Market indices
DOW JONES formed 1st 1D Golden Cross since 2022!Dow Jones (DJIA) completed on Monday its 1st Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame since December 12 2022! This powerful bullish pattern comes with the price close to its All Time High (ATH).
Being inside almost a 3-year Channel Up, the current rise is the pattern's latest Bullish Leg following the April 07 2025 bottom (Higher Low). Both previous Bullish Legs rose by +39.96% before forming a Higher High.
Based on the Fibonacci retracement levels, last time the previous Bullish Leg was within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci Zone, it formed a Re-accumulation Phase for 3 months. As a result, we shouldn't dismiss the fact of trading sideways for the rest of the Summer and then picking up the pace. Our end-of-year Target remains 50000.
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KSE-100 ANALYSIS | 16 JULY 2025📊 KSE-100 ANALYSIS | 16 JULY 2025
As previously mentioned, KSE-100 completed its spike phase, marking a high of 134,240. The uptrend is now transitioning into a channel phase, with deeper pullbacks expected in the short term.
KEY LEVELS:
Support: 20 EMA (1-hour timeframe)
Immediate Resistance: 136,620
OUTLOOK:
Expected to take support from the 20 EMA and resume the uptrend
A break above 136,620 will confirm another leg upward
Targets: 138,970 (TP3) and 151,600 (Final Target)
Let’s keep an eye on the market!
DXY Bullish Pennant (awaiting breakout)**1-hour timeframe** of the **US Dollar Index (DXY)** with technical analysis applied. Here's the breakdown:
**Technical Analysis Summary:**
**Current Price:**
* Around **98.08**, trading just under the **7 EMA (98.09)**.
**Bullish Structure:**
* A strong **bullish impulse leg** is visible (sharp green candle rally).
* Followed by a **bullish flag/pennant** pattern (marked in red), which is typically a **continuation pattern** in an uptrend.
* The flag is forming after a steep upward move — suggesting **consolidation before potential breakout continuation**.
**EMA Trend Support:**
* **EMA 7, 21, and 50** are aligned bullishly:
* EMA 7 > EMA 21 > EMA 50
* This supports the **short-term uptrend** structure.
**Support Zones:**
* A strong **demand zone** is marked between **97.50–97.70** (highlighted in red), where price previously consolidated before the breakout.
* EMA 50 also sits around **97.72**, reinforcing this as a strong **pullback support level**.
**Possible Scenarios:**
1. **Bullish Continuation:**
* If the price breaks above the flag resistance, it may **rally towards 98.70 → 99.00 → 99.10**.
2. **Bullish Pullback:**
* If price dips to retest the support near **97.80–97.90** or EMA 21, and holds, it may bounce and continue upward.
**Conclusion:**
* **Trend:** Bullish
* **Pattern:** Bullish Pennant (awaiting breakout)
* **Support:** 97.72–97.90
* **Upside Targets:** 98.70 → 99.00+
* **Outlook:** Positive bias continues **as long as price holds above the support zone** and EMAs.
Have Small Caps Hit a Wall?The Russell 2000 has lagged the broader market for years, and now some traders may think it’s stalling again.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the February 14 weekly close of 2,280. The small cap index approached that level last Thursday but couldn’t hold. The resulting “shooting star” candlestick pattern, near a weekly level, may confirm that old resistance remains in place.
Second, RUT made a higher high yesterday and a lower low. That kind of bearish outside day is a potential reversal pattern.
Third, prices returned to a weekly low from July 1. Crossing below it could suggest support is breaking.
Fourth, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition.
Finally, small caps are sensitive to borrowing costs. The 10-year Treasury yield has been making higher highs and higher lows on its weekly chart. Could further upside keep weighing on small caps?
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DAX: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 24,193.45 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 24,258.97 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Russell2000 corrective pullback supported at 2197Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 2270
Resistance Level 2: 2295
Resistance Level 3: 2313
Support Level 1: 2197
Support Level 2: 2180
Support Level 3: 2160
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Trade, Fed, and Policy Developments Impacting NASDAQ 100Tariff Expansion Threat:
Donald Trump signaled upcoming tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, two sectors heavily represented in the NASDAQ 100. These measures could:
Raise consumer costs.
Disrupt tech and healthcare supply chains.
Add margin pressure on multinational firms.
Corporate Impact:
Rio Tinto revealed $300M in losses from US aluminum tariffs on Canadian output.
Canada-US trade talks will intensify, but tariffs appear likely to remain, adding to cost overhang for manufacturers and downstream users.
Fed Leadership Uncertainty:
Kevin Hassett is emerging as the frontrunner to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell in 2026.
Trump is critical of Powell, even citing Fed building renovation costs as a potential fireable offense.
This adds uncertainty to monetary policy continuity, especially as inflation rises and rate path expectations diverge.
401(k) and Private Equity Access:
The administration is finalizing an executive order allowing 401(k) plans to invest in private equity, a move that could:
Increase alternative asset exposure.
Boost private market valuations.
Signal a policy tilt toward financial market liberalization, which may help sustain risk sentiment in the medium term.
Conclusion for NASDAQ 100 (NSDQ100) Trading
The near-term risk for NASDAQ 100 is tilted negative due to the tariff threats on semiconductors and pharma, both major index components.
Fed leadership uncertainty could inject volatility into rate expectations, pressuring tech valuations sensitive to discount rate changes.
However, the longer-term policy shift toward broader 401(k) access to private markets could support overall market sentiment and capital flows.
Bias: Cautiously Bearish in the short term due to trade and Fed risks; neutral to slightly bullish medium term if private capital access reforms proceed and trade escalation is contained.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23080
Resistance Level 2: 23170
Resistance Level 3: 23250
Support Level 1: 22750
Support Level 2: 22670
Support Level 3: 22590
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
CAC40 Bullish breakout retest support at 7690The CAC40 remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 7960 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 7690 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
7850 – initial resistance
7940 – psychological and structural level
8000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 7690 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
7640 – minor support
7590 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the CAC40 holds above 7690. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market Mood Sours as Inflation Surprises AgainU.S. stock markets were under pressure on Tuesday after new inflation data came in higher than expected. This has made investors rethink how soon the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates.
What Happened?
● The Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded its biggest monthly rise in 5 months.
● Core inflation (which excludes food and energy) jumped by 2.9% compared to last year — more than the Fed's 2% target.
What It Means
● Investors had expected the Fed to cut interest rates multiple times in 2025.
● After the inflation report, they now think the Fed will cut less than expected.
● The chances of a rate cut in September also dropped sharply.
Market Impact
● Bond yields went up — the 10-year U.S. government bond yield rose to 4.49%, making borrowing more expensive.
● Stock futures fell (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq), as higher yields tend to hurt company profits and stock prices.
S&P 500 and Dow Struggle at Resistance
● Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones faced resistance near all-time highs.
● This rejection suggests potential for further short-term pullback, especially if macro pressures like inflation and rate uncertainty persist.
Near-Term Outlook
With inflation running hotter than expected, hopes for early Fed rate cuts have cooled. Traders and investors should remain cautious, manage risk actively, and prepare for continued volatility in the coming weeks.
USNAS100 – Bearish Below 22900 as Earnings & Tariffs Hit MarketUSNAS100 – Bearish Bias Ahead of Earnings, PPI & Tariff Tensions
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are slightly lower as traders weigh rate outlook, tariff developments, and major earnings reports.
📊 Earnings in Focus:
Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS , Morgan Stanley NYSE:MS , and Bank of America NYSE:BAC are set to report today.
JPMorgan Chase NYSE:JPM and Citigroup NYSE:C posted strong results yesterday, but expressed caution over U.S. tariff policies.
🌍 Tariff Watch:
Trump announced a 19% tariff on Indonesian goods, with more deals anticipated ahead of the August 1 tariff deadline. The EU is reportedly preparing retaliatory measures if negotiations stall.
🔧 Technical Outlook:
The Nasdaq100 shows bearish momentum as long as it trades below 22900 and 23010, with potential downside targets:
Support: 22720 → 22615 → 22420
Resistance: 23010 → 23170
To shift back to a bullish trend, price must stabilize above 22900 and break 23010.
Key Events Today:
• Corporate Earnings
• Tariff Developments
• U.S. PPI Report
FTSE100 overbought pullback supported at 8880The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 8880 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 8880 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
8900 – initial resistance
9040 – psychological and structural level
9090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 8880 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
8840 – minor support
8820 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 8880. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nifty updateNifty Update (16 July 2025) 📈
Nifty is range bounded after a rebound from the support zone of 25,000–25,050 and closed positively ✅
It crossed above the initial target of 25,200 and approached the resistance zone near 25,350
🔹 Support: 25,000–25,050 (key for dip-buying opportunities)
🔹 Resistance: 25,350 (next immediate hurdle)
BankNifty levels - Jul 17, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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Nifty levels - Jul 17, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!