Futures market
Gold Slips on Ceasefire — Bearish Momentum Continues Below 3350XAUUSD Analysis – June 25, 2025
Gold slipped significantly and dropped by 1.79% following eased geopolitical tensions after a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. As risk appetite recovered and the USD strengthened sharply, Gold finally broke below the key support at $3,350, falling straight to the next support level around $3,304.
This clean and aggressive sell-off suggests that sellers are still dominating the short-term market structure. Technically, Gold is now trading within a new support range of $3,304–$3,327, while the broader trend remains clearly bearish.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
After the break of 3,350, we can observe that price is forming lower highs and lower lows. The previous high is still located at 3,395, which makes any swing trade risky due to wide stop losses.
However, given the sharp drop, a short-term correction toward 3,327–3,336 is possible before another leg down. The current structure supports shorting the retracement, as long as no bullish reversal pattern emerges on the H4 or D1 timeframe.
📌 Trading Plan (Intraday / Short-term idea):
🔻 Sell Limit: 3,327
❌ Stop Loss: 3,337
🎯 Take Profit: 3,305
⚠️ Use a small lot size due to the 100-pip stop.
This is a short-term plan, best executed in the M15–H1 timeframe. We avoid swing entries until a better structure is confirmed.
📊 Key Levels (Pivot System):
R3: 3,379
R2: 3,366
R1: 3,350
Pivot: 3,327
S1: 3,305
S2: 3,286
S3: 3,256
💬 Summary:
Gold continues its bearish momentum. Watch closely for potential short-term correction toward 3,327–3,336. As long as price fails to break above 3,336 or form a bullish engulfing structure, we remain cautiously bearish.
Dramatic change coming?In response to prospects of a de-escalation in the Middle East tensions, XAU/USD fell and has continued to decline throughout the day.
Despite the apparent breakthrough, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz ordered retaliatory strikes after claiming Iran violated the agreement hours after both nations agreed to the ceasefire, allegations that Tehran denies.
US President Donald Trump announced the initial ceasefire between Israel and Iran on Monday evening during an address at Capitol Hill, stating that “Stability in the Middle East is essential for global peace.”
The announcement followed Iranian missile strikes on US bases in Qatar, which were intercepted without casualties.
The ceasefire has pressured Gold and Crude Oil prices as traders unwind risk hedges tied to potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for roughly 20% of global Oil supply.
The reduced threat of supply disruption would help lower inflation expectations, a key theme for the Fed, which is facing pressure from Trump to cut interest rates.
However, investors expect the Gold price to get supported by a dramatic change in the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) stance on the monetary policy outlook. Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman stated in a gathering in Prague on Monday that monetary policy adjustments are becoming appropriate amid growing job market risks and expectations that the tariff policy announced by Donald Trump will have limited impact on inflation.
Tomorrow,Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies about the semiannual Monetary Policy Report before the US Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs.
XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook🟢 XAU/USD – 5-Minute Scalping Outlook
🕐 Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar – Heikin Ashi
The market structure on the 5-minute chart confirms a bullish bias, supported by multiple structural shifts and a recent Break of Structure (BOS) following a valid trading range.
🔍 Key Highlights:
After a clear BOS and bullish consolidation, price tapped into the TLQ (True Liquidity Zone) and reacted strongly from the Extreme Zone just above $3,316.
The EPA (Entry Point Area) held effectively as a short-term support, fueling a sharp breakout move.
The current price has surged past $3,322, pushing into an area of minor resistance near $3,332 – $3,336.
The recent price action shows the market is inefficient, which often leads to rebalancing — watch for a potential retrace toward EPA or TLQ before continuation.
📈 Scalping Strategy Note:
Traders could look for short-term retracement entries between $3,318 – $3,320, targeting the upper resistance zone while managing risk below $3,316.
📊
Structure: Bullish ✅
Efficiency: Inefficient ❌ (expect potential re-tests)
Momentum: Accelerating
Trend Bias: Intraday Bullish
---
💬 Scalpers should remain cautious around high volatility zones and news-driven sessions.
This chart reflects an excellent model for liquidity-based entries in a trending environment.
📌 Analysis by: Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
the best time to make money### XAUUSD – 15m Game Plan (June 25)
**Context**
- London/NY overlap printed a sharp push into intraday supply @ **3329-3335**.
- Immediate rejection left a long upper wick, suggesting remaining sell-side liquidity up there.
- Key demand/OB sits @ **3300-3305** (round number + H1 bullish OB).
---
#### Base scenario
I expect price to sweep liquidity around **3300-3305**, print a bullish rejection and then target
**3340-3345** (day-range extension & 4 h imbalance).
> **Buy zone:** 3300-3305
> **Invalidation:** clean close < 3295
> **First TP:** 3330-3335 (~100 pips)
> **Final TP:** 3340-3345
---
#### Alternate (aggressive) scalp
Should price revisit **3329-3335** and show a clear rejection (15 m bearish engulf / long upper wick),
I’ll consider a short toward **3315 → 3305** with stops above **3336**.
Scalp only – will stand aside into major US data releases.
---
> 🚩 **Risk note:** Gold is extremely headline-sensitive this week – no position will be left open through tier-1 news. Always manage risk – max 1 % per trade.
CL1! Structural NarrativeResearch Idea
If look we beyond surface appearances, we would ask what kind of iterative, generative, or probabilistic mechanisms could have created those movements. Complexity can arise from simplicity, and that what looks messy may follow deep mathematical logic.
We can see the curve that connects series rejections that exposes where selling pressure extends compression until broken.
Another pattern would be current price expressed as a fibonacci ratio of a broader cycle as it splits them into phases.
XAUUSD Bullish OutlookThis chart captures a highly strategic bullish setup on XAUUSD, rooted in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and institutional trading principles. The market has performed a major liquidity sweep, dipping below previous lows to collect resting sell-side liquidity before reacting sharply from a key demand zone.
Why Bullish? The Confluences:
Liquidity Sweep:
Price manipulated below a significant structural low to trap late sellers and activate institutional orders. This move into deeper liquidity suggests the smart money is building long positions.
Extreme P.O.I. + Demand Zone:
The blue zone marks a high probability reversal area where demand outweighs supply. This zone is validated by historical reactions and refined to align with an Order Block (OB) a clear footprint of institutional accumulation.
Bullish Structure Anticipation:
After the reaction, price is expected to form a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish market structure. Multiple resistance levels are in sight, each one representing an objective for price to reach in its journey upward.
Entry Point: $3,343 – $3,330
Located inside the OB and demand zone, this is where price is likely to build a base for upward continuation.
Stop Loss: Below $3,324
TP1: $3,363 (first internal structure break)
TP2: $3,375 (mid range target)
TP3: $3,383 (structural high retest)
TP Final: $3,405 (liquidity target above EQH)
Remember confirmation is key before execution.
#GOLD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 25, 2025👋👋 Hello traders!
Gold is still moving down strongly. Today’s plan is made for traders who want clear and precise levels. Let’s look at the structure, important zones, and where to watch for trades.
1. Higher Timeframe Overview (Daily, H4, H1)
Daily: Price is falling near the 200 EMA around 3323. RSI shows less buying strength. We wait for a clear move.
H4: The trend is down with lower highs at 3418 and lower lows at 3311. RSI is low, showing weak buying. Price is near the 200 EMA.
H1: Small bounce up to 3328–3332 resistance. RSI is weak, so price must break this zone to move higher.
2. Lower Timeframe Details (M30, M15)
M30: EMA5 crossed above EMA21 but price is near resistance at 3328–3332. RSI is neutral.
M15: Price broke a small wedge up but is limited by EMA21 and EMA50. RSI near 58 shows price could be overbought.
3. Key Zones and How to Trade Them
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3352
Look for signs that price rejects this zone (wicks, bearish candles) before selling.
🟡 Flip / Decision Zone: 3360 – 3380
Do not trade here. This zone will show if trend changes. Wait for clear confirmation.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3300 – 3285
Look for price rejection and strong buying signs before buying here.
🟢 Deep Buy Zone: 3265 – 3272
Only buy here if price goes below 3280 and shows strength.
4. What to Do
Current price is about 3323.
If price goes above 3332, watch the sell zone 3345–3352 for a short trade.
If price drops below 3332, expect a move down to the buy zone 3300–3285.
Do not buy above 3360 without a clear trend change.
Be patient and wait for good signals.
5. Important Levels
Zone Price Range Notes
Sell Zone 3345 – 3352 Best short zone
Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 Wait and watch, no trades
Buy Zone 3300 – 3285 Good buy zone
Deep Buy Zone 3265 – 3272 Last buy chance
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Gold Short Term OutlookGold dipped into the Support Zone but failed to sustain the breakdown below it. After briefly breaking below the zone, price has rebounded and is now attempting a short-term recovery.
However, structure remains bearish, with price trading below both the 50MA and 200MA, signalling continued downside pressure unless momentum shifts.
For bullish momentum to continue, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,330, which may open the path toward $3,346, then $3,361.
If the move up doesn’t hold, the next reaction is expected near key support.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,330 • $3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
📌 Stay patient and wait for confirmation before committing to a direction.
GOLD The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%-4.37%
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations
Impact on Markets Today
The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year.
The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data.
Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year us government bond yield and the dollar index ,GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading on cease fire deal between Israel and Iran by united states of America.
In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant.
follow zone of buy and sell for educational purpose only.
#gold #dollar
06/24/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: -717.50
Sleep: 4.5 hours - heat waves in nyc
Overall health: meh
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)** 4/4
9:40 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 5 pts
9:42 AM VXAlgo NQ X3 Buy Signal (failed)
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! 20pt
11:58 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (failed)
What’s one key lesson or takeaway from today?
and What major news or event impacted the market today?
There are days that the algo will lose but you just gotta trust the process and execute accordingly with a stoploss.
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6130 = Bullish, Under 6125= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Platinum Wave Analysis – 24 June 2025- Platinum reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1350.00
Platinum recently reversed up from the support area between the upper trendline of the recently broken up channel from May (acting as the support after it was broken) and the support level 1250.00.
The upward reversal from this support area continues the active minor impulse wave 5 from the end of May.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Platinum can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1350.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i).
NATGAS SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 3.450$
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 3.600$
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%-4.37%
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations
Impact on Markets Today
The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year.
The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data.
Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year us government bond yield and the dollar index ,GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading on cease fire deal between Israel and Iran by united states of America.
In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant.
follow zone of buy and sell for educational purpose only.
#gold #dollar
4 Powerful, Daily Affirmations for Faith-Based TradersAffirmations make a huge difference.
But why?
It's because they shape our beliefs.
Whatever we think, affects what we say.
Whatever we say, affects what we do.
Whatever we do, is who we become and what our life actual looks like.
Repeat these affirmations daily and watch your life change before your eyes.
Wealth flows to me with ease as I walk in purpose.
I reject scarcity and embrace Kingdom abundance.
I am open to divine provision in expected and unexpected ways.
I have more than enough to thrive and to give.
Happy trading!
For those of you who are trading to make a bigger impact in the world, I am praying for you!
Oil Went Back to 'Pre-conflict' Level on Israel-Iran Ceasefire The Israel-Iran ceasefire has triggered a sharp reversal in global oil markets, sending prices tumbling back to levels seen before the recent conflict. Brent crude ICEEUR:BRN1! fell below $70 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate NYMEX:CL1! dropped to around $65, erasing the risk premium that had built up during nearly two weeks of hostilities. This rapid decline—nearly 17% from the conflict’s peak—reflects investor relief that the threat of major supply disruptions, especially through the vital Strait of Hormuz, has receded for now.
However, the outlook remains uncertain. While the ceasefire has calmed immediate fears, the truce is fragile, with both sides accusing each other of violations within hours of its announcement. Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz is still subdued, insurance costs for tankers remain elevated, and some shipowners are steering clear of the region, indicating persistent caution in energy logistics.
If the ceasefire holds, markets may stabilize further, supporting global economic recovery and easing inflationary pressures.
But any renewed escalation or disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could quickly reverse these gains, keeping energy markets on alert for further geopolitical shocks.
The main technical graph for Dec'25 WTI Futures NYMEX:CLZ2025 indicates on 'cup and handle' technical structure with the nearest support around $62 per bll, and further 'double top' price action in upcoming development.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Gold Holding Strong – Eyes on $3400 and Beyond! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price corrected down to $3341, then rallied back up to $3399. Currently, gold is trading around $3373, and if it manages to hold above $3355, we can expect further upside movement.
Potential bullish targets are $3400, $3417, $3450, and $3468.
2025-06-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market stalled exactly at the 50% retracement from the bear leg 24627 down to 23061. I highly doubt we top out here but 24000 is a possible target for the high. Issue for the bears is that this is as bullish as it get’s right now. All markets printing big green candles and bears gave up. US markets are heading for new ath and they will likely print new ones this week. So thinking about topping out is dumb as of now. Will only look for longs closer to the 1h ema until we see much much bigger selling pressure and prices below 23500.
current market cycle: broad bull channel on the weekly chart. Daily chart is in a trading range 23000 - 24500
key levels: 23500 - 24000
bull case: Big Globex gap up, retest and go. Market is leaving gaps below and until they close, we are in a max bullish market. 24000 is the obvious target but we can do more. Any pullback now has to stay above 23700 or bears might come around again.
Invalidation is below 23000.
bear case: There is a tiny chance for the bears that this is just a retest of 24000 and the breakout price area and also the daily 20ema. Tiny. Don’t bet on it. You can not look for shorts until we close the next gap down to 23550ish.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Bullish af. 24000 I see as given unless a newsbomb hits. Market should not drop below 23690 if bulls want to continue higher.
medium-long term from 2025-06-22: New bear trend has likely started on 2025-06-05 and we saw W2 conclude on Friday. Daily close below 23000 will be the confirmation for the bears and I have drawn 2 potential final W5 targets. I have written that we will see 20000/21000 again over the summer for many weeks/months now, this even is just another excuse for “analysts” to justify the move down.
trade of the day: Long on Globex or buying pullbacks near the 15m or 60m ema. All were profitable at least for scalps. When you see this much buying during Globex session and a perfect double bottom above a big bull gap, chances that this day is bearish are abysmally low so don’t look for shorts.
Midweek XAUUSD Insight | Dual View SetupPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (Left Panel – 3H): Price action has been moving within bullish structure, with a major higher low currently holding strong. This HL is the key pivot I’m watching for continuation.
Refinement Zone (Middle – 30M): We’ve tapped into a 30M OB and are now sitting in mitigation territory. No signs of reversal yet, but the setup is maturing.
Entry Technique (Right Panel – 15M View): Just waiting for that classic Smart Money confirmation — LTF CHoCH, liquidity sweep, then return into OB. Will refine down to 5M for precise entry if price plays out clean.
Entry Zone: Waiting on confirmation around the OB zone
Target Zones: Based on HTF structure continuation
🧠 Mindset Note: Setup is solid, but patience wins. Let the story unfold — we only strike with clarity and precision.
Bless Trading!