Market indices
DXY REBOUNDS AFTER FORMING A DIVERGENCE!DXY rebounds after forming a divergence! Technically, we approach a pullback resistance level. What do we expect next from DXY? Is this gonna be a new era of dollar strength? From the technical standpoint, if we get a break above 99.202 we’re likely to see more bullish strength development away from this market.
S&P500 Accumulation almost over. New rally begins.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a 3-month Channel Up pattern, within which, it's been replicating almost the same structure. This involves an aggressive Bullish Leg Phase (dotted Channel Up), followed by a correction/ Accumulation Phase (blue Channels), which eventually leads to the new Bullish Leg.
The 1D RSI fractals among those patterns are similar and right now it seems that we are about to complete the latest Accumulation Phase. Having completed a 1D Golden Cross 2 weeks ago, the time-frame looks more bullish than ever and as long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we expect at least a +5.68% rise (the minimum of the previous Bullish Legs), targeting 6550.
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KSE-100 ANALYSIS | 15th July 2025📊 KSE-100 ANALYSIS | 15th July 2025
As previously mentioned, KSE-100 completed its spike phase and took support at 132,300. The index has now transitioned into a channel phase, and today's intraday pullback was expected.
🔹 Key Levels:
Support: 20 EMA at 137,135.80 (acted as support)
Targets:
- Short-term TP: 138,970
- Mid-term TP: 151,600
📈 Outlook:
The pullback is viewed as a buying opportunity. The index remains in long territory and is expected to rebound and resume its upward journey.
Dollar Index Bullish OverviewThe Dollar moving Bullish as we expect it to within the Gold Fund! As soon as we saw a '5 Bearish Wave Completion' on the DXY, straight away buyers entered the market & start pushing price back up.
My Gold Fund investors & Gold Vault Academy students know from our 'Q3 Market Breakdown Report' what we're expecting for the Dollar in the next 3 months.
Safe Entry DJIObvious Movement I Guess.
P.High(Previous High) Act As good Support for price to Respect.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
bullish on IBEX35Trading Idea Setup:
IBEX35 has given me enough confirmation indicators to forecast a bullish run from this price point. ↗️🟢
✅Favorable TP level(s):
⦁ 14269.64
⦁ 14357.51
🛑Stop Loss:
⦁ 13834.00
Indications used:
Trend confirmation indicator
Elliot wave assistance
Momentum indicators
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Trading Involves Risk: Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade in securities, commodities, and other investments carry inherent risk, including the possibility of substantial losses. Please ensure every trade placed is supported by your own thorough analysis and/or fundamental research.
Ps: All the trades that I place, I do hold indefinitely unless noted otherwise but TP points will always be provided. Happy Trading 🖤
KARACHI ALL SHARE PROBABLY IN WAVE 3One of my followers requested me to share my view on the PSX overall market trend.
I have prepared Karachi All Share chart for this purpose, although wave structure is a nice tool to forecast targets and trends but using it to forecast timing can be prone to errors.
As a wise investor always remember " nobody knows what the market will do next ", we are all using our experience to guess the next best probable move. Therefore always do your own research before making any decisions.
If our wave count is correct then currently market is in an extended 3rd wave which is still unfolding but it will end soon. On a lesser degree we are in the 5th wave which should give us one more leg down before reaching the target level of 100000.
The psychological barrier or resistance might come at 100000 level, as this also aligns with 5.618% of the wave 1.
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
DowJones bullish continuation breakout supported at 43990Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45440
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 43990
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43420
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P500 Bullish breakout supported at 6207Trump’s $3.4 Trillion Tax Plan
Favors wealthy investors: Tax burden shifts based on how you earn, not how much.
Winners: Business owners, investors, high-income earners.
Losers: Immigrants, elite universities.
Trade Tensions
EU Tariffs: Brussels targets $72B in US goods (e.g., Boeing, cars, bourbon) in response to Trump’s tariff threats.
Impact: Risk to transatlantic trade; US open to talks.
US-China Tech Relations
Nvidia: Resumes H20 AI chip sales to China after US approval—boosted chip stocks.
Trump: To announce $70B in AI & energy investments today in Pennsylvania.
Trend: Signs of easing tensions between US and China.
Earnings Focus: Big US Banks
Q2 results (JPM, Citi, WFC, BNY Mellon, BlackRock) will highlight:
Net interest income: How rate levels affect profits
Loan growth & credit quality: Signs of lending strength or weakness
Capital markets activity: Trading & investment banking trends
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6335
Resistance Level 2: 6380
Resistance Level 3: 6420
Support Level 1: 6207
Support Level 2: 6160
Support Level 3: 6115
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nifty bounced from support and looking in some momentumNifty Update (15 July 2025) 📈
Nifty bounced back from yesterday’s support zone 25,000 and closed in green ✅
Crossed above the first target and finished near the resistance zone of 25,200
🔹 Support: 25,000–25,050 (watch this zone for dip-buying opportunities)
🔹 Resistance: 25,200 (current hurdle)
🚀 If Nifty sustains above 25,200:
Next upside targets 👉 25,350
Further upside: 25,500
ℹ️ On the downside: 25,000–25,050 remains the key support. Breaking below could lead to more weakness.
Stay alert, keep stop-losses in place, and watch for a breakout above 25,200 to catch momentum!
👉 Follow Navonnati Market Insights (@navonnatimarket) on X for more updates and analysis!
A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the (DXY)A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the US Dollar Index (DXY)
We don’t even need to say that the US Dollar Index (DXY) is one of the most influential benchmarks in global currency markets. The index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, experiences heightened volatility and presents potential opportunities.
Understanding the DXY: A Macro Lens on the Dollar
The DXY tracks the relative strength of the US dollar versus a weighted currency basket including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Although the euro comprises nearly 58% of the index, the DXY reflects broad USD strength or weakness across global markets, not just against a single currency.
Traders and analysts use the DXY as a key macro indicator—to track policy divergence between central banks, to hedge USD exposure, and to assess broader market sentiment. Rising DXY levels often signal tightening US policy or global risk aversion, while declines may reflect weakening growth expectations, dovish Fed policy, or geopolitical stress. In volatile environments like 2025, the DXY serves as a real-time barometer of global confidence in the US economy and dollar-based assets.
Recent Price Swings: Tariffs & Policy Uncertainty Shake the Dollar
Since April, the US Dollar Index has faced one of its most volatile stretches in years, driven by a convergence of Federal Reserve policy uncertainty and new trade tariffs announced by President Trump.
April: “Liberation Day” Tariffs Trigger Market Shock
On 2 April, the announcement of sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs—10% on nearly all imports, with higher duties on selected countries—jolted currency markets. The DXY fell over 2% in a single day. In the following weeks, the index continued to decline as business confidence deteriorated and early signs of recession risk emerged.
May–June: Policy Headwinds Compound Dollar Weakness
As the tariff package took effect, the dollar extended its slide—marking a ~10% drop from its late‑2024 peak, the worst first-half performance in over 50 years. Investors reassessed US growth prospects amid the pressures of trade friction. The Fed responded with a hawkish pause, while President Trump publicly urged for rate cuts, further muddying the policy outlook and pressuring the dollar.
July: Uncertainty Builds
By early July, the DXY had fallen below 97, tallying an approximate 11% year-to-date decline. Analysts cite a “perfect storm” of expanding fiscal deficits, erratic trade decisions, and growing doubts over US policy credibility as key reasons for the dollar’s fall from favour.
Why DXY Matters Now More Than Ever
The DXY has become a real-time gauge of market confidence in US policy stability. The dollar’s sharp decline in 2025 underscores how fragile that confidence can be in the face of aggressive trade measures and uncertain monetary direction.
The introduction of Trump’s tariffs has raised structural concerns among investors:
- Growth expectations have been cut due to higher input costs and supply chain friction.
- The so-called safe-haven appeal of the USD has eroded, with flows shifting to the euro, Swiss franc, and gold.
- Foreign demand for dollar assets has softened, as fears of a prolonged trade conflict and fiscal indiscipline mount.
In this climate, the DXY has evolved into a barometer for geopolitical tension, inflation fears, and investor sentiment towards US leadership.
Bottom Line
The DXY is not just a tool for dollar specialists—it's a key reference for any trader dealing with macro-sensitive instruments. As the global rate environment continues to shift and the US economy shows mixed signals, the DXY may become one of the most revealing indicators to watch and trade in the second half of 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.