Futures market
Gold news dominates the market
The gold market has experienced dramatic fluctuations recently, and the market is completely dominated by news. Last Friday (May 10), after gold stopped falling and rebounded from 3202, it soared by $236 to a high of 3438 in the first two days of the week, stimulated by Trump's escalation of tariff policy. However, as market sentiment changed, it opened high and fell on Wednesday, and plummeted by $126 in a single day on Thursday. It directly broke through the 3300 mark in early trading on Friday, reaching a low of 3270, giving up nearly $200 in gains in just a few days.
Analysis of market driving factors:
Tariff policy has become the core variable that dominates the trend of gold. When Trump proposed to increase tariffs, the market was worried about the escalation of the global trade war, and safe-haven funds poured into gold crazily; and once the news showed signs of easing, bulls immediately took profits, causing the gold price to retreat sharply. In contrast, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and ongoing geopolitical conflicts have taken a back seat, reflecting the current market's extreme sensitivity to policy risks.
From a technical perspective, gold has entered a large shock pattern of fierce competition between bulls and bears. The daily level shows that the long upper shadow middle Yin line closed on Thursday confirmed the short-term top, and the MACD indicator showed a second dead cross, indicating further callback risks. The key resistance is at 3315 (MA10 and the middle track overlap) and 3345 (MA5), and the important support below is at 3237 (MA30) and 3192 (lower track). On the 4-hour chart, the MACD dead cross continues to increase in volume, the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the MA60 moving average 3310 constitutes a key resistance. The hourly line forms a row of top suppression at 3323-24, and 3310-15 becomes an important resistance area for short-term rebound.
Trading strategy suggestions:
In the current market environment, it is recommended to adopt a strategy that combines trend trading with key position game. On the short side, short with a light position near 3340-3350, stop loss 3360, target 3300-3270;
On the long side, focus on the 3270-65 support area. After stabilization, you can try short-term long, stop loss 3260, target 3300-3320;
If it further pulls back to the 3230-40 area (daily MA30), you can consider the layout of medium-term long orders, stop loss 3220, target 3280-3300.
It is particularly important to be vigilant that once it falls below the 3200 mark, it means that the medium-term trend turns bearish, and you need to stop loss immediately and wait and see.
Looking ahead, gold may continue to fluctuate greatly. Investors need to focus on three major focuses: first, the trend of Trump's tariff policy, which is still the core factor affecting gold prices; second, the need for technical correction. After a continuous plunge, there may be a rebound, but attention should be paid to the strong pressure zone of 3345-3370; finally, the change in market sentiment. If the demand for risk aversion continues to cool, the gold price may further test the 3200 mark.
Key operation tips:
Intraday trading uses 3330 as the long-short watershed. Keep a short-term thinking below, with a target of 3270-3240; if it breaks through 3330, it will switch to a short-term long strategy, with a target of 3345-3370. Mid-term investors can arrange long orders in batches in the 3200-3230 area to bet on the rising opportunities brought about by the policy shift again. It should be emphasized that the current market is volatile, and all transactions should strictly set stop losses to prevent sudden risks.
How to trade gold trendsTechnical analysis of gold: From a technical perspective, the overall framework of gold's rise has not changed. I said before that from a macro level, the conditions for breaking highs have been met, but in the short term, it will go back and forth several times before it can go up. If there is no adjustment, no washing, no horizontality, no shock, and the foundation is not solid, even if it goes up, it will come down quickly. If you want a solid rise, then give the market more patience. Today, gold is running around the bottoming out and rebounding pattern. After a sharp drop in the early trading, it quickly recovered the lost ground, and the signal has been released: the current key support reference is around 3280, and the upward movement needs to break through and stabilize the key dividing point of 3330. In the early trading, it fell back under pressure at 3330. Only when the entity stands firmly at this position can the breakthrough pattern of yesterday be reproduced. If the Asian and European sessions can close above 3330 steadily, the European and American sessions can directly see the new high of 3360/3370 area.
For today's market, I think it will still fluctuate upward, and will adjust and fluctuate at the current relatively low level for a period of time! If there are friends who are ready to get on the train today, then 3280 or below can be done in batches step by step. After the hourly line cycle opened the decline of 3324 and broke, today's market was not weak, and there was further upward continuation. I also said that the recent market cannot chase the rise and kill the fall. On the whole, it is still a wide range of shocks. Washing the market trend should be a violent roller coaster before the subsequent surge. The European market relies on the low point of 3310 as a defense. In the short term, continue to open more and look up, pay attention to 3350/3360. At that time, a new round of band rise will emerge, and this should be paid attention to! So I said that based on the general trend, short-term corrections are opportunities! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on corrections and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3360-3370 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3280-3290 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3360-3365, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 10 points, target around 3330-3320, break the position and look at 3310
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3312-3315, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 10 points, target around 3330-3350, break the position and look at 3360
Daily Analysis: 09‑05‑2025Spot gold closed yesterday with a 1.75% loss, settling at 3,306, following the announcement of a trade agreement between the United States and the United Kingdom. President Trump also stated that significant trade talks with China are expected to take place at the end of the week, with a potential 145% reduction in tariffs—developments that could impact the markets and increase volatility at the start of next week.
This morning, gold is showing a slight upward bias, though price action for the remainder of the day is likely to remain sideways and limited.
Technically, the levels of 3,334 and 3,360 are seen as potential resistance, while 3,310 and 3,287 act as key support levels in case of a pullback.
Gold Will be Bullish from a Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold Head & Shoulder PatternThe completion of a head and shoulders pattern in the gold market suggests the potential commencement of an upward trend.
Current market conditions indicate that we are presently situated within the right shoulder formation of this pattern, an observation that warrants careful monitoring for confirmation of the bullish reversal and subsequent price appreciation.
Gold 100% Profit SignalYesterday, gold surged and then fell. It was under pressure at 3415 in the early Asian session, and short orders were entered at 3413.6. After rebounding to 3369 in the European session, it was under pressure again, and short orders followed up at 3368.5. The overall trend continued to be extremely weak, breaking 3300 in the late trading and accelerating to 3288. It rebounded to above 3300 in the early morning, and the daily line closed with a long lower shadow positive line, indicating that short-term support is effective, but the rebound momentum is suppressed by the previous wave trend. The current gold price is fluctuating in the 3300-3348 range, with upper resistance of 3348-3352. If it breaks through, be alert to a second surge to 3365; the lower support is 3295-3303. If it loses or falls back to the 3275-3255 area. Trading needs to keep a close eye on the dynamics of key positions.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds to 3340-3345, with a stop loss at 3353 and a target of 3320-3300
SILVER INTRADAY important support at 3200Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3300
Resistance Level 2: 3364
Resistance Level 3: 3405
Support Level 1: 3200
Support Level 2: 3136
Support Level 3: 3095
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD INTRADAY overbought consolidation supported at 3265 US-UK Trade Deal & Tariffs:
President Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced a limited trade deal, but a 10% tariff on UK goods remains. The US plans to announce more trade deals soon, though existing tariffs on most countries will largely stay.
China Tariff Talks:
The US may cut tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 50%, boosting market optimism. Top US and Chinese officials will meet in Switzerland on Saturday to discuss trade and economic matters.
Federal Reserve & USD:
The Fed signaled no interest rate cuts soon, despite economic uncertainty. The US Dollar retreated after hitting a four-week high, supporting gold prices.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Conflicts involving Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Houthis, and tensions between India and Pakistan are increasing geopolitical risks, which boosts demand for gold as a safe haven.
FOMC Speakers & Market Outlook:
Investors await comments from key Fed officials on Friday for clues about future rate policy. This could influence USD demand and gold prices, which are on track for modest weekly gains.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3376
Resistance Level 2: 3428
Resistance Level 3: 3480
Support Level 1: 3265
Support Level 2: 3220
Support Level 3: 3177
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
### Technical Analysis of Gold 4 Hour(XAU/USD) ### Technical Analysis of Gold 4 Hour(XAU/USD)
#### Overview
The chart displays the 4-hour price action for Gold (XAU/USD) with various technical indicators, including Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), along with support and resistance levels. The displayed time frame suggests that this analysis focuses on short to medium-term trading strategies.
#### Current Price Action
- **Current Price**: The price of Gold is currently at approximately **3,325.13**. The price has recently bounced off a significant support level and is in a critical zone, indicating potential price action volatility.
#### Trend Analysis
- **Long-Term Trend**: The blue diagonal line illustrates an upward trend that started in early April. Gold’s price has consistently been above this trendline, indicating bullish sentiment in the market.
- **Short-Term Trend**: In the last week, the price peaked around **3432** but has since retraced towards the trendline. The price action suggests a consolidation phase currently on the chart.
#### Indicators
- **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA(50)**: It is bullish at **3,312.79**as the price remains above this moving average.
- **SMA(20)**: The shorter SMA at **3,363.54** indicates potential short-term resistance.
- **EMA (20)**: The EMA is slightly below the price at **3,295.59**, offering support if the price approaches this level.
The proximity of the price to the moving averages indicates an area of dynamic support and resistance, where traders may look for guidance on entry and exit points.
#### Support and Resistance Levels
- **Resistance Levels**:
- Clear resistance is observed at **3355/3370**
- The upward red trendline 3400/3416/3480 could also serve as dynamic resistance in the future.
- **Support Levels**:
- Strong support is found at **3,288.92**, coinciding with the recent consolidation's lower edges. The blue trendline provides additional support near **3,290**.
- Key support levels below are **3,264** and more significantly around **3,220 and 3,144**.
#### Price Patterns
- The chart displays a potential pennant formation, which generally precedes continuing the existing trend. Traders should be alert for breakout signals, either above resistance or below support, suggesting potential price movement toward the breakout.
#### Trade Considerations
- **Bullish Scenario**: A bullish breakout above the resistance level of **3365** with increasing volume could cement a further move towards the highs around **3410** or **3480**.
- **Bearish Scenario**: Conversely, a decisive break below the **blue trendline** or **support at 3,280** may trigger further downside with targets around **3,230/3200/3140** or lower.
#### Conclusion
The current price suggests that Gold is testing critical support levels while remaining in a longer-term uptrend. Traders should look for confirmation of direction through breakout patterns, volume, and market context. Monitoring economic data affecting Gold prices and general market sentiment will also be essential for making informed trading decisions.
We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds.
Stay grounded, stay present.🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼 OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThis chart shows a short (sell) trading setup for gold (XAU/USD), marked with a "SELL ZONE" at approximately 3,330 and a take-profit target labeled "TADGET SUCCESSFUL" around 3,281. The red area indicates the stop-loss zone above the sell entry, while the green area shows the profit zone.
Also, a small note: there's a typo—"TADGET" should be corrected to "TARGET".
Would you like help analyzing the trade or improving the chart presentation?
GOLD/USD suggesting a potential short trade with the target The chart shows a significant uptrend starting around mid-March, peaking near 3,374.74, followed by a sharp decline towards 3,171.35, marked as the "target. *: A support zone is highlighted around 3,005.68 to 3,017.01 (green), and a resistance zone around 3,329.79 to 3,346.15 (red).The right side shows price levels, with the current price around 3,171.35, aligning with the target after the drop
GOLD PLAN UPDATE 09/05/2025 - 11AM UTC• Weak U.S. data is boosting hopes for rate cuts, which pushes real yields down and makes gold more attractive.
• Ongoing U.S.–China tensions + Middle East issues are keeping demand for safe-haven gold strong.
• U.S. political uncertainty is weighing on the dollar, making gold cheaper for global buyers.
• April saw the biggest gold ETF buying spree in 3 years, mainly driven by Chinese funds—shows big players are loading up.
Gold still looking 🔥!
🎯 Key Levels:
• Resistance: $3,360 (recent swing high) and $3,380 (Fibonacci extension)
• Support: $3,300–$3,310
🟢 Buy Zone 1: $3,315–$3,320
- SL: $3,310
- TP: $3,335–$3,340
🟢 Buy Zone 2: $3,300–$3,310
- SL: $3,290
- TP: $3,360–$3,380
🟢 Buy Zone 3: $3,280–$3,300
- SL: $3,250
- TP: $3,450–$3,500
🔴 Sell Zone 1: $3,355–$3,360–$3,370
- SL: $3,365–$3,380
- TP: $3,330–$3,325–$3,320–$3,300
🔴 Sell Zone 2: <$3,300
- SL: $3,320
- TP: $3,200–$3,180
• Use tight stop-losses tailored to timeframe (5–10 prices for scalping; 20–30 for intraday; 50 for swing).
• Limit risk per trade to 1–2% of account equity.
• Monitor real-time news on Fed commentary, trade negotiations, and geopolitical events for volatility catalysts.
GOLD 4H | Bullish Opportunity with Clear Fibonacci Targets
GOLD 4H | Bullish Opportunity with Clear Fibonacci Targets
The recent 4H structure on Gold (XAUUSD) suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support zone near 3,321. The price action shows a strong reaction from demand, aligning with Fibonacci extension levels, offering attractive risk-to-reward opportunities.
Entry Zone: Around 3,321
Stop Loss: Below 3,295 (structure invalidation)
Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 3,394
• TP2: 3,447
• TP3: 3,505
• Extended TP4: 3,546
• Final TP: 3,599
This setup aligns with confluence from previous resistance-turned-support, Heikin Ashi reversal signs, and Fib extensions. The bullish bias remains valid as long as price holds above the key SnR level (3,201).
Trade Management Tip: Consider securing partial profits at TP1 and TP2 while trailing the rest for higher levels.
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