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SPY, Major Warning has been signalled for the stock market. The stock markets have been rattled by a concerning development that historically has been a precursor to increased volatility and economic uncertainty - the uninversion of the yield curve. In December, long-term interest rates fell below short-term rates, reversing the inversion that had been in place. This yield curve uninversion is often viewed as a potential warning sign of an impending recession, as it has preceded the last seven recessions in the United States. Looking back at past data, the last time the yield curve was uninverted in this manner was in 2019, just before the COVID-19 pandemic triggered a major market downturn. Prior to that, it uninverted in 2006-2007, shortly before the Great Recession hit in 2008-2009. While the yield curve uninversion does not guarantee an imminent recession, it has proven to be a reliable leading indicator of increased market volatility and economic slowdown. Trade safe, Trader Leo
SP:SPX
by BTM-LEO
4
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 23rd DecemberNifty opened with a minor gap-down and we saw a bounce in morning 23880 to 24000. Buy trade triggered as per trade setup posted for Friday but Nifty missed our 1st target of 24080 by 14 points and reversed. For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 23650 we expect to see an up-move towards 23720 and above marked levels. On the other side, if Nifty breaks a crucial support 23500 on downside we may see 23430 and below marked levels on the chart. Expectations: Volatile day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 23650 Sell Below - 23500 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestPro_India
1
DXY Weekly analysis 24-Aug-2024Dxy is in the ascending channel in the monthly time frame Also, at the moment, it is almost close to the bottom of the channel As various indicators show oversold, I expect the price to bounce back from the area shown on the chart. Otherwise, with the channel floor breaking, I expect the price to drop to the specified range But even if the price continues to decline, we should see a pullback in this area *Be profitable Thank you for expressing your opinion with likes and comments
TVC:DXYLong
by Avril_Forex
3
#202451 - priceactiontds - year end special - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. dax xetra - outlook 2025 comment: We look at the chart from the beginning of the current bull trend in 2022-10. Dax has gained 71% while German GDP is now negative for two consecutive years. The bull trend has 3 clear and big legs up. The upper and lower trend lines were respected and we have seen an acceleration upwards in the last leg. This is not the start of a new and stronger one but the climactic ending which traps the weak & late traders. These are the people who started gambling with Bitcoin as it hit 100k because they wanted some of that fairy dust. A healthy correction would be around 20% which is very close to the 50% retracement of this whole trend, the 2023-11 previous ath and the big bull trend line from the Covid lows. More than enough magnets to test down to that price around 16000. How will we get there? Absolutely no idea and all of my drawings with a potential wave series, are just rough guesses how I think it could potentially play out. Sometimes those are accurate and other times they are way off. It’s a good habit of anticipating what markets could do and take the trade if they do it. Final thoughts. Buying the dax above 19000 hoping for a new and stronger trend upwards because surely this time it’s different, is as unwise as can be if you want to invest your money. Meaning buying and holding or trading on a daily/weekly chart. The odds of this breaking above two major trend lines while we already made 70%+ without any meaningful correction, are so slim that the only reason your are doing it is because of FOMO. current market cycle: Bull trend of the past two years has likely ended and new lows below 18780 will be the confirmation. key levels for 2025: 16000 - 20000 (decent chance we will see 20000 only in the first couple of weeks and then only in a couple of months or years again) bull case: 2 years, 70%+. What more can you dream of? No matter how you draw your technicals on the chart, you can only see this as bullish, if you think we can break strongly above the two upper trend lines and go for 25000 or more. That is trading on hope and nothing else. If you have bought any dip the past two years you were never wrong and that is why we have so many articles about “this time it’s different”. In a bull trend, everyone is a genius. I can not come up with any legitimate reason why this should go meaningful above 20600. The absolute best I can do for this section is that we will likely see a lot of sideways price action at the big magnets. 19000 will be the first over the next days/weeks and at this point, we can’t expect the bulls to just give and let the market melt through those prices. BTFD mentality has been profitable and it will take a while or a huge drop, before it ends and we shift to STR (sell the rips). Invalidation is below 14600. Below that price, an event has happened or is happening. For now it’s unreasonable to ever think this market could see prices below 12000 again. bear case: Peak bullish sentiment and option positions over the past weeks can only go on for so long before the market reverses big time. It’s perhaps because there is literally no one left to buy because everyone and their dog went max long. The chart is clear and the downside risks are much greater than any coke-induced perma-bull argument on why the markets will break higher another 10-20%. Bears short term targets are the weekly 20ema near the small bull trend line around 19000. There we can probably expect more sideways movement before we get another impulse down to the huge support around 17700. My chart is a best guess about price but the timing could be way off. My biggest target for 2025 is the 2011-11 previous ath 16290, which is very close to the 50% retracement of this bull trend. There is also the big bull trend line from the Covid low and I expect this to be tested in Q1 or Q2 2025. Invalidation is above 20700. short term: The year end rally could give us another new ath or lower high. It does not matter because the upside will probably be very limited. My highest price is 20700 give or take. I fully expect 19000 to be hit over the next 2-6 weeks. medium-long term: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: None but I think any short ETF, levered or not, is reasonable. Short term is 19000 and medium term (2-5 months) is 17000-18000.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
1
US30USDUS30USD Based on Technical and Fundamental Analysis The chart shows a clear rejection from the resistance zone at 44,500, confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern (highlighted in orange). This aligns with weakening market sentiment and the potential for continued downside movement. A short entry is justified below the 43,200 level, targeting TP1 at 42,000 and TP2 at 41,600, as marked on the chart. Keep an eye on macroeconomic data or geopolitical factors that may further strengthen the bearish trend. Risk management is crucial—set a stop loss above the key resistance zone Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
NAS 100 USDNAS100USD Based on Technical Analysis The NAS100USD chart shows a rejection from the resistance zone at 21,850, followed by a sharp sell-off, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend. Price has broken below a key support level (now resistance at 21,460), indicating bearish momentum. A short entry is viable below 21,350, with TP1 at 20,800 and TP2 at 20,315, as indicated on the chart. Fundamental factors such as rising interest rate concerns or economic slowdown fears may further support this bearish scenario. Ensure to place a stop loss above the recent resistance level to manage risk effectively. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by David_Josh_Trader
Critical Levels in S&P 500 Index this weekNavigating the S&P 500: What to Watch This Christmas Week If you look at the S&P 500's technical chart, you'll notice something intriguing: Friday's rebound wasn't just any rebound — it came with a surge in volume. The Index is flirting with its 50-day Moving Average, a key indicator with investors on edge. As long as macroeconomic data doesn’t throw any curveballs, there's a promising outlook for a festive rally in the stock market this Christmas week. My eyes are on the 6,000 mark for the SPX as a pivotal point. If the momentum continues, we might even see it touch 6,100, which could be the ceiling for this bullish run.
SP:SPX
by IrinaTK
1
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 23-Dec-202423-Dec-2024 Nifty Trading Plan On last trading session prices met with the targets on breaking and sustaining below mentioned levels and met with all targets on down side. Strategies for upcoming trading session Color-Coding: Yellow: Sideways trend. Green: Bullish trend. Red: Bearish trend. 23-Dec-2024 Trading Scenarios: Gap Up Opening (+100 points): If Nifty opens above 23,953 but below 24,058 , expect initial resistance at 24,058 . Watch for rejection signals such as bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., pin bars or engulfing) to initiate short trades targeting 23,747-23,603 . However, if prices sustain above 24,058 , this zone transforms into support, indicating bullish sentiment. Enter long trades cautiously above 24,058 with targets of 24,300-24,400 . Use a stop loss at 23,950 . Flat Opening: A flat opening near 23,631-23,603 suggests the no-trade zone remains intact. Wait for a breakout above 23,747 or a breakdown below 23,603 . Above 23,747: Long trades targeting 23,953-24,058 . Below 23,603: Short trades targeting 23,281-23,194 . Use stop losses based on an hourly close for safer risk management. Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more): A gap down below 23,603 places immediate focus on the buyer’s support zone at 23,281-23,194 . Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing) within this zone to initiate long trades. If prices break below 23,194 , bearish momentum could intensify. Short trades targeting 23,000-22,850 become viable. Maintain a stop loss above 23,281 for these positions. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Use defined risk strategies like buying options or limited-loss spreads. Avoid aggressive averaging when trades move against your position. Always calculate the maximum loss potential before entering trades. Exit positions if the index stays in the no-trade zone for extended periods. Summary & Conclusion: Nifty’s trading action on 23-Dec-2024 will revolve around the critical zones discussed. Respect the defined levels and avoid impulsive trades within the no-trade zone. Wait for confirmation before entering trades to maximize risk-reward ratios. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Another drop for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD made a correction up, broke through the lower Daily/ Weekly FVG and took the liquidity under the low (of blue wave 4). After price closed below the Daily/ Weekly FVG, it became a Balanced price range (BPR). So next week we could see a correction down and a retest into the Weekly/ Daily BPR. After that this pair could drop again. Trade idea: Wait for the correction down and retest into the BPR's. After a change in orderflow to bearish, you could trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
1
NASDAQ-100 NEEDS MORE CLARITY TO MOVE INDEX FORWARD!Last week, the NASDAQ-100 established key levels for both sellers and buyers. As we head into the next trading week, price rejection at either of these levels will likely determine the index's direction. While the weekly outlook remains bullish, a bearish close this week could lead to further deterioration of the index. N.B! - NAS100USD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #nas100usd #nasdaq
OANDA:NAS100USD
by BullBearMkt
NDX Is Very Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for NDX. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 21,287.68. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 20,340.94 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by SignalProvider
1
Watchlist Breakdown 22/12/2024A quick breakdown of my TOP6 in preparation for next week. This is not Mark's or the Coaches analysis, so take it with a little distance but I still hope you took value from it and it helped you in preparing next week. As we move into the festive period a lot of banks will reduce their exposure resulting in much lower liquidity over all asset classes so I'm not too eager to get involved in trades. Let price and the DXY settle over the next couple of days, stay in your routines, keep the momentum high and be prepared when 2025 starts.
TVC:DXY
by Nico_Lochte
VIX Monday Trading Plan: Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets! ### **Chart Key Levels:** 1. **Support Levels**: - **Yellow Line (Entry Point)**: Around **18.35**. - This serves as a potential entry zone based on the current consolidation and trendline support. 2. **Stop Loss (SL)**: - **15.11** (White Support Line): This level represents a key support zone. If breached, it indicates a further decline in volatility, invalidating the setup. 3. **Targets (T1 & T2)**: - **Target 1 (T1)**: **22.01** (Red Line) – A key resistance level and first profit-taking zone. - **Target 2 (T2)**: **26.54** (Green Line) – The next resistance zone for a larger move, aligning with recent high levels. ### **Entry Setup**: - Enter the trade near **18.35**, as this zone aligns with horizontal and trendline support. - Look for confirmation like a bounce or bullish momentum before entering. ### **Trade Risk and Reward**: - **Stop Loss**: Tight stop loss at **15.11** to minimize risk if the price breaks below support. - **Reward**: - T1: Approximately **3.66 points** from entry (around 20% gain). - T2: Approximately **8.19 points** from entry (around 45% gain). ### **Potential Scenarios**: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: - If the price holds above **18.35** and shows strength, it can move toward **22.01** (T1) and eventually **26.54** (T2). 2. **Bearish Scenario**: - If the price breaks below **15.11**, the setup fails, and further downside is expected. This plan is based on the current technical analysis and key levels observed on the chart. Monitor price action closely at entry and adjust stop loss and targets based on Monday's market momentum. Let me know if you'd like additional clarification or adjustments! Conclusion: By entering near 18.35 with a strict stop loss at 15.11, this setup provides a favorable risk-reward ratio targeting 22.01 and 26.54, aligning with key support and resistance levels.
TVC:VIXLong
by Xeeshan79
Nifty | Pre-Market Report | 23 Dec ~ 27 Dec 2024Nifty has been massacred by the brutal selling last week! If we look at the weekly chart, the weekly candle close has wiped out the last one month of Buying in a single blow! This clearly has signalled that we are in a Bear Market Grip. For the upcoming week, Nifty seems likely to trade between 24,400 & 23,155. The sentiment would be Sideways to Bearish. Option sellers could benefit from Straddles on a Weekly Expiry basis. Option buyers should look for reversals at boundaries for best risk reward opportunities. Presently Nifty is at the crucial Neck line on the Weekly Charting basis which is also the 50 Week Moving Average zone. Looking at the intensity of previous week's crash, this upcoming week could be a pause and then we could have a further downside crash towards 22,600 which is the 50% zone of the long term Weekly charting trend. If 22,600 doesn't hold then we will ultimately find good support around 22,000 level which is also the 100 Week Moving Average.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sky_Tracer
1