Gold Short from 3335 to 3235 Gold has gone up outside my band and volume off lower than what took us initially outside the band. I expect a retrace back to 3235 before we do a dead cat bounce and the proper fall begins.
Futures market
Gold Trading Zones: 17-APRIL-2025Gold trading made easier: Explore today's zones and refine your strategy.
Gold reaches a very strong overbought levelNew all-time record for the GOLD
Gold has broken through $3300 per ounce, with a market capitalization now of $22,000 billion, i.e. above China's GDP ($18,000 billion) and close to that of the USA ($27,700 billion). It is now the best-performing major asset since the start of the year among all asset classes, with an increase of over 20%. This massive uptrend was triggered by a technical signal given in February 2024, when the former all-time high of $2075 was surpassed.
But today, a real question needs to be asked: should we take profits? The most ambitious technical targets have almost all been reached, and gold has not paused on the stock market since autumn 2024.
Gold has been supported since 2022 by a combination of fundamental factors
- Global geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty, which has activated the safe-haven aspect of gold to the detriment of risky stock market assets such as equities
- Demand for gold from Central Banks, which has been a constant support in recent years
- The fall in the value of the US dollar on the foreign exchange market (see Swissquote's analysis of the US dollar, which is linked to this GOLD update)
- Lower interest rates at major central banks
- Solid upward momentum in physical gold demand in India and China
- Strong financial demand for gold, with substantial inflows into Gold ETFs in the USA, Asia and Europe
On the technical front, monthly momentum indicators are showing extreme overbought conditions, which may seem excessive, but no bearish divergence has yet appeared.
We must therefore remain attentive, but not yet jump to conclusions about the end of the bullish cycle. At the current price, GOLD is clearly in a phase of high bullish maturity, and closer to the end of the bull cycle than the beginning.
An analysis of the history of the gold price on the stock market shows that it alternates between 10-year bullish cycles and pauses lasting several years. There's no point in anticipating the end of the current bullish cycle; we need to wait for a clear technical signal to take profit.
In other words: no sell signal yet, but technical vigilance required at these levels.
There's also the question of Bitcoin, an asset often perceived as "digital gold". Against this backdrop of inflation and monetary uncertainty, arbitrage between BTC and GOLD remains a major factor to consider. Movements in cryptos can reinforce (or weaken) the attractiveness of gold, depending on the positioning of institutional portfolios. It's not a simple opposition, but a balancing act that can influence GOLD's medium-term trend.
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The price of gold is skyrocketing!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Thursday (April 17), spot gold rose slightly, once hitting a record high of around $3,357 per ounce. As the trade situation became increasingly tense, investors turned to safe-haven assets. The chairman of the Federal Reserve admitted that economic growth was slowing down, and the U.S. stock market, the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields fell sharply, which also provided momentum for the rise of gold prices. International gold prices soared dramatically, and the London gold price broke through the $3,300 per ounce mark and set a new high. Gold still has strong support, including a weaker U.S. dollar, uncertainty about tariff news, and concerns about a global recession. The escalating tensions between the world's two largest economies have hit confidence in financial markets, and investors have begun to flock to assets such as gold for risk aversion. At the same time, the U.S. dollar fell against other major currencies and remained at a nearly three-year low hit last week, meaning that gold has become relatively cheap for buyers holding foreign currencies. This trading day will usher in the European Central Bank's interest rate decision, and the market generally expects a 25 basis point drop; in addition, the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the initial value of the annualized total number of building permits in the United States in March, and the annualized total number of new housing starts in the United States in March will also be released, and investors need to pay attention to them. Friday is the Good Friday holiday, and investors also need to be wary of brokers' position adjustments before the holiday.
Technical Review:
Trends are king. Whether you believe it or not, do it or not, gold continues to set new historical highs, soaring, and soaring. The price continues to run in the trend structure, the buying trend structure is intact, and the daily line continues to close strongly! However, it is necessary to pay attention to the daily price reaching the upper track of the Bollinger band, the four-hour chart is 9 consecutive positive, and the RSI indicator is overbought above the 80 value. It is necessary to pay attention to the emergence of a high-rise and fall-back wash trend. Buy at a low price and wait for a callback to the relative low point layout. At present, gold has basically rushed to the sky. In April, you can basically see the fluctuation range of gold within 70-100 points every day. In this market, you say that fixed points are sometimes fleeting, and the optimistic resistance is like paper that can be broken at the touch of a button. So is gold really going to the sky? I can only say that under such favorable conditions, it is really difficult to see gold fall! From a macro level, the daily chart gold price has formed a lasting upward trend since the low of $2536.68. The current price is around $3350, which is significantly higher than all major moving averages, indicating that the long-term bullish momentum is still strong. The golden cross pattern of the MACD indicator on the daily chart continues to develop, indicating that the long-term trend momentum is still upward. This year, the trend cannot be changed. There is a callback squat or sideways consolidation, which are all bullish opportunities; So once the big positive K is closed today, the retracement above the top and bottom support of 3315 will continue to be bullish. As for the height, the third derivative wave of the monthly line is calculated at 3444 by 2 times, which is also the goal of the next stage.
Today's analysis:
Gold has been crazy recently, and the buying momentum of gold has been galloping all the way. In the past two days, I woke up every day and opened my eyes. Gold has reached a new high again. The buying power of gold is very strong. It was bought at 3342 in the Asian session and harvested at 3355. Although gold is crazy now, we should also pay attention to the purchase of gold at any time. The current trend of gold buying has not changed. Continue to buy when it falls in the Asian session. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be a golden cross and the upward buying divergence arrangement. It is difficult for gold to have a big correction if it is strong. After gold began to fall and fluctuate and adjust at the line near 3315 yesterday, gold continued to break upward in the US session. Then the short-term 3315 of gold will form support again. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 3315. If gold falls back to around 3320, it can continue to buy. Before there is no particularly obvious sign of a sharp decline, buying has become our only choice, and it is also the best and safest choice! While being bullish, pay attention to the opportunity to fall back. Unless the strength is suddenly strong at that time, don't buy easily. Wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. How long can gold buying be crazy? No one knows that there is no top when it rises. Since gold is so crazy, what we have to do is follow it. It is difficult for gold to fall sharply before a large-scale sell signal appears!
O peration ideas:
Short-term gold 3317-3320 buy, stop loss 3308, target 3360-3380;
Short-term gold 3387-3390 sell, stop loss 3398, target 3340-3330;
Key points:
First support level: 3340, second support level: 3332, third support level: 3315
First resistance level: 3363, second resistance level: 3377, third resistance level: 3386
Silver Ascending TriangleA triangle that extends waayyy back into the 1900s
Price should break out of this triangle in a magnificent way
Should follow gold in my opinion
Monthly chart
WTI - BUY
Something to consider
A return to previous levels
Gap to be filled at $69.965 on MT4
Elliot Wave Projections
64.142
68.302
News
🛢️ Oil Situation Right Now
Oil prices are rising for the week.
Main reasons:
U.S. added fresh sanctions on Iran → tighter oil supply fears.
OPEC members are cutting production → reduces global supply.
⚡ Bottom Line:
Less oil available globally → prices up.
Sanctions + OPEC cuts = Bullish for oil short-term.
Lets See : )
Gold’s Path to New All-Time Highs – AB=CD Pattern in Play!📌 Key Insights:
✅ #Gold remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs.
✅ On the 1D timeframe, an AB=CD pattern is developing, signaling potential continuation.
✅ No bearish signs are evident, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
✅ A possible retest of previous highs & B-leg could offer a prime buy opportunity before a breakout.
📈 Trade Plan:
📍 Entry: Near the B-leg or previous highs upon confirmation.
🎯 Target: New all-time highs.
📉 Stop-Loss: Below key support levels to manage risk.
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
🖼️ Attach a well-annotated chart highlighting:
The AB=CD structure
Support/resistance zones
Potential entry & exit levels
Engagement Strategy:
Would you like me to refine this further or add a specific trading strategy? 🚀
XAU/USD(20250417) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3224
Support and resistance levels:
3247
3238
3233
3215
3209
3200
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3233, consider buying, the first target price is 3247
If the price breaks through 3224, consider selling, the first target price is 3215Market news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3224
Support and resistance levels:
3247
3238
3233
3215
3209
3200
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3233, consider buying, the first target price is 3247
If the price breaks through 3224, consider selling, the first target price is 3215
Bull I believe the market is going to fill the imbalance and then continue with its trend . Witch is bull.
Bull,The market is respecting my green trend line , so let’s see if it breaks my red counter trend line or if it respects it and goes down or it breaks my red counter trend line and continues up let’s see.
"SOYBEAN" Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the 🥔🍀🍃SOYBEAN🍃🥔🍀 Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe nearest or swing low or high level for pullback entries.
Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (1015) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 1060 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join Day traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
🥔🍀🍃"SOYBEAN"🍃🥔🍀Commodities CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Seasonal Factors, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets and Overall outlook score..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
"SoyBeans" Commodities CFD Market Robbery Plan (Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SoyBeans" Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (975.0) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (1015.0) Swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 935.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
🥔🍀🍃"SoyBeans" Commodities CFD Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Seasonal Factors, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold is bullish but not high, but be careful to adjust the risk!
📌 Driving Event
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a clear statement at the Chicago Economic Club on Wednesday (April 16) that he would wait for more economic data to be released before deciding the direction of interest rate adjustment. He particularly emphasized that the recent market volatility is a reasonable response to the Trump administration's tariff policy, and bluntly denied the possibility of "Federal Reserve support". This hawkish speech directly led to
the expansion of the decline in US stocks and the continued surge in gold.
The US dollar index has risen in the past two days, and with the increase in tariff policies, there will be no unfavorable factors if the game between major powers does not stop.
📊 Commentary Analysis
Gold continued to rise unilaterally in the past two days, especially the full-day increase of more than 100 US dollars on Wednesday, which almost beat the shorts without any ability to fight back. At present, gold continues to rise and fall, setting new highs, and there is no way to see where the high point is in this rally. For the current market, the only effective trading strategy is to go long on the decline and continue to be bullish. If there is no adjustment and decline space, it is better not to trade.
Even if you are bullish today, you should be aware that there will be room for adjustment at any time. If it falls below 3320, it will not be very strong. If it falls below 3280, gold may fall in retaliation. Therefore, don't be too bullish today and pay attention to the risk of high gold prices. Moreover, Friday is Good Friday, and the US market will be closed for one day. Beware of the risk of closing positions after long positions are profited. 🔶Personal
💰Strategy
Long position:
Gold is long near 3330-35, defend near 3320 area, and target 3360
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GoldXAUUSD
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves
- Break of Structure
- RSI - Divergence
- Demand Zone
- Change of Characteristics
