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3 month rally just not sustainable SPXThe economy is not doing horribly, but many are citing lagging indicators and there's signs of that this level is just not sustainable. Current levels abouve 9, 50, 200 SMAs! Seriously, what's great that isn't artificially propped up. Highest bankruptcies, highest level of housing unaffordability, dollar losing over 10% of value YTY, unemployment #s but that's bc people are giving up and it's a lagging indicator, hardship withdrawals up, defaults across the board up at over 10 year levels, banks with historic unrealized losses on their books (how much did Wells Fargo drop the other day!), yields going up up up. The Champage effect will end and many will get wiped out, unfortunately. Not being a dooms day person, but this economy is overheated and it's mostly driven by tech, which is over represented in the S&P. VIX is pretty low right now, would be an interesting play when it starts spiking (and it will!) when the deck starts falling apart. Best of luck and always do your own due diligence.
SP:SPXShort
by antonini2002
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 18, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 18, 2025 – Friday 🔴 “Deep Dive Below 25K – Bounce or Breakdown Ahead?” As we discussed yesterday, a big move was on the cards — and Nifty delivered. The index started flat to negative, and from the opening tick, sellers took firm control. It sharply broke through multiple key supports: PDC, PDL, S1, the important 25,080–25,060 support zone, swing low, 25,000–24,980, and even 24,965. Buyers finally showed up near 24,920, a crucial level, and pulled off a modest 86-point recovery. The session ended at 24,968.40, still below the psychological 25,000 mark and the fractal swing low of July 14. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🔍 Mixed Signals: ✅ Positive: Today’s low aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement from the June 13 low to June 30 high — potential support zone. ✅ Positive: RSI(3 of 3) shows bullish divergence — early reversal sign? ❌ Negative: Closed below July 14 swing low — weak structural signal. ❌ Negative: Below 25,000 — psychological breakdown. ❓Now the big question: Will this bearish move continue, or is it a fakeout before reversal? You're still bullish on the overall daily trend, but tactically bearish for intraday until a close above 25,125 confirms strength. 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart For Additional View 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,108.55 High: 25,144.60 Low: 24,918.65 Close: 24,968.40 Change: −143.05 (−0.57%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 140.15 pts → Large red bearish body Upper Wick: 36.05 pts → rejection near early highs Lower Wick: 49.75 pts → dip buying near 24,920 🔍 Interpretation Mildly negative open with early strength attempt near 25,140 Sharp decline through major support zones Buyers stepped in at 24,920, but recovery lacked follow-through Close below 25K and key swing low confirms steady intraday selling pressure 🕯 Candle Type Strong Bearish Candle with both wicks — sellers dominated, but not without some resistance from buyers at the lows. 📌 Key Insight Short-term bearish momentum confirmed 24,920–24,890 is next critical support; breakdown may extend to 24,882–24,825 Bulls need to close above 25,125+ to reclaim control 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 181.56 IB Range: 126.45 → Medium IB Market Structure: 🔴 Imbalanced 🟢 Trades Triggered: 09:42 AM – Short Trade → ✅ Trailed SL Hit Profit (R:R = 1 : 3.87) 📌 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: 24,980 ~ 25,000 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,125 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 Support Levels: 24,965 24,894 ~ 24,882 24,825 24,800 ~ 24,768 💭 Final Thoughts “Sometimes markets fall not to reverse, but to recharge.” Today’s drop pierced major support zones, but the bounce from 0.618 Fib hints at possible resilience. Structure needs clarity — Monday’s session will reveal whether this was a trap or fuel for bears. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
DowJones bullish continuation breakout support at 43990Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45000 Resistance Level 2: 45440 Resistance Level 3: 46000 Support Level 1: 43990 Support Level 2: 43700 Support Level 3: 43420 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
S&P overbought sideways consolidation supported at 6207 Fed Signals Rate Cut Ahead US Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller called for a quarter-point interest rate cut this month, citing cooling inflation and minimal upside price risks. His dovish stance diverges from the broader FOMC consensus, which still views the labor market as resilient. UK-Germany Defense Pact UK PM Keir Starmer signaled potential alignment with Germany to purchase US weapons for Ukraine, following the signing of the “Kensington Treaty.” The accord emphasizes mutual defense cooperation, raising expectations of deeper UK involvement in European security initiatives. Intel Concerns with Spain US lawmakers raised concerns over intelligence sharing with Spain, due to the country's reliance on Huawei for its wiretap infrastructure, highlighting geopolitical tech tensions. Trump Authorizes Epstein Testimony Release President Donald Trump has authorized the release of grand jury testimony from the Epstein case, yielding to public and political pressure for greater transparency. S&P 500 Outlook: Waller’s call for a rate cut adds bullish momentum for equities, especially rate-sensitive sectors like tech and real estate. While geopolitical tensions and defense headlines introduce headline risk, the dovish Fed signal is likely to dominate sentiment in the near term. Expect S&P 500 support near 6207 with upside potential if more Fed officials echo Waller’s stance. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6336 Resistance Level 2: 6383 Resistance Level 3: 6420 Support Level 1: 6207 Support Level 2: 6160 Support Level 3: 6113 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
US30 Rejection at Channel Resistance US30 is showing a repeated pattern of rejection at the upper boundary of the descending channel. Price has now tapped this trendline for the fourth time, forming a consistent bearish structure. Price rejected again at the top of the descending channel (marked by orange circles) Clear sell setup with stop above the most recent swing high, targeting the lower channel boundary around 44,200, aligning with past demand. Short below 44,685 Target: 44,200 Stop: Above recent highs near 44,913 Risk/Reward: Favourable if structure holds. If this pattern plays out as before, we can expect another push to the downside within the channel. A break and retest of the midline could add extra confirmation. #US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SellSetup #BearishRejection #ChannelTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
FX:US30Short
by StMartino
Weekly Close High to HOLD?As expected Nas100 will end in a weekly high after hitting a nice fresh record due to TSMI stock among other things like Trump walking back on firing Jermone Powell. Technicals tell me that this is extremely overbought and I wonder if this will continue I cannot believe this rally. AS LONG as it holds the 23100 to 23150 range then it could break out again and set another high but I would be cautiously optimistic. Somebody's got to take the profit!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by helpmetraderacademy246
US30 Holds Above 44500 – Bullish Momentum in PlayUS30 | Technical Overview The price action continues to reflect a bullish bias, supported by strong earnings reports and solid U.S. economic data. As long as the index trades above 44500, the upward momentum is expected to continue. Technical Outlook: Price remains bullish above 44500, with upside targets at 44640 and 44760. A confirmed 1H close below 44500 would shift momentum to the downside, exposing support levels at 44350 and 44215. Key Levels: • Pivot: 44500 • Resistance: 44640 / 44760 / 44920 • Support: 44350 / 44215 / 44075
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ100 Hits Target at 23170 – Watch for Breakout or PullbackNASDAQ100 Tests ATH – Key Decision Zone at 23170 New ATH Achieved: NASDAQ100 recorded a new All-Time High (ATH), hitting our target at 23170 precisely as projected. Currently, price is consolidating below 23170. Sustained rejection at this level could trigger a short-term bearish pullback toward 23010. A deeper correction may extend to 22900 or even 22815. However, a clean breakout above 23170 would confirm bullish continuation, with the next target at 23350. Key Levels • Pivot: 23170 • Resistance: 23250 / 23350 • Support: 23010 / 22900 / 22815 Outlook: • Bullish above 23170 • Bearish below 23170 (short-term pullback zone)
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
Nifty in an important/cautious zoneNIFTY 50 25,000 is the Consensus Key Level: Most market participants are watching 25,000 as a critical psychological and technical zone. Sustaining above this keeps the market in a neutral range; a strong close above 25,200 is required for any momentum shift toward 25,350 and 25,500. Bearish Liquidity Trap Likely: Due to widespread focus on 25,000, a brief dip below it for 1–2 days wouldn't be surprising—this would trigger stop-losses, sweep liquidity, and potentially set up a sharp reversal if key supports like 24,830 hold. Immediate Support and Downside Risk: If the index sustains below 25,000, watch 24,830 first, then 24,750 and 24,500 as possible downside levels. Failure to defend these could extend the correction, but oversold RSI and positive divergence are early signals for a relief bounce. Momentum Indicators: RSI is near oversold (30.45) and forming bullish divergence versus price—lower lows in price but higher lows in RSI—signaling selling exhaustion and bounce potential. Action Plan: Stay cautious on initial dips below 25,000; this area can act as a bear trap. Look for confirmed reversal signals (strong bullish candles, RSI upturn) especially if the price swiftly reclaims 25,000+ after liquidity grabs. Sustained close above 25,200 = bullish setup for 25,350/25,500 targets. Sustained trade below 24,830 signals further weakness. Summary: NIFTY 50 is at a make-or-break level around 25,000. Expect possible stop-loss sweeps below this area, but also be prepared for a sharp reversal if key supports and positive divergences play out. Confirmation above 25,200 flips the bias bullish; below 24,830, further slide likely
NSE:NIFTY
by siddhantsamaiya
Rob the Rally SPX500: Enter Before Resistance Catches You🦹‍♂️💰**“SPX500 Street Heist” – Thief-Style Robbery Plan for Bulls!**📈💸 (Powered by Thief Trader's Market Robbing Tactics – Scalp | Swing | Day Trade Edition) 🌍Hello, Global Money Hunters! 📣 Salaam, Bonjour, Ola, Hola, Hallo, Marhaba & Welcome to the heist floor! 🎩💼 Thief Trader is back again with a loaded plan to rob the market clean — this time targeting the mighty SPX500 / US500 🎯. Based on a fusion of technical setups, macro sentiment, and the Thief Trading System, we’ve set our sights on the next breakout vault of Wall Street. 🎯 The Gameplan – Heist the Resistance Vault The index is entering a high-risk resistance barricade — overbought, consolidated, and heavily guarded by bearish robbers (sellers). This is the zone where the market police lurk and trend reversals often get triggered. However, smart thieves always plan with precision. Here’s the mission briefing: 🔓Entry Zone (Break-in Point) 💥 “The vault is open — grab the bullish loot!” Enter Long anywhere close to market price or on pullbacks near recent swing lows/highs. Preferred timeframes: 15-min to 30-min for sniper-level accuracy. Deploy DCA-style limit orders (layered entries for maximum control). 🛑Stop Loss (Escape Hatch) Base SL on recent swing low candle wicks on the 4H timeframe. Suggested: ~6250.00 — but adapt based on your risk appetite, lot size, and position stacking. 📈Target / Loot Location 🎯 Primary Take-Profit: 6450.00 Or… pull out early if you spot resistance fighters guarding the vault. Use trailing SL to secure gains and manage getaway. ⚡Scalper’s Notice Only Long-side allowed! Got big capital? Jump in now. Running low? Tag along with swing traders and follow the robbery protocol. Always protect your bag with dynamic trailing stops. 🧠Fundamental Fuel Behind the Plan Bullish sentiment across major indices Macro trends, COT positioning, sentiment outlook, and intermarket analysis all greenlit Geopolitical and Fed tone supportive — tap into real data before entering 👉 Always analyze: News, Fundamentals, Sentiment, COT reports, and macro conditions. 🚨NEWS ZONE ALERT – No Loud Moves! Avoid entry during major economic news drops Use trailing SLs to guard profits Don’t let your open trades get caught in the chaos of news releases! 💥Let’s Boost the Thief Army! Smash the BOOST button 💖 to power up the robbery crew. Support the strategy, share the love, and stay ahead of the game using Thief Trading Style. Every trade is a step closer to freedom from financial traps. 🚀💰🎉 📌Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis for educational purposes and should not be considered personal financial advice. Please evaluate your own risk management strategy before placing trades. 📌Markets shift fast — stay flexible, stay alert, and always rob smart. 🔥Stay locked in for the next heist plan — Thief Trader signing off for now… 💸💼📈 Trade smart. Rob harder. 🤑🦹‍♂️📊
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by The-Thief
1
SPX500 Eyes Further Upside After Breaking to New HighSPX500 | Technical Overview The price continued its bullish momentum after stabilizing above the 6283 support level, as anticipated. It has since posted a new all-time high (ATH) and is currently aiming for the next key resistance at 6341. A confirmed breakout above this level may open the path toward 6393. On the downside, a break and sustained close below 6283 would shift the structure bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 6223. Pivot line: 6283 Resistance: 6341 – 6393 Support: 6247 – 6223 previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
NIFTY S/R for 21/7/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Nifty levels - Jul 21, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe