Gold Technical Analysis, May 9📊Gold stabilized and rebounded after a rapid decline in early trading today. The price broke through the 3324 line, which opened in the morning, and the technical pattern turned to a bullish pattern. Usually in a weak market, the price will not rebound sharply, but this bottoming out and rebound has obviously swallowed up the downward momentum, indicating that the short-term upward trend is expected to continue.
📊From the weekly structure, this week showed a "wide range of fluctuations" rhythm. It rose continuously on Monday and Tuesday, and fell sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, and continued to fluctuate violently on Friday. Although the market has ups and downs, it is still running in the oscillation range as a whole, with obvious characteristics of washing the market, and it is more likely to be a potential adjustment before the subsequent surge.
📊From the hourly line, 3324 is the opening of this round of decline. After being effectively broken, the price returned to the bull-dominated range, indicating that the current trend is not weak. If the US market can continue to hold the support of the morning low of 3315, the short-term bullish logic will be further established, and gold is expected to gradually rise to the 3350-3360 area.
📊For the current trading strategy, it is recommended that investors avoid chasing ups and downs in the context of large range fluctuations. It is safer to adopt the method of buying on dips and gradually increasing positions. If the price falls back to 3280 or below, you can consider buying in batches and use 3310 as a short-term stop loss defense.
🔴Resistance level: 3360-3370
🟢Support level 1: 3310-3315
🟢Support level 2: 3280
✅The market has shown an obvious long-short double-kill pattern this week, with the overall trend dominated by Trump-related news, disrupting the existing rhythm of technical analysis. Despite this, we still insist on using a smaller stop loss to control risks and keep losses to a minimum as much as possible. The overall performance is still significantly better than most individual traders in the market.
✅This weekend, Trump will start a new round of negotiations with China on trade tariffs, and the tariff dispute that has lasted for more than a month is expected to come to an end. As the impact of the news gradually weakens, the market is expected to return to the rhythm dominated by the technical side, which will bring us more predictable trading opportunities.
✅We have reason to believe that with a clear market rhythm, we will have more opportunities to further achieve stable profits next week🤝
Futures market
XAUUSD NEW KEY LEVELS📈 XAUUSD Trade Setup 📉
Please refer to the highlighted boxed zone 🟦 on the chart for key price action levels.
🔵 Buy Setup
Initiate a buy position if a candle breaks and closes above the boxed area.
Then, enter when the next candle breaks the high of the closing candle.
🔴 Sell Setup
Initiate a sell position if a candle breaks and closes below the boxed area.
Then, enter when the next candle breaks the low of the closing candle.
🎯 Target Levels
The blue lines 🔵 indicate our target levels.
Close 90% of your position to secure profits 💰.
Hold the remaining 10% for potential extended gains 🚀.
NaturalGas BUYNatural Gas (Henry Hub) Forecast for May 8–15, 2025
1️⃣ Expected Storage Report (EIA, May 9)
An inventory increase of 95–105 Bcf is expected. This is slightly above average but considered acceptable by the market.
If the build is below 95 Bcf — prices may accelerate upward. Above 105 Bcf — a short-term correction is possible.
2️⃣ Storage levels (EIA)
4–5% below the 5-year average, creating a moderately bullish backdrop.
3️⃣ End-of-season storage forecast
A 3% deficit below the 5-year norm is projected.
4️⃣ Production
High (105 Bcf/day), remains the main bearish factor.
5️⃣ LNG Exports
At record levels, supporting demand and prices.
6️⃣ Weather
Warm, increasing cooling demand.
7️⃣ COT (trader positions)
Short positions are decreasing, long positions increasing — a moderately bullish signal.
8️⃣ Technical Analysis
Price holds above the 200-day EMA. Key support at $3.50, resistance at $3.85–$4.00.
9️⃣ Candlestick Analysis (daily chart)
A bullish candle with a long body confirms buyer control.
🔟 Market Sentiment
Buyers remain active, funds cautiously adding long positions.
2-hour chart
A bullish flag pattern remains intact.
5-minute chart
The uptrend continues with higher highs and higher lows.
Conclusion:
The market shows a moderately bullish trend.
Expected price range for next week — $3.65–$3.90, with potential to test $4.00.
Chance of a drop below $3.40 is minimal (≤30%).
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice move early session giving us the low we wanted for an entry long into the target region. We activated higher on Excalibur which also completed and the red box indicator gave us a wonderful performance across all the pairs we took profit on today.
Now we have support at the 3320 region with resistance sitting up at 3350 which will need to break to go higher. We've giving the potential range unless the levels are broken and there is a late session move. Either way, it's been another good week on the markets in Camelot and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report and our view for the week ahead.
Wishing you all a great weekend, please don't forget to hit the boost button for us!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
After completing our Bullish targets 3282, 3343 and 3404 yesterday; we stated that no further cross and lock above 3404 confirmed the rejection and that price will find support at lower Goldturns for the bounces.
- This played out perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. Price found support at 3282 Goldturn and gave the weighted bounce just like we analysed.
BULLISH TARGET
3282 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD 30M Long Setup – Inverse Head & Shoulders with Imbalance This trade is based on a bullish breakout of an inverse head and shoulders pattern identified on the 30-minute chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot). The right shoulder has completed, and price has broken above the neckline, entering a key imbalance zone that needs to be closed above for confirmation. Entry is placed at 3,309.291 with staged limit orders down to 3,296.202, targeting a move to the next supply zone at 3,364.749 (TP2), with the first take profit at 3,345.561 (TP1). Stop loss is set at 3,275.017. The setup includes imbalance fills, supply/demand zones, and clear bullish structure, aiming for a 4.66% upside on full execution.
XAU/USD: Euro Session Trend Dictates Evening MovementYesterday, gold rose sharply and then fell back. In the early trading, it declined from $3,415. In the evening, after rebounding to $3,369, it continued to decline. By the end of the trading day, it broke below $3,320 and dropped to $3,288. Both the decline in the early trading and the subsequent rebound touched the 0.764 Fibonacci level. The conversion between the top and the bottom formed support, and in the afternoon trading, it rebounded above $3,330, indicating that the rebound trend may not have ended.
According to the recent market pattern, the price often hits new highs or lows. The four-hour candlestick chart closed with a medium bullish candlestick and recovered the lower band. It is expected that during the European trading session, the price will rise first and then fall. If it fails to rise, there is a high probability that the price will go up in the evening.
XAUUSD
sell:3345-3355
tp:3305-3295
sl:3362
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Oil Analysis: WTI Approaches the $60 Level AgainOver the past two trading sessions, oil has gained more than 4.5%, and is once again approaching the psychological barrier of $60 per barrel. This recent bullish movement persists despite OPEC+’s clear stance on increasing supply in June and the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) cautious outlook on global oil demand for the remainder of the year. As such, it appears that oil prices are currently benefiting from improving market sentiment, particularly as investors await the outcome of the upcoming U.S.–China trade negotiations.
Persistent Bearish Trend
Since mid-January, oil has maintained a steady downtrend, and so far, minor bullish retracements have not been strong enough to signal a meaningful reversal. Therefore, this downward technical formation remains the dominant structure to monitor in upcoming trading sessions.
RSI
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover around the 50 level, indicating a sustained balance between bullish and bearish momentum. As long as this equilibrium remains, a neutral bias could dominate short-term price movements.
ADX
The Average Directional Index (ADX) remains close to the 40 mark, though the line has recently begun to flatten. This could be interpreted as a sign of weakening trend strength in the short term, likely due to the price currently testing a significant resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
$60 – Nearby resistance: A short-term psychological level. A break above this zone could reactivate a bullish bias and potentially lead to the formation of a new short-term uptrend.
$63 – Main resistance: Aligned with the 50-period moving average. Sustained price action above this level could challenge the prevailing long-term bearish structure.
$57 – Nearby support: A zone that matches recent multi-week lows. A drop below this level could reinforce bearish momentum and provide more room for the current downtrend to extend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Gold rebounds despite trade optimism - levels to watchBased on the fact that equity markets have surged higher amid trade optimism, one would have expected gold to head lower. Well, it did fall in the last couple of days but it was trading near the session highs at the time of writing, up more than 1.1% on the session. The US dollar had weakened after staging a rally the day before, while the situation between India and Pakistan also probably played a role. But one has to wonder whether a rug pull is on the way soon. Keep an eye on potential resistance around 3345-50 area...support comes in at 3320 - if we break this level then a revisit of the overnight lows could be on the cards.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
5/9 Gold Trading SignalsLong time no see, my friends! My holiday trip is about to end. I attended two weddings during this trip, which was unforgettable! I hope that everything goes well for everyone during my absence!
Gold has risen recently and returned to above 3400 again. Although it has fallen back in the past two days, the current technical level shows that the bulls are not over yet! This means that if there are friends who buy at high prices, they will have a chance to get out of trouble without doing other operations!
From the current pattern, it is in the stage of triangle consolidation. It is necessary to pay attention to the resistance of the 3360-3382 range. If the price falls under pressure at this position, we need to observe the support of the 3300-3280 range to determine whether it can form a short-term double bottom pattern or a head and shoulders bottom pattern again, so as to support the bulls to run again.
Based on the above analysis, today's trading suggestions:
Sell in the 3364-3386 range
Buy in the 3318-3302 range
Flexible trading in the 3323-3362 range
NATURAL GAS Massive 1W MA50 rebound eyes $6.800Natural Gas (NG1!) is on 3 week bullish streak following the rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which came straight after a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross. This rebound manages to keep the long-term Channel Up valid and this rebound is technically the start of it new Bullish Leg.
This price action is similar to the previous 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross, which also took place inside a Channel Up. As you can see the 1W RSI fractals among the two sequences are identical and the past one rose by +167.17% from that 1W MA50 bottom to the 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
If this time it 'only' hits the 2.5 Fib ext, then we are looking at a $6.800 Target around the end of the year.
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Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week.
On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25.
We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear.
In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
Gold head and shoulders bottom trend, bull market strong?🗞News side:
1. Tariffs push up inflation and slow down the economy, and the Federal Reserve may be in trouble
2. The situation between India and Pakistan escalates again
📈Technical aspects:
At the hourly level, today's Asian session continued the "wash-out" operation characteristics, quickly rising by 20 US dollars at the opening, and then stepped back to 3310 to confirm the top and bottom conversion support level. The two positive lines seemed to form a "yang-enclosing-yin" upward attack pattern, but suddenly reversed, not only breaking the trend support line of 3280, but also falling to 3274 before bottoming out and rebounding. This erratic trend has a significant long-short double kill effect for investors accustomed to trend continuation strategies. However, we can accurately find the right position in the market to trade and make profits.
At present, it is expected to form a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern from a morphological perspective, accumulating momentum for subsequent rises, and there is still room for upside in the short term. At present, any pullback is an opportunity for us to go long. Pay attention to the 3360-3370 line suppression on the top. If this resistance area is broken, it may open up a new round of upward space.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
[ TimeLine ] Gold 12-13 May 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Friday, May 9, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
• May 12, 2025 (Monday)
• May 12 & 13, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has experienced a sharp reversal of over 1,650 pips, falling from 3435 to 3270
⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels
✅ I will be trading both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're feeling risk-averse or uncertain, it's totally fine to skip the May 12 & 13 signals
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the specified candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart)
🔹 Entry will be triggered on breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup to attempt recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 TradingView URL Code: TV/x/Au2Hjg0M/
Silver Shines Again! | XAGUSD Long Trade IdeaXAGUSD is showing bullish potential as price rebounded strongly from a key support zone, forming a higher low structure. On the 4H chart, price has broken above the descending trendline and is now trading above the 50 EMA – a classic bullish confirmation for trend continuation.
With bullish momentum building, a pullback to the breakout zone or the 50EMA could offer an attractive entry opportunity for long positions. Look for confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or strong volume push.
🎯 Potential Target: Previous swing high / Pivot resistance
🛑 Stop Loss: Below recent higher low or 50EMA support zone
📚 Educational Note: In metals like silver, trendline breaks coupled with EMA alignment often provide high-probability setups. Always wait for confirmation to avoid fakeouts.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 5-6 May 2025📅 Today is Friday, May 2, 2025
📌 Upcoming Signal Dates:
May 5, 2025 (Monday) or
May 5 & 6, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has undergone a significant reversal of over 2000 pips, from its ATH of 3500 down to 3200
⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide, consider reversal entries or setups based on Fibonacci retracement levels
✅ I will personally be trading both signals as part of my research and ongoing strategy
⚠️ If you're risk-averse or uncertain, it’s okay to skip the May 5–6 signals
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the selected candles to fully form (marked by green lines on the chart)
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, including a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If SL is hit, cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL: TV/x/C5zZyXar/
Gold long and short repeated operation
📌 Negative driving factors
Gold prices fell below $3,320/ounce on Thursday as the US-UK trade agreement improved risk appetite. Gold fell nearly 4% in two days as the US-UK agreement boosted risk appetite and demand for the US dollar.
📊Comment analysis
Gold fell directly at the opening of the Asian session today, and did not provide a good position for short selling. However, it rebounded and rose later, regaining its footing at 3,330. The short-term price fluctuated between long and short.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3351-3353 SL 3358
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3232 - $3234 SL $3227
TP1: $3245
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3270
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account