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Futures Steady After Wall Street Slump on Fed Rate Cut OutlookFutures Steady After Wall Street Declines on Fed's View of Fewer Rate Cuts U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserve's revised projections, which include fewer-than-expected interest rate cuts and elevated inflation expectations for next year. These updates caused a significant sell-off on Wall Street the day before. On Wednesday, the Fed announced its forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts in 2024, halving its previous projection from September. The central bank also raised inflation expectations for the early months of the incoming administration. These adjustments triggered the steepest daily declines in the three major U.S. stock indices since August. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 experienced a sharp decline of more than 3.5% due to the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates by only 25 bps. This decision created uncertainty and weighed heavily on investor sentiment. Today, the U.S. GDP report is a key event that could significantly impact the market. The GDP growth rate is projected to decline by 2.8% compared to the previous period. If the GDP data comes in below 2.8%, the market may turn bullish, potentially reaching 5971. If the GDP data exceeds 2.8%, the bearish trend could continue, with the S&P 500 targeting levels of 5885 and 5863. Key Levels Pivot Point: 5932 Resistance Levels: 5971, 5988, 6020 Support Levels: 5885, 5863, 5837 Trend Outlook Downward Trend: Likely to persist if the price remains below 5932. Upward Trend: Potential recovery if the price breaks above 5932.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX500 Will Go Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for SPX500. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 5,900.98. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,967.79 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:SPX500Long
by SignalProvider
2
Nifty Bears Take Charge – 630 Points Secured with Risological InNifty 15-Minute timeframe short trade achieved a massive 630-point profit using the Risological Trading Indicator. Trade Details: Short Entry: 17th December, 9:15 AM Exit: 19th December, 3:20 PM Total Points Captured: 630 points Technical Breakdown: This trade showcased the precision and reliability of the Risological Trading Indicator. The indicator identified a clear bearish trend early on, enabling a high-conviction short entry. The trend persisted across multiple sessions, allowing the trade to capture a significant downward movement before closing out with a sizable profit.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProfitsNinja
19.12.24 SPX 5872 : Sector RotationRegarding the last 15 to 20 months, on monthly chart, you will find the comparison between the major sectors within the SPX: semiconductors, finance, retailer goods, information technology. What is interesting: sector information technology still rising, no cut, no descending, linear rsining, not hyperpolic, which is still a sign of exuberation. The largest companies in this sector: Oracle, Microsoft, nvidia, adobe, accenture, intel, cisco, salesforce, apple. So main question is: if information technology is our favorite for 2025, which of the companies are the relative strongest and at fair price/earning. Answer will be given in separate chart. And then we will well prepared downmove in SPX which i expect in jan/feb for 10-20%. Dan, 19th of September.
CBOE:SPX
by Flyerdan
1
Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30)Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) – Bullish Reversal Opportunity This chart highlights a potential buying opportunity in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) after a sharp correction. The recent dip into a key support zone could set the stage for a bullish reversal heading into 2025. Technical Analysis: Key Support Zone: The gray zone around 41,200–41,400 represents a strong demand area. Historically, this level has acted as a base for bullish recoveries. Oversold Conditions: The steep sell-off suggests that the market might be oversold, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. Weekly Pivot: The weekly pivot line serves as a near-term resistance, and a breakout above this level could signal bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: A bounce from the support zone followed by a break above the weekly pivot would confirm the start of a new leg higher, targeting 44,000 and beyond. Fundamental Analysis: Economic Resilience: Despite recent corrections, the U.S. economy remains robust, with moderate inflation and stable growth supporting equity valuations. Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations of a pause or potential rate cuts in 2025 could reignite risk appetite, favoring indices like the DJIA. Seasonal Trends: Historically, Q1 tends to favor equities due to renewed optimism and capital inflows at the start of the year. Conclusion: Traders may consider entering long positions in the highlighted support zone, with stop-losses just below it to manage risk. A break above the weekly pivot could provide further confirmation of bullish momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by DreamsForx
Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed DecisionNasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we: → Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024; → Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone; → Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing the price to a new all-time high. Yesterday, the Fed cut the interest rate by 0.25%. Although it was anticipated, the market reaction was sharply negative. The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) dropped by approximately 4%. The steep market reaction was driven by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments during the press conference, where he stated that the FOMC plans to cut rates only twice in 2025, contrary to market expectations of four cuts. Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that: → The price remains in the upper half of the channel, supported by the 21,230 level, which previously acted as resistance (as indicated by arrows). → We can assume that the area around the median of the blue channel (marked by orange lines) could act as a barrier to further downward momentum, as medians often serve as equilibrium zones where supply and demand balance out. What’s next? According to analysts at Zacks, record highs for the tech stock index may not be a topic of discussion in the near future. There is a possibility that a local descending channel could form, potentially driving the price into the lower half of the broader upward channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
2
NAS100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalNAS100 is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,404.67 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 21,660.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 20,949.82 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
2
Mastering the trading on US 30! it is more than just an idea!Hi, I hope you all are doing well * The chart time frame on chart is 4H but all time frames were used on my analysis! * We hit together in this bearish wave ,which I spoke about before it happens, three TPs (have a look on my last two ideas which I attached their links down for you to see) and now it is more complex than before and we need to mind something I will speak about it now. * The overall big wave for US 30 is bullish and what we see in this bearish wave is just a big correction wave because the index is searching currently for its HL to settle on and return back to do another ATH and so on. That is the easy talk because the tough question now is what the index bias now and where could be that HL?! * To answer this question you need to see that chart again now quickly and read what will come below and always keep looking step by step. I do want only to tell you targets! I want you to understand too. * The index retraces from its ATH by the top yellow line, correct and lost 44735 already and I spoke a lot about the importance of that price as all that bearish wave happened because of that! * Then index kept breaking supports levels on the way down and did not care except to the target which the whalers want to send the index too to gain the power again. All the candles at the free fall were on the left side of the purple downtrend line and could not break it so far because if it will be broken, will be the end of the bearish wave but obviously the index till now did not reach to its target! * My TP2 on my last idea was at 43800 and I chose that price carefully and wisely and not further down as I expect a bullish retrace to happen from here at around 43800 or 43780 but to where it could go up to?! * Do you see now the yellow square which I wrote next to it not a safe zone? because the top and the bottom lines of that square are acting as support and resistance zone from 43780 till 43970 this area is so beloved by the market whalers to give a feeling it will go down or up then it could work out with only by luck! because the correct decision to take is to refrain or avoid to set your entry in this area at all and to be patient UNTILL the price break through above or down than that yellow square! * By going down, will send the index directly to 43435 which I said many times before that is the second most important price after 44735! and I said both those levels are game changer by all the means! losing them means further down moves like what happened with 44735 and settling and bounce up from will give the index the needed buy power back! 43435 is at the blue flag on the chart! where will be the TP of that idea ONLY if the index will continue to go down and close under by minimum 1h candle's body and not with a wick as it could retrace back before the closure of the candle then you would lose the trade! * Now have a look on the three blue curved lines and see now where they are heading to?! the first is at the 2HH which acts now as a strong support for index, the second and the third were the points where great bullish momentum started from. Now your your eyes started to see what I see )) * Now then, have a look too on the red line I drew for you to understand that this line is acting as support or resistance, again it is not by luck that it is located at 43435 which is at the TP level! * Then now have a look please on the bottom yellow line of the big rising channel where there is a very big chance still that index could go and touch that line too, but I am not sure yet about it. That is why the HL point will be when the index reaches the red pr the below yellow line )) * Before that last but it is EXTREME important! For US 30 to continue the big overall bullish wave, the 4 HL CAN NOT BE at less level that 3HH but higher or at same level is also acceptable! * Last thing! Guess what also, Do you think still that my Fib level of 38.20% will meet the index in the same point of when the index reaching to the yellow line is luck! nothing is by luck, that is the trading guys! and the beauty of it!! * I did not put a second TP because I do not want to confuse you but you already know where that will be now ;) I sat the idea on neutral not short or long! do not forget the yellow square, above it so will be bullish but down from it would be bearish and if it is meant to be bearish then you know the targets! I think now your minds are telling you 100% bearish then because the puzzle is solved now)) and all make sense! Wait, nothing in the trading is called 100% but say to yourselves, that there is a condition if it happen so I will know what I will do and I will be patient for it because nothing is called 100% and no one is perfect! Note!! My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:US30
by moustafa_marei
16
up move expected. Nifty Expiry Day: Focus Above 24000 for Upside Potential Key Observations: A decisive break above this level could open doors for further upside. Intraday Targets: Target 1: 24082 Target 2: 24140 Final Target: 24240 Trading Strategy: Bullish Bias: Maintain a bullish bias if Nifty sustains above 24000 throughout the day. Entry: Consider entering long positions above with a stop-loss below . Risk Management: Implement strict risk management rules, such as position sizing and trailing stops, to protect capital. Disclaimer: This is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading in the stock market involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Im_Inferno
Nikkei 225 Shaken by the BOJ and the FedAsian markets experienced a session of high volatility, impacted by the monetary policy decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ), along with the growing political uncertainty derived from Donald Trump's presidential campaign. The declines were led by technology sectors, while Japanese stock markets managed to trim some of their initial losses. Fed Cools Expectations The Fed met expectations by cutting rates by 25 basis points, but generated surprise by projecting a slower pace of cuts by 2025. This triggered a massive sell-off in risk assets, with the Nasdaq Composite leading the losses (-3.6%), its worst day in five months. This implied tightening hit the Asian technology sector in particular, which is sensitive to interest rate changes. The Bank of Japan and the Yen In Japan, the Nikkei 225 and the TOPIX started the session with declines of more than -1%, but closed with more moderate declines of -0.5%. The partial recovery came after the BOJ decided to keep interest rates unchanged. The BOJ reiterated its caution regarding the economic outlook and indicated that inflation could pick up in 2025, remaining close to its 2% target. Although some investors had expected a rate hike in December, the decision to keep policy steady boosted export sectors, driven by the depreciation of the yen following the announcement. Trump Adds Uncertainty Nervousness was also fueled by political tensions in the U.S., as Donald Trump doubled down on his protectionist rhetoric and his election campaign continues to generate uncertainty about global trade relations. Effects on Other Asian Markets - South Korea: The KOSPI retreated 1.7%, with declines in technology giants such as SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics. - China: The CSI 300 (-0.4%) and the Shanghai Composite (-0.7%) moderated losses on optimism about higher fiscal spending in 2025. - Australia: The ASX 200 led regional decliners with a decline of 1.8%. Perspective Overview. The combination of a tighter Fed and a cautious BOJ has added to uncertainty in Asian markets. While the stronger dollar and tightening global financial conditions are pressuring markets in the region, the weaker yen could provide some relief to Japanese exports in the near term. Attention now turns to the future decisions of major central banks, especially in the context of an increasingly fragile global economy. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:JP225Short
by ActivTrades
Potential bullish rise?S&P500 (US500) has reacted off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 38.3% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 5,868.52 1st Support: 5,788.39 1st Resistance: 5,930.95 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce?UK100 has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 8,062.33 1st Support: 7,995.40 1st Resistance: 8,178.42 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:UK100Long
by ICmarkets
DAX // Possible start of the CountertrendThe daily trend still holds at all-time highs and beyond every measurable target, but H4 has already turned south. The last clear breakout is on H1 at the countertrend line break, and the market crossed it by a couple of pips. Not significant, but still a close below the trigger level. The position should be closely watched at the daily impulse base. Either to close the trade, or to add to it. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TheMarketFlow