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DXYTHE DOLLAR INDEX . key data report ,22nd the fed chairman Powell speaks and on 24th we are expecting Unemployment Claims. watch this data as they will shape the trade directional bias. Key Factors Behind Today's Drop 1. Rising Global Risk Appetite and Strong Foreign Currencies Investors are showing increased appetite for non-dollar assets today. The euro, yen, and pound have all strengthened—most notably, the dollar fell nearly 1% against the yen after political developments in Japan and a positive outlook in Europe. European optimism was boosted by encouraging business survey results, while political clarity in Japan lifted the yen and added further selling pressure on the dollar. 2. Lower U.S. Treasury Yields Softening U.S. yields contributed to the dollar’s weakness. Lower yields typically make the dollar less attractive relative to other currencies, further encouraging outflows. Investors are reassessing Federal Reserve rate cut odds and show caution ahead of the July 31 Fed meeting. 3.Uncertainty Over Tariffs and U.S. Policy Heightened anxiety around upcoming U.S. tariffs (with an August 1 deadline) and erratic policy signals are dampening confidence in the dollar as a safe haven. Speculation over Fed independence, including market chatter about potential challenges to Chair Powell’s role, has hurt trust in U.S. monetary policy stability, fueling additional dollar selling. Conclusion The dollar index’s drop from its ascending trend line today is the result of a perfect storm of increased foreign currency strength, risk-seeking investor sentiment, declining U.S. yields, persistent policy and tariff uncertainty, All of these factors have combined to drive sellers selling momentum ,they will continue to push the index to its lowest levels and my structure is giving me 94-94.5 level. trading is 100% probailty,trade with caution.
TVC:DXYShort
by Shavyfxhub
SPX - Time for a correction? To make it very simple, Prices have been going up very nicely those last few weeks and months. Everyone is happy but as we know that can't last. NASDAQ:OPEN seems to be the latest pump and dump and it's just another sign of a coming correction imho. Most stocks I've been following have reached resistance zone, levels where profit taking is very likely. $S&P500 seems to have made a fifth wave, RSI divergence is present and confirming that. It's difficult to pinpoint the exact top of course so I'm giving myself some leeway and use a small 1% stop loss in this case.
SP:SPXShort
by ElliottWaveBelgium
1
USD Snapback - Long-Term Trendline Back in-PlayThe trendline that originated in 2001 and connected to the 2020 high came in to hold the lows in July of 2023, and then again on Easter Monday. That level also held as support in June albeit temporarily, as bears grinded a sell-off into the Q2 close. In early-Q3 trade, that trendline was resistance on a few different occasions, until buyers could eventually take it out. And then last week, on the heels of Trump's threat to fire Jerome Powell, price hurriedly pulled back until, eventually, support arrived via that same trendline projection, which is shown in black on the chart. Now that trendline is back in-play as a test of today's lows. Given the persistent failure from USD bulls to fire anything more than a pullback, combined with the very clear push for USD-weakness from the current administration, it can be difficult to muster a bullish fundamental bias. But - this move had become very one-sided with that sell-off in the first-half of the year so the way that buyers respond to these support tests will be key for whether or not the currency can finally show a reversal theme for more than a couple of weeks. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
I am 100 % short spy and qqq I am BULLISH DXY the chart posted is now setup for the cycle top On several cycles and we have just popped the Shiller p/e above 3866 second highest reading ever . Cycle are into a peak that was due 7/5 to 7/14 So why are we now turning down .? wait the energy from one of the largest solar storms is the time for the transition it is also a new moon . my spirals have called for the top as it did in 12/5 and 2/17 . I see a min drop of over 8 and could see well over 11.8 within the next 90 days . best of trades WAVETIMER
CAPITALCOM:US100
by wavetimer
1
NASDAQ Rebounding on its 1H MA50.Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded today on its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), third time since Friday's and Thursday's bounce. A Channel Up is emerging and based on the 4H RSI it is a medium-term bullish reversal off the Pivot trend-line, similar to June 20 - 30. As you can see, that Channel Up targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension before breaking below the 1H MA50 to start a lengthy consolidation. Based on that, we are targeting 23650 (Fib 2.618 ext) on the short-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
US30 continues to exhibit bullish momentumThe US30 index continues to exhibit bullish momentum, driven by strong earnings reports and robust U.S. economic data. The key support zone around 44,300 has held firm, reinforcing confidence among buyers. As long as the price remains above 44,300, the uptrend is expected to persist Upside target: 45,000 remains in focus. a focus on the 1H Candle close above 44,000 we could expect price could push more upside. You may find more details in the chart Trade wisely best of luck buddies Ps: Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by MrMartin_11
5
U.S. Dollar (DXY) bearish?Will dollar continue its bearish momentum or will it reverse? Technical Summary DXY remains in a firm bearish trend, having dropped around 11% this year. The setup is formed by a chain of lower highs and lower lows, confirming an unrelenting downtrend. Support Level: ~97.70 Resistance Zone: 98.55–98.80 Long-Term Outlook: Bearish, unless a clear break and close over the resistance zone on the daily or weekly timeframe. Technically, the momentum indicators remain weak, and the failure to sustain rallies above the 99.00 level also contributes to downward pressure further. The market is now consolidating within a narrow range after steep selling, which suggests probable continuation if macro catalysts are favourable. Fundamental and Sentiment Drivers Several macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers are underpinning the weakening of the U.S. dollar: Federal Reserve Uncertainty: Speculation over the ultimate fate of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell under political pressure from the executive branch has severely undermined investor confidence in the central bank’s independence. This has been manifested in increased volatility and bearish pressure on the dollar. Trade Policy and Tariff Risks: Ongoing trade tensions, including the possibility of sweeping tariffs (15–20%) on Chinese and European Union goods, have created a risk premium on valuations of the U.S. dollar. Market players still fear retaliation and its effects on trade stability in the world. Fiscal Position and Credit Ratings: The US fiscal deficit, which is approaching 7% of GDP, and recent credit rating downgrades to its outlook, have set alarms ringing regarding the structure. These fiscal developments have eroded the popularity of the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, particularly with foreign investors. Global Monetary Landscape: With European Central Bank and Bank of Japan maintaining policy guidance tight, and Federal Reserve already indicating that direction for a rate cut in Q4 2025 is being eyed, the falling rate differentials still maintain pressure on the dollar. Market Outlook: Week of July 21–25, 2025 Major Geopolitical and Economic Events: DATE : Ongoing EVENT : U.S.- EU & U.S. — China Trade Negotiations. MARKET RELEVANCE : High Resolution or escalation will directly impact USD demand. DATE : Mid-week EVENT : Federal Reserve Speeches (including Powell) MARKET RELEVANCE : High Monetary policy guidance and institutional stability. DATE : July 24–25 EVENT : Jobless Claims, Flash PMIs, New Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders MARKET RELEVANCE : Medium–High Labour market data, housing data, and production activity have the potential to shift rate expectations and dollar sentiment ahead of the FOMC and PCE releases. Strategic Implications Outlook: DXY remains structurally bearish in the short to medium term. Additional weakness below 98.80 and sustained closes below 97.70 would reassert downward momentum, risking a further retracement to the 96.00-95.50 region. Possible Bullish Reversal Triggers: A conclusive resolution to U.S. trade negotiations. Unexpectedly solid economic data (particularly core inflation or employment). Hawkish Fed commentary supporting policy tightening expectations. Last thoughts The U.S. Dollar Index is currently at structurally weak technical and fundamental foundations. Absent a sudden reversal of the monetary policy message or geopolitical resolution, the path of least resistance appears to remain to the lower side. Market participants need to pay special attention to upcoming economic data releases, central bank rhetoric, and trading news because any one of them could be a pivotal driver of near-term dollar behavior.
TVC:DXYShort
by NordKern
US30 Robbery Blueprint: Breakout, Pullback, Escape Setup💎 Dow Jones Robbery Blueprint: The US30 Vault Crack Plan 💎 (Maximized for reach — within TradingView title limit) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Market Robbers & Money Movers 🕵️‍♂️💰🚨 This ain't your average analysis — it’s a Thief Trader-style 🔥tactical mission🔥 aimed at the mighty "US30/DJI" (Dow Jones Industrial Average). We're talkin' about a precision heist with a full blueprint: entry zones, trap setups, and escape exits. Read carefully — this ain’t for the faint-hearted traders! 🧠🦾 🧠 Entry Zones (The Break-In) 📈 🛠 ENTRY 1: Crack the wall near 44700.00 – that’s the resistance gate. Wait for confirmation. 🎯 ENTRY 2: Sneak in at the Market Makers’ Trap around 43500.00 – a dirty zone where retailers get baited. Perfect time to strike long! 🧱 DCA/Layering strategy recommended. Stack those buy orders like a thief layering explosives on a safe. 💣💸 🛑 Risk Levels (Escape Routes/Stop Loss) 🔊 "Listen up, vault raiders! Never drop your SL until breakout is confirmed. If you jump early, you might land in a bear trap! 🪤" 🔐 Stop Zones (Based on Strategy): 📌 Swing Buy SL (2H TF): Place at 44100.00 for the stealth buy. 🏦 Institutional SL (Swing Zone): Drop it around 43000.00 🔐 Max Risk SL (3H TF): If you're deep, your last stand is at 39200.00 ☝️ SL depends on your position sizing, number of entries, and risk appetite. Trade like a thief, not a gambler. 🎯 Heist Target (Profit Exit) 🏁 Escape Point: 46200.00 — or exit before heat rises! Don’t be greedy. Rob and vanish. 💨💰 🔥 Market Mood: Why the Heist Is On "US30/DJI" is bullish AF — thanks to: 📊 Macro-Economic Wind at Our Back 📈 Institutional momentum 📰 Strong sentiment and intermarket flows Check your chart radar: Fundamentals + technicals aligning = green light for robbery! 🟢 ⚠️ Tactical Reminder: News Can Jam the Plan 📵 Avoid new entries during major economic releases 🛡 Use trailing SLs to protect running trades Stay alert, stay alive. 💡 ❤️ Support the Robbery Crew Hit that 💥BOOST💥 — your love fuels our next mission. Join us and ride daily heist plans with Thief Trading Style 🏴‍☠️🚀💰
FX:US30Long
by The-Thief
7
"NASDAQ 100 Heist – Scalp, Swing, or Hold? (Full Plan)🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST PLAN – BULLISH LOOT AWAITS! 🔥 🚨 Attention Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🚨 (Swing/Day Trade Strategy – High-Risk, High-Reward Play) 🎯 Mission Objective: Loot the NDX100/US100 (NASDAQ 100) Like a Pro! Based on Thief Trading’s ruthless technical & fundamental analysis, we’re executing a bullish heist—targeting the Red Zone (high-risk, high-reward area). ⚠️ WARNING: Overbought market, consolidation zone, potential bear traps—weak bears may get slaughtered! Strong hands only! 🔐 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN! "SWIPE THE BULLISH LOOT!" – Any price is a steal, but smart thieves use: Buy Limit Orders (15m-30m TF) near recent swing lows/highs. DCA/Layering Strategy – Multiple limit orders for max loot. Breakout Confirmation – Don’t jump in early; wait for the real move! 🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Stash! Thief’s SL Rule: Nearest 4H swing low (22,600) – WICK LEVEL ONLY! DO NOT place SL before breakout! (Patience = Profit.) Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders. 🎯 TARGETS: Escape Before the Cops Arrive! Main Take-Profit: 24,400 (or exit early if momentum fades). Scalpers: Longs ONLY! Use trailing SL to lock in profits. Swing Traders: Ride the wave like a true market pirate! 📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Why This Heist Will Work Bullish momentum in NDX100 driven by: Macro trends (Fed, inflation, tech earnings). COT Report & Institutional positioning. Geopolitical & Sentiment Shifts. Intermarket correlations (USD, Bonds, Tech Sector). (Stay updated—markets change FAST!) ⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing SL = Your best friend. Lock profits early if volatility spikes! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to strengthen our robbery crew! 🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🚀
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by The-Thief
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 21, 2025 – Monday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 21, 2025 – Monday 🔴 “Shock, Squeeze, and a Strong Close — Bulls Reclaim 25K” Today’s move was nothing short of shocking. In the first 45 minutes, Nifty plunged more than 150 points, breaking through key levels and touching 24,882. But what followed was a V-shaped recovery that caught both Friday’s shorts and those who shorted below PDC/PDL completely off guard. The index powered up to mark a day high of 25,080, and sustained above CPR and VWAP throughout most of the session. A final push came around 2:55 PM, breaking the intraday trendline and CDH, registering a fresh high before closing near the top at 25,090.70. ✅ Bulls not only held 25K — they dominated the battlefield all day, recovering almost everything lost during Friday’s drop. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,999.00 High: 25,111.40 Low: 24,882.30 Close: 25,090.70 Change: +122.30 (+0.49%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 91.70 points → strong bullish body Upper Wick: 20.70 points → slight hesitation near highs Lower Wick: 116.70 points → deep intraday buying from the lows 🔍 Interpretation Mildly negative open, followed by a sharp 150-point fall Buyers stepped in strongly near 24,880, triggering a sharp reversal V-shape recovery sustained above CPR & VWAP, closing near high Close is not just above open — it’s above Friday’s close and 25K mark 🕯 Candle Type Hammer-like Bullish Reversal Candle — Long lower wick with green body, signaling strong dip buying and possible short-term trend reversal 📌 Key Insight Strong defense at 24,880–24,900 created the base for reversal Close above 25,090 shifts near-term bias in favor of bulls 25,110–25,140 is the next resistance to watch As long as we stay above 24,900, buyers hold the edge 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 186.31 IB Range: 166.8 → Wide IB Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced 📉 Trades Triggered: 10:09 AM – Long Trade → ❌ SL Hit 📌 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,125 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 Support Levels: 25,037 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,965 24,894 ~ 24,882 24,825 24,800 ~ 24,768 💭 Final Thoughts 🧠 “Volatility doesn’t confuse the market — it reveals who’s in control.”Today’s V-shaped reversal erased all doubts from Friday’s fall. Buyers didn’t just defend — they counterattacked and reclaimed 25K with authority.Follow-through above 25,125 on Monday could confirm trend resumption. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia