Futures market
Gold Forming Triple Top – Correction Ahead?Gold is currently showing a triple top pattern while holding at a key trendline support.
With geopolitical tensions easing, US inflation cooling off, and a potential Fed rate cut on the horizon, gold may be set for a correction.
A drop toward the $2,900/oz zone looks likely — this will be a critical support level. A break below it could trigger a long-term downtrend.
GOLD. Daily Timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Daily Timeframe
Market phase : sideways. Seller's initiative.
Boundaries marked with black lines.
Gold followed an alternative scenario from the previous review toward 3435. The buyer played out the 8-9 vector of the range on the daily timeframe, and now the initiative has shifted to the seller. The seller's targets are 3245 and 3201 — areas to watch for potential buy patterns aiming for a new ATH. The price might get stuck in the 3293–3271 zone. If a strong buyer reaction occurs, a reversal may happen in this range.
The ideal area to look for buy patterns is around 3201.
Selling is risky.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Gold today high-altitude low-multiple operation
📌 Gold news
On Tuesday, the spot gold price plummeted, hitting a two-week low. The main reason was that Iran and Israel announced a ceasefire, which suppressed the demand for safe-haven gold. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell made hawkish remarks, which also hit the gold price trend. Short-term long-short game will focus on the PCE inflation data to be released by the United States. If the economic data performs poorly or inflation continues to fall, it may still provide a medium-term rebound opportunity for gold.
📊Comment analysis
Yesterday, gold was weak overall, and the decline and rebound were limited. It fell directly from around 3357 to 3295, and then rebounded according to the news. It ran around 3326 in the morning. From a technical point of view, the daily low trend line support is around 3290, the 4-hour long lower shadow line bottomed out, and three consecutive positive rebounds, the daily line supports the lower track of the Bollinger band, and the Bollinger band tends to be parallel. There is no sign of opening downward, so the short-term decline of gold prices is limited. Consider paying attention to the support of 3294 during the day, and mainly use this position for defense and low long. Pay attention to the important suppression of the middle track 3363 above, and mainly short.
💰Strategy Package
Focus on the support near 3316-3317 in the short term, rely on this position to go long, stop loss 3307, take profit near 3345, and break 3363. If it falls strongly below 3294, then don't consider going long during the day.
Gold operation strategy: long near 3316, stop loss 3307. Take profit 3345
⭐️ Note: Labaron is not 100% correct here, only a steady operation idea, large warehouse for trend, small warehouse for wave, control the proportion by yourself, there is no unprofitable investment, only unsuccessful orders, whether to make money depends on the timing of buying up and buying down, making money depends on opportunities, investment depends on wisdom, and financial management depends on professionalism.
Gold sell now Sell (Short) Trade Setup:
Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15 Minutes
Entry Point: 3,331.19
Stop Loss (SL): 3,340.20
Target (Take Profit): 3,310.77 / 3,310.92
---
🔍 Trade Logic:
Chart par bearish candle formation dikha raha hai.
Entry ke baad price ka short-term bounce expected hai (as shown by blue zigzag arrow).
The latest analysis of gold trend on June 25From the perspective of technical analysis, based on the daily level, the gold price is expected to be further under pressure in the future. At the daily level, the current focus is on the 3370 area resistance. The 1-hour line shows that the short-term pressure is at the position of the previous upward trend line retracement. Due to the short-term market volatility and decline, it is necessary to temporarily focus on the current downward trend line area resistance, which is also the daily and four-hour resistance area. The 3330-3315-3310 area will be followed below. If the market is in an extremely weak state, the gold price is expected to test the 3330-3270 area. From the indicator signal, the RSI oscillation around 50 shows that the market is balanced between long and short forces, the MACD red column shrinks, and the fast and slow lines flatten, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakened; the KDJ high dead cross shows that the short cycle may be corrected.
Comprehensive technical analysis, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly rebound short selling, supplemented by low long selling. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3370 - 3380 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3330 - 3315 support line.
Will gold prices continue to decline?On Tuesday, spot gold once fell below the $3,310 level and finally closed down 1.67% at $3,322.82 per ounce, as the Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment and Fed Chair Powell stated that more time is needed before considering interest rate cuts. Spot silver closed down 0.46% at $35.90 per ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.2960%, and the 2-year yield at 3.8310%. Powell indicated that current policy is in a favorable position to wait and see before considering rate adjustments, adding that "colleagues privately say I'm doing the right thing". The vast majority of officials believe rate cuts later this year would be appropriate, while noting it's "too early to declare the U.S. dollar is falling".
Technically, gold's daily chart formed a large bearish candle with a lower shadow, breaking below previous support levels amid consolidation. This suggests the bearish trend may persist.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3330-3335
TP:3300-3295
GOLD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bullish
Rebound but will soon
Hit a wide horizontal
Resistance of around 3,345$
And as we are locally bearish
Biased after the recent rising
Support breakout we will be
Expecting a bearish pullback
And a local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The rebound is an opportunity to short goldAfter the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel and Powell's hawkish remarks that strongly refuted the possibility of a rate cut, gold fell sharply and hit a low near 3295. Although gold has rebounded, it is particularly difficult during the rebound process, which shows that the bulls are not willing to attack, and the rebound is only a technical repair of the decline.
Since gold fell below 3300 yesterday, the current bull structure has been changed in stages and the confidence of the bulls has been greatly weakened. As gold falls, it will be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. Before gold breaks through this area, any rebound may give us an opportunity to short gold; in addition, after gold falls below 3300 once, in order to move downward and test support, gold has the need to retreat again.
So in the next short-term trading, we can try to use the 3345-3355 area as resistance, short gold appropriately, and look to the 3315-3305 area.
Will crude oil prices continue to decline?On Tuesday, oil prices fell by 6%, hitting a two-week low, as market expectations that a ceasefire between Israel and Iran would reduce the risk of supply disruptions in Middle Eastern oil. WTI crude oil fell below $64 per barrel intraday, eventually closing down 3.35% at $64.96 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 3.7% at $67.73 per barrel. With the easing of the Israel-Iran conflict, the trading logic of the crude oil market will return to fundamentals. For now, the consumption peak season has hedged the pressure from OPEC+ production increases. Although U.S. crude oil demand has not shown eye-catching performance, OPEC+ production increases have also fallen short of expectations. In the later stage, attention needs to be paid to the geopolitical situation and the landing of OPEC+ production increases. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, factors such as continued OPEC+ production increases, weak demand, and supply surplus will still dominate oil price movements. The daily chart of crude oil closed with a bearish hammer line, in a two-day bearish pattern. After breaking the high, crude oil fell rapidly, indicating signs of the end of the oil price rally. Today, the focus is on whether the oil price continues to break down.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@67.0-68.0
TP:63.0-64.0
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 23 - Jun 27]This week, after opening at $3,369/oz, OANDA:XAUUSD prices fluctuated within a fairly narrow range, from only $3,340-$3,374/oz, and closed at $3,368/oz. The fact that gold prices closed this week close to the opening price shows that investors are hesitant in the current context.
The reason why gold prices are still fluctuating within a narrow range this week is because US President Donald Trump gave Iran a 2-week deadline to consider negotiating an end to the conflict with Israel, even though the Israel-Iran conflict is still raging.
In addition, on June 12, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%, while adjusting its forecast for US GDP growth lower and raising its estimate for near-term inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that tariffs would push up prices and weigh on economic activity. Although two rate cuts are expected before the end of the year, Powell said the Fed may wait for more clarity before cutting rates.
Next week, the Fed Chairman will hold two semiannual monetary policy hearings before the US House and Senate committees on Tuesday and Wednesday. If Fed Chairman Powell hints at a rate cut in September 2025, the USD could fall against other major currencies, causing gold prices to rise next week. Conversely, if the Fed Chairman emphasizes that they will continue to prioritize controlling inflation and is in no hurry to cut interest rates, the USD will rise, thereby pushing gold prices down next week.
📌Technically, the gold price on the H4 and D1 charts is stuck between the range of 3295-3450, which is an important support level around 3295, and the resistance level at 3450.
The current price is moving sideways and accumulating in smaller time frames, and the trend has not been clearly defined when it has not broken through the above two resistance levels.
There are two scenarios for gold.
In the long-term framework, if it breaks through the 3450 zone and breaks the trend at the same time, it is expected that the gold price will set a new high.
In the case that the gold price trades below the 3300 round resistance, and at the same time the 3295 support zone is broken, it is easy to form a head and shoulders pattern on the H4 chart.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,350 – 3,320 – 3,300USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 – 3,500USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3412 - 3410⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3416
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3294 - 3296⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3290
Is Gold Gearing Up for a Rebound or More Losses Ahead?Fundamental Analysis:
Gold prices dipped but trimmed earlier losses as markets reassessed the durability of the recent ceasefire in the Middle East. Initial relief from the truce eased safe haven demand, but fresh signs of renewed tensions have cast doubt on how long the calm will last, keeping geopolitical uncertainty firmly in play. At the same time, dovish comments from key Fed officials highlighting softening labor data and cooling inflation offered some support, helping to stabilize gold’s pullback.
Technical Analysis:
Technically, XAUUSD retreated and tested the ascending trendline and support near 3300. Holding this level could open the door to a bounce toward resistance at 3500. However, a decisive break below 3300 may trigger a deeper decline toward 3200, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
Gold breaks down and moves downward, focus on the 3300 markWith the official ceasefire between Iran and Israel, although there are some repeated frictions in the middle, under Trump's mediation, both parties are relatively tolerant. It seems that the war has been declared over. Gold has also fallen sharply. In the early trading, it fell sharply to around 3333 and stabilized. After rebounding to around 3357, it fell again under pressure. During the European trading session, it broke the low and continued. It repeated around 3317/8 and fell again under pressure around 3332. This position has become the key pressure point for the current top and bottom conversion. In the evening, the testimony of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was also relatively cautious. He believed that inflation had declined, but it was still far from the 2% target. He tended to adjust interest rates after inflation achieved the target. Therefore, the double pressure caused gold to rebound weakly and repeatedly run weakly. At present, the lowest level reached 3304, which is one step away from the 3300 mark. Judging from the current trend, the overall weak pattern continues. In the evening, relying on the 3300 mark, try a long order for the last time, and then do a good job of continuing defense after the break.
6/24 Gold Evening Reference Ideas
Gold is long near 3303/05, defend 3298, target 3320/3330, short at 3298, defend 3305, target near 3276, short at 3330, defend 3337, watch 3316/08
XAUUSD Ready bounce back?XAUUSD 3295.00 is an important weekly and daily key level price has just bounced back from the key level with double bottom formation. It is possible for the price to continue to bounce back to daily resistance level?
While was in down trend price has left significant imbalance in the market showing possible uptrend with the filling of FVG.
A buy trade with strong liquidity grab is high probable.
XAU/USD-Mart money
🚨 Smart Money Sniper Signal – XAU/USD (Gold)
🕒 Timeframe: M15 or H1
📅 Date: June 25, 2025
---
🔍 Market Context
Current price: ~$3,326
Market structure: Bullish on H1
Liquidity grab zone: Observed around $3,322
Order block support: $3,318 – $3,322
RSI: Above 50 (bullish momentum)
---
🟢 Buy Setup (Sniper Entry)
Entry zone: $3,322 – $3,324 (on bullish confirmation)
Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or strong bullish candle on M15
Stop Loss: Below $3,318
Take Profit targets:
TP1: $3,330
TP2: $3,336
TP3: $3,344
🧠 Tip: Use a Risk:Reward ratio of at least 1:2. Set trailing stop once TP1 is reached.
---
🔴 Sell Scenario (If invalidation)
If price breaks below $3,318 with volume:
→ Wait for a retest of the zone and enter SELL
TP1: $3,312
TP2: $3,304
---
🔔 For TalionPromosal (TradingView page)
Use this caption for your idea post:
> 💥 Smart Money Signal (Gold – M15/H1)
Bullish structure still valid. Looking for sniper entry near $3,322 with OB + RSI confluence.
SL below $3,318. TP targets $3,330 / $3,336 / $3,344.
Risk-managed & institutionally aligned setup.
#SmartMoney #XAUUSD #Gold #SniperEntry #TalionPromosal #TradingView
-
Geopolitical Spike Fades Fast – Gold Eyes 3300As highlighted in Friday’s analysis, the daily and short-term charts remain messy, but the weekly chart is leaning clearly bearish – with a potential Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation now confirmed.
🌍 Geopolitical Gap Up... and Quick Rejection
Monday’s Asian open brought a gap up, triggered by renewed tensions in the Middle East. But price failed to break above 3400 and quickly reversed – a textbook sign of weakness, not strength.
🧭 Technical View:
- The weekly candle closed as a Dark Cloud Cover, a strong bearish reversal signal
- The lack of follow-through after the gap up further confirms sellers are still in control
- Price remains below the key 3400 level, showing no bullish momentum behind recent spikes
📌 Trading Plan:
I continue to sell rallies, with an initial target near 3300. If bearish momentum builds, lower levels are in play.
Let the chart lead – don’t get distracted by the noise.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
June 25, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Gold remains in a consolidation range between 3340 and 3400.
If price holds above 3350, bullish momentum may return and push toward 3365.
If price breaks below 3315, the strategy remains to sell on pullbacks to resistance.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint / Bull-Bear Line
• 3342 – Key Resistance
• 3328 – Resistance
• 3315 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Support
• 3295 – Support
• 3285 – Support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3315 → watch 3305, then 3300, 3295, 3285
• BUY if price holds above 3350 → target 3356, then 3365, 3370, 3375
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 24th June 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure on daily
- Looking for a break & retest on 4hr structure
- Potential SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3370
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.