US Dollar Breakdown – Don’t Fight the FloodSince the start of the year, after forming a small double top around the 110 zone, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has followed only one direction: down.
So far, we’re seeing a decline that’s approaching 15%, with the index breaking multiple major support levels along the way. And judging by the current structure, there’s little reason to believe this trend will reverse any time soon.
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🔍 Short-Term View – Flag Break, More Losses Ahead
Zooming in, we can observe that the last rally was purely corrective — a typical bear flag formation. That flag is now broken to the downside, which confirms renewed bearish pressure and suggests that further losses are likely even in the short term.
________________________________________
🎯 What’s Next?
The next major support zone sits around 95, a level that should act as a magnet if the current trend continues.
As long as price stays under 100 ZONE, the outlook remains bearish and the strategy should align with that bias.
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✅ Strategy Going Forward
The safe and logical approach now is to buy dips on major USD pairs:
EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD
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📌 Final Thought
The structure is clear, momentum favors the downside, and the market is offering clean setups across multiple USD pairs.
Don’t fight the trend — follow the flow. 🟢
Market indices
Dow Set for Volatile Move as Earnings, Tariff Risks CollideUS30 OVERVIEW
The price is currently consolidating between 44,180 and 44,620, awaiting a catalyst. Today’s earnings reports are expected to heavily influence Dow Jones price action.
If earnings come in strong, the index is likely to push toward 44,620 and 44,760. A confirmed stability above 44,620 would strengthen the bullish case, potentially opening the path toward a new all-time high near 45,100.
However, a break below 44,180 would signal bearish momentum, with potential downside toward 43,960. Additional pressure could come from escalating tariff tensions, further weakening sentiment.
Resistance: 44,620 · 44,760 · 45,100
Support: 44,180 · 43,960 · 43,630
Well...... I have no words to say, lets see what happens now. The Last Breath of Bulls
They came with horns of thunder,
hooves pounding gold from earth,
a decade’s dance in roaring winds,
each sunrise glinting mirth.
They charged through fields of candlesticks,
green banners held aloft,
dreams stacked on dreams, layer by layer,
voices rising, soft to rough.
But markets tire as all beasts do,
the grass runs dry and thin,
greed’s fattened calves now restless,
as silence crowds the din.
A tremor in the trading halls,
screens blinking red, then grey,
the bulls look up at iron clouds,
no dawn in this new day.
They stand, bewildered, heavy,
in fields now tinged with frost,
the horns that once carved futures bright,
bowed under the cost.
The end comes not with fury,
but a quiet pulling thread,
the bullish songs that once were sung,
now whispers of the dead.
Yet even as the bulls lie down,
the soil still holds the sun,
for from the hush of fallen hooves,
new seasons will be spun.
US30 SHORT FORM RESISTANCE|
✅DOW JONES index keeps
Growing in a strong uptrend
And we are bullish biased long-term
However the price has hit an all-time-high
Resistance level of 45,072(which can be seen
Further left you zoom out on higher TF)
So as we are already seeing a local
Bearish reaction we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY Sell breakdown from bullish trend selling pressure 📊DXY – US Dollar Index Analysis – 4H Timeframe
The US Dollar Index has broken its bullish trend with a strong bearish candle, signaling a possible shift in momentum to the downside
📍 Sell Position Active:
Entry taken at 98.000 following the trendline break and bearish confirmation candle
🎯 Technical Targets /
Demand Zones:
🔹 97.300 – near-term demand zone
🔹 96.500 – key support area to watch for potential reaction
🧠Momentum favors bears after structure break — monitoring price action as we approach target zones
What’s your outlook for DXY? Drop your analysis
👍 Like | 🔔 Follow | 💭 Comment for more updates
#usdollar #dxy
Before GER40 Roars, It WhispersHey guys👋
Here’s the latest GER40 analysis I’ve prepared for you:
🔻 If the **24,179** support level breaks, the next target is **23,972**.
🔺 If the **24,373** resistance level breaks, the next target is **24,511**.
🎯 I’ve shared two key levels with you — please monitor them carefully.
Every like from you gives me a big boost of motivation 🙏
Thanks to everyone who supports my work — truly appreciate it 💙
Strong Comeback by Nifty few Resistances ahead.Nifty made a remarkable comeback today ending 159 points up closing at 25219. Infosys has posted better than expected result and as of now the Infosys ADR is up by 1.26%. So if there is a turnaround in the IT sector we can see Nifty fly upwards.
The next resistance ahead of Nifty is at 25256 if we get a closing above this the next will be at 25328. These 2 will be critical resistances to cross. Once we get a closing above 25328 Nifty can target 25433 and 25544. Above 25544 Nifty becomes very strong. In case Nifty is not able to cross 25256 or 25328 levels the supports for Nifty are at 25182. After this zone there is a dual support of Mother and Father line of Hourly chart at 25136 and 25142.
These are very strong supports. (Thus the zone between 25182 to 25136 is full of supports). We hope that these supports are held. In case we get a closing below 25136 Nifty will again fall into bearish territory and can plunge towards 25081, 24994 or even 24885.
The shadow of the candles right now is positive but 2 very important resistances mentioned earlier are yet to crossed so game is in balance but only slightly in favour of Bulls.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
VIX possible long?As equity markets continue to approach all-time highs and expectations of interest rate cuts increase, market sentiment remains highly optimistic. This environment of "good news" characterized by strong performance in equities and the anticipated easing of monetary policy is likely to suppress volatility in the short term, potentially pushing the VIX down into the 12–15 range.
However, this period of euphoria may mask underlying risks. Stock valuations appear stretched, and the crypto market is exhibiting signs of overheating. If corporate earnings begin to miss expectations or if signs of economic slowdown emerge particularly if the economy shows signs of overheating before stabilizing market sentiment could shift rapidly. In such a scenario, volatility may spike again, with the VIX potentially rising back into the 20–25 range as uncertainty returns and risk appetite diminishes.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
US Dollar Index - 4h Chart (CAPITALCOM)4-hour chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY) from CAPITALCOM shows the index's recent price movements. The current value is 96.955, with a slight increase of 0.054 (+0.06%). Key levels include a support at 96.413 and resistance at 97.554. The chart highlights buy signals at 97.012 and sell signals at 96.958 and 96.955, with a notable downward trend breaking below a support zone around 97.150.
U.S. Small Caps Break Out: Dash for Trash Gathers SteamSitting in an obvious uptrend with momentum indicators skewing increasingly bullish, it looks like the U.S. small cap 2000 contract wants to go higher. The dash for trash is on!
Having just cleared the July 10 high of 2278, it’s provided a decent setup to initiate fresh longs, allowing for a stop beneath that level for protection against a reversal.
2320 screens as an initial target given the contract consistently struggled to break above it earlier this year. Beyond that, 2375 and the record high of 2468 are the levels to watch.
Good luck!
DS
NAS100 Bigger Picture. Uptrend to be resumedLooking at the current structure through the lens of a trend trading approach, what we saw on NAS100 is more than a simple price bounce, it’s a trend continuation trading within a high-volatility environment. As price is approaching a key resistance level, how price is behaving around this dynamic trendline will be key.
This recent retracement and rejection happening near what we can call a demand zone cluster, was confirmed by a beautiful bounce off the support range. And right now price is respecting the upper and lower bounds nicely.
What happens next? Price is showing signs of bullish exhaustion, but the higher-timeframe structure supports a continuation.
My projected target is towards the upper resistance line, that’s my 23,100 zone as shown.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 23/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today, continuing its sideways movement within a tight range. There are no significant changes in key levels from the previous session, indicating a consolidative phase in the market. Price action near these levels will be crucial for intraday direction.
On the upside, a bullish continuation can be expected if Nifty sustains above 25,050–25,100. This zone has been acting as a breakout point, and a sustained move above can lead to an intraday rally toward 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. Further strength will be confirmed if Nifty crosses 25,250, opening the possibility to test 25,350, 25,400, and even 25,450+ levels.
On the downside, if Nifty breaks below 24,950, it may trigger a short setup with potential downside targets of 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750-. This breakdown would indicate weakness, especially if it comes with volume.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(24/07/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open with a slight gap-up, continuing its recent upward trajectory. The index has shown strength by reclaiming key resistance zones and now trades above 57,100, indicating bullish sentiment in the market. Today’s price action will be crucial near immediate supply and resistance zones.
On the upside, if Bank Nifty sustains above 57,050–57,100, a continuation move may unfold toward 57,250, 57,350, and 57,450+ levels. A decisive breakout above 57,550 will open up further upside possibilities with targets near 57,750, 57,850, and 57,950+, where the next key resistance lies.
On the downside, weakness will only emerge if the index breaks below 56,950, which could trigger a sell-off with downside targets of 56,750, 56,650, and 56,550-. This zone also marks the base of the recent rally, and breaching it could suggest exhaustion of momentum.
Overall, the trend remains positive with momentum favoring the bulls as long as the index remains above 57,000. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation near the mentioned levels before initiating trades and maintain strict risk management with trailing stop-losses.
NIFTY S/R for 24/7/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DAX/GER30 - TIME TO SHORT AT CURRENT PRICETeam, great win for the US30 on trade surplus 26 billion last month
expect to have great trade surplus over 300 billion
the Japanese went crazy 3.5% due to tariff drop from 25% down to 15%
The whole market has been pumping
We find an opportunity to SHORT THE DAX/GER 30 at the current level 24543-24556
STOP LOSS AT 24650
WITH TARGET at 24360-24320
PLEASE NOTE: once the price drop below 24500, bring stop loss to BE to protect your trade.
STICK TO THE PLAN.