KSE100 UPDATEAs already explained Index crossed above initial Resistance of 1,15,000.
Next resistance level is 1.17,300, if broken the next target can be as high as 1,33,000 in coming weeks.
However on the flip side if the index gets rejected at 1,17,300 resistance, it can re-retest recent low of 1,05,700.
Work with stop loss and don't get carried with buying spree
Market indices
Technical Weekly AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 is trending bullish and currently in an impulsive phase, trading at 23,741. It’s comfortably above its VWAP of 22,652, highlighting strong upside pressure. RSI at 70.0 suggests the move may be getting stretched. Support sits at 21,025, with resistance at 24,280.
UK 100 remains in a bullish trend and impulsive phase, with price at 8,580.8 and a VWAP of 8,492. Momentum is stable with RSI at 57.7. Support is noted at 8,259, while resistance is up at 8,724.
Wall Street is now bullish and impulsive, trading at 42,145.6 and well above its VWAP of 39,404. With RSI at 63.3 and price above resistance at 41,340, sentiment remains positive. Initial support is lower at 37,468.
Brent Crude is in a bullish trend and impulsive phase, trading at 6,549.7 above its VWAP of 6,362. RSI at 53.9 reflects moderate buying strength but importantly back over the 50 level. Support lies at 5,892, while resistance is overhead at 6,833.
Gold has entered a correction phase within a broader bullish trend and could be about to see a bearish trend reversal. It trades at 3,218.4, now below its VWAP of 3,317. RSI at 45.5 confirms fading momentum. Support is seen at 3,200 and resistance at 3,426.
EUR/USD is now starting to trend bearish and in an impulsive move lower, trading at 1.1110, below the VWAP of 1.1337. RSI at 39.8 points to negative momentum. Support is at 1.1167, with resistance higher at 1.1510.
GBP/USD is correcting within what is still an overall bullish trend, trading at 1.3184 under its VWAP of 1.3311. RSI at 46.8 reflects fading strength. Support is at 1.3200, and resistance is seen at 1.3426.
USD/JPY has broken back into a bullish trend and impulsive phase, trading at 148.19, well above its VWAP of 143.66. RSI at 63.1 (its highest since Jan) confirms the strong upside momentum. Support is located at 140.22, while resistance is at 147.10.
05/05 SPX Weekly Playbook - GEX Zone Outlook🔮 What-If Scenarios for This Week – Based on GEX Structure until Firday
Last week’s market momentum pushed the S&P 500 up by almost 3%, effectively erasing the price gap left behind on Liberation Day. The index also strung together nine straight days of gains—something we haven’t seen since late 2004.
Meanwhile, implied volatility dropped significantly, with the VIX touching its lowest level since the holiday, falling to around 22.5.
Several factors seem to have fueled this bullish tone, including a more measured approach from Trump on trade policies and strong quarterly results from major tech names like Microsoft and Meta.
Still, the nature of the buying raises questions—was this a thoughtful rotation, or just a broad sweep of optimism?
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🔄 Chop Zone: 5650 – 5670 (wide transition zone)
🔹 Gamma Flip: 5615
🔺 Key Call Wall: 5725 (5800 potential shift)
🔻 Key Put Wall: 5500 (5400 major support below)
🔼 Upside Path
IF > 5670 → transition cleared →
➡️ 5700 stall / reaction
IF > 5725 → call wall breached →
➡️ Path to 5750 / 5775 → stall at 5800 (largest net call OI)
IF > 5800 → gamma resistance breaks down →
➡️ 5825/5850 zone opens up
🔽 Downside Path
IF < 5615 → gamma flip triggered →
➡️ 5500 = battle zone (massive put wall + high negative GEX)
IF < 5500 → negative gamma squeeze likely →
➡️ Stall zone: 5450 → flush to 5400
IF < 5400 → high-volatility regime →
➡️ Possible acceleration to 5375 / 5340 depending on IV spike
⚖️ Neutral Setup
IF 5650–5670 holds → dealer hedging = balanced →
➡️ Ideal for non-directional spreads / theta plays
➡️ Wait for breakout confirmation above 5670 or below 5615
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🔍 Final Thoughts
We’ve seen a sharp rally since the Trump trade war scare, with barely any meaningful pullback. The market appears to be looking for one—as a breath. Based on current GEX positioning, there’s significantly more downside hedging than upside, especially in the mid-term May expirations.
That doesn’t necessarily mean we crash—but it does mean that moves lower can accelerate faster, while upward breakouts may require more energy or time. In this environment, consider:
Bearish or neutral spreads (put debit spreads, call credit spreads)
Volatility-based strategies
Avoiding naked upside trades unless we see a strong reclaim of 5725+
Stay safe and adapt—GEX doesn’t tell direction, but it does tell where the fire might start, beacuse of reflexting to hedging activity.
Is it the year for EUROPE? Looks like it's a yesFirst time since March 2025, the price of EURSTOXXX has broken above the downtrend and above the Cup and Handle.
It seems like the air is clearing from the mess up from the beginning of the year with the unstable US presidency.
And now let's see how long it lasts. EURO STOCKS is showing upside to come due to a few factors like:
📉 Trade Tensions Eased
U.S.-China tariff deal lifts global risk sentiment, boosting European stocks.
🏗️ Europe’s Spending Spree
Big infrastructure plans in Germany and France are lifting industrial shares.
🏦 Banks Are Booming
Stronger earnings and rising bond yields are powering up Eurozone banks.
💶 ECB Rate Cuts Coming
Markets expect ECB to cut rates soon, making stocks more attractive.
🛍️ Luxury & Exports Rising
Luxury brands and exporters are gaining as global demand rebounds.
And of course the technicals are looking great.
Cup and Handle
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 5,818
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
UPDATE - Japan Index is now set for upside to 45,172The last analysis, was working like a charm until Trump had to pause the tariffs, and go back on everything he said bit by bit.
So, the analysis has now turned from bearish to bullish - and as traders we adjust our sails accordingly.
There are a few other reasons for the rally to come.
📈 Positive U.S.-China Trade Developments Boost Market Confidence
Recent progress in U.S.-China trade talks has alleviated investor concerns, leading to a 0.4% rise in the Nikkei 225, reflecting renewed optimism in the Japanese stock market.
💰 Significant Foreign Investment Inflows Strengthen the Market
In April 2025, foreign investors injected 3.68 trillion yen into Japanese equities, marking the largest monthly inflow in two years, driven by confidence in Japan's corporate reforms and stable economic outlook.
Reuters
📊 Analysts Forecast Record Highs by End of 2025
A Reuters poll predicts the Nikkei 225 will reach an all-time high of 42,500 by the end of 2025, driven by attractive valuations, corporate reforms, and supportive monetary policies.
So this goes in line with this technical analysis - even though they are completely independent analysis.
Reverse Cup and Handle
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 45,172
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CAC40 France is looking parfait for upside to 8,645Another Index ready to rumble is way up again.
The sideways chop has broken above and we are seeing more signs of strength for the bulls on major international markets.
UNless this is all a dead cat bounce, the analyses right now are poised for upside.
Here are some fundamentals.
📉 Trade Tensions Ease
U.S.-China tariff cuts lift global markets — CAC 40 joins the rally.
🏗️ Europe Builds Big
New EU infrastructure spending boosts industrial stocks in France.
🏦 Banks & Industry Up
French banks and factories post strong earnings and drive gains.
💶 ECB May Cut Rates
Rate cut hopes make stocks like CAC 40 more attractive.
🛍️ Luxury Demand Surges
LVMH and other French luxury brands benefit from global spending.
ANd let's tackle the technicals.
Cup and handle
Price>20 and 200MA
Target 8,645
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
S&P500 Analysis 12-May-25 Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
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Nifty Analysis EOD - May 12, 2025 - Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - May 12, 2025 - Monday 🔴
🚀 Peace Talks & Policy Push – Bulls Break Chains, Nifty Soars to New Heights!
Opening Mood:
Relief from geopolitical tension and global trade optimism lit a fire under the bulls—marking one of the most powerful sessions in recent weeks.
🧭 Nifty Summary:
Following positive developments—ceasefire between India and Pakistan and trade policy easing between China and the US—Gift Nifty signaled a sharp gap-up.
Nifty opened at 24,420 (▲ 412 points | 1.72%), jumping above multiple resistance levels: 24,400~24,420 and 24,365~24,300. The first 5-minute candle alone posted a 184-point rally—and from there, bulls never looked back.
By breaching the 24,800 resistance and making a new swing high at 24,944.80, the day stamped bullish dominance. The close just 20 points below the high reflects strong buying interest and minimal profit booking.
🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown:
Today’s Candle: Bullish Marubozu (full-bodied, tiny/no wicks) — high conviction buying
Close: 24,924.60 (Near day’s high)
Key Observations:
✅ Breakout above 24,800 resistance
✅ Closed above 22nd Oct 2024 candle high — a key Head & Shoulder confirmation level
✅ Strong volume and price confirmation
🔜 Watch for follow-through above 24,700–24,800 zone
What It Implies:
Clear strength from bulls with no hesitation. If follow-through sustains, we could be heading toward a fresh leg of upside—likely to test the psychological 25,000 mark and beyond.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 355.76
IB Range: 358.95 → Extreme Large IB
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
Total Trades: 1
✅ Long Trigger @ 12:25 PM → Target 1:3.5 Achieved
📈 Intraday Walk (5-Min View):
Opened strong above multiple resistance zones
First candle: explosive 184-point rally
Smooth rally continued with no major retracement
A new swing high formed at 24,944.80
Day closed just shy of the high—strength intact
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
🔼 Resistance Zones:
24,980 ~ 25,000
25,100 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,212
🔽 Support Zones:
24,882
24,800 ~ 24,768
24,730
24,660
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
📌 Final Thoughts:
"Markets love clarity. With news-driven fear subsiding, technicals are taking charge again. Follow momentum—but don't chase it blindly."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
UPDATE: Text book W Formation for DE40 heading to target 25,113Since the last update, the Germany 40 index has been moving like a champ.
There is no slowing momentum, and it seems like there is more push to come.
We also have further reasons for the rally:
🤝 Easing Global Trade Tensions Boost Investor Confidence
The recent 90-day suspension and significant reduction of tariffs between the U.S. and China have alleviated fears of a prolonged trade war, leading to a global market rally that propelled the DAX to new heights.
🏗️ Germany’s Fiscal Stimulus Spurs Economic Optimism
The German government's increased spending on defense and infrastructure has invigorated domestic industries, contributing to the DAX's upward momentum.
💻 Tech Sector Performance Drives Market Gains
German tech giants, notably SAP, have experienced substantial growth due to strategic shifts towards AI and cloud services, significantly influencing the DAX's performance.
So we can just let this play out until it hits the first target at 25,113.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ASX looking ripe for the picking after C&H -Target 9,163Looks like the next international index that is ready to rally is the Australian 200.
It seems like the American presidency is having a domino effect which is resonating with down under including the following:
📉 Tariff Truce Sparks Global Optimism
A 90-day pause and significant reduction in U.S.-China tariffs have alleviated trade war fears, boosting investor confidence worldwide.
📈 Wall Street Surge Sets Positive Tone
Major U.S. indices, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, have rallied on trade deal hopes, providing a strong lead for the ASX.
Market Index
🛢️ Commodity Prices Climb with Trade Hopes
Anticipation of increased demand from China has driven up iron ore and oil prices, benefiting Australia's resource-heavy market.
💰 Australia Attracts Global Investors
With a stable economy and low exposure to U.S. tariffs, Australia is becoming a preferred destination for investors seeking alternatives to U.S. markets.
Reuters
And technically, we have the text book Cup and Handle showing upside to come.
Cup and Handle
Price> 20 and 200MA
Target 9,163
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dollar Weekly CLS I Continuation setup Model 2 , Target 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
NIFTY 50 - Multi-Timeframe Elliott Wave Analysis🧠 Chart Summary & Multi-Timeframe Elliott Wave Analysis
🔹 Chart 1 (Left – Weekly View):
Nifty completed an A-B-C corrective structure, where wave B has peaked. We now expect a long-term impulsive C wave downward, targeting below wave A’s low (~22,000).
🔹 Chart 2 (Middle – Daily Zoomed View):
This zoom-in decodes wave B as its own internal A-B-C structure, now seemingly completed. This implies that the recent rally was corrective and has likely ended.
🔹 Chart 3 (Right – 1 Hour View):
Here, we see the microstructure of wave C, forming a clear 5-wave impulsive pattern. Currently, Nifty appears to be topping out at wave 5, with weakening momentum.
🚨 Bearish Outlook Ahead:
Top formation expected at current levels, possibly with a double top or rising wedge.
Breakdown of local trendline or support will confirm the start of macro C wave.
Projected Target Zone: Below 22,000 (end of Wave A from Weekly Chart).
Watch for reversal candles + divergence confirmation for early entry.
⚠️ What to Watch:
1. Reversal patterns at the current resistance.
2. Breakdown confirmation on lower timeframes.
3. Manage stop losses strictly above recent swing highs.
Disclaimer:
This is a technical analysis-based view meant for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trading decision. Risk management is crucial — trade responsibly.
5 May Weekly NAS100 Forecast USTECH: Trade Talks and Fed Decision in Focus
Analysis:
Markets are at a pivotal juncture as investors monitor two critical developments: the potential resumption of U.S.-China trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision.
Trade Negotiations: Renewed dialogue between the U.S. and China could alleviate tariff pressures, stabilize global supply chains, and bolster investor confidence, thereby reducing recession risks.
Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on May 6–7, 2025. While the Fed is widely expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%–4.50%, market participants are keenly awaiting Chair Jerome Powell's commentary for insights into future monetary policy directions.
Market Bias: Cautiously Bullish
The confluence of potential trade resolutions and a steady monetary policy stance supports a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, market volatility may persist pending concrete developments.
Key Levels to Watch:
USTECH (NASDAQ 100):
Resistance: 20 531
Support: 19 481
Conclusion:
Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring both geopolitical developments and central bank communications, as these factors will significantly influence market trajectories in the near term.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
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Overnight Futures Pop 2.8% on Surprise Tariff TruceYou either woke up to a panic… or to a profit.
This morning, markets are ripping higher - not because of earnings, not because of data - but because two superpowers shook hands over fondue in Switzerland.
If you're feeling blindsided, you probably chased last week’s noise.
If you're feeling calm, you’re probably following the AntiVestor way.
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SPX Market Briefing
The headlines are loud. So let’s talk facts.
Over the weekend, the United States and China agreed to a 90-day tariff rollback:
US duties drop from 145% to 30%
China drops theirs from 125% to 10%
Both sides now pretending to like each other until mid-August
Markets reacted the only way they know how: with euphoria.
SPX futures are up 2.8%. Nasdaq is flying. The Dow surged more than 900 points premarket.
Here’s what we did:
Nothing reckless. Nothing oversized. Nothing emotional.
The system turned bearish late last week, and we followed it - small, tactical, mechanical. Not a bet. Just a position.
And here’s the kicker:
I still held a few bullish positions from the prior bias. They were so far out-of-the-money, I didn’t even bother closing them.
Guess what?
They’re in profit - and my net exposure is green despite the initial bear swing going underwater.
So while the news makes others overreact, we get to do what we always do:
Let the market come to us.
The real money isn’t made chasing this 2.8% pop.
It’s made waiting for the next confirmed setup.
...and a little good luck always helps ;)
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Expert Insights:
Mistake: Jumping into emotional gap openings
AntiVestor Fix: Let others panic. Let your system speak.
Gap moves on news tend to retrace or fade - and even if they don't, entering late is a coin toss. Smart traders wait. Pros wait. We wait.
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Rumour Has It…
Whispers from the Swiss hotel bar claim the entire US-China agreement was sparked when both delegates reached for the same dessert spoon. One espresso and a bottle of Pinot later, tariffs were slashed and SPX gapped 2.8%.
This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!
Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?
Fun Fact
According to CBOE data, Monday gap-ups following geopolitical “resolutions” average a +2.2% open… but only hold those gains 41% of the time by Friday’s close. Which means chasing the open? Not your best trade. Waiting for follow-through? That’s the edge.
BankNifty levels - May 13, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - May 13, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
DXY Breaks out of long term Bearish ChannelThe Dollar Index TVC:DXY has finally broken out of a long term bearish channel and will most likely push back to top of the channel as Dollar Index strengthens. Expect a minor retracement to the bearish channel to gain momentum for the bullish move.
The financial market will likely experience many short positions/bearish moves on major FX pairs like AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, SGDUSD. Be on the lookout for such moves.
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