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Gold Analysis – Daily Outlook I initially anticipated a deeper move toward 3225 — the 25–30% retracement zone of the discount array — but price bounced quickly during Monday’s open, then confirmed a market structure shift by breaking above 3350. However, the buy signal wasn’t convincing at the time, as Silver lagged and leaned bearish. Following the latest 4H chart, Silver has now invalidated the short idea by trading above 36.83, which offers stronger confirmation for the bullish bias — far clearer than what was seen on Monday. Retracement might occur around last week’s high at 3394, offering a possible discount re-entry point before further upside. Still, price could head straight toward ATH, so keeping 3394 in view remains wise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Dolf_1x
Gold remains strong, and we continue to buy on pullbacks!ADP employment unexpectedly turned negative, and the probability of a rate cut increased again The ADP employment report released on the same day showed that the number of private sector jobs in the United States decreased by 33,000 in June, the first net loss since March 2023, and the May data was also significantly revised down to +29,000. After the release of the ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in July quickly rose from 20% before the data was released to about 27.4%. The market's bet on a rate cut before September has almost been fully factored in, and federal funds futures also show that the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut has risen to 22%. This "frown-making" data released a strong signal of cooling in the labor market before Thursday's non-farm report. If today's non-farm continues to be weaker than expected, it may force the Federal Reserve to act faster. Gold opened high and then retreated continuously. From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend in the long term. The previous market rebounded effectively after touching the downward trend line, and the rebound force was considerable. With the restart of the bullish force, the main idea can carry the trend and do more on dips. In addition, from the 4-hour chart, gold has broken through the previous downward trend line and has gone out of the V-shaped reversal pattern, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. At present, a new trend is also opening up in the 4-hour chart. The rise of gold has also established an upward trend line. You can consider buying on dips based on the upward trend line 3332. However, due to insufficient bottoming time in the previous stage, it may still face the risk of decline, so you should set the stop loss with caution. From the 1-hour chart, gold fell after opening high, and the bullish trend remains unchanged. The points for long orders can consider 3334 and 3328. Gold operation suggestions: Go long on gold near 3325-3335, with a target of 3350-3360.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Data is about to be released. Trend change?Affected by the ADP employment data, gold prices broke through 3345 and continued to fluctuate upward to 3365 US dollars. This trend fully shows that the position of 3345 US dollars is the watershed between long and short. From the 1-hour chart, the overall market is still fluctuating upward. Although it has fallen slightly, I think it is accumulating momentum for a second rise. ADP employment data is negative for the first time. Non-agricultural employment data will be released in 3 hours. The market expects 110,000 jobs. I think the data that may be released will be worse. The number of jobs will decrease and the unemployment rate will also increase, which will drive gold prices to continue to rise. From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator is currently hovering around 58.7, showing strong upward momentum. MA5-day and 10-day moving averages form a golden cross and continue to rise. The current upward high has not appeared. The gold price may refresh the intraday high of 3365 again. At present, the upward pressure focuses on 3365-3375 US dollars. The support level is around 3345, which is also the turning point for the upward movement of the MA5 daily moving average. Operation strategy: Buy near 3350, stop loss at 3340, and profit range 3370-3375.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Gold strengthens, looking for low-buy opportunities In the matter of trading, everyone's cognition and operation are different, and it is difficult to find people who can really resonate. This huge difference in trading cognition makes many traders often fall into a situation of having nothing to say in social interaction, and it is difficult to find bosom friends who can really discuss trading in depth and understand each other. 1. The US ADP National Employment Report released yesterday showed that private employment decreased by 33,000 in June, which was the first net decrease in jobs since March 2023, in sharp contrast to the 29,000 increase in May after the downward revision. The market had expected 95,000 jobs to increase in June, and this unexpected decline has raised investors' doubts about the health of the US labor market. So I think the unexpected weakness of the ADP data has led the market to bet on the Fed's interest rate cut, and this expectation has driven the rise in gold prices in the short term. 2. The trade agreement reached between the United States and Vietnam reduced the tariffs previously planned to be imposed on Vietnamese exports, easing market concerns about trade tensions. I believe that against the backdrop of increasing global economic uncertainty, gold's position as a safe-haven asset has become increasingly solid, which will become an external factor affecting the gold market in the future. Technical aspects: Weekly chart: Upward trend, long-term buy on dips. Daily chart: Symmetrical triangle consolidation, cautious wait-and-see in the medium term. 4-hour chart: Downward channel breaks upward, short-term buy on dips. 30-minute chart: Upward trend, short-term buy on dips. Intraday operations focus on bullish opportunities in the 3350 area, defend 3343. Continue to look above 3365.
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
"The Great Gold Heist" – XAU/USD Master Plan🏆 "The Great Gold Heist" – XAU/USD Master Plan (High-Risk, High-Reward Loot!) 🚨💰 🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🤑💸 🔥 Based on the legendary Thief Trading Strategy (technical + fundamental heist tactics), here’s our blueprint to STEAL massive profits from the XAU/USD (Gold vs. Dollar) market! 🔥 🎯 The Heist Plan (Long Entry Setup) Entry Point 📈: *"The vault is UNLOCKED! Swipe bullish loot at any price—but for a cleaner steal, set Buy Limits within 15-30M recent swing lows/highs. ALERT UP! ⏰"* Stop Loss 🛑: "Thief’s SL hides at the nearest swing low (4H TF: 3310.00) OR below the last daily candle wick. Adjust based on your risk appetite & lot size!" Target 🏴‍☠️: 3440.00 (or escape early if the cops—err, bears—show up!) ⚡ Scalper’s Quick Loot Guide: "Only scalp LONG! Rich? Go all-in. Broke? Join the swing traders & rob slow ‘n’ steady. Use Trailing SL to lock profits!" 📊 Market Status: XAU/USD (GOLD) – Neutral (But Bullish Sneak Attack Likely! 🐂💥) "The heist is ON, but watch for traps—overbought zones, consolidation, and bearish robbers lurking!" 🔍 Pro Thief Moves: ✅ Fundamentals Matter! (COT Reports, Geopolitics, Macro Data, Sentiment—check our Bii0 for the full loot list!) 🔗👉🏻☝🏻 klik lin.kk ✅ News = Danger! Avoid new trades during releases. Trail your SLs to protect stolen cash! 📰🚨 💖 Support the Heist Crew! "Hit the BOOST BUTTON 💥 to strengthen our robbery squad! More boosts = easier money steals daily!" 🚀 Stay tuned—another heist drops soon! 🐱‍👤💎
VELOCITY:GOLDLong
by Thief_Trader
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we highlighted that gold had reclaimed the 200MA and that the $3,327 support level needed to hold for further upside. Since then, price has steadily climbed and is now testing the $3,364 resistance — a level that also aligns with an unfilled gap. Price action remains bullish for now, with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA. If buyers manage to clear and hold above $3,364, we could see further upside toward $3,383 and $3,400, with possible extension into $3,418. However, if price fails to break above $3,364, we may see a pullback into the $3,335–$3,327 zone. A break below there could open the door for a deeper drop into $3,298 or even $3,270. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 • $3,418 Support: $3,352 •$3,335 - $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 🧠 Fundamental Focus: 📌 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 📌 Initial Jobless Claims 📌 ISM Services PMI 📌 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ⚠️ With multiple red folder events on the calendar, expect elevated intraday volatility. Manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Plan for London on NFP Day (03.07.2025)⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It’s simply my personal trade plan and analysis. I just want to share knowledge for free – that’s all. My concept is: Keep it simple, stupid. Life is already complicated enough thanks to the people around me, so I prefer to keep things simple… at least when it comes to my charts. 😆 --- 📈 London Session Trade Plan (only for London session) Resistance Zones Zone 1: 3422 – 3410 Zone 2: 3394 – 3380 Support Zone Zone 1: 3334 – 3327 Entry Strategy – I’m watching for 4 main scenarios: 1. Blue Arrow: If price reaches Resistance Zone 1 → wait for clear PA (Price Action) on M15 or M30 → then look to Sell 2. Black Arrow: If price reaches Resistance Zone 2 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Sell 3. Red Arrow: If price drops to Support Zone 1 → wait for PA on M15 or M30 → then Buy 4. Pink Arrow: If price breaks below Support Zone 1 → wait for price to pull back → then Sell (In this case, I’ll use Fibonacci to assist with entries – key levels: 50.0 and 61.8) But for today, I give this scenario a lower win rate compared to my other techniques. So I’ve decided not to use this strategy for the London session. --- ‼️Scenario 5 – Sideways Market If price just keeps ranging inside the green circle and there's no clear PA → I will not react at all. This is common before big events like NFP. No signal = No action. --- ✅ Reminders to Myself: I'm an intraday trader who separates sessions by market behavior. Today is NFP day, and price often moves wildly and irrationally. It's okay to stay out of the market. When in doubt
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XAUUSD_Daytrader
Gold May Pull Back After Day’s High📊 Market Overview: • Gold is currently trading around $3,350/oz, with the daily high at $3,366/oz. • The rally stalled as traders took profits near the session high, while a slight rebound in the USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on gold’s momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: ~$3,366 (today’s high), with next level at ~$3,375–3,380 if breached. • Nearest Support: ~$3,342 (intra-day low), stronger support seen at $3,329–3,330. • EMA 9/21: Price is hovering near the EMA21 (~$3,350); this area is crucial to determine the short-term trend. • Candle/Momentum Indicators: o RSI is around 53-55, signaling a neutral stance; o MACD shows weakening bullish momentum after hitting resistance. 📌 Viewpoint: Gold may see a minor pullback in the short term, possibly testing the $3,342–3,329 zone after reacting to the daily high. However, if it holds above EMA21 and EMA50, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy SELL XAU/USD at: $3,363–3,366 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,370 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,329–3,332 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,325
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold is Ready For The Next Bullish Run- Taking a Long Trade HereAfter a series of bearish structures on 4Hour time frame, which is actually a bullish retracement on higher time frame, Gold has now broke the bearish structure with series of bullish candles which turned the trend from bearish to bullish trend. After the bullish break of structure, Gold retrace into a fair value price level, formed a swing low plus a bullish price action which further confirmed the bullishness of Gold, which is were I took an entry for a buy long trade. My target for this trade is for Gold to reach the price level of $3,436 which is a 5.36RR return. I will be monitoring price and manage my trade accordingly as price move in my direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Elijahenoch7
XAUUSD Today's strategyGold prices are consolidating around $3,350 today, with the current resistance level above seen at $3,370 and the support level below at $3,340. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, with the bottom gradually lifting. If the price can effectively break through the $3,370 resistance, it is expected to subsequently launch an assault on the $3,400 integer mark. In terms of technical indicators, the RSI currently stands at 58, which has not yet entered the severely overbought range, suggesting there is still room for upward movement; the MACD indicator also shows that bullish momentum is slowly recovering, waiting for a breakout signal to confirm the direction. On the operational front, considering going long around $3,340 could be a viable option. It is particularly important to note that the U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released today, which may have a significant impact on the short-term trend of gold. It is advisable to liquidate positions and wait on the sidelines before the data release to avoid potential risks from sharp fluctuations. XAUUSD buy@3335-3345 tp:3360-3370 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
GOLD DAILYThe ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report for today showed a surprising decline of 33,000 jobs, well below the forecast of a 99,000 forecast and down from the previous month’s modest gain of 29,000 jobs. Key Details: This negative figure indicates that private businesses in the US shed 33,000 jobs in June, marking a contraction in private-sector employment—the weakest report since March 2023. The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, which uses anonymized payroll data from about 26 million workers to estimate private-sector employment changes ahead of the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The decline reflects ongoing uncertainty among employers amid policy and economic challenges, including tariff impacts and consumer caution. Market Implications: The unexpected job losses may raise concerns about the health of the US labor market and the broader economy. This data could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts or a more dovish stance, potentially weighing on the US dollar and boosting safe-haven assets like gold and silver. However, the ADP report often diverges from the official NFP, so markets will closely watch the upcoming government jobs data for confirmation. In summary: June’s ADP report revealed a contraction of 33,000 private-sector jobs, far below expectations, signaling caution in US labor market hiring and adding uncertainty to the economic outlook ahead of the official payrolls release. #gold #xauusd
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD – July 3 Live Setup | Price at M15 POIGold has been moving in line with our bullish bias over the past few sessions. Yesterday’s break above the 3358 M15 level gave us a clean Break of Structure (BoS) — confirming short-term bullish momentum within the larger framework. After this strong push upward, the market is now retracing. Price is currently entering a high-probability pullback zone: 3340–3342 (M15 POI). This is a textbook base structure setup — where we wait for price to return to a valid zone after structure shift, and only act after confirmation on the lower timeframe. 🔍 Setup in Play: Current Bias: • M15 Trend: Bullish • H4 Context: Bullish (after recent HTF shift) • Market State: Pullback phase after BoS Key Zone in Focus: • 3340–3342 – M15 POI (zone of interest for continuation) We are not entering blindly . We are waiting for confirmation on M1 — specifically: ✅ ChoCh (Change of Character) ✅ Followed by a micro BoS Only then do we consider a long entry — and even then, risk must be managed through proper R:R and structure anchoring. 🎯 Target: If M1 confirmation occurs, the expected short-term target is 3365 — the next clean M15 structural high. ⚠️ Risk Conditions: If price breaks below the POI without M1 confirmation — or aggressively violates the zone — the setup is invalid. In that case, we simply step aside and reassess. This is process-driven execution: No need to predict. No need to chase. Just observe, confirm, and execute with structure. 📖 This is how we let the chart do the work. The process protects us. Structure invites us. Stillness refines us. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
7.3 Prediction of gold price fluctuation before non-agriculturalAfter the release of ADP data last night, gold prices resumed their rise and crossed the high of 3357.88 this week and closed near this position. Today, gold prices opened high and then fell back. Pay attention to the strength of the correction in the morning session and choose the opportunity to go long and bullish. From the current market perspective, the support below can focus on the low point of yesterday's US session near 3333, followed by 3327; before the release of non-agricultural data, the upper pressure will focus on the early trading start point 3366, followed by 3375. The operation in the Asian and European sessions is mainly to go long on the correction, and the high-altitude thinking is abandoned. Specific operation ideas: Go long and bullish when the gold price falls back to around 3338, protect the position of 3330, and the target is to see whether the early trading high of 3365 can break!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakout.FX:XAUUSD breaks the downward resistance line on the senior timeframe and tests the upper limit of the trading range amid the falling dollar and Powell's speech. The metal may continue its upward movement. The dollar's rise was short-lived after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at an imminent interest rate cut, but not in July... The probability of a rate cut in July fell to 22%, and in September to 72%. Markets are awaiting fresh employment data (ADP and Nonfarm Payrolls), which could influence the prospects for rate cuts. Weak reports could revive interest in gold, but for now, the asset remains under pressure due to the short-term strengthening of the dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy. Technically, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold continues to attack resistance within the local range of 3347-3330 (3335), the chances of further growth will be high... Resistance levels: 3347, 3358 Support levels: 3336, 3316, 3311 The global trend is upward, and locally, the price is also returning to growth. If the bulls can maintain the current trend, break through the resistance at 3347, and hold their ground above this level, then the next target will be 3390-3400. I do not rule out a correction to 3325, 3316 (liquidity hunt) before the growth continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
48
USOIL Double Top Breakdown | Short Setup Alert!USOIL Double Top Breakdown | Short Setup Alert! Hey traders! A classic Double Top pattern has formed on the 4H USOIL chart (Top 1 & Top 2), signaling a potential trend reversal. After breaking the neckline, price action confirms bearish momentum. The stop-out level is clearly marked at 70.00 , while the target zone is set around 58.00. This setup offers a great risk-reward ratio. 📍 Supertrend also aligns with bearish confirmation. 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments section – let's discuss the trade! ❤️ If you find this helpful, don’t forget to support with a like and follow! Stay sharp and trade safe!
TVC:USOILShort
by EMIN_Fx