XAU/USD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3353.05
Support and resistance levels:
3386.70
3374.12
3365.96
3340.13
3331.97
3319.40
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 3353.05, consider buying in, the first target price is 3365.96
If it breaks through 3340.13, consider selling in, the first target price is 3331.97
Futures market
Today's summary and tomorrow's market forecast📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Bros, I had some things to deal with just now so I went out for a while. Now I come back to share my ideas. When the market is blindly chasing longs, I chose to give a bearish trading opportunity. I know that after I proposed the idea of shorting to test the support level of 3340-3330 below, many people were skeptical and even looked at it with a sarcastic attitude. After all, most people in the market are long. But facts and results have proved that only by following the trend can there be better room for operation. When doing transactions, you must first have a clear goal. Those who follow the crowd will often only blame their mistakes on others or luck.
Regarding the arrangements for future trading, first of all, 3375-3385 above is still an important short-term resistance. If today's closing is above 3360, then 3375 will most likely be tested again during the Asia-Europe trading session. Once it goes up again, it is very likely to break through the resistance area of 3375-3385. Before the US data, the price may stay at 3390 or 3400. On the contrary, if today's closing is below 3360, then the price still has room for adjustment. In this way, 3340 will not be the low point of this week. The bearish volatility in the Asian and European sessions will also test the strong support of 3330-3320.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
GOLD Buy Setup – OB Zone in FocusCurrently, gold is respecting the ascending trendline and maintaining a bullish structure 🟢. Price hasn’t tapped into the 30 Min Order Block (OB) yet, but we are expecting a potential pullback into this OB zone 📍.
✅ Our Plan:
We will wait patiently for price to mitigate the OB.
After the tap, we will look for bullish confirmation (rejection wick, bullish engulfing, or break of minor structure) before entering a buy position 🚀.
As long as the trendline holds, we remain bullish on gold.
📝 Invalidation:
If price breaks and closes below the trendline and OB zone, we will stay out or re-evaluate the setup ❌.
Stay disciplined and follow the plan! 💪
Gold’s Chart Update Next Move: Bullish or Bearish?Gold has shown strong bullish momentum 💪 as it breaks through the descending trendline 📉, positioning itself to target the upper liquidity zone 💰. Right now, we have two key scenarios to watch:
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks above the 3345 level and closes a solid candle above it 🔝, we could see a move towards 3360 🚀, signaling further upward potential.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: However, if Gold sweeps the 3345 zone and fails to maintain the bullish momentum 🔻, we may see a pullback that could push prices lower 📉.
Stay vigilant 👀 and keep an eye on price action for the next big move! 🔍📊
Gold OutlookGold took previous week high and gave bearish move. The gold overall scenario shows it is bullish. The possible move for the gold will be to touch FVG retrace and go towards supply zone and again retrace back. Or if buyers step in we may see good bullish move gold might touch supply zone retrace a little bit follow the bullish path.
WTI Crude Oil Reverses Lower Near $70 ResistanceA bearish engulfing candle has formed on the daily WTI crude oil chart, with its high perfectly respecting the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement just beneath the $70 handle. Given that the bounce from the June low has been relatively weak compared to the sharp decline from $78, I’m now on alert for a potential break beneath the $64 support level.
That said, the 200-day SMA and EMA currently sit between $65.21 and $65.31, which could offer near-term support. Should oil prices attempt to grind higher within the 1-hour bullish channel, bears may look to fade rallies into the weekly pivot (67.59) or the $68.00 handle, positioning for a potential rollover. A clean break below the 200-day averages would shift focus firmly back to $64, near the June low.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 15th July 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-CPI m/m
Notes:
- Price closed strong bearish
- Looking for price to retest daily structure
- Potential SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3380
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
The Gold Retrace for Ultimate Entry!looking for price to continue with its pullback to find where exactly support is. Once we see price establish support we should get some type of signal for entry and price can continue with this bullish price action to make new highs. If we get a full 71.8% pullback that should make for a nice bull run. Just need to wait for the confirmations first before reacting cause we might get a lot of chop until then.
Bullish continuation off pullback support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the support which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level too ur take profit.
Entry: 37.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 36.49
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 39.12
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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July 15, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
From a fundamental perspective, the Asian session outlook remains buy on dip, especially above the 3341 support zone.
As long as price holds above 3341, the bullish plan remains valid.
If 3341 breaks down, bearish pressure may intensify.
Key lower supports to watch are 3310, 3285, and 3245 — monitor price action closely and stay flexible.
Follow the trend, respect key levels, and manage risk properly.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3393 – Resistance
• 3380 – Resistance
• 3375 – Intraday key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3341 – Intraday key support
• 3330 – Support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological support
📈 Intraday Strategy
• SELL if price breaks below 3341 → target 3336, then 3330, 3323, 3315, 3310
• BUY if price holds above 3352 → target 3354, then 3360, 3364, 3370
If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
XAUUSD Weekly Trade Setup(14-18th July 2025) - Bullish StrategyIn the ever-volatile world of commodities, Gold (XAUUSD) has yet again presented a promising technical setup. For traders looking to capitalize on price action and structure-based strategies, the upcoming week (14th to 18th July 2025) offers a clean breakout and retest opportunity backed by a strong risk/reward ratio.
Let’s break down the trade plan in detail.
1. Overview of the Current Market Structure
As shown in the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD is approaching a key horizontal resistance zone around 3360–3370. Historically, this area has acted as a rejection point for buyers. However, the recent bullish momentum, supported by price trading above the 200 EMA, suggests a potential breakout.
This forms the basis of a Breakout-Retest-Continuation strategy – one of the most reliable setups in price action trading.
2. The Trade Plan
Here’s the structured plan for this setup:
🔵 Step 1: Wait for the Breakout
Price must break above the resistance zone (3360–3370) with a strong bullish candle.
Avoid chasing the breakout; instead, let the market confirm its direction.
🟠 Step 2: Look for the Retest
After the breakout, wait for the price to pull back to the broken resistance, now acting as support.
Confirm this retest with a reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing or hammer) on the 1H or 4H timeframe.
🔴 Step 3: Entry and Stop Loss
Enter the trade after the confirmation candle closes.
Place a stop loss below the swing low of the retest zone.
This protects the trade in case of a false breakout.
🟢 Step 4: Set Your Target
The profit booking zone lies around the 3440–3450 region.
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:4, targeting 1:2, 1:3, and potentially 1:4 if momentum continues.
3. Why This Setup Makes Sense
EMA Confirmation: Price is trading above the 200 EMA, showing bullish bias.
Clean Price Action: Well-defined structure makes it easy to identify breakout/retest levels.
Strong Risk Management: The stop is tight and logical, while the upside potential is considerable.
Psychological Support Zone: 3360–3370 has repeatedly acted as a key decision level.
4. Trade Management Tips
Trail your stop loss once 1:2 R:R is achieved.
Consider partial profit booking at 1:2 or 1:3 to lock in gains and reduce risk.
Be patient – the key to this strategy is waiting for the retest confirmation.
5. Final Thoughts
Trading XAUUSD can be both rewarding and risky. This weekly setup gives you a disciplined approach to enter the market at a high-probability point with excellent reward potential. Whether you’re a swing trader or an intraday scalper on lower timeframes, this strategy adapts well with proper confirmation.
Stay tuned for live updates, and as always – plan your trade, and trade your plan.
Happy Trading!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Two lines of defense for bulls: 3340 and 3330 are the key!Gold maintains a strong pattern in the short term, and it is recommended to mainly buy on dips. The short-term support below focuses on the neckline of the hourly line at 3340 last Friday. The more critical support is locked at the 3330 line. This range is an important watershed for judging the continuation of short-term bullish momentum. As long as the daily level can remain stable above the 3330 mark, the overall trend will remain upward. Before falling below this position, we should adhere to the idea of buying low and buying low, and rely on key support levels to arrange long orders. At present, the price has completed a technical breakthrough and broke through the upper edge of the 3330 convergence triangle under the dual positive factors of Trump's tariff landing to stimulate risk aversion and the support of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations, and formed three consecutive positive daily lines. It is necessary to pay attention to the short-term pressure at the 3375 line. The overall operation strategy will be combined with the real-time trend prompts during the trading session, and pay attention to the bottom in time.
Beaish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,356.57
1st Support: 3,330.37
1st Resistance: 3,374.33
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XAUUSD DOUBLE BOTTAM CHART PATTERN 📈 XAUUSD – Potential Bullish Breakout from Double Bottom
Timeframe: 30m | Bias: Bullish
Price has formed a Double Bottom (Bottom 2) structure near a key support zone, indicating potential accumulation. The current move toward the neckline hints at a possible breakout.
🔹 Entry Zone: 3,345–3,350 (on breakout or strong bullish candle close above neckline)
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,335 (beneath recent swing low)
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
▫️TP1: 3,360
▫️TP2: 3,375
▫️TP3: 3,385+ (if momentum sustains)
📌 Pattern: Double Bottom → Breakout Potential
📌 Confluence: Bullish structure, demand zone bounce, trendline support
📌 Invalidation: Clean break below 3,335