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XAUUSD - AnalysisMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure. We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower). Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Maks_Klimenko
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TVC:GOLD
by TradeTrendsPro
Gold Wave Analysis 6 November 2024 - Gold broke support area - Likely to fall to support level 2600.00 Gold recently broke the support area located at the intersection of the support level 2680.00 (former monthly high from September), support trendline of the daily up channel from September and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse 1 from the start of October. The breakout of this support area accelerated the active minor ABC correction from the end of November. Gold can be expected to fall further to the next support level 2600.00 (which stopped the previous intermediate correction (4) in October).
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by FxProGlobal
GoldAs of November 7, 2024, gold prices have experienced significant volatility, influenced by various global economic and geopolitical factors. Current Price Levels: Gold is trading around $2,734.79 per ounce, slightly below its recent peak of $2,790.15 reached on October 31, 2024. (Reuters) Technical Analysis: • Support Levels: Immediate support is observed at $2,608.30, with stronger support around $2,468.20. (MarketScreener) • Resistance Levels: Key resistance is near the recent high of $2,790.15. (Reuters) • Moving Averages: Gold is trading above its 13, 48, and 200-day EMAs, indicating a sustained bullish trend. (Economies) • Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is around 58.93, suggesting mild bullish momentum without being overbought. (Moneycontrol) Fundamental Factors: • Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East have increased gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. (Reuters) • U.S. Federal Reserve Policy: Anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to support higher gold prices. (Reuters) • Central Bank Demand: Robust purchases by central banks have bolstered gold demand. (JPMorgan) Outlook: Analysts predict that gold prices could rise to $2,600 or $2,700 by the end of the year, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and expected U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts. (Reuters) Conclusion: Gold’s technical indicators and fundamental factors suggest a continued bullish trend. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments and central bank policies, as these will significantly influence gold’s trajectory in the coming months. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by tintinhawk
Why Trump Won't Push Oil Prices to $50I’m not really convinced that Trump cares about oil prices being at $50 a barrel. The U.S. is the biggest oil producer out there, and at that price, a lot of oil fields are going to struggle to stay profitable because of inflation and rising costs. Plus, American oil companies can’t just devalue their currency to cushion the blow from falling prices, so I doubt Trump would intentionally drive prices down, especially since those companies backed his campaign. And let’s be real—low oil prices aren’t exactly great for Elon Musk, who was a key player in getting Trump elected. When do you think consumers are more likely to look at electric cars? When gas prices are high or low? The answer seems pretty obvious. The only thing that might push oil prices down to $50 is a looming recession in the U.S., but that’s a whole different ballgame and not really about Trump. Besides everything else, today there was noticeable activity from 'robots' in the oil market. The last time I saw this was in 2021 with oil... during Trump's last term. Coincidence?
TVC:USOIL
by ClashChartsTeam
BUY Zone for Palladium TARGET 1240 areaWe have reached possible buy zone for Palladium in green which is supported by 50 SMA on daily. There are interesting divergences through all timeframes. It is a little risky to buy here as we are currently below the trendline and we might be heading much lower to 1000 levels but from long term perspective it does not play a signifficant role if this turns bullush. Tight stops for now. Target in 1240 area or another possible buy zone for addings.
PEPPERSTONE:XPDUSDLong
by jzavodsk
NATGAS Could Hit $2.15 as Bears Tighten GripFxNews —The primary trend for NATGAS should be considered bearish, as the price is in a bearish flag pattern. The downtrend is likely to resume if NATGAS bears close and stabilize the price below the 23.6% Fibonacci level, supported by the middle line of the Bollinger Band. In this scenario, the next bearish target could be $2.24, followed by $2.15. Please note that the bearish outlook would be invalidated if NATGAS exceeds the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $2.38.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASShort
by FxNews-me
Analyzing the Factors Behind the Recent Gold Price Decline A Post-Election Dip Gold prices experienced a significant decline following the recent US election. The precious metal, often seen as a safe-haven asset, retreated as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged. This confluence of factors put pressure on gold, which tends to perform poorly in a rising interest rate environment. Why Did Gold Fall? 1. Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar typically weighs on gold prices. When the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers to purchase gold, reducing demand for the precious metal. 2. Rising Treasury Yields: Higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. As bond yields rise, investors may shift their focus from gold to fixed-income securities. 3. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: The election results, while not entirely unexpected, may have reduced some of the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors may have perceived less geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty, leading them to seek out riskier assets. Is More Downside Ahead for Gold? While the recent decline in gold prices has been significant, it's important to consider the factors that could influence its future trajectory: 1. Economic Uncertainty: Despite the post-election rally, global economic uncertainty remains elevated. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and potential economic slowdowns could continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal. 2. Inflationary Pressures: Persistent inflationary pressures could drive investors toward gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Central banks may need to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, which could indirectly benefit gold. 3. Central Bank Demand: Central banks around the world have been significant buyers of gold in recent years. Continued central bank demand could provide support for gold prices. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, gold prices have broken below key support levels. A further decline could be on the cards, with potential targets at the next significant support levels. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market sentiment can change rapidly. Investor Strategies Given the current market conditions, investors may consider the following strategies: 1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): By investing a fixed amount of money in gold at regular intervals, investors can reduce the impact of market volatility. 2. Physical Gold: Owning physical gold can provide a tangible asset and hedge against inflation. 3. Gold ETFs: Gold ETFs offer a convenient way to invest in gold without the physical storage costs. 4. Diversification: Incorporating gold into a diversified investment portfolio can help reduce overall portfolio risk. In conclusion, while the recent decline in gold prices is concerning, it's essential to consider the long-term factors that could influence its future trajectory. Investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions related to gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
$72.25 Break Could Push Oil to $75.8 HighsFxNews —The October 24 high at $72.25 is the immediate resistance. The uptrend will likely resume if bulls close and stabilize the price above this level. In this scenario, the next bullish target could be $73.4, followed by $75.8, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Please note that the Crude Oil bullish outlook would be invalidated if crude oil prices fall below the $69.7 immediate support. Support: 69.7 / 68.3 Resistance: 72.25 / 73.4 / 75.8
TVC:USOILLong
by FxNews-me
My thoughts, target and trailing method on the gold tradeHello, I have been a gold bull for a while and 6 months ago I posted a long idea. Last week the price has gone way past my target so I think it might be a good idea to post an update. I am going to divide this in 3 parts: - First taking a look back at this trade and the decisions I made - Second I'm going to check what analysts are saying and upwards versus downward potential - And last, based on the previous two points and TA I'll conclude with a trailing methodology 1- If you were able to get in this was a pretty good trade, easy to hold, but I found it really hard to add to it. In the 2300-2400 area I tried buying the pullback but it was too choppy and random for me, which does not happen that often, usual it's more clean. So in the end of all my winners this year this was the worst one, while the Yen was the best one. If you look at the trends it makes sense, the Yen was a "creeper trend" slow and steady with opportunities to add and on top of that it skyrocketed at the end of that trend, while gold was this skyrocket with a crazy correction that went in all directions. Slow and steady always wins in my opinion. The important thing to remember I think here is to not insist, if the market does not want to offer an opportunity, no point insisting and losing 10 times in a row. Fortunately I did not get chopped out. Opposed to that is the following examples on the Yen, it is choppy, but in a good way, there actually are bottoms, and higher lows, it is pretty clean actually when you look carefully. When the market offers gifts, keep pressing your advantage. That simple. 2- So what are the analysts saying and how far could it go? Permabear (and bull on gold) Peter Schiff is calling 10k, but I think we can dismiss this - not saying it won't happen. Analysts are claiming that the commodity to S&P ratio is quite low and we can prepare for a supercycle. The situation is the same that it was a year ago, only it got even better, countries are continuing to move further away from the USD and are looking to buy gold, stock markets just like currencies are still not very reassuring. Rates had increased but they seem to be going back down after all. I see plenty of reasons for the demand to be high, and little reasons for the price shooting down. It does not appear we are in the euphoria stage, or even close, so gold might still be underpriced and there could be a lot of upside left. The price being at all time high, there are no usual resistances, no bagholders that waited 10 years to breakeven, so logically the only wall I can think of is $3000. No reason for a major pullback till then, which does not mean it won't pullback before 3k as I have no crystal ball. All I know is I have thousands of hours of backtesting, experience, and my analysis. 3- From my knowledge this was a trade with a great risk reward and good likelihood of winning, was aiming for 2500 and since we went well past that price without a major pullback - we had minor ones and a moderate one in the 2300-2400 area - my rules say I must consider holding till the next target, which is 3000. A minor to moderate pullback would be 100ish of less, according to the chart below. Trailing my stop with hops of 100 will still give decent risk to reward (at 2700 I'll be risking 100ish to make 300 or better), and at 3000 a stop of 100-200 is worth it as it could go parabolic and I wouldn't be giving much back. But I have no reason to increase my stop size at 3k, the price might drop by a 3rd (1k in this case) like it did the first time it got to $1000, or by nearly 50% like it did the first time it reached $1900. If there is a major pullback I might as well exit and look for an opportunity to take a new trade. It is unlikely I just keep getting "poop patterns" like I have shown in figure 1 up there, and if we do get these choppy random looking patterns that is too bad, knowing when to sit on the sidelines is the name of the game.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrRenev
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000