Market indices
DAX at a Crossroads: Will Resistance Trigger a Pullback?The German 40 (DAX) has been on a strong bullish run, now trading into a key resistance zone near previous range highs. This area is likely packed with liquidity (buy stops), making it a potential turning point. Given the overextended price action and current fundamentals, a retracement is likely as profit-taking and stop orders trigger. While sentiment has been bullish, caution is warranted at these levels. I am expecting a pullback before any further upside. Not financial advice.
NAS100USD: Institutional Support Fuels Bullish MomentumGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe that institutional order flow remains bullish, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias.
Key Observations:
Institutional Support Zones:
Price has recently retraced into a significant institutional support area—a large mitigation block, where smart money typically mitigates previous sell orders and initiates new buy orders. This zone is further reinforced by the presence of a reclaimed order block, signaling an area where prior institutional buying occurred and may now be re-engaged.
Confluence of Bullish Arrays:
The alignment of the mitigation block, reclaimed order block, and an adjacent breaker block provides strong confluence. While price is currently showing signs of rejection at this zone, it is important to exercise patience and wait for confirmation before entering, especially given the size of the mitigation block.
Trading Strategy:
Upon confirmation, we will look to initiate long positions from these institutional support levels, targeting liquidity pools resting in premium pricing zones where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside.
Stay disciplined and let the market confirm your narrative.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook - Potential ShortsPrice pushed up on Friday 25 May into an area of imbalance at 20170 and closed.
Then we have Monday which pushed up through out the day and failed to break and close above Friday 25th Hi, ending the day inside of Fridays candle followed by Tuesday being bear and failing to break and close above Monday hi candle but managed to break and close below Mondays candle close.
By this creating the high of the week, on a weekly time frame, reason for the short is to fill the daily volume imbalance highlighted in yellow. As price always needs to fill gaps in the market left behind by inefficient price action.
Only then I assume one could start looking for longs, as all sell side liquidity has been cleared.
Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeHere’s a professional technical breakdown of the US100 Cash CFD (1H timeframe) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX indicators:
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,979.00
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,845.22
Point of Control (POC):
Recent POC: 19,979.52
Prior POC: 19,845.22
High-volume nodes: Clearly seen around 19,845 and 19,880–19,980, indicating buyer-seller equilibrium.
Low-volume gaps: Between 19,900–19,950 and below 19,800–19,700 — price can move fast through these zones.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops Likely Clustered:
Above 20,000 (psychological + prior swing high)
Below 19,800 (swing low and zone of previous rejection)
Absorption Zones:
Notable delta-based absorption occurred around 19,845 and 19,880 zones, indicating institutional activity.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (with spike): 19,980–20,000 (strong volume + reversal candle).
Swing Low (with spike): 19,845 zone, also aligns with historical POC, confirming strong defense.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Range-bound to Bearish bias
ADX Strength:
ADX is hovering near 20, not confirming a strong trend.
DI- > DI+ suggests slight downward pressure.
CVD Confirmation:
Flat to slightly falling CVD with price stalling = Supply is outweighing demand, slight bearish bias.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
19,845.22 (POC + VAL)
19,800 (swing low and absorption)
Resistance:
19,979.52 (POC)
20,000 (psychological + rejection zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Swing High: 20,000
Confirmed Swing Low: 19,845
Key Retracements (From 19,845 to 20,000):
1/2: 19,922
1/3: 19,896
2/3: 19,969
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Range-bound to Slightly Bearish
Price is stuck between 19,845–19,979 with no clear breakout or breakdown.
b) Notable Patterns:
Horizontal consolidation forming after a failed breakout near 20,000.
Bearish bias is developing with failure to hold above POC.
Watch for breakout from the descending triangle setup forming.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (Only if breakout above resistance):
Entry Zone: 19,985–20,000 (break + retest)
Targets:
T1: 20,100
T2: 20,300
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,940 (below breakout level)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,845–19,860 (retest of support failure)
Target:
T1: 19,700
Stop-Loss (SL): 19,980
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
DOW/US30 - we hope everyone make million last nightTeam, yesterday was a big win for all of us, twice the DOW/NAS massive win
today, the market will likely pull back toward the price set in the chart
make sure you have tight stop-loss
also, once it drops more than 50 points, bring stop loss to BE
we are looking at around 40930-40850
The interest rate decision within 12 hours time frame,
we expect the market will be volatile if it dumps toward our LONG entry position, which I set out in the chart.
Follow that, and you will kill the market with me
UNTIL then, I wish you all the best
S&P 500 Bearish Reversal Setup: Short Entry Below Key ResistanceEntry Point: Around 5,678.79
Stop Loss: Around 5,833.61 (above recent resistance zone)
Target Point: Around 4,831.37 (indicating a bearish target)
2. Technical Patterns:
The price hit a resistance zone (highlighted in purple) and reversed—this is often a bearish signal.
The trendline break (marked with the orange dot and blue arrow down) suggests a potential trend reversal.
The moving averages (likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA) indicate the price is still above the support zone but weakening.
3. Risk/Reward Ratio:
Risk (Stop Loss – Entry): ~154.82 points
Reward (Entry – Target): ~847.42 points
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:5.5, which is favorable for shorting.
4. Trade Sentiment:
Bearish bias based on the breakdown from the resistance zone and confirmation from chart patterns.
If the price fails to hold above 5,682.87, a short trade may be validated with the target at 4,831.37.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/05/2025Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty sustain above 24250 level then expected consolidated movements in index in between 24250-24450 level. Major downside expected in case nifty gives breakdown of support level and starts trading below 24200. This downside rally can goes upto 24000 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/05/2025)Today will be slightly gap down opening expected in index. Expected opening near 54000 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 53950 level then possible strong downside movement in index upto 53550 level. Any bullish side movement expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 54550 level.
US30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy SetupUS30 Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy Setup
Price is respecting a strong ascending channel on the 1H timeframe, with multiple clean bounces off the trendline. Our GTE VIP entry was placed at the lower boundary of the channel, where price showed bullish rejection and confluence with previous support.
Stochastic also confirmed hidden bullish divergence, signaling continuation. Targets are aligned with the upper boundary of the channel and previous resistance zones at 41,230 and 41,319.
This is a classic trend continuation setup — riding momentum back toward liquidity at the highs.
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 40,653.80
1st Support: 39,774.46
1st Resistance: 42,181.26
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Today, the 4-hour chart of the DXY shows a volatile downward trend, and it is currently testing the support area of 99.40 - 99.30. Overall, it remains in a downtrend. Pay attention to the resistance near 100.00 above and the support near 99.00 below. Wait for a rebound and then go short.
Trading Strategy:
sell@100.00-99.80
TP:99.00-98.80
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SPX at a Tipping Point Rising Wedge Meets 200 EMAThe SPX is currently trading within a rising wedge a bearish pattern that typically signals exhaustion of upward momentum. Price has now stalled right at the 200 EMA, a key dynamic resistance level, and today's close came just beneath it.
If this rising wedge breaks to the downside especially with a confirmed rejection from the 200 EMA we could see accelerated selling. The next key support level to watch is $5,438.43. A breakdown from here would likely test that zone quickly.
This setup follows our earlier call from March 27, where we highlighted the $4,790 area as a bottom nearly nailed to the point. From that low, SPX rallied, but now the structure is showing signs of strain.
We’re at a decision point: hold the 200 EMA and potentially break higher or confirm the wedge breakdown and begin a new leg down.
Tariff Tension = Dow Explosion? | US30 Setup You Can't MissTechnical + News-Driven Outlook
📌 What’s Happening?
The Dow Jones (US30) is sitting at a critical decision point — tightly consolidating while the market braces for potential tariff decisions from the U.S. government. With price stuck between key zones, the next move could be explosive. Here's what I'm watching:
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
⚠️ Resistance/Imbalance Zone: 41,650 – 41,750
🧲 Liquidity Zone: 41,000 – 41,400 (range bound)
🧨 Downside Target if Broken: 40,200 → 39,750
🚀 Bullish Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 41,400, expect a fast move toward 41,750, filling the imbalance. This setup could trigger especially if tariff news is positive (e.g., delay or reduction in trade penalties).
🛑 Bearish Breakdown:
Failure to hold 41,000 support and a strong bearish rejection could send us back toward 40,200. A hawkish trade policy update could accelerate this sell-off.
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
Buy Above 41,400, Target: 41,750
Sell Below 41,000, Target: 40,200 / 39,750
🔄 Wait for confirmation candles, avoid chasing!
💬 Follow me for real-time chart drops, high-probability setups, and news-backed analysis.
📊 Consistency | Discipline | Risk-First Thinking
The channels are everything We are bouncing around inside the channels. Its very possible we break up from this area, in which case the target will be the bollinger band at 5770 area. If we break down overnight for some reason it will be a large move down. It's difficult to say what will happen, but the channels right now are key to the price action.
DAX Wave Analysis – 6 May 2025
- DAX reversed from key resistance level 23435,00
- Likely to fall to support level 22700.00
DAX index recently reversed down from the key resistance level 23435,00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (1) in the middle of March).
The resistance level 23435,00 was further strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the resistance level 23435,00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, DAX index can be expected to fall to the next support level 22700.00.