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Gold Pullback to Resistance – Bearish Setup in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD is staging a modest technical rebound after a strong breakdown, currently retesting the confluence zone of resistance and EMA on the 1H chart. This area around 3,351 USD marks a key selling region where bearish momentum may resume. On the macro front, traders are eyeing the upcoming Core PCE data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A higher-than-expected reading could boost the US dollar and reinforce downward pressure on gold prices. Technically, the recent breakdown followed by a retest of structure suggests bearish continuation. If gold fails to break above resistance, it may drop first toward the 3,304 USD zone (TP1) and potentially extend to the key support near 3,250 USD (TP2). All eyes should be on how price reacts to resistance. A confirmed rejection could offer a high-probability short opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Edward_TradingFX
1
WTI CRUDE OIL USD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Price is reacting from a weekly FVG just below the 50% of a larger range, with some bullish momentum possibly fueled by recent geopolitical tensions. But price is still within a bearish range acting as resistance, so upside may remain limited unless structure shifts. A daily bullish OB below the 50% of that range could offer a solid pullback entry if price retraces which is aligning with the broader narrative and upside liquidity. Im having a neutral view of this and leveraging on both sides. What are your thoughts?
EASYMARKETS:OILUSD
by AnthonyAaron
Gold Steady, Dollar Wobbles — Here’s Why🧠 Midweek Market Snapshot | DXY, XAUUSD, BTCUSD This week’s market action is being shaped by easing geopolitical tensions, Fed rate cut speculation, and safe-haven flows. 🔻 The US Dollar (DXY) continues to weaken as talk of interest rate cuts builds and Middle East tensions cool off. 🟡 Gold (XAUUSD) remains firm, supported by central bank buying and dollar softness. ₿ Bitcoin (BTCUSD) shows strength, holding above $100K after bouncing back from geopolitical dips. 📊 Key drivers: • Fed rate expectations • US inflation & job data • Ceasefire talks between Israel & Iran • Central bank gold demand 🎥 Catch the quick breakdown on YouTube 📌 Follow for weekly updates, trade ideas, and price insights. #DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #MarketUpdate #TradingView #MidweekMarketReview #Crypto #Forex #Gold #Bitcoin
FX:XAUUSD
by DeanMuller
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour candlestick chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) from late June to early July 2025. The current price is $3,332.245, reflecting a +0.26% increase (+$8.795) as of 07:39 AM CEST on June 25, 2025. The chart highlights a recent price range between $3,320.076 and $3,365.226, with a notable support level around $3,329.934 and resistance near $3,355.226. The chart includes a shaded area indicating a consolidation or trading range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
OIL Bullish BiasCurrently sitting on my hands but closely watching oil, especially after Iran & Israel Consolidation Protocol active. Need to see external range taken. I will not trade inside this range. Favoring longs. Think accumulation, manipulation, distribution. Right now its in the accumulation phase. Manipulation phase is next. Preferably sweeping external low first then distribution higher to bsl. Relative equal highs / LRLR at 114.29 first long term target. Final target are the inefficiencies at 130 - 150.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CEOTraders
Gold price 3290 long and short life and death lineGold price 3290 long and short life and death line 1. Gold price plummeted 2%, falling back to the 60-day moving average Price dynamics: Spot gold plummeted 2% on Tuesday (June 24), hitting a low of $3295.38/ounce, a new low since June 9, and finally closed at $3322.93/ounce. In the early Asian trading day on Wednesday, the price of gold fluctuated narrowly around $3323. Key support level: The 60-day moving average support is at $3290. If it falls below, it may fall further to $3250. 2. The main reason for the decline: the ceasefire in the Middle East + the hawkish signal of the Federal Reserve The situation in the Middle East has eased: Iran and Israel announced a ceasefire, which weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. Market sentiment turned to risk appetite, global stock markets rose, and gold was under pressure. Powell postpones rate cut expectations: Fed Chairman Powell said that more time is needed to observe the impact of tariffs on inflation, and the possibility of a rate cut in July is reduced. The market expects the first rate cut to be on September 15. 3. Technical analysis Short-term trend: Gold prices test the 50-day moving average ($3,317) support level. If it falls below, it may fall to the $3,290-3,250 range. Currently, gold prices are rising and encountering resistance in the 3330-3340 range. If it breaks through, gold prices may rise to the $3360-3380 range. Moving average system: The 50-day moving average ($3317) and the 60-day moving average ($3290) form a short-term support band. If the closing price falls below $3290, the daily level "double top" pattern will be confirmed (the neckline is at $3290 and the target is around $3050). 4-hour chart (short-term momentum) Key resistance: $3,340 (previous low turned into resistance) $3,365 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) Downward channel: Prices have been running along the downward channel since June 22. Upper rail pressure level: $3,350 Lower rail support: $3,280. RSI divergence: The price hit a new low but the RSI did not break the previous low, suggesting that there may be an oversold rebound in the short term. 1-hour chart (intraday trading) Short-term support: $3,310 (Asian session low), if it falls below, it will accelerate the test of 3,290. Fractal structure: If it breaks through $3,335 (Asian session high), it may trigger short-covering to $3,345. Trading strategy recommendations: 1: Continue to be long at low prices 2: Entry range: 3305-3315 3: Stop loss range: 3285-3295 4: Target range: 3355-3380 Macro perspective: Gold is in a key trend decision window, and $3290 is the life and death line for both long and short sides 4. Market sentiment analysis: 1): Although the Middle East ceasefire agreement is fragile, safe-haven funds will flow out of gold in the short term. 2): Inflation and policy game: If US tariffs push up inflation, it may re-boost gold's anti-inflation demand. 3): Long-term support factors: Central bank gold purchases, a weaker dollar, and geopolitical uncertainties may still support gold prices. 5. Today's focus: Powell's Senate testimony: If a tough stance is maintained, gold prices may continue to be under pressure. US economic data: including new home sales, PCE inflation data, etc.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by louisa111222
GOLD (XAU/USD), cycle top made?Has the price of gold made its final high point in a bullish cycle, while the geopolitical situation in the Middle East seems to be beginning to ease? The answer to this question cannot be a simple yes, as there are so many fundamental factors influencing gold's trend on the commodities market. But it is true that, in terms of technical analysis, signals of the end of a bullish cycle (the one that began at the start of 2024, when the price made a bullish technical break of its former all-time high at $2075 an ounce of gold) are gradually appearing, in particular bearish divergences. 1) GOLD, medium/long-term bearish technical divergences are gradually appearing First of all, let's begin our analysis with the technical aspect for medium/long-term time horizons. The two charts below show signs that the underlying uptrend is running out of steam, with a bearish price/momentum divergence in weekly data. As for the monthly chart, it shows that the theoretical targets of bullish wave number 5 (the last bullish impulse in the Elliott wave cycle) have been made. This doesn't mean with 100% probability that the final high point has been made, but it does highlight that the bullish cycle is well matured and that less buoyant fundamentals may trigger a price breath at the current stage. Chart showing Japanese candles in monthly gold price data (XAU/USD) Chart showing Japanese candles in weekly gold price data (XAU/USD) 2) On the other hand, we must remain cautious, as the geopolitical situation is still very tense, and the fundamental factors influencing gold are many and varied The fundamentals that have underpinned GOLD's fundamental uptrend are numerous and go far beyond the geopolitical framework. While geopolitics is calming down in the Middle East, it remains very complicated in Ukraine. But despite everything, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran is taking bullish support away from the GOLD. But keep in mind that other factors are at work, notably physical demand for gold in China and financial demand for gold via ETFs in particular. The latter is directly linked to interest rates, the US dollar and therefore the FED's monetary policy outlook. Therefore, mere appeasement in the Middle East is NOT a sufficient argument for the end of GOLD's bullish cycle in fundamental terms. 3) The bullish technical signal we highlighted for you on XPT/USD In an analysis of precious metals on June 10, we highlighted a bullish technical signal on the platinum price (XPT/USD), with an outperformance signal given against gold. This analysis can be viewed again by clicking on the link/image below. Based on the monthly technical analysis, the platinum price is approaching the overbought zone, so don't hesitate to accompany the movement with a trailing protective stop, as sooner or later there will be a market breather. Chart showing monthly Japanese candlesticks for platinum (XPT/USD) DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Swissquote
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance, and could drop to the 1st support, acting as a pullback support. Pivot: 3,339.40 1st Support: 3,297.74 1st Resistance: 3,389.16 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
2
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold. From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD 1H | Harmonic AB=CD | Sentiment Reversal in PlayGold has formed a clean Harmonic AB=CD Pattern, with price currently sitting at the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). This aligns with technical expectations for a possible bullish shift. 🗓️ The recent sharp sell-off in Gold was heavily influenced by the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, triggering fear, panic, and speculative selling. Despite Gold's fundamentally bullish bias as a safe-haven asset, market sentiment overpowered fundamentals in the short term. 🔍 On the 30min LTF, we have a crystal-clear Bullish Divergence on RSI, adding further confluence that downside momentum is weakening, and a corrective reversal may unfold from this area. Bias: ✅ Harmonic AB=CD complete — PRZ active ✅ LTF Bullish Divergence (30m) confirmed ✅ Price action showing exhaustion at key support ✅ Expecting potential bullish reaction and relief rally ⚠️ As always, waiting for confirmation with proper risk management. Market remains sensitive to geopolitical headlines. 💡 DYOR — Do Your Own Research before executing trades.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by awaisulabdeen
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 22412.00 - PR Low: 22384.50 - NZ Spread: 61.5 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies - New Home Sales 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 6/25) - Session Open ATR: 372.52 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 253K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -1.9% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
GOLD GOLD ASIANS SESSION ,the price action of gold faces immediate resistance at 3334.91 descending black trendline backed by ema+sma 100 on 2hr timeframe ,correction from 3295 low yesterday could be seeing buy potential from 3326 and 3318.9 last level. be careful of dips into 3318.9 price level,because it could use broken demand floor as supply roof and continue selling. for a healthy buying ,i expect 3326-3325 to hold buy. US10y stands at 4.30% jumps from 4.28% low yesterday and interest rate remains 4.25-4.5% held steady from fed last monetary policy meeting . cease fire slowing buy momentum and 10 year bond yield on demand floor ,if investors go the bonds way,then gold could be seeing a bearish continuation in a short term, note;the long term direction remains bullish. The Fed Chair, Jerome Powell will speak today and it is expected to emphasize a data-dependent approach to monetary policy amid mixed economic signals. Key points likely to be highlighted: Inflation Outlook: Powell may note that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target but is showing signs of gradual easing, especially in core services and goods prices. Interest Rate Path: The Fed is likely to maintain a cautious stance, signaling that while rate cuts are possible later in 2025, decisions will depend on upcoming economic data, particularly inflation and labor market conditions. Economic Growth: Powell may express concerns about slowing growth and global uncertainties but stress the Fed’s commitment to balancing inflation control with supporting the economy. Housing Market: Given recent housing data, Powell might mention the impact of elevated mortgage rates on housing affordability and sales. Overall, the testimony is expected to reinforce the Fed’s “patient and flexible” approach, leaving markets alert for any shifts in tone regarding the timing of rate cuts. 1. New Home Sales (USD) Forecast: 694,000 units Previous: 743,000 units The forecast anticipates a decline in new home sales compared to the previous month, reflecting ongoing challenges in the housing market primarily due to elevated mortgage rates. Recent reports from Fannie Mae and Zillow indicate that higher mortgage rates (projected to end 2025 around 6.5%) are weighing on home sales, leading to downward revisions in sales forecasts for 2025. Despite some regional variations and slight upticks in existing home sales, the overall trend points to a cooling housing market with slower new home sales growth. However, elevated mortgage rates and a cautious labor market continues to restrain some buyers. 2. Crude Oil Inventories (USD) Forecast: -1.2 million barrels (draw) Previous: -11.5 million barrels (large draw) The forecast expects a smaller inventory draw compared to the previous week’s significant reduction. Inventory draws typically support crude oil prices, but a smaller-than-expected draw could temper price gains. Crude oil inventory data influences energy prices and can indirectly impact inflation expectations and market sentiment. #gold
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal. The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East. Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline. Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320 Resistance levels: 3360, 3366 Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
38
GOLD GOLD ASIANS SESSION ,the price action of gold faces immediate resistance at 3334.91 descending black trendline backed by ema+sma 100 on 2hr timeframe ,correction from 3295 low yesterday could be seeing buy potential from 3326 and 3318.9 last level. be careful of dips into 3318.9 price level,because it could use broken demand floor as supply roof and continue selling. for a healthy buying ,i expect 3326-3325 to hold buy. US10y stands at 4.30% jumps from 4.28% low yesterday and interest rate remains 4.25-4.5% held steady from fed last monetary policy meeting . cease fire slowing buy momentum and 10 year bond yield on demand floor ,if investors go the bonds way,then gold could be seeing a bearish continuation in a short term, note;the long term direction remains bullish. The Fed Chair, Jerome Powell will speak today and it is expected to emphasize a data-dependent approach to monetary policy amid mixed economic signals. Key points likely to be highlighted: Inflation Outlook: Powell may note that inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target but is showing signs of gradual easing, especially in core services and goods prices. Interest Rate Path: The Fed is likely to maintain a cautious stance, signaling that while rate cuts are possible later in 2025, decisions will depend on upcoming economic data, particularly inflation and labor market conditions. Economic Growth: Powell may express concerns about slowing growth and global uncertainties but stress the Fed’s commitment to balancing inflation control with supporting the economy. Housing Market: Given recent housing data, Powell might mention the impact of elevated mortgage rates on housing affordability and sales. Overall, the testimony is expected to reinforce the Fed’s “patient and flexible” approach, leaving markets alert for any shifts in tone regarding the timing of rate cuts. 1. New Home Sales (USD) Forecast: 694,000 units Previous: 743,000 units The forecast anticipates a decline in new home sales compared to the previous month, reflecting ongoing challenges in the housing market primarily due to elevated mortgage rates. Recent reports from Fannie Mae and Zillow indicate that higher mortgage rates (projected to end 2025 around 6.5%) are weighing on home sales, leading to downward revisions in sales forecasts for 2025. Despite some regional variations and slight upticks in existing home sales, the overall trend points to a cooling housing market with slower new home sales growth. However, elevated mortgage rates and a cautious labor market continues to restrain some buyers. 2. Crude Oil Inventories (USD) Forecast: -1.2 million barrels (draw) Previous: -11.5 million barrels (large draw) The forecast expects a smaller inventory draw compared to the previous week’s significant reduction. Inventory draws typically support crude oil prices, but a smaller-than-expected draw could temper price gains. Crude oil inventory data influences energy prices and can indirectly impact inflation expectations and market sentiment. #gold
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold price short term recovery 3366⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated on Wednesday that the central bank has sufficient time to assess the impact of tariffs on inflation before making any decisions regarding interest rates. His remarks suggest a cautious approach and align with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments from the previous day. Chair Powell reaffirmed the view that there is no urgency to alter monetary policy, emphasizing a patient, data-driven approach as the Fed monitors economic developments. This less dovish tone from Fed leadership may help cap downside pressure on gold in the near term. Meanwhile, money markets are fully pricing in two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with a September move seen as more probable than one in July—although expectations for a July cut have slightly increased since last week. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovered and continued to accumulate, pay attention to the GAP 3366 area at the beginning of the week, selling pressure is still maintained. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3366- 3368 SL 3373 TP1: $3358 TP2: $3345 TP3: $3330 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3303-$3301 SL $3296 TP1: $3315 TP2: $3328 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold is under pressure. Will the trend change?Information summary: The easing of tensions in the Middle East is the main reason for the suppression of gold. Risk aversion has weakened, and the market has entered a risk-taking mode. Gold prices are well supported near $3,300. Powell released an important signal: The market expected Powell to strongly refute the possibility of a rate cut, but he remained on the sidelines. The market still generally believes that the July 29-30 meeting is unlikely to initiate a rate cut, and the first rate cut is expected to be in September. Market analysis: Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, which has changed the current bull structure in stages, so there is no doubt that gold is expected to fall back as a whole. The early decline was near 3355, which is the current long-short watershed of gold. As long as the adjustment does not break through the 3355 position, the overall short-term adjustment pattern of gold will not change. The early Asian market did not continue to retreat, but the short-term rebound had a long buying force accumulation, but as long as it did not break through 3355, the market trend was still weak, and it was adjusted by low-level shock correction. Today, there is a high probability of movement around the falling range. The short-term support below is around 3290. If this position is lost, it may touch the turning point around 3275. Operation strategy: Go long when the price falls back to around 3315, stop loss at 3305, and profit range 3345-3350.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1