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Wedge at the Edge – Will the Dow Drop from Here?Price is approaching a key supply zone between 41,800 and 42,400, where previous strong selling occurred. A rising wedge pattern is forming, suggesting a potential bearish reversal. If price fails to break above the supply zone and closes below the wedge, a breakdown could lead to a bearish move targeting the demand zone around 39,000–39,300. Bearish Bias: Watching for rejection and breakdown confirmation for a short setup. Key Levels: Supply zone: 41,800 – 42,400 Demand zone: 39,000 – 39,300 Support to watch: 40,600
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Profx001
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash (NASDAQ CFD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 19,964.8 Value Area Low (VAL): 19,799.3 Point of Control (POC): 19,936.4 (current session), 19,817.5 (previous session) High-volume nodes: 19,850 – 19,950 (sustained consolidation and acceptance) Low-volume gaps: 20,000 – 20,070 (inefficient move up; could act as a magnet on retrace) b) Liquidity Zones: Stop clusters likely at: Above 20,125 (recent high and breakout level) Below 19,800 (previous rejection and consolidation) Absorption zones: Near 19,820–19,850, where strong wicks and CVD upticks indicated passive buyers stepping in c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High: 20,125.8 (sharp rejection, low follow-through volume) Swing Low: 19,713.4 (high absorption, spike in CVD) d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Bullish (CVD rising, price confirming higher highs) ADX Strength: ADX ~22, DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + rising price = strong demand Momentum stalling near 20,125, signaling potential short-term pullback 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 19,799.3 POC: 19,936.4 Swing low: 19,713.4 Resistance: VAH: 19,964.8 Swing high: 20,125.8 b) Gann-Based Levels: Recent swing low: 19,713.4 Retracement levels (from 20,125.8 high to 19,713.4 low): 1/3: 19,850.9 1/2: 19,919.6 2/3: 19,988.3 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish (ADX > 20 with CVD and price agreement) b) Notable Patterns: Bullish channel breakout forming Retest of 19,936 POC aligning with previous breakout level Potential continuation pattern (ascending wedge forming within purple projection channel) 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: 19,925 – 19,940 (POC + Gann midpoint) Targets: T1: 20,070 (gap fill) T2: 20,125 (recent high) Stop-Loss (SL): Below 19,799 (VAL / swing low) RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If rejection near swing high + falling CVD): Entry Zone: 20,120 – 20,125 Target: T1: 19,936 (POC) Stop-Loss (SL): Above 20,150 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
FX:NAS100Long
by ProspireWealth
6 ASX Stocks - That have showed strong relative strength Thought I'd throw up a diverse bunch of ASX growth stocks with decent market caps showing solid relative strength compared to the XJO (represented by the candles). XJO IS STILL DOWN ROUGHLY 4%. Considering how crappy the market has been since mid February, the below stocks have held up really well and could be out performers over the next 18 months or so: Market down approx 16% (Feb top - April low), currently still down 4%. Since the February top: Downer (DOW)16% Telstra (TLS) 18% Superloop (SLC) 29% A2 Milk (A2M) 41% Nanosonic (NAN) 42% Eagers Auto (APE) 47% Check out a similar list below from 2022 where all stocks had runs ranging from 60% to 160% over the next year or so after showing strong relative strength during 2022 lows(interest rates uncertainty)
ASX:XJO
by rutt
Elliott Wave Framework Highlights S&P 500 (SPX) Bullish ImpulseThe S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) has shown significant correction since its peak on February 17, 2025, before a tariff announcement. We propose that the corrective phase, labeled as wave (II), concluded at 4823. However, for the index to confirm the end of this correction and rule out a potential double correction, it must surpass the prior wave (I) high of 6147.43. Since the wave (II) low, the SPX has embarked on an upward trajectory, characterized as a nesting impulse—a pattern where waves build momentum in a structured, upward climb. From the wave (II) low, the rally began with wave 1 peaking at 5246.57, followed by a pullback in wave 2 to 4910.42. The index then surged in wave 3, which is unfolding in a five-wave impulse pattern on a smaller degree. Within wave 3, the first sub-wave ((i)) reached 5456.9, with a dip in wave ((ii)) to 5101.63. The index climbed again in wave ((iii)) to 5700.7, followed by a minor pullback in wave ((iv)) to 5578.64. We anticipate the index will extend higher to complete wave ((v)) of 3, followed by a wave 4 correction. Then the Index should do one final push to finish wave 5 of (1). After this, a broader correction from the April 7, 2025 low is expected in wave (2) before the uptrend resumes. As long as the 4823.5 pivot holds, any near-term pullbacks should find support in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern, paving the way for further gains. This analysis, rooted in Elliott Wave theory, suggests a bullish outlook for the SPX in the near term, provided key support levels remain intact.
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
NASDAQ is likely building a massive H&SWe’re very likely seeing the development of a H&S reversal pattern on the NASDAQ. Completion of the right shoulder is likely to take place over the next 2-4 weeks, especially when the impact of tariffs starts to become more pronounced through macroeconomic data and continued port volume shrinkage. The latter will create strong visuals for retail traders, further eroding consumer confidence. The impacts of tariff negotiations on fundamentals are negligible. Even if agreements with all nations are inked today, 100% restoration of damaged supply chains would still be months away, particularly with China. A shift of the supply curve to the left is naturally inflationary. The resulting impact on Q2 earnings will likely be severe for many sectors as overhead/inventory costs will swell considerably. The Fed has also signaled that relief via rate cuts will not happen, despite negative GDP growth, as long as inflation continues to climb. Given the inflationary nature of tariffs, it is highly unlikely we’ll see inflation reverse course in the near-to-intermediate term. Coupling this trend with continued negative GDP growth is the definition of stagflation. If the above plays out, we should see additional growth to around 18,600 with decreasing volume, followed by a reversal that takes us to approximately 12,000. Continued macroeconomic deterioration could drag this even lower.
NASDAQ:IXICShort
by Mr-Econ
1
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 101.39 1st Support: 99.91 1st Resistance: 102.58 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
S&P500 – Bullish Setup Into Major Top!We expect a strong rally on the S&P 500 starting next week. Based on our timing models and wave structure, we believe a major top is likely to be formed on one of the following key dates: 📅 April 22nd, April 24th, or April 29th, 2025 🔹 Rally Targets: • First Target: $5,630 • Second Target: $5,787 • Third Target: $6,000 (upper range projection) This move is part of a final leg up before we anticipate a major reversal and strong downward move, potentially marking a significant turning point for the broader market. 🧠 We are currently positioned to capture this upside and will reassess risk closely as we approach the above-mentioned dates. Precision matters — and so does timing.
SP:SPX
by VitalDirection
2