Gold Approaching Key Retest Zone – Watching for Pullback to 3274Gold (XAUUSD) is slowly climbing back toward our previously broken structure around 3344, which we identified as a key retest zone. I’ll be looking for rejections here to confirm a short-term pullback before a continuation of the broader bullish trend.
What I’m Watching:
🔻 Short-term sells from 3344 to 3274
✅ HRHR Buys: From 3274 if we form support there
✅ Safe Buys: Break above 3380
✅ Safest Buys: Above 3428
The broader trend remains bullish on higher timeframes, but without a solid break of 3380+, we may still see that healthy correction.
Futures market
Gold fluctuated slightly, retreating to low-multiple operations
📌 Gold news
During the North American trading session on Wednesday, gold prices remained stable, rising by more than 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data may prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to take action in the future. However, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's continued tough stance has limited further upside for gold.
📊Comment analysis
Gold fluctuated in a small range yesterday, and the daily line closed with a positive cross star.
Daily support is around 3327-3324, and you can go long if you touch it.
Daily resistance is around 3368, and you can go short if you touch it.
If the market goes down to yesterday's low, the bottom continues to look near this week's low, and I am more inclined to be bullish
💰Gold operation strategy
If gold is close to 3327, you can go long, with a target of 3345.
Look for opportunities to short around 3350-3360, with a target around 3330.
I hope Labaron's article can help you with your investment. If you don't understand something, you can find me. I am not only a mentor, but also a friend worth making in your life.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Is Gold Ready to Rally, Elliott Wave 5 at Key Trending SupportGold is sitting right at a critical ascending trendline support—this could be the make-or-break level between wave continuation and deeper retracement.
I have identified this as the potential end of sub-wave 2 of the final Wave 5. This makes the current support zone a high-probability long entry—as long as it holds.
📈 Bullish Scenario: Sub-wave 3 Kickoff
If support holds, we likely begin Wave 3 of 5, which is typically the strongest and fastest-moving wave.
Look for:
Breakout above the previous minor high to confirm impulse.
Increasing momentum / bullish RSI divergence.
Volume confirmation, if available.
Target: A move past recent highs, potentially up toward $2,475–$2,500, depending on wave length projections.
📉 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown to Fib Retracements
If the trendline breaks decisively:
Expect a retest of the 0.5 to 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the previous major swing low to the recent high.
This would align with Wave 2 or a complex correction structure.
Key Support Zones:
0.5 Fib ≈ ~$2,285
0.618 Fib ≈ ~$2,250
Watch for price action behavior and wick rejections in that area—those will give you clues for a potential bullish reversal.
🌐 Fundamental + Intermarket Thoughts
You're thinking very well here with capital rotation logic:
S&P 500 (ES) is likely in a Wave 5: If true, a correction in equities could free up capital and drive risk-off inflows into gold.
Two likely macro triggers:
ES reversal after ATH retest → Hedges start shifting to gold.
Immediate correction in ES → Faster rotation into safe havens like gold.
Watch the DXY and 10Y yields—if they weaken, that could also fuel gold's breakout.
My trading plan:
Long Entry - Price holds support and starts bouncing with strength Below trendline (tight SL ~$2,300) ~$2,475–$2,500
Wait/Short Bias - Trendline breaks cleanly, closes below on 4H/Daily — Look for long setup at $2,285–$2,250 zone
Gold rebound is blocked and high-altitude strategy continuesGold continued its bullish correction yesterday, reaching 3336 in the European session, and continued to retreat in the US session, reaching a low of around 3312 before temporarily stopping, and started a second pullback correction, and finally closed around 3332. Today, it opened at 3333, rebounded to 3340, and then entered a shock consolidation. Currently, the upper side focuses on the suppression of the 3342-3350 area. If the price cannot effectively break through and stand firm in this area, gold still has room for further retracement. In terms of operation, it will continue to rely on this suppression range to maintain a high-altitude thinking during the day, and follow the trend to see a decline. The recent market trends are basically the same, bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of strategy, keep a sense of rhythm and mainly short at highs.For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the notification at the bottom🌐.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youFirst, geopolitical dynamics significantly impact gold prices. When Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, tensions in the Middle East eased substantially, causing a rapid cooling of market risk aversion. As gold has long been a favored safe-haven asset, reduced market panic directly diminished demand for gold, triggering price declines. However, the Middle East situation remains highly volatile, and the ceasefire's sustainability is uncertain. If conflicts resume, risk aversion will surge, likely driving gold prices higher.
Secondly, Federal Reserve policy trends cannot be overlooked. Fed officials have signaled hawkishness, implying only two rate cuts totaling 50 basis points in 2025—some members even doubt any cuts will occur. This stance pushed the U.S. Dollar Index above 99.6. Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a stronger dollar exerts downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, prompting investors to favor interest-yielding assets over gold, further prices.
Technically, gold’s breakdown below the key $3,360 support level triggered stop-loss orders in programmatic trading, leading to a "long liquidation cascade" as panic selling accelerated declines. However, after consecutive drops, stabilizing signals have emerged at key levels. For instance, the daily chart shows critical psychological and technical support near $3,300. The 4-hour chart features a long lower shadow from a recent low and three consecutive green candles, indicating buying support at lower levels.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD sell@3350~3340
SL:3360
TP:3330~3320
USOIL: Bullish Correction Ahead! Buy!
USOIL
- Classic bullish correction formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry Level - 65.16
Sl - 62.68
Tp - 68.86
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Escalating U.S. Debt Crisis Coupled with Weaker U.S. DollarPowell Unleashes Rare Dovish Signal, Gold Rebounds to $3,330
In yesterday's speech, Powell remarkably signaled policy easing, explicitly stating the Fed "will take appropriate actions to sustain economic expansion," driving gold's short-term rebound to the $3,330 threshold. Technically, gold is now locked in a strong consolidation range of $3,300–$3,350, with the Bollinger Bands midline at $3,325 emerging as the focal point of long-short battles.
The U.S. Dollar Index hit a new low today, while the U.S. debt crisis is set to raise the borrowing ceiling again—both tailwinds for gold's upward momentum.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
- Short at Resistance: Enter light short positions between $3,345–$3,350, set stop-loss at $3,360, and target a pullback to $3,320.
- Long at Support: Initiate staggered long positions in the $3,310–$3,300 support zone, set stop-loss at $3,290, and target a rally to $3,340–$3,345.
- Volatility Trading: Exploit range-bound movements around the $3,330 midline, aiming for 8–12 dollar profits per trade.
Market Note: With the dollar weakening and debt ceiling tensions resurfacing, gold's safe-haven appeal is reinforced. Maintain position sizes below 5% and strictly enforce $15 stop-loss orders to navigate news-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold potential selling opportunity Yesterday, gold fulfilled our expectations and provided a buying opportunity. Currently, gold's growth appears capped as investors await further US economic data to inform their decisions. With market uncertainty persisting, sentiment remains mixed. As a result, gold may continue to trade within the range of $3,340 and $3,300. A potential shorting opportunity might arise below $3,322 if gold reaches for liquidity above $3,347.
XAU/USD – Smart Money Building Toward $3360? |26 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) is pushing into fresh highs around $3337, and we may be approaching a key inflection point. But beneath the surface of candles and wicks lies the real story — one written by liquidity, displacement, and smart money positioning.
This outlook breaks down gold’s price action using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), price structure, and Fibonacci confluence, to help identify the most probable high-value trade zones for both swing and intraday traders.
4H Outlook – Institutional Flow & Structure
Market Structure
Gold recently broke above the $3310–$3320 resistance, confirming a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). This keeps the market in a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, validating continued bullish pressure.
Smart Money Insights
BOS: Clean break above $3320 signals strength.
CHoCH: None yet — trend remains bullish.
Liquidity Sweep: Sell stops below $3295 have already been taken.
Buy-Side Liquidity: Sits above $3350 — price may gravitate there next.
FVG: Unfilled Fair Value Gap between $3314–$3322 — possible retracement zone.
Bullish OB: Identified between $3300–$3310, aligned with FVG and BOS level.
Equilibrium: Using $3275 (swing low) and $3342 (swing high), the midpoint sits near $3308, acting as fair re-entry value.
Key Zones
Buy Zone (Demand): $3295–$3310 — OB + FVG + Fib confluence.
Sell Zone (Supply): $3350–$3360 — next likely liquidity target.
Bias Summary
As long as price remains above $3295, the bullish structure stays valid. Watch for a retracement into $3308–$3316 for potential continuation toward $3350–$3360. Price may briefly dip below $3310 to trigger liquidity before moving higher.
1H View – Precision Entries
Structure
Following the high at $3342, price has pulled back slightly and is forming what appears to be a bullish flag — often a continuation pattern.
Smart Money Zones (1H)
FVG: $3315–$3322 — potential short-term reaction zone.
Order Block: $3305–$3312 — 1H bullish OB aligned with 4H bias.
Sell-side Liquidity: Swept at $3295 earlier this week — supports continuation.
Trade Setups
Long Setup #1 – Optimal Entry
Entry: $3308–$3315
Stop: Below $3295
TP: $3342 (partial), $3350–$3360 (full)
Why: Strong zone combining FVG, OB, and Fib support.
Long Setup #2 – Aggressive Entry
Entry: $3316–$3320
Stop: $3300
TP: $3340–$3350
Why: Quicker entry inside the imbalance — riskier but valid.
Short Setup – Countertrend (Low Conviction)
Only valid on a clear break below $3310 + CHoCH
Entry: Below $3310 (confirmed)
Target: $3295
Note: Lower confidence unless 1H structure turns bearish.
Final Notes
The bias remains bullish above $3301–$3308. This is a high-probability area to look for long setups on retracement. Avoid shorts unless we see a confirmed structural shift with a CHoCH and OB breakdown.
Expect the market to potentially hunt stops below $3310, then aim for liquidity sitting above $3350–$3360.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 26, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, our previous plan anticipated price movement within green wave 3. However, the current price action lacks the sharp, impulsive characteristics typically seen in wave 3. Instead, the overlapping structure of minor waves suggests that we may not be in wave 3. This leads us to consider two primary scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 – abc Correction (black):
Price may be forming wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping nature of recent price moves, it is likely that wave c is developing as an ending diagonal (wedge).
➡️ Confirmation signal: A sharp, steep decline that breaks below the 3297 level would signal that wave c has completed.
🎯 Target zone for wave c: 3352 – 3356
🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal in Wave 1:
The overlapping price structure could also be forming a leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) as wave 1. In this case, price is currently in wave 3 or 4 of this formation.
➡️ Once wave 1 completes, we expect a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the entire wave 1 – forming wave 2.
🎯 Target zone for the end of wave 1: 3352 – 3356
📉 Momentum Analysis
Momentum plays a crucial role in determining which wave structure is unfolding.
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning upward from the oversold zone – indicating that the downtrend may be ending. This supports the scenario of a leading diagonal wave 1 and suggests we may see a sustained bullish move over the next 5 days.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse downward from the overbought zone. This is a key signal to monitor today, especially during tonight’s news events.
If price continues to move sideways within a wedge, it would support the leading diagonal scenario.
If price breaks down sharply, it would favor the abc correction scenario.
🧭 Trade Plan
🔻 Sell Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3362
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3333
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3323
📌 The market’s behavior during the U.S. session tonight will be critical in confirming the wave structure. Stay alert and ready to adjust the trade plan accordingly.
XAUUSDGold (XAU/USD) has shown bullish momentum, maintaining higher lows and holding above a significant support zone around 3333. A clean breakout above 3335 with sustained volume suggests further upside potential, targeting resistance levels at 3345 and beyond. Risk-reward ratio remains favorable if price action sustaiXAU/USD Trade Analysis – Buy Setup
📌 Trade Idea: Long position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Bias: Bullish continuation after price action confirmation near support
🔹 Entry Zone:
3337 – 3333 (Ideal buy range within key support zone)
🔹 Stop Loss:
3323.00 (Placed below key support/structure to manage risk)
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 3345
🎯 TP2: 3350
🎯 TP3: 3355
ns above the 3333 zone.
Gold continues to fluctuate. Waiting for a trend?Today, gold has been suppressed below the high of 3345, and the hourly line tends to be weak. Looking at the number of Yin and Yang lines on the hourly line during the fluctuation, we can see that the typical Yin line is continuous and the Yang line is few, plus the weak suppression of the previous day, from the rhythm point of view, it is a weak signal.
From the hourly chart, around 3312, this is the 0.618 position of the retracement of the 3295-3337 fluctuation range. The decline is slow during the day, and the 0.618 position has become a support rebound.
And the current trend, like the previous day, may continue to rebound and then fall. At the same time, there was no cyclical decline in the early Asian session. Instead, it fluctuated sideways, bottomed out and rebounded, and then continued to return to the high of the previous day.
Judging from the current market situation, the Asian market bottomed out and rebounded in the morning, reaching a high of around 3343, and then began to fall back, and is currently fluctuating around 3335.
The trend of the European session is very critical, and the focus is on the watershed below 3328. If this position falls below, the price will most likely continue to fall.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3320-3310.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/26/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22488.25
- PR Low: 22450.25
- NZ Spread: 85.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
GDP
Durable Goods Orders
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 6/26)
- Session Open ATR: 358.17
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GOLD recovers from around $3,300 area, short-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered slightly and is currently trading around $3,332/oz, supported by a decline in the US dollar and US bond yields. The market is closely watching the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY is near a one-week low, making dollar-priced gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is holding near its lowest in more than a month.
As the conflict between Israel and Iran ends, geopolitical risk levels have disappeared, safe-haven funds have flowed back and thus gold is under pressure.
From a more macro perspective, gold remains in an uptrend and real yields are expected to fall further amid continued Fed easing. In the short term, if the market reprices rate cut expectations to become hawkish, this could trigger a technical correction in gold.
Economic data in the coming months will be particularly important for the gold market. If inflation data remains weak or the labor market deteriorates further, Fed officials could cut rates sooner or more significantly than expected.
A ceasefire between Iran and Israel brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to have taken effect on Wednesday, a day after both countries signaled a temporary end to their conflicting air strikes.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in June, reflecting growing concerns among households about job prospects and another sign of a weakening labor market amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress on Tuesday that higher tariffs could start to push up inflation this summer, a key period when the Fed considers whether to cut interest rates.
Traders of federal funds futures are currently pricing in a cumulative 60 basis points of rate cuts through 2025, with the first cut likely to come in September.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered slightly after testing the important support area noted by readers in yesterday's edition, around the raw price point of $3,300. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21 moving average, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can also be considered as upside targets for the time being.
In terms of overall structure, gold is still in an uptrend with the price channel as the main trend. On the other hand, RSI is also hovering around 50, indicating that the market sentiment is still hesitant and does not have enough momentum for a complete trend.
Intraday, gold still has a bullish technical outlook, but a sell-off that takes gold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bearish signal in the near term. Therefore, long positions should be opened near the $3,300 area, with protective levels behind the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,320 – $3,300 – $3,292
Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3297
→Take Profit 1 3309
↨
→Take Profit 2 3315
This chart suggests a bullish bias in the medium term. This is a 1-hour candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) . The chart includes various Smart Money Concepts (SMC) annotations used by traders to anticipate price movements. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest:
---
### **Key Annotations & Zones:**
1. **CHoCH (Change of Character)**
* Located near the center of the chart around the 3,335–3,340 zone.
* Indicates a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
2. **FVG (Fair Value Gap)**
* Same region as the CHoCH zone (3,335–3,345).
* A price imbalance where price might revisit before continuing upward.
3. **SSL (Sell-side Liquidity)**
* Highlighted below the current price (around 3,310).
* Denotes liquidity below a previous low where stop-losses from long positions may reside.
* Price could dip here to grab liquidity before heading higher.
4. **BSL (Buy-side Liquidity)**
* Marked near the top (around 3,395–3,400).
* A target area where stop-losses from short positions or breakout buy orders may reside.
---
### **Price Forecast Path (Dashed Arrows):**
* The forecast suggests a **short-term dip** into the **SSL zone**.
* Followed by a **strong bullish move**, possibly triggered after a liquidity sweep.
* The price is expected to return to the **FVG zone**, consolidate, and then push up toward the **BSL zone** at \~3,400.
---
### **Overall Interpretation:**
This chart suggests a bullish bias in the medium term. The trader anticipates:
* A brief decline to gather sell-side liquidity.
* A rally fueled by a CHoCH and FVG retest.
* An ultimate aim to target buy-side liquidity above the recent highs.
GOLD Trading: trategy: Look to SELL at resistance zone,downtrend🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell Limit): 3,353 – 3,357 USD
Stop Loss (SL): 3,375 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,280 – 3,283 USD
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 → suitable for 2–4 session swing trades.
📊 Technical Analysis:
1. Overall Trend:
GOLD is clearly in a downtrend, confirmed by:
A descending trendline connecting recent lower highs.
Price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Indicator-Based Analysis:
🔹 SMA 89 (Purple Line):
Price is trading below the 89-period SMA, confirming bearish momentum.
SMA89 acts as a dynamic resistance, and the 3,353–3,357 zone aligns with this resistance level.
🔹 BB20 (Bollinger Bands):
The upper band sits near 3,383, close to the SL zone → validating 3,375 as a proper stop.
Price is currently bouncing from the lower BB, so a rejection from the mid-to-upper band is likely, supporting a SELL setup.
🔹 Volume Analysis:
Volume is decreasing during this recent rebound, indicating:
Weak bullish pressure, typical of a corrective move.
The rally lacks conviction → strengthens the bearish case.
Silver - overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Hourly Timeframe
📍 Context
The hourly chart is in a sideways range.
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.55.
📊 Key Actions
The 35.30 level on the hourly timeframe has worked well. This level marks the correction extreme within the dominant buyer initiative (i.e., an initiative where the correction is less than 50%).
A seller attack bar (IKC) targeting the lower boundary of the sideways range was absorbed by the buyer, and this absorption led to a renewed buyer. Targets visible on the chart - Hourly and daily timeframe: 36.55 and 36.89
Daily Timeframe
📍 Context
Currently, the buyer has the initiative, potential target 36.89.
📊 Key Actions
On the daily timeframe, there was also a seller IKC bar attacking the lower boundary of the buyer's initiative, which was bought back by the buyer.
🎯 Trade Idea
Potential buying patterns can now be monitored at: 36.20, 36.05, 35.67, 35.458
With targets set at: 36.55, 36.89, 37.32.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
[XAUUSD] GOLD – Bullish Setup in Play🟡 *Key Context*
- Geopolitical calm (Trump ceasefire remarks) lowered risk aversion, pushing Gold down — but key support is holding.
- Fed uncertainty continues, yet technicals point to a possible reversal.
📉 *Price Structure*
- Price dropped into a falling wedge, testing 3285–3295 (H4 demand zone).
- RSI bullish divergence + harmonic ABCD pattern seen on 30m.
📌 *Trade Setup – Long Bias*
🔹Entry: 3285–3295 zone (watch for bullish candle confirmation)
🔹Stop Loss: Below 3280 (structure invalidation)
🔹Target 1: 3320–3330
🔹Target 2: 3390 (longer-term move)
⚠️ Volume confirmation is key — wait for breakout strength. Avoid entries during news events. Risk must be managed tightly.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSignal #TeconLab #BuyTheDip