Futures market
Multiple bullish signals on GoldOver time, gold's price chart has shown a bull flag pattern in my previous analysis, followed by what appears to be an ascending triangle pattern combined with and inverted head and shoulders pattern. These multiple bullish patterns suggest a potential price increase to $3900/oz.
XAUUSD 26.06.2025-Formation of the market:
The geopolitical situation brought strong uncertainty in the expectations of market participants, due to which the asset lost 4.5% of its price from the last high, and re-entered the wide consolidation channel 3300-3380.
-Forecast:
In the medium term, the main movement is likely to be in the consolidation range of 3300-3380.
The price could probably reach the imbalance/gap range of the opening session at 3365 and then return to test the support level at 3300.
-News Background:
The situation in the Middle East has turned peaceful, but it is worth watching for further developments as tensions remain.
The main focus on economic events is now centered on the PCE Index, which could trigger a move towards one of the consolidation channel boundaries.
technical analysis -xau/usd 1 hr time frame 📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold/USD) – 1-Hour Timeframe
🔁 Market Structure:
The overall recent trend has been bearish, but at the latest low, the market has shown signs of a Change of Character (CHoCH).
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred earlier, but the current price action suggests a potential reversal or a bullish correction.
🟩 Demand Zone:
The green box near the bottom highlights a strong demand zone.
Price has already reacted positively from this area, which aligns with previous consolidation levels and support zones.
🟪 Entry Zone & Stop Loss:
Purple box: ideal entry zone for a potential long position (around $3,305–$3,315).
Red/Brown box below: logical stop loss area, placed below the most recent low (~$3,245).
🎯 Target Zone:
The green box at the top indicates the potential target zone, extending toward $3,450–$3,460.
This aligns with previous swing highs and structural resistance levels.
✅ Trade Setup:
Component Details
Entry ~$3,305–$3,315
Stop Loss Below $3,245
Targets TP1: $3,360 / TP2: $3,420 / TP3: $3,450+
Risk-Reward Approx. 3:1 or better
This setup becomes more valid with further confirmation in lower timeframes (e.g., 5min or 15min), such as bullish engulfing candles or internal structure shifts.
❌ Invalidation:
If price closes below $3,245 and confirms bearish continuation, the long setup becomes invalid.
In that case, it’s best to wait for a new structure or new demand zone to form.
📌 Summary:
Gold has reacted strongly from a key demand zone.
Structure is shifting bullish; if confirmed, this offers a solid low-risk, high-reward opportunity.
Wait for confirmation before entering, and always apply risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects only my personal view of the market and is not financial advice.
Please perform your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold BearsGOLD has reached my previous analysis target ✅
Now seeing a pullback wave before potential continuation to the downside, keep in mind it is End of Month.
🎯 Pullback Zones:
1️⃣ 3340
2️⃣ Extended: 3350–3356
📉 If no new bullish fundamentals:
Next targets: 3293–3280
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #TradingLevels #MarketOutlook
technical analysis - AXUÉUSD daily time frame 📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – Daily Timeframe
🔁 Overall Market Structure:
Since early 2025, the market has been in a strong bullish trend, followed by a few mid-term corrections.
A new all-time high was reached around $3,500.
After the peak, the price entered a sideways/consolidation phase, currently ranging between $3,360 and $3,460.
🔄 Key Structural Observations:
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH) can be seen near the top, especially after reaching the all-time high.
The market currently shows indecision, with no clear dominance from bulls or bears.
📉 Current Price Status:
Price is currently around $3,336 and moving within a consolidation zone.
This behavior suggests accumulation and could precede a major breakout—either bullish or bearish.
🎯 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Condition Clear breakout above ~$3,460 with strong bullish confirmation
Targets TP1: $3,500 (previous high), TP2: $3,550+ in extended move
Stop Loss Below breakout level or back inside the range (~$3,430)
This scenario becomes valid if the market shows strong bullish continuation after breakout.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Condition Bearish breakout below ~$3,330 with strong bearish candle
Targets TP1: $3,250 / TP2: $3,120
Stop Loss Above the broken range (~$3,360–$3,370)
If this setup activates, a deeper correction could follow.
⚠️ Important Note:
The market is currently consolidating, so trading heavily in the middle of the range is risky.
It's safer to wait for a clear breakout with confirmation before entering a position.
📌 Summary:
Gold is consolidating after a strong uptrend.
A breakout from this range will likely determine the next major direction.
Wait for confirmation before taking any trade based on the breakout.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This analysis reflects my personal view of the market.
Please do your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions, and manage your risk carefully.
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold BearsTVC:GOLD has reached my previous analysis target ✅
Now seeing a pullback wave before potential continuation to the downside, keep in mind it is End of Month.
🎯 Pullback Zones:
1️⃣ 3340
2️⃣ Extended: 3350–3356
📉 If no new bullish fundamentals:
Next targets: 3293–3280
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #TradingLevels #MarketOutlook
PO3 analysis previewThis chart displays my current working model for PO3 structure, focusing on a multi-timeframe analysis (9m, 27m, 81m, 3H) using volume imbalances and key time-based phases. I’ve marked potential accumulation, manipulation, and distribution zones, alongside session-specific traps (like NYO sweeps) and key reaction areas tied to historical VIs.
The purpose of this post is to visually document these events and align them with real-time behavior. I'm exploring how price respects past VIs and cycles — especially when PO3 bar counts match across timeframes — and whether timing precision (e.g., bar 3/9 revisits) is consistently repeatable.
All annotations are part of a larger test strategy currently in development.
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we noted that gold needed to close and hold above the $3,330 resistance to open the path toward $3,346 and potentially $3,375.
Since then, price rejected the intraday support and is now trending above the $3,330 level.
Currently, the 50MA is acting as dynamic resistance. A clean break above it could trigger a move toward $3,346 and possibly higher resistance zones.
However, if bullish momentum fades, price may drop back toward the key support area, where buyers could look to step in again.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
XAUUSD – Sniper Entry Plan June 26, 2025👋 Hello traders,
Gold is currently consolidating after recent downside liquidity sweeps, and Thursday brings high-impact USD catalysts. Let’s break it down and build a precise plan for sniper entries around these volatile zones. We’re trading structure, not noise — eyes on the prize. 🎯
🔸 HTF Outlook (D1 → H4 → H1)
🌐 Macro & Geopolitical Context
Markets are bracing for:
USD Unemployment Claims (Forecast: 244K, previous: 245K)
Final GDP q/q and Durable Goods Orders
Fed speakers (Barkin, Barr, Harker)
Stronger-than-expected data could reinforce USD bullish sentiment, sending gold down. Weaker reports + dovish Fed = bullish pressure on gold.
🗺️ Daily Bias: Neutral to Bullish
Price is ranging above a key CHoCH low + Daily OB (3272–3288)
Strong bullish continuation only confirmed with a break above 3370–3384
FIBO: 50% retracement of the last swing is near 3310, giving structure to Buy Zone 1
Bias: Bullish as long as 3272 holds — PA supports HL structure above imbalance
🕓 H4 Bias: Bearish Pullback
CHoCH at 3384 → clean Lower High + price failed to close above premium FVG
Pullback testing EMA 50/100 + FVG at 3345
FIBO extension zone at 161.8% aligns near 3288 = reactive downside target
Bias: Reactive bearish under 3352. If 3370 breaks cleanly → short invalid.
🕐 H1 Bias: Bullish Short-Term
CHoCH → HL printed at 3310 → higher lows forming toward supply
EMA 21/50 crossed to the upside, RSI mid-range (50–60)
PA structure showing ascending triangle under resistance
Bias: Bullish continuation valid toward 3352–3370, unless breakdown under 3308
🔸 LTF Precision (M30 → M15)
🔹 Sell Zone 1 – 3352–3345
H1 OB + M15 FVG + upper range sweep
RSI expected to peak near 70 → potential divergence
FIBO: 78.6% retracement of previous bearish leg
PA: Watch for M15 liquidity sweep + bearish engulfing
🔸 Entry: Wait for break/retest → confirmation on M5–M15 BOS
🔹 Sell Zone 2 – 3370–3384
HTF premium imbalance zone + weak high above
RSI likely in exhaustion zone
FIBO extension 1.272–1.618 completes inside this supply
PA: Only enter after stop hunt wick + clear CHoCH (M5)
🔸 Entry: Reactive fade after liquidity trap
🔸 Buy Zone 1 – 3308–3313
H1 CHoCH + OB + EQ zone
RSI bounce zone (30–40)
FIBO 50–61.8% retracement of bullish swing
PA: Watch for M15 bullish engulfing or double bottom formation
🔸 Entry: Only on structure break + retest confirmation
🔸 Buy Zone 2 – 3288–3272
Daily OB + HTF FVG + massive imbalance
RSI expected to overshoot under 30
FIBO: 1.618 extension from previous M15 bullish leg
PA: High-RR reversal zone if flushed by NY open
🔸 Entry: Enter only after M5 CHoCH or strong engulfing near the OB
⚖️ Decision Zone – 3333–3336
Previous supply turned EQ zone
PA shows indecision — do not enter here
Useful for monitoring if price holds support or rejects
🔸 Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If USD data is weak:
Flush to 3308 or 3288
Confirm HL formation → sniper buy from OB → aim 3345+, possibly 3370 sweep
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If USD prints strong:
Price spikes into 3352 or 3370 zones → rejection + BOS
Sniper short entry → targets 3310 → 3288
🔸 Final Plan & Action Points
✅ Patience is key during news. Let structure confirm.
✅ Track price behavior near 14:30 CEST, avoid instant spikes.
✅ Best sniper RR zones:
🔹 Sell from 3352 or 3370
🔸 Buy from 3308 or 3288
📊 Precision matters. Structure wins.
👍 Like this if it helped you map the move, and 🔔 follow for tomorrow’s sniper entry.
— GoldFxMinds
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
NASDAQ 100 ABOUT TO TEST ALL TIME HIGH WITH UPTREND!Hey Traders so looking today at the Nasdaq 100 it's looking really bullish confirmed with 3 bar trendline.
However we are now approaching resistance of this all time high at 22,820 after bounce off support at around 21,500.
So I believe it's a good place to buy on pullback to trendline at around 21,900. This level is 50% of the last big candle with is showing strong bullish momentum.
With Stop under support around 21,400
As it approaches resistance it can do 3 things.
Break through, Pause, or Reverse so will be keeping on eye on how it reacts at that level.
So if bullish watch for pullback if bearish I would not short right now too much buying momentum or at least wait until market breaks suppport or trades below downtrend line.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
2025-06-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq e-mini
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market is leaving behind gaps and breakout prices are tested but we stay above. Also higher highs and higher lows. Max bullish for new ath still.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22300
bull case: Bulls want 23000. They have to keep it above 22400 to keep the max bullish momentum going for tomorrow. Below 22400 we could test down to 22200 before another leg up. Multiple way to draw the trend lines, all are correct until broken. So draw them and watch what market does when it gets near them.
Invalidation is below 22200.
bear case: Bears actually made money selling 22500, which was a surprise to me. Especially that we stay below the open price. Bad session for me today. I still got nothing for the bears until they print below 22200 again. Everything on this chart is bullish. Best bears can hope for is another pullback below 22500 and go sideways.
Invalidation is above 22550.
short term: Max bullish for 22800 or 23000.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-22: Daily close below 21500 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. Getting into longer term shorts above 21500 seems like the banger trade right now.
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom 22390 or any long close to it. Wasn’t the trade with most profit but the most obvious one.
USD under pressure ahead of PCE—gold holds $3,300The euro has reached its highest level since October 2021, driven in part by commitments from European leaders to increase NATO defence spending.
The swing factor for the euro dollar in the shorter term is the possibility of US rate cuts. Critical for this will be US inflation data, starting with tomorrow's PCE report. If tariffs fail to significantly lift inflation, the case for a July rate cut strengthens—adding further pressure on the dollar.
That weakness is also supporting gold. XAUUSD is above $3,300. Recent price action has formed a potential symmetrical triangle on the daily chart—a structure that can precede a breakout. A move above $3,400 could signal renewed bullish momentum.
BULLS HOLDING KEY PIVOT 〉ATH AROUND THE CORNER As illustrated, Im trying to visualize what a potential bull run could look like starting from what seems to be a "bullish signature" move by gold: a diagonal double bottom.
Don't believe me; go back in time and study how gold makes bottoms and how new bull runs start. The fact that it was NY that manipulated BOTH times and got the best price, is a strong footprint that MIGHT just indicate a potential bottom (at least of this current bearish correction.
I won't say "this is it" and ATH are next FROM this potential rebound; HOWEVER, it could indicate at least the next 10 to 24 hours of potential bullish impulse to retest a degree of the bearish drop since Sunday's weekly open.
Hammer candle from Tuesday's NY session low + today's 4H bullish engulfing, are also powerful components that show bullish strength indicating 3300 to be a major support area.
I'm expecting (BUT NOT ADVISING) Asia to break aggressively to the upside confirming that this could have been this current correction's bottom, and/or at least this week's low.
Should Thursday close above Tuesday's high or consolidating near it, also shows signs of bullish strength and opens the door for Friday to make a second bullish impulse move.
This would reflect on the Weekly candle leaving a long rejection wick and closing (potentially) back above 3350 - 3360.
Should this be the case, the following week would have the road paved to lift off price to retest previous 4H highs of 3440 - 3450 range.
...
July is a bullish month historically. Don't believe me; search "seasonality tool, gold" and see it for yourself.
It is a matter of weeks for Gold to breakout of this wide accumulation phase it has been since end of April, and start a fresh and brand new bull run that could/should last until the end of the year.
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GOOD LUCK
Persa