Market indices
FTSE INTRADAY continuation pattern breakout. The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 8880 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 8880 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
8900 – initial resistance
9040 – psychological and structural level
9090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 8880 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
8840 – minor support
8820 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 8880. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
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NASDAQ - Long Bias explanation and Entry/SL/TP ideasTrend : NASDAQ is in a strong uptrend at the moment
Retail : Majority have a BEARISH sentiment on this pair
Institutions : Increase in week over week holdings
Structures : No structures as we are at highs so targeting recent formed high + round number above makes sense
Price action : Sitting on a support shelf at the moment
Targets : Recent high + level at round number (23000)
Stops : Many options to place stops below
Entries : Positive bounce at current level, decent entry zone but further possible entry levels sit below too
If trading on a shorter timeframe, perhaps the gap fill is a good point to take the trade off the table.
Targeting higher than 23 might be dangerous as we are playing around at ATHs
NIFTY Quick update - We are less than 3% away from the ATH. This is a healthy market pullback. 50 DMA is above 200 DMA and is trending up.
This could be a short term pivot and we can touch (or slightly undercut 50 DMA) and continue moving up. My portfolio is infact rising during this pullback - this implies the strongest stocks are actually still leading, there is no profit booking yet.
Use this time to cut out your underperforming stocks and add to your winners. Strongest Pockets in the markets - Finance, Banks, Capital Markets, Pharma, Infra/Realty.
Some pockets that are setting up - Metals, IT, Auto (dont expect outperformance here, markets have moved up while these are still setting up, so its a good chance they move in line with the markets, not much alpha here)
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Classic Gap Trade
I see a gap down opening on US30 index.
As always, there is a high chance that this gap is going to be filled.
A bullish imbalance candle and a local change of character CHoCH
indicate a highly probable rise to a gap opening level.
Target - 44300
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UK100 – Buy the Dip Near Support as Bottom FormsTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 8,905
Target: 9,015
Stop Loss: 8,867
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 15/07/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
Price action is forming a potential bottom, suggesting that downside momentum is slowing.
The primary trend remains bullish, with no clear indication that the broader uptrend is ending.
The strategy favors buying on dips, supported by bespoke support at 8,905, offering a low-risk entry area.
If price moves above 9,015, it would confirm a rebound and support a move toward higher resistance levels in subsequent sessions.
No major events are expected in the next 24 hours, allowing technical dynamics to guide price action.
Key Technical Levels
Support: 8,915 / 8,620 / 8,390
Resistance: 9,290 / 9,485 / 9,770
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US 500 – A New Record Peak or Reversal in the Week AheadSo far in July, the US 500 has recorded multiple all-time highs on its way to an eventual peak of 6294 on Thursday (July 10th), from which it finally succumbed to some profit taking into the weekend, leading to a small Friday sell off to close at 6255 (-0.4%).
Along the way traders have ignored mixed US economic data, and more importantly they have, for the most part, shrugged off President Trump’s increasingly aggressive approach to tariffs, choosing instead to focus on economic resilience, renewed AI optimism and an improving outlook for the Q2 corporate earnings season that kicks fully into gear in the coming days.
In terms of tariffs, the fact that there is now a new August 1st deadline to concentrate on may be taking away some of the immediate urgency for the announcement of trade deals, although these issues still remain important and on-going, highlighted by President Trump's weekend social media announcement of 30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico, if a better deal cant be reached in the next 3 weeks.
With regard to corporate earnings, the major US banks like JP Morgan (Tuesday before the open) and Bank of America (Wednesday before the open) report this week. Both company’s share prices have seen strong gains since the April lows, so traders will be eagerly awaiting their actual numbers. They will also be keen to hear the thoughts of the bank CEOs on future earnings, bad debt provisions and the potential impact of Trump’s tariffs on the US economy moving forward. Only last week, Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan, warned market complacency towards potential tariff risks.
In terms of scheduled economic data. Tuesday’s US CPI (1330 BST) and Wednesday’s PPI release (1330 BST) stand out. Traders are sensitive to US inflation updates and have been watching over the last several months for signs that tariffs are pushing up prices. So far this hasn’t been the case but these new releases may tell a different story.
All of these issues could impact risk sentiment and the direction of the US 500 index in the next 5 trading days. Certainly, the early open has been impacted by President Trump's weekend tariff announcement, with the US 500 currently down 0.46% at 6227 (0800 BST).
The technical outlook could also be an important factor in determining price moves.
Technical Update: Assessing the Move to A New Record High
Last week appears to have seen a slowing in the speed of the recent price strength, but a new all-time high was still posted at 6294 on Thursday. It could be argued that this activity maintains what is still a more constructive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows that have materialised since the April 7th downside extreme of 4799.
However, there is no guarantee this price activity will continue to see new all-time highs posted, so we need to be aware of potential support and resistance levels that may influence price activity.
Possible Support Levels:
If last week’s possible slowing in upside price momentum develops into a new phase of price weakness, a support level that traders might now be watching could be 6148.
This 6148 level is equal to both the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 23rd to July 10th strength and the current level of the rising Bollinger mid-average. Closes below 6148 might suggest a more extended phase of weakness back to 6058, the lower 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, possibly further if this in turn gives way.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having been capped by the 6294 all-time high last week, sellers may continue to be found at this level, so this might prove to be the first potential resistance if fresh attempts at price strength over the coming week develop.
Closing defence of 6294 may need to be watched if challenged, as successful breaks above this level might suggest an extension of the uptrend pattern currently evident in price activity. Such closing breaks higher may well suggest price strength towards 6418, the 200% Fibonacci extension level of the recent price decline.
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Russell 2000 H4 | Potential bounce off a swing-low support?The Russell 2000 (US2000) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,210.84 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,155.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 2,276.04 which is a swing-high resistance.
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US30 Market Recap – 07/14/2025📍 US30 Market Recap – 07/14/2025
We’ve officially broken down out of the consolidation range between 44,220–44,867 📉
The structure is now shifting bearish, with price printing a series of lower highs and lower lows, and EMAs flipping to the downside. Sellers are in control heading into the week.
📊 Current Structure:
Bearish market shift confirmed below 44,220
EMAs (20 & 50) now angled downward and acting as dynamic resistance
Trendline support from June rally is broken
Last bounce attempt from 44,260 was weak and quickly faded
🔑 Key Levels:
🔽 Support: 43,800 → 43,600 → 43,300
🔼 Resistance: 44,220 → 44,400 zone
🧭 Pivot zone: Watch 44,000 psychological level for reactions
💡 Trade Setup Ideas:
🔻 Short Setup (Trend Continuation):
Entry: Retest + rejection near 44,220 or descending EMAs
TP1: 43,800
TP2: 43,600
SL: Above 44,300
⚠️ Avoid longing unless we reclaim and hold above 44,400 with strong momentum.
US30 BUY IDEA • Extreme Demand Zone Entry:
Price has cleanly tapped into a refined demand zone between ~44,050 to 43,994, a prime area for institutional entries. This aligns with a previous accumulation zone from late June.
• Triple Equal Lows (₤₤₤) Swept:
Clear liquidity grab beneath the equal lows, suggesting SMC-style inducement to fuel bullish orders.
• High R:R Setup in Play:
The long setup offers an expansive upside toward the 44,851 level — representing a premium retracement zone, inefficiency fill, and possible internal BOS confirmation.
US30Net long positions are decreasing, signaling that institutional speculators are reducing exposure.
Commercials are increasing short positions, suggesting smart money expects downside in US equities.
Price rejected strongly from a weekly supply zone, failing to break previous highs.
A bearish break of structure (BOS) has occurred, with price forming a lower high and lower low pattern.
This aligns with broader macro conditions (stronger USD, rising yields).
Bias remains bearish — looking to sell pullbacks into premium zones or supply areas.
NIFTY 24740: Smart Money Signals Bearish Move IncomingThe directional bias is clear – bearish – and I'm currently waiting for a precise setup to present itself. Based on the Smart Money Concept, we could be looking at a potential short opportunity around the 24740 zone.
📍 Once the setup is confirmed, I’ll be sharing the exact entry and stop-loss levels with you.
Stay tuned – patience here is key. Let the market come to us.
SPX : How to play this DPrice has now reached our target as anticipated. The question is, when do we SELL?
Anyway, for those who follow the D, I am sure it has saved you guys a lot of trouble. At least you know where/when to start SELLING. Many others who started selling EARLy had all lost their money.
As we can see, there are 3 D's. Price can still move UP to 6,800. Bear that in mind. Or has already reached the max at 6,291!!!
Price is at where they are, there are 2 choices:
a) SELL now and SL @ 6,300
b) SELL when price touched the lower D @ 6,140 with SL @ 6,291
Whichever way, the R/R is still FANTASTIC.
It is true that MARKET MAKER might still take advantage and try to screw short sellers. But even they would find it hard at the D. For even they need to respect it a bit.
If you know your D, you trade safer.
Good luck.
#NDQ - Weekly Targets 23197.39 or 21886.08 ?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22541.74 Support: 22335.83 Resistance: 22748.58
#NDQ Upside Targets:
Target 1: 22832.49
Target 2: 22916.40
Target 3: 23056.89
Target 4: 23197.39
#NDQ Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22251.45
Target 2: 22167.08
Target 3: 22026.58
Target 4: 21886.08
NAS100 Setup Locked In — Ride the Drop from the Order Block!Hey Guys,
I'm planning a sell trade on the NAS100 index from a designated order block. Once price reaches the sell zone, the position will be activated.
📍 Trade Details:
- 🟢 Entry Level: 22,869
- 🔴 Stop Loss: 22,930
- 🎯 TP1 – First Target: 22,839
- 🎯 TP2 – Second Target: 22,794
- 🎯 TP3 – Final Target: 22,671
📐 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.24
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏