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2 Ways to Potentially Gauge a Dip in PriceTrading markets should be simple right? Establish the direction of a price trend, take a position in the direction of that trend and enjoy the ride! Of course, in practice, we all know trading is never that easy. All traders go through similar anxieties regarding whether the current level is the correct one to trade. Perhaps one of the hardest challenges if you want to buy an asset, is when a high in price has already been established and prices are selling off. Are you now wrong with your view to buy, or should this sudden weakness be used as an opportunity to take a long position at possibly a better level? As traders, we face these decisions every day, but fortunately, technical analysis offers several tools to aid us. Today, we want to look at 2 approaches that can assist in gauging how far a correction in price may go, and if we should consider that dip in price as an opportunity to take a position or not. Previous Highs as a Support: We all know prices never move in straight lines, be it to the up or the downside. Corrections are often seen as a healthy counter move to the on-going trend. However, being able to anticipate the extent of such weakness and when to make that trade, can be vital. If we look at the chart of the UK 100 Index above, we can see that between May 15th 2024, when the index traded to a high of 8477 and August 5th 2024, when the 7906 low was posted, a period of sideways price activity materialised. An upside closing break from this range materialised on January 17th 2025, at which point, traders perhaps began to anticipate a more extended phase of price strength. However, as we’ve said, prices don’t always move in straight lines, even after such a break higher. Often, a pullback in price develops, offering opportunities to enter the market at potentially a better level than if we’d blindly followed price strength after the initial break higher. A pullback in price is perfectly normal and doesn’t alter possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength. However, the challenge is anticipating where support may be found again, to hold and resume the advance. Often, old price highs can be useful, as having previously marked resistance to price strength, once broken they can become support on dips, and may hold future price weakness, even turn it higher once more. Within the UK 100 index, we might consider 8418 from August 30th and 8477 from May 15th as old price highs, which might then become support, after the January 17th upside break in price. To highlight this possible support area marked by these previous price highs, where buying opportunities might have been offered in the UK 100 index during the January price setback, we’ve drawn two horizontal lines on the chart below. Following the January 17th 2025 upside break, having previously been a resistance focus, the 8418 and 8477 highs, might now became potential support to a dip in price, possibly able to hold and reverse the correction back to the upside. This 8418/8477 range, proved to be support when tested on January 27th 2025, from which price strength developed again, to post new all-time highs. Importantly, it is possible given that this 8418/8477 range proved to be support in January, it could do so again, so keep that in mind, if price weakness develops, at any point in the future. Using The 10 Day Moving Average to Act as a Support to Price Dips: In the example above, the UK 100 index correction in January lasted several days, and in certain cases, this could even last weeks. However, what if price is already within an established uptrend? It’s here that setbacks may be seen over a shorter period of time with shallower price declines. In this type of set-up, it is often the rising 10 day moving average that marks the extent of a price dip, before turning price activity higher again. As an example, let’s look at Gold during 2025 so far, focusing on each recent setback in price. During this latest advance, it has been the rising 10 day moving average that has provided support for price dips on each occasion. Subsequent strength then extended the uptrend to new all-time highs. Within such an advance, as traders, we might focus on the rising 10 day moving average to highlight possible support to short term price dips within an uptrend, and an area we might wish to use to establish long positions, anticipating continuation of the on-going uptrend. However, it is important to be aware, a break under the 10 day moving average support might reflect a change in price direction and see deeper declines. So the use of a stop loss to potentially protect any positions is important. With all this in mind, last Friday (February 14th 2025) saw Gold weakness again back to the rising 10 day moving average support. It will be interesting to see if this holds the recent weakness to extend the current uptrend to new all-time highs, or if a closing break lower develops, suggesting risks could turn towards a more extended phase of price weakness. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDEducation
by Pepperstone
2
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Once again our chart idea is playing out, as analysed. After hitting our first Bullish target, we stated yesterday that we had the lock above 2905 opening 2934. This gave a nice push up of over 200 pips but the gap remained open and still valid. - This was hit today completing this target. Our next range is now open above at 2959 but as we enter into the ATH range, we need to take caution. We are seeing EMA5 break back into 2934 also opening 2905. Range is now big but structure is still very much Bullish and therefore we will continue with our plans to buy dips. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2905 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2905 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2934 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2934 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2959 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2987 BEARISH TARGETS 2872 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2871 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2841 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2841 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2807 - 2781 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2781 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 2764 - 2740 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
Is Bitcoin Now Set Up to Rally?Large Speculators are now net-short Bitcoin futures (red circle, bottom right) according to COT positioning data. As previously published, Bitcoin has never rallied when LG Specs were net-long, but that does not mean BTC is going to instantly start going up with the turn to net-short. From an overall positioning standpoint, Bitcoin is neutral since non of the trader types are at a max position, so reward/risk from a CMR process type trade is not there, but it is interesting to see how Bitcoin now reacts to news (whether bullish or bearish) and see of market tone changes with positioning data changing. I think one week is not enough to confirm so this Friday will be telling to see if LG Specs continue to short BTC or flip back to net-long.
CME:BTC1!
by Crowded_Market_Report
8
GOLD WILL MOVE FOR ALL TIME NEW HIGH ONCE AGAIN.. [Read Caption]Hello Followers I am going to publish my technical setup on XAUUSD, So share your opinion in comments about my analysis.. XAUUSD has made a proper W pattern and it has already broken the resistance also. According to me XAUUSD will continue it's BUY (bullish) trend and will go for long today again . Right now Gold has broken the resistance area that's level is 2940/2934 and now it is possible that gold can retest it and go for the long again and reach to the all time new high again. Gold can reach to the 1st Target around 2960 and then 2nd Target 2980.. I Have clearly applied the LONG POSITION also in it and also shown the W pattern.. KEY POINTS: CURRENT PRICE       2944 RESISTANCE      2940/2934 TARGETS: 1st TARGET            2960 2nd TARGET           2980 CANCEL TRADE    2928
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Team_Elliana_Trades
XAUUSD GOLD breakoutGold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken through the major resistance zone at 2940/2942, signaling strong bullish momentum in the market. This breakout indicates a potential continuation of the uptrend, with buyers likely to push prices higher. Breakout Confirmation & Market Sentiment The breakout above 2940/2942 suggests a shift in market sentiment, with bulls gaining dominance. Increased trading volume and sustained price action above this level further validate the breakout. If gold holds above 2942, it is likely to act as a new support level, providing a base for further upside movement. Potential Upside Targets: 2954 – The first immediate resistance level where minor pullbacks could occur. 2965 – A stronger resistance level that may attract profit-taking, leading to consolidation or a short-term retracement. 2979 – A key psychological resistance zone where price action should be monitored closely. If buyers remain strong, gold could push even higher. Additional Bullish Scenario: If the bullish momentum continues beyond 2979, gold could target the next major psychological level of 3000, which may act as a strong resistance zone. Key Support Levels to Watch: 2942 (Breakout Level) – Should now act as support; a successful retest could confirm further upside. 2928-2930 (Previous Resistance Turned Support) – If a deeper retracement occurs, this area may provide buying opportunities. Trading Strategy Considerations: Breakout traders can look for buy entries on retests of 2942 with tight stop losses below this level. Momentum traders may aim for 2954/2965, adjusting stop losses accordingly. Risk management is crucial—monitor price action at each resistance level to assess continuation or reversal signals. With geopolitical tensions, economic data, and Federal Reserve policies impacting gold prices, traders should stay updated on fundamental factors influencing market direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipsview_Analysis
Gold fluctuates upward, and continues to rise after falling backYesterday, the US inflation data exceeded expectations, and the rebound in inflation further supports the Fed's policy of not continuing to cut interest rates in the near term. Fed Chairman Powell's testimony on Tuesday and Wednesday also reiterated that the Fed does not need to cut interest rates urgently. The main driving force for the rise in gold still comes from a series of remarks by Trump on tariffs, followed by geopolitics and central bank gold purchases. Technically, gold fell sharply in the US market yesterday and then reversed sharply. Gold continued to be bullish in the Asian market. The bulls were very strong. The European and American markets were still dominated by low longs. Pay attention to the support levels of 2908 and 2900 below. Gold recommendation: Gold is long near 2908 or 2902, with a target of 2921-2935.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by eshweshw
1
CME BTC Futures Weekly Plan analysis In this tradingview blog, we will refer to our February 10, 2025, weekly trade plan for CME BTC futures . We highlighted three potential scenarios last week. Our main scenario 1 played out. It did not reach the high we expected in our plan, however, BTC futures consolidated further around the mCVPOC, i.e., our Anchored Volume Profile from November 10th, 2024. We highlighted the following key levels: Yearly Hi:110,920 mCVAH: 104,400 Dec 2024 mid-range: 101,570 Jan 2025 mid-range: 100,610 mCVPOC: 98,075 mCVAL: 93,730 Key Bull Support: 92,505 - 90,000 Scenario 1 stated Further chop and acceptance. We noted the following: “In this scenario, we may see price action remain range bound. Traders look for clarity on how policy may affect market sentiment before further committing capital”. Also, as acceptance (balance) builds, mCVPOC has also shifted. You can see that mcVPOC is currently sitting at 97,965 (when posting this recap). Market was choppy as expected, although it did not reach December 2024 or January 2025 mid-range. Markets chopped below mCVPOC, touching mCVAL. This is a time where patience is required and it is better to sit on your hands rather than engaging with markets in choppy conditions. Although we are wary of news and that it may impact prices. Our main portion of analysis and plan is founded upon Volume Profile, multiple time-frame analysis as mentioned in our recap from February 6, 2025. This is just one of many ways to look at the markets. We provide these recaps on our thoughts on markets to help you understand and incorporate these into your own style of viewing and analyzing the markets.
CME:BTC1!
by EdgeClear
XAUUSDGold is approaching the high of 2942 again, and may hit the 3000 mark again. It fell briefly at the double top pressure at the high of 2942 before, and took a small wave of correction. Yesterday, it rose again and approached 2940. It has been trading sideways at a high level since the opening of the market this morning and in the afternoon. Will the market form a three-top top pattern here, or will it hit the 3000 mark? From a technical point of view, the strong in the bull market often encounters resistance. Generally, it will be tested many times and form a market that breaks and rises. The magnitude of the suppression of the decline will not be too large, so the resistance of the bull trend market is used to break the position. The probability of winning by going long with the trend is far greater than that of going short against the trend. If you look at the three-top top pattern near 2942, the price will generally fall rapidly after touching it, and close with a long upper shadow line. Only when it meets this pattern can you see the top. But now it is obviously not. Instead, it continues to fluctuate sideways near the high point, accumulating momentum to rise. It is only a matter of time before it breaks. The probability of breaking today is very high, and it may set a new high and point directly to the 3000 mark. You can focus on the 2930 line to be bullish. The watershed is 2924. If it falls below this position, it will be meaningless to be bullish. The upper pressure is 2950-2960. If you break the high and step back, you can see a second rise. What are your views on gold? Welcome to share your opinions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
GOLD - consolidation after reaching intraday ATHThe GOLD (XAUUSD) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be an overbought consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high. The key trading level is at 2895 level, the consolidation price range and also the current daily pivot level. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 2895 level could target the upside resistance at 2945 followed by the 2980 and 3000 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 2895 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2879 support level followed by 2862. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation