USD is Bearish, SO BUY EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD CHF & JPY!In this video, we will update Saturday's forecasts mid-week, and look for valid setup for the rest of the week ahead. The following FX markets will be analyzed:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or other wise. In this video, we will update the forecasts for the following FX markets:
Market indices
NQ: Prior to the FEDAs expected, NQ is consolidating.
Tomorrow is a big day in terms of looking forward. What should we expect from the FED?
1- FED Mandate is: Employment and Inflation
2- FED has always said: FED policy is data related.
The latest data on both Employment and Inflation were not sufficiently bad to rationalize the rate cuts and feed Trump's pressure.
Hence, I think the FED won't give any hint tomorrow about the rate cut on June. This will disappoint market and a Sell-off of stocks and equities will be massive. The start of Wave 3.
The other scenario will send stocks and equities up in a zigzag move: Down then up.
Gold as a lead indicator has resumed up its direction. This might be a sign of what is coming for equities.
Have a good evening/night!
Nasdaq - Printing The Obvious Bottom!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) already finished the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we witnessed a minor "crash" of about -25% over the past couple of weeks, the bottom might be in on the Nasdaq. We simply saw another very bullish all time high break and retest and depite the possibility of a second retest, I am (still) extremely bullish at these levels.
Levels to watch: $17.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDAQ: Rebounding on the 4H MA50. New High for the Channel Up.Nasdaq is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.883, MACD = 127.320, ADX = 37.197) and is rebounding today on the 4H MA50, right before the HL of the Channel Up. This is a technical bottom that calls for a buy. We aim for a new +6% bullish wave (TP = 20,800).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
DXY Bear Flag: Is the Dollar on Thin Ice ?Hello Traders 🐺
Hope you're doing well.
In my last idea about DXY, I mentioned the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates — and although at the time of writing this update they haven’t made a move yet, several key indicators still suggest that Quantitative Easing (QE) is on the horizon.
If that happens, there’s a strong opportunity to profit from both sides:
→ Shorting the U.S. Dollar
→ Going long on deflationary assets like BTC, Gold, and even selected Altcoins 💰🔥
🔍 Technical Outlook:
As shown on the chart, DXY is currently forming a bear flag, which is typically a bearish continuation pattern.
We could see further downward momentum, especially if price breaks below the green support box.
Also, if you zoom out to higher time frames, the bigger picture is still bearish.
Recent upward movement? Just a classic retest of broken support, which now acts as resistance — as highlighted here:
🖼️ View Chart :
So trade wisely, stay sharp — and as always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
"Nifty 50 Eyes Breakout from Key Support Zone"**Support Zone (Red Rectangle)**:
* Strong support between ₹24,290 – ₹24,340.
* Multiple price bounces have occurred here, indicating demand presence.
**Resistance Levels**:
* **Immediate resistance**: ₹24,409.65 (horizontal red line)
* **Next resistance**: ₹24,494.45
**Support Levels**:
* **Immediate support**: ₹24,290
* **Next support**: ₹24,240.65
**RSI (Relative Strength Index) – 14 Period**
* RSI is at **36.25**, near the oversold region.
* Indicates the index may be poised for a short-term bounce.
* Positive RSI divergence is not yet confirmed but should be monitored.
---
**Bullish Scenario**:
* A breakout above the black descending trendline (\~₹24,360) with volume can lead to:
* First target: ₹24,409.65
* Second target: ₹24,494.45
* Supported by wedge breakout and RSI recovery.
**Bearish Scenario**:
* Breakdown below ₹24,290 zone can trigger a fall to:
* First target: ₹24,240.65
* Second target: Lower bound of ascending channel (\~₹24,060)
$DJI & $NDX at MAJOR RESISTANCEDaily
The TVC:DJI has done well since April & we noticed a sentiment change. This is why we turned bullish. Only problem? Lack of volume. We can see that volume stayed under the pink dots. This is an average of 90 days.
We can also see this by the Money Flow. As of now the lowest peak since mid March on this indicator.
---
Weekly
The TVC:DJI RSI hasn't broken the halfway point. This is needed for more bullish momentum.
Money flow is slanting lower. The interesting tid bit is that volume for the week is not bad at all. But compare this to Jan 2024 and 4th quarter of the same year... LOWER.
Posted this yesterday, see profile for more info.
Nifty ready for correction / pullbackNifty has recently made a higher high on daily chart
After making higher high, now it has made a clear bearish market structure which might lead to a correction to make higher low on daily chart
Possible trade entry and stoploss shown in the chart, adjust according to position of market price tomorrow morning
US500 + Macro Radar Update | Mongoose Capital Macro DeskThe S&P 500 remains in a structurally elevated range around 5,612 following a technical bounce from recent lows. However, the broader macro environment continues to apply pressure beneath the surface.
The Macro Conditions Score prints 5/7 (71.4%), signaling a moderately restrictive backdrop. Meanwhile, the market-implied probability of a Fed Funds Rate cut sits at 52.25%, reflecting policy indecision rather than a definitive pivot.
Recession risk is cooling: the Recession Score has declined from 4/5 to 2/5 over recent months, indicating subsiding risk but not a full reset to expansionary conditions.
Yield curve signals remain inverted, though stabilization is emerging in key spreads (3M10Y, 2s10s). Fed policy sentiment remains neutral-to-hawkish, suggesting no immediate move toward accommodative policy.
📝 Institutional View:
This remains a macro-neutral market, not decisively risk-on. While equities have rebounded, the fundamental backdrop points toward a constrained upside without further improvement in liquidity or policy stance.
The rally is technical and positioning-driven, not yet macro-validated. The reduction in recession odds is positive but still within a tight policy leash.
“The market wants to believe. The data needs to confirm.”
Key Takeaways:
Tactical opportunities remain in place, but strategic positioning should remain selective.
Recession probability is declining but not eliminated.
The macro ceiling remains intact absent further loosening in financial conditions.
Published by Mongoose Capital | Macro Research Desk
(Chart: Mongoose Recession Radar Pro v1.6)
Will BEARISHNESS CONTINUE..?As we can see NIFTY couldn’t sustain itself above the neckline and fell below leading to a directional downtrend throughout the day as we analysed in our previous post! Now that NIFTY is maintaining itself below the given zone, it is likely to remain bearish unless it manages to close above the neckline so plan your trades accordingly.
Bullish continuation?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 6,520.93
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 5,434.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 5,791.21
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
$SPX Rejection at Resistance – Watch 5582 for the Next Major Mov📉 After tagging the 5685–5750 resistance zone, SP:SPX is flashing major downside risk.
🔍 Key Zones:
✅ Resistance tapped: 5705–5838
🟨 FVG (Fair Value Gap): 5642–5582
❗ Daily close below 5582 → Bearish WXY structure confirmed
🟥 Hard invalidation for bulls: 4835.04
💡 I’m open to a retest of the 200DMA (currently 5746), but below 5582 I wouldn’t expect a new high.
This setup offers clear structure, risk-defined short entries, and a measured breakdown scenario if support fails.
Scalping ideasThis layout is specifically optimized for high-precision scalping on the SPX500 index. It features a clean, minimalistic design focused on speed, clarity, and efficiency. Key components include multiple timeframes (1-minute, 5-minute, and 15-minute charts) to monitor short-term price action and trend shifts. High-volume zones, VWAP, and dynamic support/resistance levels are plotted to capture key intraday reactions. Integrated order flow tools and real-time momentum indicators allow for quick decision-making during volatile moves. Perfect for active scalpers looking to catch micro-movements and capitalize on rapid price fluctuations with tight risk control.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bearish Break – Next Move is Confirmed 🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19870
We are watching this zone closely.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level
➗ 20050 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19900 – Equal lows
• 19980 – Equal highs
Looking for One More High So far, our minor B wave price action has not thrown us any curveballs, which is somewhat unusual considering B waves can become very complex. As I get into the micro price action, this pattern would fit better completed with at least one more high.
Nonetheless, I will offer a warning, we are in the target box...if you are long, please use stops, and make sure your position size is risk managed.
Best to all,
Chris
NIFTY Wait for a breakout: When the price crosses above the trendline, it could be a bullish signal.
Monitor for a breakdown: If the price breaks below the trendline, it could be a bearish signal.
If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, Hit the 'BOOST' button
Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful?
How can we improve?)
Your support is appreciated!
Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor or a financial adviser. All the views are for educational purpose only
Nasdaq 100 off lows on Bessent remarksUS stocks trimmed their earlier losses after the Trump administration delivered the latest dose of jawboning. This time it was trade secretary Scott Bessent, saying trade negotiations with several partners are going well and that there is a possibility of “substantial reduction” in tariffs on US goods. He added some deals could be announced as early as this week. That was enough to trigged dip-buying, causing major indices like the Nasdaq to bounce off their earlier lows.
The Nasdaq has found a bit of resistance in the last couple of days from the area shaded on the chart between 20,000 to around 20,150 where it had previously encountered support. See area shaded on the chart. A closing break above here is what the bulls would be eying this week, although for that to happen, some trade deals may well have to be announced first.
By Fawad Razaqzada market analysts with FOREX.com