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S&P 500 Futures Rise on Ceasefire Relief, Eyes on Fed PowellSPX500 OVERVIEW U.S. Futures Rise as Ceasefire Eases Tensions, Focus Turns to Powell U.S. stock futures climbed on Tuesday, with S&P 500 futures up 0.8%, extending gains from the previous session as Middle East tensions eased following a ceasefire announcement. President Trump confirmed a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, which appears to be holding for now—though early signs of potential violations have already emerged. Market attention is now firmly on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress today, where traders hope to gain more clarity on the Fed’s economic outlook and rate path. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – SPX500 The price touched resistance at 6,098 and is currently hovering near that level. Failure to break above 6,098 may trigger a short-term correction toward 6,041, before another push higher. A confirmed breakout above 6,098 would open the path toward the All-Time High (ATH) at 6,143, followed by extended targets. Support Levels: 6041 → 6010 → 5966 Resistance Levels: 6143 → 6175 → 6225 Stability above 6,098 confirms bullish continuation, while failure to hold may suggest a temporary pullback before resuming the uptrend.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
4
JUN 24 - SPY VIX DXY GLD USO SPY (4H) Trend: Bullish Current price: 604.32 Active resistance block: 604.33 Channel: Rising, intact Key support: 581.99 📈 Break above 604.33 could trigger fast move toward 610+ 🔹 QQQ (4H) Price: 536.25 Resistance: 536.45 Support: 509.95 Volume: Building under resistance 📊 Breakout expected if 537 is cleared with volume 🔹 VIX (4H) Level: 13.89 Trend: Bearish Support: 11.60 🔻 Falling volatility supports continued upside in equities 🔹 BTC/USD (4H) Price: 105,244 Volatility: 10.14 Rebounding from: Block at 99,914 Institutional CALL flow at 106,512 (+19.3%) 🟢 If BTC holds above 104k, next target is 111,292 block 🔹 US10Y (4H) Price: 536.45 Testing: Channel resistance ⚠️ Watching for rejection at 540 or breakout toward 550 → Impacts tech sector positioning 🔹 GLD (4H) Price: 306.42 Support zone: 305.9 Institutional PUTs around strike 308 🔻 Bearish pressure remains; loss of 305 opens path to 291
TVC:VIX
by alexpv73
US30 Long Opportunity US30 shows strong bullish confluences at the opening of the week, currently testing the resistance level at 42,900. Price is above above the 50 SMA and favors bullish momentum per the RSI above 55. Potentially retracement towards the break and retest level at 42,400 where we could see a potential continuation of the bullish trend after the market collects enough liquidity. This is support by fundamentals of the day being the cease fire between Iran-Israel. investor more comfortable taking risks and stepping back into the indices.
FX:US30Long
by Fides_Trading
The Dow Jones Index reboundsUS indices rebounded following the US president’s announcing a ceasefire deal in the Middle East, which brought some optimism to the markets and among investors, positively impacting US markets in particular. The Dow Jones Index rose at the start of this week by approximately 2.62%, reaching a new high above the 42,711 level, which represents the last lower high recorded by the market. A breakout above this level could indicate a shift in trend from bearish to bullish. If the price pulls back to the 42,025.62 level, it would be considered a corrective move, with a possible upward rebound from that level aiming to target 42,719.99 and potentially continue the bullish trend in the long term. However, if the price falls below the 41,755.45 level and a four-hour candle closes below it, the positive scenario mentioned above would be invalidated.
CFI:US30
by CFI
USTECH Long opportunity USTECH is currently on a bullish impulse move, sitting at the resistance level of 22,000. price is trading above the 50 SMA and we can see momentum favors the bulls with the RSI above the 55 level Expecting a drop in price, based on the technical analysis, where we could potentially see a retest of of the 21,800 price level before the bullish trend resumes beyond 22,000. Fundamentals with the Iran Israel cease fire support further bullish indices with confidence coming back into the markets.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by Fides_Trading
Dow Jones eyeing a breakout as war fears de-escalate!Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stands at 42,581.78 points, reflecting a 0.9% increase from the previous day. This uptick is attributed to investor optimism following a restrained retaliatory missile strike by Iran on a U.S. base in Qatar, which was perceived as non escalatory. Additionally, comments from Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman suggested support for a potential interest rate cut in July, contingent on sustained low inflation . The DJIA's performance this year shows a modest gain of 0.1%, underperforming compared to the S&P 500's 2.4% increase and the Nasdaq's 1.7% rise. Notably, the index is approximately 6.4% below its all-time high of 45,073.63 reached in December 2024 . From a technical perspective, the DJIA is trading just above the 42,000 level, with key support around 41,500 and resistance near 43,000. The index has recently faced challenges breaking through the 42,600 mark, indicating potential short-term volatility. Market participants are closely monitoring upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve decisions, which could influence the index's trajectory in the near term. For investors, the current environment presents opportunities to assess the DJIA's performance relative to other indices, considering factors such as geopolitical developments and monetary policy expectations. "The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice."
TVC:DJILong
by Blueberry
3
Dow Jones Gains on Rate Cut Hopes and Ceasefire Relief US30 OVERVIEW Wall Street Rises on Fed Rate Cut Hopes and Geopolitical De-escalation The Dow Jones (US30) remains under bullish pressure, supported by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year and a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, which has eased market tensions. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – US30 The price maintains a bullish bias as long as it trades above the pivot level at 42,810, with upside potential toward the key resistance at 43,210. A short-term bearish correction is possible toward 42,810 or even 42,670, but the broader structure remains bullish above these levels. Resistance Levels: 43,060 → 43,210 → 43,350 Support Levels: 42,670 → 42,420 → 42,160 A sustained break below 42,670 could signal deeper correction, while a clear move above 43,210 would confirm continued bullish momentum.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
Risk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment MattersRisk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment Matters More Than Chasing the “Holy Grail” In trading, most participants and analysts are focused on finding the so-called “Holy Grail” — the perfect entry point where the price moves in the desired direction and yields profit. However, few actually assess the risks involved, as if success is possible without factoring them in. Market reviews are often filled with levels, forecasts, and price directions, but rarely include probability estimates or potential losses. In my view, the real Holy Grail isn't a guaranteed profitable entry, but a scenario where the market offers a position with minimal risk relative to historical context. To identify such setups, we need a risk scale based on historical data — how favorable the current risk-to-reward ratio is compared to the past. It’s also crucial to understand that no one can predict price direction with certainty. The key to opening a position is not hope, but evaluating all possible scenarios — upward, downward, or sideways — and knowing the outcome in each case. Risk management is more than just placing a stop-loss; it’s a structured approach that should be central to any trading strategy. What Are Minimal Risks? “Minimal risk” is a relative concept — it only makes sense when measured against a defined scale. Building such a scale requires historical statistics: what were the maximum and minimum losses and profits for similar positions in the past? Profit-to-Loss Ratio The idea behind the search for the “Holy Grail” is to find moments when the market offers the best possible profit-to-risk ratio. For example, if the current ratio is 10, and historically it has ranged from 0 (low risk) to 100 (high risk), then 10 may be a good entry point. If the ratio approaches 80–90, it signals that the position is extremely risky. Why Are Probability and Risk Assessment Important? Market reviews often talk about resistance levels, volatility, and price direction — but rarely address the risks of different scenarios. No expert can predict market movements with certainty — if they could, they’d be billionaires. Opening positions without accounting for risks and scenario probabilities is extremely dangerous. How to Factor in Risks When Entering a Position The key question is: what will the profit-to-loss ratio be after entering a position, depending on whether the price goes up, down, or stays flat? It’s important to understand the consequences of each case and make decisions based on risk assessment. Risk Management Must Account for the Inability to React Instantly Conventional tools like stop-losses and limit orders often fail to protect capital effectively during sudden price spikes. These tools are particularly vulnerable when market makers or high-frequency algorithms trigger stop levels en masse. This highlights the need for more resilient risk management instruments — ones that can respond to volatility instantly and automatically. Options are one such tool, capable of limiting losses regardless of market dynamics. Without robust risk management, long-term profitability becomes statistically unlikely. Sooner or later, the market will present a scenario that can wipe out your capital — unless you’re properly protected. Important note: this is not an endorsement of options or any specific broker. It’s simply a conclusion based on the logic of building effective capital protection. If a broker only provides access to linear instruments (futures, spot, stocks) without the ability to hedge, it will inevitably lead to capital erosion — even for systematic traders. And if this article gets more than 100 rockets, I’ll continue sharing specific examples of low-risk trading assessments.
SP:SPX
by wien6000796
1
BankNifty levels - Jun 25, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Jun 25, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
4
Stock Markets Rebound Following Trump’s Ceasefire AnnouncementStock Markets Rebound Following Trump’s Ceasefire Announcement Last night, U.S. President Donald Trump made a social media post announcing a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. According to his own words, the ceasefire is set to last “forever.” This announcement triggered a sharp bullish impulse (indicated by the blue arrow) on the S&P 500 index chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), pushing the price to a new high above the 6074 level. Just yesterday, traders feared that the United States could be drawn into yet another costly war following bomber strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities. However, today the stock markets are recovering, signalling growing optimism and a waning of fears over a major escalation of the conflict. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart When analysing the S&P 500 index chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) seven days ago, we identified an ascending channel. The angle of the trend remains relevant, while the width of the channel has expanded due to the downward movement caused by tensions in the Middle East. Notably: → the price marked the lower boundary of the channel as well as the internal lines (shown by black dots) dividing the channel into quarters; → the latest bullish impulse suggests that the upward trend is resuming after breaking out of the correction phase (indicated by red lines). It is possible that in the near future, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) could reach the median line of the channel. There, the price may consolidate, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers—particularly if the peace in the Middle East proves to be lasting. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
DAX40 INTRADAY Bullish breakout support at 23330Trend Overview: The DAX index maintains a bullish overall sentiment, supported by a sustained rising trend on the higher timeframes. However, recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback and consolidation phase, likely part of a broader continuation pattern. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: Initial support: 23,330 – a key previous consolidation area and pivot level Below that: 23,170, then 22,970 as deeper retracement levels Resistance: Near-term upside target: 24,030 Further resistance: 24,130 and 24,345 over the longer term Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: A bounce from 23,330 would confirm this level as valid support Sustained strength could drive price toward 24,030, then 24,130 and 24,345 Bearish Breakdown: A daily close below 23,330 would invalidate the bullish setup Opens potential for deeper pullbacks toward 23,170 and 22,970 Conclusion: The DAX remains bullish in structure but is currently consolidating. Watch the 23,330 support zone closely—its ability to hold will determine whether bulls regain control or if a deeper correction unfolds. A bounce here would favor upside targets; a confirmed breakdown shifts the outlook to short-term bearish. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
NAS100I am looking for selling opportunities for NAS100. The market is very volatile, so trade with caution. Currently, it is trading in a seller-friendly zone, which suggests that we may see an influx of sellers. This should represent a 5/6 Fibonacci retracement, with the potential for a further decline over a longer time frame. However, please note that my sell analysis for NAS has not been very accurate in the past. While I’ve been able to collect a few pips, the broader movements have aligned better.
FX:NAS100Short
by TheGreatestOne
2
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PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Thief_Trader