Futures market
Selling Gold Triangle Pattern / XAUUSDI see price moving much lower due to to continued easing in the US/China Trade war.
Here on the 15m, a triangle is forming and we are waiting for further confirmation for price to drop lower.
- Plan to sell at market open with high risk setup
- Wait for additional confirmation
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – Monday, May 12, 2025“Structure First. Noise Later. Gold Moves Clean When You Do.” ⚖️🧠
Intraday Bias: Bullish, short-term recovery inside broader pullback
Structure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → market forming higher low structure
🔍 H1 Market Flow Overview:
Price broke structure above 3284–3292, forming a clean CHoCH on H1.
Since then, price impulsively pushed toward 3340, pausing around 3314–3318.
EMAs (5/21/50) are starting to align bullish, with EMA5 now crossing above 21.
Volume compression + wicks suggest potential accumulation in the 3314–3318 zone.
📌 Key H1 Zones (Above & Below Price)
🔺 Resistance Zones
Zone Description
3340–3345 Friday’s high + intraday liquidity trap zone
3380–3395 Strong H1/Daily confluence resistance (OB + FVG)
🔻 Support Zones
Zone Description
3314–3318 🔵 Micro liquidity pocket + HL accumulation zone – potential inducement/reentry base
3284–3292 🔵 CHoCH base – must hold for bullish structure to continue
3260–3265 🔵 Deep intraday OB + liquidity sweep zone
3220–3235 🔵 Major HTF demand – structural last line of defense
🔁 Scenarios for Monday (May 12):
🟢 Bullish Setup:
If price holds above 3314–3318, we may see a reattempt toward 3340, then potentially push into 3380–3395.
Retest of 3314 zone could serve as HL confirmation before breakout.
🔴 Bearish Setup:
If 3314 fails and price closes below 3284, this invalidates current bullish micro-structure.
In that case, we target 3260 or even 3235 depending on momentum.
Rejection from 3340 or 3380 without BOS → short toward 3284 or 3250
Clean break below 3284 flips LTF bearish
🎯 Sniper Logic:
Gold is trapped in a battle between Friday’s high and the CHoCH base.
The true breakout will come once either 3345 is reclaimed clean, or 3284 fails hard.
Until then, play inside structure — sniper entries only.
💬 Final Words:
Gold doesn’t bluff — but it does bait and trap.
Mark your zones, wait for confirmation, and let the impulsive ones get hunted.
Gold doesn’t care about your bias — only about the zones that hold.
If 3284 stays protected, bulls might reload. If it cracks, fade the optimism and follow the flow down.
🟡 Stay smart. Stay patient. And remember: clean structure = clean profit.
✨ Drop your thoughts in the comments, smash that like, and follow GoldFxMinds for sniper-level clarity every session.
(XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,222 with 1:6 Risk/REntry Point: Around 3,409.33 - 3,408.41 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,437.87 USD.
Target (Take Profit): 3,222.53 USD.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:6, which is favorable.
📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis:
A rising wedge (or channel) appears to have formed and broken to the downside — a bearish signal.
The current price at 3,341.47 has broken below a minor support zone (highlighted in purple), indicating bearish momentum.
Price is now approaching the 200 EMA, which is acting as potential dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels Highlighted:
Support Zones: Near 3,347.47 (previous minor support) and 3,222.53 (main target zone).
Resistance Zones: At the entry level and above, near 3,437.87 (Stop Loss zone).
🔄 Indicators:
Moving Averages (Red and Blue Lines): Shorter-term moving average (red) is below the longer-term (blue), indicating downward pressure.
Momentum Shift: The sharp drop suggests a likely continuation of the bearish trend.
CPI - inflation assessment, gold accumulation⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Swap markets have now fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with expectations for two additional reductions by year-end. This marks a slight shift from last week, when traders had anticipated the first cut as early as July and a total of three rate cuts in 2025.
On the geopolitical front, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi stated on Monday that military operations against Pakistan are merely on hold, warning that future actions will depend on Islamabad’s conduct. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed willingness to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin later this week, following US President Donald Trump's call for him to "immediately" accept a peace summit invitation in Turkey. Heightened geopolitical risks from these developments could fuel demand for safe-haven assets like gold, reinforcing the metal’s appeal amid ongoing global uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
CPI assesses the level of inflation in the US economy, gold prices continue to strive to maintain the price range around 3200
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3281- 3283 SL 3288
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3176 - $3174 SL $3169
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3198
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD Weekly Open Analysis:Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum🟠 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Weekly Open Analysis: Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum
Gold opens the week with a sharp gap-down, reflecting a cooling of global tensions and softer tones in tariff negotiations over the weekend. With both geopolitical risks and trade conflicts showing signs of de-escalation, investors quickly shifted away from safe-haven demand, leading to immediate downside pressure in early Asia hours.
🔍 Market Context:
The price action remains within a bearish parallel channel on the M30 timeframe.
A visible GAP ZONE has formed between $3326 – $3328, which now acts as a key resistance area to watch for a potential retest.
This week brings critical US economic data including CPI, PPI, and a Fed speech, all of which could drive large volatility.
The market is likely to remain extremely sensitive to any shifts in:
US inflation expectations
FED forward guidance
Further headlines on tariffs or geopolitical escalations (Russia–Ukraine, India–Pakistan)
🔧 Trading Strategy for Today (13/05/2025):
Bias: Short-term bearish unless clear reversal signs appear.
Primary focus: Sell the rally, especially near key resistance zones.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
$3288
$3308
$3326–$3328 (Gap Fill Zone)
🔻 Key Support Levels:
$3262
$3246
$3236
$3200
🎯 Trade Ideas:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: $3246 – $3244
SL: $3240
TPs: $3250 → $3254 → $3258 → $3262 → $3266 → $3270 → $3280
Valid only if buyers show strong defense at key support zones.
🔴 SELL ZONE (Main):
Entry: $3326 – $3328
SL: $3332
TPs: $3322 → $3318 → $3314 → $3310 → $3305 → $3300
🔴 SELL SCALP (Early Intraday):
Entry: $3306 – $3308
SL: $3312
TPs: $3300 → $3296 → $3290 → $3286 → $3282 → $3278 → $3270
⚠️ Key Reminders:
Volatility is expected to remain high throughout the week due to macro events and shifting risk sentiment.
Trade with discipline — stick to your TP/SL and avoid emotional entries.
Wait for confirmation at your planned levels. Let the market come to you.
📣 Final Note:
This week is packed with catalysts. Patience and precision will define successful trades. Follow this account for real-time updates as the market reacts to US CPI and Fed commentary.
Positive US-China trade talks cause gold to continue to fall🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️Gold prices (XAU/USD) faced selling pressure early Monday during the Asian session, dipping toward $3,275 amid a stronger US Dollar. The decline was driven by optimism surrounding US-China trade talks held over the weekend in Geneva, Switzerland. Both countries reported “significant progress” after two days of negotiations aimed at easing trade tensions. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng described the discussions with US officials as an “important first step” toward stabilizing bilateral trade relations, while US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also confirmed “substantial progress” had been made.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Specific actions taken by the world’s two largest economies could potentially reduce the demand for safe-haven assets. However, it can be reaffirmed that the overall ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs likely remains the key underlying factor supporting gold.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3222 - 3225
❌SL: 3218 | ✅TP: 3229 - 3233 – 3237
👉Sell Gold 3323 - 3326
❌SL: 3330 | ✅TP: 3319 - 3315 – 3310
FM wishes you a successful trading day!
Gold Trade plan 13/05/2025Dear Traders,
It seems that the price is approaching the middle of its descending channel. The 3270–3300 zone is an important area for gold. In case of a fake breakout or rejection, the price could drop to the 3140–3150 zone. I’m waiting for a confirmation candle to enter a position in that area.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold Volatility Surges: Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe gold market has shown an obvious pattern of bearish suppression recently. On the weekly chart, two consecutive long upper shadows have formed a "double needle probing the top" pattern. Coupled with the expansion of the negative momentum of the MACD, it indicates that the medium-term pullback trend will continue. On the daily chart, a long bearish candlestick has broken through the key support. The RSI has dropped from the overbought area to 48.26. Although it has not reached the oversold level, there is still room for further decline.
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Technically, the resistance in the 3260-3250 area is significant, which has become the demarcation between bulls and bears in the short term. Judging from the four-hour chart, the trading idea is to go short on the rebound. Pay close attention to the resistance in the 3265-3270 interval. If the support in the 3205-3200 area is breached, it may trigger stop-loss orders and further fuel the downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3260-3265
tp:3240-3220-3200
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
Going to see gold below 3200??As per Olivers analysis Gold is Going below 3200,
Because Gold Dropped For Week and For daily but still it not dropped for month.
This pump is For retracement of fib 0.7-0.5
Now you Have to sell Gold From highs
First selling 3260-65
Second selling 3280-85
Target 3210,3170
Do your own research as well.
don't forget to use proper mm in every trade.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H – Bearish SetupGold is trading below key resistance at 3,280 after a sharp drop, now forming a bearish flag around the 3,240 zone. Technicals suggest a potential continuation lower with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Sell entry activated at 3,240, targeting strong support near 3,200 (400+ pips) with a stop loss placed 150 pips above resistance. Fundamentals support bearish bias amid USD strength and shifting sentiment.
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Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Gold rebound is a good time to shortGold has been in a volatile state since the opening today, opening at 3236 and reaching a high of 3243. It is currently fluctuating in the form of shocks. With the comprehensive ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the peace talks in the Sino-US tariff war, gold will still be in a downward trend. Although it is in a downward trend, we should not chase the short position directly. We can just treat the rebound as shorting. The main trend is still to short on the rebound. After all, the general trend is bearish.
In the 4-hour chart, the weak stage is oscillating downwards, and the resistance of the middle rail has moved down to the 3300 mark. At the same time, there is still a gap to be filled, and it is currently in shock above the neckline. There are two differentiated moves here. One is to go sideways and weakly consolidate and then directly break the neckline of 3200 and go for in-depth adjustments. The other is to rebound above 3200 to correct and build momentum, forming a wave of poised to break low. One is weak consolidation to break low, and the other is poised to break low. Overall, it is optimistic that the market will break through the low of 3200, but it reflects the various changes in the short-term form. The upper 3250-3260 range has gathered intensive trading resistance, forming short-term strong pressure. In short-term operation, first go short on rallies below 3260, and first look at the profit from this wave of correction! Next, we will look at the previous low support of 3200. If the position is broken, we will continue to see the downward continuation. If the position is not broken, we will place long orders on the backhand. At that time, we will choose the opportunity to lay out the long-term plan based on the support of 3200. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3248-3252 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3200-3160 support line.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold near 3245-3255, target around 3220-3210. Gold will go long when it pulls back around 3210-3200, with the target around 3230-3250.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Nasdaq 100: Bulls in Control for Now, but Key Hurdles RemainNasdaq 100 futures have gapped higher upon the Asia market open, leaving them sitting above the important 200-day moving average. With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD generating bullish signals, it’s an environment that favours buying dips and topside breaks.
However, the coast is not entirely clear for bulls with the price struggling to take out the March 28 high of 20,536. The January 2023 uptrend is also nearby, sitting just above 20,600. Zooming out, the price has also been coiling in a rising wedge pattern, warning there may be an eventual resumption of the bearish trend seen between late February and early April.
While some bulls may be willing to buy above the 200-day moving average with a stop beneath for protection, others may prefer to wait for a decisive push above the top of the resistance zone around 20,650 before establishing positions. Topside levels to keep on the radar include 21,000, 21,420 and 21,969.
If the price were to reverse back below the 200-day moving average and close there, it would swing near-term directional risks lower, invalidating the bullish bias.
Good luck!
DS
Latest gold trend analysis layoutFor gold, although the rebound is not strong and ends in a downward trend, don't be too bearish on Monday. Gold rebounds and corrects after a sharp drop, and falls back to close. However, after stabilizing on Monday, it has risen strongly, so be careful of similar market conditions next Monday. Therefore, we need to look at it from two aspects:
1. If the lower support 3313 is broken, then the bearish outlook may continue, and the low point of 3274 may be hit, and the break will further look down to the 3253-3222 line.
2. If it breaks the high point of 3347, there is still room for growth, and the upper pressure is 3370-3385!
XAUUSD DAILY ANALYSISOANDA:XAUUSD
H : Bearish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bullish + BOS + OB + IMB
EXPECTION : Here I have 4 scenarios in mind
1: 15 minute zone is valid with 3 minute confirmation with low risk to 1 hour zone
2: After breaking 15 minute zone and 15 minute zone turns down, we wait for price to retest to formed down zone
3: Price goes up and hits 1 hour zone and with 5 minute confirmation we enter sell trade
4: Price breaks 1 hour zone
I will post my LTF trading idea in the private section. Be sure to follow and like the post.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly MARKET Analysis: CONSOLIDATION PhaseOANDA:XAUUSD has made a positive move but faced resistance at $3,430, with strong support established at $3,250. The market is likely to trade sideways or experience a deeper correction in the near term. A major resistance barrier appears to be forming overhead, making further upside difficult without significant catalysts.
These temporary pullbacks may prove beneficial within what appears to be a longer-term uptrend. It is natural for markets to move sideways and form consolidation patterns after the bullish momentum we've witnessed since the beginning of this year. Therefore, sideways consolidation currently represents the healthiest market reaction.
Last year, we observed similar price action where the market made a bullish move from February through April before consolidating for two months. Current price action suggests we may see consolidation in the form of a triangle pattern before a major catalyst fuels the next market move. Overall, I expect the market to continue moving sideways within the April trading range, with the possibility of a deeper correction.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Hanzo : Gold 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 3233
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 12th May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Gap down on market open
-Looking for price to fill up the gap and form a
bearish structure
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3330
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.