Review and plan for 21st July 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Market indices
15_MinThis is a 15-minute timeframe chart, where each candlestick represents 15 minutes of trading activity. It is primarily used by intraday traders and scalpers to identify short-term trends, breakout zones, and momentum plays.
This chart of the S&P 500 (SPX) reflects intraday movements with real-time tracking of support/resistance zones, volume spikes, and short-term patterns.
The SET Index has recently retested a major long-term support The SET Index has recently retested a major long-term support level, with the latest monthly candle showing a strong rebound. The large green candle clearly reverses the direction of several previous months' declines, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment.
This decisive price action indicates strong buying interest at a critical support zone, reinforcing its technical significance. The recovery is especially notable on the monthly timeframe, where the rebound stands out more clearly.
Additional observations:
Price closed well above recent lows, reflecting firm rejection of further downside.
Momentum indicators are stabilizing, hinting at a possible pause or reversal in the downtrend.
If this upward move continues, immediate resistance lies in the 1270 area.
Monitoring price action in the coming weeks will be key to assessing whether this is the start of a broader recovery or a short-term bounce.
Weekly Review: The S&P and NASDAQ once again hit all time highs during the week starting Monday 14 July. Which is a sign of confidence despite the ongoing external threats (tariffs / Middle East). I've noticed the current earnings season wasn't approached with as much trepidation as recent earnings seasons have been. Of course, that could come crashing down as companies continue to report over the next couple of weeks.
Once again, the currencies didn't quite react in accordance with the overall 'positive risk environment'. As each of the 'risk off currencies' offers their own separate challenges:
Ever since the recent NFP data, the USD had been strong, the FED continues to maintain a view for a 'slow pace of rate cuts' and US data backs up that view. Particularly this week's retail sales data, even CPI, although relatively benign, wasn't soft enough to warrant a 'FED pivot' towards a more dovish stance. The USD spent most of the week on the front foot, although the 'higher for longer' narrative was put to the test when the president once again offered his views on Mr Powell. Also FED board member WALLER chipped in with some dovish comments. Currently, it's up in the air as to how many more rate cut the FED will implement before year end (if any). The narrative at the July FOMC meeting could go a long way to determine the dollar's direction for the rest of the summer. But ultimately, it'll be the data that decides.
Recently, I've been encouraged by the re-emergence of JPY weakness. This past week, I put any periods of JPY strength down to profit taking before this weekends election. I need to do some reading regarding the implications of the result. But I'm 'hopeful' that over the coming weeks and months the 'old fashioned, JPY short 'risk on trade', will be prevalent.
The CHF continues to have a mind of it's own. It could be tracking EUR strength, it could be the article I read about gold, it could be SNB intervention, It could be random, or something I'm not aware of. Ultimately, until I'm comfortable the CHF is back in correlation with the risk environment, my preference is to short the JPY instead.
In other news, disappointing AUD data took the shine off the hawkish RBA. But I still view the AUD as a good 'risk on' long.
I'll begin the new week with an open mind. My preference remains for 'risk on' trades. But it's a case of keeping up to date with all of the narratives, if momentum aligns with logic and a narrative. And you feel comfortable with a stop loss and profit target, place the trade. But, be aware that the narrative the market is focused on can change from day to day.
On a personal note, it was a week of two trades. A post US CPI 'risk on' AUD JPY long. The trade stopped out. And as discussed during the week, it was one of those situations where if I would have been at the charts and hour later, I would have traded a different pair. That's life.
The second trade was AUD USD long. Post WALLER'S dovish comments, I felt the USD short momentum could continue. On my account the trade hit profit by the skin of its teeth before reversing. Again, that's life. Sometimes you get good luck, sometimes you get bad luck. I feel it's important to acknowledge good luck, as we often only focus on the bad luck we have.
The USD is finely poised and I'm intrigued to see where the data and rate cut narrative takes it over the coming weeks.
Results:
Trade 1: AUD JPY -1
Trade 2: AUD USD +1.2
Total = +0.2%
US30 - Pattern & SMA PerspectiveDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Pattern suggests there is room for more upside action.
1) SMA's are weaving - tight state - accumulation
2) As long as price respects the pattern a bullish breakout is likely.
Keynote:
A very healthy bull trend full of liquidity lies beneath this holding pattern
An unforeseen fundamental catalyst may force a correction at any time
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NAS100 - Pattern & SMA PerspectiveDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Not much new to report...
Exhaustion rising wedge continuation
1) Short corrections, new demands keep forming.
2) Can price break out to ignite an even steeper climb?
3) Or will price keep on respecting the wedge above 22900?
4) Still no catalyst to ignite a free fall...
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: KSE-100 (PSX) – 20 JULY 2025 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: KSE-100 (PSX) – 20 JULY 2025
The index has completed its spike phase marked in light blue color channel and has transitioned into a channel phase marked with yellow channel. This channel phase signifies deeper pullbacks and slower upward movement.
The index recently gave a break of structure at around 137600 and marked a high of 140594. We expect the pullback to continue downwards, potentially retesting the LTF at 137600, before resuming the third leg of this channel phase.
The market remains in long, and every dip is considered a buying opportunity.
1_Day_ChartThis chart represents the 1-day (Daily timeframe) price action of the S&P 500 Index (SPX), offering a focused view of market sentiment, key levels, and trend momentum as of . Each candlestick reflects a full trading day.
📊 Chart Parameters:
Instrument: S&P 500 Index (SPX)
Timeframe: 1D (1-Day)
Exchange: NYSE / NASDAQ Composite (tracked as index)
Date Range Displayed: Past 3–6 months (approx.)
NASDAQ Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 22,780 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 22,780 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NIKKEI Buy Plan — ATH Breakout Incoming!🚀 NIKKEI Buy Plan — ATH Breakout Incoming!
Buyers should stay alert and confident — NIKKEI is not just aiming to break its previous all-time high, it's preparing to print a brand new one. The recent price action shows strong bullish continuation, supported by:
✅ Weekly Fair Value Gap respected and driving upward
✅ Monthly FVG served as solid foundation
✅ No sign of rejection candles, just healthy retracements
✅ Liquidity magnets overhead are pulling price aggressively
Expect big bullish candles to form soon as price targets external liquidity.
Momentum is on buyers’ side — new ATH is not a matter of "if", but "when"!
The 3-Step Rocket Booster Strategy – UK100 Bullish Breakout 🚀 The 3-Step Rocket Booster Strategy – UK100 Bullish Breakout Brewing
The UK100 Index is currently aligning perfectly with a high-probability setup I call the 3-Step Rocket Booster Strategy
— a momentum-based play designed to catch strong breakouts before the crowd reacts.
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🔍 Strategy Breakdown:
✅ Step 1: Price above the 50 EMA
This signals short-term bullish momentum. The UK100 has cleared the 50 EMA decisively, with candles holding strong above it — suggesting buyers are stepping in aggressively.
✅ Step 2: Price above the 200 EMA
Now we’ve got long-term trend confirmation. The index is trending above the 200 EMA, meaning bulls have full control of the higher timeframe direction.
⚠️ Step 3: The Gap-Up with Volume Confirmation
Here’s the key — the "booster". We’re watching for a gap-up move , validated by a Volume Oscillator breakout . While
price has already lifted, the volume hasn’t exploded just yet — this is the final ignition phase before liftoff.
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📈 Technical Indicators:
MACD: Bullish crossover active — momentum building
Volume Oscillator: Starting to curve upward, hinting at upcoming volume expansion
EMAs: 50 EMA > 200 EMA = confirmed bullish structure
Support Zones : Holding cleanly above recent resistance-turned-support, adding confluence
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🟢 Trade Insight:
We are now sitting in the perfect entry zone — price is in the pocket before volume confirms . Once volume breaks out, we could see a parabolic move , especially if global market sentiment remains stable.
🎯 Potential Targets :
First target: Recent high (psychological + structural level)
Second target: Measured move based on gap range extension
Risk: A close below the 50 EMA invalidates the setup
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🔁 Summary:
This setup ticks all three boxes of the 3-Step Rocket Booster Strategy .
The smart money is positioning before the volume shows up. The UK100 is a strong bullish candidate with low-risk entry and high reward potential — don’t ignore this one .
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📌 Disclaimer: Always use proper risk management. Trade the setup, not the emotion.Use a simulation trading account before you trade with real money
Let me know if you’re tracking this setup too 👇
Wkly Market Wrap: Nifty Under Pressure, S&P 500 Hits Record HighThe Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,968, down 180 points from the previous week's close. It traded within a tight range, posting a high of 25,255 and a low of 24,918—perfectly aligning with the range I’ve been tracking between 25,600 and 24,700.
As I’ve been highlighting over the past few weeks, the monthly chart continues to show weakness, and now even the weekly chart is starting to reflect bearish signals. This growing weakness is a notable concern.
What to Watch for Next Week:
If Nifty sustains above 25,100, we could see a potential rebound toward the 25,400–25,450 resistance zone.
However, a breakdown below this week's low of 24,918 opens the door to a retest of key support near 24,500.
What’s interesting is that, despite Nifty’s indecision, the number of bullish stocks on the monthly time frame has increased significantly. Last week, there were 18 such stocks on my radar; now that number has jumped to 26, even after excluding about 10 others that showed bullish patterns but had high volatility.
This divergence—index showing weakness while quality stocks turn bullish—could indicate a possible bear trap being set by institutional players. If true, we might see a sharp short-covering rally after a final shakeout.
Nifty Outlook:
For the upcoming week, I expect Nifty to remain range-bound between 25,400 and 24,500. A decisive breakout or breakdown from this range could lead to sharp directional movement, so traders should stay alert.
Global Markets: S&P 500 Soars to New Highs
The S&P 500 closed at a record high of 6,296, with a weekly high of 6,315 and low of 6,201. The index remains in strong uptrend mode.
A breakout above 6,315 could see it testing 6,376, 6,454, and potentially 6,500 in the coming sessions.
My next major Fibonacci target is 6,568.
As long as 6,149 holds on a weekly closing basis, I continue to view every dip as a buying opportunity.
Final Thoughts:
The Indian markets are sending mixed signals, with the broader index showing caution while individual stock strength is quietly building. This divergence warrants a tactical approach—stay nimble, respect levels, and be ready for sharp reversals or breakouts.
Next week could be crucial. Stay focused, stay disciplined.
Miss This Watchlist, Miss Next Week’s OpportunitiesHey friends,it’s Skeptic 🩵 hope you’re having a great weekend!I know it’s the weekend, so a lot of you are probably chilling away from the charts, but for some, trading’s such an addiction that even weekends can’t keep you away. In this video, I’m gonna break down my weekly watchlist for you. Knowing it will help you miss fewer good opportunities, avoid FOMO, and have a plan ready for different scenarios and events.
Don’t forget money management , and stay clear of FOMO. & if it helped smash that boost bottom and follow for more !
DOLLAR INDEX TO COMPLETE WAVE 5 TARGET at 98.866In this short video I dive into the technical breakdown of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) as it approaches the anticipated Wave 5 surge, aiming for the key resistance level of 98.866. Using Elliott Wave Theory, this analysis maps out the market’s current structure on the 4 hours timeframe, highlights critical pivot zones, and projects the bullish momentum that could reshape short-term outlooks. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious observer, this chart-driven insight offers clarity in the wave progression and what might come next.
Monday till thursday expiry rangeAs long as vix value is under 11.24 crossing pivot and going on top is not possible as per my mathematical range calculation (accuracy is 80%).
If it is near 25111 level on Thursday (and ind vix is less than 11.24) a very good time to make handsome money as market will touch 24946.27 level (probability s 80%)
For Monday we should follow buy the dip as long 24920 is intact.
Breaching 24920 market will show 24800-24781 as first target. If 30 min candle stays below this level (24780) then next tgt will be open. Will keep you posted if anything changes.
Caution: I am not SEBI registered it is my mathematical analysis and it is not buy or sell recommendation
How To Trade A Bullish 2618 Setup on the GER40A walkthrough of the 2618 Trading Strategy which is a secondary or more conservative way to enter a double top/bottom. In this case, due to the overall directional analysis of the Dax, this also might be a good opportunity to hop on a pullback for a larger bullish trend continuation trade.
2618 RULES
Step 1 - Look for double top or double bottom.
Step 2 - Wait for violation of peak.
Step 3 - Look for pullback into a minimum 61.8 Fibonacci retracement.
Hope you guys have a great week of trading and remember to let me know which profit target method you think you would go with.
Akil
7/21/25 ((NAS100)) analysisPrice is definitely going up
may come down to quickly tap the daily FVG first
perhaps in the beginning of the week
---Monday/Tuesday style but not married to that Idea
could also come back to hit that volume weekly line thing
I just decided to implement lol who knows
anyways I plan to be in BUYS all week long BABYYY
USD Is Still Bullish! Wait For Buys!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USD
The DXY has run bullish last week, up into an area of Supply, where the momentum hesitates now. Next week may pull back a bit... before continuing higher to the buy side liquidity.
Look out for the short term pullback to the W +FVG for a high probability move higher!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NIFTY50.....Where are the targets?Hello Traders,
The NFTY50 failed to make new high's, but has achieved my long-term target @25577 points.
It also broke below the trend-line, connecting the high's of 25116 to 25222. This is a bearish sign!
I have labelled the chart as a w-x-y pattern, that could also morph into an a-b-c!
But what to expect for the coming sessions?
Chart analysis.
The weakness at chart is not done to my view!
In normal, a corrective move, here a possible wave ((iv)), pink, will return to a wave 4 of lower degree. So we should expect a target range at or around the 24000 points! If so to come, this would be potentially buy_area! A break to the upside is not in (my) the cards. Too much overlapping waves, buy and immediately sell-orders..... This is not how an impulse look like!
Of course; a wave iv correction can morph into a w-x-y pattern. And if so, the price would extend to an 2.618 Fibo after it was complete!
Again. The correction look like not complete, and it will be interesting how markets will answer on Monday.
So, that's it for today!
Have a great weekend.....
Ruebennnase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.