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US30 Intra-Week Analysis DEC 17th 2024US30 continued to make its way down to the 43400 Key Level after retracing from the new All-Time-High and supporting the FUD from an increase in interested rates. From this price point we can expect a decrease in volume resulting in consolidation as we approach Christmas and the new year. If we see a break above 43800 that will help support potential buys back to ATHs otherwise look out for a break below 43250 meaning selling momentum is still there.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Itskaleel
Dow Jones Long & ShortDow Jones MTF Analysis Dow JonesYearly Demand 37779 Dow Jones 6 Month Demand 40077 Dow JonesQtrly Demand BUFL 40077 Dow JonesMonthly Demand 43325 Dow JonesWeekly Demand 42491 Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 43381 ENTRY -1 Long 43381 SL 42938 RISK 443 Target as per Entry 44800 Target Points 1,419 If Price Reverse from current level then 44800 Is the First Target Expecting Correction at 44800 ENTRY -2 Short 44800 SL 45073 RISK 273 Target as per Entry 42500 Target Points 2,300
TVC:DJILong
by pradyammm
My McClellan Oscillator Graph - Up or Down in the Markets?This is a huge factor to watch, something to consider, Santa Claus Rally expected, or not? I have had many financial analysts for decades always point out this chart when the markets seem toppy or indecisive. The Dow has closed 9 days in a row, first time since the 70s, that's quite interesting, let's watch to see if the theory behind this indicator proves we are in for a rally as I expect. The markets always tend to go higher more than one might think.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Trance-Man
Rising Global Liquidity: Deflationary Dollar & Rallying EquitiesWhile it's uncommon for the dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and equities (S&P 500) to rise simultaneously, historical instances illustrate that it can occur under specific economic conditions. I think those conditions may be upon us! Historical Examples: 1995: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Strong economic growth and corporate earnings propelled equities higher. 2001-2002: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Economic recovery following the tech bubble burst. 2011: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising Context: Safe-haven buying of the dollar amid European debt concerns, while stocks benefited from robust corporate earnings. March 2020: DXY Movement: Strengthening S&P 500 Movement: Rising (post-COVID) Context: Initial flight to safety due to uncertainty, followed by stimulus-driven stock market recovery. Mid-Late 2025 - Crescendo: DXY Movement: Potential strength driven by deflationary AI Pressure cheapening productivity & labor cycles S&P 500 Movement: Rising markets as all assets rally as a result of increased liquidity from stimulus Context: it takes a few months for stimulus to reach assets- the next few *years* might have stimulus coming. Inflate the debt away while the dollar rises? These historical instances suggest that a strengthening dollar *can* coexist with rising equities, particularly in environments characterized by global liquidity increases. Given the chart, we have a convergence of two long term trend lines, first in the ascending channel on the ‘short term’ (1yr candles, in top photo ascending channel). Then for the longer term ‘cup’ trend going back decades (ref bottom RSI momentum dating back to 1980s), *that* might show that we truly are on the cusp of incredible amounts of stimulus. What do you think? Is it possible that the dollar goes higher while we receive trillions in stimulus? Is this the fuel for the ‘everything rally’?
TVC:DXY
by httpz
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 18-Dec-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 18-Dec-2024 Previous Day Plan vs Actual: In yesterday's uploaded chart, we identified key levels of retracement and reversal zones. The Wave C completion zone (24,097 - 24,009) was highlighted as a potential support for buyers. As observed in today’s session, the price reacted strongly to this zone with a pullback, respecting the reversal area as anticipated. Additionally, the Golden Retracement Zone acted as intraday resistance, with prices consolidating sideways as shown in the Yellow Trend . Moving into 18-Dec-2024, we will adjust our plan based on the identified opening levels and trends. Trading Scenarios for 18-Dec-2024: Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,319) If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 24,485 or near the Golden Retracement Zone , we should be cautious of immediate selling pressure. The first resistance to monitor is at 24,547 . Price action here will determine further moves: If prices sustain above 24,547 , expect an extension toward 24,686 (Last resistance for Intraday). Failing to sustain above 24,547 could lead to retracement back to 24,319 (Opening Support). Action Plan: Wait for a retest of support levels after the gap-up before initiating fresh longs. Avoid chasing prices. Tip: For option traders, focus on at-the-money call options with tight stop losses if support holds. ⠀⠀ ⠀⠀ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 24,319 - Opening Support/Resistance Zone) If Nifty opens flat near the Opening Support/Resistance at 24,319 , we must observe whether buyers or sellers take control: If prices break above 24,319 and sustain, look for a move toward the Golden Retracement Zone at 24,454 - 24,485 . Failure to hold 24,319 could trigger selling pressure toward 24,150 and deeper levels like the Wave C completion zone. Action Plan: Observe 15-minute candle confirmation before taking any trade. Maintain a favorable Risk/Reward Ratio of at least 1:2. Tip: For options, consider selling put options if support holds or buying call spreads to minimize premium risks. ⠀⠀ ⠀⠀ Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 24,319) If Nifty opens with a gap-down near the Wave C completion zone (24,097 - 24,009) , this area will act as strong support for buyers: Look for reversal signs (bullish candles) in this support zone for potential long entries with stop losses below 24,009 . If prices fail to reverse and sustain below 24,009 , expect further downside toward 23,950 . Action Plan: Focus on reversal confirmation at Wave C completion for long positions. Avoid shorting unless a clear breakdown occurs. Tip: For options, buying in-the-money call options at reversal zones reduces the impact of time decay. ⠀⠀ ⠀⠀ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Always keep a defined stop-loss for every trade to protect your capital. Avoid holding options positions overnight, especially during high volatility. Use spreads (e.g., Call/Put Spreads) to minimize the impact of premium fluctuations. Do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade. Monitor the VIX index to gauge overall market sentiment and volatility levels. Summary and Conclusion: Bullish Scenario: Sustaining above 24,454 - 24,485 could trigger a move toward 24,686 . Sideways Scenario: Consolidation in the Golden Retracement Zone may dominate intraday moves. Bearish Scenario: A break below 24,009 could invite further selling pressure. Yellow Trend: Sideways Consolidation Green Trend: Bullish Move Red Trend: Bearish Breakdown Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The analysis provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 18-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Bank Nifty – 18th December 2024 The chart for 17th December 2024 outlined key levels like the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,581 - ₹52,998)**, deep retracement at ₹51,868-₹52,074, and potential resistance levels like ₹53,225 and ₹53,519. The plan predicted consolidation within the golden zone and a potential breakout. On 17th December, Bank Nifty respected the yellow highlighted zone (sideways trend) but showed weakness at intraday resistance. Buyers failed to take control, indicating the market might revisit lower retracement zones. Now, let's discuss the detailed trading plan for 18th December based on potential opening scenarios. --- Trading Plan for 18th December 2024 Key Levels for the Day: Support Zone: ₹52,581 - ₹52,789 (Golden Retracement Zone) Resistance Levels: ₹53,225 (Intraday Resistance), ₹53,519 (Resistance for New Highs) Deep Retracement Zone: ₹52,074 - ₹51,868 (113%-127% Fibonacci) Yellow Trend indicates sideways consolidation, Green Trend shows bullish movements, and Red Trend highlights bearish trends. --- 1. Gap-Up Opening (+200 Points or More Above ₹52,998) - If Bank Nifty opens above ₹52,998, it enters the upper band of the **Golden Retracement Zone**. - Immediate focus will be on **₹53,225** (Intraday Resistance). - A bullish breakout above ₹53,225 may lead to a quick move toward **₹53,519** (Resistance for New Highs). Plan of Action: Look for bullish price action confirmation (green candles, strong volumes) near ₹52,998-₹53,225. Place a buy trade above ₹53,225 for targets of ₹53,519, with a stop loss at ₹52,900. If resistance at ₹53,225 holds and bearish candles appear, plan short trades below ₹53,000 targeting ₹52,789-₹52,581 (lower retracement zone). Tips: Avoid chasing trades during the first 15 minutes; wait for clear price action confirmation around resistance zones. --- 2. Flat Opening (Near ₹52,789 - ₹52,998) - A flat opening within the **Golden Retracement Zone** suggests potential sideways consolidation. - Buyers will likely attempt to defend the zone between ₹52,789-₹52,581. Plan of Action: Observe price behavior within the range. If support holds above ₹52,789, consider a buy trade above ₹52,998 with targets at ₹53,225 and ₹53,519. If price breaks below ₹52,581, shift focus to the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074-₹51,868)**. Plan a short trade targeting ₹52,074 with a stop loss at ₹52,800. Tips: For options traders, use **strangle or straddle strategies** to capture sideways volatility if price stays within the golden retracement range. --- 3. Gap-Down Opening (-200 Points or Below ₹52,581) - A gap-down opening below ₹52,581 will indicate bearish pressure. - Price is likely to test the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074 - ₹51,868)**, a potential reversal area for Wave C. Plan of Action: Wait for price to enter the deep retracement zone. Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near ₹52,074-₹51,868 before initiating a buy trade targeting ₹52,581 . If price fails to hold ₹51,868, plan short trades targeting ₹51,500 with a stop loss at ₹52,200. For aggressive traders, sell on breakdowns below ₹52,581 for quick intraday moves toward the deep retracement zone. Tips: In case of a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for price to stabilize and confirm levels before entering positions. --- Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2% of capital per trade. Use hedging strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads to limit risks during volatile sessions. Always place stop-loss orders for both futures and options trades. Avoid trading options with low liquidity to minimize slippage. --- Summary and Conclusion: - For 18th December 2024, the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,789 - ₹52,998)** is the key area to watch. A breakout above ₹53,225 can trigger a bullish rally, while a breakdown below ₹52,581 may lead to further bearishness toward the deep retracement zone. - Sideways consolidation is expected if the price remains within the golden retracement range. - Focus on price action signals and risk management to navigate the session effectively. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The views expressed here are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Dow Jones (US 30) Pullback to Channel SupportChart Analysis: The Dow Jones Industrial Average remains firmly within an ascending channel (green zone), with the current price nearing key channel support after a pullback. 1️⃣ Ascending Channel: The price continues to respect the upward-sloping channel, which has been intact since mid-August. The lower boundary, near 43,450, is a critical support level to monitor. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): The price is testing this level at 43,514, which aligns with the channel support, acting as confluence. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 40,705, reinforcing the broader bullish trend and serving as a long-term support zone. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Currently at 39.77, approaching oversold territory. A bounce from this level could signal renewed buying interest. MACD: Bearish momentum persists, with the MACD line trending downward. However, traders may watch for signs of a crossover near support. What to Watch: A successful defense of the ascending channel support and 50-day SMA could provide a foundation for a rebound toward the channel's upper boundary. If the support fails, the next significant area of interest would be the 42,000 level or the 200-day SMA near 40,705. RSI movement and MACD signals will be key for confirming shifts in momentum. The Dow remains within its bullish channel, but traders will be closely watching how price reacts to this critical support zone. -MW
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
The DXY is extremely important. **“In my opinion, the Dollar Index (DXY) has always been the key determinant of market sentiment and direction, and it still is. Today, with the distance created from China, everything is more tied to the DXY than ever before. I truly can’t tell you whether the drop will start from the 106-107 range, because my mind is intensely occupied with the 111-112 range. However, I can say with certainty that in 2025, the 103-104 range will be touched first, and then we’ll move toward two other specified levels. This aligns perfectly with an explosion in cryptocurrency and altcoins. You just need to stay on the field, as wrestlers say — eventually, you’ll strike a winning blow somewhere.”**
TVC:DXY
by DPRTRADE
CHART BREAKDOWN NASDAQ: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️: The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing 1 essential demand zone: low-risk buy spanning from 21,700.00 to 20,660.00, respectively, is highlighted. Things I Have Seen👀: Important Demand Zone🟢: Identified between 21,700.00 and 20,660.00, serving as a low-risk buy. Bearish Targets📈: 21,800.00: Possible retracement area. 21,950.00: Possible retracement area. 22,200.00: Liquidity Area. What's Important Now❗ Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by T4X_Trading
Trading with Multiple Time Frames: A Balanced ApproachWhy Use Multiple Time Frames ? In trading, understanding flow and target areas across different time frames is essential for precision. Each time frame provides a unique insight: Higher Time Frame (HTP) : Establishes the direction and target areas. Focal Time Frame : Serves as your primary or main frame of focus for trading decisions. Lower Time Frame (LTP) : Confirms the HTP’s direction and offers entry/exit points. Examples: If you are position trading (holding longer than 1 month) you focal time frame is the monthly, the weekly is the time frame that offers entry/exits and the Quarterly is the time frame that establishes the direction and target areas. If you are swing trading (holding longer than 1 week) then you focal time frame is the weekly, LTP is the daily for entry/exists and HTP is the monthly. If you trade intraday then HTP is the hourly, focal is 15min and LTP is the 5min. 🔎 Key Principles for Multi-Time Frame Analysis HTP Determines the Flow: Strong resistance or support on the higher time frame drives the market flow. Example: If HTP resistance is strong, the LTP will typically trend downward​ LTP Monitors the Setup: Use lower time frames to observe and confirm HTP predictions. Lower time frame bars should progressively move away from strong HTP levels​ Focus on Nearby and Further Out Areas: Nearby areas provide short-term strength or weakness. If a nearby area breaks, targets shift to further-out energy zones​ 🧩 Example Strategy: Integrating Time Frames Step 1: Identify a strong support/resistance area on the HTP (e.g., Weekly Chart). Step 2: Use the focal time frame (e.g., Daily Chart) to monitor for trend setups. Step 3: Zoom into the LTP (e.g., Hourly Chart) to: Confirm the setup. Look for price reactions and ideal entry points. Step 4: Set targets based on the HTP structure, while managing risk on the LTP. 🎯 Tips for Target Setting Targets are often defined where price terminates energy (e.g., HTP resistance/support levels). Monitor flow: If LTP flow aligns with HTP direction, the trade is on track. If nearby energy breaks, shift your target to the next further-out area​ 🚀 Final Thoughts The HTP shows the big picture; the LTP provides execution clarity. Always let the HTP guide you, and the LTP confirm your trade entries/exits. Remember: “Strength is strength until proven otherwise.” By combining multiple time frames, traders can trade confidently, anticipate targets, and stay in sync with the market flow.
SPREADEX:SPXEducation
by JordanMT
Santa abandons the Dow 30Buyers in the Dow Jones are likely frustrated given the recent gains in other stock indices, and as sellers are aggressively challenging the bullish uptrend, with the index nearly erasing all gains of its 5% rally off the November 19 low. As the price approaches a prior consolidation zone between 43,319 and 43,557, a reaction is likely, potentially forming a bottom and pushing higher as the December Santa rally begins. We maintain a bullish bias above 43,111, the November 20 low. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by ThinkMarkets
Elliott Wave Analysis and Fibonacci Projections for US 100CAPITALCOM:US100 The Elliott Wave Theory identifies 5 impulsive waves in the direction of the trend, followed by 3 corrective waves: Impulse Waves (1-2-3-4-5): Main trend movement. Corrective Waves (A-B-C): Countertrend correction. 2. Detailed Analysis of Observed Waves Wave 1: Initial Upward Impulse Definition: This is the first wave that initiates a new trend, driven by optimistic investors. Key Level on Your Chart: The bottom of Wave 1 is observed at 21,571.8, marking the trend’s starting point. Wave 2: Correction of Wave 1 Definition: This wave corrects a portion of Wave 1, typically between 38.2% and 61.8% of Fibonacci retracements. Interpretation: The correction does not breach the starting point of Wave 1. Observation: Wave 2's correction stays above the critical support. Wave 3: Strongest Impulse Wave Definition: This is typically the longest and strongest wave, often extending 1.618 times Wave 1. Key Features: It surpasses the high of Wave 1 and creates a significant trend move. Key Level on Your Chart: The peak of Wave 3 is at 22,133.4, confirming a strong upward move. Wave 4: Intermediate Correction Definition: Wave 4 corrects part of Wave 3 but does not overlap with Wave 1’s territory. Typical Retracement: Between 23.6% and 50% of Wave 3 (Fibonacci levels). Observation: The low of Wave 4 is seen at 21,946.8, aligning with a retracement between 38.2% and 50%, indicating a moderate pullback. Wave 5: Final Impulse Wave Definition: This wave continues the trend but is usually weaker than Wave 3. Projection: Fibonacci extensions project Wave 5 to end around 0.618x or 1.0x of the distance between Wave 1 and Wave 3. Key Level on Your Chart: Wave 5 is projected to reach 22,400 (based on a 61.8% extension). 3. Fibonacci Levels and Wave Validation Fibonacci Retracements: Wave 2: Corrects 38.2%–61.8% of Wave 1. Wave 4: Corrects 23.6%–50% of Wave 3. Fibonacci Extensions: Wave 3: Often extends 1.618x the length of Wave 1. Wave 5: Projected at 0.618x or 1.0x the total move of Wave 1–3. 4. Validating the Elliott Wave Scenario To ensure the waves on your chart follow the Elliott Wave principles: Wave 2 does not retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is not the shortest of the three impulsive waves (1, 3, 5). Wave 4 does not overlap the territory of Wave 1. 5. Observations and Projections Based on your key levels: Wave 3 successfully formed a strong impulse at 22,133.4. Wave 4 retraced to 21,946.8, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels. Wave 5 is projected to reach approximately 22,400, based on the 61.8% Fibonacci extension. 6. Recommendations Monitor Fibonacci levels to confirm Wave 5's target near 22,400. Use indicators like RSI or MACD to detect divergences, signaling potential Wave 5 exhaustion. Validate Elliott Wave rules to avoid misinterpretations.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Trwin
1
US30 Possible Bullish ideaUS30 has been on a straight sell for the past 9days and finally is approaching a strong area of Resistance turned support and an ascending trendline on the higher TF. Seeing it has two ascending trendlines we will objectively look at it. If market respects the ascending trendline and the area of support turned resistance, we will execute a buy but if it breaks that level, we will continue a sell to the second trendline and area of resistance turned support. Remember, objectivity is the rule of the game. The market lads, we follow.
EIGHTCAP:US30
by KAYCEEFX1