Futures market
Russell2000 Futures ShortRTY1! Future is now net Short on the regression break.
I am not taking this trade.
XAGUSD potential bullish biasThis XAGUSD potential bullish bias is likely to play out in a few hours.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 3/3/2025Gold didn't break 3010 support yesterday and has formed a rising triangle as shown. This pattern is a sign of continued bullish trend.
I will buy today and 1st target is 3162, final target is 3178.
XAUUSDAfter today's Trump Speech we are heading higher as shown in analysis.
Sharing your Ideas in comment will help us understand financial markets better
Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations.
Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
tp:72-73
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold's April 2nd Swing: Tariffs Stir MarketsOn the morning of Wednesday, April 2nd, spot gold was trading in a narrow range, currently around $3,114 per ounce. Gold prices rose and then fell on Tuesday. Spot gold once rose to around the $3,150 mark earlier, reaching a new all - time high of $3,148.85 per ounce, but then declined due to profit - taking, closing at $3,114.03 per ounce, with a decline of about 0.3%. US President Trump planned to announce on April 2nd that comprehensive tariffs would be imposed on countries with which the US has a trade imbalance. This led to a large number of safe - haven buying orders, helping gold prices continue to rise. However, near the end, some bulls took profits in advance.
In terms of the 4 - hour - level trend, it is temporarily in a high - level range - bound oscillation, undergoing repair. Currently, the short - cycle moving averages are basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, suggesting that the trend is likely to remain in a high - level oscillation and repair within the day.
The 1 - hour moving averages of gold still show a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upward. Although gold has broken below the moving average support, the strength of the bullish rebound of gold is still relatively strong. Coupled with the support of gold's safe - haven property, the bulls still have the upper hand. As long as the price does not break below $3,100, the bullish view remains unchanged. For intraday operations, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips. Pay attention to whether the support at yesterday's low of $3,100 holds. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance at $3,140 - $3,150 above.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan for April 3, 2025🧠 Smart Money Concepts x Fundamental Flow
Despite negative USD news (ADP & ISM) and Trump’s hawkish blurbs, Gold didn’t pop aggressively — it wicked up into premium supply, then quickly retraced. That’s a liquidity game, not a trend change (yet). Still bullish bias overall, but intraday looks mixed.
🧭 Bigger Picture – D1/H4
Price rejected strongly from the premium supply zone near 3144–3147, leaving a clear wick with imbalance underneath.
Bullish structure remains valid, but we're seeing a potential distribution pattern short-term.
Trendline liquidity & HLs are stacking up below, ideal for a grab.
🟩 Demand zones of interest:
3107–3115 (discount zone, strong reaction in prior sessions)
3086–3092 (last known rally base)
📌 Key Zones
🔵 Premium supply: 3144–3147
🟡 Buyside liquidity: 3147–3155
🟦 Sellside liquidity grab zone: 3107–3115
🟢 Strong demand: 3086–3092
🔴 Major liquidity draw: 3180 zone (untouched weekly magnet)
🧩 SCENARIO 1 – 🐂 “Power of Discount” Buy Setup
“When in doubt, hunt the imbalance out.”
Price dips toward 3115–3107, taps imbalance + OB, shows M5/MS shift
Confirmation + sniper long
TP1: 3142 (last high), TP2: 3180 if momentum kicks in
🎯 Confluences:
Discount OB zone + unfilled imbalance
Trendline tap + BOS + liquidity grab
Weak DXY context
🧩 SCENARIO 2 – 🐂 Trap, Swipe & Rally Buy
Deep sweep to 3086 zone
Reversal signs after stop hunt / equal low grab
Entry on CHoCH or breaker retest (M15 or M5)
TP1: 3140, TP2: 3180
💡 This is the “maximum pain = maximum profit” play.
🧩 SCENARIO 3 – 🐻 Premium Rejection Intraday Sell
“Supply hits, market flips.”
Price tests 3144–3147 again in early session
No BOS on M5, shows weakness (M5/M15 LH + CHoCH)
Sell into imbalance zones
TP1: 3127, TP2: 3110
⚠️ Only take this if we don’t break above 3147. Watch liquidity wicks!
🧩 SCENARIO 4 – 🐻 Fake Pump & Dump
Price spikes through PDH, into 3155–3160
Quick rejection (news-induced spike or algo trap)
Sell setup on lower TF reversal after liquidity sweep
TP to 3115 zone
🎭 A classic “grab & go” trap. Great RR but needs discipline.
📰 Macro Watch – April 3, 2025
Fed speakers are lining up — watch for dollar volatility 👀
China PMI during Asia could boost metals
DXY might stay weak → keep gold supported
Gold is at ATH regions = more manipulation + fakeouts!
Silver Wave Analysis – 2 April 2025- Silver reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 34.50
Silver recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 33.50 (former monthly high from February), 20-day moving average, support trendline from February and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March.
The upward reversal from this support area continues the active impulse waves iii, 3 and (C) – inside which Silver has been moving since December.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 34.50 (the former monthly high from last month).
NQ Short until 10kIt seems inevitable that we are due. Break of a massive daily trendline, retest during Trumps tariff speech. Back under the trendline. NQ going to 10,000 - get on the train.
2025-04-02 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: This is the event bears have prayed for, full blown trade war and this market is not positioned for any downside risk. Let’s see where we close this week. Below 21500 would be amazing but let’s close below 22000 first.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21800 - 23000
bull case: Tbh, best bulls can hope for, is to stay above 22000. I can’t see this going above 22800 for the near future. If bulls do it, I am clearly wrong.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears got the event gift and now it’s about how fast do they want to get out of this. I expect the worst but stops for now are 22800. First target is a strong move below 22300, then bears need to break 22000 and print a lower low. If they do that, we most likely freefall to 22000. If things become real bad, we hit the big bull trend line from August tomorrow, likely around 21800.
Invalidation is above 22800.
short term: LFG. Trade small with wide stops.
medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Big up, big down. Triangle on the 4h chart and both sides made decent money today.
buy gold for the last time in this month!!!buy gold at two steps to catch last wave 5 up...buy at 3100-- and 3090 prices to make money!!!cheers and goodluck guys
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyGold prices hit a new all-time high as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing uncertainty in the global economy. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound.
Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year.
In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2.
In short, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
Nice Trade Buying the LOW OF THE DAY on Crude Oil futures Nice Trade Buying the low of day on Crude Oil futures , you can see the execution to the left, should I close it? (Yes a paper trade) ( Just saw it doesn't show execution)
XAUUSD instant SellXAUUSD instant sell for next couple hours. TP levels highlighted. Apply rsik management and enjoy trading
USOIL is expected to rise to 72.200I. Supply and Demand
(1) Supply
OPEC+ plans 200,000 bpd monthly production hikes in 2025, yet may deepen cuts if prices drop. In 2016, cuts reversed a price slump. EIA projects 440,000 bpd US output growth in 2025, but shale oil costs and regulations could limit growth.
(2) Demand
Global economic recovery, especially in emerging economies, will lift oil demand in manufacturing and transportation. Also, rising temperatures will boost construction and agricultural oil demand.
II. Geopolitics
The Middle East’s instability, such as the Israel - Palestine conflict and Iran nuclear issue, may disrupt oil supplies. US sanctions on Iran also disrupt global supply.
III. Macroeconomy
Loose monetary policies in many countries are weakening the dollar. Since oil is dollar - denominated, a weaker dollar spurs demand. Rising inflation expectations also prompt investors to hedge with oil.
IV. Market Sentiment
Optimism about oil demand and supply concerns boost investor confidence. Geopolitical and economic uncertainties drive up oil’s safe - haven demand.
Overall, multiple factors favor USOIL price increases. But markets are volatile—investors should stay alert.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@70.200 - 70.500
🎁 TP 71.800 - 72.200
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
XAUUSD The position of "BUY"The 3100 level is a strong support area. Right above this support area,buying opportunities present themselves. At price points in this range, a significant amount of buy orders tend to flood the market, offering a buffer against further price decline.
It’s crucial to note that the XAUUSD market is characterized by high volatility. Thus, investors should avoid chasing rallies or engaging in short - selling at high levels. Chasing rallies exposes investors to substantial losses during short - term price retracements. Similarly, short - selling at high levels risks missing out on further upside potential. Stay vigilant to market dynamics, set stop - loss and take - profit levels rationally, and safeguard against potential risks.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@3100 - 3105
🎁 TP 3120 3130 3140
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
symmetric triangle detected possible break aboveConsolidation Phase: A symmetric triangle indicates a period of consolidation where the price is narrowing, with lower highs and higher lows. This suggests indecision in the market, but often precedes a breakout.
Breakdown Expectation: Typically, symmetric triangles break out in the direction of the prevailing trend or sometimes the opposite, based on market sentiment. In this case, if the breakout is expected to be downward (a breakdown), entering a put position would capitalize on the potential drop in price.
Technical Indicators: If other technical indicators (such as RSI or MACD) confirm a bearish divergence or downward pressure, it strengthens the case for a put position.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The pattern allows for a defined entry, stop, and target level, making it easier to manage risk. You can place a stop just above the triangle's upper trendline and set a target based on the height of the triangle projected downward.
Gold - Heading Higher For Another +30%!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) won't stop any time soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2015 we witnessed a significant rounding bottom formation on Gold, starting the next major bullrun. With the all time high breakout back in the end of 2023, this rally was just confirmed and after the recent trendline breakout, Gold can still head much much higher.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
the S&P oil gold silver coffee and othersApril 2nd 2025 this is a general review of markets today follow
Gold fluctuates sideways at a high level and seesaws!The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning around. The 1-hour moving average of gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There will be more data in the second half of this week, and there will also be important event news. Therefore, gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out in a new round of direction. Gold did not break through the intraday high, so our US market will continue to be high and empty.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3138-3140, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
Gold Reclaims Momentum – RSI Enters Overbought TerritoryGold is on fire again, closing at $3,126.45 (+0.38%) and continuing to ride a steep uptrend supported by the 50-day SMA (2,925.58) and a well-respected ascending trendline.
🔹 MACD is trending higher with widening separation – bullish momentum is building again.
🔹 RSI just breached 75.80, putting gold deep into overbought territory.
🔹 No immediate resistance above – price is in discovery mode.
The trend is strong and healthy, but the overbought RSI suggests short-term pullbacks can't be ruled out. Still, buyers remain firmly in control above $3,000.
As long as the trendline holds, gold’s shine won’t fade.
-MW
