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Natural gas Wave Analysis – 19 February 2025 - Natural gas broke resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 4.400 Natural gas recently broke through the resistance zone at the intersection of the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from November and the resistance levels 3.800 and 4.000 (which have been reversing the price from December). The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse waves iii, 3, which belong to the medium-term impulse wave (3) from November. Given the clear multi-month uptrend, Natural gas can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 4.400 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by FxProGlobal
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher within its range, finding support at the 5-day moving average. While the daily buy signal remains intact, the market showed some corrective movement following yesterday’s doji candle, with selling pressure continuing on the lower time frames. As the index approaches previous highs, profit-taking is occurring, leading to a temporary consolidation phase. Market flows remain mixed, which could make it difficult for the Nasdaq to break through resistance decisively. However, as long as the index continues to hold the 5-day MA, the potential for a continued rally remains. On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal remains active, and the market is consolidating within a range. Since the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, further upside attempts are likely. For now, a range-trading strategy—buying near support and selling near resistance—remains the most effective approach. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, breaking above the $72 level. On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet confirmed a bullish crossover, making it too early to fully confirm an uptrend. Although oil has formed a double-bottom pattern, market flows remain mixed, and since the MACD and signal line are converging near the zero level, a strong breakout or breakdown could occur soon. Given that the weekly MACD remains in an uptrend, buying dips remains the preferred strategy. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have both moved above the zero line, confirming strong buying momentum. If oil breaks above the neckline at $73, a strong bullish move could follow. However, if the market fails to hold above $73, it could settle into a range-bound structure. For now, buying on dips remains the most favorable strategy, but traders should be cautious, as today’s crude oil inventory report could introduce significant volatility. Gold Gold failed to break above its previous high, closing lower. The market remains in a range-bound structure, with the MACD initially turning upward but now shifting back toward the signal line. If the MACD forms a bearish crossover, gold is likely to remain in a consolidation phase, and the next key question will be whether gold finds support at the 20-day moving average or moves even lower to test previous breakout levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is pulling back toward the signal line, showing signs of weakening momentum. Additionally, the market appears to be forming a triple-top (head-and-shoulders) pattern, meaning that if the neckline breaks, a further decline could follow. Given these conditions, the best approach is to trade within the current range, favoring selling near highs while only considering long positions at key support levels. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day! 🚀 If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Gold Bull Run Continuation: Technical Analysis and Trade SetupMARKEY ANALYSIS TREND Bullish trend on both 1-hour and 5-minute charts, with higher highs and higher lows. MARKET STRUCTURE Bullish market structure on both timeframes, with key structural breaks upward. LIQUIDITY ZONES Significant liquidity zones around resistance areas, potential entry points for long positions. PRICE ACTION Bullish candlestick formations, trend lines, and support levels indicate upward momentum. TRADE SETUP ENTRY Wait for sell-side liquidity to be swept near $2920, then look for bullish confirmation (e.g., rejection candle or bullish engulfing candlestick). STOPLOSS Set below the recent swing low ($2910). TAKE PROFIT - Take Profit 1: $2940 (resistance level) - Take Profit 2: $2950 (higher timeframe resistance or order block level) INVALIDATION If price breaks structure, forms a strong bearish candle, or fails to hold support, the trade idea is invalidated. Remember to wait for confirmations and avoid impulsive trades
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SL2ENTRY
BEAR TRAP? As illustrated, Im trying to visualize what could have been a bear trap. Price actually consolidated at the ATH level, instead of selling off like it has done in the past when liquidating massively... That behavior goes against "usual" patterns of selling, which leads me to believe that the obvious won't be that easy. Until the market proofs otherwise, I don't trust the slight drop / reaction the market had after reaching ATH. If this scenario plays out, I believe ASIA will do the dirty work of taking everyone out when they sleep in America's; potentially reaching psychological prices of 2950 - 2070 range with the help of LONDON. Maybe then NY would look for a sell-off. MAYBE... because keep in mind we are coming from a very strong rebound on Monday after a sell-off that already took place ... Of course, the market could consolidate once more how it did toward the end of 2024; however, the circumstances with TRUMP'S economic agenda is, as a matter of fact, giving gold more strength than ever before since its safe heaven demand just keeps increasing... .. GOOD LUCK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
50% DISCOUNT BUY?As illustrated, Im trying to visualize a falling wedge pattern into the 50% retracement of Monday's impulsive push, for what could be a potential buy point to continue the uptrend. Nothing to get fancy about. This is just a chart analysis based on a potential corrective pattern that could take place within the next 24 hours and into tomorrow's NY session. It could be NY to make the strong bounce tomorrow THU with the unemployment news as catalyst. Remember; news don't mean anything. They are just gas / power for the market to distribute and manipulate (find liquidity) ... .. GOOD LUCK
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥 Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥 📢 Let's talk: FOLLOW ME, COMMENT, and DROP A BOOST! Because in here, we help each other and we mean business! 💪🔥 Welcome to the PipGuard Guide , the only one that tells it like it is: no filters, no fairy tales, just a pinch of sarcasm. Gold is playing hard to get (what a shock, right?), but trust me, sooner or later, it wakes up—and when it does, fireworks will follow. 🎯 Key levels to watch: 🚀 Bullish resistances: $2947 / $2943 🛠️ Bullish support: $2924 📉 Bearish resistances: $2918 / $2906 ⚔️ Make-or-break level: $2906-$2905 ➜ Above? Bulls take charge. Below? Bears lurking. 💎 PipGuard Targets: 🎯 Bullish Premium: $3015 🔻 Bearish Premium: $2856 Watch out for $2906: that’s the thin line between paradise and disaster. 📌 If we hold above: bulls have room to run, aiming for $3015. 📌 If we break below: bears take over, dragging us down to $2856. 💡 So, what’s the move? Wait for a strong signal, then act—no hesitation. We're dancing above $2906, but if we slip… expect a hard fall. The market is either slapping us in the face or rewarding us with solid gold. And you? Ready to take your position?! 🔥 DROP A BOOST and COMMENT BELOW! What do you think? Sleeping gold or ready to strike? See you on the battlefield! 🚀 PipGuard
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by PipGuard
1
2025-02-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral. Biggest bear bar since November and we are close to the elections. Market printed 23000 to the tick and now what? Tops usually get a retest, which can be a higher or lower high. Given today’s strength and the timing of this move, it’s tough to hold any bigger bias for the next two days. current market cycle: bull trend (was trading range before and that was obviously wrong, sorry about that) key levels: 22500 - 23200 bull case: As long as this big bull gap down to 22000 stays open, bulls are fine. If bears close it, market turns neutral for the time being. We have elections on Sunday and at this point it’s probably a bumpy ride for the next two days. 22500 should be huge support for the bulls or we flush to 22000. Xetra high was 22935 which is too close to 23000 to not expect it to get hit. Can bulls buy the lows at 22500 in hopes for an immediate reversal? I doubt it. Too strong and we will probably need some time around (sideways movement) 22500 first. The big bull trend line is somewhat 250 points lower and if we get there, I expect huge buying. My bias is still bullish since I expect bigger upside from here than downside. Invalidation is below 21950. bear case: Bears had a huge day and closed below 22500, which is really god for them. Their next target is the big bull trend line around 22250 and if they have enough momentum, they can overshoot down to 22000. 22000 is also the 50% retracement of this recent bull leg, the gap close from last Wednesday and the daily 20ema. Big magnets there but I am cautious after big up and then big down. What I absolutely can’t see for now is anything below 21950. If we get down to 22000, we will probably see big buying for a retest of the highs. Invalidation is above 23200. short term: Neutral and cautious. Big up, big down, big confusion. If bears get follow-through, they have big magnets below but I highly doubt the bull trend line will be broken. medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. For now it’s still only up. 23000 likely next. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Sell anywhere. Market did not touch the 10m 20ema for 500 points down.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
XAUUSD BUYTechnical Analysis Retreats Provide Opportunities Amidst Dip-Buying_1 On the 4-hour timeframe, the XAU/USD pair has been in a steady uptrend since the beginning of the year, trading within a narrow ascending channel. Recently, it has turned into a new steeper channel, which is in sharp contrast to the previous broad-based volatility pattern. This turn confirms the strength of the gold bull run, which is characterized by minor pullbacks that attract significant bottom-hunting activity, leading to rapid new highs. Although the short-term gains appear somewhat overdone, bullish sentiment remains strong, clearly dominating the market. The short squeeze has prompted significant short-covering, creating a “fear of missing out” atmosphere in the gold market, with new buyers constantly entering to capitalize on the upward momentum. Analyzing the trend, gold prices are approaching the psychological level of 3000, and given the alignment of market sentiment and capital, a quick achievement of this target cannot be ruled out in the near term. It is recommended to buy around 2900 during price pullbacks, with a target near 3000 and a stop loss below 2865. Trading Recommendations Trading Direction: Buy
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by chihaaymen
The Daily Edge - 19th Feb 2025Trading the Consolidation: Positioning for a Potential Reversal Market Overview Tuesday remained within consolidation, and closing above Friday’s open. Preferred long entries remain near 2860 for better risk-reward. Midweek reversal potential in play, positioning for shorts at 2940 highs. Key Observations 2940 tested, but not an ideal long entry – 2860 remains the better zone. Entered shorts at 2940, targeting the consolidation low. 1H Market Maker Sell Model aligns with short bias. Our Next Steps Manage short positions – Adjust based on price behavior. Monitor midweek reversal potential – Look for confirmation. Remain open to invalidation – A break above 2940 requires reassessment. Reflection Prompt How does recognizing Market Maker models alongside higher time frame structures improve conviction in trade setups? #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #PipsnPaper
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PipsnPaper
Is History Repeating? XAUUSD on the Verge of a Breakout!📌 Description: Gold's price action is aligning with a familiar historical pattern, hinting at a potential breakout. Let’s break it down: 1️⃣ Historical Precedent – Looking back, a similar market structure led to a significant bullish move. Recognizing these patterns can provide an edge in anticipating market behavior. 2️⃣ Recurring Structure – Once again, the chart is shaping up in a way that mirrors past price action. If history is any guide, this could be a pivotal moment. 3️⃣ Bullish Pennant Formation – The current price action suggests the formation of a bullish pennant, a classic continuation pattern. When combined with historical context, the probability of a breakout strengthens. 🔍 Fundamental Factors: - Geopolitical Uncertainty: Rising tensions and macroeconomic instability continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. - Interest Rate Expectations: With potential shifts in central bank policies, any dovish signals could fuel further upside in XAUUSD. - Inflation & USD Strength: Any weakness in the dollar or persistent inflation could further support gold’s bullish case. ⚡ Is this the next major move for gold? Let’s discuss! Drop your thoughts below! 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProcessAndIntercept
Gold reacts to unserious peace talksThe United States and Russia recently held peace talks in Saudi Arabia without Ukraine’s participation. Russian officials did not mention offering any concessions and U.S. officials did not claim to have scored any in Tuesday's meeting. Adding to the unseriousness of the talks, Donald Trump called Zelensky a “dictator,” and suggested that Ukraine is responsible for the war, echoing obvious Russian talking points. Gold rose above $2,930 per ounce on Wednesday, just shy of last week’s record high of $2,940. Technical indicators remain in extreme overbought territory, although extreme geopolitical uncertainty may call for extreme readings for longer. In the near term, the pullback appears corrective, with XAU/USD still holding above all key moving averages on the 4-hour chart.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets