"Gold’s War Cry: XAUUSD Eyes $3700 Amid Middle East Turmoil"PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Gold is once again stepping into the spotlight as global markets reel from escalating geopolitical tensions. With President Trump confirming a full-scale U.S. airstrike on Iran’s nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan—the world is bracing for potential retaliation and broader instability.
In times like these, gold doesn’t just shine—it roars.
📈 My Bias: Strongly Bullish
🎯 Targets:
- Primary: $3500
- Extended: $3700
These levels are not just technical aspirations—they’re grounded in the reality of rising global risk aversion, central bank accumulation, and a potential flight to safety as the Middle East teeters on the edge of wider conflict.
🔍 Key Technical Zone:
- $3341–$3352: This is my immediate area of interest. I expect a pullback into this zone on market open, which could offer a high-probability long setup.
- Break Below? If price slices through this zone, I’ll be watching the $3330–$3320 demand area for signs of absorption and reversal.
🧠 Macro Context:
- The U.S. strike marks a historic escalation, with Trump declaring the nuclear sites “completely and totally obliterated”.
- Iran’s expected retaliation could further destabilize the region, fueling safe haven flows into gold.
- Central banks remain net buyers of gold, and with inflation still lurking, real yields remain a key driver.
📊 Confluence Factors:
- Rising volume on bullish candles
- RSI holding above 50 on higher timeframes
- DXY showing signs of topping out
- VIX creeping higher—risk-off sentiment brewing
📌 Final Thoughts:
Gold is no longer just a hedge—it’s becoming a statement. In a world where headlines move markets, XAUUSD is poised to benefit from both fear and fundamentals. I’ll be watching price action closely at the open, ready to strike if the setup aligns.
Futures market
USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has eased geopolitical tensions, exerting downward pressure on oil prices. Meanwhile, market rumors suggest the U.S. may ease sanctions on Iran, and China will continue purchasing Iranian crude, further intensifying the downtrend.
Data from U.S. oil services firm Baker Hughes shows the number of active crude oil rigs in the U.S. decreased by 1 to 438 in the week ending June 20, reflecting changes in crude production to some extent.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
USOIL prices have fallen sharply from the high of $76.00 and are currently hovering near $65.00, approaching the S2 pivot point at around $64.69 and the 4-hour 200-period moving average. The prior appearance of a long candlestick may signal short-term support.
Bullish scenario: If more bullish candles follow, oil prices may rebound to $70.00.
Trading Strategy :
Prioritize long positions on pullbacks.
buy@64-64.5
TP:66-67
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S&P500: Target Zone DeactivatedThe S&P 500 extended its bullish trend yesterday, moving beyond our now-deactivated (formerly magenta) Target Zone. Existing positions remain intact, as the stop set 1% above the upper boundary has not been triggered. In our updated primary scenario, we anticipate continued upward movement within magenta wave (B), potentially reaching the resistance at 6675 points. Once this peak is established, we expect a corrective decline to begin in the form of wave (C), which should guide the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4988 and 4763 points. There, the larger green wave is expected to complete. A sustained breakout above the 6675-point level would shift the outlook in favor of the alternative scenario. In that case, green wave alt. would be considered complete—a trajectory we currently assign a probability of 40%.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
How to Trade When Buy/Sell Alerts Conflict with Market StructureQuestion:
If we have a buy/sell alert and an opposing Market Structure, how can we tell which will prevail or is heavier?
Answer (VX Algo System perspective):
In the VX Algo system, both the alert signals (buy/sell) and the market structure are crucial, but they serve different roles:
Alerts are dynamic triggers based on price action, momentum, or specific algorithmic conditions. They indicate potential entry or exit points.
Market Structure reflects the broader trend and underlying order flow, indicating the prevailing direction of the market (e.g., higher highs and higher lows for bullish structure, or lower highs and lower lows for bearish structure).
When an alert contradicts the prevailing market structure, the heavier factor is usually the Market Structure because it represents the dominant order flow and sentiment. In other words, alerts give you tactical timing, but market structure provides strategic context.
How to tell which prevails:
Confirm with Market Structure: If the market structure is bullish (uptrend), a buy alert aligns with it and is more likely to succeed. A sell alert against that structure is a warning sign that the alert may be weaker or a potential false signal.
Volume and Momentum: Use volume or momentum indicators (built into VX Algo or complementary tools) to see if the alert has strength behind it. A strong sell alert with high volume during an uptrend may indicate an imminent structure shift.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Check if the opposing alert is supported or rejected on higher timeframes. A buy alert on a lower timeframe against a bearish higher timeframe structure is less likely to prevail.
Risk Management: If you trade against structure alerts, reduce position size and tighten stops until the structure confirms the shift.
Summary: Market structure is heavier and more reliable for directional bias. Alerts provide tactical entry timing. When they conflict, lean on structure for bias but watch for alert strength as early signals of possible structure changes.
XAUUSD Short Opportunity🔻 XAUUSD Short Opportunity – Targeting 3258.840
Gold is showing signs of weakness after testing key resistance zones.
I'm currently watching a short-term sell setup with a downside target at 3258.840.
If bearish pressure continues, this level could be hit soon.
📉 Keep an eye on confirmation candles and momentum shifts.
👉 Follow me for more real-time setups and precision entries in Gold & Forex!
Gold Trading Strategy June 26✏️ D1 candle shows a recovery but not significantly. Gold is currently reacting at the key resistance zone of 3342.
The immediate support zone that the price is heading toward is 3326. This forms a breakout range between 3326 and 3342.
A bullish channel may form if there is a strong price reaction at 3326. Conversely, if 3326 is broken, it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend targeting 3302 during the European and US sessions today. The bearish target could even extend to 3278.
📈 Key Levels
Breakout Range: 3326 - 3342
Support: 3326 - 3314 - 3302 - 3278
Resistance: 3342 - 3363 - 3388
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY: 3302–3300 | SL: 3297
SELL: 3363–3365 | SL: 3369
6.27 Risk aversion dissipates and gold prices adjust! The range As the Middle East war came to an end, the risk aversion sentiment in the global financial market subsided, the risk aversion funds dissipated, and the three major bullish markets of gold, crude oil, and silver all fell downward; at the same time, the US dollar index broke a new low !
Fundamentals:
1: The Middle East war has been temporarily paused, and both sides have entered the adjustment phase; however, irreconcilable contradictions may become the starting point of the next war at any time; although it has ended for now, we must not slack off. Once the two sides are on the verge of a war again, risk aversion will sweep the world again; this is not impossible;
This Middle East war came suddenly and ended suddenly; it was like a child's play washing the global financial market; therefore, the possibility of a resumption of war cannot be ruled out in the future;
At present, in the overall market:
1: In the short cycle, the gold price fluctuates downward, so in the short term, the short-term decline is seen, and the fluctuation is downward;
2: In terms of trend, the range is temporarily contracted, the BOLL of the daily K is contracted, the speed slows down, and the overall range is back to the range of fluctuations; there is no obvious long and short trend, and it returns to the range of fluctuations;
Today's technical trend chart:
1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a main empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily under pressure from the central axis track of the 4-hour BOLL, and the empty trend continues downward, and the form tends to continue to oscillate downward; therefore, it is recommended to choose the high-altitude approach for 4 hours;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross downward, which is a empty signal; in terms of form, it is temporarily a broken Yin and Yang pattern, with no obvious trend; BOLL forms a contraction, the range of 3417-3277, the range is mainly in an oscillating trend, and the strong and weak dividing point is near 3347;
Comprehensive: The daily K is mainly in an oscillating trend, so it is recommended to deal with it according to the oscillating trend, choose to buy low and sell high; the reference pressure position is near 3347, the support position is near 3295 and 3278; the second pressure position is 3390-3400 pressure position; continue to choose the oscillating approach, and play a oscillating treatment of buying low and selling high;
XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Can the price of gold continue to rise?Gold trend analysis:
Gold has not fallen in the past two days, and there are signs of bottoming out in the short term. Since the daily line bottomed out and pulled up, the daily line closed positive yesterday, and the bulls began to counterattack, and the low point of the one-hour line was rising. We also said in last night’s blog that the key point below the market outlook is at 3295. If it cannot fall in the short term, it is likely to bottom out and rebound. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger middle track 3355. If it breaks and stabilizes at this price, gold will have a larger upward space, and the upper side will look at 3385.
In the 4-hour chart, the stochastic indicator temporarily forms a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; however, the BOLL track suppression is still there, which is also the pressure position of 3345-3347; the gold 1-hour moving average is still a dead cross downward short arrangement, and the gold shorts still have momentum. The key position of gold in the short term is still at 3340. Although gold seems to have a strong rebound in the early trading, it is still under pressure and began to fall back from 3340. There is no effective breakthrough. Therefore, before gold effectively breaks through 3340, it will continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking. Only after gold breaks through and stands firmly at 3340, will the gold bulls usher in a turnaround. Pay attention to the support near 3312, the low point of yesterday's US market decline. The upper resistance is 3355.
Gold operation strategy: short gold near 3350 when it rebounds, defend 3360, and target 3330-3320; long gold falls back to 3320, stop loss 3312, target 3340-3350;
XAUUSD 1H–Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish TargetThis is a classic Smart Money Concept (ICT) setup XAUUSD 1H – Power of 3, Liquidity Grab, FVG Fill & Bullish Targeting OB + Major Pool.
Accumulation at the bottom
Liquidity grab below SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity)
Expecting bullish expansion toward:
FVG fills
Break of BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity)
Tap or break of OB (Order Block)
Final target: Major Liquidity Pool ~3380–3390
🧠
Trade Plan:
Entry: After SSL sweep + bullish confirmation (FVG or MSB)
TP1: FVG fill
TP2: BSL break
TP3: OB or final pool zone
SL: Below manipulation wick.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues📉 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues 🔻🪙
🔍 Overview:
Gold is currently trading within a descending trendline structure, respecting a clear downtrend on the 4H chart. After failing to break the key resistance zone around $3,400 - $3,420, price has continued to make lower highs and lower lows.
📌 Key Technical Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone:
$3,400 – $3,420
Strong selling pressure observed. Price was rejected here after a sharp rally.
📐 Descending Trendline:
Price continues to get rejected from this dynamic resistance.
Bearish pressure remains intact as long as this line holds.
🟦 Main Support Level:
$3,280 – $3,300
Price has tested this zone multiple times, showing strong buyer interest.
A break below this level could trigger further downside.
📊 Technical Outlook:
🟥 Bearish Bias as long as price remains under the trendline.
✅ Buyers may re-enter at the support zone around $3,280.
⚠️ If support breaks, the next downside target could be $3,240 – $3,220.
📈 Trading Plan Suggestion:
🔎 Watch for rejection at trendline or resistance zone for potential short setups.
🔔 Monitor support zone reaction for potential bounce plays or breakout confirmation.
📆 Date of Analysis: June 26, 2025
📍 Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
💬 “Trend is your friend until it bends.”
Trade wisely! 💼📊💡
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3321.6
Stop Loss - 3316.9
Take Profit - 3330.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAU/USD 30M CHART PATTERN.XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, here’s the breakdown:
Observations:
A descending channel was broken to the upside.
Price is above the Ichimoku cloud, which often suggests bullish momentum.
There is a clearly marked support zone around 3,320 - 3,325.
Two target points are drawn with arrows indicating potential upside levels.
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📍 Target Levels (as seen on the chart):
1. First Target: Approximately 3,370
2. Second Target: Approximately 3,405 – 3,410
These targets are based on previous resistance levels and potential price projections after the breakout.
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✅ Strategy Suggestion (if you're trading this):
Entry Zone: Around 3,327 – 3,330 (current level)
Stop Loss: Below Support Zone (~3,315)
Take Profits:
TP1: 3,370
TP2: 3,405 – 3,410
Let me know if you'd like Fibonacci levels or RSI confirmation as well.
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
During today’s Asian session, we targeted the key support at 3330 and publicly initiated a pullback long strategy. The market fully validated our forecast: three touches of 3330 triggered strong rebounds, with price stabilizing and rallying to 3350 where we took profits—solid daily gains achieved.
Overnight positions: Longs from lower levels remain open as price turns upward, with bullish momentum continuing to strengthen.Firmly hold existing low-level long positions. In an uptrend, every pullback presents an opportunity to add to positions—the depth of corrections will determine the height of future rallies. Stay tuned for the explosive main upward trend!
Trading Strategy:
Adopt a buy-on-dip approach on pullbacks.
buy@3315-3325
TP:3340-3350
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Oil volatility expected to remain on Middle East tensions.Fundamental
Oil prices remain under pressure. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders digest inventory data, watch for geopolitical shifts, and anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on July 6, where supply policy could change.
Technical
Technical indicators remain strongly bearish with RSI favouring further downside below pivot level 65.53 toward support levels at 63.76 and 60.00. A break above 65.53 sees a move towards resistance levels at 66.50 and 69.00 subsequently
Agree to disagree... Gold is topping right now.My price path seen above is a complete guess but it stems from long term trend lines and more importantly order flow from last week.
On Thursday there was a #1 trade on AMEX:PHYS for $200+ Million at the green levels in my chart above (Equivalent levels). PRICE WILL 100% go to my green lines by end of this week 04/25.
We are over shooting the dark pool sale but a lot, however, this is always to trap retail and create fomo/peak fear.
In the correction/recession cycles, gold ALWAYS TOPS LAST before the crash...
GOLD Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims (Week ending June 21)
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025)
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025)
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q (Q1 2025)
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.25% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .