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Gold Analysis==>>Falling ContinuesGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already started falling from the Resistance zone($2,751-$2,746) and the Resistance line ( in the 15-minute time frame ). According to Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed main wave 4 , which has a structure of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,734-$2,731) , and if the Support zone breaks , we can confirm the end of main wave 4 , and most likely, Gold will fall to $2,721 . 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
12
Trade Plan (Pending): Buying Gold at $2,727 Mixed price action has resulted in an Ending Wedge pattern being posted on the intraday chart. On a break of this morning time of $2,741 the measured move target is $2,762. We will complete a Crab formation at $2,784. We are currently assessed as moving lower within the BC leg of this cypher formation. Support is located at $2,727. A break of the trend of lower lows, currently located at $2,724, and the bias is negated. SL: $2,718 TP1: $2,784 R Rate 6.1 #tradeplan #gold
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by IanColeman
SilverThe US Federal Reserve’s policy decision, set for Thursday, is capturing market attention. A 25 basis point rate cut is widely anticipated this week, with the CME FedWatch Tool indicating a 99.5% likelihood of this move in November. Such a rate cut could lend support to Silver, as lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. In addition, expectations for further economic stimulus from China could enhance Silver's demand outlook. The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC) is convening for a five-day meeting from November 4 to 8, where a stimulus package possibly exceeding 10 trillion yuan may be approved to boost China’s economy. As one of the world’s largest centers for electronics, solar panels, and automotive manufacturing, China’s increased activity could significantly drive up Silver demand.
TVC:SILVERLong
by thabang01
1
Gold Prices Rise: Investor Hopes After U.S. Election?Hello everyone, Currently, the global gold price is experiencing a slight increase, standing at around 2,736 USD per ounce. In the last week of October and early November, gold prices have seen significant fluctuations due to economic and political factors. Gold prices have rebounded as investors are actively buying. In my opinion, investors are optimistic that the precious metal's price will rise significantly following the U.S. presidential election, taking place on November 5th. Additionally, the precious metal seems to be supported by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further cut interest rates at the upcoming policy meeting on November 7th. The short-term outlook suggests that gold may continue to rise, bolstered by economic and political uncertainties, along with the potential for the Fed to further ease monetary policies.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ademha
Gold Consolidates Ahead of U.S. Election🟡 Gold Price Update: Currently at $2737.00 Gold has been moving sideways recently, showing a period of consolidation as market participants await further catalysts. This sideways movement reflects uncertainty and cautious positioning, likely influenced by the upcoming U.S. election. Historically, major events like elections can introduce volatility as investors seek safe-haven assets in times of uncertainty, and gold often responds with significant moves. 📊 Technical Outlook Support Zone: $2725.00 - $2730.00 Resistance Zone: $2745.00 - $2755.00 Range: The current range-bound movement between $2725 and $2755 indicates that buyers and sellers are in balance for now, awaiting clearer market direction. Key Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently near the 50 level, showing neutral momentum. A breakout above 60 could signal buying strength, while a drop below 40 may suggest a bearish momentum. Moving Averages: The 20-period SMA is close to the price action, underlining the ongoing consolidation. Watch for price action to decisively break above or below the SMA, potentially signaling a new trend. Volume: Volume has been decreasing, suggesting a lack of strong conviction from either buyers or sellers. Look for a volume increase on any breakout to confirm the direction. 🔮 Possible Scenarios with U.S. Election Implications With the election on the horizon, any surprising result or political uncertainty could cause a significant uptick in gold demand as investors seek safety. However, a clear result may bring stability, potentially putting downward pressure on gold. Trade Setup Idea: Bullish: Consider buying on a confirmed breakout above $2755, targeting $2780 or higher. Bearish: A break below $2725 could open doors for a drop to $2700. As always, keep your risk management tight and watch for news developments. The market will react sharply as new information comes in!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by forexorbit
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 67 (Again).Dear Colleagues, I believe that price is still in a five-wave downtrend. The mid-order wave “3” is in a small correction, but very soon the downward movement will continue. I believe that the price has already closed the gap and may reach the resistance area of 74, then I expect the price to decline to the support area of 67.046. There are 2 possible courses of action: 1) The riskier one is to open a short position on the market. 2) Conservative - wait for the price to rise, and enter with less risk. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
7
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionIn this video, we dive into the latest Gold (XAU/USD) market analysis and review the impacts of recent U.S. economic data on Gold prices. On Friday, Gold saw high volatility, with prices hitting the $2,760s following a weaker-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. However, a sell-off brought prices back down to the $2,740s as additional data from the Institute of Supply Managers (ISM) showed mixed economic signals. Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend? 📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market! #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldPrice #NFP #ISMData #SafeHaven #GoldMarketAnalysis #WeeklyGoldOutlook #EconomicData #GoldTrading#economicuncertainty📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
WTI is targeting growth again. H4 05.11.2024🛢 WTI is targeting growth again 📈 Oil is looking at a possible pattern for a segment overlap to the upside in which we will again target a major upside. Price is now approaching the control margin at 73 and from there a local correction may be made and then growth will continue. Major volumes have stayed down and have been buybacks. Also OPEC+ have postponed the increase in oil production which will further support it. BLACKBULL:WTI
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by KovachTrader
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Ready to Strangle a BreakoutIntroduction: Why Natural Gas is Poised for Volatility Natural Gas markets are showing signs of a potential volatility surge as recent data from the United States Natural Gas Stocks Change (USNGSC) displays a rare narrowing of the 21-day Bollinger Bands®. This technical setup often precedes sharp market moves, suggesting an upcoming breakout. Given the importance of fundamental shifts in natural gas inventory data, any unexpected change in USNGSC could significantly impact Natural Gas Futures (NG1!), leading to price movements in either direction. This Options Blueprint Series explores a strategy to capitalize on this anticipated volatility: the Long Strangle Strategy. By setting up positions that profit from sharp directional moves, traders may capture gains regardless of the direction in which the price moves. Understanding the Long Strangle Strategy A Long Strangle involves purchasing a call option at a higher strike price and a put option at a lower strike price. This setup allows traders to profit from significant price movements in either direction. The chosen strategy for this analysis includes: Expiration: February 25, 2025 Strikes: 2.5 put at 0.28 and 2.7 call at 0.29 This setup is ideal for capturing potential breakouts, with limited risk equal to the total premium paid. Unlike directional trades, a Long Strangle does not require forecasting the direction of the move, only that a substantial price change occurs before expiration. Technical Analysis with Bollinger Bands® The 21-day Bollinger Bands® applied to USNGSC have narrowed significantly, often an indicator that the market is building up pressure for a breakout. Historically, this type of setup in fundamental data can drive volatility in Natural Gas Futures. When the Bollinger Bands® width narrows, it indicates reduced variability and increased potential for data changes, awaiting release. Once volatility resumes, a dramatic shift can occur. This technical insight provides a solid foundation for the Long Strangle Strategy, aligning the timing of options with the potential for amplified price movement in Natural Gas. Contract Specifications for Natural Gas Futures To effectively plan and manage risk in this trade, it’s crucial to understand the contract details and margin requirements for Natural Gas Futures (NG). o Standard Natural Gas Futures Contract (NG): Minimum Price Fluctuation: $0.001 per MMBtu or $10 per tick. o Micro Natural Gas Futures Contract (optional alternative for smaller exposure): Minimum Price Fluctuation: $0.001 per MMBtu or $1.00 per tick. Margin Requirements The current margin requirement for a single NG futures contract generally falls around $2,500 but may vary with market conditions. $250 per contract for Micro Natural Gas Futures. Trade Plan for the Long Strangle The Long Strangle strategy on Natural Gas involves buying both a put and a call option to capture significant price movements in either direction. Here’s how the trade is set up: o Expiration: February 25, 2025 o Strikes: Long 2.5 Put at 0.28 ($2,800) Long 2.7 Call at 0.29 ($2,900) o Cost Basis: The total premium paid for the strangle is 0.57 (0.28 + 0.29) = $5,700 per strangle position. Profit Potential Profits increase as Natural Gas moves sharply above the 2.7 call strike or below the 2.5 put strike, accounting for the 0.57 premium paid. With substantial price movement, gains on one option can offset the total premium and yield significant returns. Risk Maximum risk is confined to the total premium paid ($5,700), making this a capped-risk trade. Reward-to-Risk Analysis Reward potential is substantial to the upside and downside, limited only by the extent of the price move, while risk is capped at the initial premium cost. Risk Management and Trade Monitoring Effective risk management is key to successfully executing a Long Strangle strategy, particularly when anticipating heightened volatility in Natural Gas. Here are the critical aspects of managing this trade: Defined Risk with Prepaid Premiums: The maximum risk is predetermined and limited to the initial premium paid, which helps manage potential losses in volatile markets. Importance of Position Sizing: Sizing positions appropriately can help balance exposure across a portfolio and reduce excessive risk concentration in a single asset. Using Micro Natural Futures would help to reduce size and risk by a factor of 10 (from $5,700 down to $570 per strangle). Optional Stop-Loss: As the risk is confined to the premium, no stop-loss orders are required. Exit Strategies For a Long Strangle to yield substantial returns, timing the exit is crucial. Here are potential exit scenarios for this strategy: Profit-Taking Before Expiration: If Natural Gas experiences a significant price swing before the February expiration, consider taking profits which would further reduce the exposure to premium decay. Holding to Expiration: Alternatively, traders can hold both options to expiration if they anticipate further volatility or an extended price trend. Continuous Monitoring: The effectiveness of this strategy is closely tied to the persistence of volatility in Natural Gas. Keep an eye on Fundamental Updates in USNGSC as any unexpected changes in natural gas stocks data can lead to sharp price adjustments, increasing the potential for profitability. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:NG1!Education
by traddictiv
Gold is consolidating in a narrow range, and the market is waiti Gold prices retreated slightly in the early trading, reaching a low of around $2724-25, but quickly recovered the lost ground. Voting for the general election has begun, and the preliminary results are expected to be announced at noon tomorrow. Taking previous elections as an example, the official results may take several days or longer, which is expected to further exacerbate market volatility. Therefore, no matter how you operate, you need to strictly stop losses. After the morning decline, in principle, you need to go short once in the afternoon, and the position of the short should not be too high. The pattern of the early trading belongs to the support sideways weakening break. From the perspective of the market, the continuous low point test has been touched many times. The more tests are made, the less meaningful the support is, and the greater the probability of breaking. Under the general election, light positions are arranged. The high point of 2737 in the afternoon is the boundary between strength and weakness. If it breaks again, the arranged 2735-36 short positions need to be adjusted. Today, the retracement time is set to around 4 o'clock in the European session. Once it breaks through 2730 again, it is expected to test 2720-18, which happens to be the target position for short positions and also the position for long positions to consider layout! For the past two days, we can only wait and see. Avoiding risk events is a safe strategy. What this market lacks the most is opportunities! Be patient and wait!
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
1
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Potential Reversal from Premium ZoneAnalysis Summary Premium Zone and Strong High: The price is approaching a premium zone between 2,745 and 2,750, where selling pressure could emerge. The strong high in this area marks a key resistance level that may limit further upside. Change of Character (CHoCH): A CHoCH near the current price indicates a recent bullish shift in short-term momentum. However, if the price meets resistance in the premium zone, this shift may be short-lived, leading to a potential reversal. Discount Zone and Weak Low: Below the current price, a discount zone around 2,726–2,730 could act as support if the price reverses. The weak low near 2,726 represents a potential target for bearish continuation, should selling pressure resume. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Reversal from Premium Zone: If the price fails to break above the premium zone (2,745–2,750) and meets resistance, a bearish reversal is likely. This could drive the price down toward the discount zone and weak low around 2,726. Continued Bullish Momentum: If buyers manage to push the price above the premium zone and sustain it, this could signal a bullish breakout, potentially invalidating the bearish setup and leading to higher targets. Conclusion Gold is approaching a significant resistance level within the premium zone, where a bearish reversal could take place. Traders may look for selling opportunities around 2,745–2,750, targeting the discount zone at 2,726 if bearish momentum returns. Monitoring price action in the premium zone will be key to confirming the next move.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by SwiftSignalFX
Gold Price Today: Short-Term Sell Opportunity ?Hello everyone, let’s dive into today’s gold price analysis! I’ll be focusing on the 1-hour chart to analyze and strategize. Currently, gold is trading around the $2,733 mark, showing a gradual downward trend. The downtrend is further confirmed as the price moves within a descending wedge, with lower highs and lower lows forming consistently. Additionally, the 34 and 89 EMAs provide strong signals favoring sellers. In my view, a short-term sell strategy seems promising. What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chipucu
6
Gold price recovers early lost ground amid US election concernsToday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,735 and is almost stable for the day after recovering a significant portion of its losses from the Asian session to a low of more than one week. The demand for safe haven assets resulting from the fiercely disputed US presidential election and the possibility of a further escalation of Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions continues to provide some support for the precious metal. In the meantime, US Treasury bond yields continue to drop as a result of the "Trump trade" being unwound and speculation that the Fed would further cut interest rates in the face of a weakening labor market. This helps to limit the downside for the non-yielding gold price and does not help the US Dollar (USD) build on the overnight recovery from a two-week low. Technical Outlook: Technically speaking, the pullback from the all-time high and the failure last week close to the upper boundary of an ascending channel that began in late July could be interpreted as an indication of bullish exhaustion. As a result, any more decrease is more likely to encounter some support in the $2,720–2,715 horizontal zone. Below this, the price of gold may attempt to test the trend-channel support, which is presently situated close to the psychological level in the $2,700 area. On the other hand, the $2,745-2,750 range currently appears to be an impending barrier before the $2,790 range or the record high that was reached last Thursday. The psychological level at $2,800 and the rising channel resistance, which is located in the $2,815 zone, come next. The gold price can continue its recent, well-established rise if it maintains strength above the latter, which optimistic traders would view as a new trigger.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by softt_inc