Market indices
Bank Nify levels for 12/05/2025🧭 Overall Market Structure:
The chart shows strong upward movement earlier, followed by a sharp reversal and ongoing consolidation near support.
The price is currently around 53,674, testing a demand/support zone.
📉 Trend Overview (from the panel):
Timeframe -Trend
D (Daily) - Bullish
4H - Bullish
1H - Bearish
15M - Bearish
5M Bearish
This suggests short-term bearishness, but higher timeframes remain bullish, indicating a pullback within an uptrend.
🔻 Resistance Levels (Marked in Red):
56,098.70 - 55,557.75
55,691.95
54,937.25 - 54,723.70
54,176.45
53,919.90
These levels indicate stacked supply zones, showing strong overhead resistance. Price was rejected near these zones repeatedly, confirming bearish pressure.
🔼 Support Levels (Marked in Blue/Purple):
53,400 area (current price testing support zone)
Lower HTF supports at:
51,893.60
50,742.00
These are key demand levels from higher timeframes. If price loses the 53,400 zone, it may drop towards 51,893 and even 50,742.
📍 Price Action & Candlestick Structure:
A series of lower highs and lower lows forming recently.
Candles near current levels are tight-bodied, indicating indecision.
A bullish bounce from current support is possible, but a breakdown would confirm continuation to the downside.
🧠 Summary:
Trend: Bullish on higher timeframes, Bearish on lower.
Action Zone: Price at major support (53,400)—crucial decision area.
Bias:
Bullish bounce possible toward 54,100–54,700 if support holds.
Bearish continuation likely below 53,400, targets 51,900 and 50,700.
My Thoughts #006My Thoughts
Are that we still continuing with the bullish trend still waiting for a choch on the 4h demand zone to take my trade as illustrated...
We need to see the pair move from bearish to bullish trend in line with the overall trend
The pair could sell
use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Weekly Market Wrap: Nifty Dips 340 Points Amid Global TensionsThis week, the Nifty 50 ended on a cautious note, closing at 24,008, down 340 points from the previous week's close. The index traded within a tight range, hitting a high of 24,526 and a low of 23,935—well within my anticipated levels of 24,900 to 23,800.
Silver Lining: Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and negative news flow—including war-related developments—bulls managed to defend the critical psychological support of 24,000. That’s a sign of resilience in an otherwise shaky environment.
What’s Ahead?
For the upcoming week, expect high volatility. I see Nifty moving between 24,600 and 23,200. A weekly close below 23,800 could spell trouble for bulls, potentially opening the door for a drop toward major support zones at 23,200 and 23,000.
Technical Outlook:
Monthly & Daily Timeframes: Weak
Weekly Timeframe: Still bullish
So, while long-term charts show vulnerability, the weekly trend gives hope. I'm staying cautiously bullish—but will only turn aggressive once the monthly chart flips positive. Until then, it’s time to stay vigilant, not impulsive.
Global Cues: S&P 500 Holding Up Amid Uncertainty
The S&P 500 closed at 5,659, just 30 points down from the previous week, forming a doji candle—a clear sign of indecision. As long as the index holds above 5,532, there's no major cause for concern.
Bearish Trigger: Below 5,532, expect downside pressure toward 5,458 and 5,392, which could spill over into already fragile emerging markets like India.
Bullish Breakout: Above 5,770, bulls gain momentum, with potential upside targets of 5,821, 5,850, and 5,900. A rally here could bring relief to global equities, including Indian markets.
Nifty Trend directionNifty 24008 has support at 23846 while trend decider is 24113
If breakout and sustained could move to 24360
FII's have negative holding in future contracts and 1 Lac PUT OI skew compare to Calls OI.
Volatality is at 20
On the above facts We expect Nifty will be move down further .
Nifty Analysis EOD - May 9, 2025 - Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - May 9, 2025 - Thursday 🔴
🧨 Gap Down, Rebound & a Triangle Trap – Bulls Show Spine Amid Chaos
Opening Mood:
Overnight panic from geopolitical tensions shook the market’s foundation—but the bulls weren’t ready to surrender just yet.
🧭 Nifty Summary:
Gift Nifty had plunged to 23,760 late last night on news of escalating conflict—marking a 445-point fall. However, as the night wore on without further developments, markets began to stabilize. At the open, Nifty registered a gap-down of 338 points at 23,935, but the first 5-minute candle showed strength, racing to fill the gap.
After a brief attempt to break the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), Nifty failed to hold below and slid back to its origin. The rest of the day was a tug-of-war with sharp two-sided moves, eventually forming a descending triangle pattern—a sign of compression and directional indecision.
🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown:
Today’s Candle: Wide-range doji with upper wick—signs of volatility and hesitation
Close: 24,008 (▲ Positive)
Key Observations:
✅ Above 24,000 Psychological Mark
✅ Held Support Zone: 24,000 ~ 23,950
✅ Above Recent Swing Low: 23,847.85
❌ Slightly Below Previous Week’s Low: 24,054.05
❌ Below Previous Swing Close: 24,036
What It Implies:
Buyers are stepping in at key supports, but conviction is still lacking. The market remains reactive to global cues, especially Mission Sindoor ones.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 291.20
IB Range: 204.00 (Large IB)
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
Total Trades: 1
✅ Long Trigger @ 10:10 AM → Target 1:1.5 Achieved
📈 Intraday Walk (5-Min View):
Strong gap-fill in the first candle signaled bullish intent
Failed breakdown below PDL trapped weak shorts
Descending triangle emerged as price compressed
Market closed near resistance but above key support—neutral to slightly bullish tone
🔮 What’s Next?
This market is walking a tightrope between sentiment and structure. On one hand, technical levels are being respected—but on the other, global uncertainty is keeping participants hesitant.
“This is a news-driven market. Delivery trades are best avoided. Stay nimble, trade the levels, and protect capital. Remember, sometimes staying out is a profitable strategy.”
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
🔼 Resistance Zones:
24,036 ~ 24,044
24,150 ~ 24,165
24,188 ~ 24,240
24,290
24,330 ~ 24,365
24,400 ~ 24,420
🔽 Support Zones:
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,935
23,890 ~ 23,870
23,848
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
📌 Final Thoughts:
“Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt.”
In a market full of noise, discipline and level-based action is your edge.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
USD Week 3 of Gains - 23.6% Fibonacci RetracementThis week has been the third consecutive week of gains for DXY and this comes in stark contrast to the bearish trend that drove price in early-April trade. This week was of course a lift from the FOMC rate decision, and next week brings inflation back to center-stage with the Tuesday release of CPI.
In DXY, we've only seen a mere 23.6% retracement of the 2025 sell-off so this move is still very much in the early stages. We also can't rule out sellers taking another shot here, as the oversold RSI reading from a few weeks ago often doesn't mark the exact low - because trends can usually take some time before they actually turn.
What will probably weigh on the matter is EUR/USD and whether a larger pullback can show there, but for now, it's the 1.1200 handle that's led to a bounce for this week. In DXY, there's key support at 100.22, 100 and then 99.18 for bulls to defend into next week. And key resistance is around the 102.00 handle in DXY. - js
Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance.
The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg.
As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
the trap has layerswhat if i told you the dxy was not done yet,
what if i told you, there was 1 more push up,
1 more test before it truly breaks and starts a bull market.
what if i told you that on that final test, that final push up,
the crypto market breaks and takes everything.
---
you probably wouldn't believe me.
---
looking at the dxy as a simple zig-zag with a complex flat in the b-wave.
once wave b is completed, at about 110-111,
i predict it drops down, deep
and while it drops,
it triggers alt season.
🌙
RUSSELL 15-year Cyclical pattern calls for enormous growth.Russell 2000 (RUT) made a massive rebound on last month's candle on the 1M MA100 (green trend-line), closing above it and maintaining the long-term price action above this Support since the March 2020 COVID crash.
Practically that was the only time the 1M MA100 broke since the October 11 recovery, which was the start of a 15-year Cyclical Pattern that initiates Bull Cycles after 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) ad then 1M MA100 rebounds that peak on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Last month's rebound sets the stage for a post-COVID type recovery, especially if the Fed cuts the Interest Rates on their next meeting. The 2.0 Fibonacci extension is a little bit over 3500, which is our long-term Target.
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So finally Nifty recedes a bit due to Indo-Pak tensions.Finally Nifty today receded a bit due to Indo-Pak tensions and war like situation/war between Indo-Pak. The support levels for Nifty now remains at 23924, 23809 important (Father line support of hourly chart), 23676 important mid channel support if this support is broken bears can drag Nifty further down to 23462, 23279, 22771 and finally 22579 which is the channel bottom support. If this level is broken there can be further free fall. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24111, 24247 (Mother Line resistance on the hourly chart), 24443, 24634 and 24892 (Channel top resistance). Situation remains fluid due to the Geo-Political situation no support can be very strong support as a lot can happen during the week end and no resistance can be a solid resistance if few things move in the anticipated direction.
Disclaimer:The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
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KSE100 UPDATEKSE100 broke two major supports yesterday and completed its distribution phase which had started in Dec 24
It is technically in bearish phase now, since it has given CHoCH ( change of character to bearish) and made bearish breaker block also. Though market recovered around 4000 points today but it is just a healthy pullback. Market will continue to be bearish till it gives bullish CHoCH by crossing over 1,15,000 level.