Get started

Futures market

Daily Analysis: 13‑05‑2025 Spot gold came under selling pressure following the announcement of a temporary agreement between the United States and China to reduce tariffs, ending yesterday’s session with a 2.7% loss at 3,236. Positive geopolitical developments also contributed to the pressure on the precious metal. Today’s release of U.S. inflation data is expected to cause market volatility, but the downward corrective trend in gold prices may persist. This morning, gold has shown mild buying activity. The levels of 3,285 and 3,325 are considered successive resistance points, while 3,234 and 3,200 are potential support levels in the event of continued decline.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by byyahyagold
USCRUDEOIL - Potential BuyHi Traders, hope this will help your view of the market regarding CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOIL BIAS: BUY Logical Analysis: SELLER gave a big discount from 3rd of April (72.00) till 9th of April (56.00). It was fast and healthy. BUYER agreed to buy at 60.00. Business is on around that 60.00 level. I am bias to buy because i believe the BUYER is in control and want to buy more and the SELLER is not giving a discount because the BUYER is keen to buy high. Technical Analysis: See Chart :) Good Luck!
CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOILLong
by tarati.lorenzo
Gold fell and then rose to $3,250. Next trend?News summary: After two days of negotiations in Geneva, China and the United States announced that they would reduce tariffs on each other in the next three months: the US tariff on Chinese imports would be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China's tariff on US goods would be reduced from 125% to 10%. This news pushed global stock markets up. Boosted by the agreement, market risk appetite has increased, investors' concerns about the US recession have eased, and expectations for the Fed's aggressive rate cuts this year have also declined accordingly, which has pushed the US dollar to continue to strengthen, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has come under pressure. Technical analysis: Gold prices fell below the 21-day moving average on Monday, when the average was at $3,313, further increasing downside risks. The 14-day relative strength index also fell below the midline for the first time since early April, sending a bearish signal. Buyers are trying to regain control of the situation. Traders need to pay attention to the release of US CPI data. I think if the US CPI data is higher than expected, gold prices may start a new round of decline, with the target being $3,145 near the 50-day moving average. The important support level below is $3,100. On the contrary, if the CPI data is lower than expected, gold prices are expected to re-enter the 21-day SMA, which is currently $3,311. Once this resistance is broken, it will test the trend line resistance at $3,430. If it breaks further, the trend will open up space for gold prices to hit the historical high of $3,500.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Scalping and Swing Trading Strategies A Guide to Optimizing on TradingView Scalping and swing trading strategies are two popular trading approaches in Forex, OANDA:XAUUSD gold, and cryptocurrencies, enabling traders to capitalize on price movements for maximum profits. Scalping focuses on short-term trades with small gains, while swing trading targets longer-term trends. This article guides you on implementing these strategies on TradingView using tools like RSI, MACD, and Fibonacci. Let’s dive in to elevate your trading skills! 1. What is Scalping? Scalping is a short-term trading strategy where traders execute multiple trades daily, capitalizing on small price movements (often a few pips). The goal is to accumulate small profits from numerous trades. Timeframe: 1-minute (M1) or 5-minute (M5). Suitable markets: Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD), gold (XAU/USD), or cryptocurrencies (BTC/USD). Requirements: Quick reactions, strict risk management, and appropriate leverage. Example: A scalper might buy EUR/USD when the price touches the lower Bollinger Band on an M5 chart and sell when it reaches the middle band. 2. What is Swing Trading? Swing trading is a medium- to long-term strategy that captures “price swings” within larger trends. Traders hold positions for days to weeks to maximize profits from significant price movements. Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) or daily (D1). Suitable markets: Stocks, Forex, gold, and cryptocurrencies. Requirements: Patience, trend analysis skills, and effective capital management. Example: A swing trader might buy XAU/USD when the price hits the 61.8% Fibonacci level on an H4 chart and hold until it reaches the next resistance. 3. Why Use Scalping and Swing Trading Strategies on TradingView? TradingView offers powerful tools to execute both strategies effectively: Flexible price charts: Supports multiple timeframes and chart types (candlestick, Renko). Technical indicators: RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci, and more. Price alerts: Set notifications for when prices hit support/resistance levels. Pine Script: Customize indicators or automate trading strategies. Tip: Use TradingView’s “Replay” feature to test scalping or swing trading strategies on historical data. 4. Scalping Strategy on TradingView 4.1. Tools and Setup Timeframe: M1 or M5. Indicators: Bollinger Bands (period 20, deviation 2). RSI (period 14, overbought 70, oversold 30). Trading pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, or XAU/USD (due to high liquidity). 4.2. Trading Rules Buy signal: Price touches the lower Bollinger Band. RSI <30 (oversold). Confirmed by a reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., Doji). Sell signal: Price touches the upper Bollinger Band. RSI >70 (overbought). Confirmed by a reversal candlestick. Risk management: Set Stop Loss 5–10 pips below the nearest support. Take Profit at 10–15 pips or when the price hits the middle Bollinger Band. 4.3. Example On an M5 EUR/USD chart, if the price touches the lower Bollinger Band at 1.0850 and RSI <30, enter a buy order. Set Stop Loss at 1.0840 and Take Profit at 1.0865. Exit when the price reaches the middle band. Image illustration: EUR/USD M5 chart with Bollinger Bands and RSI (optimize alt text: “EUR/USD scalping chart TradingView”). 5. Swing Trading Strategy on TradingView 5.1. Tools and Setup Timeframe: H4 or D1. Indicators: Fibonacci Retracement. MACD (12, 26, 9). Moving Averages (MA50, MA200). Trading pairs: XAU/USD, GBP/USD, or BTC/USD. 5.2. Trading Rules Buy signal: Price hits the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci level in an uptrend. MACD crosses above the signal line. Price is above MA50. Sell signal: Price hits the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci level in a downtrend. MACD crosses below the signal line. Price is below MA50. Risk management: Set Stop Loss below the nearest support (20–50 pips, depending on the pair). Take Profit at the next resistance or a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. 5.3. Example On an H4 XAU/USD chart, if the price hits the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $1,950 in an uptrend and MACD confirms a buy signal, enter a buy order. Set Stop Loss at $1,930 and Take Profit at $2,000. Image illustration: XAU/USD H4 chart with Fibonacci and MACD (optimize alt text: “XAU/USD swing trading chart TradingView”). 6. Tips for Applying Scalping and Swing Trading Strategies Combine with fundamental analysis: Economic news (interest rates, NFP reports) can impact prices, especially in Forex and OANDA:XAUUSD gold. Backtest strategies: Use TradingView’s “Replay” mode to test strategies before live trading. Manage emotions: Scalping requires intense focus, while swing trading demands patience. Choose the strategy that suits your personality. Optimize costs: Scalping incurs high spread costs, so choose a broker with low spreads. 7. Conclusion Scalping and swing trading strategies offer profitable opportunities in Forex, OANDA:XAUUSD gold, and cryptocurrencies, depending on your trading style. With TradingView’s powerful tools like Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci, and MACD, you can easily implement these strategies. Try scalping on EUR/USD or swing trading on XAU/USD today and share your results with the TradingView community! Sign up for TradingView to explore more features and optimize your trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Henrybillion
Gold still has room to fallThe current market sentiment is undergoing a significant shift from risk aversion to risk appetite. The easing of trade tensions has greatly boosted market risk appetite, leading to a large-scale outflow of funds from safe-haven assets such as gold. Considering the positive impact of the tariff agreement, gold prices may face further downward pressure. Technical analysis shows that once it falls below the $3,200 mark, the next support level is around $3,150. The further weakening of market risk aversion and the strengthening of the US dollar will continue to suppress gold prices. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross the downward short position, proving that there is still room for gold to go down. Based on the short-term resistance area near 3250, continue to short gold on rallies.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BurgessMurray
NQ Short (05-13-25)The move up from Danger Zone U Turn at KL 16,365 on 4/7 has been sketchy at best. These are better viewed on the NDX Daily chart. Below is YTD NDX, notice the multiple Gap moves up and away from the Danger Zone (16,790 on NDX). Looking back, gaps usually get revisited and when you have 3-4 there is higher probability of a gap fill. The NAZ 30M chart is showing the channel to play as the NAZ just popped to Top after the Sunday gap open and 2am 350 point 25m move. Sunday had a gap and a massive 2am move. NDX chart looks like Swiss Cheese and NAZ (NQ) chart will break down the gap that created the Cheese. It is all Cheesy Price Action.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by MAZing
US Technology Stock Sector. The Underpressured PathThe recent reduction of tariffs under former President Trump's administration, while intended to ease trade tensions, has had several negative impacts on the U.S. technology sector, particularly in 2025. Increased Costs and Supply Chain Disruptions Despite some tariff reductions, the overall tariff environment remains highly volatile and complex. Many tariffs on tech products, especially those involving China, remain elevated-up on Chinese-made smartphones and other electronics. This has significantly increased manufacturing costs for U.S. tech companies reliant on global supply chains, particularly those sourcing components or assembling products in China, Vietnam, and other Asian countries. The tariffs have disrupted supply chains, forcing companies to reconsider production locations and logistics. Many firms are shifting production away from China to countries like India or Vietnam to mitigate tariff impacts, but this transition is costly and slow. Reshoring semiconductor manufacturing to the U.S. is challenging due to high labor costs and lack of skilled workforce, which means higher prices for end products like AI-enabled PCs and servers are expected. Suppressed Consumer Demand and Market Uncertainty Higher tariffs translate to increased retail prices for consumer electronics, reducing demand. For example, smartphone prices have risen, leading to weaker consumer sentiment and slower sales growth. This is particularly harmful in a sector where rapid innovation and high sales volume are critical for profitability and investment in new technologies. The uncertainty caused by fluctuating tariff policies has also led to delayed purchasing decisions by enterprises and consumers. Companies are hesitant to invest in new hardware or AI infrastructure due to unclear future costs and potential further tariff changes. This delay threatens technology roadmaps and weakens the U.S. tech sector's competitiveness globally. Impact on Innovation and Investment Tariffs have broader implications beyond immediate cost increases. By fragmenting markets and increasing operational costs, they reduce incentives for innovation. Companies face pressure to duplicate investments or abandon certain markets, which slows technological progress and reduces the U.S.'s ability to maintain leadership in emerging fields like AI and advanced semiconductors. The increased costs and uncertainty have also dampened investment in U.S. tech infrastructure. Although some companies like TSMC and Apple have announced U.S. manufacturing investments to offset tariff impacts, these efforts are insufficient to counterbalance the negative effects fully. The long lead times and capital intensity of building semiconductor fabs mean that reshoring will not provide a quick fix. Economic and Strategic Risks The tariffs contribute to broader economic risks, including potential recession, inflation, and job losses in the tech sector and related industries. CEOs across sectors have expressed concerns about the tariffs leading to economic downturns, higher prices, and layoffs. The tech sector, being highly globalized and interconnected, is particularly vulnerable to these macroeconomic shocks. Moreover, the tariffs strain U.S.-China relations, a critical factor in global tech supply chains and innovation ecosystems. Retaliatory tariffs from China and other countries further complicate market access for U.S. tech firms, reducing their export opportunities and competitiveness. Conclusion In summary, the recent tariff reductions under Trump's policy have not fully alleviated the negative impacts on the U.S. technology sector. Elevated tariffs continue to raise manufacturing costs, disrupt supply chains, and suppress consumer demand. The resulting uncertainty delays investments and innovation, while economic risks and strained international relations further threaten the sector's growth and global standing. These factors collectively undermine the competitiveness and future prospects of the U.S. tech industry. Technical challenge The main technical graph for US Technology Sector Futures CME_MINI:XAK1! (cost-adjusted modification) still remains under key resistance of 52-week SMA, which indicates on further possible bearish pressure. -- Best wishes @PandorraResearch Team
CME_MINI:XAK1!
by PandorraResearch
Gold rebound shows signs of fatigueGold surprised us at the opening of this week, and opened 50 points lower. Now the opening price of gold is lower than the low point of last week. After paying attention to the rebound and repair, we will continue to arrange the high-altitude ideas. The current high point of gold rebound is 3292, and the gap of the gap is around 3326. Now it is a bit difficult to repair this gap. The news on the weekend is all bad for gold prices, and it may need later data or good news to help. Keep watching the continuation of the C wave. The US market will usher in CPI data, so the main analysis is still in the short-term aspect. Yesterday, the gold price fell unilaterally and almost 100 points, and stopped falling and rebounded at the previous low. In view of the release of CPI data in the US market, the current volatility of gold prices has slowed down, so it is recommended to keep an eye on it first. If the gold price touches 3280 after the release of the US market data, you can start to arrange short orders to look down at the key support position of 3200. After breaking the position, you can continue to look at the lower track of the downward channel analyzed in the morning, around 3150.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KittyBaldwin
Crude Oil BearishRecently, the daily line of crude oil has begun to fluctuate repeatedly. The amplitude may show that it has the possibility of building a big bottom. Yesterday, the daily line closed with a big tombstone. The long and short positions were under great pressure and there was a technical retracement. Today, we consider rebounding to around 63.00 first and then shorting it. Crude oil still needs to fall. 64.00-65.30 are all super suppressed. This position must be broken, and it will experience several waves of back and forth and washing. We have always maintained a bearish long-term trend and a short-term shock approach.
TVC:UKOILShort
by DonRobbins
How to deal with the increased volatility of gold?The support level of 3220 USD/ounce should be paid attention to for long orders. For the sake of stability, it is advisable to observe whether 3200 USD/ounce is effectively broken before deciding whether to continue to go long. The gains and losses of 3280 USD/ounce should be paid attention to. From the 30-minute chart of gold, it is currently reminded that there is still downward pressure on the market today and 3200 will serve as the neckline of the M head. The point is 3265-3270 for shorting, and the stop loss is 3278. The target below is 3240-3220. If it falls below, the support of 3220-3200 neckline will be seen. If it falls below, the space below will open up and the market will start a band-like decline process.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by BlairClara
1
Gold Price Analysis Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease🔥 Gold Price Analysis: Major Pullback as Geopolitical Tensions Ease Technical Analysis Overview: Yesterday's sharp decline in gold prices suggests a temporary de-escalation in geopolitical tensions, particularly in terms of the ongoing conflicts and political uncertainties. The global situation seems to be calming down, which has had a significant impact on the market. From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend seems to be rational, though nothing is set in stone. Key negotiations are still underway, and important agreements may still be signed. After the sharp fall, gold has found some recovery, especially as it returns to liquidity gaps to fill. Current Viewpoint: At this stage, I am still expecting a retracement in gold prices, which will present better selling opportunities. While yesterday’s outlook focused on selling, we successfully identified key levels for buying. Today, selling opportunities seem more favorable than buying. We need a pullback to fill the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and yesterday’s gap, after which gold may undergo another significant adjustment. The political dynamics, along with potential delays in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, could push gold back to $3000 per ounce. If this happens, the rise in gold prices would be easy to foresee. Short-Term Strategy: In the short term, we will continue following the market’s wave of corrections. Short positions may be more sustainable, and holding onto them could prove more beneficial in the current environment. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 3264 – 3278 – 3307 – 3328 Support Levels: 3241 – 3207 – 3196 – 3172 – 3156 Buy Opportunities: Scalp Buy Zone: 3196 – 3164 SL: 3190 TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220 Buy Zone: 3158 – 3156 SL: 3152 TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190 Sell Opportunities: Scalp Sell Zone: 3278 – 3280 SL: 3284 TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240 Sell Zone: 3328 – 3330 SL: 3334 TP: 3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3312 – 3308 – 3300 – 3290 – 3280 Upcoming Key News: In the US session, we are expecting the release of CPI data for this period. As this is a crucial data point for the month, traders should pay attention. Currently, there is not enough information to analyze the CPI in-depth, so I will update you on the developments at the end of the European session, as we head into the US market. Important Notes: Ensure that you manage risk effectively and stick to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account. We are still in a volatile period, and as always, caution is key when navigating these types of market conditions. Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD SELLING |my CPI analysis CAPITALCOM:GOLD Today US dollar CPI News event Gold pair analysis for today 13 May 2025 Pattern: Gold reached 3437 and then gold started to fall. Gold fell from 3437 to 3206. I see further decline. Gold has created liquidity from the upper side 2 times and on the other hand (RSI) RSI is at 51. , which shows the downward momentum. Overall gold price is expected to continue to fall. we consider selling. Gold Sell Entry: 3254 TP: 3232 TP: 3206 TP: 3180 SL: 3283
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by HamandMagic