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Stock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal ProgressStock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal Progress As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) formed a bullish gap at Monday’s market open and, as of this morning, is trading at its highest level since early March. This is driven by the announcement from the Trump administration of progress in securing a trade deal with China, following weekend negotiations held in Switzerland. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the two-day talks with Chinese officials in Geneva as “productive”, adding that more detailed information would be shared on Monday. As a reminder, the US imposed tariffs of 145% on Chinese goods, to which Beijing responded with a 125% levy on American imports. Technical Analysis of the E-mini Nasdaq 100 Chart The chart is showing bullish signals: → The downward trendline (shown in orange) was broken around the 19,666 level, which has since acted as support (indicated by the blue arrow). → Today, the Nasdaq 100 has moved above last week’s resistance near the 20,175 level. → Market fluctuations are forming an upward channel (shown in blue) from the April lows, with the price currently sitting in the upper half of the channel—typically a sign of strong buying pressure. Further updates on the US–China trade deal may reveal key details, potentially reinforcing the current bullish sentiment in the equity markets. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
US DOLLAR Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building?TVC:DXY is finally showing signs of stabilization. The index has successfully rejected a key support level, an area where price has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level closely aligns with the psychological $100 mark, which has once again acted as a pivotal point for market participants, reinforcing its relevance as a key technical level. The recent price action confirms bullish interest, as evidenced by a strong rejection pattern within the zone, with long lower wicks and bullish follow-through candles. The support zone held firm, and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move. Now that price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued rally increases. If the bullish momentum sustains, the price could move toward the 102.500 level, a logical near-term target based on previous structure and minor resistance. However, a failure to maintain above the 100.00 handle or a sudden shift in sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the green support zone would invalidate this bullish outlook and potentially open the door for further declines. Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
TVC:DXYLong
by TrendDiva
92
NAS100 - Stock Market Expects a Devastating Week!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index corrects towards the demand range, we can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with a good risk-reward ratio. U.S. stock futures responded positively to signals from both Chinese and American officials. Looking ahead to the coming week, investor focus is squarely on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the United States—marking the first chance to assess the impact of the new tariffs implemented on April 9. Meanwhile, ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain a crucial factor, with significant implications for inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and overall market expectations. In addition to inflation data, retail sales figures and the preliminary results of the University of Michigan sentiment survey could influence market outlook regarding interest rates—especially since price stability and full employment remain core mandates of the Federal Reserve. At present, Fed officials are working to maintain a cautious stance in order to anchor inflation expectations. However, if clear signs of economic weakness emerge, that stance could shift rapidly—something that several Fed officials have already openly acknowledged. Retail sales, in particular, could provide a different narrative about the health of the economy. After a notable 1.5% jump in March, estimates suggest that growth in April slowed to just 0.1%. This deceleration may reflect consumer reluctance to spend, stemming either from inflationary pressures or broader economic uncertainty. Thursday’s data release will include the Producer Price Index (PPI), industrial production, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index—offering a clearer picture of supply-side dynamics and the performance of the industrial sector. On Friday, attention will turn to a fresh batch of economic indicators: building permits, housing starts, the New York (Empire State) manufacturing index, and especially the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey. This survey has gained importance in recent months due to notable increases in both one-year and five-year inflation expectations. As recent charts indicate, while consumer confidence has plummeted to multi-year lows, inflation expectations have trended upward—a worrisome combination that could limit the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy. Although concerns about a U.S. recession persist, recent data suggest more of a “gradual slowdown” rather than signs of an imminent crisis. In March, both the CPI and PCE indices declined, indicating a temporary easing of inflationary pressures. However, this trend may reverse in April, as the broad implementation of reciprocal tariffs likely raised import costs—particularly for Chinese goods, which now face duties as high as 145%. New estimates indicate that these tariffs could add 2.25% to core inflation over the next year, effectively reversing the progress made in 2024 on taming price pressures.Prior to the Trump administration’s tariff announcements, economists had differing views on inflation, with some expecting it to approach the Fed’s 2% annual target by year-end. Contrary to trade experts, Trump claimed that sellers would not pass these price increases on to consumers. Goldman Sachs’ analysis this week suggests that Trump’s tariffs could push inflation to levels not seen since the post-pandemic price surge. The broad import taxes announced between February and April may have a substantial impact on the economy, and consumers are likely to feel the effects first at the checkout counter. Goldman economists estimate that the tariffs could drive annual inflation—as measured by core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)—to 3.8% by December, marking the highest rate since 2023. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge rose 2.6% last year. This metric remains above the Fed’s 2% target and has shown limited progress toward that goal since 2023. The last time inflation was below this benchmark was in January 2021. A renewed wave of price increases could severely strain American household budgets—particularly if the labor market also weakens, as many economists anticipate. This would also represent a significant setback for the Federal Reserve, which has kept interest rates elevated since 2022 in an effort to combat post-pandemic inflation. While inflation hovered around 3% at the beginning of 2024 with little change, it saw a notable drop in March. Many analysts forecast that inflation will continue to decline and approach the 2% target by the end of 2025. Walker and Peng’s analysis factored in both the direct effects of tariffs—most of which will likely be passed on to consumers—and several indirect consequences. The trade war has unexpectedly weakened the U.S. dollar, reducing Americans’ purchasing power. Moreover, some manufacturers may shift production away from China, where tariffs are particularly severe, to locations with higher production costs. As a result, American consumers may end up paying significantly more for imported goods, especially in categories like consumer electronics and apparel.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
NIFTY POST MARKET ANALYSISNifty and five major sectorial constituents of Nifty analysis based on pure price action. Try to show one calendar trade but it was not visible in the screen. Sharing you numbers here. Current Calendar Spread Structure: Long: 24000 PE – 31 July 2025 Short: 24000 PE – 27 June 2025 Net Debit: ₹88 per lot Rationale: The surge in India VIX indicates heightened market volatility, making this an opportune moment to implement a calendar spread strategy. The position benefits from time decay (positive Theta) and an increase in implied volatility (positive Vega), especially if the NIFTY remains around the 24,000 level. Risk Management: Monitor NIFTY's movement closely. If it declines rapidly below 23500, the short put may become in-the-money, increasing risk. Two adjustment options we do have... Adjustment Flexibility: Be prepared to roll the short put further out in time or to a different strike if market conditions change.
NSE:NIFTY
by Siddharth_24
DXY Breakout! Bullish Momentum Targets 103.6 and 107.4 The US Dollar Index (DXY) has just made a strong bullish breakout from the 99.05–100 demand zone, confirming a reversal from its recent downtrend. This region has acted as a high-volume node and key institutional accumulation zone, as highlighted by the LuxAlgo Supply & Demand Visible Range. Key Technical Highlights: Demand Zone: The 98.5–100.5 range showed significant volume buildup and price rejection, signaling strong buyer interest. Breakout Confirmation: Price broke through minor resistance at 101.2 with strong momentum and a bullish candle close. Next Target: Eyes on 103.621, the next key resistance zone. A break above may push DXY towards 107.467, aligning with a major supply area. Volume Profile: Low volume between 101.2 and 103.6 suggests a potential quick move toward the next resistance. Indicators: RSI trending up but not yet overbought. MACD shows early bullish crossover on the 4H timeframe. Fundamentals to Watch: Upcoming USD economic data (CPI, Retail Sales, FOMC minutes). Risk-off sentiment globally could boost USD as a safe-haven play. Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice): Buy Zone: Already triggered breakout above 101.2. TP1: 103.6 TP2: 107.4 SL: Below 99.8 to invalidate the breakout thesis. What do you think? Will DXY continue its bullish move or face rejection around 103.6? Let’s discuss in the comments.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by FrankFx14
US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming (12/05/2025) 📈 US30 Breaks Out – New Highs Incoming? (12/05/2025) 🚀 US30 just smashed through key resistance at 41,400–41,700 and is now trading above 42,150 🟢. After weeks of range-bound structure, buyers finally broke the chokehold with volume and momentum confirmation. Both the 20 EMA (white) and 50 EMA (blue) are angled up — and price is riding above them. We’re in strong bullish structure 🧠. 🔑 Updated Key Levels: 📍 New Support: 41,700–41,400 (previous resistance flipped) ⚠️ Mid-support: 40,694 🧱 Major Support: 39,775 🎯 Next resistance to watch: 42,359 (previous swing high zone) 🎯 Playbook Going Forward: ✅ Hold above 41,700? → Expect continuation to 42,359 and possibly 43K+ ⚠️ Fakeout alert: If we close back below 41,400 on high volume → bear trap or liquidity grab 🧠 Pullbacks into EMAs = potential long entries with confluence 🧠 Psychology Check: Don’t short strength — wait for breakdown structure High breakout = higher risk → let price pull back to react
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
DXY Ready to Pop – Watch That 100 Break!After breaking below the key psychological level at 100 and making a low just under 98, the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a consolidation phase. Over the past three weeks, price has developed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline perfectly aligning with the horizontal resistance at 100 — a strong zone of confluence from both a technical and psychological standpoint. Despite the current hesitation under resistance, the structure suggests bullish potential. I believe we are approaching a breakout above 100, and once that happens, an acceleration to the upside is likely to follow. 🎯 Target: 102 🔒 Invalidation: A break below 98 would cancel the bullish bias. As long as the price stays above the 98 area, I remain bullish and expect the dollar to strengthen. 🚀 The breakout hasn’t happened yet — but the pressure is building.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
DXY Update – Bullish Correction in PlayAt the beginning of the month, I mentioned that the USD Index (DXY) could start a corrective move to the upside, with the 100 level being the critical line in the sand. Indeed, the index managed to break and hold above this psychological and technical level, currently trading around 100.70, well above the former resistance now turned support. My bullish outlook remains intact, and I expect the upside continuation to target the 102 zone in the coming sessions. Conclusion: For pairs like EURUSD and GBPUSD, rallies should be sold as long as this bullish momentum holds. 🚀
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US 100 Cash CFD (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 20,500 Value Area Low (VAL): 20,000 (approx. based on volume shading) Point of Control (POC): 20,062.08 High-volume nodes: Dense around 20,050–20,100 – indicative of value acceptance. Low-volume gaps: Sharp price movement through 20,150–20,250 – price could revisit here swiftly. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Cluster Zones: Order Absorption Zones: c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High Volume Spike: Near 20,500 – rejection occurred with CVD flattening. Swing Low Volume Spike: 20,000 – strong reversal point, indicates buyer interest. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Uptrend currently, but potential divergence forming. ADX Strength: CVD Confirmation: 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: Resistance: b) Gann-Based Levels: Recent Confirmed High: 20,506 Recent Confirmed Low: 20,000 Retracements: 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Short-term Bullish, but with early signs of divergence (based on projected price/CVD path) Confirmed by breakout above POC with rising CVD initially. b) Notable Patterns: Ascending Channel Breakout: Strong push above upper boundary on momentum. Volume Gap Fill Potential: Price may return to 20,250 or lower on exhaustion. POC Retest Scenario: High probability of price testing 20,062 if strength fades. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If uptrend sustains): Entry Zone: 20,250–20,300 (channel midpoint or pullback after breakout) Targets: Stop-Loss (SL): 20,150 (below volume gap midpoint) RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If divergence confirms): Entry Zone: 20,500–20,525 (fakeout/stop hunt zone) Target: Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
FX:NAS100Long
by ProspireWealth
NAS100 Reaches Major Supply Zone – Will Bulls Hold or Fade?The NAS100 has just broken into a major supply zone around 20,139 – 20,470, previously tested in late April and early May. This zone has historically triggered sell-offs, as seen from the previous price reactions. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 20,139 – 20,470 (Visible Supply Zone) Mid Support: 18,830 (Strong bounce level in April) Demand Zone: 16,948 – 17,300 (Price base with historical accumulation) What I'm Watching: If bulls break and hold above 20,470, we could see a new bullish leg higher. Failure to hold this zone could bring a sharp retracement toward 18,830 or even 16,948. Upcoming U.S. economic events marked on the chart may be the catalyst for the next move. Trade Ideas: Short-Term Bears: Look for rejection candles or fake breakouts at current highs. Trend Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest above 20,470 for longs. Swing Buyers: Watch for bullish setups around 18,830 or the demand zone at 16,948. Volume Profile + LuxAlgo Zones confirm this supply and demand setup. Smart money tends to react at these extremes—watch closely!
FX:NAS100
by FrankFx14