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SPX500 local top at 5700? Serious retrace could hit 5500SPX back to its "Liberation Day" highs and possible end of local wave. Local 4.236 fib at 5700.72 may have marked end of this wave up. Dip targets include the various green fibs but major target 5505.42 Green Zone below is a MUST HOLD or we return to Bear Markets. . =================== Previous Charts below ================== Major TOP call: Liberation Day top call: Tariff Relief road map: ================================================================ .
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by EuroMotif
Dax Trend Analysis for Today dated 08 May 2025As of May 8, 2025, the DAX 40 index is exhibiting a bullish trend, trading around 23,355.00 EUR, marking a 1.03% increase for the day . Technical Analysis: Moving Averages: The index is trading above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating strong upward momentum. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI stands at 48.69, suggesting neutral momentum without overbought or oversold conditions. Average Directional Index (ADX): A high ADX value of 91.42 points to a strong prevailing trend. Support and Resistance Levels: Key support is identified at 23,000 EUR, with resistance around 23,500 EUR. Market Sentiment: The combination of strong technical indicators and positive price action suggests a continuation of the bullish trend in the near term. Strategic Outlook: Given the current technical setup, the DAX 40 index appears poised for further gains, potentially testing the resistance level at 23,500 EUR. However, investors should remain vigilant for any macroeconomic developments or geopolitical events that could impact market dynamics. Sources
XETR:DAXShort
by filatovarthur
"DXY is building a textbook bullish flag — here’s exactly where For Traders (technical + confident) DXY bulls gearing up for a double-leg rally” 1. Context & Market Structure: After a sharp impulsive drop (green falling wedge), DXY has begun corrective accumulation in an ascending channel. Current price 99.531 is consolidating inside a broadening bullish flag pattern. Key Zones: Major supply zone: 100.500 – 101.000 (highlighted yellow box) Short-term resistance: 99.700 Short-term support: 98.8Projected Path (2 bullish legs): First push (red path): Minor pullback → break to ~100.100 Second push (blue path): Consolidation → breakout towards 100.500–101.000 (target zone) 00–98.500 Bias: Short-term bullish → Targeting supply zone around 100.5–101.0 Invalidation level: Clear break below 98.500 (would negate bullish setup) > Trade Idea: Buy on dips within the ascending flag, targeting 100.100 and 100.500 Watch reaction near supply zone for possible reversal or continuation
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Greenfireforex
NASDQhe image shows a daily chart (1D) of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) on TradingView, with a detailed technical analysis suggesting a possible continuation of the long (bullish) trend, supported by various price levels, trendlines, and visual cues. Here's a description based on the chart: 🟦 Current Context The price has recently broken above a key resistance area around 20,016 – 20,038, which may now act as support. The current candle is bullish (green) and closes above this range, showing buyer strength. There is a clear upward trend starting mid-April, with higher lows and consecutive bullish candles. 📈 Key Technical Elements A target is marked at 21,009.5, highlighted by an orange horizontal line. A light blue rectangle represents a potential projected move range, starting around the 20,000 zone and aiming toward 21,000. A red box below the current price likely indicates the invalidation area or stop-loss zone. Intermediate support levels include: 19,756.0 (blue line) 19,226.9 (orange line) 18,304.8 (deeper support) 🔁 Potential Long Continuation Scenario If price holds above the 20,000 – 20,038 zone, we may see an acceleration toward the 21,009 target. The overall pattern suggests a breakout from a consolidation phase, followed by a retest of the broken level (now support), and a potential upward continuation. The diagonal trendlines indicate the formation of a broad ascending channel. 📅 Timing The projected target may be reached within the coming weeks: a vertical black line is marked on May 21, 2025, possibly indicating the expected timeframe for the move. ✅ Conclusion There is a clear bullish market structure, with a resistance breakout and well-defended supports. Unless there’s a false breakout or negative macro news, the long projection toward 21,009 appears technically valid.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Alessiocalabretta
2025 forecast NYA Wave B top nearing 20% decline plusThe chart posted is that of the NYA .12/8 /2024 Major wave B top forming target 20,190 alt 22130 . Cycles are bearish into 2025 and well into oct 2026 Depression Like decline . into oct 2026 . First big decline should take us down into the spiral turn date 3/10 2025 week . in what should be an 11.8 to 16.6 % decline we should then see a rally into Mid July to Sept 2nd Then cycles begin next bear cycle phase . Down hard in most of 2026 The market in this decline should take us down about another 26 to 35% in wave 3 , The final low if the big picture is correct should see a major low oct 10/20 2026 the total decline should be 38% to 44 % Gold should see 1050 to 1489 . Bonds should form a rally but will fail over n over . BMV:US should see 119 to 121 handle in 2025 by mid oct 2025 . . Tariffs and the trade war are the main reason . But the markets since 2009 have been Liquidity driven with zero rates forced money flows into Assets 2025 will see a Deleveraging of inflation assets as we decline in housing markets based on the 18.8 year cycle in housing . Unemployment will see a sharp rise into 5.5 -6.1% into oct 2025 . based on downsizing of the federal workers Bitcoin will see a drop min 42/35 and a final low is 18500 to 22100 peak to low . . In dec 2021 Forecast called for a 20 plus decline into oct 10 to the 20th 2022 into 3510 to 3490 in the sp 500 .Dec 2022 forecast was calling for a rally to new highs in all indexes . In dec 2023 forecast called for the sp to reach 5636 to 5818 and the year of a vix of 29 or better we saw 60 . What next is at most I have said is a target in the sp of 6183/6235 We may or may not reach that But if is going to it will be jan 2 to the 20th 2025 . The last of the money flow . Best of trades WAVETIMER
TVC:NYA
by wavetimer
5
DXY Analysis: Rising Dollar and Market ImplicationsAnalyzing the recent DXY chart, we observe a significant upward movement following a demand build-up. This article explores the implications of a rising U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on currency pairs and major indices like the SP 500 and NASDAQ, aligning with current market dynamics. DXY Chart Breakdown: The chart highlights a strong weekly/daily demand level at 98,500, with an internal structural shift marking a pivot point. A demand build-up preceded a sharp rise, tapping the extreme level of the last point of supply at 100.385, suggesting bullish momentum. The DXY currently stands at 99.915, with potential to test previous supply levels around 101.850. Impact on Currency Pairs: A rising DXY typically strengthens the USD, influencing forex markets: • XXXUSD Pairs (e.g., EURUSD, GBPUSD): These pairs are likely to decline as fewer dollars are needed to purchase foreign currencies, reflecting the USD’s increased value. • USDXXX Pairs (e.g., USDJPY, USDCAD): These pairs are expected to climb, as a stronger USD buys more of the counterpart currency. Exceptions may arise due to region-specific economic data or central bank policies. Effects on Major Indices: The strengthening dollar has broader market implications: • SP 500: Multinational companies may face pressure from reduced overseas earnings, while higher interest rates (often linked to a rising DXY) could lower valuations, potentially leading to declines. • NASDAQ: Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, the NASDAQ may underperform due to its sensitivity to a stronger USD and rising borrowing costs, especially for firms with global revenue. However, a risk-off sentiment or strong U.S. economic data could counter these effects, supporting both indices. Conclusion: The DXY’s upward trajectory signals a robust USD, likely pressuring XXXUSD pairs downward and lifting USDXXX pairs. For indices, the SP 500 and NASDAQ may face headwinds, though context like economic releases or global sentiment will play a key role. Traders should monitor these levels closely for strategic entries and exits. Trump’s speech today may create short-term volatility for the DXY. A focus on tariffs could push it toward 101.850.
TVC:DXY
by Apexfx_Alpha
NAS100USD: Bearish Confluence Builds as Market WeakensGreetings Traders, Despite the broader bullish context on NAS100USD, current confluences suggest a potential short-term move to the downside. As we enter the New York session—with a key news release on the horizon—we anticipate heightened volatility. The critical question now becomes: where is price most likely to draw? Key Observations: 1. Shift in Market Structure: Price failed to break above the previous high and instead formed a lower high, signaling weakness and suggesting a possible reversal. This lower high, marked by multiple rejection wicks, forms what we identify as a rejection block—a zone often used by institutions to initiate sell orders. 2. Displacement and Bearish Arrays: Following this rejection, the market displayed strong displacement to the downside, confirming a market structure shift. This supports the likelihood of bearish continuation and increases the validity of bearish institutional arrays holding as resistance. 3. Current Zone of Interest: Price is now trading within a fair value gap (FVG) aligned with a reclaimed order block—a strong confluence area for potential bearish continuation. Just above this zone lies a bearish order block and another FVG, which may act as a secondary resistance should price wick higher before moving down. Trading Plan: Wait for confirmation at the current resistance zones before considering entries. If validated, look to target the liquidity pools resting at lower, discount price levels. Stay patient, trade with precision, and let the market confirm your idea. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
8
Germany 40 – Focus on the All Time HighsThe Germany 40 index has been on a wild ride in the first 4+ months of 2025 as European equity markets have reaped the benefits of a shift out of US assets, an expected major spending up lift by European governments on defence and more importantly for the Germany 40 specifically, a commitment by the country’s lawmakers to lift the debt break, which is expected to unleash billions of EUROs of spending on infrastructure projects moving forward. This all saw the Germany 40 index climb from 19,753 on January 2nd to a new all time high of 23479 on March 18th. However, its not all been plain sailing, as US President Trump’s introduction of trade tariffs on global allies saw a capitulation of these initial longs all the way down to 18800 on April 7th, although this weakness didn’t last long as a month later, more specifically on Tuesday May 6th the index returned to its all time highs again. Wow! Now, with the index pausing just below this important peak, it seems like a good time to consider the technical outlook. Technical Outlook: Break or Fail at All Time Highs An all-time high in any asset is an important resistance focus for traders, as having seen it previously hold and reverse an advance in price, the potential is that it may do so again. Therefore, as a previous all-time price is neared, the question will always be asked, will it hold and see fresh selling pressure once more, or will it give way on a closing basis, to suggest possibilities of a more sustained period of price strength. The Germany 40 index currently finds itself in such a situation, and activity over coming sessions may offer clues to its next direction. On March 18th 2025, the Germany 40 index traded to a level of 23479, which represented a new all-time market high. Significantly, from here, a fall of 19.90% materialised into the April 7th low. Interestingly, having posted this 18800 April 7th session low, a near 100% upside retracement of the early April decline has developed, with Tuesday’s high this week at 23430. The question traders may now be asking is, can new all-time highs be posted to suggest extension of recent strength, or will it hold again and see fresh price weakness? Of course, it is an impossible question to answer, as much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends. However, it should be remembered, even if closing breaks of previous all-time highs do develop, it may still not guarantee further strength. That said, if closes above the 23479 March 18th 2025 extreme do materialise, it may skew possibilities to higher levels. However, it is always difficult to gauge where the next higher resistance points stand in all-time high territory, but it might prove to be the 38% Fibonacci extension of the March/April price decline, which stands at 25232, that could be the next resistance focus. It is equally possible, as it is an important resistance that 23578 holds and reverses the latest strength again, in which case, we must be aware of possible supports that if broken, may see increasing downside pressure in the index. The first support, may now be 22860, which was Tuesday’s session low, as this held and prompted a rally in price. This level giving way, while not an outright negative, might then see a deeper decline emerge towards 22237, equal to the April 30th low, even possibly the rising Bollinger mid-average, which currently stands at 21914. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by Pepperstone
DowJones INTRADAY resistance retestKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 41,900 Resistance Level 2: 42,470 Resistance Level 3: 43,600 Support Level 1: 40,680 Support Level 2: 40,240 Support Level 3: 39,700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
S&P INTRADAY uptrend continuationMarket and Geopolitical Update US–UK Trade Deal: Donald Trump announced a trade agreement with the UK, calling it the first of his promised deals. Details will be released by the White House. Chipmakers Rise: The US plans to roll back some Biden-era AI chip export restrictions, boosting chip stocks. New rules are in development to better control foreign chip use. Markets Rally: US stock futures climbed, Bitcoin neared $100,000, and the dollar strengthened slightly after the Fed signaled no rush to cut rates. Corporate Struggles: Despite market optimism, companies continue to feel tariff pressure. Toyota expects a $1.3 billion hit, while Maersk downgraded its transport outlook. India–Pakistan Tensions: Pakistan reported shooting down 12 Indian drones, escalating long-standing tensions. India’s Nifty 50 dropped 0.4%, and Pakistan’s KSE-30 fell 7%. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5730 Resistance Level 2: 5780 Resistance Level 3: 5874 Support Level 1: 5580 Support Level 2: 5510 Support Level 3: 5440 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Up-a-Bar, Down-a-Bar? Sorted.Gap Higher Into 5700 Heat Ever make a tiny tweak to your bias, ignore the noise, and then watch the market validate every inch of it? That’s the vibe this morning. Yesterday’s post-FOMC tag of the lower Bollinger Band confirmed the mechanical turn, and if you’ve been following along, that means our bullish bias got an official upgrade. Futures are already up 60 points overnight, price is lifting into the 5700 zone, and yes… that broken wing butterfly we placed in the slop is now basking in the spotlight. Didn’t catch the full breakdown of that clean +98.1% ROC win? You should. Because boring trades print – and this one did just that. --- SPX Market View Let’s talk about the move we didn’t miss. We spotted the sideways chop. The indecision. The textbook “up-a-bar, down-a-bar” noise. But instead of guessing direction into FOMC chaos, we made a minor but vital adjustment: Bullish above 5600. Stay mechanical. Stay patient. That call aged well. FOMC came and went with all the urgency of a soggy biscuit. The lower Bollinger Band tag arrived right on cue, and with overnight futures up strong, we’re sitting in validation territory. Now today? 5700 becomes the zone of truth. It’s the GEX cluster. It’s the high of the week. (so far) It’s where a gap-and-go or gap-and-fade could unfold. If price breaks clean, we could see new highs forming into the weekend. If not, expect a choppy pullback from the open before things stabilise. Either way… Already in swings. Already got B&B on. No need to chase. Let the market come to us. This is why structure wins. Expert Insights: Flipping bias mid-chop – let price confirm. Don’t front-run. Forcing entries post-gap – wait for structure, not speed. Ignoring prior levels – 5700 is loaded. Watch for traps. Missing the post-review edge – yesterday’s trade gives today’s confidence. Chasing noise into FOMC hangovers – let the dust settle before committing. --- Rumour Has It… Apparently, the Fed’s post-FOMC statement was originally just a shrug emoji and the word “meh” repeated 17 times. When asked to elaborate, the AI bot in charge blinked twice and played a jazz loop. Traders remain unsure if it was dovish or just tired. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact In 1983, the S&P 500 posted its largest one-day post-Fed reversal at the time, rallying over 3% after a morning selloff – all while inflation was double digits and headlines screamed chaos. The takeaway? News means nothing if your setup is clean and your risk is defined. The same edge applies today.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
FTSE 100 H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe FTSE 100 (UK100) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 8,474.09 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 8,150.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support. Take profit is at 8,744.02 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:UK100Long
by Tradu
3
DAX INTRADAY uptrend continuationThe DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing short term uptrend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which subsequently spiked above near a key resistance zone. A corrective pullback to 22,826, followed by renewed buying pressure, would likely confirm a bullish reversal, with upside targets at: 23,730 – Near-term resistance 24,000 – Medium-term resistance 24,355 – Long-term resistance level However, if price breaks and closes firmly below 22,826 on a daily basis, the bullish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend corrective pullback toward: 22,500 – Immediate support 22,250 – Major downside target Conclusion The bias remains bullish above 22,826, with rallies from that level offering potential long opportunities. A daily close below 22,826, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bearish continuation toward lower support levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation