Futures market
wHaT's nExT with the gOlD?!TVC:GOLD
This week is very critical for GOLD. After reaching to 3,200 and going back to 3,438:
The Critical price Value is 3,370-3,378.
As long as the price stays above mentioned price it will moves up and the exact values are shown on the chart. In addition, as long as the price stays below the critical point it will provide a higher probability to retest 3,168 or even lower (3,085), after creation of double TOP based on Daily Time Frame.
Note: This publish is to provide you a wider understanding on how gold will react next coming days, do not trade based on the mentioned values,
Regards
XAU/USD 12-16 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
Copper Eyeing Key Reversal Point – Will It Break Above 4.68152 ?Copper is currently hovering near the 4.68152 🔼 resistance after rebounding from the 4.50280 🔽 support. Price is reacting to the 50-period SMA, which is slightly above current levels and may act as a dynamic resistance. The overall structure remains mixed with recent lower highs, but bulls have stepped in at key support.
Support at: 4.50280 🔽, 4.27241 🔽, 4.04129 🔽
Resistance at: 4.68152 🔼, 4.83230 🔼, 4.95323 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 4.68152, and ideally a clean move above the 50 SMA, could signal bullish continuation toward 4.83230 and 4.95323.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection at 4.68152 or a drop below 4.50280 could send price back toward 4.27241.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Market Summary of Gold Last WeekAt the beginning of this week, the gold market has demonstrated strong upward momentum. The spot gold price has rapidly risen from around $3,314 at the start of the week. Boosted by risk aversion sentiment, it has advanced all the way and reached a peak of $3,438, precisely testing the resistance level of the upper band of the daily Bollinger Bands. This price has also refreshed the recent high record.👉👉👉
However, the good situation didn't last long, and the market situation took a sharp turn for the worse in the middle of the week. Due to the excessive increase in the early stage, a large amount of profit-taking from long positions poured out. Coupled with the concentrated release of the demand for a technical pullback, the gold price failed to hold firm at the high level and instead fell rapidly. By the close of trading on Friday, spot gold closed at $3,327.25, experiencing a significant decline compared to the intraday high, indicating that the intensity of the short-term battle between bulls and bears has further intensified.
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
BUY The Major FX Pairs vs USD?? This is the FOREX Currency futures outlook for the week of May 12 - 16th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
USD Index finally finished the move to the Daily -FVG, as forecasted last week. Now, will the resistance hold, sending prices lower? I thinking so.
Look to buy xxxUSD pairs. Sell USDxxx pairs.
Wait for valid setups. CPI Data on Tuesday, so be careful.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD on H4 looking only buysThe current XAUUSD price is around $3,325 (as of May 11, 2025). The chart’s uptrend channel and resistance levels need to be adjusted to reflect this. If we project the channel upward, the price is likely testing a new resistance around $3,400-$3,500, as mentioned in recent forecasts. Support may now lie around $3,200-$3,250. The bullish trend remains intact, but a rejection at $3,400 could lead to a short-term correction.
Capital First: The Golden Rule of TradingTrading is your business. And the most important rule in any business is this: don’t blow all your money. Always protect your capital — it’s the most valuable thing you have. You don’t want to be a baker without any bread, right?
In trading, capital preservation comes first. Making money is secondary.
1. Always use stop losses.
2. Don’t add margin if your account is underfunded.
A margin call is a clear signal that everything you’ve been doing up to this point was wrong. The worst thing you can do is keep doubling down on bad decisions. Stop. Take a break — a month, a year if needed.
3. Analyze your actions and their consequences.
4. Know your stats.
Numbers will tell you, honestly and without emotion, what kind of trader you really are and where your business is headed.
Weekly Market Forecast: Wait For BUYS! Stock Indices and GoldIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May12 - 16th.
The Stock Indices were sluggish last week, holding at support. Wait for a market structure shift to the upside to confirm buys.
Gold and Silver may move higher, as India and Pakistan, Gaza and Ukraine are increasingly troublesome.
CPI Data on Tuesday. This could be a strong market mover.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold Movement Analysis
At the beginning of the market, a corrective move for the liquidity hunt of the major floor 3325 and the collection of orders in the important support range 3252-3240, following a trigger buy to continue the climb to 3480 for now and then the collection of the last liquidity 3500
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Market closed near the high of the week and we made a textbook double bottom below 56. Sometimes it’s not more complicated than that to take a trade.
current market cycle: trading range on monthly tf and bear trend on the daily
key levels: 58 - 64
bull case: 63 is my first bull target, followed by 64 and above 64.38 we likely test up to the bear trend line around 67. Best for bulls would be to keep the gap 59.8 - 60.3 open.
Invalidation is below 58.
bear case: If we drop below 58 again, it’s a clear descending triangle and we could do 56 or lower, again. Right now bears don’t have much since last week was bullish and closed at the highs. Best bears could get is a trading range 55 - 65, so they better keep making lower highs or they have to try again around 67 or higher.
Invalidation is above 64.4
short term: Bullish for 63 or higher. No interest in selling down here.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: 3 legs down on the weekly chart and market has printed a credible bottom around 55. I think we can test back to 65 over the next weeks.
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Not much changed last week so I do not change much of what I wrote then. Bulls want at least 20536 now and run all the stops from before the big sell-off. Bears are not doing anything at all, so bulls will likely get it. This could be a breakout-retest and I marked the area for that with the red rectangle. Small chance bears come around next week but for now it’s still too early to short. The bull wedge is about to break out over the next 1-2 days and if bulls stay above 19600, we should expect higher prices.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels for next week: 19000 - 21000
bull case: 20536 and then 21000. Those are the next targets and bulls are in full control of the market. The measured move from the buy spike at the lows is around 22350 and it’s possible that we get there. I think we need to see a pullback and how deep that will be. If we get only another sell spike and immediate buying for higher highs, we can also assume much higher prices. Above 21100 there is no reason not to go for 23000. Nothing of this changed to last week. Bulls preventing the bears from getting any decent pullback, which is uber bullish.
Invalidation is below 19100.
bear case: Problem for the bulls is, that we have not closed above the weekly 20ema for two weeks now and bears defending the prior lower high 20536. That was and will be my line in the sand next week. Gap close to it, we have no reason not to print a new ath but below19600 I think more bulls will give up, depending on the strength of the selling. As of now, nothing about the chart is bearish but one decent down day > -2% could change that.
Invalidation is above 20620ish.
short term: Neutral. Market went nowhere and trading on hope and fairy dust is not my thing. I wait.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-11: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer. Same update as for dax, I guess we could go down and sideways over the next weeks/months and then have another squeeze into year end. Stairs up, elevator down.
Nifty Futures Intraday Analysis on May 12, 2025My View for Tomorrow:
I hold a bearish outlook for tomorrow. Although the MastersCycle indicator has given a buy signal on the 15-minute interval, I am currently focusing solely on sell setups and will be ignoring buy signals.
Excluding gap considerations, I see strong support levels at 23,977 and 23,753. I have a firm belief that Nifty Futures may test the 23,753 level, provided price action disregards gap zones on either side.
Disclaimer: This is purely my personal view and not a recommendation to buy or sell. As traders, it's essential to rely on sound technical analysis and always adhere to proper risk management principles.
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax
Good Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bull targets are met and we have 4 legs up. 5 even if you count the spikes at the lows. We can do higher but what are the odds? Market is overdue for correction again and given that we easily could do -20% from here, it will be a tough summer. Technically it’s still just bullish but I would not buy up here. Macro-schmackro-wise it’s reasonable to assume that most companies with any US/CN business are worse off than they were before “liberation day”. So my take on this is still a house of cards ready to be blown away by the next small breeze.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels for next week: 22600 - 24000
bull case: 5 Consecutive bull weeks now. If you buy into this at the high, only God may help you. 24000 is the obvious target and it’s a coin flip if bulls can get it. What would make me turn bull? Nothing. Even if bulls print 24400, I would expect it to crash down in less than 2 weeks.
Invalidation is below 22900.
bear case: Two very small pullbacks last week and bulls bought it. Market is refusing to go down and we are still making higher highs. Nothing for the bears here until bulls are clearly exhausted and want out. Market turns more neutral with a daily close below 23000 and I think bearish only below 22600.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Neutral. I wait for clear topping signals and more selling pressure. Long scalps against support if bulls want 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
Rebound or reversal? Analysis of gold trend on Monday🗞News side:
1. The India-Pakistan conflict escalates again
2. The progress of China-US negotiations
📈Technical aspects:
On Friday, we judged that the gold price trend may form a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 line, while the 3450 level above constitutes a significant double-top structure resistance level. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through the important support platform. The K-line on the current day continues to adjust with a shadow line, and the oscillating rhythm of alternating yin and yang is in line with the characteristics of technical corrections. At the beginning of the week, it is recommended to maintain the operation idea of high altitude, low and long
1.🎁BUY 3320-3325, SL 3312, TP 3360-3380
2.🎁SELL 3355-3360, SL 3368, TP 3320-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
BTC CME Gap in Play – Will It Pull Price Lower?📉 BTC CME Gap Alert
There’s a visible gap between 91,950 and 92,560—these often act like magnets, with price revisiting them more often than not. 🕳️
🔍 Why It Matters:
CME gaps tend to get filled, especially in trending markets.
🎯 What to Watch:
If BTC shows signs of weakness near local highs, a short-term move toward this gap is possible.
🚨 Stay alert—this zone could offer entry opportunities or fakeouts before further upside develops.
XAUUSDThe Commitment of Traders (COT) data reveals a shift toward increased selling activity, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. This suggests that traders are positioning themselves for potential declines, possibly anticipating a drop in asset prices. Such trends often signal caution, with market participants adjusting their strategies based on changing conditions.
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
This week, the oil price has sharply declined and then gradually rebounded. Due to the increased demand in Asia and Europe, the decrease in US oil production, as well as the further escalation of the situation in Israel, the international oil price has slowly recovered. Moreover, this week, crude oil has bottomed out and rebounded along the support of the lower band of the daily Bollinger Bands. The MACD indicator on the daily chart has formed a golden cross. Technically, the crude oil has received support for upward movement from the middle band of the 30-minute and 1-hour Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to adopt a strategy of going long at lows for crude oil next Monday.
Trading Strategy:
buy@60-60.5
TP:62-63
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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WTI - Technical Setup Points to April HighsThe US Light Crude chart is displaying promising bullish momentum after establishing a significant double bottom at the $56 support zone. Following a sharp recovery from recent lows, the price has broken above key resistance levels and is currently trading around $61,27 with the green arrow indicating potential continuation to the upside. Technical patterns suggest there is a higher probability that crude oil prices will extend this rally toward the local top formed on April 23rd near $65, completing a broader recovery pattern. With strengthening momentum indicators and improved market sentiment, this upward move appears well-supported, especially if crude can maintain position above the current consolidation range and continue forming higher lows on the daily timeframe.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.