NQ Range (05-12-25)Looks like it is "Rig in May and go Away". New range to watch would be the white arrow zone between the two orange TL's. The Channel below is a 2 standard deviation, NAZ should return to 19,750-18,750 at some point to retest. Looking for 21,256 to be next upper target for reaction. Flat NAZ YTD may do what, Run up 10-20%? or drop retest lower? Pick one. O/N group and Washington Street are very much in control here.
Futures market
Gold is losing its shine as the US and China move closerGold price (XAU/USD) has dropped below $3,300 and is now trading around $3,275 in the Asian session on Monday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar and optimism from US-China trade talks. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of negotiations in Switzerland, reducing safe-haven demand for gold. However, ongoing trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions may still provide some support. While military activity between India and Pakistan has eased following a ceasefire, the risk of conflict remains.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario:
This week, gold (XAU/USD) may continue to face downward pressure due to positive expectations surrounding the US-China trade process, which reduces demand for safe-haven assets. If the US releases more favorable trade details, risk sentiment could improve, causing capital to flow out of gold. A stronger US Dollar also adds pressure to the metal.
🧭 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• If the price rebounds to the $3,275–$3,300 zone but fails to break through, consider shorting with targets at $3,240 or $3,200.
• Conversely, if the price breaks above $3,300, wait for confirmation to open a long position.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone: $3,275 – $3,295
• TP1: $3,240
• TP2: $3,200
🚨 SL: $3,310
BUY XAU/USD Zone: $3,305 – $3,315
• TP1: $3,325
• TP2: $3,350
🚨 SL: $3,290
Gold Market Update: Bears will target 3150 USD🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📉 Gold Drops: Prices dip as risk appetite grows and profit-taking kicks in.
🤝 U.S.-China Deal: 90-day tariff pause boosts USD, pressures gold.
📊 Tech Watch: Key support levels eyed by traders for entry points.
🔮 EUROTLX:4K Forecast?: Analysts still see path to $4,000 amid uncertainty.
⚠️ Recession Signal: Oil-gold gap hints at slowdown—bullish for gold.
🏠 Investment Shift: Gold now 2nd-best long-term U.S. investment (after real estate).
🌍 BRICS Buying: Emerging nations hoard gold to ditch dollar.
🛡️ $3,200 Holds: Gold maintains key support despite volatility.
📈 JP Morgan Bullish: EUROTLX:4K gold possible even with growth.
💰 Live Price: Gold at $3,253.40 (+0.52%) today.
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️pullback in progress still
▪️3300 USD cleared by the BEARS
▪️market gapped down at open
▪️3300 is heavy resistance for now
▪️Compression on lower timeframes
▪️Flag on Flag Bearish pattern
▪️short-term expecting more losses
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Short Sell Rips/Rallies
▪️TP Bears 3150 USD
Gold will most likely break below 3202, just follow the trendThe general trend of gold, affected by the weekend Sino-US trade negotiations, opened low and fell to 3265 in the Asian session this week, and the European session will maintain a bearish mindset in the future. The target for this trading day is 3260-3202;
The Asian session continued to fall to 3208, and is now reported at 3228. The US session continues to see a parallel attack and defense break below 3202; short-term resistance is 3234, and strong resistance is 3240-3250; short-term support is 3216-3208, and strong support is 3202. If it falls below, it is believed that it will fall to 3180 to 3168;
In terms of operation, it is recommended to follow the rebound and sell short;
Sell near 3234, target 3202; continue to hold if it breaks; (Specific pre-market tips)
Gold Trade Plan 12/05/2025Dear Traders,
Gold Started Correction and opened with Negative Gap Today
i Expect price will be bounce off from 3202-3220 to 3270 Area ,
Above 3270 --->3300-3330-3400
Below 3270---> My final Target 3160-3080
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
"Gold’s Golden Opportunity: Riding the Uptrend with Confidence"The gold chart shows that the main trend is upward, with strong support levels at $3,000 and $2,945, and resistance levels at $3,400 and $3,500. The chance of a rise (65%) is higher than a drop (35%), especially if the support levels hold and positive news (like lower inflation) continues. My strategy is to buy at the $3,000 support, aiming for $3,500, with a stop-loss below $2,945. In my journal, I’ll note to stay patient and avoid getting emotional, as I see gold’s long-term value, just like Warren Buffett.
For you: If you’re a beginner, start with a small amount (e.g., 1% of your capital) at the $3,000 support and set a stop-loss. This is my personal opinion—do your own research! 😊
XAUUSD sell signal Gold opened the week under pronounced selling pressure, with princes slipping back to the $3,200 mark per troy ounce. The decline was largely attributed to a broad improvement in risk sentiment following news that the US and China had reached an agreement to substantially reduce and temporarily suspend reciprocal tariffs.
XAUUSD signal sell 3238
Support 3214
Support 3194
Support 3176
Resistance 3275
Gold: Will rise again after retesting support🎉 Congratulations to everyone who followed the signal and locked in solid profits!
The price moved as expected — long positions hit target smoothly.
📌 Key Range to Watch Next:
Support: around 3246-3238
Resistance: around 3278-3286
✅ Consider trading within this range for short-term opportunities. Use a buy low, sell high strategy unless a breakout or breakdown occurs.
Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on 1H.This chart is an analysis of the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown:
Key Zones and Levels:
Entry Zone (highlighted in orange and red):
This is the area where the trader expects price to pull back before continuing downward.
It's marked as a potential sell zone or resistance area.
The Stop Loss (SL) at $3,301.500.
Target Level:
The expected move is bearish (downtrend).
Arrows indicate a move down toward the Take Profit (TP) target at around $3,203.000.
Trade Idea:
Type: Sell/Short
Plan:
Wait for price to enter the Entry Zone.
Enter a short trade within this zone.
Place Stop Loss above the zone at $3,301.500.
Target a move down to $3,203.000.
Bullish Continuation Above $3300Hello, traders
GOLD has gone through a deep retracement in a very strong bullish trend! Currently price is trading below the resistance zone marked on the chart.
If GOLD regains and sustains the $3300 mark we are very likely to retest or even put in a new all time high!
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/13/2025Gold has broken 3270 support and went down all the way to 3208 yesterday. With current strong bearish momentum, I will be very cautious in buying. Therefore, I am looking for selling opportunities from either 3270 resistance or broken of 3200, targeting 3165.
However, if 3270 is broken, the above setup is invalidated. We may have bulls regain its momentum.
GOLD TRADE IDEA – XAUUSD 15-Min Chart | Sell SetupGold Spot (XAUUSD) is presenting a short (sell) opportunity on the 15-minute chart. The suggested sell zone is between 3235–3238, with multiple take-profit targets and a clear stop-loss:
Sell Entry: 3235 / 3238
TP 1: 3232
TP 2: 3228
TP 3: 3225
TP 4: 3222
TP 5: 3215
Stop-Loss (SL): 3245
This setup is based on price rejection from resistance and potential downward continuation toward the highlighted support zone. Always manage risk accordingly.
Gold's short-term rebound is weakAt the daily level, the Bollinger Bands are closing and flattening, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average are entangled near the middle track. The current price is running below the middle track, and the 5-day moving average has turned downward. The technical side shows that the current gold price is fluctuating and bearish, and the MACD has crossed at a high level. The red column continues to shrink. Intraday operations should focus on high-altitude thinking. Pay attention to the 10-day moving average and the middle track 3250-60 area resistance on the top, and pay attention to the support near the lower track of US$3200 on the bottom.
At the 4-hour level, the current downward trend of shock is more obvious, and the shape is a step-down. Ma5 and Ma10 are glued together and cross below 66ma. MACD death cross is combined with green column volume, and the overall idea of falling back and adjusting is maintained. The 1-hour moving average is still a downward short arrangement. After gold jumped down and opened, there is a large gap. Gold rebounded weakly and continued to fall. It will be difficult to cover the losses in the short term, and it will be covered in the process of roundabouts in the future market.
XAUUSD IS RECOMMENDED TO BE SOLDHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 15 - Minutes
Pattern: Resistance Level
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 3247
Resistance zone : 3254
Target Will Be : 3220
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets.
Technical aspects:
The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220
2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220;
3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
Gold Technicals & Potential Fundamental OutlooksPrice action shows gold respecting a key horizontal support zone around $3,215–$3,225, where multiple previous rejections have occurred. The latest candlesticks reveal long wicks to the downside and rejection from that area, indicating strong buyer interest and potential accumulation. Volume is increasing, which reinforces the credibility of this support.
The structure points to a potential reversal setup as the market creates a base and shows early signs of higher lows. If price breaks and closes above the minor resistance around $3,245–$3,255, bullish momentum may follow, targeting the next swing highs near $3,300–$3,340.
A clean invalidation for this bullish bias would be a breakdown below the $3,215 support zone with strong volume.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: $3,215–$3,225 (major support zone)
Resistance: $3,255 (minor), then $3,300–$3,340
Bias: Bullish above $3,255, cautious below $3,215
Some USD-impacting events for today include:
U.S. CPI or PPI data – Inflation readings can influence Fed rate expectations, affecting gold.
Fed speeches – Any hawkish/dovish signals from Federal Reserve officials will shift sentiment.
Retail Sales or Consumer Sentiment (UoM) – Strong numbers might boost the dollar and pressure gold, while weak ones can do the opposite.
Continuation sell off or Potential reversal? BUY/SELL MUST WETechnical Context (1H Chart Analysis):
Market structure is currently bearish on the 1H, with lower highs and lower lows.
Price is forming a potential short-term bottom near $3,220–$3,225, with some sideways consolidation, possibly a base for a bounce.
A key level to watch is the previous breakdown level around $3,260, which could act as resistance.
Trade Idea: Short-Term Buy (Intraday Bounce)
📥 Entry (Buy Market/Limit):
$3,225 (current consolidation zone)
🛑 Stop Loss:
$3,208 (below the recent low and liquidity sweep zone)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,248 (minor intraday resistance)
TP2: $3,260 (previous structure support turned resistance)
📊 Risk:Reward:
Risk: 17 points
Reward: 23–35 points
R:R Ratio: ~1.35 to 2.0
📉 Alternate Trade (If Price Rejects and Breaks Lower)
If we see a strong bearish candle close below $3,208, consider:
🔻 Sell Entry: $3,205
SL: $3,230
TP: $3,160 (clean support zone + high-volume node)
📏 Position Sizing Example:
For a $10,000 account risking 1% ($100), with 1 point = $1 per 0.01 lot:
Stop: 17 points → $100 / 17 = ~$5.88 per point → ~0.06 lots