UPDATE 26th June 2025 Consolidation Phase Consolidation Phase still running.
It have a potential to retest a lower support.
During this consolidation period, we will continue to monitor any fluctuations ( war, geopolitic, US economic, etc ) that will affect the movement of gold prices.
So becareful at support level / key level.
Goodluck !
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Futures market
XAUUSD GOLD📈 GOLD (XAU/USD)
📊 Timeframes:
⏱️ 30-Min & 1-Hour
🟢 Long Trade Plan
🔍 Analysis Highlights:
✨ Bullish Divergence spotted
🚀 Breakout Trade
🎯 Trade Details:
🛑 SL: Marked on chart 🔴
✅ TP1: Mentioned on chart 🥇
🏁 TP2: Mentioned on chart 🥈
📌 Chart levels clearly labeled
📬 For any queries regarding chart: comment in message section
💡 Trade smart, manage risk! 📉📈
#Gold #XAUUSD #BreakoutTrade #LongSetup #BullishDivergence #TradingView #TradePlan
Automating Your Trading Pipeline: Series Overview
Hello fellow traders!
Over the next week I’ll be rolling out a short series on how to take your TradingView alerts all the way through to live orders—fully automated—using AWS and the Tradovate API.
Today’s post is just the big-picture overview. In the days ahead we’ll peel back the layers and show you exactly how each piece fits together:
TradingView PineScript Alerts: how to craft alert payloads in Pine.
AWS API Gateway web-hook: receiving and validating your alerts.
AWS Lambda Python – processing payloads & calculating SL and TP.
Tradovate REST API – placing bracket (OCO) orders.
Telegram Notifications – real-time trade confirmations to your phone.
At the end of this series you’ll have a fully-automated end-to-end pipeline, no more manual order entry!
Stay tuned for Part 2 , when we’ll dive into crafting precise JSON alerts in PineScript.
NATGAS Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.896
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3.662
Recommended Stop Loss - 4.034
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Technical analysis and strategy of gold on June 25:
Current market background
Lack of trend: gold prices have fluctuated in the recent range (3280-3400), and no unilateral trend has been formed, and the long-short game is fierce.
Risk aversion has subsided: The easing of geopolitical risks (Israel-Iran ceasefire) has weakened gold's safe-haven buying, and bulls lack the momentum to break through the 3400 mark.
Technical weakness: It fell to the 3340 support level in early Asian trading on Tuesday (although it did not fall below the actual level), and the 1-hour moving average is in a short position, indicating that short-term market sentiment is still biased towards the short side.
Key technical signals
1-hour chart
Moving average suppression: MA5/MA10 is in a short position, and 3365 points has become the first resistance level for the rebound in the Asian session. If it is under pressure at this position, it can continue to be bearish.
3340 points: If the entity falls below this level, it may accelerate downward to 3320-3300 points; if it rebounds after a false breakout, it is necessary to pay attention to the breakthrough of 3365 points.
MACD indicator: The double lines are below the zero axis, the downward momentum column shrinks but no golden cross is seen, and we need to be alert to the rebound and correction after oversold.
Daily chart
Oscillation range: 3400 points is a strong resistance level, and 3280-3300 points are key support levels. The recent rise and fall in this area shows that the pressure level of 3400 points is effective.
Insufficient momentum: Even if there is a risk aversion news stimulus (such as yesterday), the bulls have not been able to break through, reflecting the market's cautious attitude towards the high gold price.
Today's operation strategy
1. Rebound short (main idea)
Entry position:
Conservative strategy: around 3365 (1-hour MA10 moving average pressure level), stop loss 3380, target 3340→3320.
Aggressive strategy: If the Asian session continues to be under pressure at 3350, you can directly short with a light position, stop loss 3365, and target 3330.
Logic: Moving average suppression + risk aversion sentiment subsides, short after the rebound, weak trend.
2. Long on pullback (auxiliary idea)
Entry position:
3290-3280 support band (daily key position), stop loss 3270, target 3320-3340.
Rapidly dropped to 3300 without breaking: short-term long, stop loss 3290, target 3330.
Logic: A rebound at the lower edge of a large range of fluctuations requires strict stop loss.
3. Follow-up strategy after breakthrough
Break through 3365: wait and see whether it tests 3400. If it rises to 3380-3400, short orders can still be arranged.
Falling below 3340 (entity): short order target 3320-3300, stop loss 3355.
Risk warning
Powell's speech: If a dovish signal is released (for example, hinting at a rate cut), it may boost the gold price to break through 3365, and short orders need to be stopped in time.
Geopolitical reversals: If the Iran-Israel ceasefire agreement breaks down, risk aversion will quickly push up gold prices, and attention should be paid to breaking news.
Dollar trend: If the US dollar index weakens (expectations of a Fed rate cut rise), the decline in gold may be limited.
Summary
Short-term dominant factors: From a technical perspective, shorts are dominant, but the large fluctuation range has not yet been broken, so avoid chasing ups and downs.
Operation focus: short on rebound > long on pullback, pay attention to the 3365 suppression level and the 3290-3280 support level.
Key points:
Resistance level: 3365 (watershed of strength and weakness in the Asian session), 3400 (top of the range).
Support level: 3340 (psychological barrier), 3290-3280 (bullish defense line).
Gold consolidates Bullish momentum Towards 3375XAUUSD Gold Analysis Update – June 25
Gold initially fell below the key trigger level at 3375, extending its decline and sweeping through liquidity support around 3310. However, the break below 3310 proved to be a false breakout, with price rebounding sharply and interrupting the three-day bearish streak.
This rebound is supported by renewed weakness in the US dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, both of which have helped restore safe-haven demand for gold.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
$XAUUSD Holding Key Support, Bounce Incoming?Gold is still holding the key support zone around $3,285–$3,290, which aligns closely with the 0.5 Fib retracement level.
As long as this area holds, we could see a push toward $3,320, and if momentum follows through, $3,373 (Fib 0.236) is the next key level to watch.
The structure looks solid, and buyers are showing interest.
Keep an eye on a breakout above the descending trendline. 👀
DYOR, NFA
#XAUUSD #GOLD
XAUUSD: Trend changed to bearish. Significant downside potentialGold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.253, MACD = 18.142, ADX = 16.679) as it crossed below both the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. The two form a Bearish Cross. Technically a Channel Down has emerged, no different than those that emerged after rejections on the R1 Zone (like now). As long as the 4H MA50 acts as a Resistance and holds, we will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 3,245).
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USOIL - REVERSAL Market is in bearish trend, however there is a bullish divergence on 1H time- which means market may take a deep correction. Futher harmonic pattern Bullish crab is also in formation.
Take the entry above the break of LH and stoploss below the D point / LL. and TPs with R:R ratio of 1:1 and 1:2
Thanks.
Bulish oil WTI)
✅ Overall Market Structure:
After a steady bullish trend, price has experienced a sharp drop and is now reacting to a demand zone around 64.955. The recent price action suggests signs of potential stabilization and a possible bullish reversal.
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🟩 Key Levels:
Major Support Zone:
The area between 64.00 – 65.00 acts as a strong demand zone, which has shown prior reactions.
Resistance / Target Levels:
67.398 (first resistance and short-term target)
69.231 (mid-level resistance)
72.879 (main target if bullish momentum continues)
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📈 Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Current Chart):
After touching the demand zone, price seems to be forming a potential bottom. If a strong bullish candlestick appears (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer), we can expect a corrective or impulsive move to the upside.
🔸 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 63.80
🔸 Target 1: 67.40
🔸 Target 2: 69.20
🔸 Target 3: 72.80
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⚠️ Important Notes:
1. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
2. If the support at 64 breaks, price may drop further toward the next demand zone around 61.00–60.00 (next major support lies at 59.415).
3. Keep an eye on oil-related news and U.S. economic reports (noted with calendar icons on the chart), as they can strongly impact volatility.
---
Déjà Vu: Echoes of 2018 in Today’s MarketI’ve spotted a striking resemblance between the current price action and the 2018 market structure. This emerging fractal might be a key to anticipating what comes next.
🧩 Similarities between the 2018–2020 and 2025 corrections AMEX:SPY CME_MINI:MES1! OANDA:SPX500USD CME_MINI:ES1! TVC:SPX :
Technical similarities:
Drawdown depth: roughly ~21% from peak to bottom
Correction shape: similar wave structure — a double zigzag (dZ)
Reversal dynamic: V-shaped bottom followed by a smooth, rounded recovery to ATH without sharp retracements
Behavior around key MAs:
– test of the 200-week MA as support
– brief breakdown below the 200-day MA, then quick reclaim (fake-out)
Volume profile: increased volume during the selloff, resembling capitulation before reversal
🌍 Key macro parallels:
Fed tightening cycle: Both periods saw interest rate hikes and QT against a backdrop of strong economic data.
Policy shift: In both cases, Powell started with a hawkish tone and softened it after the correction (2019: “mid-cycle adjustment” with three rate cuts).
Strong labor market: Unemployment hovered near 50-year lows (~3.5% in 2019; 3.4% in 2023), suggesting an overheated economy.
🌐 Trade risks: 2018 vs 2025
– 2018: escalation of the US–China trade war
– 2025: rising global protectionism, supply chain pressures, and tariffs
This leads to higher costs → margin compression
In both cases, risks to global demand and corporate earnings
This fractal aligns well with both of my long-term wave count scenarios:
Base scenario:
We’re inside a large impulse, where wave 3 is experiencing a classic extension. This implies the bull market could stretch into the 2030s, with smoother phases of growth and distribution. In this view, the current structure resembles a second wave forming as an rFL.
Alternative scenario:
The ongoing correction is wave 4 of a large cycle. After this volatile phase, a final rally — the terminal wave of this supercycle — is expected to follow.
Gold is obviously suppressed, so we must go short!Yesterday, gold continued to fluctuate and fall under pressure at the 3360 mark. The US market further accelerated downward to break through the 3300 integer mark and reached a weak closing near 3295. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed fall and broke the bottom of the middle shadow. The overall gold price continued to fluctuate and fall in a weak rhythm. After reaching the lowest level of 3295, it rebounded and closed at 3323. Today, it opened at 3324. As of now, it has reached the highest level of 3337. At present, we are focusing on the suppression of 3340-3348. If the rebound is under pressure, we can still intervene in short orders. The recent market trends are basically the same - bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of operation, continue to keep shorting under pressure and long positions after bottoming out and rebounding.
From the current market trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3338-3342 area. If it rebounds to this range and is under pressure, you can consider choosing an opportunity to arrange short orders. The lower support focuses on the 3315-3305 line. If it falls back and stabilizes, there is a possibility of a short-term rebound. The overall situation is still in a range-bound structure. It is recommended to focus on key points, buy high and sell low, follow the trend, and strictly control risks. For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the 🌐 notification at the bottom.
26/6/25 More FT Selling or Pullback higher?
Wednesday’s candlestick (Jun 24) was a bear bar closing near its low with a prominent tail above.
In our last report, we said traders would see if the bears could create more follow-through selling, and the move down was strong enough for traders to expect at least a small sideways to down leg after a small pullback.
The market formed a small pullback in the night and morning session followed by a small sideways to down leg to retest Tuesday's low in the afternoon.
The bulls hope the top of the 3980 breakout point area and the 20-day EMA will act as support.
They hope to get a retest of the Jun 20 high, even if it only forms a lower high.
They must create strong bull bars to show they are back in control.
The bears want the current move to form a major lower high (vs April) and a failed breakout above the trading range. So far, the market is reversing lower from a lower high.
They want a resumption of the broad bear channel and the third leg down with the first two legs being Jan 17 and May 8.
If the market trades higher, they want the follow-through buying to be weak, with overlapping candlesticks, and long tails above candlesticks. They want it to form a lower high vs Jun 20.
They must create follow-through selling trading below the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of a resumption of the broad bear channel.
Production for June should be more or less around May's level.
Refineries' appetite to buy so far looks decent.
Export: Looks decent in the first 25 days +6%
The market is trading higher in the night session.
For tomorrow (Thursday, Jun 25), traders will see if the bears can create more follow-through selling.
Or will the market form a pullback higher instead?
Andrew
XAU/USD: Long-Short Battle at $3,300 ThresholdAccurate Verification of Middle East Situation Analysis
Yesterday's morning strategy focused on analyzing the authenticity of the Middle East ceasefire agreement. By deconstructing the policy logic and strategic intent behind Trump's statement, we accurately predicted that the "Israel-Iran ceasefire" had not reached an official consensus. Although logical analysis confirmed doubts about the news, gold prices still broke below the psychological integer threshold of $3,300 driven by market sentiment, highlighting the irrational feature of "emotion dominating facts" in the current market.
Escalating Trade War Risks Intensify Market Volatility
While the Middle East conflict remains unresolved, the EU issued an official statement last night, clearly stating it will launch retaliatory tariffs to force the U.S. to reach more favorable trade agreements. This move marks a further escalation of transatlantic trade friction, and market concerns about global economic growth may resurface.
Three Key Events to Monitor Closely
Gold prices are currently in a long-short stalemate at the $3,300 threshold, with the following events set to determine the short-term trend:
1.Signals of Fed Policy Pivot
Focus on the degree of rate cut expectations released in Powell's speech. A dovish signal will strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal.
2.Progress of EU-U.S. Tariff Game
Whether the EU substantially initiates counter-tariffs directly affects market assessments of global trade system stability.
3.The Legislative Process of the One Big Beautiful Bill
If the act passes smoothly this week, it may reconstruct North American trade rules—be vigilant against sudden policy shocks.
Short-Term Market Outlook
Before the above events materialize, gold is likely to oscillate within the range of $3,280-$3,350. Traders are advised to adopt a "buy low, sell high" range strategy:
- Light short positions can be taken at the upper resistance of $3,350 with a stop-loss at $3,370.
- Long positions can be initiated at the lower support of $3,280, targeting $3,320.
Note: The current market is significantly driven by news. All operations must strictly set stop-loss orders, with position sizes controlled within 15%.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Short gold after reboundGold rebounded after touching 3312, and has now rebounded to 3330, but the rebound strength is far less than the decline strength, so the overall performance of gold is still weak. Because gold fell sharply yesterday, the market bullish confidence suffered a heavy blow, and there are many resistances above after gold fell and broke, and it is under pressure at 3340-3350 in the short term, and there is a technical gap above that suppresses the 3360-3370 area.
Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3360-3370 area, the short-selling force still has the upper hand, so we still focus on shorting gold in trading. We can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350 area as resistance, and look at the target area of 3320-3310.
The Premium privilege of my account will end on June 26, and it will stop updating here from tomorrow. Friends in the channel have already made a lot of money by following my trading strategies. Friends who have not joined yet can join and receive the latest trading strategies and trading signals in the first time to protect your trading!
Shorts on Oil.... And on the NEWS and via brokers - they all wanted to go LONG because of war news....
🛢️ Massive Oil Selloff Caught by ELFIEDT – RSI + Reversion
Instrument: US Crude Oil (WTI)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: Monday, 23 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 What Happened:
On Monday, the ELFIEDT system printed a clear “DOWN” signal on WTI Crude right near the local high before the market collapsed over the next two days.
The market looked strong—until it wasn’t. ELFIEDT flagged early signs of exhaustion while most traders were still bullish. What followed was a freefall from above $77 all the way to near $65.
💰 The Result:
From the signal candle, price dropped over 1,000 points (more than $12 per barrel).
That single short signal gave traders:
✅ A high-probability entry at the top
✅ A strong risk-reward setup
✅ A clean ride through the trend without confusion
This is what the ELFIEDT system is built for—finding early entries with strong downside follow-through.
📌 Why This Matters:
There was no need to chase the trend or react late.
ELFIEDT gave the heads-up, visually and confidently.
You don’t need to guess trend tops or bottoms anymore.
You just need to trust the process.
📈 One Signal. One Opportunity. Massive Result.
This WTI example shows the precision of ELFIEDT during volatile markets.
Whether it’s indices or commodities, the logic holds.
This is how you take control of reversals.
XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementPrice Level & Trend
Current price $3380
The market has been forming lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a bearish trend continuation
A yellow zigzag line projects a possible downward price movement path
Resistance Zone
A red rectangular zone marks a strong resistance area, previously tested multiple times and rejected
Price failed to break above this zone, reinforcing the bearish outlook
Support & Target Levels
Three significant horizontal support levels are marked
Level 1 $3,368
Level 2 $3,356
Final Target Zone Around $3344 $3344
The final target is emphasized with an orange Target label and arrow, indicating the expected destination for this bearish move
Projection
The chart anticipates short-term pullbacks retracements followed by further downside
This is visualized through the yellow zigzag pattern illustrating probable future price action
Gold XAUUSD Analysis 25.06.2025The Gold shows with a recent upward trend following a period of consolidation and a dip. Key observations:
The price previously fluctuated between a support level around 3,310-3,319 and a resistance near 3,354.
The current price is consolidating near the recent high, suggesting potential for further upward movement or a pullback.
Signal:
Buy signal is present in the range of 3,316-3,319, aligning with the support level, offering a good entry point for a potential upward move.
Market next target 🚀 Bullish Disruption Analysis
1. Support Holds Above 35.80
The market may dip slightly but find strong support around the 35.90–36.00 zone.
Instead of continuing lower, buyers absorb the selling pressure, leading to a sharp bullish reversal.
2. Bullish Continuation After Consolidation
The current pullback could just be a healthy retracement following the strong recovery move from the previous dip.
This could form a bullish flag or ascending triangle, eventually breaking above 36.20 and pushing higher.
3. Volume Clue
If the pullback happens with declining red volume, while previous green candles had strong volume, it signals a temporary correction rather than a trend reversal.
Watch for a bullish engulfing candle backed by strong volume to confirm.
4. Macro Trigger / Fundamental Support
Any dovish signal from the Fed, rising inflation, or weakening USD could increase investor demand for silver, pushing prices back up.
A news-driven reversal could invalidate the bearish path quickly.
5. Bullish Price Target
If buyers take control, silver could retest and break above 36.30–36.40, aiming toward 36.60 or even 36.80.