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Nifty 50 – End of Day Analysis (9th April 2025)🟠 Nifty 50 – End of Day Analysis (9th April 2025) 📌 Background After the wide-range spinning top on April 8, all eyes were on the RBI MPC event today. While markets typically react to such key announcements, Nifty surprised everyone with its muted response and a rangebound session. 📌 Today’s Price Action 🔹 Nifty opened slightly negative and formed its Initial Balance (IB) early on. 🔹 After the IB, the index remained stuck in a very tight range – a structure we’ve seen repeating over the last few weekly expiries. 🔹 Today’s total range was just 115 points (high to low) – the lowest in the past 14 sessions! 📉 On an MPC event day, such low volatility was quite unexpected. 🔹 With no momentum and no breakout from IB, our system didn’t trigger any trade signal, and we stayed on the sidelines. 📌 Technical Outlook Today’s candle lacks momentum and conviction. Key resistance still holds at 22,668–22,720, and support rests near 22,337. A breakout from this compression zone could decide the next trending leg. 📌 Important Levels to Watch 🔼 Resistance Zones 22,590 22,668 – 22,720 22,805 🔽 Support Zones 22,337 22,270 22,082 (Previous Swing Close) 🧠 Strategy Ahead As of now, no directional bias without a confirmed breakout. ✅ Wait-and-watch until the IB range breaks ✅ Avoid forced entries in low volatility setups ✅ Let price lead—don’t anticipate 📋 Quick Recap ✔️ IB formed, post-IB rangebound ✔️ 115 pt range – lowest in 14 sessions ✔️ MPC event day, but no buzz ✔️ System = silent = No trade ✔️ Sitting tight is also a position 🧘 Final Thought "Markets often give profits to those who master patience." Let the levels guide you — trade with calm and clarity.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
2
Path to 100 VIXI wrote this note on TVC:VIX a few days ago: www.tradingview.com And am now expanding it a bit more. As someone who was working middle office during the original 2016 Trump Election, Brexit, during the Taper Tantrum and a few other major events - I want to lay out my principles on trading the VIX because spikes like this bring a lot of "first time" VIX traders to something that trades like NOTHING ELSE in the market. This is not a stock in a short squeeze, this is not a generic index. This is like nothing you've ever traded before. In fact, I'd encourage you to take advantage of TradingView's chart options and instead look at the chart of -1*$TVC:VIX. That alone should give you pause. ---------------------------------- So - let's start with the principles of the finance business as laid out in the masterclass which was the movie "Margin Call" . "John Tuld: There are three ways to make a living in this business: be first, be smarter, or cheat." 1. Be First. You are not first if you are buying above the historic average of VIX 20-21. If you were buying CBOE:UVXY since Jan 2025, you'd be up 175% right now and likely looking to re-balance into your desired long term asset positions. 2. Be Smarter. * Are you taking into consideration the VIXEX Cycle? * Do you know the effect of VIXEX before or after monthly OpEx? * Do you know the current implied volatility curve of options ON the VIX? * Do you know that of the last 4 times the VIX has hit 50, it went on to 80+ 50% of the time after that? * Yes, I've seen the charts going around about forward S&P X year returns but did you know that after the VIX spike to 80 in October 2008, the market (in a decreasing volatility environment) went on a further 35% decline in the next 4-5 months? * Where is the MOVE? What are the bond indexes & bond volatility measures doing? And if you don't yet understand that equities ALWAYS reacts to what is going on in the rates / yield world... you'll find out eventually. I hope. 3. Cheat When things start going wrong, everyone wants an easy solution. That's why its called a relief rally. It feels like relief - the bottom is in, the worst part is over. But that is what the really big players have the biggest opportunity to play with the day to day environment. They know our heuristics. They encourage the formation of cargo cult style investing whether that's HODL in the cryptocurrencies or Bogleheads in the vanguard ETFs. It's all the same and encourages you to forgot first principles thinking about things like: 1. Is this actually a good price or is it just relatively cheap to recent history? 2. Who's going to have to dilute to survive the next period of tighter lending, import costs from tariffs, or whatever the problem of the day is. 3. VIX correlation - volatility is just a description of the markets. Its not a description of the direction. There is periods where volatility is positively correlated to the price movement (like during earnings beats). Know about this and know when it changes. 4. Etc. Some have pointed out that is more appropriately a measure of liquidity in the SPX. When VIX is low, that means there is lots of "friction" to price movement. It means that there is tons of orders on the L2 book keeping the current price from moving in any direction too quickly. When VIX is high, that means there is very low "friction" to price movement. It means there are very few orders on the L2 book and market makers can "cheat" by appearing to create a low volume rally and then rug pull that price movement very quickly (not via spoofing, more just dynamic management of gamma & delta hedging requirements). Additionally - volume itself becomes deceptive. Volume is just indicating that a trade happened. Its not telling you to what degree the spread between the bid and ask has blown out to 1x, 2x, or 5x normal and that trades are executing only at the highest slippage prices in that spread. All of these things are considerations that the market makers can use to make a "buy the dip" situation that works heavily to their advantage. TLDR: "If you can't spot the sucker in your first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker" ---------------------------------- So - why / when would VIX go to 100? In 2020, its easy to forget that a culmination of things stopped the crash at -35%. * March 17, 2020 VIXEX wiped out a significant amount of long volatility positions. * March 20, 2020 Opex wiped out a significant proportion of the short term put positions * March 20, 2020 Fed Reserve announced to provide "enhanced" (i.e. unlimited) liquidity to the markets starting Monday March 23, 2020. * April 6th, 2020 Peak of Implied Volatility (point where options "most expensive") - which meant that buyers / sellers started providing more & more liquidity following this point. In 2025, we have yet to see: * Any motion towards intervention from the Fed for liquidity. * Any motion from the significant fundamental investors (we're not close to an attractive P/S or P/E on most stocks for Buffett & Co to start buying) * Any significant motion from companies on indicating strategies about capital raises, layoffs, or other company level liquidity reactions. * Any "reset" of options in either volatility or hedging. Numbers below as of April 9, 2025: - SPY 2.8M Put OI for April 17 - VIX 3.5M Call OI for April 16 Just an example but maybe IF we see those clear and NOT get re-bought for May Opex... we might be ready to call a top here at 50 VIX. Otherwise.... we're just at another stop on the path to 100.
TVC:VIX
by from0_to_1
Intraday Entry 2Everything is pretty much explained in the picture itself. I am Abhishek Srivastava | SEBI-Certified Research and Equity Derivative Analyst from Delhi with 4+ years of experience. I focus on simplifying equity markets through technical analysis. On Trading View, I share easy-to-understand insights to help traders and investors make better decisions. Kindly check my older shared stock results on my profile to make a firm decision to invest in this. Kindly dm for further assistance it is for free just for this stock. Thank you and invest wisely.
DJ:DJILong
by Abhishekingx
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike 🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF 🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution. ☄️ Bullish Breakout Watch – 17300 Zone → Must break with clear volume injection to validate the setup. ☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 16550 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence ———— CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 16880 Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 16350 Strong Rejection from 16350 – The Ultimate Pivot Strong Rejection from 16890 – The Ultimate Pivot 🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation Twin Wicks @ 16890 – Liquidity Engineered Twin Wicks @ 17000 – Liquidity Engineered ☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory —— 💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900 💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900 💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level 👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
India along with the globe stages a recovery. Indian markets staged a recovery along with it's global peers. Although the market moved 374 points upwards. After making a high of 22697 the market closed at 22535 which is 162 points down. Which means it has formed a Bullish Doji. Now Doji candle irrespective of the colour means uncertainty, until we clear the Doji top further upside will not be possible. The doji top resistance is at 22697 and Doji bottom support is at 22270. Doji works like a cage. The bird will fly either side once the cage is broken. To know more about the kind of candles, Mother, Father lines, behavioural finance, Technical analysis, fundamental analysis read my book: The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. Nifty Supports remain at: 22270 (Doji cage support), 21743 current low of Trump Tantrum, 21289, 20790 (Channel Bottom support) and 20320. Nifty Resistances remain at: 22697 (Doji cage resistance), 23061 Mother line resistance, 23376 Father line resistance and 23894 recent market high. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DJ is setting up for a SLINGSHOT to the upside!The "crash" in the DJ could potentially bottom out by late April or early May, at least from a cyclical standpoint. That said, there's still a risk of a further decline into June, as a panic cycle is approaching. However, from a technical perspective, the weekly chart of the DJ reveals a significant demand imbalance that aligns with cyclical support, suggesting the potential for a major low. Regardless, the stage is being set for a SLINGSHOT to the upside, as capital begins to flee Europe and flow into the U.S. amid rising global tensions and uncertainty. Both the DJ and Gold are poised to reach new all-time highs ahead!
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by CGE_Trading
S&P 500 Index vs PresidentIn this layout you can see how the S&P has been performed on each presidency. Presidency terms, Obama 1st term: after the financial recession, the index was trying to recover and we saw falls from 16 to 21%, market went up 83%. Obama 2nd term: the index saw falls from 10 to 15%, Market went up 50%. Trump 1st Term: the index saw falls 3 big times 11, 21 and 34% Market went up 68%. Biden 1st Term: the index saw falls 27% and 10%, Market went up 55%. Trump 2nd Term: we are in the 1st fall 21% not sure if it will continue going down. The price wants to get closer to the 200MA every time Fibonacci levels, we are on 0.5, we still have 2 more levels down so these 3 levels could be a good entry point 😊
SP:SPX
by JorgeMz10
1
Russell 2000 INTRADAY oversold bounce back Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 1889 Resistance Level 2: 1920 Resistance Level 3: 2000 Support Level 1: 1700 Support Level 2: 1640 Support Level 3: 1590 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US2000
by TradeNation
NSDQ100 INTRADAY oversold bounce backDonald Trump’s new reciprocal tariffs are now in place, adding pressure to the global economy as he aims to reshape international trade. Unlike past moves, China hasn’t responded immediately, marking a shift from its usual quick retaliation. European and Japanese stocks fell on rising trade tensions, while U.S. futures remain steady ahead of the open. According to Goldman Sachs’s John Flood, the S&P 500 has dropped to a level where long-term investors are beginning to step in. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 18130 Resistance Level 2: 18520 Resistance Level 3: 19000 Support Level 1: 16387 Support Level 2: 16000 Support Level 3: 15490 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice. Russell 2000 INTRADAY oversold bounce back Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 1889 Resistance Level 2: 1920 Resistance Level 3: 2000 Support Level 1: 1700 Support Level 2: 1640 Support Level 3: 1590 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Nifty levels - Apr 11, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
BankNifty levels - Apr 11, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
US30 — Support Holding or Further Drop? Key Levels To WatchUS30 (Dow Jones) — 4H Chart Price is currently hovering around a key support zone near 37,000 after a strong bearish impulse. Scenarios I'm Watching: ▸ Bullish Scenario: If the support zone holds and price reclaims 37,500 — I would look for price to retest the 38,300-38,800 zone. A clean break and hold above 39,500 could open doors towards the 40,000-41,000 resistance area. ▸ Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold this support, and breaks below 36,850 — I expect further downside towards the next key supports: 35,800 34,500 33,000 Trading Plan: Waiting for clear price action confirmation at this support zone. Will avoid trading in the middle of the range — prefer breakout or retest setups. Levels marked on chart for clarity. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30
by MarketsPOV
Markets On Edge: Gold Soars, Dollar Stumbles, Bitcoin Bounces 🔍 Midweek Market Outlook: What’s Driving DXY, Gold & Bitcoin Right Now? We’re in the middle of one of the most eventful trading weeks of the year. The U.S. Dollar is retreating under policy pressure Gold has officially gone parabolic, smashing through $3,000 Bitcoin is pulling back hard, down nearly 30% from its highs These aren’t just price moves — they’re reflections of real economic stress and shifting capital flows. In this week’s outlook, I break down: 📌 The key macro drivers behind these moves 📌 How the latest inflation data, Fed tone, and geopolitics are shaping sentiment 📌 Why gold is rallying like it’s 1980 all over again 📌 And what traders should anticipate next on DXY, XAUUSD, and BTCUSD If you trade or invest in these markets, this is one of those weeks where fundamentals can’t be ignored. 🧠 Insights. 🎯 Forecasts. 🛠️ Trade Prep. Check it out — link in the comments.
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller