Market indices
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels.
First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here.
However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesnโt hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it.
Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, thereโs a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel.
This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
Trade war impact on Nasdaq 100Trade wars are escalating, and this time the United States is in conflict with nearly every major economy. In this video, I explain why this shift could have a massive impact on global markets and what it means for traders right now.
I walk through the historical parallels from 95 years ago, when similar tariffs deepened the Great Depression and led to an 80 percent drop in the Dow Jones. A decade later, World War II followed. While no one wants to see that repeated, economic tension is clearly building.
We take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100, which is now trading below its 200-day moving average. I explain why the technical setup suggests further downside and how traders might look to short into rallies rather than chase the current move.
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4 April Nifty50 important level & trading zone #Nifty50
99% working trading plan
๐Gap up open 23273 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 23332, 23393
๐Gap up open 23273 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23192, 23113
๐Gap down open 23192 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23273, 23332
๐Gap down open 23192 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23113, 23063
๐ซbig gapdown open 23113 above hold 1st positive trade view
๐ซbig Gapup opening 23332 below nigetive trade view
๐For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
Trade War PerspectiveSure, tune in to your favorite youtube finance doomer or the news, and it will sound like the end of the world has arrived.
I personally feel like this tariff crisis is cover to air out all the dirty laundry that's been hidden the last few years. The AI bubble, the stimmy repayment, the imaginary gold, the "forgot how to grow economy" (credit that last one to Eurodollar University), etc etc.
Take a look at this chart. If this is "the end" we have BARELY begun the descent. These types of corrections happen routinely. The point is, don't panic. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY and don't get emotional.
Good luck out there. Don't get flushed down the tariff toilet.
DXY Chart SummaryEh bro, this chart showing two roads for Dollar Index lah.
If price can break above that 100 level ah, then maybe will fly up to 92-94 area (last resistance zone).
But if kena reject at 100, then jialat, price can drop back down to 110 area again.
So now hor, this green box is the decision point โ break or reject.
Wait for clear move first, donโt simply jump in."
Strong Buying Zone with Confident The Green 4h Zone Acts as Strong Buying Zone.
The Blue Zone POC/IC (Point Of Interest or Institutional Candle) is weak Support now since it been tested before.
The Fresh Zone is the Green 4h which acts as Decent Support Zone.
We have two Scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly Within Green Buying Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of green Buying Zone.
Both indicate Buyers Stepping in strongly.
Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF.
Regards,
Take care.
Exit while you canThere will most likely be a market halt some time this week and next week. Watch out. Cash is king!
3/4/25 Trump Reciprocal Tariffs
Yesterday's candlestick opened lower but reversed to close as a big bull bar in its upper half with a prominent tail above.
However, the market traded significantly lower after the market closed. The market will open lower than the March 13 low today.
Again, the bulls hope buyers are below the gap down, similar to March 31st and yesterday April 2nd.
They want any follow-through selling to be limited, and the market to trade up after that.
The bears hope to get follow-through selling after a brief pullback. They want the market to close near its low.
Usually, when the market is opening significantly lower, which means that there are a lot of sell orders at the open.
The market makers have to quote a price they are willing to buy for the stocks that they are trading. Usually, that price is near the day's low.
So, at the open, if you are buying stocks that are gapping down, you are buying with the market maker.
After the market opens, if there is no fresh selling, the market may then slowly float up, letting the market maker slowly clear off their position (remember, they bought at the open, buying when everyone has put an order to sell at the open).
However, if there is fresh selling, the market then may continue to sell off after a brief pullback. If this is the case, then it can be a bearish day.
The reason is that the market maker has been caught long at the open, and the fresh selling continues to push prices past their entry.
The next price they would want to buy would be much lower. So if there are fresh large selling orders in the respective stocks after the market opens, the market makers would bid a lot lower so that they are not run over by a freight train.
For today, traders will see if buyers will buy the gap down open like they did on March 31st and April 2nd.
Or will the market form a brief pullback, and then continue to selloff into the close? If this is the case, the market may not be in a good place moving forward.
The Leonardo (D)assaultIt is not a secret that Europeโs defence landscape has shifted dramatically to a pace unseen since the Cold War. In 2022, Central and Western Europeโs combined military outlays reached $345 billion, surpassing 1989 levels as the Cold War ended1. Where there is a commonly cited โpeace dividendโ, this is the era reaping the rearmament rewards. Even traditionally pacifist countries are upping their defence outlays, while frontline states like Poland and the Baltic nations are planning well above 2% of GDP (the NATO defence spending target) to bolster their militaries.
Of note, European officials, including the European Central Bank (ECB) (monetary) policymaker Olli Rehn, have explicitly called for joint EU programs to fund air defence and drone production to support Ukraine and strengthen Europeโs own defence, even if it means loosening fiscal rules2. When the monetary policy folks start weighing in on defence spending, it is best not to ignore it.
Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA, are integral to Europeโs defence-industrial base and they will be pivotal beneficiaries of the continentโs rearmament. Crucially, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)โfrom surveillance drones to combat-capable systemsโare an area where both firms are actively developing capabilities, aligning with Europeโs defence priorities.
Dassault Aviation, long synonymous with fighter jets, spearheaded Europeโs stealth unmanned combat air vehicle (UCAV) demonstrator nEUROn. Launched in the 2000s as a multinational project, nEUROn was led by Dassault Aviation with contributions from several European partners including Leonardo SpA (then Alenia)3. nEUROn combines many of the critical components of modern warfare systems including autonomous flight controls and low-observable (stealth) design. The project is also demonstrative of pan-European collaboration in UAVs. Not to be outdone, Leonardo SpA has developed its own family of medium drones (such as the Falco UAV series). Not to mention, its collaborations with companies like BAE Systems in the Eurofighter Typhoon and next-gen Tempest/GCAP fighter programs.
In essence, Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA are key enablers of Europeโs push for strategic autonomy in defence and are poised to benefit from the pivot to UAVsโa shift that began slowly at the beginning of the 21st Century and accelerated meaningfully with the experience gained from the conflict in Ukraine. European militaries have been paying attention; drones have proven their value for reconnaissance, target acquisition, and even precision strikes, fundamentally changing battlefield dynamics. It is a UAV world; legacy tech is just living in it.
While Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA arenโt major producers of small drones, it is not as though the two are going to be left behind. Leonardo SpA is developing anti-drone defences and electronic jamming systems. This makes sense. Increased drone usage increases demand for counter-UAV technologies, an area where Leonardo SpAโs electronics division is poised to benefit from radar and laser-based drone neutralisation4.
Alliances are the way forward
The surge in European defence spending is expanding the pie for industry, but itโs also intensifying both competition and collaboration among defence contractors. Interestingly, in the realm of UAVs, collaboration is often seen as the fastest way to close capability gaps. Both Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA have shown a willingness to team up with traditional competitors or even non-European firms when strategic.
To this point, Leonardo SpA embarked on a joint venture with Turkeyโs Baykar Technologies to produce UAVs in Italy to exploit Baykarโs Ukraine combat-proven designs with Leonardoโs sensors and electronics. In a rapid turnaround, the venture plans to deliver its first product (based on Baykarโs Akฤฑncฤฑ heavy drone) within 18 months5. And this is unlikely to be a one-off. Leonardo SpAโs CEO recently emphasised โalliances would be the way forwardโ to boost defence production without excessive new infrastructure6. The underlying theme is straightforward โ making more stuff quickly is the goal.
Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA find themselves at the nexus of this transformationโbolstered by macroeconomic trends and political resolve and delivering the technologies that will define European security in the coming decades. The unfolding emphasis on UAVs is a microcosm of the broader story: drones have moved from peripheral acquisitions to must-have capabilities. UAV development, in particular, stands out as both a growth avenue and a strategic imperative. Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA are leveraging their deep expertise and forging new partnerships to ensure Europeโs militaries have the drones they require.
Conclusion
The narrative? Reallocation and rearmament. The timeline might be best described as โdefence for the long runโ. The beneficiaries are those positioned to meet Europeโs capability gaps. Dassault Aviation carries the mantle of Europeโs aerospace prowess and is now backed by a strong wind of political will and funding.
Sources:
1World military expenditure reaches new record high as European spending surges | SIPRI
2ECB's Rehn calls for joint European investment in air defence, drones | Reuters
3Dassault nEUROn to fly again, driving Franceโs new combat drone development - AeroTime
4Leonardo projects โฌ30 billion in revenue by 2029 | Shephard
5Italy's Leonardo, Turkey's Baykar to set up drone joint venture | Reuters
6Leonardo CEO denies talks with automakers on military production | Reuters
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NAS100 LOSSCome cry with me. I took 2 losses that hurt my account before heading my direction, Today I am already in targeting a 5m POI. We got to develop our emotions, no matter what. No impulsive trades are allowed though, I rather be calculatedly wrong than impulsively wrong. Happy Trading
$SPX - Top of the MountainSPX is once again, since its uptrend began on 11/06/2023, breaking below the 3-month simple moving average and now also the Monthly Heiken Ashi average (black stepped line).
This time, it seems to have the conditions to start its descent from the mountain and confirm that we reached the top on 02/18/2025.
Looking at the vast majority of stocks in todayโs pre-market, this appears to be the scenario.
And this impacts my recent positions. In this scenario, it will seek the 1-year simple moving average, where it should make a pullback (HH or LH?).
Time for caution and to avoid new long entries.
Is 5,700 the New 6,000?The S&P 500 has struggled recently, and some traders may see risk of further downside.
The first pattern on todayโs chart is the three-day jump above 5,700 early last week. The move peaked around the January low of 5,773. It also represented a false breakout above the November low of 5,696.50.
In other words, two former support levels have emerged as new resistance.
Itโs also reminiscent of the price action in January and February, when failure to hold 6,000 triggered selling.
Next, last weekโs high occurred at the 200-day simple moving average. That may suggest the longer-term uptrend has ended.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained below the 21-day EMA. That may indicate that a shorter-term downtrend has begun.
Finally, given the weakening momentum, traders may start eyeing longer-term levels for potential support. One potential spot could be the September low of 5,403, followed by the August trough of 5,119.
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US30 Weekly Analysis 3.31-4.3Push to the upside today but overall still see us30 bearish and could potentially hit 41000 and even 40750.
Price is below our 4 hr MAs and still below our key levels and trend line on the higher time frame.
DXY going downDXY is ready for a leg down, after bear div and topping within projected time on Daily. On 4H it's building up to a nice #SBS shape, where we can expect a move down. 4H time projection says downwards into start of, or mid, February.
Dow Jones INTRADAY bearish below 42375Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42375
Resistance Level 2: 42846
Resistance Level 3: 43288
Support Level 1: 40560
Support Level 2: 40000
Support Level 3: 39637
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P INTRADAY bearish below 5636President Donald Trump imposed the highest U.S. tariffs in a century, aiming to reshape the global economy. This move triggered threats of retaliation and a sharp market selloff worldwide. Stock markets reacted quickly and negatively. U.S. equity futures dropped as investors worried about corporate earnings. European and Asian stocks also declined. The dollar fell to a five-month low, while investors sought safety in Treasury bonds, and the yen strengthened.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5636
Resistance Level 2: 5713
Resistance Level 3: 5790
Support Level 1: 5413
Support Level 2: 5262
Support Level 3: 5200
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NQ: An ongoing storm after tariffs came into effect!Good day!
Finally tariffs are on! A response from worldwide is imminently expected.
NQ and all US equities, US dollar and Bonds and anything from US are in a free fall!
A definition of a self-inflicted destruction!
Anyhow...Today's plan: A shy bounce (23.6 Fib) during Asian session. Price created a bearish flag that is already broken. A retest around 38.2 fib (19115) is possible if Service data is inline.
Otherwise, price will continue the down move.
DXY just broke below the 1W MA200 after 6 months!The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) broke today below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since the week of September 30 2024). By doing so, it has almost hit the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up.
The last contact with the 1W MA200 initiated a massive Bullish Leg two weeks after, so it would be an encouraging development if the candle holds here or better yet even close above the 1W MA200.
If it does, we expect a new strong Bullish Leg to start, targeting initially at least the 0.786 horizontal (blue) Fibonacci level at 108.000.
If not, the 2-year Support Zone is the last defense, with 99.600 as its lowest level (the July 10 2023 Low). Below that, a multi-year downtrend for DXY awaits.
Notice however, the incredible 1W RSI symmetry between selling sequences. Since January 2023, we've had two -54.50% declines. Right now, the current decline since January 2025 is exactly at -54.50%. If DXY rebounds here, it will confirm this amazing symmetry.
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DAX The technical analysis of the DAX suggests a bearish pressure that, if confirmed, could push the market toward the target of 19,828 points. Here are some aspects to consider:
Support and Resistance Levels:
The target of 19,828 might represent an important psychological or technical support level.
If the price falls below intermediate support levels, the bearish objective becomes more plausible.
Patterns and Formations:
The formation of bearish patterns (such as an inverted head and shoulders or a prolonged decline in highs) reinforces the idea of a continuing downtrend.
Volume and Indicator Convergence:
An increase in volume during the downtrend confirms the sellers' interest.
help determine whether the bearish momentum is running out or if there is room for further corrections.
Risk Management:
It is essential to set appropriate stop losses to protect against sudden reversals.
Monitoring price action around key levels can provide useful signals to adjust the strategy.
In summary, if the intermediate supports do not hold and selling pressure continues, the DAX could indeed move toward the target of 19,828 points. However, as always, it is important to remain vigilant and use proper risk management.
dxy is going to bearsh this weekThe H4 Timeframe is bearish because now it is creating Lowerlow and Lowerhigh
