#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 22/07/2025Today, Nifty is expected to open slightly gap-up, indicating positive early sentiment. After breaking out from the previous day’s consolidation zone, the index has shown strength around the 25,050 level, which will now act as an important intraday support. If this level is held during the early session, we can expect further upside continuation.
A move above the 25,050–25,100 zone can trigger upward momentum with potential targets at 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. Sustained strength above 25,250 will open the door for further bullish moves toward 25,350, 25,400, and 25,450+, making it a favorable long scenario for trending market conditions.
However, if the index fails to hold above the 25,050 level and starts trading back below 24,950, it may again enter a bearish territory. In such a case, downside targets of 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750- are possible, indicating weakness and reversal from resistance.
Market indices
Bearish drop?DAX40 (DE40) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 24,312.44
1st Support: 24,094.70
1st Resistance: 24,490.38
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Nifty 20500 or 19200?Last time, I was correct when I foresaw and gave an update on the Nifty's latest peak of 25650 the day before it happened, along with the beginning of a potential downward trend. Now, if the Nifty can break below 24500, there's a good chance we'll drop below the previous low of 21700 and reach at least 20500 or even lower, at 19200, by February 2026.
The $ Index ~ Elliott Wave Theory in real time.This is an update of a previously uploaded Dollar index Chart. Analysis remains the same and a confirmation at its current location would trigger continuation of the upward move as analysed on the first chart I had posted. Theoretically, the pullback on Monday, 21st July 2025 could be our Wave 2 with Wave 1 being on Thursday, 17th July 2025.
DXYTHE DOLLAR INDEX .
key data report ,22nd the fed chairman Powell speaks and on 24th we are expecting Unemployment Claims.
watch this data as they will shape the trade directional bias.
Key Factors Behind Today's Drop
1. Rising Global Risk Appetite and Strong Foreign Currencies
Investors are showing increased appetite for non-dollar assets today. The euro, yen, and pound have all strengthened—most notably, the dollar fell nearly 1% against the yen after political developments in Japan and a positive outlook in Europe.
European optimism was boosted by encouraging business survey results, while political clarity in Japan lifted the yen and added further selling pressure on the dollar.
2. Lower U.S. Treasury Yields
Softening U.S. yields contributed to the dollar’s weakness. Lower yields typically make the dollar less attractive relative to other currencies, further encouraging outflows.
Investors are reassessing Federal Reserve rate cut odds and show caution ahead of the July 31 Fed meeting.
3.Uncertainty Over Tariffs and U.S. Policy
Heightened anxiety around upcoming U.S. tariffs (with an August 1 deadline) and erratic policy signals are dampening confidence in the dollar as a safe haven.
Speculation over Fed independence, including market chatter about potential challenges to Chair Powell’s role, has hurt trust in U.S. monetary policy stability, fueling additional dollar selling.
Conclusion
The dollar index’s drop from its ascending trend line today is the result of a perfect storm of increased foreign currency strength, risk-seeking investor sentiment, declining U.S. yields, persistent policy and tariff uncertainty, All of these factors have combined to drive sellers selling momentum ,they will continue to push the index to its lowest levels and my structure is giving me 94-94.5 level.
trading is 100% probailty,trade with caution.
SPX - Time for a correction? To make it very simple,
Prices have been going up very nicely those last few weeks and months.
Everyone is happy but as we know that can't last.
NASDAQ:OPEN seems to be the latest pump and dump and it's just another sign of a coming correction imho.
Most stocks I've been following have reached resistance zone, levels where profit taking is very likely.
$S&P500 seems to have made a fifth wave, RSI divergence is present and confirming that.
It's difficult to pinpoint the exact top of course so I'm giving myself some leeway and use a small 1% stop loss in this case.
NQ thread: Short ideaMonday started off bullish, but only to drop at the end of the session.
Here is a thread on what is happening and on which narratives I view the market
Starting off with the 4H Time frame, we witnessed NQ and ES taking last weeks high.
YM did not.
This is the first stage of the movement. To find the second stage, we need to dive deeper into the lower timeframes..
USD Snapback - Long-Term Trendline Back in-PlayThe trendline that originated in 2001 and connected to the 2020 high came in to hold the lows in July of 2023, and then again on Easter Monday. That level also held as support in June albeit temporarily, as bears grinded a sell-off into the Q2 close.
In early-Q3 trade, that trendline was resistance on a few different occasions, until buyers could eventually take it out. And then last week, on the heels of Trump's threat to fire Jerome Powell, price hurriedly pulled back until, eventually, support arrived via that same trendline projection, which is shown in black on the chart.
Now that trendline is back in-play as a test of today's lows. Given the persistent failure from USD bulls to fire anything more than a pullback, combined with the very clear push for USD-weakness from the current administration, it can be difficult to muster a bullish fundamental bias. But - this move had become very one-sided with that sell-off in the first-half of the year so the way that buyers respond to these support tests will be key for whether or not the currency can finally show a reversal theme for more than a couple of weeks. - js
I am 100 % short spy and qqq I am BULLISH DXY the chart posted is now setup for the cycle top On several cycles and we have just popped the Shiller p/e above 3866 second highest reading ever . Cycle are into a peak that was due 7/5 to 7/14 So why are we now turning down .? wait the energy from one of the largest solar storms is the time for the transition it is also a new moon . my spirals have called for the top as it did in 12/5 and 2/17 . I see a min drop of over 8 and could see well over 11.8 within the next 90 days . best of trades WAVETIMER
NASDAQ Rebounding on its 1H MA50.Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded today on its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), third time since Friday's and Thursday's bounce. A Channel Up is emerging and based on the 4H RSI it is a medium-term bullish reversal off the Pivot trend-line, similar to June 20 - 30.
As you can see, that Channel Up targeted the 2.618 Fibonacci extension before breaking below the 1H MA50 to start a lengthy consolidation. Based on that, we are targeting 23650 (Fib 2.618 ext) on the short-term.
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#Nifty - Pivot Point is 25016.05Date:12-06-2025
#Nifty Current Price: 24950
Pivot Point: 25016.05 Support: 24711.72 Resistance: 25322.18
#Nifty Upside Targets:
Target 1: 25529.42
Target 2: 25736.65
Target 3: 26006.88
Target 4: 26277.10
#Nifty Downside Targets:
Target 1: 24503.59
Target 2: 24295.45
Target 3: 24025.225
Target 4: 23755.00
US30 continues to exhibit bullish momentumThe US30 index continues to exhibit bullish momentum, driven by strong earnings reports and robust U.S. economic data. The key support zone around 44,300 has held firm, reinforcing confidence among buyers.
As long as the price remains above 44,300, the uptrend is expected to persist Upside target: 45,000 remains in focus. a focus on the 1H Candle close above 44,000 we could expect price could push more upside.
You may find more details in the chart Trade wisely best of luck buddies
Ps: Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
#NDQ - Monthly Targets: 23721.73 or 21387.86?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22554.80 Support: 22276.15 Resistance: 22835.11
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 23028.36
Target 2: 23221.62
Target 3: 23471.67
Target 4: 23721.73
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22082.06
Target 2: 21887.98
Target 3: 21637.92
Target 4: 21387.86
U.S. Dollar (DXY) bearish?Will dollar continue its bearish momentum or will it reverse?
Technical Summary
DXY remains in a firm bearish trend, having dropped around 11% this year. The setup is formed by a chain of lower highs and lower lows, confirming an unrelenting downtrend.
Support Level: ~97.70
Resistance Zone: 98.55–98.80
Long-Term Outlook: Bearish, unless a clear break and close over the resistance zone on the daily or weekly timeframe.
Technically, the momentum indicators remain weak, and the failure to sustain rallies above the 99.00 level also contributes to downward pressure further. The market is now consolidating within a narrow range after steep selling, which suggests probable continuation if macro catalysts are favourable.
Fundamental and Sentiment Drivers
Several macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers are underpinning the weakening of the U.S. dollar:
Federal Reserve Uncertainty:
Speculation over the ultimate fate of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell under political pressure from the executive branch has severely undermined investor confidence in the central bank’s independence. This has been manifested in increased volatility and bearish pressure on the dollar.
Trade Policy and Tariff Risks:
Ongoing trade tensions, including the possibility of sweeping tariffs (15–20%) on Chinese and European Union goods, have created a risk premium on valuations of the U.S. dollar. Market players still fear retaliation and its effects on trade stability in the world.
Fiscal Position and Credit Ratings:
The US fiscal deficit, which is approaching 7% of GDP, and recent credit rating downgrades to its outlook, have set alarms ringing regarding the structure. These fiscal developments have eroded the popularity of the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, particularly with foreign investors.
Global Monetary Landscape:
With European Central Bank and Bank of Japan maintaining policy guidance tight, and Federal Reserve already indicating that direction for a rate cut in Q4 2025 is being eyed, the falling rate differentials still maintain pressure on the dollar.
Market Outlook: Week of July 21–25, 2025
Major Geopolitical and Economic Events:
DATE : Ongoing
EVENT : U.S.- EU & U.S. — China Trade Negotiations.
MARKET RELEVANCE : High
Resolution or escalation will directly impact USD demand.
DATE : Mid-week
EVENT : Federal Reserve Speeches (including Powell)
MARKET RELEVANCE : High
Monetary policy guidance and institutional stability.
DATE : July 24–25
EVENT : Jobless Claims, Flash PMIs, New Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders
MARKET RELEVANCE : Medium–High
Labour market data, housing data, and production activity have the potential to shift rate expectations and dollar sentiment ahead of the FOMC and PCE releases.
Strategic Implications
Outlook: DXY remains structurally bearish in the short to medium term. Additional weakness below 98.80 and sustained closes below 97.70 would reassert downward momentum, risking a further retracement to the 96.00-95.50 region.
Possible Bullish Reversal Triggers:
A conclusive resolution to U.S. trade negotiations.
Unexpectedly solid economic data (particularly core inflation or employment).
Hawkish Fed commentary supporting policy tightening expectations.
Last thoughts
The U.S. Dollar Index is currently at structurally weak technical and fundamental foundations. Absent a sudden reversal of the monetary policy message or geopolitical resolution, the path of least resistance appears to remain to the lower side. Market participants need to pay special attention to upcoming economic data releases, central bank rhetoric, and trading news because any one of them could be a pivotal driver of near-term dollar behavior.
DXY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is trading in a strong
Downtrend and the index
Made a bearish breakout
Out of the bearish flag pattern
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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US30 Robbery Blueprint: Breakout, Pullback, Escape Setup💎 Dow Jones Robbery Blueprint: The US30 Vault Crack Plan 💎
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🛠 ENTRY 1: Crack the wall near 44700.00 – that’s the resistance gate. Wait for confirmation.
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🛑 Risk Levels (Escape Routes/Stop Loss)
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📌 Swing Buy SL (2H TF): Place at 44100.00 for the stealth buy.
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🔐 Max Risk SL (3H TF): If you're deep, your last stand is at 39200.00
☝️ SL depends on your position sizing, number of entries, and risk appetite. Trade like a thief, not a gambler.
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🏁 Escape Point: 46200.00 — or exit before heat rises! Don’t be greedy. Rob and vanish. 💨💰
🔥 Market Mood: Why the Heist Is On
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Check your chart radar: Fundamentals + technicals aligning = green light for robbery! 🟢
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