Get started

Futures market

GOLD - Price can continue to move down in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price bounced from support level and started to grow to $3400 level, making a small correction before. When it reached this level, price entered to wedge, where it made a correction and then started to grow. In a short time, price exited from wedge and soon broke $3400 level, but then it started to decline in a falling channel. In falling channel, Gold broke $3400 level one more time and in a short time declined to $3305 support level. After this movement, Gold turned around and started to move up to resistance line of channel. I expect that Gold can reach resistance line of channel and then start to decline to $3295 support area. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
8
Gold selling plan!Gold has plunged to $3,290/oz, breaking the key psychological level of $3,300 as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields ticked higher. Market sentiment has turned defensive ahead of Friday’s US PCE inflation data, with expectations that the Fed may maintain its hawkish stance for longer. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,325 • Nearest Support: $3,285 – $3,272 • EMA09: Price is currently below the 9-period EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: o H1/H4 charts show a series of long bearish candles, with rising volume → strong selling signal. o RSI is approaching oversold levels (~28), MACD remains in a widening bearish divergence → downward pressure is still dominant. 📌 Outlook: Gold is in a clear downtrend and may extend its decline toward $3,285 – $3,272 unless a reversal is triggered by weaker-than-expected PCE data or renewed geopolitical tensions. In the near term, any technical rebound is likely to offer sell opportunities rather than a trend reversal. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD • Entry: $3,300 – $3,305 (on technical retracement) • 🎯 TP: $3,285 – $3,272 • 🛑 SL: $3,315 🔺 BUY XAU/USD (high risk) • Entry: $3,272 – $3,277 (short-term bottom catching) • 🎯 TP: $3,295 – $3,305 • 🛑 SL: $3,262
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Candy-crypto1
GOLD H4 Accumulation Fractal Target is 4 000 USD 🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update 📉 Gold Pullback: XAU/USD drifted below $3,350, falling to around $3,325–$3,330 amid easing Middle East tensions and a firmer U.S. dollar. 🤝 Ceasefire Effect: De-escalation in Israel-Iran hostilities reduced safe-haven demand, capping gold’s upside. 💵 Fed & USD Dynamics: Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed that policymakers aren’t in a rush to cut rates. A softer dollar provided some support, but intraday USD strength weighed on gold. 📊 Technical Watch: Gold remains in a bearish short-term structure below the 200-period SMA. Resistance lies near $3,368–$3,370; support cluster begins around $3,300, with potential slide to $3,245–$3,200 if broken. 🔮 Forecast Updates: • Citi Research flagged that gold may have peaked and could undergo further softening in Q3-2025. • WSJ notes gold posting weekly gains, with futures steadying at $3,339/oz. • Another WSJ report suggests potential for new highs later this year—forecasting an average of $3,210/oz in 2025, a 35% increase. ⚠️ Market Split: Opinions are fragmented—Wall Street sees mixed short-term direction, while Main Street maintains a bullish stance ahead of key U.S. data (GDP, PCE, jobless claims). 🏠 Central Bank Demand: Sustained demand from central banks reinforces gold’s structural support. 🔮 Live Price Snapshot: Futures are up ~0.2%, trading at $3,339.20/oz today. 📊 Technical Outlook Update 🏆 Bull Market Overview ▪️ A pullback is currently unfolding ▪️ Heavy resistance seen at $3,500 ▪️ Possible re-accumulation underway ▪️ Scenario mirrors summer 2024 ▪️ Accumulation before breakout ▪️ Downside protected around $3,150 ▪️ Short-term range trading in progress ▪️ Bulls maintain strategic upper hand ⭐️ Recommended Strategy ▪️ Buy dips within the range ▪️ Look for entries near $3,150 S/R zone ▪️ Long-term bullish target of $4K remains intact
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
37
Gold prices are consolidating at a low level!International spot gold continued to fluctuate and fall. Looking back at the market performance on Thursday, gold prices maintained a narrow range of consolidation. Investors focused on the upcoming US inflation data to judge the direction of interest rate policy, while paying close attention to signs of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The current gold market is facing the influence of multiple factors: in the short term, PCE inflation data will become a key variable in determining the trend of gold prices. If the data is lower than expected, the market will strengthen the Fed's expectations of rate cuts, thereby supporting the upward trend of gold prices; on the contrary, if the inflation data exceeds expectations, it may delay the Fed's pace of rate cuts, resulting in pressure on gold prices. From a medium- and long-term perspective, the low interest rate environment, continued geopolitical risks and the potential weakening trend of the US dollar jointly provide structural support for gold prices. In addition, it is necessary to focus on the capital diversion effect that may be caused by the rising heat of the platinum and palladium markets. It is recommended to closely track the changes in capital flows in the precious metals sector. From the analysis of the gold 4-hour level chart, today's gold price showed a downward trend at the opening, and the lowest fell to around US$3289.25 and then temporarily stabilized at US$3298. Technical indicators show that the 4-hour moving average system shows a dead cross arrangement, the MACD indicator dead cross continues, the gold price has fallen below the lower track support of the Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Channel shows a narrowing trend, and the short-term price is in a low-level weak consolidation pattern. In view of the fact that the weekly line is about to close this week and the volatility of the end-of-month market is intensifying, it is necessary to focus on preventing the risk of a second bottoming out of the price. Comprehensively judged, the current gold trend is bearish, and the operation strategy is recommended to focus on rebound shorting. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold in the rebound area of ​​3311-3316, with a stop loss at 3324 and a target of 3300-3290
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by VitoCamilla
GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend viewOANDA:XAUUSD recovered then weakened as it failed to break above $3,350, supported by a weaker dollar and market uncertainty sparked by reports that U.S. President Donald Trump could replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in September or October. The reports raised concerns about the future independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for safe-haven gold. On Wednesday, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace him. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October. The current market narrative is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chair, market expectations will tend to favor a more “dovish” Fed. This could lead to a weaker US dollar, higher long-term US Treasury yields and higher stock prices. Forexlive points out that this story may be more an emotional reaction than a result of objective and rational thinking. The policy of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is decided not only by the Fed Chairman but also by a majority vote of the 12 voting members (including 7 directors and 5 regional Fed presidents). The Fed Chairman does have a lot of influence, but he does not have absolute control over monetary policy. The Fed was originally designed to be independent of political pressure. Moreover, even if Trump nominates the next chairman, there is no guarantee that this will automatically lead to a rate cut. In fact, Powell was also nominated by Trump, but his monetary policy decisions are still based on professional judgment rather than serving Trump's wishes. So, in the worst case, the market could face policy uncertainty as differences between FOMC members increase and more disagreements emerge. Currently, there are fewer moderate members on the committee, while neutral or hawkish members dominate. Markets are now focused on personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data due later today (Friday) for further clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be in place on Wednesday after Trump hailed a swift end to the 12-day conflict at the NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold recovered and reached the initial target at 3,350 USD, the nearest resistance is also the price point of the EMA21 noted for readers in the previous publication. However, the recovery momentum is currently weakening, specifically at the time of writing, the gold price is falling below 3,320 USD. Gold falling below 3,320 USD provides conditions for a possible decline with the next target around 3,302 - 3,300 USD, which is the area of ​​​​the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement confluence with the lower edge of the price channel. In terms of momentum, the RSI is heading down and breaking below 50, which should be considered an initial bearish signal. Overall, gold does not have a clear long-term trend as the uptrend is still the main trend, while the momentum is showing signs of decline. But personally, I am still leaning towards the uptrend, and continue to look for positions to buy. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,302 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,320 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3371 →Take Profit 1 3359 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3353 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3272 - 3274⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3268 →Take Profit 1 3280 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3286
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
Gold Holds Above $3340 as Dollar Drops and Fed Uncertainty Rises GOLD OVERVIEW Gold Holds Gains as Dollar Weakens and Fed Uncertainty Grows Gold climbed above $3,340 per ounce on Thursday, supported by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar amid growing dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve. Adding to market speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted he may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially reducing Jerome Powell’s influence before his term ends in June and boosting expectations for a more accommodative policy stance. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – XAU/USD Gold shows bearish potential if the price can stabilize below the pivot level at 3,341. However, while trading above 3,341, a short-term correction toward 3,364–3,365 is likely before any renewed selling pressure. Today’s U.S. GDP release may add further volatility and direction to the market. Key Levels Pivot Line: 3,341 Resistance: 3,364 → 3,373 Support: 3,320 → 3,302 previous idea:
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
2
Xauusd market update The chart you’ve shared is a 2-hour timeframe for Gold (XAU/USD), showing price action with multiple support and resistance zones along with potential scenarios marked by dotted lines. Key Technical Observations: 1. Current Price: $3,294.36, down 1.00%. 2. Support Zones (Blue Boxes): Major support around $3,230–$3,250 — currently being tested. This level held previously (mid-June), suggesting it could act as a strong base. 3. Resistance Zones: Minor resistance near $3,350. Strong resistance around $3,430–$3,450, marking a previous swing high. 4. Price Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If current support holds, price could bounce toward the $3,350 resistance. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below current support may lead price toward $3,200, the next major demand zone. 5. Volume Profile Zones (Pink & Blue Highlighted Ranges): Indicate areas of previous high interest (accumulation/distribution). Current action near a high-volume node, suggesting potential for either reversal or strong continuation. --- Summary: Neutral to Bearish bias unless strong reversal signals appear from the current support. Watch for bullish confirmation near $3,250–$3,270 to consider long setups. Breakdown of this zone could trigger a slide to $3,200. Let me know if you’d like a trading plan or entry/exit levels for either scenario.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_Zakrii
Another excellent sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary: “My position: Gold is Trading on relief rally and it is now whether #3,352.80 benchmark will break to the upside and extend the relief rally or reversal there and another decline. I personally lean more to the Bullish side with DX chart as main pointer for Gold on current session.” I have made #7 successful Scalp orders throughout yesterday’s session (all Buying orders) firstly from #3,330.80, then #3,320.80 towards #3,327.80 and final batch of aggressive Scalps from #3,310.80 towards #3,318.80 - #3,325.80 / Highly satisfied with yesterday’s session Profit. Technical analysis: Gold is currently disconnected from Hourly 4 chart’s Neutral Rectangle and thus I am expecting a new Selling direction starting from today’s session if #3,300.80 benchmark isn’t recovered and market closes above it (Weekly closing as well). Personally I believe it will be a big one on big Volume (best what last session of the week can offer). Hourly 1 chart is delivering firm Selling signals and points to a Bearish breakout and Selling continuation. A red closing on today's Daily chart’s candle points to a Bearish continuation also. Personally I believe that only if local Support gets invalidated (seen Trading at #3,272.80) does the trend resumes its previous Bearish bias also without more disappointing numbers on DX. No surprises so far as rejection on #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 Resistance level is showcasing strong durability for the cycle. This is a Technical pullback as well to cool down Long-term Overbought levels and may precisely test the #3,252.80 benchmark / near pivot point, probability which I mentioned earlier this week. My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
DeGRAM | GOLD rebound📊 Technical Analysis ● Friday’s flush tagged the green 3 300–3 310 demand and the long-term trend-support, then left a bullish gap inside the falling channel; price is now basing above the gap midpoint and printing higher lows toward the pink supply. ● A clean break of channel resistance at 3 348 completes a 4 h inverse-H&S measured to the next confluence at 3 375 (May pivot / former range top). 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Core PCE cooled to 0.1 % m/m, pulling real 2-yr yields to two-week lows while IMF flagged persistent central-bank bullion buying—both restoring bid tone in gold. ✨ Summary Long 3 320-3 335; clearance of 3 348 targets 3 375. Bias void on a 4 h close below 3 300. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
5
Gold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over GeopoliticaGold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over Geopolitical Risk - Gold prices remained resilient. The US Dollar Index slipped 0.23% to 97.74, while U.S. equities ended mixed as markets braced for Federal Reserve policy signals. - The Israel-Iran ceasefire has eased geopolitical concerns, typically a bearish signal for gold. However, the metal’s continued strength, outperforming the weaker dollar, points to renewed institutional and retail accumulation. This highlights a key shift: investors are now prioritising monetary policy outlooks over crisis-driven moves. - All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, with particular focus on his comments regarding tariffs and interest rates. The CME’s FedWatch tool now shows a 24.8% probability of a July rate cut. Powell’s cautious tone—balancing inflation risks from potential tariffs against economic softness—has added uncertainty to the rate path, especially amid political pressure from the Trump administration. - Gold’s recent price action suggests it’s evolving from a pure safe-haven asset into a hedge against broader monetary and economic instability. With geopolitical tensions easing, traders are now closely watching the Fed’s next steps and the dollar’s direction as key drivers of gold’s trajectory.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SampsonNorton
XAU/USD Bearish Bomb Ready to Explode? (Entry Levels Inside)🏦💰 GOLD HEIST ALERT: XAU/USD Bearish Raid in Progress! (Short Setup Inside) 💰🏦 🚨 Cops Waiting at Resistance? Here's How to Steal Pips & Escape Safely! 🚨 🦹♂️ ATTENTION ALL MARKET BANDITS! To the Profit Pirates & Risk-Takers! 🌍💣 Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥 (a lethal mix of liquidity grabs + institutional order flow + macro traps), we're executing a bearish gold heist on XAU/USD—this is not advice, just a strategic robbery plan for traders who play by their own rules. 📉 THE GOLD VAULT RAID (SHORT ENTRY PLAN) 🎯 Loot Zone: 3280.00 (or escape earlier if bulls fight back) 💣 High-Stakes Play: Neutral trend turning bearish - trap for late buyers 👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bullish traders get arrested by resistance 🔪 ENTRY RULES: "Heist Activated!" – Strike when price breaks 3340.00 Sell Stop Orders above MA OR Sell Limit on pullbacks (15-30min TF) Aggressive? Enter at market but use tighter stops 📌 SET ALERTS! Don't miss the breakdown 🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan): Thief SL at 3390.00 (4H swing high) ⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy your margin call." 🎯 TARGETS: Main Take-Profit: 3280.00 Scalpers: Ride the bear waves only 🔍 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works) Before raiding, check: ✅ COT Data (Are big players dumping gold?) ✅ Real Yields (TIPS vs Gold correlation) ✅ Geopolitical Heat (Safe-haven flows drying up?) ✅ DXY Strength (Dollar crushing commodities?) 🚨 NEWS RISK WARNING Avoid NFP/CPI/FOMC periods (unless you like volatility torture) Trailing stops = your get-out-of-jail-free card 💎 BOOST THIS HEIST! 👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid! 🔁 Share to recruit more trading outlaws! 🤑 See you at the target, rebels! ⚖️ DISCLAIMER: For entertainment only. Trade at your own peril. #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TradingView #LiquidityGrab #ThiefTrading 💬 COMMENT: "Short already—or waiting for confirmation?" 👇🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
1
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Again, just like yesterday, we completed the long trade into the red box, RIPPED then played red box hockey before swooping the low and coming back up. What madness on the markets with continuous whipsawing which is not allowing traders to hold positions without huge stop losses. For now, we have support at the 3325-8 level which if held should give us a move upside towards the red box. What we want to see here is do we get a lower high or not? MA's still drawn together and more choppy price action expected in the sessions to come. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
3
Gold Trade Plan 27/06/2025Dear Traders, 📉 XAUUSD Technical Analysis – June 27, 2025 On the 4-hour chart, Gold has faced selling pressure after testing the resistance at 3359, and is now correcting down toward the key support zone at 3250–3280. 📌 Key Support Zone: 3250 – 3280 📌 Major Resistance: 3359 🔹 The price is currently testing the lower edge of this support zone. If we see bullish reversal candles (such as a hammer or bullish engulfing) in this area, we may expect a bounce back toward the rising trendline or even a retest of the 3359 level. 🔻 However, if the 3250 support fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 3200 or lower could follow. 🛑 The U.S.–China agreement news could have a direct impact on gold’s corrective trend. Caution is advised when entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by alirezak
Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!OANDA:XAUUSD 📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel. In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend. 🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel. Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move. 📉 چارت طلا در حال حاضر در یک کانال نزولی فرعی نوسان می‌کند. در تحلیل دیروز، به احتمال ریزش آن اشاره کرده بودم. حالا پس از یک فاز رِنج، انتظار شکست این کانال و بازگشت قیمت به روند اصلی را دارم. 🎯 هدف اول در صورت برگشت، سقف کانال فرعی خواهد بود. با دقت رفتار قیمت در این ناحیه را زیر نظر داشته باشید؛ این محدوده می‌تواند سیگنال مهمی برای ادامه مسیر باشد.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by erfan_shakori
Catching the Perfect Rebound on XAUUSD!Hi traders! , Currently analyzing GOLD (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe. Price has dropped aggressively but is now reacting strongly from a key support zone around 3,271.00, where buyers are stepping in. This area has previously shown significant bullish reactions. I'm now buying from 3,271.00, expecting a bullish correction towards my target. Take Profit: 3,377.00 Stop Loss: 3,165.00 RSI is in oversold, indicating potential exhaustion of sellers. Price may have created a fake breakout below the trendline, trapping liquidity before bouncing back. Currently managing the trade, watching how price develops around this key area. Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXOnTop
Gold strategy analysis for next week, hope it helps youThe current gold price stands at $3,273, showing a significant decline from previous levels. Looking back at Friday's trading, the gold market was in a state of "unrelenting decline": during the early Asian session, gold attempted a rebound, edging up to around $3,328, but was quickly met with resistance and pulled back. The downward trend continued into the European session, and with the release of the U.S. May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data during the U.S. session, gold prices fell further, hitting a low of around $3,355. Although there was a small rebound in recovery afterward, it eventually closed near $3,274, forming a large阴线 with a long lower shadow on the daily chart. **Factors Influencing the Trend** Market sentiment has reacted strongly to the optimistic agreements reached on trade-related matters, which has significantly boosted risk appetite. Simply put, when people feel the market environment is safe and there are plenty of profit opportunities, they are less willing to park their money in safe-haven assets like gold, thus greatly reducing gold’s appeal as a safe haven. **Technical Analysis** - **Daily Chart**: Gold has broken below the 5-day moving average, and short-term moving averages have formed a "bearish alignment"—it’s like a group of friends who were originally running in the same direction suddenly all turned around and started running downward. - **4-Hour Chart**: The Bollinger Bands have widened, and gold prices are like being pushed by a force, moving steadily downward along the lower band. The previous top-bottom conversion level at around $3,310 is crucial. If gold fails to reclaim this level next week, it will be like losing an important position in a battle, which will intensify short-term selling pressure and make it highly likely that the downward trend continues. **Outlook for Next Week** The market will be bustling next week: - Major central bank governors worldwide will hold a panel discussion, like a gathering of "financial giants" to discuss important matters. Their remarks and consensus may have a significant impact on the market. - The non-farm payroll data, long known as a "heavyweight bomb" in financial markets, will also be released. It reflects the state of the U.S. job market, which is closely linked to the economy and monetary policy, so its release often triggers sharp market fluctuations. - Additionally, talks about whether Powell will resign may continue to ferment next week, stirring up the market. Affected by these major events, gold prices are expected to fluctuate more violently around the lower Bollinger Band at $3,270 per ounce next week, and there is a need to be cautious of a second dip. **Comprehensive Judgment** The gold market faces high uncertainty next week, but the probability of an overall bearish trend is relatively high: - **Upper Resistance**: Pay attention to the $3,310–$3,300 range in the short term, a key boundary between bulls and bears. A breakthrough here could bring a turnaround for gold. - **Lower Support**: Focus on the $3,250 level in the short term. A break below this level may open up further downside space. From the indicator signals: - The MACD double line is running below the zero axis, forming a death cross, and the green energy column is continuing to expand—like a car stepping on the gas, accelerating downward. - The RSI is operating in the oversold region around 39. Although there is a possibility of a short-term bottom, it also faces a pullback correction. However, the bearish momentum currently holds the upper hand. Gold strategy analysis for next week, hope it helps you XAUUSD sell@3290~3280 SL:3310 TP：3370~3350
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
GOLD Expected Bearish TrendXAUUSD Gold Bearish Trend Outlook Gold remains in a bearish trend, with technical weakness confirmed as support was tested on Friday. The metal continues to trade under pressure, driven by investor caution ahead of the upcoming U.S. Core PCE Index — a key inflation gauge. If the data comes in higher than expected, it could delay Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, further weighing on gold prices. However, if the Core PCE data disappoints to the downside, rate cut hopes in July may resurface, providing a potential support base for gold. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Support: 3365 Major Support Zone: 3350 Resistance: 3295 / 3305 Keep Eye on all data share your idea about this analysis we need support from you Guys.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
1