GOLD BUY BIAS • Demand Zone (Grey Box):
Price tapped into a clear demand/support zone around 3300–3310, showing rejection wicks and slowing bearish momentum.
• Reversal Expectation:
Bullish projection drawn on the chart suggests a potential rally if price holds above this zone.
• Upside Targets:
• First target: ~3390 (previous structure high)
• Next: ~3410–3440 (liquidity sweep area)
Futures market
Everybody loves Gold Part 5Keeping it steady and reasonable
Part 5 weekly path is as shown.
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation down
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from +50/+100 or +150pips to the downside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way: Last week saw classic double top formed around level of significance (LOS)
As always price action determines trades
H1 pullback in bullish H4 mThe market is at a point where we must sell, it's at a maximum of Elliott Waves, wave 5 is already extremely extended, so prepare for a mega drop of several weeks while everyone continues to buy at the lows, it will continue to go down. In summary, we have a bullish market on H4, now there will be a correction on H1, that is, a bearish trend on H1 for several weeks; it is not an ABC, but 5 bearish waves
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Gold Take All Stop losses,Are You Ready To Sell To Get 300 Pips?Here is my 1H Gold Chart and this is my opinion , the price opened this week with massive wick to upside to take all stop losses and then moved to downside very hard and aggressive , we have a very good Res that we sell from it last week 3377.00 , it`s still strong and forced the price many times to respect it so it still my fav level to sell it again today if the price touch it and give me a good bearish price action to confirm the entry and we can targeting 300 pips at least . if we have a daily closure above my res then we will think about buying instead of selling , but until now i`m looking to sell it from the level i mentioned .
GoldKey Data Points:
Current Price: 3,309.065 USD
Open: 3,358.435 USD
High: 3,363.900 USD
Low: 3,307.295 USD
Change: +1.77% (+59,760 points)
Volume: Not explicitly stated but implied by "1B" (likely 1 billion units).
Price Action & Technical Observations:
Trend:
The price is currently below the open (3,309.065 vs. 3,358.435), suggesting a pullback after an intraday high of 3,363.900.
The +1.77% daily gain indicates overall bullish momentum, but the candle shows rejection near highs (wick formation).
Support/Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
Immediate: 3,362–3,375 USD (previous highs/profit targets).
Strong: 3,406–3,425 USD (key profit levels).
Support:
Immediate: 3,288–3,265 USD (labeled "Entity" and "Profit" zones).
Strong: 3,250 USD (psychological level).
Profit Targets:
The chart marks three profit-taking levels:
3,323 USD (minor), 3,362 USD (mid), 3,406 USD (major).
This suggests traders are eyeing these levels for potential reversals or take-profit actions.
Volume & Momentum:
The "+59,760" change with "1B" volume implies strong buying interest, but the long upper wick hints at selling pressure near highs.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation:
If price holds above 3,288–3,265 USD, a retest of 3,362–3,406 USD is likely.
Bearish Reversal:
A break below 3,265 USD could trigger a drop toward 3,250–3,225 USD.
XBRUSD broke the Support Level 69.90 👀 Possible scenario:
Oil prices dropped more than 3% on June 24 after U.S. President Donald Trump brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, easing fears of a wider conflict disrupting Middle East oil flows.
Analysts said the risk premium built into oil prices has quickly faded, with focus shifting away from threats to the Strait of Hormuz. Macquarie expects U.S. crude stocks to fall by just 0.9M barrels last week—down sharply from the prior 11.5M-barrel draw. Exports likely dropped by 0.6M b/d, while imports rose by 0.7M b/d. Gasoline, distillate, and jet fuel inventories are all expected to have increased.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 66.10.
Resistance levels are now located at 77.50 .
XAUUSD broke the Support Level 3340.00👀 Possible scenario:
Gold (XAU) fell toward $3,350 on June 24 as easing Middle East tensions reduced safe-haven demand. Prices dipped after U.S. President Trump confirmed Iran had agreed to a ceasefire, with Israel expected to follow. A symbolic Iranian strike on a U.S. base in Qatar caused no casualties, calming market fears of escalation.
Traders now shift focus to Fed Chair Powell’s upcoming congressional testimony, which may offer clues on rate policy amid persistent inflation concerns.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 3,295.00.
Now, the resistance level is located at 3,400.00.
XAUUSD Setup – Rejection + Shift = Sell Opportunity?XAUUSD Trade Idea – Bearish Shift in Sight
Price attempted to break above the 3500.45 resistance multiple times but failed, showing strong rejection at that key level. Now we’re observing early signs of a bearish shift.
Confirmation will come if we break the 4H low — that would signal a potential short opportunity with momentum likely to favor sellers.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3500.45
Support to watch: 4H structure low
Waiting for clean structure break before entry. Stay patient and manage risk.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #SMC #ForexTrading #BearishSetup
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.
Gold buy now Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 15 minutes
Entry Price Area: Around $3,312.94
Target (Take Profit): $3,330.27
Stop Loss: $3,298.74
Risk-Reward Ratio: Looks favorable (approx. 1:1.5 or better)
📈 Trade Idea:
The chart suggests a long (buy) position with:
A potential reversal (indicated by the blue zigzag arrow) after a minor pullback.
Continue to short after the rebound on 6.24Judging from the current market trend, the upper short-term resistance is around 3343-48, the lower short-term support is around 3310-15, the short-term long-short strength watershed is 3300-05, the daily level is under pressure and continues to see suppression and adjustment, and the main tone should actually be rebound shorting.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold rebounds to 3343-48 and shorts, stop loss 3356, target 3317-3323, continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold Pulls Back to 3332 Before Mild Rebound📊 Market Overview:
This morning, gold dropped sharply to $3,332/oz, marking the lowest level in recent sessions, due to profit-taking after the early-week rally and a slight recovery in the USD.
However, dip-buying interest returned near key support, pushing the price back up to around $3,350/oz.
The market remains sensitive to Middle East geopolitical headlines and comments from Fed officials scheduled throughout the week.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Resistance: $3,360 – $3,370
• Support: $3,332 – $3,340 (tested this morning)
• EMA 09: Price is currently below EMA09 ($3,355) → short-term trend remains slightly bearish
• Momentum / Volume / Candlesticks:
o H1 candle shows a bullish hammer formation at $3,332 → signal of potential short-term rebound.
o RSI recovered from oversold (<30) to ~42 → mildly positive signal.
o StochRSI indicates short-term buying pressure, but a break above $3,355 is needed to confirm a reversal.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may see a mild recovery toward the $3,360–3,370 area if buying interest holds near the $3,330 support. However, failure to break above $3,370 could lead to a pullback during the US session.
💡 Suggested Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,365–3,370
🎯 TP: $3,345 (~20)
❌ SL: $3,375
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332–3,340
🎯 TP: $3,355 (~20)
❌ SL: $3,325
Will the gold bearish trend continue?
💡Message Strategy
The gold market is facing a complex game of long and short factors in the near future. On the one hand, US President Trump announced that Iran and Israel had reached a "comprehensive ceasefire", and the market's risk aversion demand plummeted, and gold was under obvious short-term pressure. However, according to Reuters, Israel still has small-scale military operations, which has led to differences in the market's optimism about the situation in the Middle East, and the downward space of gold is temporarily limited.
On the other hand, US economic data is mixed. In June, the S&P global manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 52, the service industry PMI fell slightly to 53.1, and the composite PMI fell slightly to 52.8, suggesting that the momentum of economic expansion has slowed down marginally. More importantly, Fed officials have released dovish signals one after another. Fed Governor Bowman expressed concern about labor market risks and supported interest rate cuts this year, echoing Governor Waller's expectations of a rate cut in July. This adjustment in monetary policy expectations has led to a weakening of the US dollar, providing some support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
1. Pay attention to the defensive position at the weekly level. As time goes by, this position is now in the 3316-3315 area. After breaking 3333 at noon, it accelerated to reach here, so pay attention to the gains and losses here in the future, so as to prepare for the next space switch
2. The daily line has been defending the lifeline for nearly a month. The current lifeline position is 3355. No matter how it pierces in the previous process, the final closing line must return to the top of the lifeline, thus becoming a support area
This means that today's closing is very critical. It can be closed below the lifeline, and then switch space downward to enter the area from the lifeline to the lower track 3355-3280
3. The four-hour pattern opens downward. Yesterday, the resistance of the upper track of the pattern was determined twice, and then it began to fall continuously, fell back to the lifeline, and then fell below the lower track of the pattern. Now it is further down and breaking the low
Then, keeping high is the key, breaking low is the focus. The previous starting and falling acceleration points are 3357 area, 3370, and finally 3388-3390.
Today's high point is 3370 area. The resistance range of 3357 is determined at noon. The pattern opens downward. Keep high and break low to see acceleration. After breaking the high point, it returns to sweeping.
4. The double lines of the hourly chart are glued together to form a pressure area. The interval of 3355-3370 just coincides with the two resistances above. Use this as suppression to switch space downward.
5. The large channel cooperates with the small channel. The price falls below the lower track position of the large channel and begins to switch space further downward. The top and bottom conversion position is 3340, and the final acceleration starting point is 3348.
Use this as suppression, and look down to the weekly defense line area of 3316-3315.
If it falls below, the next support will focus on the 3300 mark. If it breaks 3300 again, the next position is 3280
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3348-3354,SL:3375,Target: 3300-3310
Long Position:3280-3290,SL:3260,Target: 3340
XAU / USD Trade Idea - 15min Setup | Bounce or Breakdown PlayGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading within a tight range near $3321, testing a previous demand zone. The RSI is hovering just above oversold territory, and momentum indicators (MACD histogram and CVD) show weakening bearish pressure. Price is consolidating between the $3301 key demand and $3324 supply, forming a potential bounce-or-breakdown structure.
BREAKOUT SOON | $3700 - $3800 As illustrated, I’m visualising the next potential bullish continuation impulse that would take gold near the $4000 projected price.
In this idea, the path projected is based on the breakout of a rising symmetrical triangle that price formed; a strong bullish pattern that tends to be very effective when price successfully breaks out with strength.
On a fundamental aspect, things continue to hold the yellow metal on a positive route to maintain its bullish momentum and direction. Fed rates decision is getting close, and that is just the tip of the iceberg that’s going to move gold to record highs within weeks.
A key and major pivot area is near the $3200 - $3250 price range; so it’s possible we have one more attempt to break $3200.
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GOOD LUCK
persaxu