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April 3, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: After Trump announced details of new tariffs, the market turned highly active. From a fundamental perspective, this provided strong support for gold. Pay attention to the 3105 level, which was quickly tested following Trump’s statement before price rallied higher. Unless a clear reversal signal appears, the main strategy remains: buy on pullbacks to support. Key Levels to Watch: 3170–3175: Bullish target zone 3168: ATH resistance 3156: Resistance 3142: Bullish/Bearish pivot line 3120–3138: Price consolidation / value zone 3105: Strong intraday support Short-Term Trading Strategy: For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3146. Watch 3142 first; if the decline continues, monitor 3138, 3133, and 3128. For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3156. Watch 3160 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3165, 3168, and 3170. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
GOLD --> Increased economic risks increase interest rates.OANDA:XAUUSD the sharp increase is driven by high interest rates fueled by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariff war. For selling, risks remain very high, with stock market and cryptocurrency declines only adding to interest in this metal. The market is seeking safety in traditional value storage channels amid speculation surrounding US President Donald Trump's tax plans on "Liberation Day", April 2. With the WSJ reporting that Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% on most US trading partners. This could increase inflationary and stagflationary pressures, weakening the dollar and US Treasury bond yields, supporting gold prices. This week, all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI data, non-farm payrolls report and Powell's speech. Technically, selling is not recommended at this time due to high risks - for buying, we should wait for price corrections to key support levels. Emphasizing the key point that we are not talking about any trend reversals at this time. It's worth waiting for local corrections or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances where you can build trading strategies. Gold will continue rising due to strongly increasing risks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AdrianBennett
2
Gold --> Consolidation before the news. Increase trendOANDA:XAUUSD entering a strong growth phase after a false breakout from support as part of the correction process. The previous high at 3127 is now acting as a robust support for buyers. Strong news is about to be released... Fundamentally, the market is shifting towards defensive assets amid speculation from the WSJ that Trump is considering imposing global tariffs of up to 20% on most of the United States' trading partners while rejecting plans to scale back tariffs. This could create inflationary pressure and stagnation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, thus supporting gold prices. Central banks and investors continue to build positions in gold, but there may be some adjustments before the announcement of tariffs and the release of U.S. economic data. Theoretically, any reaction to U.S. data is likely to be short-lived, as the main event risk on the so-called 'Liberation Day' is Trump's major tariff revelation. The strong resistance level is at 3135. A breakout and consolidation above this level would foster continued growth. However, given the upcoming news, gold may test the area of interest and liquidity between 3025-3020 before further advancing.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AdrianBennett
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -Unemployment Claims -ISM Services PMI Analysis: -Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced -Looking for retest of the bullish structure -Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3100 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
Huge Buy for Gold XAUUSD (Trump announces tariffs of up to 25%)How Trump’s 25% Auto Tariffs Could Be a Huge Buy Signal for Gold The proposed 25% tariffs on automobile imports to the U.S. by former President Donald Trump could have significant economic consequences, many of which could drive gold prices higher. Here’s why: 1. Trade War Fears and Market Uncertainty A new wave of tariffs could escalate tensions with key trading partners, particularly the European Union, Japan, and South Korea, leading to retaliatory tariffs and a potential global trade war. Uncertainty in global trade historically increases demand for gold as investors seek a safe haven from market volatility. 2. Higher Inflation and Rising Costs Tariffs would increase the price of imported cars, leading to higher inflation in the U.S. Rising inflation typically weakens consumer purchasing power and drives investors toward gold, a traditional inflation hedge. 3. Economic Slowdown and Risk of Recession Automakers and suppliers may cut jobs or reduce production, impacting economic growth. A slowing economy could trigger rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would lower bond yields and make gold even more attractive as a non-yielding asset. 4. Pressure on the U.S. Dollar Trade conflicts can destabilize the U.S. dollar, especially if major economies reduce reliance on U.S. exports or retaliate with their own tariffs. A weaker dollar increases the price of gold, as gold becomes cheaper for foreign investors. 5. Central Bank Demand and Gold Accumulation If economic uncertainty rises, central banks may increase gold reserves, further boosting demand. We’ve already seen major central banks accumulating gold at record levels, and new trade disruptions could accelerate this trend. Conclusion: A Strong Bull Case for Gold If Trump’s 25% auto tariffs take effect, they could trigger inflation, market volatility, and economic slowdown, all of which are bullish for gold. With central banks buying aggressively and rate cuts likely on the horizon, this could be a major buying opportunity for gold traders. Would you buy gold in this scenario? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZILATRADES
11
The long-short sweep may still explodeThe tariffs were also successfully implemented. In response, the market bulls and bears also responded strongly. After all, the 3105-3142 area rose and fell in seconds, which was a terrifying market. Of course, to be honest, this wave of turbulence was mostly caused by institutions. After all, the market smashing was also extremely strong. However, I don’t agree with the impact of the tariffs implemented last night. First of all, looking back at the market situation, Trump said that tariffs would be imposed on many countries, which actually meant a 20% retaliatory tariff on the European Union. As for some other countries, only a 10% general levy was implemented, which relatively resulted in an unequal tariff situation. Of course, Trump also reiterated that Canada and Mexico still have tariff exemptions in a limited range of goods. So what impact will this situation have on the bulls and bears of gold? To be honest, personally, I have undoubtedly overestimated the announcement of this tariff. In other words, the implementation of this tariff is a bit insufficient in my eyes. After all, I expected that Trump would make major changes in his previous speech. As a result, it is a significant reduction compared to his previous years in office. This has also limited the outbreak of risk aversion. Of course, trade risks definitely exist, but through the matter of adding Mexico, this is completely negotiable. For this tariff event, I don’t think there is a big risk stimulus. Of course, the key is to see whether the market buys it. If the market thinks it will stimulate long-term risk aversion, then it will inevitably be pushed up by buying. However, the intensity of yesterday’s tariffs was not strong in my opinion. This may also limit the outbreak of longs to a certain extent. After all, the market’s expectations for it were too strong in the early stage, which also led to the early rise of longs, which also included the digestion of news. For this, you still need to be cautious. Then looking back at the current market, the tariffs have been implemented, and in a blink of an eye, we will also welcome the announcement of non-agricultural data. As far as the current market is concerned, the various US economic data have also improved relatively. After all, the substantial growth of ADP has undoubtedly dispelled the rumors of economic downturn. After all, the warming of the labor market undoubtedly reflects the warming of the US economy. Under the influence of tariffs, it has indeed boosted the US economy. Of course, the impact of the data is not just that. The current remarks about the slowdown in inflation are self-defeating. Due to the implementation of tariffs, inflation is likely to rise further. This directly hits the Fed's expectations of a rate cut, and the warming of the labor market has further limited the possibility of the Fed implementing a rate cut. In this regard, no matter what the final result of the market outlook is, based on the current situation, I personally think that it is really difficult for the Fed to implement a rate cut this year, which has also led to a reduction in the momentum of gold bulls. Moreover, if this situation continues, the Fed does not rule out the possibility of being forced to implement a rate hike. Although Trump is also calling on the Fed to cut interest rates, the fact is that it cannot be implemented at present, unless the US talks with other countries again during this period to discuss a reduction, as it did with Canada and Mexico. Otherwise, as time goes by, as the tariff issue intensifies, inflation will be restricted, thus affecting the implementation of the Fed's policy. At this time, you can pay more attention to the market dynamics. So for today, although gold is currently stimulated to rise, I don't quite agree with the emergence of new highs for gold bulls. To put it bluntly, for now, even if a new high appears, gold breaks through 3160, which is more of a possibility of inducing more. I am not saying that I am blindly bearish, but you have actually seen that gold is blocked at a high level, and the momentum of falling back is also extremely strong, especially gold started three consecutive positives last Friday, and as of Tuesday this week, it stopped falling near the highest point of 3149. The bull outbreak is already facing exhaustion. Even if the bulls rise again today, where can they rise, to 3200? Then what? You should know that it is cold at the top. Unless there is absolute bullish momentum to support gold to continue to rise, there will be a peak at any time. The short space is still large, just waiting for an opportunity. In particular, the sharp increase in ADP has led to the market betting on the negative non-agricultural data. Once gold is blocked from rising, it will inevitably collapse in an instant. Especially when this kind of news stimulates gold to rise, retail investors in the market will not consider its fundamentals. They will only think that interest rate cuts are absolutely good for bulls and the implementation of tariffs is absolutely good for bulls, which will lead to buying. This is also a chance for institutions to snipe bulls. For this, for today and tomorrow, even if gold breaks a new high, you should not blindly follow the trend. Remember to guard against the possibility of a resurgence of shorts. In this regard, I personally prefer the possibility of shorts looking back at the possibility of breaking 3100 and falling to 3080-3050. You can be cautious about this. As for today's opening, gold opened high at 3141, and encountered a flash crash at 3128 at the opening, and then rebounded to 3139 and then flash crashed to 3123. This performance can be said to be extremely strong. In this case, I certainly cannot notify the operation. After all, the fluctuation is too fast. With a quote every second, even if you give an order, you may not be able to enter the market in time. For this, you still need to wait for the market to calm down. As for today's market, the fluctuation may be relatively strong. You can wait and see and be cautious. As for the specific operation details, I will give them in real time. Remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss. ​ ​
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown (1H + 4H Combo) gold can spike briefly in early Tokyo session if BOJ doesn’t act immediately. NO, it won’t last if BOJ hits the market or USD/JPY reverses. 1. Price Action – Tension’s High • 4H: Classic Evening Star showing up. That’s a solid bearish reversal — sellers are circling. • 1H: Weak bullish candle trying to break out, but it’s soft. Feels like bulls are exposed. • Inside Bar on 1H: Tight, coiled range. Something’s about to pop — either a breakout or a flush. 2. Range Game – Price is Trapped • Right now, we’re chopping between 3,154 – 3,160. • Price is teasing strength but keeps rejecting resistance. • Trap zone is active — don’t chase a late bull move here, that’s how you get clipped. 3. Indicator Signals – Read Between the Lines • VWAP on 1H: Flat. Price is just above, but there’s no real conviction. • Volume: • 1H: Dropping off — sellers may be setting the bait. • 4H: Climbing — looks like big money is getting ready to pull the rug after drawing in late buyers. 4. Trend Check – Short-Term Pullback Brewing • 1H: Price is pushing into resistance — feels toppy. • 4H: Overbought vibes, and bearish divergence is starting to creep in. 5. Volume – Telling the Real Story • 1H: Weak follow-through. Buyers are drying up. • 4H: Volume’s picking up, but it could be climax buying — one last push before it rolls over. 6. Key Zones – Support & Resistance • Resistance: 3,160 – 3,175. Price hit it and bounced like it ran into concrete. • Support: 3,132 – 3,122. That’s where buyers show up with bags of cash. • A clean break below 3,154 opens the trapdoor. 7. Momentum – Running Out of Gas • Bulls tried. They’re tired. • No solid follow-through = bears lining up to take control. 8. Elliott Wave – The Final Push • This looks like a stretched-out Wave 5. It’s spent. • Correction Wave A likely on deck — target: 3,132. 9. Harmonics – Pattern Breaking Down • Bearish AB=CD pattern forming, but the D-point never reached 3,172. • It’s rejecting early — could be a heads-up for reversal traders. 10. Volatility – Calm Before the Storm • Nikkei’s dropping — that’s risk-off. Could give gold a short-term pop. • But if the BOJ steps in and the yen strengthens, USDJPY drops, and gold might not hold gains. • No major moves out of Cambodia/Vietnam yet, but keep an eye on JPY volatility. ⸻ Trade Setup – Asia Session Plan • Order: Sell Stop @ 3,153.00 (wait for the breakdown) • Take Profit: 3,132.00 (targeting the demand zone) • Stop Loss: 3,163.00 (tight stop just above resistance) • Confidence: 88% ⸻ Why This Trade Makes Sense: • You’ve got a bearish reversal on the 4H and no real volume to support a bullish breakout. • A breakdown from this range opens up a clean downside run. • Asia’s risk-off, but gold already reacted — the juice might be gone. • 2.1 R:R setup — tight, sharp, and efficient. ========= SHORT-TERM: Gold’s Got a Window – But It’s Narrow • Nikkei’s drop = risk-off vibes. • Tariff tension = safe haven demand rises. • Asian traders might push XAUUSD up a bit early, sniffing fear in the market. • If BOJ stays silent, gold pumps toward 3,162 - 3,170.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike 🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF 🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution. ☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3111 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3136 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence ———— CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3142 Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3111 Strong Rejection from 3149 – The Ultimate Pivot Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot 🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation Twin Wicks @ 3136 – Liquidity Engineered Twin Wicks @ 3127 – Liquidity Engineered ☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory —— 💯 31 march 2025 – bearish Retest 3126 💯 31 march 2025 – bearish Retest 3126 💯 1 april 2025 – Liquidity Grab Range 3118 : 3126 💯 1 april 2025 – Bullish Retest At 3126 : 3130 Zone 👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
OIL Today's strategyThe prospects for global economic growth have become dismal due to the tariff policy. When the United States imposes additional tariffs on all goods, the costs of international trade will increase significantly, and trade exchanges among countries will inevitably be curbed. The profit margins of many enterprises that rely on imports and exports will be severely squeezed, and their production scales are likely to be reduced accordingly, which in turn will lead to a decrease in the activity level of industrial activities. Since industrial production has always accounted for a large proportion of the demand for crude oil, the contraction of industrial activities will surely deal a heavy blow to the demand side of crude oil. Trump's comprehensive tariff policy has a negative impact on the crude oil market from multiple dimensions, such as economic growth, OPEC strategies, inventory, and financial market speculation. Therefore, it is expected that the price of crude oil will show a downward trend in the coming period. OIL Today's strategy sell@70-70.5 tp:69-68.5 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
TVC:USOIL
by HenryClarke
XAUUSD Today's strategyAt present, Trump has announced that the United States will impose a comprehensive 10% tariff on all goods. This tariff policy will lead to an escalation of global trade tensions and an increase in economic uncertainties. Investors' concerns about risky assets have intensified, and they will flock to safe-haven assets such as gold, thus driving up the price of gold. The increase in tariffs will cause the prices of imported goods to rise, which in turn will trigger inflation expectations. Under the inflation expectations, as a store-of-value asset, the value of gold will be enhanced, and its price will rise correspondingly. These impacts are merely based on an analysis of general situations. In reality, the market conditions will also be influenced by a combination of various factors, such as the countermeasures taken by different countries, other macroeconomic factors, market expectations, and so on. Therefore, the price trends are likely to be more complex and changeable. XAUUSD Today's strategy buy@3115-3125 tp:3140-3150-3160 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke