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THEFOREXADVENTURE | SHORT-TERM BEARISH OUTLOOKThe recent price action in Gold Spot (XAUUSD) has shown a clear bearish breakdown from given 1H ORDER BLOCK . This suggests a potential short-term bearish trend. Key Observations: * Resistance Breakdown: Price has decisively broken below the 2,619.67 level, which previously acted as strong resistance. This breakdown confirms a bearish shift in momentum. * 1H OB (Order Block): The 1H OB around the 2,635.297, to 2639.265 level provides additional confirmation of the resistance. Potential Trade Setup: * Short Entry: Consider a short entry near the 1H ORDER BLOCK at 2,635 TO 2640 with a tight stop-loss above the 50 pips from order block. * Target: The initial target could be the 2,605 level, with potential for further downside if the market momentum accelerates. Risk Management: * Use a strict stop-loss to limit potential losses. * Consider using a trailing stop-loss to protect profits as the price moves in your favour. Let's Like , Comment And Follow me Guys Thanks for your support
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheForexAdventures
Yen Struggles as Investors Question BoJ's Rate Hike ProspectsThroughout the first half of the European trading session on Monday, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle against the US Dollar, with the exchange rate slipping to 0.006436 as I write this article. Investor skepticism regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential for further interest rate hikes plays a significant role in this downward trend. This uncertainty, combined with an overall positive market sentiment, is putting pressure on the traditionally safe-haven Yen. Moreover, the recent widening of the yield gap between US and Japanese government bonds—intensified by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance—further contributes to the Yen's decline. As the Fed signals a more aggressive monetary policy, the lower-yielding Yen becomes less attractive to investors. In terms of market outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of this bearish trend for the Yen against the Dollar. USD/JPY Previous Idea as reference: ✅ Please share your thoughts about JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6J1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
WHAT MOVES LIES AHEAD OF GOLD?FUNDAMENTAL VIEW It’s a quiet week on the economic calendar as the holiday spirit takes center stage, but gold remains in focus. What moves lie ahead for the precious metal? From a fundamental perspective, the FED’s recent 25bps rate cut, paired with a cautious stance on future rate changes, has influenced gold prices. Furthermore, softer U.S inflation data for November has also weakened the dollar and lowered Treasury yields. Hence providing support for gold. This week, markets will keep an eye on U.S. consumer confidence data later today at 7 PM GMT+4. Tomorrow, December 24, 2024, key releases include Core durable goods, durable goods, new home sales, and the Richmond manufacturing index. On Thursday, the weekly unemployment claims are expected, with a forecast of 218K. These and other economic indicators could impact gold prices, given their inverse relationship with the dollar. TECHNICAL VIEW On the daily timeframe, the price is struggling and currently trading below the 50 period EMA at $2,640.493, showing a -28% decrease today after a brief uptick during the Asian session, following significant losses last week. The price is currently leaning bearish, with a potential target at $2,582.181. If this level is broken, the next support targets could be $2,553.488 and $2,489.954. Alternatively, if bullish momentum takes over, the price could rise to $2,655.962, followed by $2,722.389 and then $2,787.129.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce to USD – Issue 235The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
XAU/USD - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabGold (XAU/USD) has swept liquidity above a key resistance zone, creating a strategic sell limit setup. This price action indicates a potential bearish reversal as smart money absorbs buying pressure. Key Observations: Liquidity Sweep: The price surged above a significant resistance level, clearing stop-losses and trapping buyers in the process. Market Structure: Emerging bearish rejection signals, such as wicks and declining momentum, suggest a potential shift to the downside. Optimal Entry: A sell limit at is positioned to capitalize on the anticipated reversal. Trade Plan: Entry: Sell limit at , aligned with the liquidity grab. Stop Loss: Placed above the recent liquidity sweep to manage risk. Take Profit: Targeting support levels at for a favorable risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: This trade setup leverages the liquidity grab for a high-probability reversal, but disciplined risk management and careful position sizing are crucial. Monitor price action for confirmation of bearish intent before executing the trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Vusizwe_Capital
XAUUSD Accumulation almost over. Strong rally expected to $3000.XAUUSD (Gold) is having the market worried lately as it hasn't made a new High since October 30. Instead it has been consolidating since the November 14 Low and even broke below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) last week. This is far from alarming though, as the long-term pattern remains a Channel Up since the October 06 2023 bottom and in fact the current level presents a strong long-term buy opportunity as a Higher Low formation of the pattern. As you can see, each of the 3 Bullish Legs of the Channel Up have rallied by around +20% but first they consolidated after first breaking below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for 1 month. Even the RSI sequences between their fractals are identical. As a result, we believe that Gold may start the new Bullish Leg (4th) as early as late this week or next one and rally by at least +18.65% (rise of Bullish Leg 1), targeting $3000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by TradingShot
My Best analysis Gold (CFDs) 45-Minute Technical Analysis Current Price: $2,626.73 The chart shows a strong resistance zone at $2,629 - $2,630, where the price has faced repeated rejections. Potential Trading Strategy: 1. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to sustain above the resistance zone and starts dropping, the first potential target is $2,617.45. The second major support level is at $2,607.15. A further decline could push the price toward $2,596.77. 2. Confirmation Needed: Wait for the price to break below the resistance zone with a bearish candle confirmation before entering a trade. To manage risk, place a stop loss above the resistance zone. This analysis is based on technical factors, and it’s essential to adjust your strategy based on evolving market conditions.
TVC:GOLD
by LunaTrader_SingnalsProvider
1
XAUUSD - Gold will welcome the holidays?!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1-hour time frame and is trading in its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid failure of the bottom of the channel, we can see the continuation of gold's decline and seeing the demand zone. Within the demand range of demand, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If the upward movement continues, gold can be sold in the supply zone. Without a doubt, 2024 has been the year of the US dollar. While high inflation continued to spread across Europe and other parts of the world in 2023, the Federal Reserve reported progress in controlling price growth. Similar to last year, other central banks have been more proactive in reducing interest rates, but the slow pace of inflation containment has delayed the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting process. Federal Reserve officials now anticipate only two 0.25% interest rate cuts in 2025. As a result, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will maintain a tighter monetary stance compared to other major central banks, except for the Bank of Japan, which is currently increasing its interest rates. This decision follows previous rate cuts implemented earlier this year, including a 50-basis-point reduction in September and a 25-basis-point cut in November. Overall, these measures have resulted in a full 1% decrease in the benchmark rate, signaling a shift in the Federal Reserve’s approach to the current economic environment. By lowering interest rates, the Federal Reserve aims to stimulate consumption while continuing to monitor inflationary pressures. Although these pressures have generally subsided, they have slightly risen in recent months. Nonetheless, the decision to reduce rates could benefit borrowers by lowering consumer interest rates, making it more affordable to buy homes, secure personal loans, or borrow funds in other areas. However, the implications extend beyond lending. Adjustments to the Federal Reserve’s interest rates could create a complex environment for investors, particularly those drawn to traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Historically, the relationship between interest rates and gold prices has been inversely proportional. Lower rates typically increase gold valuations, as the reduced cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold makes it more appealing, thereby driving up demand and prices. However, it is crucial to understand that the impact of interest rate decisions on gold prices operates within a broader network of interconnected factors beyond monetary policy. For investors considering adding gold to their portfolios, understanding this broader context is essential. In addition to Federal Reserve policies, one key driver of the gold market is central bank purchases, particularly by emerging economies seeking to diversify their reserves. These purchases have recently reached historic levels, providing substantial support for gold prices. Global trade tensions, supply chain disruptions, and evolving industrial demand—especially from technology and renewable energy sectors—also add layers of complexity to the gold market. In the first quarter of this year, India’s central bank recorded a net purchase of 77 tons of gold, followed by Turkey’s central bank with 72 tons, increasing the share of gold in its foreign reserves to 34%. Poland, with a purchase of 69 tons, was the third-largest buyer, while China, traditionally the largest gold buyer in recent years, ranked fourth with less than 30 tons. BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has predicted in its 2025 global outlook report that the coming year will be marked by increased geopolitical fragmentation and the formation of rival economic and political blocs. These developments are likely to accelerate the trend of de-dollarization and bolster gold purchases. Moreover, the strength of the US dollar continues to play a crucial role in gold pricing. However, factors such as relative economic growth rates, trade balances, and international capital flows can overshadow this influence.For instance, the dollar may strengthen if major economies face significant challenges or if investors seek safe-haven currencies during market turmoil—even in a rate-cut environment. Inflation expectations also strongly influence the gold market. While moderate inflation typically supports gold as a store of value, extreme inflation may shift investment patterns, potentially reducing demand if other assets offer higher returns. Changes in consumer demand, particularly from major gold-buying countries, can also impact prices. Additionally, seasonal trends, such as increased gold purchases during festivals or weddings in these countries, may contribute to price fluctuations. Finally, US President Joe Biden signed a budget bill that will fund the government until mid-March next year, preventing a year-end shutdown. This legislation, recently approved by both the House of Representatives and the Senate, ensures government operations continue until the beginning of Donald Trump’s presidency next year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Gold is Ready to Break Resistance lines!!!Gold attacked a Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) yesterday, as I expected . Gold is starting to rise from the Heavy Support zone($2,605-$2,584) and breaking the First Resistance lines . According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold managed to complete wave 5 so that wave 5 was Truncated . I expect Gold to attack the Downtrend line and the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) after breaking the First resistance lines . ⚠️Note: If Gold goes below $2,600, we should expect more Dumps⚠️. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
17
XAUUSD - what will happen before the Holiday season?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for before the Holiday season starts. Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair. We are still following the sell bias we have published. XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2625 with lower volume than usual. Scenario 1: SELLS from 2620 That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2620 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2604 or 2600 flat. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590. Scenario 2: BUYS from 2638 We broke above 2638 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 2666 which was also an important KL (Key Level) before. Personal opinion: The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 2620 or a safe buy at the breaks of 2638. Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair. For now we are sticking to the sell bias from the long-term overview. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD breaking below 2620 would confirm sells down to 2604 - 2600. - XAUUSD breaking above 2638 would confirm further buys up to 2666. - Volume is lower as the business year is coming to an end and Holiday season is about to start. Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you. Happy Holidays! Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
1