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GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,721.720. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,744.828. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
SilverStill on the very same idea as yesterday, we got stopped out of the initial trade but getting a better price to work with, lets see how the next few days pan out, i am expecting to be stopped out a number of times due to election volatility but still we keep the same risk as usual, please trade with caution. *Initial Idea* The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision, set for Thursday, is capturing market attention. A 25 basis point rate cut is widely anticipated this week, with the CME FedWatch Tool indicating a 99.5% likelihood of this move in November. Such a rate cut could lend support to Silver, as lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. In addition, expectations for further economic stimulus from China could enhance Silver's demand outlook. The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC) is convening for a five-day meeting from November 4 to 8, where a stimulus package possibly exceeding 10 trillion yuan may be approved to boost China’s economy. As one of the world’s largest centers for electronics, solar panels, and automotive manufacturing, China’s increased activity could significantly drive up Silver demand.
TVC:SILVERLong
by thabang01
GOLD may test the support levels down to 2350Daily chart Gold TVC:GOLD touched the support line S and rebounded in the last candlestick. So, we need to wait for a confirmation by closing this day and tomorrow, either a successful hammer candlestick, or visiting the lower support levels - one by one! At each shown support level, there will be 2 scenarios: Rebound up or Break down. The technical indicators MACD and RSI are showing a bearing movement. This is only a (Be careful signal)! The direction should be confirmed before opening a new position.
TVC:GOLD
by snour
XAUUSD Pullback Set-Up Demand at 2722 Targeting 2700The XAUUSD (gold) market has a strong initial demand zone at 2722-17 , where a pullback is expected before facing resistance at 2747-53 , which is forecast as a significant supply level. Our major aim is 2700 , which corresponds to a robust daily demand zone. Geopolitical developments are boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Heightened tensions in the Middle East, as well as the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia , have added to risk aversion, attracting investors to gold. Furthermore, the forthcoming presidential election in the United States on November 5 creates uncertainties about prospective fiscal policy moves. Historical trends demonstrate that election outcomes frequently cause volatility in gold as investors hedge against policy changes. These factors are strengthening demand at important levels, which aids our understanding of potential retracements and target zones. If you find this analysis helpful, please consider boosting this idea. Thanks!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by bluechipfx
XAUUSD Pullback Set-Up Demand at 2722 Targeting 2700The XAUUSD (gold) market has a strong initial demand zone at 2722-17, where a pullback is expected before facing resistance at 2747-53, which is forecast as a significant supply level. Our major aim is 2700, which corresponds to a robust daily demand zone. Geopolitical developments are boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Heightened tensions in the Middle East, as well as the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, have added to risk aversion, attracting investors to gold. Furthermore, the forthcoming presidential election in the United States on November 5 creates uncertainties about prospective fiscal policy moves. Historical trends demonstrate that election outcomes frequently cause volatility in gold as investors hedge against policy changes. These factors are strengthening demand at important levels, which aids our understanding of potential retracements and target zones. If you find this analysis helpful, please consider boosting this idea. Thanks!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by bluechipfx
SILVER Is Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for SILVER. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 32.634. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 30.996 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by SignalProvider
1
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD Is Strong Vs EUR, GBP, AUD NZDThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 4 - 8th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, and NZD. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Editors' picks
CME:6N1!
by RT_Money
4
Gold on possible Bearish cycle / #2,600.80 TargetFundamental analysis: The Price-action swings currently inside a #2,217.80 - #2,732.80 Neutral soft Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and comprehensibly Bearish values across all Hourly and Minute charts. I am uninterested on the extra Risk involving Trading outside my breakout points as I am already on Selling order. It is interesting to see however that Daily chart although isolated within Descending Channel (started on recent Intra-day slide) looks more like a Medium-term Bearish reversal especially as long as the #2,752.80 - #2,762.80 Resistance zone stays intact (the Neutral to Bearish High’s / Low’s is the first signal in support to this argument). This is further backed up by the fact that today’s session observation on how Hourly 4 chart appeared to form strong Double Top formation is now Technically seen on the Bearish shift on most of my indicators. This means that most of the Buyers started Profit taking process and more Selling pressure will be visible also Fundamentally since Trump won the Elections. This will add more confidence on the markets (which I mentioned on my recent remarks) and Technically as well Gold might deliver another #100 - #150 point decline ahead. My position: I have engaged Medium-term two re-Sell orders on #2,745.80 (as in previous Buying orders, #2.0 and #3.0 Volumes on each order) with #2,600.80 as an optimal Target. Also, I will start Shorting Gold as Technically as evident on previous cycles, #2,790.80 should represent Ultimate Top zone for now and #2,552.80 - #2,600.80 poses as an excellent Medium-term Target on Gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold on possible Bearish cycle / #2,600.80 TargetFundamental analysis: The Price-action swings currently inside a #2,217.80 - #2,732.80 Neutral soft Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and comprehensibly Bearish values across all Hourly and Minute charts. I am uninterested on the extra Risk involving Trading outside my breakout points as I am already on Selling order. It is interesting to see however that Daily chart although isolated within Descending Channel (started on recent Intra-day slide) looks more like a Medium-term Bearish reversal especially as long as the #2,752.80 - #2,762.80 Resistance zone stays intact (the Neutral to Bearish High’s / Low’s is the first signal in support to this argument). This is further backed up by the fact that today’s session observation on how Hourly 4 chart appeared to form strong Double Top formation is now Technically seen on the Bearish shift on most of my indicators. This means that most of the Buyers started Profit taking process and more Selling pressure will be visible also Fundamentally since Trump won the Elections. This will add more confidence on the markets (which I mentioned on my recent remarks) and Technically as well Gold might deliver another #100 - #150 point decline ahead. My position: I have engaged Medium-term two re-Sell orders on #2,745.80 (as in previous Buying orders, #2.0 and #3.0 Volumes on each order) with #2,600.80 as an optimal Target. Also, I will start Shorting Gold as Technically as evident on previous cycles, #2,790.80 should represent Ultimate Top zone for now and #2,552.80 - #2,600.80 poses as an excellent Medium-term Target on Gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold key levels for the coming week with both buy and sell entryExpecting a lot of volatility in the coming week with the US elections on November 05. Thoughts is a win for Trump would be good for the US dollar and a win for Harris would cause a drop this is just based on past results. Levels Consider a buy at Buy 2754 expecting the following 2762 2772 to 2774 will act as resistance if broke then expect 2780 2790 2805 possible on a Harris win 2818 if broken we can expect to see 2850 On the downside ill look for a sell at 2728 expecting 2720 2714 (will act as resistance) 2700 to 2702 will act as resistance and if broken then expect 2690/2684 2650 2640 2622 2600 As always trade safe take profit move your SL to secure some profit
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
Hedging Price Risk in Silver in a Pivotal Week This is a big week for financial markets, a long-anticipated election in the US is likely to have widely varying impacts across major asset classes. Safe haven assets such as silver stand to benefit from the uncertainty. There is also an FOMC meeting scheduled on 7/Nov (Thu) where the Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. A lower rate environment also serves as tailwind for silver. Finally, the Chinese parliament is expected to announce details of fiscal stimulus on 8/Nov (Fri). Fiscal stimulus in China also stands to benefit silver through higher investment demand as well as industrial demand. In what should fundamentally be a strong week for silver, prices have entered the week on a bearish note following a 3.4% decline last week. While fundamental outlook for Silver remains bullish, this eventful week may drive unwanted volatility. Indeed markets are expecting large moves in silver prices with silver options IV near a 1-year high. Source: CME Group CVOL Investors can strategically deploy CME silver weekly options along with a long position in silver to capitalize on the fundamental increase while remaining protected against volatility. BULLISH FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK FOR SILVER Mint Finance covered some of silver’s bullish fundamental drivers in a previous paper . In brief, robust growth from the photovoltaic (PV) sector is driving high demand. PV installations are surging, with global solar installations up 29% year-over-year, driven by aggressive climate policies and energy transition goals. This increase has directly boosted silver consumption, essential for PV production. At the same time, silver markets have stayed in a supply deficit for the past four years. Silver miners have struggled to keep pace with the rapidly increasing industrial demand. China’s massive stimulus package—its largest since the pandemic—also plays a crucial role, freeing up liquidity to revitalize its struggling economy. This stimulus supports sectors like PV and electronics, key industries for silver usage, while bolstering consumer confidence, which translates into heightened demand for silver in electronics and jewellery. Investment demand for silver has started to pick up pace. Since July, U.S.-listed silver ETFs have seen over $942 million in inflows, particularly after the Fed’s rate cuts, which makes non-yielding assets like silver more attractive. HIGHER SILVER JEWELLERY DEMAND IN INDIA The recent festival season in India saw high demand for silver as buyers opted for it over gold. Silver sales by volume are expected to have increased 30-35% YoY while gold sales fell by 15% according to data from the Indian Bullion & Jewellers Association. Rising investor interest in silver is partly due to its relative affordability compared to gold, which is trading at an all-time high. While high gold prices are dampening demand, especially for physical gold and jewellery, silver remains more accessible, supporting increased investment. Rising investment demand, particularly for jewellery, risks pushing silver further into deficit. While jewellery demand for silver had been modest in recent years, 2022 saw a significant increase. According to the Silver Institute, jewellery demand is projected to grow by 4% in 2024 (but below 2022 levels), with actual demand potentially exceeding this due to the strong seasonal trend. Increased demand would further tighten silver supplies, likely driving prices higher over the next year. UPCOMING FOMC MEETING AND CHINA STIMULUS TO DRIVE SENTIMENT China’s parliament has started it five-day meeting on 4/Nov (Mon) and is expected to announce the details of the fiscal support on 8/Nov (Fri). Analysts suggest the fiscal plan could reach 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion), with most funds likely allocated to refinancing local government debt. A substantial fiscal stimulus plan is likely to support silver prices. Recent economic data from China has also shown a recovering industrial sector as China’s manufacturing PMI rose from 49.8 to 50.1 in Oct as the manufacturing sector shifted into expansion after 5 months of contraction. In case the trend continues, stronger industrial demand also stands to push silver prices higher. SILVER IN THE MIDST OF CORRECTION DURING UPTREND Silver continued its bullish momentum from September into October but has corrected sharply over the past week. During the rally earlier this year, when silver prices corrected, they were able to find support at the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels. With Silver presently just above the 38.2% level, it may find support here. Silver’s performance in the past two months has closely aligned with monthly pivot points. In both September and October, prices tested these pivot levels before moving higher. However, recent tests have shown smaller deviations from the pivot compared to prior months, suggesting that volatility could push prices slightly lower during this month’s test. There is strong reason to believe that the general bullish trend is likely to continue into next year. According to a poll at the LBMA precious metal conference, delegates expect silver prices to rise to USD 45/oz over 2025, reflecting a 37% increase from present levels. Precious metal analysts were highly optimistic about silver, stating that higher industrial demand combined with continued supply deficit was likely to drive strong gains. SEASONALITY SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR LARGE GAINS IN NOVEMBER Silver prices closed out October with a 4.6% increase but are currently nearly flat for November. Historically, November has been a mixed month for silver, with an average price increase of 1.88% since 2000, though with high standard deviation. Notably, only 42% of Novembers have shown positive gains. Despite this variability, past performance shows periods where silver either consistently declined or consistently rallied over multiple Novembers. Over the last two years, November has seen significant growth in silver prices; if this recent trend persists, silver could experience strong gains this month. SILVER’S PERFORMANCE AROUND ELECTIONS Certain safe haven and risk assets (gold, silver, BTC) stand to benefit from a Trump presidency. Historically, elections have impacted silver prices in varying ways. Following the Trump victory, silver stands to benefit. Looking at silver’s historical performance in the two weeks following elections since 1980, prices increased by an average of 0.7% when a Republican replaced a Democrat president. The Democrat-to-Republican shift has led to price rallies in two-thirds of cases. SILVER’S PERFORMANCE AROUND FOMC MEETINGS As mentioned, lower rates have a positive impact on non-yielding investment assets such as silver while also boosting industrial demand during periods with loose monetary policy. During the Fed easing cycles in 2001, 2007, and 2019, silver reacted positively to Fed rate cuts in 68% of cases (performance measured 1 week after FOMC meeting with monetary easing) with an average of 0.9% appreciation on the CME Silver front month contract. Source: CME FedWatch CME FedWatch tool is suggesting that a 25-basis point rate cut is most likely at the upcoming meeting on 7/Nov with a probability of 98%. As the outcome is largely anticipated, the impact of the meeting on silver prices may be minimal. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Silver remains bullish with strong fundamental drivers including the rapid growth in the PV industry and strong investment demand. This week, several major events are expected to drive significant volatility in the silver market. While these events are generally anticipated to boost silver demand, prices may remain unstable and could see short-term declines. Silver is currently trading near its support levels, but increased event-driven volatility this week could lead to significant price swings. In late October, for example, silver briefly surged nearly 4% above usual resistance levels during short bursts of volatility. Although trading volume remained concentrated near the support level, the risk of sudden, sharp moves remains. This could result in a long silver position being prematurely closed out. With a long position in silver futures at risk from near-term event risks, investors can deploy CME weekly options to hedge a long position from near-term volatility which increases tail risk. In the following hypothetical trade setup, investors can combine a long position in CME micro silver futures expiring in December (SILZ4) at an entry of 32 with a protective put using CME silver weekly options expiring on 8/Nov (Fri) (SO2X4) at a strike level of 31 (delta 20, premium of 0.087/oz or USD 435) offers a compelling trade setup while remaining hedged against near-term volatility. Using a delta-20 put option keeps the position fully delta-hedged for the week, as the delta of the long micro silver position aligns with the option’s delta at 20. Since each micro silver contract is one-fifth the size of a full contract, this setup effectively maintains the hedge. In case prices dip below 30.64 by Friday due to volatility from the election, FOMC meeting, and China parliamentary meeting, the put option would offset any losses from the futures leg. In the later part of the month, the outlook for silver is likely to be bullish given the fundamental factors highlighted above, in case prices rise, the position would become profitable above 32.44, offsetting the premium paid for the short-term option. The scenarios in which the position loses: 1) In case prices remain between 30.64 and 32.44 2) In case prices fall below 30.64 following the put option expiry on 8/Nov The scenarios in which the position profits: 1) In case prices fall below 30.64 before the put option expiry on 8/Nov 2) In case prices rise above 32.44 at any point It should be noted that it would be prudent to set a stop loss on the long futures position following options expiry at 31 to minimize losses in case of a decline after options expiry. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!Long
by mintdotfinance
Gold collapse imminent? 7hr chartPrice action on Gold since August as shown on the above 7hr chart. A Euphoric rally in the last 3 months has Gold bugs jubilant in celebration with a record 48% win from September 2011 (Ignore the 480% return of the S&P 500 in the same period). There are now messages aplenty calling for $5k and beyond. Who knows. One thing I do know, a common theme throughout the messages, people are euphoric. Market tops print with euphoria. Now this idea is not about who is wrong or who is right, congratulations if you've made a profit. The point of the post is to make sure profits are realised. A profit on paper is not a win and the bubble may now be about to pop. 90% of folks long on gold will not collect the recent gains. Why might the party be about to end? A few reasons.. 1) Price action support is broken. This is also true for RSI. 2) Throughout history RSI above 80 on the 3 week chart (below) has been a warning shot for extreme overbought conditions. Look left. Corrections between 20% and 50% are recorded. 3) Price action is at historical macro resistance (see 2 month chart below). Is it possible this time is different? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww 3 week 2 month
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by without_worries
27