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Dollar Reversal? Inverse Head & Shoulders Spotted!Is the Dollar Index bottoming out? I break down a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the DXY chart — a classic reversal setup that could signal a major trend change. See as I analyze the key neckline breakout zone, potential upside targets and golden zone fib support defended confirming the pattern. I hope you find this informative. Thank you for the boosts, comments and discussions of the idea. Cheers and best wishes on every trade # USDCHF, #AUDUSD, #USDJPY, #EURUSD, #GBPUSD Forex pairs
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by RICHINVESTOR
S&P500 This is why every CORRECTION is a GIFT.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been steadily rising since the April bottom to new All Time Highs (ATH). On the grand 100 year scale, the February - March tariff fueled correction, has been nothing significant. The last true technical correction has been the 2022 Inflation Crisis because it touched, and instantly rebounded on, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). This is not the first time we bring forward our multi-decade perspective on stock and in particular this chart. But it serves well, keeping us into the meaningful long-term outlook of the market. This suggests that since the Great Depression and the first signs of recovery after the 1935 - 1941 Bear Cycle, the market has entered a multi-decade Channel Up, which is divided into long-term aggressive expansion periods (Bull Cycles) and shorter term depressions (Bear Cycles). During a Bull Cycle, every test of the 1M MA50 is a instant cyclical buy opportunity and in fact that isn't presented very often. During a Bear Cycle, the market makes an initial aggressive correction below the 1M MA50, turns increasingly volatile for 5-7 years, trading sideways within the Channel Up with its second peak resulting into a 2nd correction that eventually breaks below the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line). That is what we call a 'generational buy opportunity' as in the past 80 years, it has only been taken place 2 times. Right now (again this is not something we mention for the first time), the market is at the start of the A.I. Bubble, with incredibly strong similarities with the Internet Bubble of the 1990s. In fact, relative to the Internet Bubble, it appears that we are on a stage similar to 1993 - 1994, before the market turned parabolic to the eventual Dotcom Bust of 2000. As a result, from a technical perspective, every 'small' correction such as the one we had this year, is a blessing in disguise (buy opportunity). As the index grew by 5 times during the Internet Bubble (300 to 1500), it is also very possible to see it approach this feat going from roughly 3500 (late 2022) to 14000 (by late 2032) and touch the top of the multi-decade Channel Up. Are you willing to miss out on this generational wealth creation opportunity? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
FUNDAMENTALS: THE WEEK OF TRUTH IS COMING!This is a high-stakes, high-pressure week for markets as the final days of July approach. Between Wednesday, July 30, and Friday, August 1, all the market-moving fundamentals are concentrated in a three-day window. It’s a stress test for the U.S. equity market: either it extends its bullish trend, or it enters a much-needed consolidation phase. Three days. No more. Catalysts are so tightly packed they could shake even the steadiest traders. We’re looking at a full-spectrum stress test—monetary, economic, and geopolitical. Why so crucial? Because every major macro driver is converging in an ultra-condensed timeframe: the trade deal deadline with U.S. partners, the Fed’s policy decision, GAFAM earnings, PCE inflation, the NFP jobs report, Q2 GDP figures, and key technical barometers—all as we enter the seasonally weaker August-September period. 1) Wednesday, July 30 – The Monetary Moment of Truth The week opens with a critical event: the Fed’s monetary policy meeting. It’s not just about rates, but forward guidance. The market stands at a crossroads. Either the Fed signals a dovish pivot for late 2025, and risk appetite returns—or it delays action, and the S&P 500, already stretched (Shiller PE Ratio back to end-2021 levels), enters a correction. At the same time, GAFAM kick off their earnings season. U.S. tech remains the market’s beating heart. If these giants disappoint, the sector will drag down the entire market. Remember, tech accounts for 35% of the S&P 500’s weight. 2) Thursday, July 31 – PCE Inflation Decides the Direction Next up is the Fed’s preferred inflation metric: core PCE. A critical indicator. If inflation ticks up, the autumn rate-cut narrative falls apart. Add in the second estimate of Q2 GDP and earnings from the next GAFAM batch, and Thursday becomes a pivotal day for the S&P 500. The key question: will core PCE inflation rebound, possibly influenced by tariff impacts? 3) Friday, August 1 – The Verdict: NFP and Trade Talks NFP jobs report + trade negotiation deadline = explosive combo. By Friday, markets will have priced in the Fed, inflation, and earnings. What’s left? U.S. labor. Weak numbers could revive recession fears. Strong ones might push back the Fed’s easing timeline. Also on the radar: trade talks. The August 1 deadline could spike volatility. And let’s not forget the China-specific deadline on Tuesday, August 12. Conclusion: No Room for “TACO” There’s no margin for error. No room for “TACO” (Trump Always Chickens Out). This market must deliver across the board—or the current overvaluation will be left with no safety net. The July 30 week is a true fundamental stress test. And the consequences will be swift. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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SP:SPX
by Swissquote
US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone🧠 US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone Timeframe: 30-Minute | Chart Published: July 24, 2025 --- 🔍 Overview The US100 (NASDAQ) has been trading in a well-structured ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action suggests that the index is testing a critical supply zone near 23,400, with signs of weakening bullish momentum. This may signal a potential corrective phase or bearish reversal. --- 📈 Technical Analysis Breakdown 🔵 Trend Structure: Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline (blue), connecting multiple higher lows. Multiple bullish flag/channel formations have been completed within the uptrend, showing healthy momentum until the current point. 🟥 Resistance Zone: Strong supply zone marked between 23,250 – 23,450. Price action shows stalling candles and rejection wicks within this zone, indicating buyer exhaustion. ⚠ Bearish Patterns: The red path projection suggests a head and shoulders-like structure forming at the top of the channel. This, along with divergence in wave strength and shrinking momentum, supports a potential reversal. 🔵 Key Support: First support lies around 23,000 — aligning with the ascending trendline and previous consolidation. If broken, next demand zone is around 22,835 – 22,900, where historical consolidation took place. --- 🔁 Projected Scenario (as per visual path) 1. Price may attempt one last push into the 23,400–23,450 zone (possible false breakout). 2. Rejection from this level could trigger a fall toward the ascending trendline support. 3. A confirmed break of the trendline can lead to a larger correction toward the 22,800 zone. --- 🧠 Unique Insight This chart combines multi-timeframe structure recognition with a real-time reversal formation inside a long-standing bullish trend. The analysis doesn’t just rely on textbook patterns—it recognizes real-time price behavior shifts, which makes it valuable for proactive traders. --- 📌 Conclusion While the trend remains bullish overall, caution is warranted as the US100 approaches a historically significant resistance zone. The setup offers a compelling risk-reward short opportunity for aggressive traders, especially if the price confirms a break below trendline support. --- 🔧 Next Steps for Viewers > “Watch for a clean rejection candle or lower high at resistance before entering short. If trendline breaks cleanly, 22,835 could be the next target zone.”
TVC:NDQShort
by AllyPipsExpert
1
ASX200 to find buyers at current market price?ASX200 - 24h expiry Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 8765. Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment. 50 4hour EMA is at 8658. We look for a temporary move lower. We look to Buy at 8661 (stop at 8615) Our profit targets will be 8801 and 8831 Resistance: 8700 / 8749 / 8765 Support: 8658 / 8629 / 8600 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by OANDA
SPX More upside potentialI've revised my previous count based on recent price action. I now see a potential minor Wave 4 (of Intermediate Wave 5) forming around the 6,500 level. This could present a reasonable opportunity to take some % profits, (for the cautious or short term traders) though I recommend being prepared to re-enter, as I still believe we are ultimately headed toward the 6,650–6,720 range before a larger-scale correction sets in. Taking some profits around 6,500 may be a prudent move, or alternatively, you can continue holding while adjusting your trailing stops accordingly. Generally and in most cases its best to exhaust you bullish counts in Elliot . On the right hand side i am showing SPX/ DXY which is typically a more accurate and discernable wave pattern then the SPX alone. FYI
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by wolffarchitecture
Do you want to keep buying NAS100?📉 Sell-Side Bias Activated After PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 confirming the trend shift with a clean Break of Structure (BOS) and a strong rejection from the FVG (Fair Value Gap) zone, price failed to hold above 23,275. This move validated the liquidity sweep and imbalance fill. Multiple FVGs stacked above suggest premium pricing and further downside potential. 🧠 I’m now watching for continuation setups toward discount zone. Especially below 23,100 and possibly targeting the lower FVG region. This is a classic smart money play, manipulation, BOS, FVG retest, and selloff. 🔻Bias: Bearish 🎯 Target: Liquidity pools below 23,100 🛑 Invalidated above 23,280 (structure reclaim)
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by iamtradingdon
SPX 0DTE TRADE IDEA – JULY 25, 2025 ⚠️ SPX 0DTE TRADE IDEA – JULY 25, 2025 ⚠️ 🔻 Bearish Bias with Weak Volume – Max Pain Looming at 6325 ⸻ 📊 Quick Market Snapshot: • 💥 Price below VWAP • 🧊 Weak Volume • 📉 Max Pain @ 6325 = downside pressure • ⚖️ Mixed Options Flow = no clear bullish conviction ⸻ 🤖 Model Breakdown: • Grok/xAI: ❌ No trade – weak momentum • Claude/Anthropic: ✅ Bearish lean, favors PUTS near highs • Gemini: 🟡 Slightly bullish bias, BUT agrees on caution • Llama: ⚪ Neutral → No action • DeepSeek: ❌ Bearish → No trade ⸻ 📌 TRADE IDEA: 🎯 SPX 6365 PUT (0DTE) 💵 Entry Price: $0.90 🎯 Profit Target: $1.80 (💥 2x return) 🛑 Stop Loss: $0.45 📆 Expires: Today 🕒 Exit by: 3:45 PM 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: OPEN ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Flags: • Low volume = fragile conviction • Possible reversal if SPX breaks above session highs • Max pain magnet at 6325 could limit gains or induce a bounce ⸻ 🧠 Strategy: Scalp it quick. Get in early. Exit before the gamma games explode into close. 📈 Like this setup? Drop a 🔽 if you’re playing puts today! #SPX #0DTE #PutOptions #OptionsTrading #MaxPain #SPY #MarketGamma #TradingSetup
SP:SPXShort
by quantsignals
US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Chart AnalysisUS Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Chart Analysis **Current Trend:** Bearish Price trades below EMAs, Ichimoku Cloud, and within a bearish channel. #**Bearish Scenario (Favorable)** * **Conditions:** * Price remains below EMA 7 & 21 * Stays under Ichimoku Cloud and 96.812 resistance (R1) * Lower lows forming, bearish momentum increasing * **Confirmation:** Break below **96.37 (blue zone)** * **Target:** * TP1: 96.00 * TP2: 95.60 (next weak support) **Bullish Scenario (Reversal)** * **Conditions:** * Price must break above **96.81 (EMA 7 + resistance)** * Break above **R1 → 96.90**, and then above **R2 → 97.14–97.19** * Bullish candles close above the Ichimoku cloud * **Confirmation:** Break and retest of **97.20** * **Target:** * TP1: 97.39 * TP2: 97.58 (key structure) * TP3: 98.00 (major resistance) **Bias:** Bearish unless DXY breaks above **97.20** with strong volume and bullish structure.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Harry_Megat
S&P 500 Index Wave Analysis – 25 July 2025 - S&P 500 Index broke key resistance level 6300.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 6500.00 S&P 500 Index recently broke the key resistance level 6300.00 (which stopped the previous waves 5 and (B), as can be seen below). The breakout of the resistance level 6300.00 continues the active intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of this month. Given the strong daily uptrend, S&P 500 Index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 6500.00 (coinciding with the daily up channel from May).
SP:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
DXYThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to exhibit a bearish outlook driven by a combination of technical weakness and shifting macroeconomic fundamentals. Market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, coupled with softer U.S. economic data and declining demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset, have weighed heavily on the index. Technically, the DXY remains below key moving averages, with momentum indicators showing sustained weakness. Unless there is a significant shift in sentiment or a surprise in monetary policy direction, the bias remains to the downside over the near to medium term.
TVC:DXYShort
by Primus0725
Nifty 50 Update | Technical Levels MappedThere are two chart of Nifty50. Nifty 50 is trading within a well-defined parallel channel. As part of its natural corrective phase, a potential decline of around 5% cannot be ruled out, with key support anticipated near the 24,400–24,500 zone. Nifty is forming a broadening wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, with crucial support around 24,740. Additionally, both the weekly and monthly pivot supports are aligned in the 24,740–24,710 zone, reinforcing the significance of this level. If this level sustain then we may see higher prices in Nifty50. Thank You !!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by FiveCircles
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ) Technical Analysis:The Nasdaq index continues its medium- to long-term uptrend. Yesterday, it tested the 23,170$ level and rebounded upward, reaching 23,310$. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks and closes below 23,200$, it may decline toward 23,000$, followed by 22,920$. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If the price holds above 23,300$, the uptrend is likely to continue toward a new high near 23,400$. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always monitor the markets and perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
FX:NAS100Long
by Fadi_radar