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DXY Is Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 7h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 106.448. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 105.539 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
1
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 22,105.08 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 21,948.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support. Take profit is at 22,378.60 which is a level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Long
by FXCM
NAS100 - Nasdaq is setting a new ATH!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the marked trend line, which is also intersecting the demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. At the start of the week, the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly after President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. He also stated that any country imposing tariffs on American products would face reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. Later, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in his congressional testimony, emphasized that the central bank is in no hurry to implement further rate cuts. Additionally, data from the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January came in higher than expected, further supporting the dollar. Although the dollar experienced a slight correction on Thursday and Friday, these factors, combined with a strong non-farm payroll report for January, led investors to anticipate a rate cut of only 30 basis points for the year. This outlook is more hawkish than the Federal Reserve’s own forecast of a 50-basis-point reduction. In other words, traders in financial markets have fully priced in just a single 0.25% rate cut by December. Kevin Hassett, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, revealed in an interview with CBS’s Face The Nation that he meets regularly with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. He stressed that these meetings are not intended to influence interest rate policy and that Powell’s independence is respected, although the President’s views are still conveyed. Hassett also pointed out that long-term yields have declined, with a 40-basis-point drop in the 10-year Treasury yield, indicating market expectations of lower inflation. Retail sales data showed a 0.9% decline following an upwardly revised 0.7% increase in December. Out of 13 reported categories, nine recorded declines, with the largest drops observed in automobiles, sporting goods, and furniture stores. Following a tense week filled with impactful economic news, the upcoming week is expected to be quieter and shorter, as U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents’ Day. Key economic events for the week include the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index on Tuesday, the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting, and U.S. housing starts and building permits data on Wednesday. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be released. Finally, Friday will see the publication of preliminary S&P Flash PMI reports and existing home sales data.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
1
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl 6214.4.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the lower and middle order wave “3” is not yet complete. This is a good chance to go long, but it should be remembered that even though a correction to the uptrend line is possible, I do not recommend selling. The target area is the 6214.4 level area - this is slightly higher than the 100% Fibonacci extension level. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
6
The Peace Dividend: Rotation into the European Defense SectorBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The start of 2025 has brought with it a change in the narrative of financial markets. While the United States continues to be marked by political uncertainty and protectionist measures, Europe has experienced an unusual inflow of capital, largely driven by the possibility of a ceasefire in Ukraine and the so-called “peace dividend” narrative. The impact of the peace dividend The concept of the “peace dividend” refers to the reallocation of economic resources that occurs when geopolitical tensions subside, which in theory should benefit traditional sectors such as infrastructure, consumer and technology. However, the market has shown a different reaction: far from weakening, the defense sector has continued to attract investors. European companies such as BAE Systems, Thales and Rheinmetall have seen their share prices rise, reflecting the perception that countries in the region will continue to increase their defense spending despite a possible ceasefire. The reconfiguration of the geopolitical scenario does not eliminate the need to maintain strategic investments in the arms sector, especially with the strengthening of alliances such as NATO and the growing strategic autonomy of the European Union. - BAE Systems plc (Ticker AT: BA.UK): London Stock Exchange. - Rheinmetall AG (Ticker AT: RHM.GE): Frankfurt Stock Exchange. - Thales Group (Ticker: HO): Euronext Paris. - Leonardo S.p.A. (Ticker AT: LDO.IT): Milan Stock Exchange. - Dassault Aviation (Ticker AT: DSY.FR): Euronext Paris. - Indra Sistemas, S.A. (Ticker AT: IDR.ES): Madrid Stock Exchange. - Saab AB (Ticker AT: SAABB.SE): Stockholm Stock Exchange. - Kongsberg Gruppen ASA (KOG): Oslo Stock Exchange. - Hensoldt AG (HAG): Frankfurt Stock Exchange. - QinetiQ Group plc (QQ): London Stock Exchange. The effect on European indices The Stoxx Europe 600 has recorded positive flows in the first weeks of the year, with an emphasis on industrial and defense stocks. The CAC 40 and the DAX have shown rallies, driven by the revaluation of companies in the arms and security-related technology sectors. The key question for investors is whether this asset rotation is a structural trend or simply a speculative rebound. Although recent flows suggest an increased interest in European equities, the persistence of these movements will depend on the evolution of US trade policy, the stability of energy prices and the response of European governments to new security and defense challenges. Opportunities and risks For investors, the current situation presents both opportunities and challenges. Defense investment has proven to be resilient throughout history, but the risks of economic fragmentation stemming from US trade policies could generate volatility in the markets. In this context, active managers may benefit from the greater dispersion of returns across sectors, while passive investors may struggle in the absence of a clear macroeconomic trend. The key will be to assess whether the capital inflow into Europe is a reflection of a cycle change or a short-term tactical move. Euro50 Analysis If we look at the chart of the EuroStoxx50 we can see that it has had a bullish evolution during last week closing the week flat. Since February 4th a widening of the averages has been developing. RSI is currently in its middle zone. The control point (POC) is well below the current price of 5,486 points around 5,345 points, a price zone visited last week. It is very likely that the index will try to test the highs of 5,520 points reached last week, if the index accumulates enough volume its next milestone to reach would be close to 5,625 points. If the index does not pierce the price will test its current low of 5,450 points being its second support zone at 5,380 points. Conclusion The “peace dividend” is not leading to disinvestment in the defense sector, quite the contrary: the markets are betting on reinforced security in Europe. The question remains open: is there a structural rotation towards defensive sectors or simply a speculative rally in an environment of global uncertainty? Developments over the coming months will be crucial in determining the direction of these movements on European markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:EURO50Long
by ActivTrades
Next week plan, buy in the discount of daily range 21200This is my plan for next week on Nas. I´m suggesting to buy in the 4H demand zone(blue rectangle) in confluence with the "discount zone" of the daily range. Do not buy blindly on the entry line. Wait for a retest of the entry zone, combined with a bullish volume spike(cumulative delta). Monitor lower TF for entries like 5-15-30M. If you are beginner and don´t know how, when to enter, I usually update my trades when-if entry conditions are met. TP your trades partially and set your SL AFTER THE ENTRY. Do not set BUY LIMIT order, it wont work. Wish you good luck. P.S. I´m not a signal service, I´m sharing my own trades for free. If you want to buy something, contact one of the signal service or signalist who will comment this idea. They will sell you anything you want. If you want more trades, you know what to do.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Rendon1
DXY Long On the weekly Time Frame the DXY has broken above a previous weekly resistance level (wPb). Price has since Re-Tested this level and seems to be finding Support. Last weeks candle (week 6) printed what I believe, has proven to be a strong reversal candle (with Bullish Divergence), indicating the bearish correction (Re-Test of wPb) is about to reverse Long. In light of this I'll be looking for a reason to enter Long on the 4h Time Frame, inside the wPb Zone & aiming for the w6 High.
TVC:DXYLong
by EverGlowTrading
Nifty50 in negative zone : Be cautiousHello Friends, After analyzing the long-term chart of the Nifty50 Index, I believe it has entered a negative zone. Therefore, I advise caution before taking long positions. It is wise to avoid speculation and naked derivative positions. If you decide to trade, please do so with strict stop-loss orders; otherwise, it may be best to refrain from initiating fresh positions. I believe the Nifty50 has strong support at 22000 levels. However, any entry at those levels should depend on market movement and sentiment at that time. It is important to note that this is not the time to book losses or exit in a panic, nor to re-enter at 22000 levels. I recommend holding existing positions and staying patient. These are merely my observations regarding the market, and readers may have differing opinions.
NSE:NIFTY
by Hobbytopassion_ManishJain
Stumbling DXY ahead of Trump speech and FOMC minutesIt is make or break time for my ideas on the DXY after the DXY failed to hold levels above the 50-day MA at 108. The critical support between 107.2 and 107.5 is currently being tested after the DXY closed the week 1.2% weaker at 106.8 despite US CPI rising for the 4th consecutive month coupled with a rather hawkish yet upbeat testimony before congress from Fed chair Powell, which in my opinion was all dollar positive. US CPI for the month of January came in hotter than expected at 3.0% yoy, up from 2.9% in December. Additionally, on top of Powell’s comments regarding the strength of the US economy, the ISM Manufacturing PMI completely shattered expectations after coming in stronger than expected at 50.9 for the month of January. The DXY however pulled back sharply on Thursday off the back of a weaker than expected initial jobless claims report and a stronger than expected PPI print of 3.5% yoy. The downward momentum gained further traction after core retail sales completely missed expectations, contracting 0.4% mom in January. If the DXY does not close this week above the support at 107.2 I’ll have to invalidate my series of ideas calling for a move to 112.2. A break below my support range mentioned above will allow the DXY to slide all the way onto the support of the 38.2% FIbo retracement at 105.4 and the 200-day MA currently at 104.9. I’m not ready to invalidate the idea just yet since we may be looking at a bear trap on the DXY but I may have to get back to the drawing board after this week’s trading.
TVC:DXY
by Goose96
1