Futures market
"The Vault is Open!" - Time to Steal Silver Pips🔥 XAG/USD SILVER HEIST: Bearish Raid in Progress! (Short Setup) 🔥
🦹♂️ ATTENTION SILVER BANDITS!
To the Metals Mercenaries & Risk-Takers! 💰🔪
Using our 🔥Thief Trading Tactics🔥, we're executing a bearish raid on XAG/USD - this is not advice, just a strategic robbery plan for traders who play to win.
📉 THE SILVER VAULT BREAK-IN (SHORT ENTRY PLAN)
🎯 Loot Zone: 34.500 (or escape earlier if bulls fight back)
💣 High-Stakes Play: Perfect pullback to steal pips
👮♂️ Cop Trap: Where bulls get liquidated
🔪 ENTRY RULES:
"Vault Breach Confirmed!" - Strike at pullback to nearest swing high/low (15-30min TF)
Sell Limit Orders for optimal risk/reward
Aggressive? Enter at market but watch gold correlation
📌 SET ALERTS! Don't miss the rejection
🚨 STOP LOSS (Escape Plan):
Thief SL at 36.400 (Key swing level)
⚠️ Warning: "Ignore this SL? Enjoy donating to bulls."
🎯 TARGETS:
Main Take-Profit: 34.500
Scalpers: Ride the NY session momentum
🔍 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
✅ Industrial demand slowing
✅ Dollar strength crushing metals
✅ ETF outflows accelerating
✅ Technical rejection at key level
🚨 RISK WARNING
Avoid FOMC/NFP periods (Silver loves volatility)
Trailing stops = your escape plan
💎 BOOST THIS HEIST!
👍 Smash Like to fund our next raid!
🔁 Share to build our thief army!
🤑 See you at 34.500, bandits!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER: Hypothetical scenario. Trade at your own risk.
#XAGUSD #SilverTrading #Commodities #ThiefTrading
💬 COMMENT: "Short already - or waiting for better entry?"* 👇🔥
Gold Challenges 2025 Trendline – Are We Breaking Lower?Following renewed Middle East ceasefire hopes and signs of exhausted buying momentum on the gold chart, the yellow metal has pulled back toward a key trendline—connecting higher lows since December 2024—currently near the 3,300 level.
If gold holds above 3,300 and continues to respect this broader trend support, the bullish trajectory may re-align, with potential upside targets at 3,400, 3,450, and 3,500.
However, a decisive close below 3,300 could signal a deeper corrective move. In that case, further downside may unfold toward 3,150, 3,050, 2,950, and 2,800, in line with the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extension levels derived from the April 2025 high, May 2025 low, and June 2025 high.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
XAUUSD Drop H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 now market is range of 3290-3330 structural support. On last setup we had 140 PIPS TP HIT.
What's possible scanarios we have?
if H4 remains above 3285-3290 then buy and hold it till 3307 then 3320
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3280 buyying will be limited and market will trun the new the rangbound 3280-3230
All the setups are executed well and All the entires should be taken If all the rules are Applied
#XAUUSD
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Short (SELL LIMIT) 1. Trend Alignment: H1 shows a clear down-trend — lower highs at 3446 → 3397 → 3347. SMAs on H1/M15 have turned down.
2. High-Probability Pullback: Price has broken the 3340 support twice and pulled back. Resistance here is offering a tight stop and plenty of room to TP.
3. Structural SL: Stop sits just above the prior swing high (~3350–3352)
Entry
Sell Limit @ 3340.37
Prior day low (now resistance) on H1 & M15
Stop Loss
3352.00
Just above the swing high around 3350–3351
Take Profit
3293.07
Invalidation
15 min candle close < 3310
Time Expiry
8:30 AM PST
Cancel if not triggered by then
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
Gold Spot Price Analysis (4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAU/USD) from June 22 to July 9. The chart shows a downward trend with recent prices around $3,299.48, representing a 2.07% decrease. Technical indicators and annotations suggest potential support and resistance levels, with a highlighted area indicating a possible trading range. The data is sourced from OANDA.
CRUDE OIL poised to go UP AGAIN? Usually my posts on crude oil are short. but here’s a longer one for a change.
Back in December, I predicted that crude oil would hit the highlighted zone around $57. That’s exactly what happened, hit the target and bounced.
Over the past two weeks, we’ve seen wild swings in crude oil prices as tensions between Iran and Israel escalated. But now, following the ceasefire announcement brokered by President Trump, and considering Iran’s response over the past couple of days, crude oil has dropped below its pre-conflict price levels.
While I truly hope for a peaceful world where no innocent lives are harmed, my personal view is that this ceasefire feels fragile and may not last long.
So, what’s next for crude oil? Up or down?
If the ceasefire holds and we don’t see further conflict in the Middle East, I think crude oil could hover in the $65–$75 range. There’s even a slim chance we dip as low as $45.
However, based on my technical analysis model, and my doubts about the durability of the ceasefire, I expect oil prices to rise in the next 6 to 9 months. My targets? $78 and $85.
Of course, I might be wrong this time. :)
Cheers!
XAUUSD Beginning of a Trend Reversal? Bearish Move IncomingGold is showing signs of potential downside pressure on the 4-hour chart. After a rejection from the upper volatility band and a failure to sustain bullish momentum above the dynamic EMA cloud, price has rolled over and is now trading below the midline support area.
🔻 Bearish Structure Developing:
Price rejected strongly from the upper gray zone (Resistance band).
A new lower high has formed, aligning with bearish market structure.
Candles are trading under the red-to-blue transition EMA ribbon, indicating increasing bearish sentiment.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Near 3,365
SL: Above the recent high near 3,406
TP: Targeting the lower band support around 3,300 – 3,323
Crude Oil Gets Trapped Back Inside 3-Year Down trending ChannelAfter failing to close above the upper border and the 78 resistance level, and amid renewed hopes for a Middle East ceasefire, oil prices dropped sharply back toward the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders formation—initially broken ahead of the recent war escalation—at 64.70.
A sustained move below that neckline could target crude prices toward the mid-zone of the established channel, near 63.40 and 61.40, where another rebound may take shape.
On the upside, if a clear recovery re-emerges above the 72-mark, the potential for a breakout above the 78-resistance could return, opening the door to revisit the 80 and 83.50 highs.
— Razan Hilal, CMT
Nasdaq Deep Bearish RetraceI Think we're going to retrace (potentially deeply) on FED release or just before it to then reverse aggressively higher.
I am considering the current "range" on m15 as re-distribution and expecting lower prices on Fed release or just prior before continuation higher that may be delayed till tomorrow next FED.
GOLD falls after Trump's statement, but skepticism remainsOn Tuesday (June 24) in the Asian market, spot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to decline. The current price of gold is around 3,340 USD/ounce, down sharply by about 30 USD. Gold traders are awaiting congressional testimony from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as the ceasefire between Iran and Israel takes place.
On Monday evening local time, US President Trump announced that Israel and Iran have reached a complete agreement to achieve a comprehensive ceasefire. After Trump announced the news, spot gold prices fell sharply by more than 30 USD in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday, which lasted until the time of writing.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver his semiannual monetary policy report before the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday.
Looking ahead, all eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s two-day congressional testimony starting on Tuesday for fresh clues on the timing of the next rate cut.
The market is now pricing in a 21% chance of a Fed rate cut next month, up from a 14.5% chance on Friday, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
Additionally, markets will continue to closely monitor the Iran-Israel conflict to see if the ceasefire can hold. The Israeli military continues to report that Iran has launched ballistic missiles into Israel.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is down and operating around the EMA21 moving average and technically, gold is currently in the best support area. Specifically, gold is operating at the EMA21, the technical indicator is noted as an important support for the short-term uptrend, followed by the horizontal support of 3,320 USD. Combined with the price action position, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, and 50 is now acting as a support in terms of momentum for the possibility of price increase.
However, if gold sells below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, it could be bearish, with the next target being the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level at $3,228. Therefore, the area of the $3,300 base point is a very important support area for the long-term uptrend.
Intraday, with the current position, gold can still increase in price with the short-term target at $3,371 followed by the $3,400 base point.
Notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,300 – $3,292
Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3407 - 3405⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3411
→Take Profit 1 3399
↨
→Take Profit 2 3393
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318
Brent Forms Bearish Engulfing Candle Amid De-escalation ShiftCrude oil’s conflict-driven rally may have run its course. After surging into resistance last week, Brent has now reversed sharply on signs of de-escalation in the Middle East.
Ceasefire Hopes Trigger a Sharp Reversal
Last week we highlighted that crude oil’s rally on the back of the Middle East conflict had taken the market right into a confluent area of resistance. While prices managed to break and hold above that resistance towards the end of the week as the conflict escalated, Monday’s session saw a sharp change in tone. The market gapped higher at the open following news of President Trump’s decision to bomb Iranian nuclear facilities, but those gains quickly unravelled.
What followed was a heavy sell-off as traders responded to rumours of a ceasefire agreement and interpreted Iran’s missile strike on a US base in Qatar as a calibrated, face-saving gesture. Market participants drew parallels with the 2020 playbook, where Tehran signalled retaliation while quietly coordinating with Washington to avoid further escalation. By the close, crude had surrendered all its intraday gains, and the conflict premium began to rapidly unwind.
Brent Crude (UKOIL) Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Bearish Engulfing Pattern Shifts Momentum
Technically, the Monday’s price action left behind a large bearish engulfing candle which is a strong reversal signal where the day’s range eclipses the trading ranges of previous sessions. In this case, the engulfing candle swallowed the prior six days of price action, reinforcing its importance. The structure of this move consisting of a gap higher followed by a persistent sell-off suggests that buyers were caught offside and forced to capitulate.
The top of Monday’s candle now marks a key short-term high. It is the point where the rally met decisive selling pressure and provides a clear reference level for traders tracking short-term momentum. With the broader trend still defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows, the failure at resistance realigns the short-term outlook with the bigger picture.
That said, this remains a highly volatile and fluid situation. Geopolitical tensions can flare up again without warning, and markets are likely to remain headline-sensitive. Traders should use tools like the average true range (ATR) to calibrate risk appropriately in this fast-moving environment.
Brent Crude (UKOIL) Bearish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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XAU/USD 4h chart patternXAU/USD (Gold) 4H Chart, the price has clearly broken below the ascending trendline, indicating a bearish structure.
Visual Targets from My Chart:
1. First Target Zone: Around 3,210 - 3,215 USD
2. Second Target Zone: Around 3,130 - 3,135 USD
Price Action Breakdown:
Current Price: Around 3,310 - 3,335 USD
Trendline break confirmed with strong bearish candles
Momentum suggests price is heading towards the first support zone around 3,210
If bearish momentum continues, price may reach the second target around 3,130
Summary:
✅ First Target: 3,210 - 3,215 USD
✅ Second Target: 3,130 - 3,135 USD
If you want precise Fibonacci or support/resistance levels calculated, I can assist further—just let me know!
Buy gold first, and short on gold after filling the gapGold is currently continuing to retreat, and the lowest has reached around 3333. Gold is quite weak, and the bears have completely taken the upper hand. The overall center of gravity of gold is shifting downward, and the short-term support below is 3330-3325. Once gold falls below this support area, gold may continue to fall to 3300, or even 3280; since gold has fallen to the 3340-3330 area, we cannot rush to short gold in the operation, because there is a technical gap above that needs to be filled, so gold still has a rebound to 3360-3370 in the short term.
Therefore, before gold falls below the short-term support of 3300-3325, we can appropriately consider going long on gold; after gold rebounds technically and fills the gap above, we can consider continuing to try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area.
$MGC / $GC / Gold - Target acquired! Where are we going next.Hello fellow gamblers,
Price did not go all the way inside the target range, but it is close enough for me to be satisfied with the play and take profits. Now it is the time to be looking for where we are going next.
- I am already seeing some reversal signals in the 15min TF but no signals in the higher TFs.
- For now, we will continue going lower as long as the blue trendline is not broken, but it is possible for price to have a bounce before continuing lower. If price breaks above 3357, I am looking at that FVG gap as a possible target for the bounce.
- It is possible for price to touch that yellow trendline in the bounce, so I'll be paying attention to it.
- If we get a rejection of 3357, I can see price filling our W2 Target range and finding support at 3283. A break of that level could take us all the way down to 3222.8 - 3174.4 range shown in the chart.
- For bullish scenario, I'd want a break above 3418, but i do believe that it is still early to talk bullish scenarios, so I'll leave it for next time.
- Levels to watch: 3418 - 3357 - 3283 - 3207
Geopolitics vs. Technical: Will Oil Correct -7%?Oil ( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) rose more than +20% after the start of tensions between Iran and Israel on Friday . I hope this tension ends as soon as possible because tensions have no winners.
The behavior and price movements of oil will certainly depend on the increase or decrease of tensions in the Middle East , but for the coming hours we can have a technical view .
Oil is currently moving in the Resistance zone($78.70-$74.70) and near the Resistance lines and the Yearly Pivot Point .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Oil has completed the second five-impulse waves . So that wave 5 is Truncated .
I expect Oil to decline in the coming hours, this decline could be -7% .
Note: If the USA is added to the Middle East tensions, Oil prices could rise again, so pay more attention to capital management.
Note: Stop Loss: $79.00
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
U.S. Dollar/ BRENT CRUDE OIL (USDBRO), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD 2 Best Places For Sell Very Clear , Don`t Miss 300 Pips !Here is my opinion on Gold at the moment after the price moved very hard to downside as i mentioned in the last update , now we have a very good 2 places to sell it again , the first one @ 3326.00 , it`s a very good place to sell it cuz it was a very good support and the price break it and now it will play as a good res so we can sell from it , and if the price go higher we can sell from area between 3350 : 3345.00 , it will be a great place to sell it also , and if the highest place who force the price to downside we can add another sell entry from 3326.00 if we have a daily closure below it .
Market Update on EURUSD, GBPUSD & GoldIn this short market update, I review the current structure on EURUSD, GBPUSD, and Gold.
We look at key areas of interest, recent liquidity shifts, and possible reaction zones based on recent price action.
This is not financial advice just how I personally break down the charts and prepare for potential setups.
Trade safe and stay patient. 📊⚖️
Gold is bouncing from support.. Time frame m30🔍 1. Trend Analysis
Past Trend:
From June 10 to around June 14, the price was in a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending channel (highlighted in red and blue).
After mid-June, the trend reversed into a downtrend within a descending channel (also shown in blue).
Current Position:
Price is now breaking out of the descending channel, potentially signaling a trend reversal or short-term recovery.
---
📈 Support and Resistance Levels
Key Resistance Levels:
3,347.944 – Intermediate resistance.
3,373.423 – Major short-term resistance and target zone.
Key Support Levels:
3,306.252 – Immediate support below current price.
3,275.459 – Strong support zone (highlighted in red), price bounced here multiple times.
---
📉 Pattern Observations
Reversal Pattern:
The recent bounce from 3,275–3,280 region, with rounded bottoms and breakout from the falling channel, suggests a potential bullish reversal.
Fibonacci Retracement:
A retracement level around 0.8279 appears on the chart, indicating that the price has retraced deeply from a recent swing high—another bullish indicator.
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📊 Projection and Trading Outlook
Bullish Scenario (as shown by the arrows on the chart):
If the price holds above 3,306.252, it may move toward:
Target 1: 3,347.944
Target 2: 3,373.423
These are marked in blue boxes on the chart.
Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold above 3,306.252 and breaks down again:
Next support is at 3,275.459 (major demand zone).
A breakdown below this zone could signal further downside.
---
🧠 Market Sentiment & Cues
Multiple Touchpoints (Orange Circles): Suggest validity of both uptrend and downtrend channels.
Volume Missing: No volume data is present, which would help confirm the breakout’s strength.
Risk Events (Flag icons): These may indicate upcoming US economic events, which could bring volatility.
---
✅ Conclusion
Neutral-to-Bullish Bias short term, especially if price holds above 3,306.
Watch for confirmation above 3,347 for further upside.
Risk increases if price drops back into the red demand zone (< 3,275).
High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge📍 XAUUSD – High Probability BUY Zone at The Edge
Gold is currently reacting at a high probability BUY area, supported by multiple technical confluences:
✅ $3,300 Round Number: Psychological level and historical reaction zone
✅ Completion of 2nd Bearish Leg: A classic two-leg correction often signals exhaustion
✅ Retest of Uptrend Boundary: Long-term ascending trendline that has supported price since March
📌 Entry: Current price zone
🎯 TP1: Local highs ($3,353)
🎯 TP2: Mid-channel or upper resistance zone ($3,398)
❌ SL: 3263
This is a textbook trend continuation setup — the structure remains bullish unless proven otherwise.
Wait for confirmation or manage your risk accordingly.
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#XAUUSD #Gold #ForexTrading #MJTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyZone #SwingTrade #SupportZone #TrendlineSupport #SmartMoney #PriceAction #ForexSignals #CommodityTrading #MarketStructure #RiskReward #ChartSetup #ForexCommunity