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Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 Germany 40 maintains its bullish momentum, currently trading at 22,687, well above its VWAP (20) of 21,802. The trend remains positive, with support at 20,930 and resistance at 22,700. An RSI reading of 80 signals strong momentum, though overbought conditions suggest a potential short-term pullback or consolidation before the next move. UK 100 The UK 100 continues its bullish surge, currently positioned at 8,753, still holding above its VWAP (20) of 8,652. Immediate support is noted at 8,450, while resistance stands at 8,854. With an RSI of 62, momentum remains positive, though down from overbought levels following the 2-day pullback from record highs. Wall Street Wall Street remains in a corrective phase within its broader bullish trend, trading at 44,550, right at its VWAP (20) level of 44,550 and below record highs. Key support is identified at 44,097, while resistance is set at 44,988. RSI at 55 suggests moderate momentum, with the market consolidating before a new directional move. Brent Crude Brent Crude remains in a neutral consolidation phase, currently trading at 7474, slightly below its VWAP (20) of 7555. Support is forming at 7371, while resistance is overhead at 7739. The RSI at 44 indicates a lack of clear momentum, with potential for either a breakout or continued range-bound movement. Gold Gold remains in a strong impulsive bullish phase, currently priced at 2,898, comfortably above its VWAP (20) of 2,838. Support is established at 2,722, while resistance stands at 2,955. The RSI at 65 signals sustained bullish momentum, though a temporary pullback cannot be ruled out following such a long time in overbought conditions. EUR/USD EUR/USD remains in a neutral consolidation, trading at 1.0486, above its VWAP (20) of 1.0391. The pair is range-bound, with support at 1.0253 and resistance at 1.0529. RSI at 60 suggests fresh bullish momentum since last week, but a confirmed breakout over 1.05 is needed for a clearer trend. GBP/USD GBP/USD also remains in a neutral phase, trading at 1.2595, above its VWAP (20) of 1.2410. Key support is found at 1.2293, while resistance stands right at current levels near 1.2600. RSI at 62 is the most bullish momentum going back over 3 months, but the pair remains just about within a consolidative range while under 1.26. USD/JPY USD/JPY is in a bearish impulsive phase, currently at 151.63, below its VWAP (20) of 153.60. Support is firm at 150.39, while resistance extends to 156.81. The RSI at 37 indicates weak momentum, confirming the bearish sentiment, though the pair is still above the oversold territory reached earlier in the month.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
ASX200 outlook ahead of RBA Rate Decision The ASX200 (AUS200) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a corrective pullback. towards the previous consolidation price range and also the rising support trendline zone. The key trading level is at the 8490 level, the previous consolidation price range, and also rising support trendline zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 8490 level could target the upside resistance at 8570 followed by the 8620 and 8650 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 8490support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 8450 support level followed by 8420. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:AUS200
by TradeNation
SENSEX S/R for 18/2/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BSE:SENSEX
by zenthosh
BANK NIFTY S/R for 18/2/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by zenthosh
S&P 500 - Ending Diagonal Triangle - February 2025The S&P 500 (SPX) could be nearing completion of an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) that began after the 11/04/24 bottom. This formation is the terminal phase of a larger degree trend. Price frequently throws over the trendline connecting the peaks of the third and first waves. In this case the target zone is SPX 6,145 to 6,165. Time zone for a top is 02/18/25 to 02/20/25. Its rare for U.S. stocks to peak in February. The last time this occurred was just before the 2020 covid crash. The SPX peak was made on 02/19/20. Its possible another SPX February top could be made almost exactly five years after 02/19/20.
SP:SPXShort
by markrivest
4
NIFTY S/R for 18/2/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Us100 AnalysisUs100 Analysis Before we start talking I would like to tell you that we have a history in the world of analysis that is trustworthy without errors in the medium and long term and everything here on our page and our official pages is an accurate analysis of all markets Now we have this chart and I confirm that we have upcoming levels at least 22600 to 23400 If your goal is investment, you must be patient because patience is the basis of trading and your goals are certain, but with patience and not dealing with emotions of fear We will be with you step by step about the markets or any new updates about any market
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by SMART1MG
Watch Out BuddyThere is a possibility and a high one, that the session will fuel the market to leave our tight POI especially the 15 M ones untapped, if there is a word like that. But this is still a $ buys sweep which has a strong bearish intent than it has bullish, at least for the day. I think we exhausted buys already and either we could get caught in a consolidation around our POI or have some more sells as soon as it draws back to where we expect it. By the way this is ICT at its minimal view. "I think" is a key word on this above statement.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TheDemoTrader_SA
Updated S&P 500 Long Term Elliott Wave Count 2/17/25 The S&P 500 (SPX) could be very near the completion of a 28 – month extended Elliott Impulse wave that began in October 2022. There are always alternate Elliott wave counts. Followers to my website will notice that the count illustrated in this post is slightly different to what was shown on the website. Both wave counts have the same message – a multi – month or even a multi- year SPX bear market could begin in a few trading days. Both weekly RSI and MACD have multiple bearish divergences which imply the SPX could soon decline 20% or more! I will soon post another shorter – term SPX wave count illustrating a fascinating Elliott wave structure.
SP:SPXShort
by markrivest
CHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTSCHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTS (1/9) Big News: China’s tech sector is on fire 🔥📈 in 2025, driven by AI breakthroughs and a softer regulatory vibe from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is up 13% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500 (+4%). Is this a tech golden age or a speculative bubble? Let’s break it down! 🚀 (2/9) – STOCKS IN FOCUS • Alibaba: +50% (Hong Kong) 💥 • Xiaomi: +35% 📱 • Baidu: +30% 🔍 • BYD: +25% 🚗 The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 30% since mid-January, hitting a 3-year high 🎉. Trading volumes are through the roof! (3/9) – WHY THE SURGE? • DeepSeek’s cost-effective AI model sparks global buzz 🤖 • Alibaba’s AI partnership with Apple + Jack Ma’s reappearance with Xi Jinping 🇨🇳 • Beijing hints at easing its tech crackdown, boosting investor confidence 💸 (4/9) – ‘HOT MONEY’ DRIVING THE RALLY • Speculative capital—“hot money”—from hedge funds and retail traders fuels the boom 💨 • Trading volumes spike, but big institutional investors (pension funds, etc.) stay cautious 🧐 • Analysts warn: Momentum, not fundamentals, is driving this rally 📉 (5/9) – AI BREAKTHROUGHS: REAL OR HYPE? • DeepSeek’s AI model hailed as a game-changer, but details are thin 🤔 • Social media buzz calls it a “bull market” for Chinese tech 🐂 • Critics say it’s more sentiment than substance—China’s history of overpromising looms large ⚠️ (6/9) – REGULATORY REPRIEVE OR TEMPORARY TRUCE? • Xi Jinping meets tech leaders, signaling a thaw after years of crackdowns 🏛️ • Investors scour photos for clues—Alibaba and Tencent back in favor? 📸 • Skeptics question if it’s a genuine shift or a short-term tactic to prop up the economy 😬 (7/9) – RISKS VS. REWARDS • Risks: Geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and competition from Western tech (e.g., Nvidia’s $589B drop) 🌍 • Rewards: If AI delivers and Beijing stays supportive, Chinese tech could dominate globally 🌟 • The rally’s fate hinges on sustainability—will the gains stick? 🤝 (8/9) – Will China’s tech surge last? 1️⃣ Yes—AI and policy shifts will fuel a new golden age. 2️⃣ Maybe—Short-term gains, but long-term doubts remain. 3️⃣ No—Speculative bubble will burst soon. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY China’s tech rally is a wild ride 🌍—AI hype, “hot money,” and a regulatory truce are driving stocks sky-high. But with big investors on the sidelines and risks aplenty, it’s a fragile boom. Will Beijing and AI deliver, or is this another fleeting frenzy? Stay tuned! 💪
TVC:HSILong
by DCAChampion
SPX: risky optimismA strong performance of the S&P 500 and increased investors optimism was back during the previous week. Despite hotter than expected inflation figures for January, the market was pushing the index to the higher grounds during the week. The highest weekly level was reached on Friday at 6.122, still the ATH has not been breached on this occasion. The reason for investors optimism analysts are noting a more clarity over US Administration trade tariffs, on one side, and a drop in retail sales of -0,9% in January, much higher from market expectations. The combination of released data is pointing that the current elevated inflation is not putting pressure on Fed rates. The S&P 500 gained around 1,5% for the week. Analysts from JPMorgan noted that the participation of earnings of the so-called Magnificent Seven tech companies included in the S&P 500 index are beginning to slow down compared to other companies included in this index. On the other hand, analysts from Swiss largest bank, UBS, are pointing to potential negative effects of US trade tariffs for the US economy. They are mentioning retaliation risks from trading with the US in case of higher tariffs. This points out that despite current market optimism, there are still ongoing risks which could easily impact investors' optimistic mood, and bring back higher volatility to the US equity markets.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Fossil Fuels vs. Clean Energy: The Market Transformation in 2025The global energy market is set for a significant transformation in 2025, driven by oversupply in fossil fuels, rapid advancements in renewable energy, and structural shifts across major economies. Technologically advanced nations are actively increasing electricity consumption while reducing reliance on traditional hydrocarbons, both for economic and environmental reasons. For investors, these developments present both challenges and opportunities. While oversupply in oil and gas may raise concerns, savvy investors can leverage emerging trends to position themselves strategically. Oil Market: Stability Amid Structural Challenges According to EIA forecasts, Brent crude prices BLACKBULL:BRENT are expected to reach $74 per barrel in 2025, largely due to oversupply and subdued demand. While oil remains a crucial commodity and financial tool, its strategic importance is waning as nations shift toward cleaner energy alternatives. Rising production costs are another challenge, particularly for operations in complex extraction environments. Oil production costs vary widely, ranging from $15 to $50 per barrel, depending on deposit type and logistical factors. This cost disparity constrains price growth potential, as only low-cost producers remain competitive. Additionally, geopolitical risks—including sanctions and regional conflicts—could create short-term price volatility. However, absent major disruptions, oil prices are projected to remain in the $70–$80 range, benefiting both producers and consumers. The Strategic Role of Liquefied Natural Gas CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS (LNG) The natural gas market mirrors many challenges of the oil sector, with rising production, logistical constraints, and moderate infrastructure development limiting large-scale expansion. The Permian Basin in the U.S. holds surplus gas reserves, but building new pipelines remains costly and slow. A notable factor shaping the gas market is monetary policy shifts. Recent interest rate cuts by major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, have positively impacted the broader commodities sector. Lower borrowing costs encourage investment in refinery upgrades and LNG export terminal expansion, strengthening the role of natural gas in the global energy transition. By 2025, LNG will play a pivotal role in energy security, particularly in Europe, where diversification away from Russian gas remains a priority. The banning of Russian LNG exports and reduced gas transit through Ukraine have already led to regional price fluctuations, influencing global markets. Nuclear Energy: A Resurgent Player in 2025 With the rapid growth in electricity demand, fueled by data centers, artificial intelligence, and cryptocurrency mining, nuclear power is set to regain prominence as a reliable baseload energy source. Despite longstanding concerns about safety and capital costs, nuclear energy offers a highly stable power supply. Governments worldwide recognize its role in ensuring energy security while reducing reliance on fossil fuels. New technological advancements, particularly Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), are reshaping the nuclear landscape. These compact reactors promise enhanced safety, improved efficiency, and lower construction costs, making nuclear energy a more accessible option for various economies. Renewable Energy: Strong Growth but Structural Challenges Solar and wind energy continue to experience rapid adoption, particularly in Europe. Solar energy remains the fastest-growing power source, largely due to its declining costs and favorable environmental impact. Between 2010 and 2020, the cost of solar power fell by 82% , making it one of the most cost-effective energy solutions available today. In 2025, the average cost of a solar installation is estimated at $19,000 ($3 per watt) before subsidies. However, scaling renewable energy presents challenges, including: • Grid modernization requirements to handle intermittent energy flows. • Government incentives still necessary to support long-term profitability. • Development of hydrogen infrastructure as a complementary energy solution. With falling interest rates, investment in renewable projects is expected to rise, facilitating further growth. How Investors Can Navigate the Energy Transition Amid uncertainty, diversification remains a key strategy. Investors should consider exposure to traditional fossil fuels, LNG infrastructure, and renewable energy companies to balance risk. Additionally, geopolitical volatility and regulatory changes require strong risk management. Infrastructure investments—particularly in hydrogen technology, smart grids, and energy storage—offer attractive opportunities as governments and corporations modernize energy systems. Final Thoughts The energy sector in 2025 will be defined by oversupply in fossil fuels, rising investment in renewables, and the increasing role of LNG and nuclear energy. Investors, who closely follow market trends, policy developments, and technological advancements will be well-positioned to capitalize on this, just like always, evolving landscape.
NASDAQ:NQG60
by igorisaev
RUSS200 (US2000) outlook The Russell2000 (US2000) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on 25th November 2024 the Russell2000 index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 2236, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 2236 level could target the upside resistance at 2310 followed by the 2323 and 2340 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 2236 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 2222 support level followed by 2196. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US2000
by TradeNation