GOLD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GOLD has printed some
Lower high and lower lows
So despite a long-term uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
Which is reinforced by the recent
Bearish breakout of both the
Rising and horizontal support lines
So we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
With the target of retresting
The key structure below around 3,300$
SHORT🔥
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Futures market
Natural Gas plummets - Israel and Iran PeaceIran and Israel de escalation is causing nat gas to plummet.
Fear of the "Hormuz Strait" closing have slipped away!
Roughly 20% of global liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade flows through the Strait of Hormuz, primarily from Qatar (~9.3 Bcf/d) with smaller volumes from the UAE (~0.7 Bcf/d)
In 2024, approximately 83–84% of those LNG volumes were destined for Asian markets—China, India, South Korea
Gold Trading Strategy June 27✏️The price reaction at 3348 forms a sustainable bearish structure. 3296 is an important zone when broken, it will continue to fall deeply without any recovery on Friday.
Today the downtrend will encounter less resistance than the uptrend. Therefore, it is not difficult to touch the support zones of 3278 and 3255.
Any recovery in the price in the European session is considered a good opportunity for a Sell signal towards the target of 3278 and 3255.
As analyzed, the SELL zone today is noted at many resistance zones and consider the price reaction for the SELL signals.
📈 Key Levels
Break out: 3296
Support: 3278-3255
Resistance: 3300-3312-3325-3336-3348-3363
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY 3278-3276 SL 3272
SELL 3325-3327 SL 3330
Gold Analysis and Trading Outlook – June 27Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold encountered resistance in the 3348–3352 zone and fell back to around 3310 before rebounding toward the 3336 resistance area. Today’s session opened with renewed weakness, and so far, the overall price action has closely followed our expectations. Whether it was selling near resistance, buying after the dip, or shorting the rebound, each opportunity yielded solid profits.
Some traders have asked about my strategy’s win rate. Those who’ve followed consistently already know—the overall win rate has remained above 80%, with very few instances of error. Even in the rare case of a misjudgment, I apply specific recovery strategies to minimize risk and avoid large losses. That’s the core reason why I’m confident I can help many traders.
Technically, the daily chart still shows a bearish trend, and prices are now approaching the key 3300 support zone. While the current geopolitical uncertainty adds complexity, it doesn't prevent us from executing flexible intraday trades. In fact, range-bound markets can still be highly profitable with a disciplined approach.
Key intraday levels to watch:
Dynamic support: 3318–3313
Major support: 3300–3287
Resistance levels: 3336, 3348–3352, and 3370
Today’s trades can continue to focus on these levels, using a sell-high, buy-low strategy with flexibility.
S&P 500 VS ATH, how to break through?Technical objective achieved! The S&P 500 index has reached its all-time high, offering a bullish V-shaped recovery since the bearish shock of early April against the backdrop of the trade war between the USA and its main trading partners.
In our previous TradingView analysis, we highlighted numerous favorable technical signals since mid-April in favor of this rally towards the all-time record, including an analysis of the chart battlefield for the S&P 500 index at the beginning of June, which you can reread by clicking on the image below. In general, don't hesitate to follow our Swissquote account for regular updates on stock market indices and all other asset classes (bitcoin, forex, commodities, etc.).
The short-term question is whether the S&P 500 index is in a position to break through its all-time high (ATH) in the immediate future, or whether it needs to enter a consolidation phase first.
The answer to this question is both technical and fundamental.
1) From a technical point of view, here are the conditions that would enable the S&P 500 to surpass its all-time record (even if it were to enter a short-term bearish consolidation first)
The market may need to take a breather in the short term after the strong upward rally of the last two months. But for the medium/long term, the underlying trend remains bullish above support at 5800 points and above the 200-day moving average. On the long time horizon, the theoretical target for wave 5 (Elliott waves) lies at 6500 points.
In order for the S&P 500 to be in a position to break through its all-time record, it is imperative that stocks in the most important sectors in terms of weighting are bullish. The S&P 500 can only go higher if the technology, financials and consumer discretionary sectors contribute.
The study of US retail trader sentiment provides a contrarian approach to the financial markets, and it bodes well that doubt and pessimism remain dominant among retail investors. Bear in mind that market tops are built on euphoria, not pessimism.
Finally, in terms of quantitative analysis, the overbought zone is still a long way from the current price level, so it's conceivable that the S&P 500 index could be in a position to surpass its all-time record in the course of July, even if a consolidation phase were to develop in the short term.
2) In terms of fundamentals, two factors seem to me to be essential for the S&P 500 index to be in a position to make further progress
Firstly, the US equity market will not move higher until there is confirmation that the Fed will resume cutting the federal funds rate. On this subject, this week we offered you a full fundamental analysis, which you can read below. The market needs the FED's pivot on either July 30 or September 17. In terms of valuation, the S&P 500 is expensive again, so rate cuts are needed to justify further upside.
With the rebound in share prices over the past 2 months, S&P 500 valuation is indeed back in the high zone, so we'll need sharply higher prospective earnings to justify a possible new all-time high in the coming months.
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GOLD THE united state interest rate stands at 4.25%-4.5%
the US10Y open the day at 4.293% and closes 4.26% a significant drop from may high of 4.62%
the dollar index is heading to 96$ after open 97.611$ to close 97.313$.
Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.26% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
break below 3311-3314 will heading to my demand floor .
#gold .
XAUUSD GOLD buy holdXAUUSD GOLD BUY NOW – LONG TRADE SETUP ACTIVE 🟡📈
Gold has pulled back to a key support area and is now showing signs of strength at the current price of $3301.
This zone is acting as a strong base for buyers, signaling a potential bullish continuation in the coming sessions.
We are entering a LONG position with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, supported by market structure and technical confirmation.
🔹 Current Price: $3301
🎯 Target Levels: First target at $3350, extended target at $3400+
🛑 Stop Loss: Recommended below $3275 to protect capital
As long as price holds above the support zone, bulls remain in control.
Patience, discipline, and proper risk management are key — let the trend do the work.
Gold is poised for upside — time to ride the wave!
Gold expectation 1HGold should retest this price support line (in green) in its route to rejoining the channel for its destination. It broke out of structure due to news that came out, but buyers are making it return to its original path. Some nice strong buys are expected, so please watch for confimations as we go. #BuyTheBull
Gold Slips Deeper – Bears in Full ControlGold extended its losing streak to a sixth straight day, sliding closer to the critical $3,300 level as a rebounding US dollar and Powell’s cautious tone dampen market sentiment.
Technically, the breakdown below the short-term ascending channel has validated a bearish structure. Daily chart indicators are turning decisively negative, suggesting the path of least resistance is still to the downside.
Unless a fresh risk event triggers safe-haven demand, any bounce from here may simply offer sellers a better price to re-enter. The downtrend is in motion — and it’s gaining steam.
CONTINUED GROWTH OR A BREAK DOWN?GOLD 4H TIMEFRAME
Currently on a major support level, if it breaks down at 3284, we can target these previous support levels at 3264 and 3250. Always wait for a retest before entering to confirm that it is not a fake out.
On the other hand, if this bounce and consolidate above 3350 levels, then we have a probability of a continued growth to 3400 and 3440. If the ceasefire got violated and FED hints of a rate cut, 3500 is not just a possibility, it can go higher and make new highs.
When entering trades look for opportunity on lower timeframes like M1, M5 and M15. When analyzing the general direction and bias, it's best to check high timeframes H1, H4 and D1.
Gold Buy- Go for buy if setup given
- just a small trade
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
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6/25 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a sharp decline yesterday. Technically, the conditions for a rebound are in place, but since a solid bottom structure has yet to form, a retest to the downside is likely during today’s session.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance zone: 3336–3348
Support zones: Primary support at 3313–3303, with additional support around 3296–3282
Today’s overall strategy remains buying on dips as the primary approach, with short opportunities near resistance as a secondary option.
Key scenario to monitor:
If the price drops to around 3280 but fails to rebound toward 3336, and the daily close ends below 3300, then the buy-on-dip strategy will likely continue into tomorrow.
Gold Short: Wave 5 of C In this video, I explained my change in the Gold Elliott Wave counts on the cycle level (red font numbering) and how I think the Gold price movement will go down in a double combination (because the previous 2 waves are double combinations).
I also go through how I set the short target using Fibonacci extensions.
Palladium Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025
- Palladium broke resistance level 1100.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1200.00
Palladium recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 1100.00, resistance trendline of the daily up channel from April and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downtrend from October.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from April.
Palladium can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1200.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
Silver Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Silver reversed from key support level 35.50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 37.20
Silver recently reversed up from the key support level 35.50 (which stopped the previous minor correction iv at the start of June, as can be seen from the daily Silver chart below).
The support zone near the support level 35.50 was strengthened by the 20-day moving average and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from May.
Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 37.20, which stopped the previous sharp impulse wave 3.