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S&P 500 Technical Analysis: Market Reaction to Fed Rate DecisionS&P 500 Technical Analysis The Fed Rate Decision is Coming Today! The market is expected to be volatile due to the Fed’s rate decision, with a potential decrease of 25 basis points. As mentioned earlier this week, the S&P 500 has been following a bullish trend, pushing up from 6022. Today, the index is likely to attempt to reach 6099. If it successfully breaks above 6100, it would confirm a bullish zone, with the potential to climb further toward 6143, especially if the Fed reduces rates by 25 bps. On the other hand, failure to maintain momentum above 6099 could result in the index trading between 6099 and 6022. A bearish trend could begin if 6099 is broken on the downside. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6099 Resistance Levels: 6143, 6166, 6190 Support Levels: 6058, 6022, 5971 Trend Outlook: Upward Trend: Above 6099 Downward Trend: Below 6022 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
S&P500 hit the MA50 (1d). Huge buy signal.S&P500 hit today its MA50 (1d) following the Fed Rate announcement. At the same time, it is testing the bottom of August's Channel Up. As long as it closes daily inside the pattern, this is a strong buy opportunity. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 6200 (+5.75% rise similar to the previous one). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) hit its 3 month Support Zone. If it reverses on it, that might be an even better signal for a buy entry. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
2
au200au longau200au long 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:AU200AULong
by RODDYTRADING
us500 Longus500 Long 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by RODDYTRADING
[GEX] 12/16 Weekly SPX AnalysisNow, let’s take a look at the expected SPX trading range for the week based on the auto GEX levels for TradingView: It’s clear that we’re currently in positive gamma territory , primarily due to the December 20 expiration. However, the mid-week expirations leading up to that date remain in negative gamma territory, a direct result of last week’s bearish moves—though this can change within a single day. Looking ahead to Friday, we expect a range-bound, more predictable trading environment, likely holding above 6045 and below 6100 based on current levels. IVR and IVx remain low, and we don’t anticipate any increase before Christmas unless the market reaches the “total deny zone” between 6025 and 6040. The greatest IV backwardation is present between December 20 and December 23, as average IV ticked up slightly following last week’s bearish action. This makes that particular expiration combination potentially appealing for time spread strategies. Stay alert! The deny zone is near, and a quick move through the HVL could suddenly disrupt what currently appears to be a relatively predictable trading range. Conversely, a breakout above 6100 could spark a permabull end-of-year rally to the upside.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
NASDAQ Before FOMC - New Chance For Bears?The NASDAQ has staged an impressive rally in recent weeks. We had pointed out bearish divergences in the volume, which the market ignored with a brilliant upward movement - this was not unexpected, as we remember from the aforementioned analysis. Nevertheless, these bearish divergences are still present and are now also clearly visible in the long-term cumulative volume delta chart. With tomorrow's FED meeting and signs of weakness, the chances of a short-term correction to one of the various open gaps are not bad.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ochlokrat
Collapse of the S&P! Can it hold? S&P 500 www.tradingview.com Drops to 6000 : Just as We Predicted The S&P 500 has hit the 6000 level, right in line with the scenario we discussed earlier. This critical support, reinforced by the 200-period moving average on the hourly chart, is proving to be a key battleground. If you’ve been following our previous idea, you’ll remember we anticipated this pullback to 6000, calling it a likely turning point for the index forming a head and shoulders pattern And here we are, watching the prediction unfold. A bounce here could break the head and shoulders. Now, the big question is whether 6000 will hold. If it does, we could see a rebound toward 6100 or beyond. If it breaks, 5900 or 5800 could be the next stops. Either way, this moment underscores how crucial strong analysis is for navigating markets like this one. Fed announcements may play a role in rhe direction we go. Let's see how it plays out.
SP:SPXShort
by StonkMarketParty
Nas fundamental idea, sell now 22033, target 21700Tomorrow we will have FOMC. So today US session can be pretty volatile, because of "repositioning". Be careful with opening new positions and especially with sizing. Personally Im expecting a pause in December and cut 0.25-0.50 in January. Contrary to market expecting 0.25 tomorrow. The reasons are two. Sticky inflation + Donald. Inflation is higher than in forecasts(also NFP, GDP are higher) and these alltogether giving FED "free hand" to get inflation under control by a pause. Second reason, Donald will push FED(however independent) to cut, cut, cut. So this is the last chance not to cut, because Joe really does not care nowadays. Donald wants american cars, products, tits not EU, CAD or Chinese. It means duty. Also wants lower taxes = higher consuption. All these steps are super inflatory. Sounds good for voters, bad for economy. These are the reasons Im expecting a pause. You can think about them but surely do your own plan to trade FOMC. This is mine.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Rendon1
NASDAK 1HTFShort-term outlook: Positive (bullish) scenario: In case of a clear break and stability above 22,050, the upward momentum may continue towards 22,400 and then 22,600 levels. Negative (bearish) scenario: In case the price fails to stabilize above 22,000, a decline may occur towards the support levels at 21,600. Recommendation: Scalpers: Follow the price closely around 22,000 levels, and enter with confirmation of resistance breakout or wait for a bounce from support. Investors: Maintain a positive outlook as long as the uptrend continues and higher highs and lows are formed
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by absiko
(GET READY) Expected move for FOMC today in SPXSince making all-time highs on December 6, SPX has been consolidating back to the 30 minute 200 moving average and check out the 35 EMA today. We’ve been chopping around that 35 EMA on our trip back to the 30 minute 200MA average and they are right at the same level today. We are at a very critical point. Do we bounce here? Or do we break this 30 minute 200 moving average. The top of the implied move is at 6095 just underneath that we have a resistance at 6085 when we fill that gap 6015 for tomorrow so 6095, 6115 could be a place to look if you’re looking to sell spreads today on the move And then underneath us 6005, 5995 those are the two levels at the bottom of the trading range and the one hour 200 average is also there
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
VIX inverse related to BTCUSD - with reference to my last postIn my last post I showed the inverse relationship of BTCUSD to the VIX. Looking on the current price trend of BTC and relate VIX/BTCUSD, we want "to make a shoe out of it". I related therefore the VIX to BTCUSD instead of BTCUSD to the VIX to put following question accross: - Given the fact that BTCUSD and VIX are inversely related - how deep do you think the VIX can fall from its present level? (focus as well on the rythmic cycle sequences of the VIX). - Can it go down below 12? Then of course BTC can go up to 120.000 US$ or higher! - What will it take for BTC to go to projected levels like 200.000 US$ or more of some optimistic fellows? VIX to high levels above 35 (and for BTCUSD to drop to say 85.000 US$) and then to rise sharply while VIX is coming down. Play with this kind of thoughts - it will help you to see light in the present jungle of wild BTC projections. Have fun.....
CBOE:VIX
by Woerle