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CAC40 Bullish breakout retest support at 7690The CAC40 remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 7960 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 7690 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 7850 – initial resistance 7940 – psychological and structural level 8000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 7690 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 7640 – minor support 7590 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the CAC40 holds above 7690. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:F40
by TradeNation
Market Mood Sours as Inflation Surprises AgainU.S. stock markets were under pressure on Tuesday after new inflation data came in higher than expected. This has made investors rethink how soon the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates. What Happened? ● The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded its biggest monthly rise in 5 months. ● Core inflation (which excludes food and energy) jumped by 2.9% compared to last year — more than the Fed's 2% target. What It Means ● Investors had expected the Fed to cut interest rates multiple times in 2025. ● After the inflation report, they now think the Fed will cut less than expected. ● The chances of a rate cut in September also dropped sharply. Market Impact ● Bond yields went up — the 10-year U.S. government bond yield rose to 4.49%, making borrowing more expensive. ● Stock futures fell (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq), as higher yields tend to hurt company profits and stock prices. S&P 500 and Dow Struggle at Resistance ● Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones faced resistance near all-time highs. ● This rejection suggests potential for further short-term pullback, especially if macro pressures like inflation and rate uncertainty persist. Near-Term Outlook With inflation running hotter than expected, hopes for early Fed rate cuts have cooled. Traders and investors should remain cautious, manage risk actively, and prepare for continued volatility in the coming weeks.
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital
USNAS100 – Bearish Below 22900 as Earnings & Tariffs Hit MarketUSNAS100 – Bearish Bias Ahead of Earnings, PPI & Tariff Tensions S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are slightly lower as traders weigh rate outlook, tariff developments, and major earnings reports. 📊 Earnings in Focus: Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS , Morgan Stanley NYSE:MS , and Bank of America NYSE:BAC are set to report today. JPMorgan Chase NYSE:JPM and Citigroup NYSE:C posted strong results yesterday, but expressed caution over U.S. tariff policies. 🌍 Tariff Watch: Trump announced a 19% tariff on Indonesian goods, with more deals anticipated ahead of the August 1 tariff deadline. The EU is reportedly preparing retaliatory measures if negotiations stall. 🔧 Technical Outlook: The Nasdaq100 shows bearish momentum as long as it trades below 22900 and 23010, with potential downside targets: Support: 22720 → 22615 → 22420 Resistance: 23010 → 23170 To shift back to a bullish trend, price must stabilize above 22900 and break 23010. Key Events Today: • Corporate Earnings • Tariff Developments • U.S. PPI Report
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
FTSE100 overbought pullback supported at 8880The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 8880 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 8880 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 8900 – initial resistance 9040 – psychological and structural level 9090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 8880 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 8840 – minor support 8820 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 8880. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:UK100
by TradeNation
BankNifty levels - Jul 17, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - Jul 17, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
US30 – Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms US30 – Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms US30 rallied and successfully reached our resistance target, as expected in the previous analysis. However, with today’s CPI release, the market is likely to see increased volatility. As long as the index trades below 44,500–44,570, the bias remains bearish, with downside targets at 44,210 and 43,960. • If CPI prints below 2.6%, we may see a bullish breakout toward 45,100 • Above or equal to 2.6% supports continuation of the bearish move However, we expect a 2.7% reading, driven by tariff-related price increases, which would support the bearish scenario.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
JXY with JXY looking monthly downside and DXY looing upside i will be looking for 35 years breakout of usdjpy meanning uj is a long therm upside How to View the Assets in Japan It should be noted that many of the assets the government owns are not marketable, or, if so, their price can sharply drop in the case of fiscal crisis. Therefore, the financial situation should be assessed first by gross debt. In addition, the assets earmarked with the liabilities (such as pension reserves and FILP loans) are not directly related to fiscal consolidation because they are not included in “Bonds outstanding of central and local governments”, which is the benchmark of fiscal consolidation target
TVC:JXYLong
by isaac886
DOLLAR INDEX U.S. Economic Data Release on the July 15th Key Inflation Indicators Indicator Current Forecast Previous Core CPI m/m 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% CPI m/m 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% CPI y/y 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% Core CPI m/m came in slightly below forecast, but still accelerated from the previous month, indicating underlying inflation pressures remain present. Headline CPI m/m matched expectations, showing persistent monthly price growth. Annual CPI (y/y) registered above forecast, indicating inflation is running hotter than previously expected and at its highest level since early 2025. Empire State Manufacturing Index Indicator Current Previous Empire State Manufacturing Index 5.5 -8.3 The sharp rebound from negative territory signals a marked improvement in manufacturing sentiment in the New York region, pointing to possible resilience in U.S. industrial activity. Market Implications US Dollar (USD): Inflation coming in at or above forecast (annual and headline monthly), along with better-than-expected manufacturing data, has support the USD in the short term. Stronger inflation weakens the case for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Treasury Yields: Yields edged higher as bond traders weigh persistent inflation against a resilient economy, with less urgency for monetary easing. Equity Markets: Slightly hotter inflation and improved factory activity brings mixed reactions. Investors could become cautious over reduced chances of Fed rate cuts, but healthy manufacturing data may fuel selective equity support. Commodities: Gold and other non-yielding assets faced modest headwinds from a stronger USD and rising yields. In summary: U.S. inflation data for June shows headline and annual CPI above forecast, and core inflation still rising, suggesting persistent price pressures. The Empire State Manufacturing Index rebounded sharply, signaling improved business sentiment. These surprises likely reinforce expectations for a cautious Federal Reserve, with possible USD gains and ripple effects across equity, bond, and commodity markets. #DXY #DOLLAR
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
US30 Update – 07/16/2025📍 US30 Update – 07/16/2025 The bearish momentum continues — and it's clean. After rejecting 44,555–44,600 supply last week, US30 has been in a clear downtrend, and now we’ve broken below 44,000, tapping into the 43,900 zone. Sellers are dominating, and buyers haven’t shown strength on any retrace yet. ⚠️ 📊 Market Structure: ✅ Lower highs, lower lows locked in 🧭 Rejected 44.6k supply on lower volume = bearish intent 📉 Price now below EMAs (20 & 50), which are sloping down hard 📉 Current price printing near multi-week support 🔑 Key Levels: 🔽 Support: 43,800 → 43,600 → 43,300 🔼 Resistance: 44,100 → 44,220 → 44,555 💣 Break of 43,800 = high probability for further downside flush 💡 Trade Ideas: 🔻 Short Setup – Trend Continuation: Entry: Pullback into 44,100–44,200 Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle TP1: 43,800 TP2: 43,600 SL: Above 44,300 ⚠️ No long bias unless bulls reclaim 44,400 with conviction.
FX:US30Short
by h4rVey
US30 Bearish IdeaAs we can see this is a anticipation of us being in a quarterly shift in the markets and having an assumption that we had a retracement up to collect more orders for smart money to go short. We have relative strength with US30 against both NASDAQ and the SP500. We have seen resistance in our premium arrays of our weekly FVG and daily order block * Fundamental analysis: We are are having a shift in our bond yields which could potentially effect the dollar giving it strength and you add the fact that dollar is under valued when we have a stronger dollar rate than the rest of the basket currencies we could see it negatively effect the Dow this quarter. The Dow is very over valued and we have had consistent quantitative easing from the Fed and the Fed balance sheet has been still consistently decreasing. The commercial interest have also seen a great rise of buying dollar and if dollar is being bought up then something would need to be sold.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by That_Guy_Trades
6
### **Bearish Analysis of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)**### **Bearish Analysis of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)** The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently shown a weak trend, with a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market. The primary factors driving this outlook include: ### **1. Rising Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts** - Recent weak U.S. inflation data (such as May's PPI and CPI) have reinforced market expectations that the Fed may cut rates as early as September. - Morgan Stanley predicts the Fed could implement a cumulative 175 basis points in rate cuts by 2025, further reducing the dollar's appeal. ### **2. Trade Policy Uncertainty** - The Trump administration has recently threatened new tariffs (e.g., 30% on imports) against the EU, Mexico, and other nations, escalating global trade tensions. - Wall Street institutions warn that Trump’s tariff policies could trigger capital outflows, putting additional pressure on the dollar. ### **3. Growing Recession Concerns** - Fears of a U.S. economic "hard landing" are intensifying, particularly due to deteriorating corporate orders, earnings forecasts, and capital expenditure plans, which could weaken the dollar’s safe-haven status. - The expanding U.S. fiscal deficit (reaching $1.36 trillion this fiscal year) is further eroding confidence in the dollar. ### **4. Technical Weakness** - Since the beginning of 2025, DXY has fallen by approximately **8.4%**, marking its worst annual start on record. - The index currently faces key resistance at the **97.80-98.00** range. A failure to break above this level could lead to further declines toward **96.50** or lower. - RSI and MACD indicators suggest weak short-term rebound momentum, maintaining a bearish bias. ### **5. Risk of Capital Outflows** - The U.S. "**899 Asset Tax**" proposal could increase costs for foreign investors holding dollar-denominated assets, potentially accelerating global divestment from the dollar. - Goldman Sachs estimates that the dollar remains **overvalued by ~15%**, leaving room for further depreciation. ### **Outlook** In the near term, DXY’s movement will depend on: - **June CPI Data** (A lower-than-expected reading could reinforce rate cut expectations, further weakening the dollar). - **Trade Negotiation Developments** (Escalating tensions may trigger risk-off sentiment, while easing could relieve dollar pressure). - **Fed Policy Signals** (More explicit dovish guidance could extend the dollar’s downtrend). **Conclusion:** Given multiple bearish factors, the U.S. Dollar Index is likely to remain weak in the short term. Traders should closely monitor key economic data and policy shifts.
TICKMILL:DXYShort
by trade1638