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Head & Shoulder Breakdown: Will S&P 500 Drop Another 10%?● The S&P 500 has experienced significant volatility recently, mainly due to President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs. ● On April 3, 2025, the index saw a nearly 5% drop, its worst single-day loss in five years. ● The recent price action suggests that the index has broken below the neckline of the Head and Shoulder pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend. ◉ Key support levels to watch ● 1st Support - 5,200 - 5,250 ● 2nd Support - 4,950 - 5,000
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital
Nifty 50 - Potential Reversal or Further Weakness?The Nifty 50 index has formed a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe, which generally indicates a bullish reversal. However, there are key levels to watch before confirming the next move. Key Observations: Support Levels: The 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 22,937 is a crucial support. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 22,717 is another key demand zone. A break below these levels may invalidate the bullish setup and push Nifty towards 22,400 or lower. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is near 23,157 (38.2% Fib level). A strong breakout above 23,430 (23.6% Fib) could open the door for a retest of 23,870 and beyond. Volume & Confirmation: Increasing volume at the lows suggests strong buyer interest. A confirmed breakout with volume above 23,200-23,400 will strengthen the bullish case. Trading Plan: Bullish Scenario: If Nifty holds above 22,717, we may see an upward move towards 23,400+. Bearish Scenario: A break below 22,700 could accelerate selling pressure, with 22,400-22,000 as the next support zones.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ProfitLossMereSath
SPX: When things get scary, get ready!Wave C of 4 is ongoing and quite emotional. Wave B didn't quite get high enough, so chance of a larger C wave is high. This could last for a few days to a few months depending on how long this trade shenanigans continue. But, ultimately I don't think this will be a permanent situation and once things settle, markets will recover strongly. The underlying economic strength is still intact and there is still a lot of money in the system. If the Fed does start to cut the interest rates, it will initially boost the stock market but will weaken the economic conditions significantly. That might play out the final blow off top narrative perfectly. But for now, plan is to start nibbling on SPY when SPX gets inside the box. Some kind of butterfly strategy to limit the downside risk would be the play. Below 4100 will be the time to really panic!
SP:SPXShort
by mukit1
Nifty May have bottomed on News As per Elliott wave sequence it is coming to mind that it has completed a complex correction in the form of WXYZ. Todays bottom is very important and it also related to by the fibs 61.8 level. For further rally it should cross the 23300 mark in less time then the c leg of z has completed its move downwards...the c leg has completed the move in 24 bars of 15 minutes and it will have cross it before 24bars....! finger crossed...! No buy sell recommendation. Just a view.
NSE:NIFTY
by imkhushal
Warning Signs Flashing: Dow Jones Breaks Key SupportThe Dow Jones Index has officially broken its rising trendline support, signaling a possible shift in the medium-term trend. After losing this key ascending structure, price is now hovering near the psychological support zone of 40,000, which has historically acted as both resistance and support. This level is crucial. If it holds, we could see a temporary bounce or consolidation. However, if the 40K zone fails to provide support, the index may head toward the next major support area around 38,000, aligned with the longer-term trendline support. Do like and follow us THANK YOU
TVC:DJIShort
by unichartz
Trend analysis!Hello, traders - Nasdaq-100 index broke support level 18820.00 - Likely to fall to support level 18295.00 Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the key support level 18820.00 (the previous monthly low from the end of March). The breakout of this support level 18820.00 accelerated the minor impulse wave 1 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from February. Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 18295.00 (former monthly low from September) – the breakout of which can lead to further losses to 18000.00.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by CecaRockefeller
EUR50 Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025 - EUR50 index broke support zone - Likely to fall to support level 5000.00 EUR50 index recently broke the support zone between the support level 5130.00 (which stopped waves 4 and iv at the end of Jan airy), intersecting with 50% Fibonacci correction of the extended upward impulse (3) from November. The breakout of this support zone should accelerated the C-wave of the active ABC correction (4) from February. EUR50 index can be expected to fall to the next round support level 5000.00 (target price for the completion of the active C-wave).
CFI:EUR50Short
by FxProGlobal
Trump Goes 'Cynosure' of All Eyes as He Walked Into '1930' RoomThe Striking Parallels Between Trump's 2025 Tariffs and the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930 The recent trade policies under President Trump's second administration bear remarkable similarities to the controversial Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, both in approach and potential consequences. These parallels offer important historical lessons about protectionist trade policies. Protectionist Foundations and Scope Both trade initiatives share fundamentally protectionist motivations aimed at shielding American industries from foreign competition. The Smoot-Hawley Act increased import duties by approximately 20% with the initial goal of protecting struggling U.S. farmers from European agricultural imports. Similarly, Trump's 2025 trade agenda explicitly aims at "backing the United States away from integration with the global economy and steering the country toward becoming more self-contained". What began as targeted protections in both eras quickly expanded in scope. While Smoot-Hawley initially focused on agricultural protections, industry lobbyists soon demanded similar protections for their sectors. Trump's tariffs have followed a comparable pattern, beginning with specific sectors but rapidly expanding to affect a broad range of imports, with projected tariffs exceeding $1.4 trillion by April 2025—nearly four times the $380 billion imposed during his first administration. Specific Tariff Examples The parallel implementation approaches are notable: Trump imposed a 25% global tariff on steel and aluminum products effective March 12, 2025 Trump raised tariffs on all Chinese imports to 20% on March 4, 2025 Trump imposed 25% tariffs on most Canadian and Mexican goods Smoot-Hawley increased overall import duties by approximately 20% Smoot-Hawley raised the average import tax on foreign goods to about 40% (following the Fordney-McCumber Act of 1922) Global Retaliation and Economic Consequences Perhaps the most striking similarity is the international backlash. The Smoot-Hawley tariffs triggered retaliatory measures from over 25 countries, dramatically reducing global trade and worsening the Great Depression. Trump's 2025 tariffs have already prompted counter-tariffs from major trading partners: China responded with 15% tariffs on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on oil and agricultural machines Canada implemented 25% tariffs on approximately CA$30 billion of U.S. goods The European Union announced tariffs on €4.5 billion of U.S. consumer goods and €18 billion of U.S. steel and agricultural products Expert Opposition Both policies faced significant opposition from economic experts. More than 1,000 economists urged President Hoover to veto the Smoot-Hawley Act. Trump's 2025 tariffs? Reaction is coming yet... Potential Economic Impact The historical record suggests caution. The Smoot-Hawley Act is "now widely blamed for worsening the severity of the Great Depression in the U.S. and around the world". Trump's "more audacious intervention" similarly carries "potentially seismic consequences for jobs, prices, diplomatic relations and the global trading system". These striking parallels between trade policies nearly a century apart demonstrate that economic nationalism and retaliatory trade cycles remain persistent challenges in international commerce, with historical lessons that remain relevant today. Stock market Impact Just watch the graph.. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
The Trade War Strikes Back: Market Reeling from Trump’s Tariff MThe markets are not taking Trump’s new round of tariffs lightly. As the S&P 500 dips sharply, investors are reacting to the growing tension between the U.S. and China over trade policy. The new tariffs have ignited fears of a prolonged trade war, sending shockwaves through tech-heavy sectors and dragging major names like NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:AAPL , and NASDAQ:AMZN deep into the red. 📉 What we're seeing: SP500 is breaking recent support with heavy volume. Tech sector is leading the sell-off, especially chipmakers and global exporters. Uncertainty is pushing investors toward safety, further increasing volatility. 🧠 Key takeaway: This is more than a dip—it’s policy risk priced in real time. Until there's clarity, traders should prepare for more erratic moves. Short-term sentiment has clearly flipped bearish. 💬 Are you buying the fear or staying out of the storm?
VANTAGE:SP500FT
by SmartSignalss
Opening (IRA): SPX May 16th 5130/5160/5850/5880 Iron Condor... for a 10.20 credit. Comments: High IVR/IV >21. Hesitant to add more long delta here, so going delta neutral in SPX and structuring the trade such that I receive one-third the width of the wings (30) in credit. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 19.80 Max Profit: 10.20 ROC at Max: 51.52% 50% Max: 5.10 ROC at 50% Max: 25.8% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, rolling down oppositional side on side test, but won't hesitate to take profit quickly if IV crushes in dramatically post "Liberation Day."
SP:SPX
by NaughtyPines