XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 16, 2025🟨 XAUUSD Sniper Plan – April 16, 2025
🎤 Pre-Powell Speech – Gold hit 3333 ATH... what’s next?
🌐 Macro Context
Gold just printed a fresh ATH at 3333.
All eyes now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell – his upcoming speech could spike volatility in both directions.
If Powell sounds hawkish → possible USD strength → gold correction.
If dovish → gold could explode higher into 3350–3365 before retracing.
📊 Market Bias
✅ HTF (H4–D1) trend: Bullish
🔄 Intraday: Overextended – potential short-term correction zone forming
🔺 ATH liquidity sweep at 3333 already done. We're now in premium territory = reversal risk increases.
🔻 Sell Setup 1 – Sniper Sell from 3340–3342 OB
🎯 Entry: 3340–3342
🛑 SL: 3347
✅ TP1: 3325
✅ TP2: 3308
✅ TP3: 3288
🧠 Logic: Fresh OB at the top + RSI showing divergence + possible Powell spike = ideal top sniper sell zone.
🔻 Sell Setup 2 – Final breakout trap sell at 3350–3352
🎯 Entry: 3350–3352
🛑 SL: 3360
✅ TP1: 3330
✅ TP2: 3305
✅ TP3: 3285
🧠 Logic: If price squeezes one last push into 3350–3360 zone, this would trap late buyers chasing breakout. Perfect for short entry post-fakeout.
🟢 Buy Setup 1 – Buy from clean H1 demand below 3300
🎯 Entry: 3291–3293
🛑 SL: 3285
✅ TP1: 3305
✅ TP2: 3320
✅ TP3: 3330
🧠 Logic: Unmitigated H1 OB just under 3300 + fib discount zone + bullish trend continuation setup.
🟢 Buy Setup 2 – Deep retracement buy from HTF OB
🎯 Entry: 3273–3276
🛑 SL: 3267
✅ TP1: 3290
✅ TP2: 3308
✅ TP3: 3325
🧠 Logic: HTF demand + deep fib retrace zone + RSI reset. If Powell triggers a deeper flush, this zone could catch the bounce.
⏱️ Powell Risk Note:
Powell’s speech can spike both directions. Wait for M5/M15 confirmation, don’t jump in early.
Expect volatility, false breakouts, and possible whipsaw traps. Stick to clean sniper entries only.
🧠 Final Bias:
🔁 Intraday: expecting a final top around 3340–3365, then short-term correction.
🔂 HTF: still bullish, but pullback toward 3285–3300 is healthy and likely.
⚠️ Best RR setups are at the extremes – not in the middle of nowhere.
