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XAU/USD Bearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target 3350Trend Overview 📉 Downtrend in Play Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354 Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86) Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum. Key Zones & Levels 🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance) 📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41 Strong selling pressure expected here Possible short entry if price gets rejected 🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support) 📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210 Price has previously bounced here 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit) 📍 $3,050 Clear support level – used as a profit target Trade Setup – Bearish Bias 🟩 Entry Point 📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone) 🛑 Stop Loss ❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line) ✅ Take Profit 💰 Target $3,050 ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades. Summary 🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone 💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers 📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Jameshead007
Gold is also hesitating whether to break the position or not. It is not unfair to say that gold fluctuates slowly. I mentioned in my article yesterday that it depends on the closing level of gold. Different closings represent different meanings. 3235 was treated as the standard watershed on that day. As a result, gold fluctuated sideways in the afternoon despite the rebound of US stocks. In terms of the daily structure, it closed with a middle-yin candle with a lower shadow, and closed flat at 3235. There is more than 200 points of pressure above, and it can close flat, which means that gold does have something. Of course, just closing flat does not completely mean that gold bulls are back. It can only be said that bulls are still in the market and have not completely fled. Then it is normal for gold to rebound after testing 3200 again and receiving support. There are also reasons in terms of market sentiment. Judging from the main speculative sentiment report, it has been a long-term horizontal bullish trend. From the perspective of capital sentiment, global stock markets were soaring on Monday. The easing of the trade war between the world's two major economies encouraged funds to no longer simply entrench themselves in gold and began to bloom in multiple directions. That being said, let's count them: 91% of retaliatory tariffs were canceled; 24% of reciprocal tariffs were suspended for 90 days; 20% of fentanyl tariffs were not mentioned; 10% of universal tariffs remained the same. The current retained tariffs are still very high, and they will inevitably leave traces in the economy, such as stagflation effects such as price increases and economic slowdown. In this way, the temporary easing is actually still on the surface and has not really solved the fundamental differences that led to the dispute. The most important thing is that the US trade deficit with China still exists. It is impossible to reshape the sweater relationship between the two sides in the short term. Any disturbance during this period will directly affect the attitude of safe-haven funds. Especially the CPI data released by the US market tonight, the expected value of the unadjusted CPI annual rate in April is the same as the previous value of 2.4%, and the monthly rate is relatively high. At this time, there is a basic problem. April has entered the battle of tariffs. Throughout April, the market has regarded gold as a lifeline. For example, when you see that daily necessities are about to be taxed and raised in price, what will you do? Right, so if nothing unexpected happens, inflation caused by tariffs will rise. The good thing is that in terms of energy in April, the price of crude oil is straight down, so it offsets part of inflation. In principle, the impact of this announcement should be small. As for the core data, I personally think that it will rise compared with the previous value, that is, no matter how it is collected, there will be a limited situation of favorable factors. After the midday trading, gold once probed upward and has tested the resistance level of 3260. I just calculated gold. It is originally adjusted by fundamentals, so it is still treated as an adjustment, that is, rebound and open short, or break and follow up. Secondly, draw a channel according to the four-hour chart, and combine it with Fibonacci. Pay attention to 77-91 in the middle track of the Bollinger Band. If a reversal signal appears in this range, you can consider entering the market based on the signal to see a decline. At that time, you need to pay attention to 3219 and 3207 below. If the integer level is broken, you can also consider further lowering the gold target to the range of 3160±10. Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
TVC:GOLDShort
by Yuliya1l11
The Yen’s Comeback Starts Here—and it Seems the COT Knew First1. Introduction: A Market Everyone Gave Up On For a while, the Japanese Yen looked like a lost cause. After topping out in early 2021, Yen futures (6J1!) began an unrelenting slide, shedding value week after week like an old coat in spring. Traders stopped asking, “Where’s support?” and started asking, “How low can it go?” The macro backdrop didn’t help. The Bank of Japan clung to ultra-loose monetary policy, even as the Fed hiked aggressively. Speculators piled on shorts. The Yen was a one-way ticket down, and no one seemed interested in punching the brakes. But beneath that apathy, a quieter shift was underway. While price kept bleeding, trader positioning began to hint at something different—something the chart didn’t show yet. And if you were watching the Commitments of Traders (COT) report closely enough, you might’ve seen it. 2. The COT Trend That No One Was Watching The COT report isn’t glamorous. It’s slow, lagging by a few days, and rarely makes headlines. But for those who track what the big players are doing—those large enough to be required to report their positions—it’s a treasure trove of subtle clues. One of those clues is Total Reportable Positions. This metric tells us how active large market participants really are—regardless of whether they’re long or short. When that number is dropping, it suggests the “big dogs” are losing interest. When it starts climbing again? Someone’s gearing up to play. From 2021 through most of 2024, Total Reportable Positions in 6J were in a steady decline—mirroring the slow death of the Yen's bullish case. But in late 2024, something changed. Using a simple linear regression channel on this COT data, a clear breakout emerged. Positioning was picking up again—for the first time in nearly three years. And it wasn’t just a bounce. It was a structural shift. 3. Did Price Listen? Yes—and no. Price didn't immediately explode higher. But the structure began to change. The market stopped making new lows. Weekly closes began to cluster above support. And importantly, a Zig Zag analysis started marking a pattern of higher lows—the first signs of accumulation. Here’s where the chart really gets interesting: the timing of the COT breakout coincided almost perfectly with a key UFO support at 0.0065425—a price level that also marked the bottom in COT Traders Total Reportable Longs. This adds a powerful layer of confirmation: institutional orders weren’t just showing up in the data—they were leaving footprints on the chart. And above? There’s a UFO resistance level at 0.0075395. If the Yen continues to climb, that could be a significant price level where early longs may choose to lighten up. 4. The Contract Behind the Story Before we go deeper, let’s talk about what you’re actually trading when you pull the trigger on Yen Futures. The CME Japanese Yen futures (6J) contract represents 12.5 million Japanese Yen, and each tick move—just 0.0000005 per JPY—is worth $6.25. It’s precise, it’s liquid, and for traders who like to build macro positions or take advantage of carry flows, it’s a staple. As of May 2025, margin requirements hover around ~$3,800 (Always double-check with your broker or clearing firm—these numbers shift from time to time.) But maybe you’re not managing seven-figure accounts. Maybe you just want to test this setup with more flexibility. That’s where the Micro JPY/USD Futures (MJY) come in. Contract size: 1/10th the size of 6J Tick move: 0.000001 per JPY increment = $1.25 Same market structure, tighter margin requirement around ~$380 per contract Important note: The COT report aggregates positioning across the whole futures market—it doesn’t separate out micro traders from full-size. So yes, the data still applies. And yes, it still matters. 5. Lessons from the Shift This isn’t about hindsight bias. The value in this setup isn’t that the Yen happened to bounce—it’s how Total Reportable Positions broke trend before price did. Here are the real takeaways: COT data may or may not be predictive—but it is insightful. When positioning starts expanding after a long contraction, it often signals renewed interest or risk-taking. That’s tradable information. Technical support and resistance as well as highs and lows give context. Without them, COT breakouts can feel theoretical. With them, you have real, observable UFO levels where institutions may act—and where you can plan. 6. Watchlist Insights: Where This Might Work Again You don’t have to wait for another yen setup to apply this framework. The same structure can help you scout for early positioning shifts across the CME product universe. Here’s a simple filter to start building your own COT watchlist: ✅ Look for markets where: Price has been in a long, clean downtrend (or uptrend) Total Reportable Positions are falling—but starting to reverse A breakout occurs in positioning trend (draw a regression channel and watch for a clean violation) A key support or resistance lines up with recent extremes in COT positioning Whether it's crude oil, corn, or euro FX, this template gives you a framework for exploration. 🎯 Want to See More Setups Like This? We’re just getting started. If this breakdown opened your eyes to new ways of using COT reports, UFO levels, and multi-dimensional trade setups, keep watching this space. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6J1!Education
by traddictiv
Gold prices continue to fallGold, this round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500 to 3202, and is currently in the second round of downward cycle after rebounding to 3438; affected by the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations, it opened low and went down on Monday. The article emphasizes that the initial target for the future market is to look back at 3260-3202; it actually fell to 3208 on Monday, and the daily chart recorded a large real negative, and the K-line combination was short. The short-term idea is maintained in the future market, and the target is adjusted to 3202-3168;
FX:XAUUSDShort
by hgyesi
Can I buy the bottom when gold plummets?Technical analysis of gold: Affected by the optimistic news about Sino-US trade, spot gold opened sharply lower, and then the price of gold further declined. The current price of gold is around 3226 US dollars per ounce, and it has plunged nearly 110 US dollars in the day. Since the opening of gold, it has jumped down to 3275, and then rebounded to 3292, and then began to fall. As of now, gold has touched 3216 and then fluctuated upward. The bulls are temporarily suppressed. We still focus on rebounding and shorting. After all, the general trend is bearish. The upper 3280-3290 line is the main short-term suppression level at present. If the rebound is not broken, it can continue to be short. The short position may continue to reach a new low. Pay attention to the support of the 3200 mark. Due to the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly in the morning. The plunge we expected last week came ahead of schedule. The plunge we expected last week came directly ahead of time. There was a technical gap above the early trading. Therefore, it is not recommended to blindly chase shorts at the moment. It is more reasonable to consider after filling the gap. From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If the market stabilizes below 3200, then this is a big double top, and the next decline will extend to the vicinity of the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again! Therefore, in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now, and it is recommended to wait for the fall back to the 3200-3210 area to stabilize and buy! On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus will be on the first-line resistance of 3280-3290, and the bottom short-term will focus on the first-line support of 3200-3202. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3280-3290, stop loss 10 points, target around 3250-3230, and look at the 3200 line if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3200-3203, stop loss 10 points, target around 3230-3250, and look at the 3280 line if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
1
NASDAQ - continue with the UptrendOn NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 20150. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. (FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Trader_Dale
Can I buy the bottom when gold plummets?Affected by the optimistic news about Sino-US trade, spot gold opened sharply lower, and then the price of gold further declined. The current price of gold is around 3226 US dollars per ounce, and it has plunged nearly 110 US dollars in the day. Since the opening of gold, it has opened lower at 3275, and rebounded to 3292, and then began to fall. As of now, gold has hit 3216 as the lowest and then fluctuated upward. The bulls are temporarily suppressed. We still focus on rebounding and shorting. After all, the general trend is mainly bearish. The upper 3280-3290 line is the main short-term suppression level. If the rebound is not broken, it can continue to short. The short position may continue to reach a new low. Pay attention to the support of the 3200 mark.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by hgyesi
Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025 🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297. Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive. 📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside. 🔴 Potential Sell Zones • 3272–3287 Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI. Watch for early rejection if price spikes here. • 3292–3308 HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade. • 3315–3330 Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY. 🟢 Potential Buy Zones • 3220–3240 Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity. • 3170–3190 Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement. ⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3. This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan. 🧠 Final Note The zone is never the trade. The behavior inside is. Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Tariff War Easing Signals: Gold Trend Analysis for Next WeekSince the issue of tariffs broke out, the development of the situation has not been in line with the expectations of the US government. In the face of the escalating trade frictions, the senior officials of the United States have released signals of easing through multiple channels and repeatedly expressed their willingness to hold negotiations with China on issues such as tariffs. After a prudent assessment, China, proceeding from the overall situation of maintaining the stability of bilateral economic and trade relations and promoting the healthy development of the global economy, has decided to engage with the United States. In fact, there are no real winners in the ongoing standoff of the tariff war. As the world's two largest economies, only by reaching a relatively appropriate solution through negotiation can the fundamental interests of both China and the United States be met. This positive development is bound to significantly reduce the market's risk aversion sentiment. As a traditional safe-haven asset, the price of gold will also be under downward pressure accordingly. From the perspective of technical analysis, the weekly chart of gold shows that although there was a strong upward pull at the beginning of this week, the daily chart has formed a "big yang front resistance line" pattern. This classic technical pattern indicates that the bullish momentum is close to exhaustion, and the subsequent downside risks have intensified. It is expected that the price of gold will further decline next week. The first support level should be focused on around $3,270. If this level is broken, the price of gold may continue to decline and seek support at the $3,200 level. Investors need to closely monitor the progress of the China-US negotiations and the dynamics of the gold market and adjust their investment strategies rationally. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_01
4
Gold Will be Bullish from a Historic Support LevelHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
DeGRAM | GOLD trend line breakout📊 Technical Analysis ● Price printed successive lower highs (LH) inside the descending channel and has just broken back below the blue corrective trend‑line. ● Fresh acceptance under the 3 260 points to a slide toward the lower rail at 3 200, with scope to probe the March floor near 3 100; bias flips only on a 4 h close back above 3 300. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● A hotter‑than‑expected US CPI (3.5 % y/y) lifted 10‑yr yields to 4.50  %, reviving bets that the Fed may delay cuts, which firmed the USD and spurred ETF outflows from bullion. ✨ Summary Lower highs + rising US yields favour a short‑term short in XAU/USD: targets 3 200 → 3 100, risk managed above 3 300. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
1
Will gold fall after encountering resistance at its high point?Planning your trading is the prerequisite for making profits. The essence of the market is the cycle of highs and lows, alternating ups and downs, and the essence of trading is to grasp the relative highs and lows in the market and snipe valuable trading opportunities. This value has only two points: first, probability, and second, space. After the gold price rose, we will analyze the trend of it correcting from the high to 3200. The key position of this rebound, that is, the 618 position, is near 3386. The gold price encountered resistance here in the morning. So technically this suppression can be used as a key reference for the future market. Today in the Asian session, we will first observe the support situation of 3350. If it breaks down, then before the interest rate decision in the early hours of Thursday, we will pay attention to whether the gold price can stand firmly above 3272. If this position is not stable, then the second half of the week will still be a downtrend. This wave of rise can only be regarded as a rebound repair, not a bull return (the premise is that 3386 above must not be broken). Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the 3386-3390 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3320-3300 first-line support. All friends must keep up with the rhythm. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3380-3385, stop loss 6 points, target around 3350-3330, and look at 3320 if it breaks; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3315-3320, stop loss 6 points, target around 3340-3360, and look at 3380 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
The latest gold price range: 3275-3220The latest gold price range: 3275-3220 The four-hour structure chart shows: At present, the gold price continues to be driven by the Asian session, fluctuating upward, forming a new local triangle structure range. Small oscillation structure range: 3275-3220 1: The gold price trend has shown a double-top M structure right oscillation range. 2: In the short term, the gold price will be treated with the idea of ​​shorting within the oscillation range. 3: As long as the gold price is above 3220, it will be long on dips. 4: As long as the gold price is below 3275, it will be treated with the idea of ​​shorting on rallies. 5: The gold price range fluctuates widely: 3200-3350 (this week may become the oscillation range of the gold price, and this range will be regarded as a short-term price breakthrough expectation). 6: Once the gold price falls below 3200, it may usher in a trend change from long to short.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Louisa00112
GOLD Eiffel Tower M pattern now completeI have been posting gold charts since February 2024. Both Bullish and GTFO charts. See below. This current setup has presented a great risk-reward setup. 1. GTFO still remains firmly in place. 2. The lower high M pattern could be setting up for a corrective bull flag for more upside. If the Eiffel Tower plays out. You will not be involved. If the corrective pattern plays out, you will have a clear, solid buy signal. Click Boost, Follow and Subscribe for more updated data and info. Let's get to 5,000! ;))
FX:XAUUSD
by RealMacro
GOLD Great Buying Opportunity! Long! Hello,Traders! GOLD is making a nice Bearish correction but we Are bullish biased so as the Price is about to hit a support Cluster of the rising and Horizontal support lines Around 3171$ area we will Be looking to enter a Swing long trade on Gold Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart. I see that if we break and close above the marked area on the chart.. I would consider taking a long positions. Always the same strategy.. Secure 30 pips in profit ( high leverage account), I close 75% of the trade's profit, move my Stop Loss to break even ( my entry point), and leave a runner running( the remaining 25% of the trade). 3 trades a day max, win or lose. This is how you win. That is a Raja Banks strategy, not mine. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. Let's see how the NY open goes in 30 minutes from now. Trump is in the house.. We should start seeing some more truthful numbers when posted.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Equities Start the Week HigherTrade talks were front and center starting off the week, and the equity markets saw sharp increases with the Nasdaq leading the way higher, being up over 4% on the session with the S&P and Russel also up over 3%. The U.S. and China agreed to a 90-day pause on tariffs, and traders had been waiting for news about this since the initial breakdown in early April. While equities saw gains, the Gold market saw selling pressure being down over 3% today, and now over $200 below the recent all time high. The CME Fed Watch Tool probabilities have also been changing over the past week, where the July meeting now has a higher probability of another rate pause instead of a rate cut. The market is now pricing in the first rate cut to come at the September meeting at a near 50% probability. Tomorrow traders will see CPI numbers come out, offering data on inflation which could also add volatility to the equity and precious metals markets. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by CME_Group