Gold -Trade Plan 07/11/2024Dear Traders, Gold has broken through its upward trendline, indicating that we have entered a corrective phase. I anticipate a pullback to the range area, followed by a continuation of the downtrend." Dont Forget Like&Comment please ! Regards, Alireza!Shortby alirezak1110
Gold in weekly chartHello guys This is my last analysis. I hope all of you have found your way in this tricky market and for now I just want to show you how XAU will fluctuate in the next weeks. I am not 100 percent sure if wave (iv) has started or not but if it has started then all swing traders should be more careful about this corrective pattern(wave 4th). According to fundamental news and war and peace rumours around the world, a 4 wave patter makes sense. Be safe and Happy my friends by AMA_FX222
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartsLongby ForexMasters2000Updated 221
FED lowers interest rates! Gold recovers in the short term⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) faces challenges building on Thursday’s strong rebound from the 50-day SMA support near $2,643, with some selling pressure emerging in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar has regained strength, partly recovering from its recent slide, and a generally optimistic risk tone weighs on the safe-haven appeal of gold. Meanwhile, the fading “Trump trade” and a lack of hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve keep US Treasury yields lower, potentially limiting USD bullish momentum and offering some support for gold. Traders are now focused on the upcoming Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations for near-term trading cues. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: As expected by the market, the FED cut interest rates by 0.25%, bringing positivity and optimism to XAU in the short term. Currently, other financial sectors are starting to become vibrant again, and it will be very difficult for gold to compete. The downtrend will continue ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2727 - $2729 SL $2734 TP1: $2720 TP2: $2710 TP3: $2700 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2663 TP1: $2675 TP2: $2688 TP3: $2700 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account Shortby Nova-ScalperUpdated 1115
GOLD SHORT TO $2,540 (1H UPDATE)Currently witnessing a pullback on Gold. If we see price push a little higher towards $2,689 - $2,711, followed by a slow down in bullish momentum then I will look to enter another sell position within the Gold Fund for my investors📉Shortby BA_Investments113
GOLD established a falling structure after a sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery is basically stable after yesterday's plunge. The current gold price is about 2,660 USD/ounce. Previously on Wednesday (November 6), after Trump was elected President of the United States, investors rushed to buy US Dollar, OANDA:XAUUSD plummeted to its lowest level in 3 weeks. As sent to readers in many articles about the election of Trump, a shock decline in gold is inevitable because Trump's "steering wheel" will support the Dollar from general economic policies. Trump's victory will boost the dollar as he is expected to propose new tariffs that could cause a spike in inflation and cause the Federal Reserve to pause its easing cycle. Fed decision upcoming After cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this time. The US economic calendar today (Thursday) will focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision. The Fed is expected to reduce borrowing costs by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50%-4.75%. Trump and the Fed Trump's economic policy proposes imposing taxes, increasing the fiscal deficit, and reducing taxes. His economic advice conflicts with the Fed's anti-inflation policy. Therefore, the Fed will be forced to take a very cautious approach when loosening monetary policy. The risk of rising inflation after Trump introduced new taxes could slow the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. This is very important because Trump and the Fed are becoming opposing, it is likely that Trump will destroy all previous efforts of the Fed to curb inflation. For more than 70 years, the Federal Reserve has operated as an independent government agency in the United States, but this tradition may soon be overturned. After declaring victory on Wednesday (November 6), Donald Trump is preparing to talk about "interest rates" after taking office in January 2025, insisting his intuition is better than the Chairman of the Reserve Federal Powell. For more than 70 years, the US central bank has operated as an independent government agency. When officials meet to decide interest rates, they will not need to consult with the president and other elected officials. That's because, as the former Fed chairman famously said, “The job of the central bank is to get rid of the drinking bowl just as the party is getting started.” In other words, they have to make unpopular decisions that ultimately seek to bring long-term benefits to the economy. However, once President-elect Trump returns to the White House, the independence the Fed has maintained for many years could be compromised. Trump's statement was posted on CNN: “I think the president should at least have a say. I feel very strongly,” Trump said about the Fed's interest rate decision at a press conference in August. Trump added: “I make a lot of money, I'm very successful and I think in many situations I have better abilities than the people at the Fed or the president.” Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After yesterday's strong price drop, gold has all the technical conditions to decrease in price through the price channel. The fact that gold was sold below the price channel and the 21-day moving average (EMA21) caused the bullish price structure to be completely broken. Currently, gold is recovering slightly after receiving support from the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, and once this level is further broken below, gold tends to continue to decline with a subsequent target level of around 2,600 USD around the 0.786% Fibonacci retracement area. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index continues to point downward after breaking the 50 level, which should be considered a negative signal for gold as the RSI's next target is 25. Showing that the downward momentum remains quite wide in the front. In the near future, technically, gold has the potential to decrease in price with the price channel being the short-term trend. As long as gold remains in the price channel and below the EMA21 level, the bearish outlook will still be prioritized, and the notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,640 – 2,645USD Resistance: 2,668 – 2,684 – 2,697USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2708 - 2706⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2711 →Take Profit 1 2701 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2696 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2637 - 2639⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2633 →Take Profit 1 2644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2649Shortby Xayah_tradingUpdated 1110
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Intraday Bearish Movement Crude Oil may drop from the underlined blue resistance. As a confirmation, I see an inverted cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame. Goals: 71.20 / 70.84 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ Shortby VasilyTrader1111
Hellena | GOLD (1H): Short to support area 2641.84.Colleagues, I believe that the price will continue the downward movement, but before this movement there is a high probability that the price will reach the area of 2734, then continue the downward movement. There are only 2 options to enter the position. Either you take a risk and enter on the market. Or you wait for the local high of 2710 to be updated. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!Shortby Hellena_Trade119
Accurate gold strategy analysis signalsStrategy 1: Short (buy decline) 20% of the position in batches near 2748-2750 in the early trading, stop loss 6 points, target near 2730-2720, break to see 2710 Strategy 2: Long (buy rise) 20% of the position in batches near 2708-2710 when gold pulls back, stop loss 6 points, target near 2720-2730, break to see 2740 Let's analyze the market without considering the uncertainty of the election. From the daily chart, the daily MA5-MA10 is about to stick together to form a dead cross. In the 4-hour aspect, the continuous negative pattern makes the price continue to run below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average continues to form downward resistance, among which the 10-day moving average and the 5-day moving average constitute double pressure, and other periodic indicators turn to short arrangement, and the Bollinger band is also biased downward as a whole, so it is conducive to the development of shorts. For intraday operations, it is recommended that gold continue to rely on the high point of 2750 for short-term high-altitude layout. In the morning, we will first look at the test of 2718, and in the evening, we will directly look at the break and extension of 2710. Pay attention to the pressure of 2748-2750 during the day. When the gold price approaches or touches it, we will decisively arrange short orders, and the target is a new low. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to short on rebounds, and to go long on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2748-2750 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2725-2730 support.by Angela-LillyUpdated 11
GOLD TO HIT $3000 BY MARCH 2025History is repeating itself, Gold wen 45% up in the time of lowering interest rates of September 2007 to March 2008. Interest rates were lowered 5x by 2.25%, from 5.25% to 3%. FED announced plan to reduce interest rates from 5.5% to 3.5% by March 2025.Longby rtlustymenUpdated 112
Gold Bearish Continuation with Key Support at 2677GOLD Technical Analysis For Gold to continue its bearish trend, it should remain below 2695 and 2707, aiming to break 2677 to move downward toward 2644. However, if a 4-hour candle closes above 2708, it may trigger a bullish move toward 2739. Currently, consolidation between 2677 and 2706 is possible until a breakout occurs. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2695 Resistance Levels: 2706, 2720, 2739 Support Levels: 2677, 2660, 2644Shortby SroshMayi11
XAUUSD - Scalping ! SET UP GOLD PRICE: SELL GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2673 TP1: $2665 TP2: $2662 TP3: $2658 Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Thursday is in focus, with markets widely anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut, which could support gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 98.1% chance of this quarter-point cut in November. Personal comments : Trendline + DOW , Gold price recovered briefly - for the upcoming decline to 2606Shortby Vincent-KAKUpdated 3319
Sideway rhythm - recovers and continues to decrease⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline for a second straight session on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar following Donald Trump’s election victory. The reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold reflects market optimism and a shift towards “Trump trades,” spurred by the clarity of the election outcome, which contrasts with earlier fears of a contested result. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Yesterday's strong sell-off - proving the downward trend in gold prices by the end of 2024. Sideway rhythm - accumulates and continues to decrease to lower levels: 2606 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2678 - $2680 SL $2685 TP1: $2670 TP2: $2660 TP3: $2650 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2645 - $2643 SL $2640 scalping TP1: $2650 TP2: $2658 TP3: $2670 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599 TP1: $2620 TP2: $2635 TP3: $2650 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital accountShortby Nova-ScalperUpdated 1119
ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS-MORE BULL RUN AHEADSDear Traders, Gold price is in correction and forming wave (iv). After that it will lead an impulse wave (v) which will be our priority to open position.Longby mamnunamalikUpdated 447
Gold market trend analysis and operation strategyI personally prefer to rebound to around 2680. Whether it will break through 2680 depends on the market conditions in the past two days. Of course, even if it reaches 2680, it is expected to be next week. At present, the price has fallen more in the 4-hour level, and the technical pattern has followed quickly. At present, the K-line continues to be under pressure and the short-term moving average remains weak. After the opening of the hourly level, it fell below the previous terraced support belt. In the short-term trend, pay attention to whether there is a secondary decline after the rebound repair. In the early trading, the gold 2662 line arranged short orders, and fell back to the 2643 line as expected to harvest a wave. Now the 1-hour chart 2667 line is blocked, which happens to be the pressure of the downward trend line. If it can't get through here, the short-term trend may still fluctuate! ! ! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2668-2670 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2600-2605 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm Short (buy down) two-tenths of the position in batches near 2667-2670 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 6 points, target near 2640-2620, break to see the 2605 line Gold pulls back to 2600-2605 and buys two-tenths of the position in batches (buy up), stop loss 6 points, target near 2615-2625, break to see the 2640 lineby Scarlett-RoseUpdated 7
XAUUSD Hitting 44 year ResistanceGold is currently hitting a key resistance area that goes back to 1980 (44 year) trendline. Some time may be required to correct and absorb this recent bull move. However, I would not be selling out of it completely if that's what one wishes to do with this information. I prefer people read this chart as a good way to set their expectations in case Gold stalls for a while to prevent them from panicking out of this position. Longer term I remain bullish on gold. Especially with Trump the 6-time bankrupt "businessman" being the 47thby RealMacro114
XAU! 11/8! Create liquidity for the downtrendXAU / USD trend forecast November 8, 2024 Gold prices rose above $2,700 after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and noted that US election impacts are unlikely to be immediate. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,704, up over 1.7%. Wall Street gained further as the Fed unanimously lowered the federal funds rate by 0.25%. In its statement, the Fed pointed to solid economic growth, though labor market conditions have weakened slightly. Officials also observed that inflation is closer to the Fed’s 2% target but remains somewhat elevated. Long term framework - gold price is still in a downtrend. Market recovered thanks to FED continuing to cut 0.25% as expected. Short term recovery /// SELL XAU : zone 2719-2722 SL: 2727 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2692) /// BUY XAU : zone 2667-2664 SL: 2659 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2694) Safe and profitable tradingShortby Moon-ForexAcademy1110
Gold forecast! Up.Up.Up.As the Trump effect fades and the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates in November, combined with my trading experience, gold will rise in the future. Therefore, I am bullish on gold with a long-term trading target of $2,730! Good luck! Transaction went smoothly!Longby fm4tfm4tUpdated 11
Focus on 2700, short on highs in US tradingGold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward in the short position, without any signs of turning. Gold's short position has not ended yet, and there is still room for downward movement. Yesterday's rise in gold has digested the expectations brought by the interest rate cut. It has fallen back after being under pressure at 2710 many times, indicating that gold's bullish momentum at high levels is not strong. The US market rebound is still short. Gold rebounds below 2710 in the US market, and it continues to be short at highs. It can be shorted first when it rebounds near 2700. The market changes rapidly. Don't be fooled by the seemingly strong rebound as a reversal. Gold continues to be short. Trading strategy: Shorting on rallies in US market. SELL: 2699-2701Shortby Jun-GoldAnalystUpdated 7
Keeping my Selling order / #2,652.80 benchmark TargetFundamental analysis: Within turbulence caused by the U.S. presidential election and Head and Shoulders pattern aftermath, Gold finally broke through the Channel formed since the beginning of August. This does not change the Long-term Bull outlook for now, but the correction now is promising to be greater than the last couple of times. The Bottom line of the next Channel can be the February one, which represents Sellers goal (#2,592.80 – #2,600.80). As Fundamental effects usually correct back half of the Price-action change in the short period that follows, a retest of the Lower line of the August channel seems very likely. Based on this, the obvious strategy is to re-Sell Gold on bigger charts from the psychological levels / benchmarks (these are also Fibonacci retracement levels for the full or local decline). Technical analysis: So far so good as my first Selling Target is concluded near #2,682.80 Weekly Bottom and local Low's. Overbought Technicals prevailed followed by a strong Bearish reversal in form of Selling candlestick formation that Priced in a Bottom with #2,682.80 as first signs of new-old Support zone appearing, on a Hourly 4 chart’s Three Black Crows candle extension. Despite this, both Hourly 1 and Hourly 4 chart were completely Overbought, and current sequence on Gold was Natural response to such Technical development. No Moving Average still supports Buying bias on any chart, however this is typical Price-action behaviour near Daily chart’s local Bottoms or Top’s. Reversals are not evident and remember that the #2,652.80 - #2,662.80 is a heavy downside Support zone. For now as expected, no signs of Bullish reversal. On such a range bound session, Gold value continues to operate within my Hourly 4 chart's chart’s Bollinger bands. Market closing is adding credence to Sellers, and if market opens on Monday with Selling spike below #2,652.80 benchmark (last strong Support), break of the mentioned zone can aim for another #2,600.80 strong Support line (as cycle showcases that #2,600.80 test might be ahead. Everything in between is Price-action Daily fluctuation which contains no new clues where Price-action will Trade next. Keep in mind however that Technically I can expect Lower levels to be met and tested, however current market structure still holds Medium-term Bullish bias (since Hourly 4 chart is showcasing Bullish presence) and only if #2,700.80 psychological mark breaks and gets re-tested and market closes above (both Weekly and Daily market closing), I can expect Medium-term sentiment to regain Buying status. These multi-session gains on Gold are almost negated with respectful amount of losses Gold delivered and invalidated multi-Month Ascending Channel. My position: As I expected Fed easing the Rate and which may hurt the DX even more, I have awaited the Fed Rate announcement aftermath and engaged re-Sell order with #2,708.80 since I was aware that Gold will not deliver a move once again above #2,727.80 Medium-term Resistance zone. My order is currently running however I have missed the chance to close the order on #2,682.80 Support / even though my Profit on my re-Sell order is decent already, I will take the Risk and keep the order and close it as close as #2,682.80 Support zone in extension on overall another excellent week for me.Shortby goldenBear888
Gold 1H Trading Signal Advice!!Hello, traders Gold will fall badly to target Gold sell from 2753 Target 2735 Target 2704Shortby traderidqpmunaUpdated 1135
Silver a win-winMy positioning Anyone who's been following me for a while knows I've been quite bullish on silver for the past few years. In fact, I initiated my AMEX:SLV position in early 2021 when it was in the low 20's and then in late 2022 I rotated almost 50% of that position into AMEX:SILJ when it was right around $8. It was mostly dumb luck but I nearly bottom ticked that market and bought within an hour or so of what's become a multi-year low. I've continued to hold these two core long term positions, while also trading around the core positions when short term setups present themselves. The win-win Before I get into the chart technicals I want to get into the fundamentals that I think make silver a win-win in the long term. I typically don't use fundamentals when I trade but I don't consider this a typical in-and-out trade. This is more of a long-term hold based on my own fundamental thesis and supported by chart technicals. The crux of my win-win thesis is that silver will outperform in both a bullish economic outcome and a bearish economic outcome. In the bullish economic scenario, the already voracious global silver demand will continue to increase as solar, AI and EV demand continues to grow. The question at this point isn't if, but how fast. The rate at which silver is being consumed could outstrip production by as much as 200moz by the end of this decade. While I expect scrap and new mining to somewhat fill that gap, it will eventually create a vacuum that only an increase in price will resolve. In the bearish scenario the globe slips into a severe recession. This would cause industrial use of silver to plummet but safe haven demand for silver to explode. While the demand in the bullish scenario is more gradual, the demand in the bearish silver is explosive and would likely lead to a hockey stick price move. The most bearish scenario for silver is that the globe goes into a mild recession, where demand for silver drops materially but the large safe haven demand doesn't materialize as it would in a severe recession. In this case silver may tread water and bounce around in range. The technicals The silver chart makes just as compelling of a case as the fundamentals. Silver has what Peter Brandt has affectionately referred to as "the mother of all cup and handles". While the 45 year pattern means this could take quite a long time to play out (years...decades?) it still offers a very nice long term potential and clear boundaries to trade within. Within this very large pattern we often see shorter timeframe patterns form that offer both long and short setups. This sets up a nice situation where you can have a long term core position, and then trade around that core position when shorter term setups present themselves, either long or short. The next few key support and resistance levels I'll be looking to trade around is the $40 level and the $48 level. Beyond that and we'll be into all-time-high territory where I'll trade whatever price action happens to be at that point in time. Options Another nice thing about SLV is it gives us options (no pun intended). For a scenario where I'm long term bullish but I think price has rallied too far, too fast and it's looking a little frothy in the short term, rather than closing some of my spot position outright and risk missing out on further rallying another approach is to sell OTM (out-of-the-money) covered calls. Implied volatility would be elevated so you'd likely be getting paid a good premium, and if price does rally up to or beyond your strike price, then you can either choose to hold and let your shares potentially be called away or if your still bullish you can roll the options up and out (up in strike and out in time). You'll collect more premium and move your sell point to a higher price at the cost of taking on more time risk. There are exhaustive resources out there if you're unfamiliar but interested in this type of strategy.Longby krugman87Updated 5
GOLD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT| ✅GOLD is going up to retest a horizontal resistance of 2725$ Which makes me locally bearish biased And I think that we will see a pullback And a move down from the level Towards the target below at 2690$ SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅Shortby ProSignalsFx116