Market indices
NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 25,112.40 with a gain of 1.59%
If Nifty sustains below 25,033, selling pressure may increase. However, a move above 25,192 could restore bullish momentum.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 25,033 -25,192.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: 24,797
S2: 24,482
S3: 24,093
Resistance:
R1: 25,431
R2: 25,750
R3: 26,144
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 25,192 could attract buying momentum, driving Nifty towards R1 (25,431) and beyond.
❌ Bearish Scenario: A drop below 25,033 may trigger selling pressure, pushing Nifty towards S1 (24,797) or lower.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsBank Nifty ended the week at 56,252.85 with a gain of 1.31%
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 56,135 to 56,372
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
S1: 55,781
S2: 55,308
S3: 54,726
Resistance Levels:
R1: 56,729
R2: 57,206
R3: 57,786
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 56,372 could trigger buying momentum, potentially driving Bank Nifty towards R1 (56,729) and beyond.
❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 56,135, selling pressure may increase, pulling it towards S1 (56,729) and lower levels.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Weekly Volatility Snapshot Good Evening -- Here we are again looking down the barrel of another week tracking the volatility within the broader markets!
Let us begin --
Last week, the TVC:VIX was trending down as the S&P500 rotated upwards making it within 1.43% of highs, before selling off on war conflict news to end the week -- spiking the VIX again. We are now 114 days into the correction with uncertainty still being the only thing that is defined.
However, it does seem that buyers are stepping in during these times of selling off. But, without lifting the uncertainty of trade deals and deadlines or negative news cycles, we could just be locking in a lower high and within another bear market phase.
As we trend into the 2nd half of June, the SP:SPX has an IV (16.18%) entering the week trending 72% to it's yearly range suggesting slightly expensive premium. This is up from 52% IVp last week. Now in comparison to what is happening, HV10 (9.94%) is showing a lower volatility range than stated IV by -6.24%.
This can be important when considering a premium disadvantage with a consolidating VIX under already expensive premium. The 'strength of IV' here is 61% -- and in turn my weighted implied ranges for the week are $5,914.78 - $6,039.16.
If there happens to be a volatility spike this week due to anything out of the blue, we will find our range expanded to long-term trending means of quarterly values, that being HV63 (30.39%). This would create a 'strength of IV' of 188% and a massive spike in the VIX -- respectfully these weighted implied ranges would be $5,786.82 - $6,161.12.
As always, I hope you enjoy the weekly write up and have a great week of trading ranges! Know you ABCs and REMEMBER stay hedged people.
Till next week, CHEERS.
Banknifty June 4th Week Analysis Banknifty closing is looking positive, and we can expect upside momentum to continue up to 56600. Upon crossing 56600, we can expect a bigger upside momentum up to a new all-time high of 57267-57500. But if due to any global factors we encounter a bearish move, then imp levels on the downside would be 55770-55300.
Nifty June 4th Week AnalysisNifty is looking positive for the upcoming week. Closing above 25000 is giving confidence for upside momentum upto 25500. Only caution for upside is global tensions which can hamper the momentum . On the downside, if Nifty breaches 25000-24900 range only then we can expect downside move upto 24750-650.
ALL LEVELS ARE MARKED IN THE CHART POSTED.
Nifty Pharma is the defensive play of the seasonNIFTY Pharma - Beautiful Base at 50 DMA. Excellent from medium term POV. Relative Strength against Nifty could be better, but it is a risk one will have to work with since Risk Reward is in favour.
Breakout is complete, look for strongest stocks in the sector. Some should already be trading at ATH or close to it, these are your star performers.
Nifty Chart Analysis – Major Breakout or Breakdown Ahed
Assending Triangle Chart pattern in Nifty- Breakout Possible ?
As of June 21, 2025, the Nifty 50 index is showing a strong and potentially decisive Ascending Triangle Pattern on the 3-hour time frame.
This formation typically indicates a bullish breakout if confirmed with volume. Let’s dive deep into the technical outlook and key levels that traders and investors should watch.
Current Market Overview
Current Nifty Level: ~25,080
Pattern Identified: Ascending Triangle
Time Frame: 3H (Medium-Term to Long-Term Insight)
An Ascending Triangle is a bullish continuation pattern formed by a horizontal resistance line and a rising trendline of higher lows.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zone:
Immediate Resistance: 26,280 (All-Time High)
Breakout Target 2: 27,280
Breakout Target 3: 28000 (Long-Term)
If Nifty breaks above the 26,280 level with strong volume confirmation, the next upward targets will be 27,280 and possibly 28000 , based on the measured move from the triangle height.
Support Levels:
Latest Support: 24,250
Post-Election Breakout Support: 22,800
Major Support (Election Result Day Low): 21,300
If any major negative trigger (geopolitical or macroeconomic) occurs, a sharp correction can’t be ruled out. The levels mentioned will act as key demand zones.
Potential Global Risks
While the technical setup is bullish, external risks could spoil the party:
Geopolitical Conflicts:
Iran vs. Israel
India vs. Pakistan
China vs. US tensions
Macro-Economic Triggers:
Spike in Inflation or Crude Oil Prices
US Fed Rate Hike Surprises
Global Recession Fears
In such cases, a steep fall toward 22,800 or even 21,300 may occur.
✅ Conclusion & Strategy
The current Nifty setup presents a classic high-reward-low-risk opportunity for long-term traders if a breakout is confirmed. However, caution is advised if global uncertainties increase. Investors should:
Wait for a decisive breakout above 26,280 with volume.
Maintain a stop-loss around 24,250 on long positions.
Consider booking partial profits near resistance levels and re-entering on pullbacks.
How Traders Can Prepare for the Next Move
Whether a breakout or breakdown happens, traders must:
Use proper stop-loss and risk management
Wait for volume confirmation
Watch for FII/DII activity
Combine price action with Data Analysis
Important Note:
This analysis is based on current chart patterns and known global events. Always use proper risk management and consult with a financial advisor before taking investment decisions.
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Great recovery by Nifty to end the week. Nifty has shown a great recovery to end the week at 25112 despite persisting global uncertainties. This again shows imminent strength of Indian markets and confidence on the local factors by Bulls.
Nifty however is now entering a tough resistance zone which starts exactly from 25113 and extends till 25251. Once we get a closing above 25251 the Bulls will try to control the market with more strength. Till that happens it can still go in any direction. The supports for Nifty remain at 24869, 24713, 24480 (Mother line support), 24175 and finally 23838 (Father line support).
If any major further global escalation happens during the weekend and we get a closing below 23838 then Bears can become more powerful and they might have potential to push market further down towards 23047 or below.
Things hang in balance despite a strong closing on Friday as the shadow of the candle is still neutral.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has primarily exhibited downward trends during this week’s abbreviated trading session, narrowly failing to reach the targeted Mean Support level of 5940, as outlined in the previous Daily Chart Analysis. Currently, the index exhibits a bearish trend, suggesting a potential direction toward the Mean Support level of 5940, with an additional critical support level identified at 5888.
Contrariwise, there exists a substantial likelihood that following the accomplishment of hitting the Mean Support of 5940, the index may experience recovery and ascend toward the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate a resilient rally, ultimately topping in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073, thereby enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level situated at 6150.
Pullback before next leg up
NASDAQ’s looking weak short term. We’ve seen multiple rejections from the highs, an M pattern forming on the daily, and RSI divergence creeping in on the daily — momentum is clearly fading. I already took profit around 21980. And a few small swings between the range since 3rd of June.
The rally off the tariff drop was sharp, but it feels mechanical. Bulls look tired here. You can see price is stalling — pushing into the same highs but getting nowhere. Classic signs of distribution.
That said, this isn’t the start of a full-blown bear market. The long-term trend remains bullish. AI investment is still piling into the U.S., tech’s still leading globally, and structurally we haven’t broken down yet. Some weakness is starting to show though.
But short term, I think we see a pullback. The Fed’s still sitting on the fence with rate cuts, which is creating uncertainty. Add that to the current geopolitical tensions, and there’s enough on the table to justify a temporary risk-off move.
If price breaks and closes above 21,860, I’ll reassess and potentially shift back to a bullish bias. Until then, I’m leaning short and letting price action do the talking.
My key downside levels:
TP1: 21,483 — scale out and protect.
TP2: 21,322 — potential bounce from this area.
TP3: 21,145 — structure starts to weaken.
TP4: 20,894 — bears starting to control and a deeper flush, I’ll reassess bias at this level.
SL @ 21850 on my second entry short
Short term: pullback likely.
Big picture: still bullish — but bulls need to reset before any next leg up.
NASDAQ Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup Example XIIaight, so im gonna break down a trade i took on nasdaq today using a setup i picked out myself from the ict concepts. just my own flavor of it, ya know
before i knock out at night, i open up the charts real quick — just tryna see if there's any clean liquidity chillin’ nearby. if there aint, i shut it down and catch some solid sleep. but if there is... bingo baby
this basically means i might just wake up rich tomorrow, bro. on the daily, im seeing two strong green days back to back, and right above that boom some equal highs just sitting there, begging to get run. they are even cleaner on the 1h. bias locked in. im waking up tomorrow and hunting longs, simple as that.
i mark up the daily open first thing. if im lookin for longs, i wanna see some turtle soup under the open. if im hunting shorts, i need that setup above the open. thats just how i roll.
if there is a swing low, trend liquidity, or some equal lows carryin over from yesterday, im locked in on those levels for turtle soup. if not, im just chillin, waitin for price to build some fresh liquidity during the day and then snatch it.
in this setup, i got some leftover liquidity from yesterday plus a clean 4h fvg sittin there like a neon sign.
next, i check the time. liquidity grabs usually hit during one of the killzones depends on the pair, but im watchin asia, london, or new york sessions.
then i scope out if there is any news droppin around that time, especially stuff that could move the pair. no point in getting blindsided.
and yeah, i always peep correlated pairs too sometimes they snitch before your chart even says a word.
when all the stars and planets line up just right, that is when I drop down to the 15m and wait for a clean csd to show up. but here is the thing i dont jump in the second i see it. i wanna see price actually leave the liquidity zone.
yeah, it might lower my rr a bit, but the win rate goes way up. It keeps me outta those fake-ass turtle soups that look good at first but just wanna wreck your stop.
once im in the trade, i usually try to close out half the position the same day take profits where the chance of price reversing is damn near zero. then i let the other half ride toward my target liquidity. just lettin it breathe, do its thing.
thats it, peace out
*NAS100| Weekly Breakdown - Structure Is PriceWhew—Nasdaq was a wild one this week, but once you master structure, liquidity, and OBs, the chaos turns into clarity.
Price held my 30M demand zone, even after a sketchy wick-based reaction early on. First long position? Quick scalp to the highs—in and out, no burger 🍔.
Didn’t wait for a full mitigation at first—anticipated the bullish momentum by staying aligned with structure. Later, price came back and mitigated the zone with body closes, confirming the intent for another long setup into next week.
Yes, I hold trades over weekends—because here’s what I’ve figured out:
“Price is structure. Structure is price. Master that, and it flows exactly how it should.”
This week was just another example of that.
Bless Trading!
SPX500 Technical Outlook: Balancing Risk and RewardPost Content:
🔍 SPX500 Analysis - 4H Timeframe
Our latest technical analysis showcases a detailed approach to the S&P 500 Index using Smart Money Concepts, Fibonacci tools, and volume dynamics. Here's the breakdown:
1️⃣ Trend Structure
The price has formed a wedge within the premium zone, indicating potential exhaustion.
BOS and ChOCH markers highlight key pivots, emphasizing a weak high and strong low.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Insights
We're observing equilibrium near 5,668.57, a critical area where price may consolidate or pivot.
Higher Fibonacci extensions suggest an upside target near 6,580.38, should momentum hold.
3️⃣ Risk-Adjusted Strategy
Short Opportunity: Bearish retracement expected toward equilibrium; target around 5,668.57.
Long Opportunity: Look for confirmations to buy at the discount zone or post-retracement breakout above the weak high.
4️⃣ Volume Dynamics
Spikes at key pivot points signal institutional activity, strengthening the validity of liquidity zones.
📊 Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Short near premium zone OR Long near equilibrium/discount zone.
Stop-Loss: Place below the strong low for longs or above weak highs for shorts.
Target: Extensions at 6,580.38 align with the broader bullish sentiment.
🎯 Key Takeaway: This model emphasizes patience, precision, and risk management. Be sure to monitor upcoming macro events and confirm entry triggers before committing to any position.
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Team WaverVanir International LLC