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EURUSD - double scenario So I develop a strategy on 6E1! that I post to you. I identified a H&S that seems to have broken the neck with a bearish retest in the area of ​​1.14. Theoretically the daily left shoulder volumes are "decreasing" confirming a potential bearish H&S structure, furthermore we are under the POC bullish leg that was touched with the retest, the short scenario should be confirmed with the break of the micro support (under the retest candle) going to confirm a hypothesis of an ABC retracement of Elliott after an impulse with a target around 1.10, the POC area of ​​the previous accumulation phase. The long scenario instead is more attributable to a triangle pattern with volume compression, any overcoming of the POC and the first resistance area around 1.14 with the break of the descending line should confirm this scenario with a potential target in the upper POC area around 1.20... Thank you in advance for any contribution to this analysis.
CME:6E1!Short
by flyhorse
XAU/USD 12 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned previously mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS. Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red. Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055. Alternative scenario: Price has this far failed to target to target weak internal high, as has H4 TF. This could be related to the fact that all higher timeframes remain in corrective bearish pullback phase initiation, therefore, it should not come as a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: Gold price volatility is expected to remain heightened due to the Federal Reserve’s dovish approach and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should remain vigilant, fine-tune their risk management strategies, and be prepared for potential price fluctuations in this highly volatile market. Additionally, recent tariff announcements by former President Trump are likely to exacerbate market instability, leading to further price swings. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold declines amid global calm and progress in U.S.-China trade 🎯 Gold extended its losses following a two-day round of high-level negotiations in Geneva, where China and the United States announced a joint statement aiming to end the trade war between the two countries. 🤝 Key points of the new agreement: ▪️ China will reduce tariffs on U.S. imports from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days ▪️ The U.S. will apply a base tariff of 10% on Chinese goods, along with a 20% tariff on fentanyl ▪️ Both parties will begin implementing the revised tariffs starting May 14 At the same time, the progress in negotiations and easing tensions between India and Pakistan have reduced demand for gold as a safe haven, leading to a drop in its price early in the week. Gold now appears headed toward previous support levels at 3227 and possibly 3180.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AmirMIssa
Gold Is Breaking Support LevelGold is breaking through all possible support levels. The path is now open to $3,200 and then to $3,160. I expect it to move lower. However, I won't participate in the downside — it's too risky, as the overall trend still remains bullish. Could this be the beginning of a global downtrend? I don’t think so. This looks more like a natural pullback after a strong rally, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and the signing of trade agreements by the U.S. with several countries that had previously been subject to tariffs. Gold is simply behaving like a classic safe-haven asset in this context. What’s interesting is that this decline is happening while industrial metals are showing stronger positions. This divergence suggests that gold could correct significantly, while industrial metals might not — again, due to gold’s defensive nature. Let’s see how this unfolds. Overall, I expect gold to move lower.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kventinka
Short-Term Bearish Trading Idea: GoldBias: Bearish Timeframes: 15-Minute to 4-Hour Charts Rationale: Consistent downtrend or weakness visible across intraday (15m, 30m) and short-term (1h, 4h) timeframes. Price action confirms lower highs and lower lows. Possible breakdown below key support levels or moving averages. Trade Plan: Entries: Seek short positions on bounces to resistance or after breakdowns from consolidation. Targets: Focus on recent swing lows or identified support zones as profit targets. Stops: Place stops above recent swing highs or key resistance levels to manage risk. Risk: Monitor for signs of reversal or bullish divergence. Avoid holding positions into major news/events that could trigger volatility. Summary: Gold may decline to 3230 in the short term, as technical signals from the 15-minute to 4-hour charts indicate sustained bearish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lrae2018
India-Pak ceasefire & China-US talks will trigger gold declineTrade Tensions Ease and Safe-Haven Demand Cools 😎 Progress in China-US Economic and Trade Talks The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the US held in Geneva, Switzerland have achieved substantial progress 🎉! Both sides have agreed to establish a regular consultation mechanism and plan to issue a joint statement 📄. This progress has significantly alleviated market concerns about the escalation of trade frictions, causing a sharp decline in the safe-haven demand for gold 💸. Geopolitical Risks Mitigated India - Pakistan Conflict : India and Pakistan have reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement 🤝! Tensions in the region are finally calming down, further weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold 👀. Russia - Ukraine Conflict : The two sides of Russia and Ukraine are likely to restart negotiations on May 15 🤝. This positive development is easing the situation and dampening the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset 📉. Middle East Situation : The situation in the Middle East (such as the negotiations between the US and Iran) has also eased 🌮. Great news for stability, but not so great for gold's safe-haven status ⚖️. With all these factors at play, Suggest going short on the rebound 💰! Seize the opportunity while the market trends downward ⬇️. ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3300 - 3290 🚀 TP 3260 - 3240 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign-
Gold Price Action (TRAP)Gold has been respecting a clear descending channel on the 1H timeframe. After a strong bullish impulse, price has been consolidating within this structured decline, showing lower highs and lower lows. But something interesting is happening now... 🔍 Current Observations: Price remains within the lower boundary of the descending channel — showing signs of compression. Volume spike detected near recent lows while candles remain relatively small in range. This is a classic “Volume > Price” divergence, often associated with smart money absorption or hidden accumulation. 💡 What This May Mean: Despite the bearish structure: The increase in volume without new strong lows could indicate that institutional players (smart money) are absorbing sell orders from retail traders. These setups can often lead to a sharp upward breakout, especially if the price closes above the channel midline or recent swing high. 📌 What to Watch: A confirmed break above the channel (preferably with strong volume) would validate a potential reversal. Support remains fragile around the lower boundary. Failure to hold may trigger a final flush or fake-out before reversal. 🔔 Strategy Ideas: ⚠️ Don't jump in early — wait for a clean breakout candle with follow-through. ✅ Look for confirmation like: Bullish engulfing at key support Volume spike + breakout of last 1–2 candle highs Break of descending trendline with a close 🧠 Final Thought: This may be a smart money trap setup — where institutions accumulate just before the trend turns. Keep your eyes on volume + structure for the clearest signals.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by SuvashishFx
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios: 1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested. 2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target. This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Almenio
5.12 Gold Top Short5.12 Gold Top Short Gold has been weakened by the substantial progress of Sino-US economic and trade talks and the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, which has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. The weekly line has formed a double-needle top pattern, and the downward adjustment will continue this week. Pressure focuses on 3325 and 3300, and the support below focuses on 3260. In terms of operation, rebound high and short are the main ones. If it falls below the support of 3260, go short directly! Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmilyShared
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 3,382.24 Value Area Low (VAL): 3,275.00 (approximate visual level) Point of Control (POC): 3,338.10 High-Volume Nodes: Concentrated around 3,338–3,350 (volume acceptance zone). Low-Volume Gaps: Sharp drop region near 3,310 to 3,295 indicates a lack of market interest – prone to fast moves. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Cluster Zones: Order Absorption Zones: c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High (Volume Spike): Near 3,381–3,382 (sharp rejection, bearish orderflow). Swing Low (Volume Spike): 3,272–3,275 zone, likely buyer absorption. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Downtrend (recent bearish pressure from CVD with price). ADX Strength: CVD Confirmation: 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: Resistance: b) Gann-Based Levels: Recent Confirmed High: 3,382 Recent Confirmed Low: 3,272 Retracements from High to Low: 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bearish-Ranging Hybrid Confirmed by low ADX (weak trend) but bearish pressure from CVD + lower highs. b) Notable Patterns: Bearish Flag: Price consolidating inside a descending channel after a breakdown. POC Retest Failure: Indicates inability to reclaim value area – bearish bias. Projection Path: Shows two outcomes – further drift down vs. range reclaim, with downside currently dominant. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bearish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: 3,325–3,330 (POC rejection zone) Target: Stop-Loss (SL): 3,345 (above 1/3 Gann level and rejection wick) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): Minimum 1:2 b) Bullish Entry (only if reclaim confirmed above POC): Entry Zone: 3,340–3,345 (on confirmed reclaim with bullish CVD crossover) Targets: Stop-Loss (SL): 3,325 (below reclaim point) RR: 1:2 minimum c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ProspireWealth
XAUUSD SEELING SIDESGold (XAUUSD) Trade Alert – Sell Signal We are currently issuing a Sell Signal on XAUUSD. Sell Now at: 3327 Sell Limit Order: Also set at 3327 Stop Loss: 3345 Take Profit Targets: Target 1: 3315 Target 2: 3300 Target 3: 3280 This signal indicates a potential downward movement in the price of gold. Traders are advised to enter a short position at 3327, with a protective stop-loss set at 3345 to manage risk. Gradual profit-taking is recommended at the specified levels to maximize returns while minimizing exposure. Trading Tips: 1. Continuously educate yourself to enhance your trading strategies and stay responsive to changing market dynamics. 2. Only invest capital that you can afford to lose to prevent undue financial stress. 3. Always use stop-loss orders to safeguard against unexpected market moves. 4. Diversify your trades to spread risk and stabilize potential returns. 5. Monitor global news and economic indicators that could impact gold prices. 6. Stick to your trading plan and avoid emotional decision-making. 7. Review and analyze your trades regularly to learn from both wins and losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MALBERT3468
XAUUSD Bias: Intraday Bullish (cautious) Timeframe:4hrGold opened with a 600-pip gap down overnight due to easing geopolitical fears (US/China trade talk optimism), breaking below our key support at 3274.00. However, price quickly snapped back above 3274.00 and is currently showing bullish signs into the London open. 📊 Key Zones to Watch: 3274.00 → if support forms again, early buys possible 3333.00 → safer buy trigger 3380.00 → wedge resistance and key short-term target 🎯 Target Range: From 3274 to 3380 = 1000 pips From 3333 to 3380 = 400+ pips ⚠️ Caution: 3380 also aligns with technical wedge resistance. If we reject there, we may see bearish structure set in for the second half of May.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Thetraderscollective
Palladium poised to growthI expect further growth in palladium. I believe we're only at the beginning of the move. The target is 1045. The chart supports a bullish view. The price is lagging behind platinum (currently, they often trade at parity). Of course, this isn’t a guarantee, since either platinum could drop or palladium could rise. But considering other factors, I see a higher probability of upside for palladium. The overall market sentiment is positive for industrial metals. Trade agreements are being signed, and wars are de-escalating. I believe this could be a very favorable time for copper, silver, platinum, and palladium. 💼 Other positions: Silver – holding Bitcoin – holding Others – closed
OANDA:XPDUSDLong
by kventinka