Market indices
Risk On! The US Dollar Is Weak! Buy The Major Pairs!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the week of Jun 29 - July 4th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY.
Investors are taken money out of safe havens and putting it into risk assets. The US Dollar saw those outflows last week, and we are likely to see that continue going into this week.
Buy the EUR, GBP and CHF vs USD. JPY should also see some upside.
The AUD and NZD continue to grind upwards as well.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 97.80
1st Support: 95.40
1st Resistance: 99.36
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Nifty : Strong Breakout MomentumBreaking out from a 5‑week consolidation, The Nifty ended positively.
Fading geopolitical tensions & Rising FII long-short ratio and futures rollover suggest bullish sentiment.
With key time-based levels and technical thresholds in focus, we could see Nifty scale toward 26,000 📈
📌 There is also a Poll & Flag pattern breakout visible on higher time frame. Which indicates targets towards 27200 / 28000.
These upper range open once Nifty starts sustain above ATH oh Daily & Weekly time frame on medium term
DXY Swing Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps falling down
And the index broke the
Key wide horizontal level
Around 97.800 which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are very
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a bearish
Continuation on Monday
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Skeptic | Weekly Watchlist : DXY Triggers & Pro SetupsLast week, DXY played out our bearish scenario perfectly, breaking the short trigger at 98.530 and delivering a strong downward move . With Higher Wave Cycle (HWC) and Minor Wave Cycle (MWC) now bearish, I’m leaning heavier on short positions with tighter risk management. Let’s break it down with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
The key support at 98.801 was decisively broken, and we’ve confirmed below it—the major trend is now fully bearish. The next daily support lies at 96.478 , but I expect range-bound action early this week, especially after last week’s big move. Patience is key—let the market form a clear structure before jumping back in.
Key Insight: The bearish trend is locked in, but early-week consolidation is likely. Wait for the market to signal its next move.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, let’s pinpoint Low Wave Cycle (LWC) and triggers for long and short setups:
Short Trigger: Break below 4-hour support at 96.995 , confirmed by RSI re-entering oversold. Want to wield RSI like a pro? Check out my RSI Masterclass —it’s a game-changer! 😏
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at 98.215 . This is riskier since it’s against the bearish trend—set a wider stop-loss and take profits quickly. Why? HWC and MWC are bearish, so the first uptrend wave risks stop-loss hunts or fakeouts. I’ll drop an HWC/MWC/LWC guide soon to optimize entries, stops, and more—stay tuned!
Pro Tip: For longs, expect volatility in the first wave. Shorts align with the trend, so they’re the safer play—focus on 96.995.
Final Vibe Check
This Weekly Watchlist sets you up to trade smarter, not harder. DXY’s bearish momentum is our focus, but patience will unlock the best setups. I’ll keep you updated daily as markets evolve. Protect your capital—max 1%–2% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want the HWC/MWC/LWC guide or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this watchlist sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which setup are you eyeing this week? Share in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
DXY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025DXY 6/29/25
DXY Bearish Idea
All significant timeframes (monthly,weekly,daily 4hr) appear bearish for now.
Last week on June 25th, 2025 we saw price action break through our 98.000 zone confirming more bearish movement. This week we have two likely options that we will wait for confirmation on.
Bearish Continuation - Ideally we keep with the trend and look for lower highs below 98.000 for further confirmation. If we can spot rejection from this zone it is likely we will see DXY continue bearish for the week ahead.
Reversal - This is less likely but still possible. Price action could punch back through the 98.000 resistance and begin retesting previous highs. If this happens look for candlestick confirmation above 98.000 and expect a more bullish DXY for the week ahead.
USDX-BUY strategy 6 hourly chart Reg. ChannelThe index is near the bottom of the channel and indicators are positive.
It worthwhile to look at this carefully, as it will help us in deciding on the other pairs. The current support is a bit lower than the close 97.26 and we can expect 98.30-98.60 area as our objective.
Strategy BUY @ 97.00-97.40 and take profit near 98.50.
NAS100 LongNow that we have an official strong bullish close breaking previous highs on the weekly and monthly time frame. We will look for a potential pullback. The 3M candle is currently on track to closing as a strong bullish engulfing. Also, a 1M morning start followed up by a bullish momentum candle.
DXY Weekly ForecastDXY Weekly Forecast
- Go for up move if setup given
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DXY Outlook: Mild Bearish Movement Anticipated 4hrThe DXY (US Dollar Index) appears to be entering a mild bearish phase, with a potential move down from the 97.721 level. Based on current momentum and technical indicators, it is likely to approach key support zones between 96.22 and 96.00, where a bullish reversal could potentially occur.
However, there is a reasonable chance the market could extend its decline beyond these levels, possibly reaching as low as 95.404 before finding a more stable support base.
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,000.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 22,800.00
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Market Heist in Progress! US30/DJI Long Trade – Ride or Escape?🔥 "The US30/DJI Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s our master plan to heist the US30/DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average). Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is the play! Aim to escape near the high-risk RED Zone (overbought, consolidation, potential reversal). The bears are lurking, so take profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🚀Entry (The Vault is Open!)
"Swipe the bullish loot at any price!"
For precision, place buy limit orders within 15-30min timeframe (recent swing lows/highs).
Set alerts! Don’t miss the heist.
🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (3H timeframe) → 41,400 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 44,200.00
Bullish momentum is fueling this heist—ride the wave but exit before the trap!
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Macroeconomic trends, COT data, geopolitics, and sentiment align for bullish moves.
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US30lets look at the Correlations between US30, US10Y, DXY and fed Interest Rates
us10y and dollar are like react in a similar way, when the US10Y is rising ,it attracts foreign capital into us economy and the dollar benefits from capital inflow and strengthens in the process
US10Y and DXY (US Dollar Index):
the current tariffs and geopolitical events caused temporary decoupled this correlation but the correlation has reverted to positive alignment as of June 2025. Higher yields now signal renewed confidence in the US economy, lifting both yields and the dollar.
US30 (Dow Jones) and DXY,they have inverse correlation in such a way that when the dollar is weak it causes a boost of US30 by enhancing multinational corporate earnings as cheaper export brings in higher overseas revenue
there are Exception when we experience Simultaneous strength in DXY and US30 during "risk-on" global confidence
US10Y and Interest Rates (Federal Funds Rate):
Direct Link: US10Y reflects market expectations for Fed policy. Anticipated rate hikes lift yields; expected cuts lower them.
Current Context: With the Fed holding rates at 4.25–4.50%, US10Y (4.26%) remains sensitive to inflation data and future cut expectations.
US30 and Interest Rates has Inverse Pressure when rate are Higher it increases borrowing costs, potentially dampening corporate profits and stock valuations. Lower rates support equity rallies.
2025 Dynamic: Despite elevated rates, US30 trades near record highs due to resilient growth and tariff-related sector rotations.
Critical Drivers
Yield-Dollar Sync: US10Y and DXY realignment signals market confidence in US assets, but geopolitical/trade risks can disrupt this.
Equity Sensitivity: US30 benefits from dollar weakness but faces headwinds if the Fed delays rate cuts amid sticky inflation.
Interest Rate Outlook: Fed patience (no cuts until September) sustains US10Y-DXY positivity but caps explosive US30 gains.
watch my supply roof and demand floor for reaction.
#us30
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🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF
Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0).
Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔
🛡️ STOP LOSS: ESCAPE ALIVE
Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets!
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Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades).
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NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align.
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US30We expected US30 to give us a reaction from above 43.5K, market has given us more than 2K points move, now we will wait for the correction before any more buys.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
“The Dollar Job: Break-In Strategy for 99+ Profits”💸 “DXY Heist Blueprint: Thieves’ Bullish Breakout Play” 🏴☠️
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🎯 THE MASTER HEIST PLAN:
🟢 ENTRY POINT – “Heist Entry Protocol”
🎯 Wait for price to break above Resistance @ 99.000 and candle to close ✅
💥 Plan A: Place Buy Stop Orders just above breakout
📥 Plan B: For Pullback Pros, use Buy Limit at recent swing low/high (15m–30m TF)
📌 Tip: Set alerts — don’t get caught napping while the vault opens! ⏰🔔
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Thief’s Escape Hatch”
🧠 Use 4H swing low at 98.100 as SL
⚖️ Adjust based on your lot size and number of open positions
🚨 Don't rush to set SL for Buy Stop entries before confirmation! Patience is part of the plan. 😎
🎯 TARGET – “Mission Objective”
💰 First Exit Target: 100.000
🏃♂️ Optional: Escape earlier near high-risk zones (Blue MA Line Trap Area)
⚔️ SCALPERS' CODE – Stay Sharp!
Only scalp on the Long side.
🔐 Use Trailing SL to guard your loot!
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🌐 MARKET OUTLOOK: WHY THE VAULT’S OPENING
💡 Currently seeing bullish momentum in the DXY
📈 Driven by macroeconomics, sentiment shifts, and intermarket pressure
📰 Want the full debrief? Check our analysis across:
COT Data
Geopolitics & News
Macro Trends & Sentiment
Fundamental Forces
📎🔗 See full breakdown
⚠️ TRADE MANAGEMENT ALERT
🚫 Avoid opening new trades during high-impact news
🔁 Always use Trailing Stops to lock in profits
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Market Recap: Nifty Breaks Out After 5 Weeks of Consolidation!The Indian stock market saw a strong bullish move this week, with Nifty 50 closing at 25,637, marking a significant gain of 525 points from the previous week's close. The index made a high of 25,654 and a low of 24,824, finally breaking out of the key resistance zone of 25,000–25,100 after five weeks of sideways consolidation.
This breakout is a critical technical development, signaling renewed strength in the broader market. However, to sustain this momentum and target the all-time high zone of 26,134–26,277, Nifty may need to either:
Consolidate within the previous week's range of 25,650–24,800, or
Retest the breakout level near 25,200 for confirmation.
Failing to do so could make this breakout a false one.
Weekly Outlook for Nifty:
For the coming week, the expected trading range is between 25,200 and 26,150. Price action around these levels will be key to watch.
On a broader sectoral view, out of 14 NSE indices, only Nifty Financial Services is showing relative strength on the monthly chart—a potential red flag for sustained bullish sentiment. When just one sector leads while others lag, it's often a sign to remain cautious.
Strategy Suggestion:
Consider booking partial profits and trailing stop losses on the remaining positions. Until the monthly time frame turns decisively bullish, it's wise to stay alert and manage risk actively.
Global Markets: S&P 500 Breaks Out!
In the U.S., the S&P 500 surged to close at 6,173, successfully breaking above its key resistance level at 6,013. This breakout, if sustained above 6,150 next week, opens up the path toward higher targets: 6,225 / 6,376 / 6,454 / 6,500.
However, traders should remain flexible. If the breakout fails, we could see a pullback to support zones near 6,013 or even 5,899.
Pro Tip:
Be ready to switch trading positions quickly if the breakout doesn’t hold—volatility is still very much in play in both Indian and U.S. markets.
Nifty levels - Jul 01, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200
The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) started the week by reaching a fresh all-time high. As shown on the chart, the index hit 6,210 points earlier this morning.
In addition to a reduced risk of US involvement in a large-scale war in the Middle East, market optimism has been fuelled by:
→ Tariff-related news. Last week, the US President announced the signing of a trade deal with China, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed hope that the US would conclude trade negotiations with over a dozen countries by early September.
→ Strong corporate performance. On Friday, Nike (NKE) shares led the stock market, rising by more than 15% following an earnings report that exceeded analysts’ expectations. This could be boosting investor sentiment ahead of the upcoming earnings season.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Evaluating the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) in the context of June’s price movements reveals key reference points (marked on the chart) that outline an ascending channel. A consolidation zone, marked with an arrow, highlights a temporary equilibrium between supply and demand—after which buyers gained the upper hand, pushing the price upward.
It is possible that the ongoing bullish momentum could carry the price toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, attention should be paid to the RSI indicator, which suggests the market is heavily overbought; in fact, Friday’s reading marked the highest level of the year. In such conditions, a price correction cannot be ruled out—potentially back toward the local ascending trendline (shown in orange).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.