XAUUSD Has Ascending channel breakdown selling strong now🔔 XAUUSD Update – 4H Breakdown Alert!
Gold (XAUUSD) has officially broken down from the ascending channel, signaling strong bearish momentum starting from 3322.
📉 Technical Targets Ahead: 1️⃣ 3280 – First demand zone
2️⃣ 3240 – Next key demand zone
3️⃣ 3160 – Major support level
We're seeing solid selling pressure, and the 4H timeframe confirms the structure shift. Keep an eye on price action around these zones for potential reaction or continuation.
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Futures market
Silver Steady at $36 as Rate Cut Bets RiseSilver steadied around $36.10 during the Asian session, paring earlier losses after the geopolitical jolt. While the ceasefire cooled nerves, markets remain alert after Iran’s limited strike on a US base. Fed commentary also weighed in: Bowman and Waller leaned dovish, though Powell’s tone remains cautious ahead of his testimony.
The first resistance is seen at 37.50, while the support starts at 35.40.
Gold Falls to Two-Week Lows Gold fell to around $3,350 per ounce on Tuesday, its lowest level in two weeks, as the ceasefire reduced geopolitical stress. The truce announcement, set to begin with Iran immediately and Israel 12 hours later, cooled safe-haven demand. The metal’s recent run paused despite lingering tensions in the region.
Resistance is seen at $3,355, while support holds at $3,285.
Silver could also outperform the stock market by 52%?Silver would need to rally 33% from current levels to retest its potential historical breakout line around $48.
If that happens in sync, silver could also outperform the stock market by 52% — reaching its own breakout level on the silver vs. stocks ratio chart.
Gold Market Extends Liquidity SweepGold market extends its liquidity sweep, leveraging the weekly candle formation to fuel a bullish build-up. Current momentum is poised to drive price action through the 3320's toward 3360's, as demand zones continue to hold firm. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea ..
Gold is about to break through 3400! On June 21, 2025 local time, U.S. President Trump announced that the U.S. had launched strikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan—using six B-2 stealth bombers 😲. This move marked the formal intervention of the U.S. in the Middle East conflict, prompting the UN Security Council to convene an emergency meeting immediately. This underlies the core logic of our sustained "long gold" strategy last week: the geopolitical situation in the Middle East harbors the risk of escalating at any moment 🤯. If the Security Council fails to roll out direct solutions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, may continue its upward trajectory driven by market panic 📈.
The UN Security Council meeting on June 23, 2025 failed to break the deadlock, and the Middle East situation remains highly fluid. Given that the U.S. is highly unlikely to implement any solutions proposed by the Security Council, the regional crisis may deteriorate further 🚨
Gold is about to break through 3,400! 🌟
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, based on technical signals and price action behavior. Here's the breakdown
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Gold Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting 3,384
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Key Technical Highlights:
1. Support Zone & Price Reaction:
Price has tested a strong horizontal support level (highlighted in yellow).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks indicate buying pressure at this zone.
The green arrows show successful support bounces, hinting at bullish intent.
2. Trendline Analysis:
Price bounced near the lower boundary of the falling wedge/downtrend channel.
An uptrend line convergence supports potential reversal.
A breakout above the short-term descending trendline is indicated.
3. EMA & Target Projection:
EMA 200 at 3,364.33 may act as dynamic resistance, the next short-term hurdle.
Target zone projected at 3,384.04, offering a potential move of +65.67 pts (~1.98%).
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI(14) is oversold (~29.93), signaling a potential reversal.
A bullish crossover may be forming, supporting upward momentum.
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Trading Plan:
Entry Zone: Near current support area around 3,325
Target: 3,384
Stop Loss (Suggested): Below 3,300, under support structure
Risk/Reward: Favorable based on support hold and breakout projection
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This setup suggests a short-term bullish reversal from a key support area, with confirmation likely if price breaks above the descending trendline and clears the 200 EMA.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
XAUUSD: Post-Crash Buy Zone and Bullish SetupHere's a structured breakdown of today's #XAUUSD (Gold) trading idea, including key levels, wave structure, and risk/reward zones for both short-term and swing traders.
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🔹 Key Technical Zones (H1 & H4 Charts)
Support Levels
- 3,303 USD – Key support on H4; potential false breakout area
- 3,324–3,327 USD – Wave 5 completion zone and high-probability buy area
- 3,337–3,343 USD – Entry zone for early bullish setups
- 3,340–3,345 USD – Clean long entry; targeting up to 3,450 USD
Resistance Levels
- 3,363–3,365 USD – Sell zone tied to wave 4/5 overlap
- 3,375–3,383 USD – Mid-range resistance; key for short-term profits
- 3,405–3,500 USD – Long-term bullish targets; includes ATH region
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🔹 Wave Count (H1 Structure)
- Wave X – Recent sell-off ended a potential uptrend; suggests ongoing correction (WXY)
- Wave Y – 5-wave drop toward 3,363–3,365 USD; acting as a short-term sell zone
- Wave Z – Expected final leg down toward 3,324–3,327 USD (ideal buy zone)
- Retracement Setup – Anticipated bullish retrace post-wave 5, with targets back at 3,363–3,376 USD
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🔹 Order Blocks & FVGs
Buy Zones
- 3,343–3,330 USD – FVG within an order block; strong bullish entry area
- 3,319–3,317 USD – Deep support with short-term target at 3,349 USD
Sell Zone
- 3,363–3,365 USD – Key area for short setups, with targets at 3,342–3,330 USD
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🔹 Strategy & Key Takeaways
1. Bullish Structure Still Intact
- Rising channel remains valid on H4
- Holding 3,303 USD is critical for confirming bullish continuation
2. Trade Setup
- Long entries near 3,340–3,345 USD
- Target range: 3,450 USD and above
- Tight stops around 3,325 USD recommended for low-risk exposure
3. Wave Completion Zones in Play
- Monitor 3,324–3,327 USD (buy zone) and 3,363–3,365 USD (sell zone) for end-of-wave activity
4. Risk Management Is Key
- Scale into positions
- Respect intraday volatility and breakout traps
Oil Price: Breakout or Fakeout? Watch This Zone Closely Technical Overview:
The current price action is testing the upper boundary of a descending wedge, a bullish reversal pattern. The recent strong green candle indicates a potential breakout attempt, yet price is hovering near a critical resistance level at $74.20 (Fib 0.5).
Key levels from the Fibonacci retracement are:
🔼 Resistance at $74.20 (0.5), then $78.16 (0.618)
🧲 Local support at $69.78 (0.382)
🛡️ Strong demand zone near $63.81 (0.236) if rejection occurs
Structure + Patterns:
Price has been compressing inside a falling wedge, which statistically resolves to the upside.
The breakout candle broke above the 20 EMA and touched the upper wedge resistance — signaling a decision point.
Volume is rising on bullish candles — initial confirmation of buyer interest, but not yet decisive.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Break and close above $74.20 on higher volume → likely move toward $78–$86 resistance zone.
Confirmation of wedge breakout could trigger trend reversal, aligning with bullish fib levels.
Momentum could accelerate if macro factors support demand (see geopolitics below).
Bearish Case:
Failure to close above $74.20 = fakeout risk → price may reject down to $69.78 or even retest $63.81.
Bearish rejection wick on the daily/4H would be an early signal.
Macro & Geopolitical Factors to Monitor:
Middle East Tensions: Any escalation (especially around Iran or shipping lanes) could spike oil due to supply fears.
US Strategic Reserves & Elections: Moves to refill reserves or control inflation could support demand.
China Demand Recovery: Data showing improved industrial output or stimulus from PBoC may strengthen global oil outlook.
Final Thoughts:
Price is at a pivot zone — breaking this wedge with strength could shift the short-to-midterm trend. Until then, this remains a "show me" breakout . Watch how the next 1–2 weekly candles close around the $74–$75 area to confirm direction.
War breaks out again? The latest analysis and layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
At the 4H level: the Bollinger Band opening is enlarged, the MACD indicator double-line death cross is downward, the short-selling force is strengthened, but the RSI indicator rebounds after being oversold. Overall, there are obvious signs of a rebound in gold prices. At the hourly level: the gold price is in a downward channel, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD indicator is dead cross and the red bars are converging, and the short momentum has weakened. The RSI indicator rebounds from oversold, and the demand for spot gold rebounds is obvious. Therefore, we still hold long orders near 3320 in the short term. Short-term operation suggestion: go long when it stabilizes at 3325-3315, pay attention to the resistance range of 3370-3380 on the upside, and consider shorting when encountering resistance and pressure.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3345-3365
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
WTI Oil: further downside?Front page news this morning focussed on the ceasefire between Israel and Iran, first announced by US President Donald Trump on his Truth Social platform. However, reports recently emerged of Iran firing missiles, seemingly violating the ceasefire, but no confirmation has been received yet. The point is that things remain somewhat uncertain as of writing.
The technical front, nevertheless, is interesting on WTI Oil (West Texas Intermediate), and ultimately points to a moderate pullback before heading lower.
Monthly descending triangle in play
The flow on the monthly chart reveals that price action completed a descending triangle in April this year, formed between US$95.00 and US$64.41. Following the breach of the lower boundary and refreshing year-to-date (YTD) lows of US$55.15, a determined pullback materialised and resulted in the unit testing the upper barrier of the pattern. As you can see, the test has held for now, with June poised to end the month considerably off its best levels.
Given that price has aggressively rejected the upper boundary of the triangle formation, and if we see WTI push to fresh YTD lows, this would unearth a possible bearish scenario in the direction of support from US$42.57.
Daily Fibonacci resistance
Across the page on the daily chart, you will note that recent flow touched gloves with support at US$64.55, a level complemented by a 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio at US$64.76, a trendline support (extended from the low of US$55.40), and a neighbouring 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at US$63.70. Given that the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio also represents an ‘alternate’ AB=CD support pattern, traders that are long from US$64.55 may aim for the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios of US$69.53 and US$72.59. Consequently, both of these lines serve as potential resistance levels to watch.
H1 confluence
With monthly price suggesting further selling, and daily resistance on the table, the H1 chart shines the spotlight on two levels of resistance at US$68.35 and US$70.14. However, I am more drawn to the latter level as a potential resistance. This is because it converges closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio on the daily timeframe mentioned above at US$69.53, as well as a nearby 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio on the H1 chart at US$69.13.
As a result, my focus will be on H1 resistance between US$70.14 and US$69.13.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Gold continues to decline, can it still change the trend?Information summary:
Will the Fed cut interest rates in July? The latest statements of Fed officials have released a heavy signal. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that as long as inflationary pressures remain moderate, she will support a rate cut at the next policy meeting in July. At the same time, Trump has continued to put pressure on the Fed.
Next, investors need to pay attention to the testimony of Fed Chairman Powell on the semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee today.
Market analysis:
Gold fell sharply today, directly breaking the key support level of 3350. From a 4-hour perspective, the MA moving average shows a short trend arrangement, and the MA5\10 moving average crosses the MA20/30 long-term moving average downward, which indicates that the short force is dominant. In addition, the RSI indicator also fell rapidly and entered the oversold area, but this may also suggest that prices have a rebound trend in the short term.
I think the current market price decline trend is more obvious, unless there is significant positive data, the gold price may continue to decline.
GOLD Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,326.73.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,359.56 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold intraday Short opportunityGold is currently moving with steady bearish momentum to the downside. at the opening of the week we saw downside momentum which is supported by price trading below the 50 SMA and trading with bearish momentum on the RSI below 45.
Potential retracement towards the $3344 price levels before continuation to the downside support at $3300. Looking to capitalize on this short opportunity for the day before price reacts to the major support at $330
6/24 Gold Analysis and Trading OutlookGood morning, everyone!
Gold closed yesterday with a T-shaped candlestick. Although there was an intraday recovery after briefly breaching the MA20, the closing price remained below the MA5, indicating continued pressure on the upside.
Today’s opening saw a direct drop in price, suggesting a potential break below key support. Two important levels to monitor today:
Whether the closing price stays above 3355
Whether the intraday support at 3328 holds
If 3328 breaks down, the 3300 level may become the next major battleground between bulls and bears.
Driven by geopolitical news, gold has shown sharp volatility over the past two days. While this increases trading risk, it also presents more opportunities. From a technical perspective, today’s strategy should prioritize selling on rebounds, with buying at lower levels as a secondary approach. As always, stay disciplined and manage risk effectively.
Gold updateAfter the previous level was broken and structure shifted, we’re now entering a new phase of analysis.
In this fresh setup, we’re looking for buy opportunities — but not blindly!
As always, waiting for a clean pullback to the new zone and a solid entry signal.
Experience teaches us: real profits come from patience and planning.
Here’s my new gold analysis — high probability, low risk.
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
GOLD FUTURES: LOADED COIL OR BREAKDOWN RISK
### 📉 **GOLD FUTURES: Loaded Coil or Breakdown Risk?**
**Symbol:** MGCQ25 / MGC1!
**Date:** June 24, 2025
**Session:** NY Open Pre-Market
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### 🔍 **Top-Down Analysis (TE GRID Aligned)**
#### 🕵️♂️ 1D Macro Bias:
Gold’s daily candle is an aggressive rejection off the \$3,400s with a break of the prior demand zone. Heavy volume on the red day signals **institutional unwinding** 📉. Price cracked through the previous bullish imbalance zone and now floats just above key structural support at **\$3,295**.
* 🟣 **Bias:** **Bearish until proven otherwise**
* ⚠️ Watch: If today closes below \$3,295, opens door for \$3,170 sweep
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#### 🧠 4H/1H HTF Structure:
* 4H shows textbook lower high + BOS formation — order blocks at **\$3,378–\$3,400** rejected price multiple times.
* 1H VWAP anchored from the last major high at \$3,400 is pressing down — no reclaim, no rally.
* Big liquidity cluster sits below at **\$3,170–\$3,130**, possibly magnetic.
🔵 **HTF TE GRID Check**:
* ✅ HTF Bias: Bearish
* ✅ No support reclaim
* ✅ Liquidity below
→ **Short bias confirmed**
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#### 🧪 15m Intraday Liquidity Check:
* VWAP = resistance
* EQ (Equilibrium) from consolidation = broken
* Price action: forming lower highs beneath \$3,336–\$3,340
* Volume dropping on minor pullbacks = weak buyer response
🔴 **Intraday Bias:** Fade rallies into HTF resistance
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### ⚔️ **TE GRID Trade Setup Ideas** (Execution-Ready)
#### 🎯 **Setup #1 – HTF Supply Rejection Short**
* 🔹 *Entry:* \$3,336–\$3,340 zone (intraday VWAP retest)
* 🔹 *Stop:* Above \$3,350 (invalidates idea)
* 🔹 *Target 1:* \$3,295 (gap fill)
* 🔹 *Target 2:* \$3,170 (macro sweep target)
* 🧠 *TE GRID Alignment:*
* HTF down ✅
* Liquidity above swept ✅
* Rejection from imbalance ✅
#### 🎯 **Setup #2 – Breakdown Momentum Play**
* 🔹 *Entry:* Break & retest of \$3,295
* 🔹 *Stop:* Above \$3,305
* 🔹 *Target:* \$3,170 → \$3,130
* 🧠 *TE GRID Alignment:*
* Structure BOS ✅
* Rejection of EQ ✅
* No buyer absorption ✅
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🚨 **Gold Futures Breakdown In Progress — Powell Speech Could Seal the Deal** 🧠💣
Gold is under heavy pressure as the market rotates out of safe havens amid a cooling in geopolitical risk — but price action says this isn’t over yet 👀.
The **Israel–Iran ceasefire** may have stunned gold bulls, but the real signal is coming from **macro and technical structure**. Powell’s testimony today could either validate the Fed’s dovish lean — or crush the dollar further. Either way, volatility is loading. ⚡️
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📉 **TE GRID Top-Down Breakdown**
1️⃣ **Daily:** Bearish rejection from prior demand
2️⃣ **4H/1H:** Rejected from VWAP and macro imbalance at \$3,378–\$3,400
3️⃣ **15m:** Weak bounce volume, liquidity gaps below = fade rallies
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🎯 **Key Trade Levels:**
* **Short Zone:** \$3,336–\$3,340
* **Breakdown Trigger:** \$3,295
* **Targets:**
* \$3,170 = HTF liquidity draw 🧲
* \$3,130 = macro flush if Powell disappoints 🪓
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⚖️ **Narrative:**
Gold is stuck between **a falling dollar** and a **waning fear premium**. Powell is the final wildcard — if he leans dovish, the dollar could slide further. But without structural reclaim, **gold remains a short-the-rip environment**. Stay tactical. Let price confirm before you commit. 🧠📉
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🛑 *Disclaimer:* Not financial advice. This is professional-grade trade research. Execute with precision.
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,612.8
Target Level: 3,572.6
Stop Loss: 3,639.3
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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"Clear Downtrend in Gold – Bearish Momentum Confirmed📉 Key Bearish Signals
Downtrend Channel
Price is consistently respecting a descending channel — lower highs and lower lows.
This is a classic bearish structure, indicating sellers are in control.
Rejection from Upper Channel Line
Price recently tested the upper boundary of the channel and got rejected.
This is a strong signal of continued downside as bulls failed to break out.
Break Below EMA 200
Price is trading well below the 200 EMA, showing a longer-term bearish bias even on intraday charts.
The EMA is acting as dynamic resistance.
Volume Confirmation
Increased volume seen during the sell-off near the channel top — confirms institutional selling or large participant exit.
Lower Highs Formation
Even when price bounces, it's making lower highs, a clear sign of distribution and selling into rallies.
Conclusion
Yes, it's a clear selling structure. Price is respecting the downward channel, rejected the 200 EMA, and has volume backing the move. Short-selling on rallies within the channel, with stops above the upper trendline or EMA, would align with the trend.