity to participate. Gold closed March with a strong Yang, recovering the retracement in February while further rising, moving away from the trend line resistance after the breakthrough. The trend of this month also maintains the bullish momentum to continue to strengthen, and is expected to stabilize above the trend line resistance after the breakthrough, suggesting that the market will enter a new bull market space in the future, and will hopefully hit the $3,500 mark target; Gold has currently broken through the trend line pressure linked to the rising trend high point in the past 16 months, and the current trend is also moving further away. The main chart trend moving averages maintain a bullish arrangement without signs of weakening, and the attached chart indicators also maintain bullish signal development, suggesting that it is expected to open up further room for growth; However, the bullish momentum is weakening at present, and there is a retracement to collect the inverted top form. Therefore, if it falls below the resistance of the rising trend channel this week or next week, the market is expected to wait for another retracement to the support of the rising trend channel before climbing again. Investment strategy: Buy gold at 3100, target 3130 Sell gold at 3138, target 3100
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HarveyAckerman
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, as soon as the gold market opened, it rose strongly, and the price soared rapidly, once again hitting a new high of $3,167. After that, the market entered a volatile downward channel. During the noon period, there was even a sharp decline, dropping to $3,054 at one point, with a daily decline of 3.7%. However, the market trend was highly dramatic. Subsequently, the price rebounded and rose rapidly, and it maintained a consolidation trend near $3,110 at the end of the trading session. In this rapidly fluctuating market, both bulls and bears are trying to find the best entry opportunity. But the market changes are too crazy and rapid, and investors are often ruthlessly harvested by the market time and time again before they even have a chance to react. Today, based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, the key support level of $3,100 remains valid. We continue to maintain a bullish view and expect that there is still room for the gold price to rise, and it is likely to continue the upward trend. XAU/USD buy@3100-3110 tp:3130-3140-3150 SL:3085 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
Countdown to the implementation of tariffs - long-short game1. Real-time market and core drivers Core driving factors: Countdown to tariff policy: The 10% base tariff signed by Trump on April 2 will take effect on April 5. Combined with the impact of automobile tariffs (25%) on the global supply chain, market concerns about inflation (expected to rise to 3.5%) and economic recession continue to ferment. The EU has launched a retaliatory tariff plan, which may further boost the safe-haven demand for gold. Geopolitical escalation: The situation in the Middle East continues to be tense. The US military deployed 6 B-2 stealth bombers to the Diego Garcia base and formed a double aircraft carrier strike group in the Red Sea; the Shandong ship of mainland China confronted the USS Carl Vinson in the Taiwan Strait, and the geopolitical risk premium provided support for gold prices. Central bank gold buying wave: Global central banks will net buy 1,045 tons of gold in 2024. SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased to 931.94 tons, a three-year high, indicating that institutional funds continued to inflow. 2. In-depth analysis of technical aspects Trend and structure: Monthly level: After gold price hit a record high of $3167, it formed a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern, and the measured increase pointed to $3200-3300. The Fibonacci extension level shows that $2250/2480/3200 constitutes a golden channel, and it is currently in the third wave of main rise. Daily level: The Bollinger band opening expanded to $120 (upper rail 3175, lower rail 3055), the RSI indicator is overbought (72) but no top divergence has occurred, and the MACD green column continues to expand, indicating strong bullish momentum. Key points: Support level: $3050 (Daily Bollinger band middle rail + Fibonacci retracement level). Resistance level: $3170 (historical high), $3200 (integer mark + weekly RSI critical value). 3. Long-short strategy and risk control Swing trading strategy: Entry: If the gold price breaks through $3170 and then falls back quickly, you can place a short order in the 3160-3150 range, with a target of $3130. Stop loss: $3180 (admit the mistake and leave the market after breaking through the historical high). Win-loss ratio: 4:1. Entry: Relying on the support of $3050, build positions in batches, first position (US$3155) + additional position (US$3165), the total position does not exceed 40%. Target: US$3130 (first stage), US$3150 (second stage). Stop loss: $3,135 4. Institutional views and outlook Goldman Sachs: Raised its gold price forecast for the end of 2025 to $3,300, emphasizing that central bank gold purchases (1,000 tons per year) and the Fed's rate cuts (58% probability in May) are the core driving forces. UBS: Maintains a target price of $3,200, pointing out that gold ETF fund inflows (net inflows of $23 billion in the first quarter) and geopolitical risks (Taiwan Strait, Middle East) will push prices to break through historical highs. Geopolitical risks: After the tariffs take effect on April 5, the EU may initiate retaliatory measures, coupled with the escalation of the situation in the Middle East, and the safe-haven demand for gold may further explode. 5. Key events April 5: Tariffs take effect, pay attention to EU countermeasures; April 7: US non-farm data (forecast to increase by 180,000); April 10: Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EdithTout
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation. 📊 Analysis: ✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. ✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength. ✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure. ✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with . ✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead. 🔮 Potential Scenario: The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level. 📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch: 📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves. 📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels. 📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages. 📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research. 🔗 Tags: #GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Professor_Noah
XAU/USD Analysis - Buy Order Block OpportunityXAU/USD Analysis - Buy Order Block Opportunity 📍 Buy Zone: 3095 (Order Block) 🎯 Final Target: 3150 🛑 Recommended Stop-Loss: 3080 Gold (XAU/USD) continues to show strong bullish momentum with institutional demand driving price action. Currently, the market is consolidating near key levels, and I am closely watching the 3095 zone, which aligns with an institutional order block. ✅ Why Buy at 3095? Institutional demand zone with strong accumulation. Confluence with key support on higher timeframes. Potential bullish rebound towards 3150. 📊 Trading Plan: Enter a long position at 3095. Place a stop-loss below 3080 to manage risk. Take partial profits along the way to 3150. 🔍 Market Watch: A breakdown below 3080 would invalidate this setup. Look for confirmation through price action and volume at this level. What do you think about this analysis? Share your thoughts and let's discuss! 🚀💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CRYPTO_SETUP
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/4/2025Gold was quite mad yesterday. After touched a new ATH of 3167, it quickly dropped more than 1k pips to 3155 and went back another 800pips to 3135. Finally it closed the day above 3110. While in smaller timeframes it showed bearish signals, in 12hrly TF, it is above EMA and daily support of 3105. I will be cautious about trading today as it is NFP today. In short, I will trade breakout today. If 3137 is broken, i will buy towards 3175. If 3105 is broken, I will sell towards 3137.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by SteadyFund
Repricing the Curve – Bonds Lead the ShiftAsset Focus: 5-Year T-Note Futures (ZF1!) Setup Type: Volatility Breakout – Long Continuation Opportunity ⸻ Theme: Repricing the Curve – Bonds Lead the Shift The bond market is signaling a decisive regime transition. With softening macro data, trade war escalation, and growing fears of a policy misstep, the 5-Year T-Note has broken out of a multi-month range. This is not simply a yield trade — it’s a shift in market psychology. Bonds are moving first, front-running a potential pivot in the broader economic narrative. The breakout in ZF1! is not speculative — it’s structural. And while equities continue to lag in response, duration is being bid in size. ⸻ Setup Overview: The 5-Year T-Note has resolved a broad, well-defined base to the upside. The expansion is impulsive, momentum-backed, and likely tied to flow-based repositioning by macro funds and risk parity models. The current move is being driven by a re-rating of growth expectations and increased hedging demand amid policy uncertainty. With the market no longer fixated on “higher for longer,” the path for yields is now asymmetrically lower — and futures are responding accordingly. ⸻ COT & Sentiment Snapshot: • Leveraged funds were positioned defensively — many flat or net short into the move. • A breakout at this stage may initiate a multi-week flow chase from underexposed players. • Commercials likely began paring hedges as yields topped — confirming net buyer pressure. • Sentiment has shifted from complacency to fragility — driven by policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and weak forward-looking indicators. ⸻ Market Structure & Technical Breakdown: • Clean breakout from consolidation — range resolved with urgency and clarity. • No signs of blow-off or overextension — this is a fresh trend, not a climax. • Prior range structure now provides a firm base and validation layer. • Trend is being confirmed by rising momentum, increasing participation, and narrative support. • Absence of resistance clusters above allows for continuation until new macro resistance develops. ⸻ Behavioral Finance Layer: “The fastest markets aren’t driven by greed — they’re driven by fear of being wrong late.” • Most market participants missed the pivot in tone — bonds are reacting faster than risk assets. • Short-term underperformance from duration-sensitive portfolios has created rotational pressure. • Belief in the Fed’s control is eroding — and fixed income is the first responder. • Traders are no longer fading strength — they’re chasing protection. ⸻ Reflexivity Risk Model: • Phase 1: Market dismisses recession risk — stays underweight bonds • Phase 2: Tariffs, macro slowdown, and policy language disrupt narrative • Phase 3: Breakout forces re-entry and chasing of missed exposure • Phase 4: New belief forms — bonds now viewed as strategic asset, not tactical hedge ⸻ Strategic Stance: Maintain a directional long bias. This is a conviction breakout — not noise. With macro volatility rising, trade tensions escalating, and equity markets yet to reflect these risks, 5-Year Notes remain a preferred vehicle for front-running the broader regime shift. Repricing is underway — and fixed income is leading it.
CBOT:ZF1!Long
by pharyeh