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Short setup on SPX (x2)After the most recent upward move, the SPX shows clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup. Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving upward and it's now near its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend. This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration. Three additional signs support this setup: The RSI Exhaustion shows recent bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely. The price has formed a top just shy of its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator. A major level has formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level turned into support, it originated as resistance and could well revert back to it should be price start to drop further. Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
TVC:SPXShort
by a.b
NASDAQ: Channel Up topped. Opportunity for short term selling.Nasdaq turned bearish on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 38.742, MACD = -3.920, ADX = 40.192) as it crossed under the 1H MA50. This comes after almost an exact touch at the top of the September Channel Up and while the 1D timeframe has gone from bullish to almost neutral. The last two rejections at the top targeted at least the 1.236 Fibonacci level on the pullback. That is what we aim for on the short term (TP = 20,250). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by InvestingScope
3
Mid/Smallcap || Recovery As Expected, What now? The Midcap and Small Cap Index have shown signs of recovery as anticipated in my previous analysis. The index is now trading above the 20 EMA Band in the 2-hour timeframe (TF). However, several key conditions must still be met before we can confirm a sustained bull run: 1. 2-hour RSI should cross above 75 to signal strong upward momentum. 2. Daily timeframe (DTF) RSI needs to exit the Bear Zone. 3. NIFTY50 is still awaiting confirmation to move out of the Bear Zone, which would provide broader market support.
NSE:CNXSMALLCAP
by Abdul-Rahim
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 31-10-2024 Intro: On the previous trading day, Bank Nifty experienced a range-bound movement with significant support and resistance levels being respected. For the upcoming session on 31-Oct-2024, we have identified key levels, with yellow marking the sideways trend, green indicating bullish movement, and red representing bearish tendencies. This plan includes strategies for each opening scenario. Trading Plan for 31-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (200+ points above) If Bank Nifty opens with a 200+ point gap up, it may quickly test the Last Resistance for Intraday near 52,160 . If the price can sustain above this level, a further move towards 52,633 is likely. However, if the index fails to hold above 52,160 , it may experience a retracement to the Opening Support/Resistance level at 51,707 . – Watch for signs of rejection at the 52,160 level, as this may prompt a reversal towards support levels. Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close) In the case of a flat opening, the immediate level to observe is 51,849 . Sustaining above this point could enable a bullish move towards 52,160 . Failure to maintain momentum above 51,849 may result in sideways movement around the Opening Support/Resistance at 51,707 or even lead to a test of the Best Buying Try Zone near 51,645 . – A move below 51,645 would likely signal weakness, potentially driving the index lower towards 51,526 . Gap Down Opening (200+ points below) A gap-down opening would bring Bank Nifty closer to the Best Buying Try Zone at 51,645 . A bounce from this area could lead the index back to 51,849 . However, if this level does not hold, watch for further decline towards the Buyers Support at Retracement at 51,008 . – Persistent weakness below 51,008 would indicate a bearish sentiment, with potential downside targets emerging. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Define your risk tolerance and adjust your position size accordingly. Consider using protective strategies, such as stop-loss orders, especially around key resistance/support zones. Avoid over-leveraging, and monitor volatility closely to avoid sudden adverse moves. Summary and Conclusion Key levels for Bank Nifty on 31-Oct-2024 include 52,160 on the upside and 51,645 on the downside. Monitor these levels closely for directional cues. Employ disciplined risk management to navigate through the volatility, especially when trading options. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical levels and reflects my personal view. Please perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 31-Oct-2024 Intro: On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a mix of consolidation and upward momentum, with notable resistance zones tested near 24,594 . Key levels for 31-Oct-2024 have been identified, with trends marked as follows: yellow for sideways movement, green for bullish momentum, and red for bearish sentiment. This plan provides strategies for different opening scenarios. Trading Plan for 31-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points above) If Nifty opens 100+ points above the previous close, it may test the First Resistance/Consolidation Zone near 24,594 . If the index sustains above this level, we may see a push towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . However, if it struggles to hold above 24,594 , expect a retracement towards the Opening Support/Resistance level at 24,320 . – A reversal from the resistance levels could prompt a move back to the Support at Retracement at 24,163 . Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close) For a flat opening, the key level to watch is 24,349 . Sustaining above this point could lead to a breakout, targeting 24,594 and possibly extending towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . Conversely, if momentum fails above 24,349 , Nifty might move sideways around 24,320 or even test the lower support at 24,285 . – A downside break below 24,285 could increase bearish pressure, with potential support found at 24,163 . Gap Down Opening (100+ points below) In a gap-down scenario, initial support may be found near 24,285 . A rebound from this level could bring the price back toward 24,349 . If the index sustains above 24,349 , bullish momentum could retest the resistance at 24,594 . However, if 24,285 fails to hold, a decline towards Support at Retracement near 24,163 is likely. – Persistent weakness below 24,163 might drive further downside towards the Last Intraday Support at 24,040 . Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Manage your position sizes wisely, especially when volatility is high. Consider deploying trailing stops near major resistance/support levels to protect gains. Options spreads can limit risk exposure, which is particularly useful in a choppy market. Summary and Conclusion The primary focus for 31-Oct-2024 remains on the resistance at 24,594 and support at 24,163 . Traders should stay flexible with these levels and use disciplined stop-loss strategies to manage risks. Observing the price action after the opening will provide better insight into the day’s trend. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical levels and reflects my personal view. Please perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
IHSG / COMPOSITE 5 wave rally ? (ELIOT WAVE)First Opinion : IHSG maybe going to higher price to 8k to complete the 5 wave rally eliot wave (now on phase 4) the momentum indicator (stochastic) show the sign of bullish divergence. And if the price close higher on 31 oct 2024, there is a big chance IHSG making a bullish continue pattern (Penant). But we must wait for the validity confirmation on Swing Low on 31 october 2024 (closing price), and the pattern penant must break the trendline (top) for validity. Second Opinion : Or IHSG will continue down to key area strong support and rejection at 7350-7400 before rebound to continue the higher price. Still 5 wave rally (eliot wave) in play (because i think IHSG now on phase 4 eliot wave) DISCLAIMER ON
IDX:COMPOSITE
by Aris_Sunandar93
US30 / Dow Jones Buys!!!Analysis Confirmation 1. Fibonacci Levels: I’ve marked the 0.618, 0.786, and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which align well with potential reversal and target areas. The 0.618 level at approximately 42,327 acts as support, while the 0.786 level around 42,479 provides additional confirmation near the breakout point. 2. Descending Triangle Breakout: Your chart shows a descending triangle with the resistance trendline below the 42,500 area, indicating a potential breakout if the price can close above it. This pattern suggests bearish exhaustion, so a breakout above the trendline could initiate a bullish move. 3. Target Levels: You’ve set the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci extension levels as potential targets, at approximately 42,884 and 43,374 respectively. These strong resistance zones give realistic take-profit levels if the breakout occurs. 4. Moving Averages and Support: The price is supported by the 200-period moving average (black line) and is currently testing the 50-period moving average (blue line). A break and hold above the 50-period moving average could signify bullish strength. Trade Description Entry: - Enter a buy position on a confirmed breakout above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level around 42,479. Look for a strong close above this level to confirm momentum. Stop Loss: - Set a stop loss below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, around 42,340, to manage risk in case of a pullback or false breakout. Take Profit: - First target: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level around 42,884, which could serve as the initial resistance. - Second target: 2.618 Fibonacci extension level around 43,374, if bullish momentum continues. Risk Management: - Keep your risk per trade low, ideally around 1-2% of your account balance, especially if this is part of your account growth strategy.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Sthesh_Don_Billiato
FTSE China A50 Index: Navigating a Potential Major Rebound!At Vital Direction, we’ve conducted an in-depth analysis of the FTSE China A50 Index, focusing on its long-term trend and potential turning points. Since its all-time high back in October 2007, the index has experienced a complex and extended correction, which we interpret as an ongoing ABC corrective pattern within Elliott Wave Theory. Analysis of the FTSE China A50’s Correction Pattern The correction that began after the October 2007 peak appears to have taken the form of an ABC sequence, with each phase representing a significant shift in the market’s trajectory. Wave A, marking the first leg of this downturn, concluded in October 2008, reaching a notable low. Since then, we believe the index has been within a prolonged wave B, which has exhibited its own internal complexities. This B wave consolidation appears to be a second-degree ABC formation. Within this structure, we identify wave B as part of a WXY pattern, where the X wave unfolds as an ABC formation, and the B wave forms a contracting triangle (ABCDE). This intricate correction phase seems to have concluded around January of 2024. Potential for a Major Rebound and Future Outlook Following the completion of wave B, our analysis suggests that the FTSE China A50 Index is poised for a significant rebound. We anticipate that the index could retest or even break above the 2007 peak, forming a double top or establishing new highs. This potential rally, however, may be temporary, as we foresee a final leg down, wave C, completing the ABC correction. This could bring the index back toward the 2008 wave A lows, around the $5,700 level. Stay tuned for further updates from Vital Direction as we continue to monitor and refine our projections for the FTSE China A50 Index. As always, we aim to provide clear, actionable insights grounded in rigorous technical analysis. For full details, check out the links below in our signature.
FX:CHN50
by VitalDirection
SPX500 Eyes Final Rally Toward $5,930 Before Expected Reversal!At Vital Direction, our technical analysis for the SPX500 suggests that as long as the key support level of $5,802.17 holds, we anticipate a rally towards the $5,930 area. We interpret this movement as part of a final wave 5 in an overarching five-wave sequence, with wave 4 concluding in an ABCDE contracting diagonal, where wave E aligns at $5,802.17, acting as our invalidation threshold. Should this scenario unfold as projected, we expect the peak to occur within the first week of November, followed by a significant pullback or a substantial wave down. Stay tuned for further updates as we approach these critical levels and timing, and consider positioning accordingly to navigate the anticipated market shift. For comprehensive insights, refer to our latest updates. For full details, check out the links below in our signature.
SP:SPX
by VitalDirection
Russell 2k looks very good, even with rising YieldDaily The TVC:RUT looks okay, slowly grinding higher. Spreading the chart out, it's still forming the, usually bullish, Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern. Had this on a daily & weekly but the chart we see here is for the monthly (see profile for more info on where to get more data) it is easier to see the pattern on the Weekly chart. Interesting. However, we see something interesting on a monthly. Monthly it looks similar to 2008 to 2010 AMEX:IWM
TVC:RUTLong
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
SPX: s short break? After the winning streak during the last six weeks, the S&P 500 decided to relax a bit during the previous week. The index closed the week 0,3% lower, at the level of 5.808. While tech companies for one more time drove the markets higher, still, healthcare and manufacturing industries slowed down a bit. It should be especially mentioned TSLAs weekly performance, where shares of this company surged by 22%. This was the best performance of the company for the last 11 years, after TSLA posted better than expected Q3 results. The sentiment on the markets was mixed considering increased US Treasury yields and also effects of the hurricane in Florida. This mixed sentiment could continue during the week ahead, considering important macro data which is set for a release. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE index and Non-farm payrolls might bring some volatility back to markets in case of any surprises from current market expectations.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
DXY idea bearishUS Dollar (USD) rose, alongside the rise in UST yields. Dollar Index (DXY) was last at 104.26 levels. US data, including durable goods orders, Uni of Michigan sentiment surprised to the upside, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note. Daily momentum remains bullish “RSI eased lower from overbought conditions. While the recent run up continues to look stretched technically, the move higher may still extend in the interim. That said, we do also caution that the subsequent snapback may also be sharp, on any triggers or data surprises. Resistance at 104.60 (61.8% fibo), 105.20 levels. Support at 103.80 levels (200 DMA, 50% fibo), 102.90/103.20 levels (21, 100 DMAs, 38.2% fibo retracement of 2023 high to 2024 low) and 101.90 (50 DMA).”
TVC:DXY
by EZIO-FX
1