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Decoding the VIX Crab Head and Shoulders.The formation of the butterfly pattern mentioned in the previous idea is quite intriguing! As we discussed before, the VIX index level of 28-29 is as a crucial threshold for our Crab strategy. Currently, we are witnessing the development of a head and shoulders pattern within this butterfly formation, which adds an exciting layer to our analysis. It's fascinating to see how these technical indicators can guide our trading decisions, and I hope you're as enthusiastic about this potential opportunity as I am! Let's keep an eye on these patterns and see how they unfold in the coming days.
CAPITALCOM:VIX
by SEYED98
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890 We are watching this zone closely. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level ➗ 20050 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest • 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19900 – Equal lows • 19980 – Equal highs
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
"JP225 / NIKKEI" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "JP225 / NIKKEI" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (37300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (35600) Day trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 39300 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💴💸"JP225 / NIKKEI" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.👆👆👆 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis,Positioning and future trend targets with Overall Score...... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
ICMARKETS:JP225Long
by Thief_Trader
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Hints at Potential ReversalGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, although the current market structure reflects bearish institutional order flow, there are growing signs that a potential reversal may be forming. Key Observations: 1. Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence: We are currently observing SMT divergence—a strategy where the underlying asset (NAS100) is compared against its benchmark (US500). These indices typically maintain a 90–100% correlation. However, when this correlation breaks down, it often signals that a reversal may be imminent. In this case, while NAS100 continues to show bearish momentum, the divergence from US500 suggests the possibility of bullish interest building. 2. Institutional Support at the Rejection Block: Further confluence for a potential reversal lies in the presence of a rejection block acting as a strong institutional support level. This is a zone where smart money previously defended price, and if confirmed, it could provide an optimal entry for long positions. Trading Plan: We will monitor the rejection block for confirmation of bullish intent before entering any trades. If confirmed, the idea is to target the buy-side liquidity residing in premium pricing zones. Invalidation Level : This reversal idea will be invalidated if NAS500 breaks below its most recent swing low. Stay alert for confirmation, and always ensure the idea fits within your broader trading framework. Kind regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Dow Jons artistic outlook - a proposition for you to take or disWhen I'm looking at my chart, i like to know what this story is about. This is what the whole world is looking at, some say between 1-5 years from, now we are all going to see what it is about. Most of us want to prosper but there is a certain minority group who doesn't want that. Why? IDK tell me that. -------------------------------------------------- The chart do not represent a prediction of any kind its more an invitation how to start thinking -about build. --------------------------------------------------- Time is short although my chart is on 12 month time line ================================================= they say 1-5 years but very unlikely now. I don't know if you can see that there is a time in next 3 years when the trend goes up. Its my 10 years of experience i and some hard challenging times. i tracked dow nearly 24/7 for 3 years now so i know what it is about. to explain it to you in full could take some time and here is not a place to do just that. You can see some general shapes and possible traversals, it happens i track them quite correctly due to my different mind. "I have good intuition when I'm true to myself this is my point of view I hope to share with you." SimonTheBeekeeper PS: when things starts to move fast i have my map to find out where and how. -------------- thanks for watching I
DJ:DJI
by SimonTheBeeKeeper
My NQ Long Idea 5/5/2025Been a while but I haven't been posting ideas because I have been scalping and doing smaller time frame trades. I think we have NQ at a nice price level where we might see a bull run soon with the market sentiment slowly "thawing" on the idea of "risk-off" sentiment to "risk-on" sentiment and environment with more uncertainties clearing out of the market scenes. We have US trying to negotiate deals with many countries including China which is very challenging and we can never know if it will be achieved or not. However, from an economic point of view we can agree that the US economy is in the Neutral-bullish. We have a very bullish price action in the past week or so. We also have healthy economic numbers but it is still unclear until Wednesday. On Wednesday the FED will speak on this matter and give us some clarity on whether it is a Risk-on or Risk-off environment. Anything will happen but I can see the "Gap" getting filled on FED day due to the SPIKE that will be delivered to us. Currently Edgefinder tool is giving us 8 for NQ with only the GDP and sPMI scores in the negative. However the net score is bullish and on the positive. I think 1 of those two ideas will be played out sooner or later anything can happen but from a technical view I would like to see the price reaching the 50% FIB and then take off from there. It is subjective though and everything in trading is subjective including what I do and say.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by stingotho
S&P 500 Tests Key Zone Ahead of FOMCThe S&P 500 has reached the 5,700–5,800 zone after a nearly 18% rally in just half a month. This zone could determine whether the rally marks the end of the bearish trend or if more pain lies ahead for the stock market. The 200-day simple moving average, several previous horizontal support levels, and the most recent top all converge in this area. The upward move has been driven by correction dynamics, optimism around potential trade deals, signs of de-escalation with China, and rising expectations for Fed rate cuts in 2025. This week, the FOMC may either temper those optimistic rate cut expectations or hint at a more dovish tone. In either case, some profit-taking may occur ahead of the meeting, and the 5,700–5,800 zone is a strong candidate for that to happen.
SP:SPXShort
by ftdsystem
US Stocks Pare Back All Tariff-Fueled Losses. Are We So Back?Remember “Liberation Day”? The one that felt more like Liquidation Day ? When markets tanked, tickers turned red, and you were afraid to check the markets on the next day? Well, turns out the rumors of the market’s demise were — once again — greatly exaggerated. If the average recession 10 years ago lasted two years, this year’s recession was approximately 37 minutes (more or less, depending on the day). Just a month ago, the S&P 500 SP:SPX started crumbling to the point it entered into correction territory (and then got out of correction territory ). Long story short, it took the punches, went down 15%, stood back up, and is now throwing jabs with a nine-day winning streak — its longest since 2004, when iPods were still a thing and Facebook was just for Harvard students. So… are we back? Like, really back? Let’s dig in. 💰 Trillions Lost, Trillions Found On April 2, President Donald Trump dropped the hammer — or rather, the online post — unveiling his “reciprocal tariffs,” which, in true Trumpian fashion, sounded equal parts policy and promo PR. Markets didn’t take it well. Global stocks collectively threw a tantrum. The S&P 500 dropped like it had a brick in its pocket . Financials cratered, energy took a gut punch, and tech? See for yourself — we don't want to talk about it . But now? The dip buyers are shopping up, scooping up, snapping up everything from banks to oil stocks to beleaguered megacaps. Suddenly, all those stock discounts look like missed opportunities, and the cash-on-the-sidelines traders are jumping in. 👌 Jobs Data: Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold Friday was a good day. Why? Because April’s nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report came in at 177,000 jobs — not too strong to trigger Fed-tightening fears, not too weak to imply economic decay. It was the goldilocks print. The number was a drop from March’s revised 185,000, but what mattered was the beat: economists had pencilled in just 135,000. Markets took that as permission to throw a party. The S&P 500 jumped 1.5%, reclaiming the level it had before Trump’s tariff tirade and putting an emphatic end to the selloff. Nine green days in a row? That’s a bull flex Wall Street hasn’t seen in two decades. 💥 Truth Social Posts That Move Markets Not to be left out of the celebration, Trump hopped onto Truth Social with his usual caps lock enthusiasm: “THE FED SHOULD LOWER ITS RATE!!!” Sounds familiar? Still, even without a rate cut (for now), the market got what it wanted: signs that the US labor market isn’t collapsing, trade talks might be back on the table, and the economy hasn’t lost its way. 😌 A Global Sigh of Relief While the US led the rally, global markets also joined the rebound chorus. China’s commerce ministry chimed in Friday, saying Washington had expressed a “desire to engage in discussions.” In market-speak, that translates to: "Everyone calm down — we might not blow this up after all." It doesn’t take much to change sentiment. A tweet here, a headline there, a hint of diplomatic progress — suddenly risk appetite returns and everyone forgets they were panic-selling just three weeks ago. But don’t go lining up the espresso martinis just yet — not everything is fully recovered. The US dollar, for example, remains nearly 4% below its pre-tariff-announcement level. 🤔 We Are So… Back? So are we officially back? Short answer — “put the word out there that we back up” for now . Markets are up, volatility is down, and everyone’s pretending they didn’t sell the dip at the worst possible time. But — and you knew there’d be a “but” — caution still applies. Trade tensions aren’t over. The next Trump post could shake things again. The Fed hasn’t made its next move (that’s coming this Wednesday). And geopolitics remains a powder keg. Still, what this rebound tells us is clear: the market has resilience. Maybe not logic. Maybe not grace. But resilience? Yes. It also reminds us that trying to time news-driven selloffs is a dangerous game. Often, the best trades happen when fear peaks and everyone else is running for the hills. 👉 Final Thoughts: Watch the Calendar, Not the Chaos The key takeaway from this tariff-to-rally rollercoaster? Markets can move fast — but they can also recover faster. If you panicked, you probably sold low. If you stayed focused, checked the earnings calendar , and remembered that market narratives shift like wind direction, you're probably doing well right now. We’re so back — for now. But stay sharp. This market may have nine lives, but it also has the attention span of a toddler. Your move : Did you ride the dip? Buy the bounce? Or just mute the chaos and sip your coffee? Drop your best “Liberation Day to Redemption Rally” trade below.
SP:SPX
by TradingView
19
"Nifty 50 at a Crossroads: Rising Wedge Signals Breakout or Brea* A **rising wedge** pattern is clearly forming, marked by two upward sloping blue trendlines. * Inside this wedge: * Multiple **price swings** (higher highs and higher lows) are visible. * Recent breakout attempts are marked with zig-zag arrows showing potential breakout direction 📈 **Bullish Signals:** 1. **Strong Uptrend:** * A sustained rally from \~23,000 up to the current levels (\~24,500) indicates strong bullish momentum. 2. **Breakout Potential:** * Price is attempting to break out above the rising wedge pattern. * Immediate **bullish target zone** is around **24,596 to 24,754**, marked with a green "Target" label. 3. **Volume Surge:** * Recent bullish candles are supported by increased volume, suggesting real interest in the breakout. 📉 **Bearish Risks:** 1. **Rising Wedge Risk:** * Rising wedge patterns often lead to **bearish breakdowns**. * If the support of the wedge is broken, the **first downside target** is marked at **24,369**, and **next support** at **24,291**. 2. **Volume Divergence:** * Although there's some volume on bullish moves, the consistency is lacking compared to the strong rally before April 23. **Key Price Levels:** | 24,754.90 | Resistance | Upper range of rising wedge (target) | | 24,596.40 | Resistance | First bullish target zone | | 24,520.00 | Minor Resistance | Recent swing high | | 24,369.45 | Support | First bearish target if wedge breaks | | 24,291.25 | Key Support | Critical support, below wedge trendline | | 23,786.80 | Strong Support | Previous consolidation breakout zone | **Conclusion:** * The Nifty is in a **tight rising wedge**, typically a **bearish** reversal pattern. However, if bulls can push past **24,520–24,596**, it may invalidate the pattern and open further upside. * Until a confirmed breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should remain cautious and wait for **volume-backed confirmation**.
NSE:NIFTY
by Price_actiontaker14
BankNifty levels - May 06, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We trust that this information proves valuable to you. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by sacxe
Nifty levels - May 06, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
NASDAQ's Inverse H&S that targets $25000Nasdaq (NDX) is forming the Right Shoulder of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The price action is 'stuck' within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested on Friday for the first time since March, and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the 1D MA200 was the level that initiated the March 26 rejection, it is possible to see a short-term pull-back now, all in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and after the market digests the new Fed Rate Decision, starts the next Leg Up. Note that the 1D RSI is already on its February highs. As a result, our long-term Target is at 25000, just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, which is a standard technical target for IH&S patterns. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradingShot
3
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio. Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January. Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week: Monday, May 5, 2025 The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors: • Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors. • After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report. Tuesday, May 6, 2025 Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings: • Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space. • After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector. Wednesday, May 7, 2025 A packed day for earnings reports: • Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors. • After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively. Thursday, May 8, 2025 This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce: • Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector. • After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus. Friday, May 9, 2025 Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest: • Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing. This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing. Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity. Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S. Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures. The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting. The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April. Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NAS100USD: Bearish Setup Builds as Price Retests Key Supply ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we continue to observe bearish institutional order flow, and as such, our objective is to align our trading opportunities with this directional bias. Key Observations: 1. Bearish Break of Structure and Retracement: Following a clear bearish break of structure, price has retraced into a mitigation block. This zone represents an area where institutional buying previously occurred. As price trades back into it, institutions often mitigate those earlier positions and reintroduce sell-side interest—offering us an opportunity to follow their lead. 2. Confluence at the Mitigation Block: The mitigation block is further reinforced by the presence of a bearish order block, adding strength to the resistance zone. This alignment suggests the area may serve as a high-probability reversal point for bearish continuation. Liquidity Sweep Scenario: There remains a possibility that price may take out nearby buy-side liquidity (buy stops) before continuing downward. If this occurs, we will wait for confirmation before entering short positions, maintaining alignment with the overall bearish narrative. Trading Plan: Upon confirmation of rejection at the mitigation zone, we will seek to engage in short setups targeting liquidity pools in discount pricing zones. Remain patient, disciplined, and ensure each trade aligns with your strategy. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2