NAS Might Drop Due to Middle East TensionsWild times, eh?
In the midst of a new war in the Middle East, the NASDAQ (like most other indices) is bursting with symbolic strength.
Will it do well? One may doubt it.
Here is a short idea with a conservative target, supported by clearly bearish RSI divergences.
Market indices
NAS100I am looking for selling opportunities for NAS100. The market is very volatile, so trade with caution. Currently, it is trading in a seller-friendly zone, which suggests that we may see an influx of sellers. This should represent a 5/6 Fibonacci retracement, with the potential for a further decline over a longer time frame. However, please note that my sell analysis for NAS has not been very accurate in the past. While I’ve been able to collect a few pips, the broader movements have aligned better.
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NIFTY at Best Resistance !!This is the 1 hour Chart of NIFTY 50.
NIFTY 50 is trading near it's Resistance zone at 24400 range.
NIFTY 50 is forming a broadening pattern; resistance lies near 24,500.
Nifty 50 is forming parallel channel inside the pattern ; resistance lies near 24350.
If this level is sustain, then we may see Lower prices in Nifty 50.
Thank You !!
DAX H1 | Rising into an overlap resistanceThe DAX (GER30) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 23,858.94 which is an overlap resistance that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 24,200.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 23,531.83 which is a pullback support that aligns the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.
Potential bullish rise?DAX40 (DE40) is reacting off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 23,602.60
1st Support: 23,390.34
1st Resistance: 24,148.42
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#Banknifty directions and levels for June 24:Current View
As already discussed:
If the market breaks out or consolidates around the rejection zone, we can expect a further rally continuation towards a minimum of the 78% Fibonacci level —
On the other hand, if the market faces rejection and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level of the minor swing:
Then we can expect a minimum correction of 50% to 78% in that minor swing.( to use fib
(Bank Nifty: Low to High – 55,779 to the upcoming high
Alternate View
If the gap-up doesn’t sustain and the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level of the minor swing:
Then again, we can expect a correction of at least 50% to 78% in the same swing..( to use fib
(Bank Nifty: Low to High – 55,779 to the upcoming high
# Niftydirections and levels for June 24:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for June 24:
Market Overview
Due to ongoing global issues, the markets are showing high volatility. Structurally, both the global and our local markets are still moving within a range.
However, Gift Nifty is indicating a strong gap-up of around 250 points.
So, what can we expect today?
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty witnessed sharp ups and downs. Even with those swings, they still ended within a range.
However, today’s gap-up might break that previous range—if it holds.
We should wait for clear confirmation before expecting any continuation.
That means, if the market breaks the resistance with a solid candle or consolidates around the resistance zone, we can expect the rally to continue.
On the other hand, if the market faces rejection at the resistance, it may re-enter the range and move back within the channel.
Let’s look at the chart for more clarity.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty appear to be showing a similar structure.
Current View
As already discussed:
If the market breaks out or consolidates around the rejection zone, we can expect a further rally continuation towards a minimum of the 78% Fibonacci level — for Bank Nifty and for Nifty, around the 25,286 to 25,383 zone.
On the other hand, if the market faces rejection and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level of the minor swing:
Then we can expect a minimum correction of 50% to 78% in that minor swing.( to use fib
Nifty: Low to High – 24,864 to the upcoming high)
Alternate View
If the gap-up doesn’t sustain and the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level of the minor swing:
Then again, we can expect a correction of at least 50% to 78% in the same swing..( to use fib
Nifty: Low to High – 24,864 to the upcoming high)
US30 H4 I Bullish Bounce Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 42,333.01, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 42,981.24, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 41,803.95, below the 38.2% Fib retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/06/2025Today, Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up near the 25,250 level. This level is crucial, as a sustained move above it can trigger a strong upside rally. If Nifty manages to hold above 25,250, we may see targets of 25,350, 25,400, and even 25,450+ in the coming sessions. On the downside, if the index slips below 24,950, it could lead to a corrective move toward 24,850, 24,800, and potentially 24,750 zones.
Traders should closely watch the 25,050–25,100 range for intraday strength, and the 24,950 mark as immediate support. Any breakout or breakdown from these levels will offer direction for the day. Maintain strict stop-loss and consider trailing profits as levels get tested.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(24/06/2025)Today, a gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 56,500 level. This zone lies close to a crucial resistance level, so price action after opening will be key. If Bank Nifty sustains above the 56,550–56,600 zone, it could trigger a strong upside rally toward 56,750, 56,850, and potentially 56,950+ levels. On the other hand, if it fails to hold above 56,000 and starts slipping below the 55,950–55,900 zone, a downside move is likely, which could push the index toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550 levels.
Hong Kong 50: Bulls Back in Business Above 23,700Monday’s bounce from support at 23,200 has seen the Hong Kong 50 push above minor resistance at 23,700, generating a potential long setup to play the broader improvement in risk appetite seen in recent hours.
Longs could be initiated above 23,700 with a stop beneath for protection, initially targeting the June 12 high of 24,429. A break above that would open the door for a possible run towards the March 20 swing high of 24,895.
RSI (14) has broken its downtrend and remains above 50, suggesting bullish momentum may be starting to build again. While not yet confirmed by MACD, it’s beginning to curl back towards the signal line above zero, hinting that too may not be far away.
Good luck!
DS
Market Structure Breakdown on NASDAQ: What Traders Should Watch📉 NASDAQ (NAS100, US100) Analysis 🧠💼
I’m currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ (NAS100) — price action is telling a story worth watching.
📆 Last week, the index came under clear pressure, and now on the 4H timeframe, we’re seeing a defined bearish structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows 📉🔻. This recent expansion to the downside has led to a break in market structure (BOS), and price is now pulling back into equilibrium 🔄.
⏳ For now, it’s a waiting game. I’m watching to see if this pullback finds resistance at a premium level and rotates back to the downside, which would present a potential short setup 🎯📊.
🕒 On the 30-minute chart, I’m monitoring for a clear structural shift — a change in momentum that confirms bearish intent. Should the NASDAQ resume its downward move, it could trigger risk-off sentiment, bringing strength into the JPY pairs 💴🚨 as capital flows out of risk assets.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
AUS200/ASX200 - MASTERMIND FOR SUCCESS STRATEGY Team, last night we did another successful trade on DOW/US30 AND NAS30
If you have time, watch my video how i made 1.5k turn into 20k per month and expect 6 months to hit 100k
so far 2 and half month reached 80k
We are shorting slowly at 8572-8586 range
With target at 8545-36
Now, this is another READY set up order if AUS200 hit above 8618-36 - This is where we kill them with DOUBLE UP the volume as per chart
With the target at 8586 -67
LET'S GO.
🇺🇸 America at the Crossroads: Golden Age or Great Reset? As the S&P 500 crosses 6,000 , investors celebrate yet another all-time high. But beneath the surface of this rally lies an uncomfortable truth: we are standing at a national and market inflection point.
This isn’t just another leg up. This is the top of a century-long trend channel, a moment where all prior historical peaks have led to sharp reversion . Will this time be different?
📉 Or are we heading into the final blow-off top of a fiat-fueled bull market ?
📈 Or is this the birth of a new nominal supercycle — a “Golden Age” driven by AI, deglobalization, and fiscal firehoses?
📊 The Chart That Frames the Future
This chart stretches back to 1926. Price now presses against the upper blue boundary , just like in:
1929 → Great Depression
2000 → Dot-com Crash
2021 → Post-COVID Inflation Panic
Every previous touch has ended in multi-year mean reversion . Will we now break out — or break down?
🕰️ The Fiat Currency Clock Is Ticking
“The average lifespan of a fiat currency is 80–100 years.”
The U.S. defaulted on gold bonds in 199 and the U.S. dollar was untethered from gold in 1971. We're many years into a fiat system. Every fiat regime in history has collapsed under debt, inflation, and loss of confidence .
📉 K-Shaped Economy and the Strained Consumer
Since 2008, monetary policy has disproportionately enriched capital holders. Asset owners got rich. Wage earners stagnated.
Now we see:
-Record-high credit card interest
-Rising consumer delinquencies
-Real wages trailing inflation
This is not a healthy economy — it’s a two-speed system with widening fractures.
📈 The Most Expensive Market in History?
CAPE Ratio : ~33x — rivaling 1929 and 2000
ZIRP is gone , yet valuations remain elevated
Investors are pushed out the risk curve by low real bond yields
This is the result of TINA (There Is No Alternative) — but that narrative is fragile.
🏦 Cracks in the Core: Treasuries and Liquidity
The U.S. Treasury market is flashing red:
Weakening auction demand
Foreign buyers (like China, Japan) stepping back
Bank of Japan may be forced to liquidate U.S. debt
Liquidity is thinning — just like in 2007
🤖 AI and the Accelerating Wealth Gap
AI is a double-edged sword:
It boosts productivity
But it eliminates mid-skill jobs
It consolidates wealth into a few mega-cap tech monopolies
And it strains an already outdated energy grid
AI could fuel inequality and fragility .
🌍 End of Globalization and Rise of BRICS
The BRICS alliance is actively challenging dollar hegemony
Trade is shifting to commodity-backed and bilateral settlement
U.S. foreign policy is being stress-tested on multiple fronts (Ukraine, Taiwan, Middle East)
The post-WWII order is unraveling. And America must adapt — or lose ground.
⚠️ Blow-Off Top Before the Storm?
This market feels like a blow-off top :
Narrow breadth
Retail mania
AI euphoria
Massive fiscal deficits
All-time high valuations
Next step? A potential deflationary bust , followed by a stimulus-fueled inflationary wave — especially in energy and commodities.
⚡ Power Grid Risk in an Electrified World
AI and EVs demand **enormous energy inputs**. But:
U.S. grid is **underdeveloped**
Transmission infrastructure is outdated
Blackouts are increasing
China, meanwhile, has been quietly building resilient grid systems for over a decade taking advantage of Nuclear, while The U.S. risks falling behind.
🌀 The Fourth Turning: Crisis as Catalyst
“History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” – Mark Twain
According to Fourth Turning theory, we are nearing the climax of a ~100-year generational cycle — a period marked by institutional breakdown, global conflict, and radical transformation. Each cycle contains four “turnings,” and we are now deep into the fourth: the Crisis phase.
The current Fourth Turning began in 2008 with the Global Financial Crisis. It is expected to resolve sometime between 2025 and the early 2030s — a period of upheaval that mirrors previous turning points such as:
The Great Depression & World War II (1929–1946)
The American Civil War (1861–1865)
The Revolutionary War (1775–1794)
As Neil Howe writes in The Fourth Turning Is Here (2023):
“Each Fourth Turning is a time of radical disruption — a time when an old order is replaced by a new one, often through war, collapse, or revolution. ”
Today, we face:
Political polarization at generational extremes
Sovereign debt levels previously only seen during world wars
Eroding trust in media, financial institutions, and government
Technological upheaval via AI and automation
Geopolitical flashpoints from Ukraine to Taiwan
The market, the dollar, and our political system are not outside this cycle — they are central to it.
The question is no longer whether we are in a transformation, but:
What kind of world will emerge on the other side?
🚧 The Fork in the Road: Two Futures
We stand at a fork in the road — not just for markets, but for **America’s future**:
🟢 Path 1: The Breakout – Golden Age
AI revolution supercharges GDP
Commodities rise but wages lag
Treasury/Fed normalize debt via inflation
S&P and assets soar in **nominal terms**, even if real value lags
🔴 Path 2: The Reversion – Great Reset
Credit cycle breaks
Liquidity vanishes
Markets mean revert 40–60%
Global capital flees to safety
🧠 Final Thought: Don’t Chase the Top
“At the top of a long-term channel, humility is a better strategy than hubris.”
Now is not the time to blindly chase momentum. Whether we break out or break down, the risks are rising — and history offers few second chances after peaks like this.
We stand not only at a technical inflection, but at a civilizational one.
The Fourth Turning is reaching its apex, and markets are reflecting that tension — between collapse and rebirth, between order and entropy.
📌 Hedge.
📌 Diversify.
📌 Prepare.
Because one way or another, America is crossing a threshold — and there’s no going back.
NAS100 Analysis – Structure Breakout or Trap?📍 Levels Marked: 22,101 Resistance | 21,880 Mid-Level | 21,375 Channel Support
⸻
📊 Technical Breakdown:
The NAS100 has surged into the 22,000+ range, breaking above the mid-level channel boundary after consolidating beneath it for days. This breakout takes us right back into an untested supply zone from March.
On the lower timeframes (1H & 23min), price cleanly cleared multiple lower highs with aggressive bullish momentum, printing a new intraday high at 22,015. However, structure is still trapped inside a long-term ascending channel on the 4H and D1 — and this move could be setting up a liquidity grab before reversal.
Key zone to watch:
• 22,101 – 22,200 (daily resistance + equal highs)
• 21,880 – 21,920 (possible retest zone)
• 21,375 (channel base support)
⸻
📉 Trade Ideas:
• Short Bias if price rejects the 22,100–22,200 area with bearish confirmation on lower timeframes. Target: 21,800 – 21,600.
• Long Bias only if price gives a bullish retest of the 21,880–21,920 zone with clean structure. Target: 22,222+ with tight risk.
⸻
💡 Final Thoughts:
A textbook case of a channel edge breakout — but breakout or fakeout? Always wait for confirmation and let structure guide the setup. We’re either about to print new highs or see a sharp correction.
📌 Mark your levels. Watch the retest. Execute with confidence.