Get started

Futures market

Weather Factors and Storage Levels Across the AtlanticCAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS MCX:NATURALGAS1! NYMEX:NG1! PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS Current prices vs. price spread 10 days before expiry by month since 2010. The 2025 summer futures contracts are still trading above the median expiration price, but remain within the interquartile range. Winter 2026 contracts declined relative to the previous week but remain higher than 2025, similar dynamics are observed in 2027. The market is slowly but still starting to stabilize. Current Forward curve compared to 2020—2024. A strong upward bias in the curve remains in 2025 despite the price decline last week. The shape of the curve after 2027 remains more stable, and the decrease in outright contract prices has not altered it. It stays within a price range comparable to the corresponding 2023-2024 curves for the same period of the year. Current gas inventories and next week's forecast compared to 2019—2024. For the 26th week (June 21-27), we anticipate a 45 BCF increase in storage. The level of filling will be above the median for the previous 5 years. Despite falling pumping rates, if the current supply and demand situation persists, the 2024 peak level is possible. The weather in the 2H of summer remains a constraint. Weekly HDD+CDD totals from current NOAA data and forecast for the next two weeks compared to 1994—2024. HDD+CDD values in the first half of June were below the median. Week 27 (June 30—July 6) is expected to remain comparatively hot, relative to the last 30 years. The forecast values for week 28 are on the upper quantile. Weekly cumulative supply/demand difference vs. 2014—2024. If we take a look by region, we can see forecast values for the current and following week above average in almost all regions. Change in monthly weather averages for 10 years from 1990 to 2024. Over the past 30 years, July has become hotter by 20 HDD+CDD units. Weekly cumulative supply/demand difference compared to 2014-2024. The April-June 2025 supply/demand balance is well below the 10-year median due to low temperatures in the 1H of summer. The last two weeks have seen a trend reversal towards a higher balance above the historical median. At the same time, due to production growth over the last week, we are monitoring whether the increased demand from consumption will be offset by production growth. Percentage change in Spot and near-term futures price relative to the beginning of the year for 2010-2025 by month. Across 15 years of carrying out statistics, July spot and near-term futures became traded with minimal price divergence.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by igorisaev
Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”?Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”? | Global Macro Focus 🌍 MACRO UPDATE – What the World is Watching: Gold continues its bullish trajectory as the USD weakens sharply following last night’s disappointing ADP jobs report (-33K vs expected +99K). This soft labour data has fueled further speculation that the Fed could begin rate cuts as early as September, with a 90% probability now being priced in. In the political arena, Donald Trump’s recent statement that House Republicans are aligned to push forward a so-called “Super Bill” has triggered fresh uncertainty around US fiscal policy. This could elevate safe-haven demand for gold, especially if it leads to increased tensions over debt ceilings or government spending. With the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) due later today and the UK and US markets heading into a long weekend, traders should brace for heightened volatility and liquidity gaps. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – What the Charts Are Saying: Overall Trend: Bullish structure remains intact as gold breaks and holds above 3365. EMA Setup: Price trades above EMA 13/34/89/200 – signaling strong upside momentum. Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3374 – 3388 area remains an unfilled FVG zone; possible magnet for short-term price action. Key Resistance Levels: 3365, 3374, 3380, 3388, 3393 Key Support Levels: 3343, 3335, 3325, 3316, 3304 Trendline & Structure: The ascending trendline from 3316 remains unbroken, providing a potential bounce point if price corrects. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS – Strategic Zones to Watch: 🔵 Buy (Short-Term Scalp): Entry: 3335 – 3333 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 🟢 Buy Zone (Swing Perspective): Entry: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 → 3336 → 3350 → 3360 🔴 Sell Scalp (Reversal Zone) Entry: 3374 – 3376 SL: 3380 TP: 3370 → 3360 → 3350 ⚠️ Sell Zone (High-Risk Rejection): Entry: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3380 → 3370 → 3360 🔎 NOTE FOR GLOBAL TRADERS: With UK markets partially closed and US session shortened ahead of the Independence Day holiday, liquidity may be thin and volatility could spike unexpectedly. Always place stop-loss and avoid emotional entries near key resistance. 💬 Do you believe gold can break and close above the FVG zone (3388) before the weekend volatility hits full throttle? Let’s discuss.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
7/3: Focus on Short Positions, Watch Support Near 3320Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold tested support near 3328 but failed to break below it effectively. The price then rebounded toward the 3350 level. At today’s open, gold briefly extended to around 3365 before pulling back. Technically: On the daily (1D) chart, the price remains capped by the MA20, with no confirmed breakout yet. Support levels below are relatively dense, and moving averages are increasingly converging, suggesting a breakout in either direction is approaching. Key intraday support lies in the 3321–3316 zone. On the 2-hour chart, we are seeing the first signs of a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Much like Tuesday’s setup, there are two possible scenarios: If 3342–3334 holds, the price may extend slightly higher, intensifying divergence before pulling back; If 3337 breaks, we could see a drop toward 3320, where correction would occur through a direct decline. From a fundamental perspective, several high-impact U.S. data releases are scheduled for the New York session, which may increase volatility and make trading more challenging. Trading suggestion: For most traders, the safest approach is to wait for data to be released, then look for oversold rebounds or overbought corrections following sharp market reactions. This style requires patience and strong risk control—avoid being overly aggressive or greedy, as such behavior can easily lead to trapped positions or even liquidation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold at Key Level Before NFP – Big Move Loading ?📉 Fundamental Analysis Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, supported by multiple macroeconomic and political drivers: ADP Employment Report Missed Expectations: With a shocking -33K reading, market sentiment shifted firmly against the US Dollar, pushing gold higher. Fed’s Easing Outlook: Markets are now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate cut in Q3, weakening real yields and supporting demand for gold. Trump’s “Super Bill” Momentum: Political cohesion among Republicans has re-ignited fiscal stimulus expectations, fuelling concerns over long-term US debt sustainability—another tailwind for gold as a safe haven. 🧠 Smart Money Technical Framework (H1) Price has moved into a Premium FVG Zone, showing signs of potential exhaustion after forming a clear CHoCH and bullish BOS. The current zone (3,375 – 3,376) aligns with a mid-risk sell region, where price may experience short-term rejection before revisiting demand zones. Market structure suggests liquidity sweep potential towards the downside before any continuation of the larger bullish trend. 📊 Trading Strategy – Smart Money Zones & Key Levels 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,334 – 3,333 🔴 SL: 3,329 ✅ TP: 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,350 → 3,360 🔵 BUY ZONE LOW RISK: 3,317 – 3,316 🔴 SL: 3,311 ✅ TP: 3,320 → 3,325 → 3,330 → 3,336 → 3,345 → 3,350 → 3,360 🔴 SELL SCALP ZONE: 3,375 – 3,376 🔴 SL: 3,380 ✔️ TP: 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350 🔴 SELL ZONE HIGH PROBABILITY: 3,388 – 3,390 🔴 SL: 3,394 ✔️ TP: 3,384 → 3,380 → 3,376 → 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360 📌 Notes: Be cautious ahead of NFP data and the upcoming US bank holiday—expect liquidity traps and sudden volatility. This setup is ideal for intraweek scalping and liquidity-based reversals. All trades follow Smart Money Concepts logic: premium vs. discount zones, CHoCH + BOS confirmations, and institutional order flow anticipation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
XAU/USD 4H – Retracement or Rejection? Key Levels to WatchGold bulls made a strong push out of the descending channel, but now the real test begins. The market is currently in retracement mode after a sharp impulse, and the next move will be decisive. 🔹 Channel Breakout & Retest in Play: Price broke out of the descending channel with momentum and hit the $3,357 region before pulling back. We're now hovering around the 0.236 Fib at $3,331 — with the 0.382 and 0.618 Fib zones below offering potential long entry confluence. 🔹 Fibonacci Cluster Support Zone: Between $3,314 – $3,287 lies a high-probability demand zone, where multiple Fibonacci levels converge with the broken channel top. This area also aligns with the 50 EMA, creating a pocket for bullish continuation — if held. 🔹 RSI Divergence to Watch: RSI shows signs of slowing bullish momentum after peaking, which suggests this retracement could deepen toward the 0.5–0.618 levels before any meaningful bounce. A bullish RSI reversal in this zone would confirm re-entry. 📌 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation: Price finds support between $3,314–$3,287 Momentum kicks in for a leg up toward $3,388 Final TP at $3,427 (Fib -0.618 extension) 📌 Scenario 2 – Rejection and Deeper Drop: Failure to hold the 0.5 zone flips the bias bearish Watch for re-entry back into the previous channel Next downside target: $3,251 and potentially $3,233–$3,221 (Fib + extension) 💡 Elite Insight: The pullback is not the risk — entering without a plan is. This is the zone where patience meets precision. Let the levels do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
NQ Futures Explosive Breakout! Will It Hit 23,400? 1. Market Context Timeframe: Daily chart from June 26 to July 4, 2025, with data current as of 09:29 AM EDT, July 3, 2025. Trend: The price has been in an uptrend, breaking above 22,600.00 and approaching resistance near 22,915.00-23,000.00, consistent with recent bullish momentum in NQ futures (TradingView, CME Group). 2. Key Levels Support: Immediate support at 22,600.00-22,700.00, where moving averages and prior consolidation align. A deeper support lies around 22,400.00 (lower trendline). Resistance: Key resistance at 22,915.00, with a potential target at 23,000.00. A break above could aim for 23,200.00-23,400.00 (Fibonacci levels from web sources). Stop Loss: Place below support (e.g., 22,580.00) to protect against a reversal. Take Profit: Target 23,000.00 initially, with an extended goal at 23,400.00 if momentum holds. 3. Technical Indicators Candlestick Patterns: Green candles near 22,915.00 suggest buying pressure, but red candles and dojis indicate potential indecision or rejection at resistance. Volume: At 31.54K, volume is moderate. A spike on a breakout would confirm strength; a decline might signal exhaustion. Moving Averages: The chart shows multiple MAs (e.g., 50-day, 200-day). Price above these supports the uptrend; a cross below could signal a shift. 4. Trade Plan Entry: Enter long near 22,900.00 if consolidation holds, or on a breakout above 22,915.00 with volume confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for 1:2 (e.g., risk 20 points to gain 40 points toward 23,000.00, or 400 points toward 23,400.00). Position Sizing: Base on your account size and 1-2% risk per trade, considering NQ’s $20 multiplier per point. Exit Strategy: Take partial profits at 23,000.00 and trail the rest, or exit fully if resistance holds. 5. Risk Management Volatility: NQ’s recent range (22,400.00-22,915.00) suggests moderate volatility. Use tight stops due to potential news-driven moves. News/Event Risk: Monitor Fed statements or tech earnings (key NQ drivers per CME Group) scheduled around July 3-4, 2025. 6. Scenario Analysis Bullish Case: A break above 22,915.00 with strong volume could push NQ to 23,200.00-23,400.00, aligning with Fibonacci targets (TradingView). Bearish Case: Rejection at 22,915.00 with a red candle might drop to 22,600.00-22,700.00. Cut losses if support fails.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by tradingbauhaus
XAU/USD Potential Head & Shoulders Pattern FormingXAU/USD - Potential Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming 🔍 A possible Head and Shoulders pattern is taking shape on the 2H chart. With the right shoulder now forming and price nearing resistance, this setup could indicate a short opportunity. 🎯 Short Target: 3,304 🛑 Stop Out: 3,370 This setup offers a clean risk-to-reward ratio. Let’s see how price reacts in the coming hours! 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments – do you agree with this setup? Let's support each other with ideas! 👍 Don’t forget to like and share if you find this helpful – your support means a lot!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EMIN_Fx
1
Shocking Market Move Revealed! Will Prices Soar or Crash?1. Market Context Timeframe: The chart covers late June to early July 2025, with daily candlesticks showing recent price action. Trend: The price has been in an uptrend, breaking resistance around 6,180.00 and testing 6,290.00-6,300.00. This suggests bullish momentum, but the move is nearing a key resistance zone. 2. Key Levels Support: 6,180.00-6,200.00, where prior consolidation and moving averages align, offering a potential entry or stop-loss zone. Resistance: 6,300.00 is a critical level. A break above could target 6,350.00, while failure might lead to a reversal. Stop Loss: Place below support (e.g., 6,170.00) to protect against a breakdown, adjusting for your risk tolerance. Take Profit: Aim for 6,350.00 if bullish, or scale out at 6,290.00 if you expect resistance to hold. 3. Technical Indicators Candlestick Patterns: Recent green candles indicate buying pressure, but watch for reversal signals (e.g., doji or shooting star) near 6,300.00. Volume: At 77.04K, it’s moderate. A surge on a breakout would confirm strength; a drop might signal exhaustion. Moving Averages: The chart shows multiple MAs (e.g., 50-day, 200-day). If the price is above them, it supports the bullish case; a cross below could indicate a shift. 4. Trade Plan Entry: Consider entering long near 6,290.00 if the price consolidates or breaks 6,300.00 with volume confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for at least 1:2 (e.g., risk 20 points to gain 40 points toward 6,350.00). Position Sizing: Calculate based on your account size and risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of capital). Exit Strategy: Take partial profits at 6,320.00 and let the rest ride with a trailing stop, or exit fully if resistance holds. 5. Risk Management Volatility: The range (6,120.00-6,300.00) suggests moderate volatility. Adjust position size accordingly. News/Event Risk: Check for upcoming economic data or earnings that could impact the instrument. 6. Scenario Analysis Bullish Case: Break above 6,300.00 with strong volume could push to 6,350.00+. Monitor for follow-through. Bearish Case: Rejection at 6,300.00 with a red candle might drop to 6,180.00. Prepare to cut losses quickly.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by tradingbauhaus
Gold Setup for July 3th: Don’t Get Caught in the Liquidity Net🌙 Good evening, sniper — lock in, load up, and let’s dance with Thursday’s chaos 💣 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Pulse Thursday’s setup is not for amateurs: 🔸 Non-Farm Employment Change 🔸 Unemployment Rate 🔸 Initial Jobless Claims 🔸 ISM Services PMI 🔸 Factory Orders Add to that: • A Fed still talking tough on rates • Geopolitical flare-ups in the Black Sea and Middle East • Gold trading deep into premium… 💡 This is where markets hunt weak hands, then flip direction without mercy. We don’t chase candles. We wait for exhaustion. Then we execute. 🎯 Bias Snapshot (D1 → H4 → H1) • Daily closed bullish but deep into old CHoCH + OB • H4 printed HHs, but structure now presses into stacked supply • H1 shows momentum fading — RSI divergence + weakening push 📌 Core bias: Still bullish — but every pip above 3360 is loaded with risk. If 3380 fails to break cleanly, expect rejection. If it breaks — the market likely wants full liquidity above 3400. 🗺️ Battlefield Zones 🟢 Buy Zone #1 – 3310 to 3320 The sniper’s discount pullback: Fibo 38.2%, M30 OB, EMA 50, and clean imbalance. Wait for news spike + bullish confirmation to go long. 🟢 Buy Zone #2 – 3285 to 3295 The deep reaction zone. Fibo 61.8% + OB + gap. Enter only on violent wick and rejection — but RR is exceptional. 🟡 Flip Zone – 3334 to 3340 This is where momentum flips: • Hold above = continuation toward premium • Break below = bearish reversal unlocked No entries here — this is your compass, not your trigger. 🔴 Sell Zone #1 – 3357 to 3366 Classic CHoCH retest. H1/H4 OB with layered liquidity. If price rejects here on post-news spike — short it back toward the flip. 🔴 Sell Zone #2 – 3387 to 3395 Top-of-range sweep. If gold blows through zone 1, this becomes liquidity trap central. Wait for rejection wick + bearish PA confirmation. 🔴 Sell Zone #3 – 3410 to 3420 The final premium kill zone. This is where the market finishes stop-hunting every breakout buyer. Fibo extension 1.272–1.618 hits here. If we wick this zone and stall — sniper short back to 3380–3366. ⚔️ Execution Blueprint Wait for news to trigger the chaos — early entries are a donation. Short 3357–3366 on exhaustion → target flip zone. If price overextends into 3387–3395, get ready for the reversal play. Extreme spike to 3410–3420? That’s your killshot short — ride it back down. If price retraces into 3310–3320, it’s your safe sniper long. Panic into 3285–3295? Deep long entry, only with confirmation. Watch the flip zone (3334–3340) — above = bullish bias holds; below = bears back in control. 🎯 No guesswork. No hope. Just precision. Wait, confirm, and strike. 💬 Let’s stay sharp tomorrow — market will offer clean setups, but patience and clarity are key. If this plan helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts below. 👉 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry plans crafted with precision. Smash that🚀🚀🚀 if this plan sharpened your edge. 📝 You already know — we don’t guess, we execute. 🦅 Good night, snipers 💛 ⚠️ Disclosure I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and use their TradingView charts for analysis & educational content.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
GOLD XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money SELL Opportunity Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,328.96, showing signs of exhaustion near previous highs. Price failed to break above 3,355 zone, indicating liquidity build-up and potential for Smart Money manipulation. This is a SELL-ONLY setup — waiting for price to react from premium levels to short the market. --- SELL Trade Plan: 🔻 Sell Limit: 3,340.00 - 3,355.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,360.00 (Above liquidity grab zone) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,300.00 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,280.00 --- Why Sell? ✅ Price is approaching major distribution zone. ✅ Liquidity resting above 3,340 - 3,355 likely to attract manipulation wicks. ✅ After manipulation, Smart Money expected to drive price lower. No buy confirmation. Structure favors sellers — trade what you see, not what you feel. --- Summary: Bias: SELL ONLY 🔥 Setup: Wait for price to tap 3,340 - 3,355, rejection confirms entry. Risk Management: Mandatory — Protect your capital. --- 💬 Drop your thoughts below — are you catching this sell move? #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #TradingView #LiquidityHunt #SellSetup #FrankFx14
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
Possible Heads & Shoulders FormingWhen you see the inverse Heads n Shoulders forming, its hard to unsee it. I love this because it's lining up perfectly with the VAL of the intra day range and LVN ..This long trade is in line with my last week and current week forecast. We already hit TP1, TP2 is looking very likely after the pullback is done. We are currently sitting at the POC, so expect some condolidation. Especially since we have ADP Non-Farm 2morow & Thurs. The news is the only thing that can throw a wrench into this setup. Be sure to check out my last tradingview post and also checkout the weekly recap and weekly forecast videos i just posted on our youtube channel breaking down the in-depth analysis of this trade so you can understand my thought process on how it use Trend & Volume to execute this trade. Link is in my bio. DEFINITIIONS POC - Point of Control VAL - Value Area Low LVN - Low Volume Node Study up on those. CHEERS
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by ExoProtocol
1
gold Indicator Actual Forecast Previous Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.4% — Non-Farm Employment Change 147K 111K 139K Unemployment Rate 4.1% 4.3% 4.2% Unemployment Claims 233K 240K 236K Interpretation and Implications Average Hourly Earnings m/m: Rose by 0.3%, slightly below the forecast of 0.4%. This suggests wage growth is steady but not accelerating, which may ease some inflation concerns. Non-Farm Employment Change: The US economy added 147,000 jobs, beating both the forecast (111K) and the previous month (139K). This indicates continued, though moderate, labor market expansion. Unemployment Rate: Fell to 4.1%, better than the expected 4.3% and down from 4.2% previously. This points to a modest improvement in labor market conditions. Unemployment Claims: Dropped to 233,000, lower than both the forecast (240K) and last month (236K). This signals fewer new layoffs and continued resilience in the job market. Market Impact Dollar (USD): The combination of stronger-than-expected job growth and a lower unemployment rate is generally supportive for the US dollar, as it suggests the labor market remains robust. However, slightly softer wage growth may temper expectations for aggressive Fed tightening going forward. Federal Reserve Outlook: These figures reinforce the Fed’s “data-dependent” stance. Solid job creation and falling unemployment reduce urgency for immediate rate cuts, but the lack of wage acceleration may allow the Fed to maintain a cautious approach. In summary: The US labor market in July 2025 shows moderate strength, with job gains and a falling unemployment rate, while wage growth remains steady but not excessive. This mix supports a stable outlook for the dollar and gives the Fed flexibility in its upcoming policy decisions.
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3318 Volume Poc + Value ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. Gold 30M Engaged ( Dual Entry's Detected )
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
20
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected ) ➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From Now : 3352 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. Gold 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
High-level fluctuations do not change the bullish trendThe 4-hour level shows that the gold price turned to high-level fluctuations after testing the upper track under pressure yesterday. There is still room for upward movement after the structure is completed. The 1-hour moving average system shows a golden cross divergent bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term upward momentum is sufficient. The gold price continued to rise in the morning and hit a new high. The trend maintains a bull-dominated pattern. Although there was a correction in the US market yesterday, it stopped falling and stabilized at the key support level of 3330-3325 and broke through the previous high, further confirming the short-term strength. Therefore, once it pulls back to the upper area of ​​3335-3325, it will constitute a dip-buying opportunity. The intraday operation strategy recommends that the pullback be mainly long and the rebound short. The short-term support below focuses on the 3335-3325 range, and the upper short-term resistance level is 3365-3375. Operation strategy: 1. Gold recommends long pullback near 3335-3325, with a target of 3350-3360. 2. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds around 3365-3375, with the target at 3350-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel