NASDAQ: Huge pivot can catapult it if broken.Nasdaq has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.712, MACD = 377..560, ADX = 20.644) as it has been struggling to cross above a hidden trendline, the Pivot P1 that was at the start of this Bull Cycle a support and after the trade war acts now as a resistance. If broken, we anticipate a +27.84% rise at least (TP = 28,440), which may very well be an end of year target.
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Market indices
US30 LONGSAlthough the hourly may ne considered bearish, we are currently approaching a respected support zone as seen from the 4h and above.
I have highlighted a strong 4h Demand as a potential point of entry, unsure about long target and stop loss zones, so I personally will be sticking to my ratioed take profit as usual - 100:300.
I do hopefully see some strong bullish movement coming in over the next few days.
Strictly technical analysis
lankss
Dollar Index Analysis: Compression, Divergence, Breakout?Greetings to the TradingView community, here's a detailed look at DXY where technical structure and macro context may be hinting at a shift.
Dollar Index (DXY) Approaching Key Breakout | Bullish Divergence and Macro Shifts in Focus
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently approaching a structurally important juncture where technical compression is intersecting with potential macroeconomic shifts. Over the past several months, DXY has remained in a well defined downtrend, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action reveals signs of exhaustion in bearish momentum, opening the door for a potential trend reversal or a meaningful corrective rally.
Technically the index has been trading within a broad descending wedge pattern since late 2024. This structure, often interpreted as a bullish reversal formation, is now nearing its apex. Price has been hugging the upper boundary of the pattern a descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance and appears to be preparing for a possible breakout. Each subsequent test of this trendline has occurred with less momentum on the downside, a common precursor to a breakout when price compresses tightly within narrowing ranges.
More importantly, momentum indicators are beginning to diverge from price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI 14), for instance, is forming a series of higher lows while price continues to record lower lows. This bullish divergence is a classic signal that downside pressure is weakening and that buyers may be gradually absorbing supply. Divergence of this nature, especially in confluence with trendline resistance, often leads to a shift in price behavior.
A key horizontal level to monitor remains 101.75, which has historically acted as a strong resistance zone. This level marked the previous breakout rejection and coincides with the mid-range structure of the wedge. A sustained close above this zone would effectively break the prevailing lower-high formation and could signal a shift in market structure toward a more neutral or even bullish bias.
In terms of projected targets, if a breakout confirms, the logical areas to watch would be the previous swing highs from the downtrend. These include levels in the 102.50 to 104.00 range, where the market has previously paused or reversed. These prior lower highs may now act as resistance on the way up and can be used as checkpoints to gauge the strength of any bullish follow-through.
From a macroeconomic perspective, several factors could support or accelerate such a breakout. Recent U.S. inflation data has shown signs of softening, with both Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) prints coming in below expectations. This has increased market speculation that the Federal Reserve may pivot toward a more accommodative stance later in the year. Although the Fed has not confirmed any immediate easing, market expectations around rate cuts are beginning to influence bond yields and, by extension, the dollar.
However, it’s also worth noting that monetary policy divergence among global central banks remains an important theme. While the Fed may lean toward caution, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are facing their own unique inflationary challenges, which could either reinforce or limit relative dollar weakness. In such an environment, if other central banks appear more dovish than the Fed, it could provide relative strength to the dollar index.
Geopolitical uncertainty and equity market volatility are also important to consider. The dollar has historically acted as a safe-haven asset in times of global distress. If geopolitical tensions escalate or global risk sentiment weakens, capital flows into the dollar may accelerate regardless of interest rate trajectories.
In conclusion, the current DXY setup is a technically rich and macro-sensitive zone where price compression, bullish RSI divergence, and policy shifts are aligning. While confirmation is still needed, particularly via a breakout above the descending trendline and the 101.75 level, the probability of a structural shift is increasing. This setup is not a trading recommendation but rather an important chart to watch for clues about future dollar direction and its cascading impact on global FX pairs, commodities, and broader market sentiment.
Thanks for reading hope you like this publication.
Regards- Amit.
SPX: Elliott Wave indicating corrective phase nearly doneMy Elliott Wave count suggests the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) is nearing the completion of its current corrective phase. Price action has been consolidating around the 5980 area, last closing at 5980 on Wednesday.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, this setup implies an uptrend continuation is likely coming in the upcoming days.
Key levels I'm watching:
Immediate Support: 5840-5900 zone. A hold here would confirm strength.
Stronger Support: 5767-5840. A break below this would challenge the immediate bullish count.
Resistance: 6000 (psychological) and the all-time high of 6147.43. A clear break above these levels will validate the next impulse wave.
Volume and market breadth will be crucial confirmations. Let's see how the market reacts!
What are your thoughts on the current SPX wave count? Share below!
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only, and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may result in the loss of your capital. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Ibex 35 Drops Below 13,800 PointsIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The Ibex 35 falls 1.28% and drops below the 13,800 mark amid Fed uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The Ibex 35 closed Wednesday’s session with a 1.28% drop, ending at 13,744.9 points, on a day marked by monetary uncertainty in the United States and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. With Wall Street closed for a public holiday, the Spanish benchmark index mirrored the widespread losses seen across European markets.
Two key factors shaped the session: on one hand, the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates within the 4.25%–4.5% range, alongside an upward revision in inflation forecasts and a downgrade in growth projections. On the other hand, escalating risks of a potential conflict between the U.S. and Iran, following threats of military intervention tied to the ongoing hostilities between Israel and the Islamic Republic.
The steepest losses of the day came from Indra (−6.06%), ArcelorMittal (−3.83%), and Amadeus (−2.99%). The financial sector also faced notable declines: Santander dropped 2.40%, Sabadell 2.07%, and Unicaja 1.99%. The rise in oil prices — with Brent surpassing $78 after a gain of more than 2% — weighed on stocks like IAG, which lost 2.97%.
In contrast, energy companies acted as a safe haven amid the market volatility. Solaria led the gains, rising 4.24%, followed by Repsol (+2.32%), Endesa (+0.71%), and Acciona Energía (+0.16%).
Losses spread across the continent. The EuroStoxx 50 fell 1.28%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 dropped by more than one percentage point. Italy’s FTSE MIB and the UK’s FTSE 100 also ended in the red, both impacted by the same monetary and geopolitical pressures.
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NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Signal#NASDAQ - UniverseMetta - Signal
D1 - Formation of a narrowing diagonal + price broke through the lower trend line through a 3-wave structure. It is better not to increase risks. Stop behind the maximum of the 1st wave.
Entry: 21509.0
TP: 20986.3 - 20372.2 - 19784.5 - 18396.7
Stop: 22160.6
US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 41,858.0 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 41,737.4 .and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
AUS200 Potential Sell SetupSellers Missing, But Structure Is Alarming ⚠️
Weekly Overview:
Price is currently at a major resistance zone and formed a clear bearish pin bar last week, hinting potential downside pressure. This level has historically acted as a ceiling, so it's worth paying attention.
Daily Chart Insight:
Despite the bearish weekly signal, the daily timeframe hasn't confirmed seller presence yet. No strong bearish price action or momentum shift is visible at the moment.
4H Chart Setup:
Price is trading below the 50EMA, which is often the early sign of a possible trend change. However, we still haven’t seen solid selling pressure—no trendline break or bearish structure yet.
Plan:
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry: Wait for confirmation – look for 4H bearish structure break or trendline break below recent support.
🔹 Targets:
‣ First target: Near-term 4H support zone
‣ Second target: Daily support zone aligned with previous swing low
🔹 Invalidation: A clear break and close above last week's high will invalidate the setup.
📌 Patience is key – weekly shows intent, but daily and 4H need to confirm. No rush until sellers truly step in.
My View on NAS1001. Price has been trending up for a long time.
2. A possible Reversal Pattern spotted
3. Head and Shoulder Pattern
4. Almost all elements of the Pattern have appeared
5. Refer to the Chart for entry details
6. Apply proper risk management based on your account size.
"Direction is Better than Speed"
Aliyu Gital
NASDAQ 2 Expected Scenarios Very Clear , Which One You Prefer ?Here is my opinion on Nasdaq on 4H T.F , The price still below my res so we can sell it if the price touch the res level again , and if we have a daily closure above my res then we can buy it with retest for the broken res , so it`s very easy if we still below the res we can sell and if we going up it we can buy it . but we need a daily closure above first .
Yesterday DOW - Shorts🔻 US30 Reversal: How the Indicator Gave the Short from the Top
Yesterday, the ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION indicator gave stacked SELL signals near the very top of the move on US30 (15m chart) — before the full selloff began.
🧠 Here's how disciplined traders could have executed it step-by-step:
1️⃣ Signal Confirmation
A double “DOWN” label printed at the close of a large bullish candle.
This is where most retail traders are still buying — but the indicator identifies it as potential exhaustion.
2️⃣ Immediate Action Plan
Once the bar closed, a short trade could be entered at market or on a minor pullback.
✅ Stop-loss is always placed just above the signal candle’s high.
This setup offers minimal risk and sets up a great R:R profile.
3️⃣ Trade Progression
The next few candles confirmed rejection.
Even after some sideways chop, price continued lower — eventually giving up 400+ points from the signal area.
4️⃣ Why It Worked
Price was overextended.
RSI confirmed reversal (bearish momentum shift).
Signal printed on the close, giving live execution opportunity — no repainting.
✅ Key Lesson: The strongest trades with this system come when you follow the rules without hesitation. The signal doesn't lag — it prints at the very edge of emotion and momentum.
💡 Bonus Tip: If you trade other US indices like NAS100 or SPX at the same time — when they all print reversal signals simultaneously, the move is usually stronger.
📍 This was a textbook short setup using X-REVERSION.
NASDAQ - Long now!⚡️ NAS100 15-Min Reversal Signal – Caught the Bottom?
The ELFIEDT – X-REVERSION indicator just printed a clean BUY signal on NAS100 after a strong sell-off into new session lows.
📉 Price had already extended far from structure
📈 RSI momentum began shifting and reversed sharply
✅ Volume spike and RSI reversal confluence added weight to the signal
📍 These types of signals are designed to catch mean reversion moves — especially powerful when price accelerates into extremes and the candle closes with absorption.
🎯 Remember: the signal is plotted on the close of the bar, meaning it doesn’t repaint and allows for real-time decision-making with a clear stop-loss just below the low.
💡 Watch for a potential retrace toward structure or session VWAP.
US30 Potential Rebound from Key Support Zone
US30 Potential Rebound from Key Support Zone 🚀📊
📉 Analysis Overview:
The US30 (Dow Jones Index) is currently testing a major support zone near the 41,800–41,900 range, a level that has held firm multiple times in the past (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles). This area has acted as a demand zone, leading to strong bullish reactions previously.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔸 Support Zone: Clearly respected at ~41,800. Price is once again bouncing here.
🔸 Resistance Zone: Around 43,250–43,500. This area has acted as a ceiling, where price struggled to break through.
🟢 Reversal Indicators: Multiple successful defenses of the support zone suggest accumulation and possible bullish reversal.
📈 Target Projection: If support holds, the price may rally toward the target zone near 43,496.4, as shown by the purple arrow.
📌 Conclusion:
As long as the 41,800 support holds, US30 shows bullish potential toward the 43,500 resistance. A break below this zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and shift focus back to the lower support near 41,250.
🛑 Risk Management Tip: Watch for confirmation candles and volume before entering long positions. Always set a stop-loss below the support zone.
DAX | Bearish Below 23810–23690, Targeting 23395 and 23160DAX | Technical Analysis
The price has stabilized below the pivot zone (23810 – 23690), confirming the continuation of bearish momentum.
📉 As long as the price remains below 23810 and 23690, the downtrend is expected to persist, with a potential move toward 23395. A confirmed break below this level could extend the decline toward 23160.
Pivot Zone: 23810 – 23690
Resistance Levels: 24085, 24300
Support Levels: 23395, 23160
Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 19, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 19, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
📉 Bookish Spinning Top Doji – Another Day of Indecision on Expiry
Nifty opened with a mild +16-point gap-up and immediately dipped to test the Previous Day Low (PDL), marking the day low at 24,738.10. A quick reversal took the index 125 points higher, reaching a high of 24,863, only to settle back into theta-eating mode around VWAP.
Just as things looked ready to turn, a 13:50 breakout attempt fizzled as the price faced rejection above the CPR zone, leading to a final dip below the previous low, touching a new intraday low at 24,733.
Though the intraday close was at 24,744.70, the settlement close was 24,793.25 — a 47.65-point difference that’s not trivial, especially on expiry day.
The entire day remained a narrow-range, rollercoaster ride — clearly showing neither bulls nor bears could take charge. The total range was just 130 points, forming a textbook Spinning Top, which reflects market contraction.
📌 Now what?
Keep a close eye on the range:
🟢Bullish Breakout ➤ above 24,862 (CDH)
🔴Bearish Breakdown ➤ below 24,733 (CDL)
The squeeze is on. Expansion is near.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,803.25
High: 24,863.10
Low: 24,733.40
Close: 24,793.25
Change: −18.80 (−0.08%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 10.00 pts → 🔻 Small Red Candle
Upper Wick: 59.85 pts
Lower Wick: 59.85 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Equal wicks show balanced buying and selling.
Small real body signals strong indecision.
Intraday volatility was neutral despite expiry impact.
🕯 Candle Type
⚖️ Perfect Spinning Top / Doji-like Candle – Indicates market contraction, waiting for directional resolution.
📌 Key Insight
The market continues its tight range-bound structure.
Any breakout beyond 24,865 or breakdown below 24,730 could trigger directional moves.
Till then: “Wait and watch mode.”
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 240.08
IB Range: 125.00 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trades:🚫 No Trade Triggered by System
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
24,590
💭 Final Thoughts
The market is compressing like a coiled spring.Spinning tops near resistance often signal upcoming volatility.Let the breakout come to you — don’t pre-empt, participate.
🧠 “When the market sleeps in narrow ranges, it dreams of big moves.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby.
My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors.
Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500.
Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high.
Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.