US30/DJ30 Long/buy 1:6Reason for buy:
VERY SIMILAR STRUCTURE TO GOLD!!!!!
1. Break of structure
2. Regular flat in play with a complete corrective structure (a,b,c)
3. NO MACD divergence shows strong moment upwards
4. Impulsive move (1AW) indicates a strong move upwards will continue
5. Liquidity at the top (TP area)
Entry: CMP (Current market price)
Stop loss :42086
Take Profit: At own discretion...OPEN!
Strategy/ies: Engulfing candle on 15/1HR TF
Losses are part of the game...don't be too hard on yourself!
Market indices
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/06/2025Today, a flat opening is expected in Nifty around the 24,800 level. The index continues to trade within a narrow range, indicating market indecision and potential consolidation.
🔼 On the upside, if Nifty sustains above the 24,750–24,800 zone, it may trigger a bullish move toward 24,850 → 24,900 → 24,950+. Sustained strength above 24,950 can further open room for a breakout.
🔽 On the downside, if the index slips below 24,700, a short opportunity may arise toward 24,650 → 24,600 → 24,550-. Breach of 24,550 could lead to deeper correction.
⚠️ Key Notes:
The market is likely to remain range-bound and volatile.
Reversals from resistance and support levels are possible.
Trade with a strict stop loss and manage positions actively.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(19/06/2025)Today, a flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 55,800 zone. The index has been moving within a defined range for the past few sessions, and there are no major changes in yesterday’s key levels.
🔼 If Bank Nifty sustains above 55,550–55,600, it may show bullish momentum toward 55,750 → 55,850 → 55,950+. A breakout above 56,050 could lead to further upside toward 56,250 → 56,350 → 56,450+.
🔽 However, if the index fails to hold above 55,900–55,950 and starts reversing, a short opportunity may arise toward 55,750 → 55,650 → 55,550-. Sustained selling below 55,450 can drag the index down to 55,250 → 55,150 → 55,050-.
⚠️ Note:
The market is still in a consolidation phase, so false breakouts are possible. Stick to levels, wait for confirmation, and use strict stop-losses with trailing targets to manage risk effectively.
19 june Nifty50 brekout and Breakdown leval
✅ Safe Buy Zone (Support Levels):
24,437.70 → Above 10M: Hold CE by Safe Zone Level
24,420.00 → Below 10M: Hold Unwinding Level
→ Breach below could trigger unwinding / profit booking.
🔴 Resistance & Bearish PE Zones:
25,070.00 – Above 10m closing: Short Cover Level
→ Strong resistance; if crossed and sustained, short covering possible.
24,970.00 – Above 10m: Hold CE by Entry Level
→ Bullish entry confirmation level.
24,838.00 – Above 10M: Hold Positive Trade View
→ Indicates shift to bullish bias if held above.
⚫ Opening Based Levels:
24,730.00
→ Above Opening S1: Hold CE by Level
Below Opening R1 (level not clearly marked with value but appears near 24,730)
→ Hold PE by Level
US100 2H in a Symmetrical Triangle—Eyes on BREAKOUT!1. A Symmetrical Triangle in Play
Rising support line (green) connecting the sequence of higher lows.
Falling resistance line (red) connecting the lower highs.
Price is squeezing into the apex of that triangle – classic consolidation/indecision.
What to watch:
A clean break above the red trendline (~21,820–21,850) would be a bullish signal.
A break below the green trendline (~21,650–21,670) would open the door for a move down toward 21,500 or even the 21,400 zone.
2. Value & “Premium” Zones
The green shaded area around 21,500–21,600 is marked “Equilibrium/Value,” where buyers have stepped in repeatedly.
Above ~21,950 there’s a “Premium” supply zone (red) where heavy selling has shown up.
These zones can act as sensible targets or rejection areas once price breaks out of the triangle.
3. Key Reference Levels
PDH / PDL (Previous Day High / Low): ~21,860 / ~21,620
PWH / PWL (Previous Week High / Low): ~21,960 / ~21,430
Traders often use these to confirm break-outs (e.g. holding above PDH now that it’s pierced).
4. Momentum Indicators
MACD: Lines hovering just under zero, histogram weakening → suggests the bulls aren’t quite firing on all cylinders yet.
RSI: Sitting around mid-40s, neutral but with a slight downside bias.
Neither is over-extended; momentum is “sleepy,” which aligns with the triangle/consolidation picture.
5. What This Means for Traders
Neutral bias until one side wins the breakout.
Bull scenario: Triangle → breakout → retest of ~21,820 → rocket toward 22,000–22,200 supply zone.
Bear scenario: Failure at the red trendline → drop through support → test 21,600 then 21,400 demand areas.
Nikkei 225 H1 | Pullback support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 38,455.01 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 38,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 38,974.99 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DXY – U.S. Dollar Faces Downside RiskAfter a period of strength driven by its safe-haven appeal, the DXY is showing signs of weakness as doubts emerge over the true resilience of the U.S. economy. Recent data — including retail sales, industrial production, and consumer sentiment — have all fallen short of expectations, raising the likelihood that the Fed may pivot to a more dovish stance sooner than anticipated.
As a market analyst closely monitoring capital flows, I believe the dollar is gradually losing its edge. With risk appetite improving and capital rotating into the euro and other risk assets, the DXY is likely to remain under pressure in the near term.
Current outlook: Bearish bias, especially if the Fed softens its tone and weak U.S. data persists.
The market is waiting for confirmation — but the pressure is already building.
NASDAQStable bullish bias—large speculators are neither aggressively piling in nor stepping back.
Lack of a sharp position shift suggests the market is in consolidation or mild uptrend rather than a strong breakout.
Watch for fresh breakout above recent highs or shakeouts below support to confirm a shift in direction.
Bias: Slight bullish.
S&P500Net shorts increased by 58,668 contracts, which is a massive bearish shift from institutions and hedge funds.
This signals that large speculators are aggressively betting against the S&P 500.
It’s one of the largest bearish positions in recent months — often tied to expectations of a market pullback, economic concern, or interest rate risk.
Bearish bias intensifies — short positions rising fast.
Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter.
Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
DXY OUTLOOK - SWING SETUPThe dollar has been on a six-month decline, but I anticipate a recovery. This is primarily due to the current economic climate, geopolitical landscape, and the dollar's traditional role as a safe-haven currency during periods of significant uncertainty
"May fortune attend thee, and thy trade prosper." .......L2Earned
HK50 bearish momentumWe see this index coming down much lower due to Investors being underwhelmed by Beijing's latest economic support measures, with some stimulus lacking detail—similar to a previous sharp drop (~–9%) after disappointing announcements .
Mixed Chinese PMI and retail data also dampen sentiment.
U.S.–China tariff fears:
Ongoing trade tensions and tariff worries continue to pressure Chinese-connected stocks, impacting the Hang Seng disproportionately .
Foreign fund outflows & shifting global appetite:
Capital has been flowing out toward safer or higher-growth markets, especially as U.S. and European equities show more stability. A weaker yuan adds to pressure .
SPX500 Detailed Trading Game Plan🎯 Current Market Context:
Current Price: 6,000 (Approx.)
Trend: Bullish; forming higher highs and higher lows.
Key Technical Observations:
Strong support and trendline respecting bullish structure.
Fibonacci confluence points towards potential upside momentum continuation.
Volume Profile indicating key levels at 5,950–6,000.
🚦 Trading Scenarios & Probabilistic Setups:
🟢 Scenario A (High Probability Long Trade ~65%):
Entry Zone: Current Levels (6,000–5,950) or retest to 5,863 support.
Stop Loss: Below 5,709 (critical structural support).
Targets:
Primary: 6,262 (100% Fibonacci Extension)
Secondary: 6,460 (Key Horizontal Resistance)
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable (~1:3)
🟡 Scenario B (Medium Probability Short Trade ~45%):
Entry Zone: 6,460–6,500 (strong resistance confluence)
Stop Loss: Above 6,600 (clear invalidation)
Targets:
Primary: 6,100 (structural retest)
Secondary: 5,950–5,863 (previous support zone)
Risk-to-Reward: Good (~1:2)
🔴 Scenario C (Low Probability but High Reward Long Trade ~35%):
Entry Zone: Deep retracement at ~5,408–5,106
(Invalidated if price breaks below 5,107.)
Stop Loss: Below 5,107 (firm invalidation)
Targets:
Primary: 5,950 (key resistance)
Extended: 6,460–7,176 (long-term bullish target)
Risk-to-Reward: Excellent (~1:5+), but lower likelihood of triggering.
📊 Probability & Risk Management Summary:
Scenario Probability Risk Reward Potential
A (Long) 65% ✅ Moderate High
B (Short) 45% ⚠️ Moderate Moderate
C (Long Deep) 35% ❗ Lower Very High
⚙️ Recommended Approach:
Primary Strategy: Bullish Continuation (Scenario A) due to current market structure and volume profile confirmation.
Secondary Consideration: Watch closely for Short Setup (Scenario B) only upon clear resistance signals.
Contingency Setup: Deep retracement (Scenario C) provides excellent value entry if fundamentals trigger a major correction.
🛠 Trade Management Tips:
Position Size according to scenario probabilities. Allocate larger sizing to Scenario A, cautious sizing for Scenario B, and small, speculative sizing for Scenario C.
Trailing Stops: As price approaches targets, adjust stops to lock profits progressively.
🗓 Timeline & Key Levels for Reference:
Immediate actionable trades: Scenario A (Long) setup at current levels.
Monitor closely by Mid-August 2025 for Scenario B potential short setup.
Watch closely for deep retracement scenario by November 2025 if substantial correction occurs.
🚨 Important Note: Always adjust your trades dynamically based on evolving macroeconomic and geopolitical news. These probabilities are guidelines—not certainties.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. The information provided is purely for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice, a recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always perform your own analysis, consider your financial situation and risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before executing trades. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You alone bear the full responsibility for any investment decision you make.
Stay disciplined, trade wisely, and good luck! 🍀📊
Great Depression 2.0 Starting in 2030?Looking at the Dow Jones, we can see clear cycles forming on this index. I believe we could see one more major run on the Dow between now and 2030, followed by a repeat of the Great Depression. I could easily be wrong, but the charts suggest this is a very real possibility.
So, between now and our potential top in 2030, we have an opportunity to make a significant amount of money in markets like crypto.
As always, stay profitable.
– Dalin Anderson
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.48
1st Support: 98.09
1st Resistance: 99.25
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 18, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 18, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
⚖️ Dhamakedar Start, But Indecisive Close – Weekly Expiry Caution Ahead
Nifty opened with a 65-point gap-down at 24,788.35, but what followed was a power-packed bullish start — within just 25 minutes, it surged over 150 points, hitting a day high of 24,947.55.
However, the euphoria didn’t last.
As the session progressed, the index gradually gave up all its gains, slipped below the previous day’s low, and finally found support at 24,750, a critical level. By the end of the day, Nifty settled around the opening zone at 24,812.05, just +23 points above open, while net change remained −41.35 points from the previous close.
The day showcased both strength and weakness — a typical "everyone-expected-fall-but-it-didn't-fall-enough" kind of day. The long upper wick reflects failed attempts by bulls, while the lack of breakdown keeps the bears in check.
Tomorrow is weekly expiry — caution is advised.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,788.35
High: 24,947.55
Low: 24,750.45
Close: 24,812.05
Change: −41.35 (−0.17%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 23.70 pts → ✅ Green Candle (tiny body)
Upper Wick: 135.50 pts
Lower Wick: 37.90 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Strong bullish momentum early on, but buyers failed to hold above 24,900.
Long upper wick signals supply or profit-booking at higher levels.
Price closed near open despite wide range → indecision between bulls and bears.
🕯 Candle Type
🟨 Spinning Top – A textbook indecisive candle, often seen at turning points or during pauses in trend.
📌 Key Insight
Buyers couldn’t reclaim or close above 24,950 — resistance strengthened.
Support held at 24,750 — but barely.
Watch 24,950 on upside and 24,750 on downside — a breakout from either may decide expiry-day trend.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 252.34
IB Range: 170.65 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trades:🚫 Short Trigger at 12:45 : Trapped - SL Hit
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
24,590
💭 Final Thoughts
When price travels 200 points but closes flat, it tells you something: Smart money is waiting.Weekly expiry ahead could bring unexpected moves.✅ Stay nimble. Stay alert.
🧠 “When in doubt, let the market shout — not whisper. Listen for the breakout.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.