XAUMUSD Tactical Map - XAUMO ZONE INTEL — MUST KNOW LEVELS
Zone
Price Range
Purpose
Yellow Zone
3281 – 3285
Liquidity Trap / Stop Hunt / Fake Break Zone
Green Zone
3286 – 3292
Bullish Ignition Area — breakout activates longs
Red Zone
3292 – 3305
Bearish Rejection — Supply slap zone
KEY S/R ZONES
Resistance: 3285 / 3305 / 3315
Support: 3215 / 3201 / 3170
Dead Man’s Land (No Man’s Zone): 3235–3250 (fakeout noise)
FULL CAIRO SESSION BEHAVIOR MAP
BULLISH SCENARIO: Ride the Rocket
Time (Cairo)
Session
Behavior
Execution Plan
10:00 AM
London Open
Dip to 3215 sweep, fake breakdown
Buy Stop 3230, SL 3214, TP 3260
11:00–12:30
London Push
Momentum push to 3250–3260
Add on breakout + volume, trail SL to 3238
1:00–3:00 PM
Pre-NY
Sideways coil, triangle base
Wait for wedge breakout above 3265
3:30 PM
NY Open
Fakeout dip, then explosion up
Buy Stop 3286, SL 3265, TP1 3305, TP2 3315
4:30+ PM
NY Continuation
Ride trend if VWAP holds
TP at exhaustion, RSI > 60 confirms run
BEARISH SCENARIO: Slice the Floor
Time (Cairo)
Session
Behavior
Execution Plan
10:00 AM
London Open
Fake pump above 3250 to trap longs
Sell Limit 3248, SL 3260
11:00–12:30
London Fade
Breakdown, lower highs
Sell Stop 3220, SL 3235, TP1 3201
1:00–3:00 PM
Pre-NY
Dead bounce into sell again
Re-enter short at 3240 on rejection
3:30 PM
NY Open
Slam candle down
Sell Stop 3214, SL 3235, TP1 3201, TP2 3170
4:30+ PM
NY Continuation
Freefall if RSI < 40
Hold runners into 3170, tighten SL above 3210
HYPOTHETICAL STRIKE ORDERS
Primary Bearish Order (High Probability – “Execution Blade”)
Type: Sell Stop
Entry: 3214
SL: 3235
TP1: 3201
TP2: 3170
Confidence: 88%
Reason: Volume flush under Ichimoku cloud with engulfing pattern confirmation. NY volatility is the trigger.
Primary Bullish Order (Breakout Missile)
Type: Buy Stop
Entry: 3286
SL: 3265
TP1: 3305
TP2: 3315
Confidence: 65%
Reason: Break above liquidity trap with volume spike post-NY. Needs RSI > 55 and divergence confirmation.
Scalp Setup (Early Killshot)
Type: Buy Stop (Fade Reversal)
Entry: 3230
SL: 3214
TP: 3250
Confidence: 70%
Reason: London opening trap sweep and snap back.
SCALP / SWING ACTION ZONES
Scalp: 3220–3235 (Fade traps, use tight stops)
Swing: 3215 Break = DUMP into 3201/3170
Only Swing Long if 3285 flips into solid support post-NY
Strategic Checklist
When to Strike:
→ Confirmed volume + price behavior at mapped levels (3215 / 3285)
When to Defend:
→ If price chops inside 3235–3250. No entry. Let market choose.
When to Scalp:
→ During liquidity sweep or fake NY dips. Quick TP, tight SL.
When to Swing:
→ Only on confirmed session breakouts (NYO flush or pump).
FINAL WORD FROM XAUMO
The battlefield today is volatile, full of liquidity traps and engineered fakeouts. Your weapon is precision timing, not prediction. Watch volume, read rejection wicks, and strike with purpose. No mercy. No hesitation.
Futures market
GOLD ANALYSIS💸GOLD💸
Chart Timeframe: DAILY
Overall Trend: Bullish
Current Market Structure: Bearish
Scenario 1 :
Price is at a current demand area , if we do not respect this level at 3210 & We break and close below it .
We can anticipate price to move to the downside , Targeting the imbalance in the market at 3000 .
Gold Is Doing What Ever Gold Wants To DoPreviously I posted a reading where I said gold was to go a bit down before is went up. But Gold didn't go down, and went straight up.
But it did go up right :D
Right now I strongly believe gold is in a wxy correction.
And I think will finish the y-wave i the green box area somewhere between 3,147 and 3,077, which is the 100-123% fib-level of the w-wave.
The reason I believe this, is at that timewise the y-wave will here have taken as long as the w-wave, and I the price is heading for that cyan median line. And normally price will also go to the bottom and a bit below of the Kennedy line.
Multiple factors are pointing to that level.
When price hits that level, I believe we will see a 5th level to the upside where 4,000 definitely is in play.
I will include a link to a higher degree reading, where you can see I believe gold has finished a third wave, so we still need a 5th wave to the upside.
EURUSD - double scenario So I develop a strategy on 6E1! that I post to you. I identified a H&S that seems to have broken the neck with a bearish retest in the area of 1.14. Theoretically the daily left shoulder volumes are "decreasing" confirming a potential bearish H&S structure, furthermore we are under the POC bullish leg that was touched with the retest, the short scenario should be confirmed with the break of the micro support (under the retest candle) going to confirm a hypothesis of an ABC retracement of Elliott after an impulse with a target around 1.10, the POC area of the previous accumulation phase. The long scenario instead is more attributable to a triangle pattern with volume compression, any overcoming of the POC and the first resistance area around 1.14 with the break of the descending line should confirm this scenario with a potential target in the upper POC area around 1.20... Thank you in advance for any contribution to this analysis.
Gold BAT Pattern Creation?Do you think the chart is helpful? Drop your comments :)
As we can see, we have 2 levels of resistance at which the price can play in between.
The triangle is a strategy to wait for the price to go higher, but big accounts can sell from here!
Clear BAT pattern creation for me!
This is not financial advice, but it's a 10-year experience idea.
Our previous trades were successful, and I hope you all profit from this.
Good luck
XAU/USD 12 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned previously mentioned that I would continue to monitor price and depth of bearish pullback following previous bullish iBOS.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not mark the previous iBOS. I have however marked this in red.
Price continued bullish and subsequently printed a bearish iBOS to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,435.055.
Alternative scenario:
Price has this far failed to target to target weak internal high, as has H4 TF. This could be related to the fact that all higher timeframes remain in corrective bearish pullback phase initiation, therefore, it should not come as a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold price volatility is expected to remain heightened due to the Federal Reserve’s dovish approach and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should remain vigilant, fine-tune their risk management strategies, and be prepared for potential price fluctuations in this highly volatile market. Additionally, recent tariff announcements by former President Trump are likely to exacerbate market instability, leading to further price swings.
M15 Chart:
Gold declines amid global calm and progress in U.S.-China trade
🎯 Gold extended its losses following a two-day round of high-level negotiations in Geneva, where China and the United States announced a joint statement aiming to end the trade war between the two countries.
🤝 Key points of the new agreement:
▪️ China will reduce tariffs on U.S. imports from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days
▪️ The U.S. will apply a base tariff of 10% on Chinese goods, along with a 20% tariff on fentanyl
▪️ Both parties will begin implementing the revised tariffs starting May 14
At the same time, the progress in negotiations and easing tensions between India and Pakistan have reduced demand for gold as a safe haven, leading to a drop in its price early in the week.
Gold now appears headed toward previous support levels at 3227 and possibly 3180.
Gold Is Breaking Support LevelGold is breaking through all possible support levels. The path is now open to $3,200 and then to $3,160.
I expect it to move lower. However, I won't participate in the downside — it's too risky, as the overall trend still remains bullish.
Could this be the beginning of a global downtrend? I don’t think so. This looks more like a natural pullback after a strong rally, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and the signing of trade agreements by the U.S. with several countries that had previously been subject to tariffs.
Gold is simply behaving like a classic safe-haven asset in this context.
What’s interesting is that this decline is happening while industrial metals are showing stronger positions.
This divergence suggests that gold could correct significantly, while industrial metals might not — again, due to gold’s defensive nature.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Overall, I expect gold to move lower.
XAUUSD Double TopOn the daily chart, XAUUSD has formed a potential double top pattern, and short-term bears have the upper hand. Currently, we can focus on the support near 3200. If it falls below, it is expected to continue to fall, and the downward target is the previous demand area of 2974-3022. During the day, we can focus on the rebound shorting opportunities in the 3268-3282 area.
Short-Term Bearish Trading Idea: GoldBias: Bearish
Timeframes: 15-Minute to 4-Hour Charts
Rationale:
Consistent downtrend or weakness visible across intraday (15m, 30m) and short-term (1h, 4h) timeframes.
Price action confirms lower highs and lower lows.
Possible breakdown below key support levels or moving averages.
Trade Plan:
Entries: Seek short positions on bounces to resistance or after breakdowns from consolidation.
Targets: Focus on recent swing lows or identified support zones as profit targets.
Stops: Place stops above recent swing highs or key resistance levels to manage risk.
Risk:
Monitor for signs of reversal or bullish divergence.
Avoid holding positions into major news/events that could trigger volatility.
Summary:
Gold may decline to 3230 in the short term, as technical signals from the 15-minute to 4-hour charts indicate sustained bearish momentum.
India-Pak ceasefire & China-US talks will trigger gold declineTrade Tensions Ease and Safe-Haven Demand Cools 😎
Progress in China-US Economic and Trade Talks
The high-level economic and trade talks between China and the US held in Geneva, Switzerland have achieved substantial progress 🎉! Both sides have agreed to establish a regular consultation mechanism and plan to issue a joint statement 📄. This progress has significantly alleviated market concerns about the escalation of trade frictions, causing a sharp decline in the safe-haven demand for gold 💸.
Geopolitical Risks Mitigated
India - Pakistan Conflict : India and Pakistan have reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement 🤝! Tensions in the region are finally calming down, further weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold 👀.
Russia - Ukraine Conflict : The two sides of Russia and Ukraine are likely to restart negotiations on May 15 🤝. This positive development is easing the situation and dampening the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset 📉.
Middle East Situation : The situation in the Middle East (such as the negotiations between the US and Iran) has also eased 🌮. Great news for stability, but not so great for gold's safe-haven status ⚖️.
With all these factors at play, Suggest going short on the rebound 💰! Seize the opportunity while the market trends downward ⬇️.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3300 - 3290
🚀 TP 3260 - 3240
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
"XAU/USD Bullish Breakout Setup - Potential Recovery Ahead"
After a sharp drop, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation near a key support zone. The chart outlines a potential bullish reversal setup with expected higher lows and a breakout towards the 3338 level. A clean entry with a favorable risk-reward ratio is marked, following market structure logic. This setup avoids risky language and is purely educational.
Gold Price Action (TRAP)Gold has been respecting a clear descending channel on the 1H timeframe. After a strong bullish impulse, price has been consolidating within this structured decline, showing lower highs and lower lows. But something interesting is happening now...
🔍 Current Observations:
Price remains within the lower boundary of the descending channel — showing signs of compression.
Volume spike detected near recent lows while candles remain relatively small in range.
This is a classic “Volume > Price” divergence, often associated with smart money absorption or hidden accumulation.
💡 What This May Mean:
Despite the bearish structure:
The increase in volume without new strong lows could indicate that institutional players (smart money) are absorbing sell orders from retail traders.
These setups can often lead to a sharp upward breakout, especially if the price closes above the channel midline or recent swing high.
📌 What to Watch:
A confirmed break above the channel (preferably with strong volume) would validate a potential reversal.
Support remains fragile around the lower boundary. Failure to hold may trigger a final flush or fake-out before reversal.
🔔 Strategy Ideas:
⚠️ Don't jump in early — wait for a clean breakout candle with follow-through.
✅ Look for confirmation like:
Bullish engulfing at key support
Volume spike + breakout of last 1–2 candle highs
Break of descending trendline with a close
🧠 Final Thought:
This may be a smart money trap setup — where institutions accumulate just before the trend turns. Keep your eyes on volume + structure for the clearest signals.
Nasdaq’s Next Move Revealed This Week – Don’t Miss the Breakout Following a strong surge at the start of the trading week, the Nasdaq reached a new high since March 26th. At this juncture, I anticipate a potential pullback before any sustained upward movement. My analysis suggests monitoring for a retracement to the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), where price action will likely provide critical insights. I see two probable scenarios:
1. A move to the NWOG, followed by a strong bounce, potentially targeting a new all-time high, as some market commentators have suggested.
2. A weak reaction at the NWOG, leading to a breakdown below this level, with 16,000 as the next key support target.
This week's price action will be pivotal in determining the Nasdaq's near-term direction. I recommend close observation of these levels and disciplined risk management when positioning for either outcome.
5.12 Gold Top Short5.12 Gold Top Short
Gold has been weakened by the substantial progress of Sino-US economic and trade talks and the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, which has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. The weekly line has formed a double-needle top pattern, and the downward adjustment will continue this week.
Pressure focuses on 3325 and 3300, and the support below focuses on 3260. In terms of operation, rebound high and short are the main ones. If it falls below the support of 3260, go short directly!
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.