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Market indices

DAX difficult to sustain price levelIn the recent period, the RSI has been at an extreme level three times (H4 chart). None of the periods lasted longer than 7-8 days. DAX showed a 4.5-5 percent increase in all three periods. For me, this means that a strong correction may arrive within the day/days, but also within the week. I don't think that a rise of more than 0.5 percent is expected, and after that we will most likely reach the peak (temporary or not?...we can't know, we are not fortune tellers:) Setup: Sell @ MKT Sell @ until 22950 SL @ depend on your risk management
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by TPeti
2
JPN225 at Major Support Level – Bullish Rebound ExpectedPEPPERSTONE:JPN225 reached a significant demand zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key support zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 39,068 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
ICMARKETS:JP225Long
by DanieIM
1
FRA40 Trend Continuation: Will Buyers Push Toward 8,062?PEPPERSTONE:FRA40 is trading within a well-defined uptrend, supported by a rising trendline that highlights strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently made higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the continuation of the trend. If the index sustains its current momentum, I anticipate a move toward the 8,062 level, which aligns with the broader bullish structure. The trendline provides a strong base for potential pullbacks, offering opportunities for buyers to re-enter and drive the price higher. Traders should watch for signs of bullish confirmation, such as higher lows near the trendline or breakouts above resistance, to validate long positions.
FOREXCOM:FRA40Long
by DanieIM
3
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 20 Not a terribly difficult trading range today. ATH’s above us, 35EMA below, bottom of the implied move 6115 has a previous support. Bearish divergence in strength. 30min 200MA on deck (maybe close to where it crosses the downtrend) if we close under the 35EMA. Pretty bullish setup overall but overbought and bearish divergence. Low volume too which is driving me crazy but we don’t seem to get any sell off volume.
SP:SPXShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPX500USD Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 6,122.6. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 6,074.3 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Closing Auctions: How Order Imbalances Shape Market Prices█ The Final 15 Minutes: How Closing Auctions Determine Market Pricing Every trading day ends with one of the most crucial events in financial markets — the closing auction. While many traders focus on intraday price movements, understanding the dynamics of closing auctions can provide valuable insights and profitable trading opportunities. █ What Are Closing Auctions? Closing auctions are special trading sessions held at the end of the day across major and minor exchanges worldwide. They determine the official closing price of securities based on Market-on-Close (MOC) and Limit-on-Close (LOC) orders submitted before the market officially closes. These auctions are essential because institutions, index funds, and ETFs use the closing price for portfolio valuation, index tracking, and arbitrage strategies. In recent years, closing auction volumes have surged, now accounting for about 11% of total daily trading volume. █ Why Have Closing Auctions Grown in Importance? The increasing popularity of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is one major factor behind the growth of closing auctions. ETFs must ensure their prices align with the net asset value (NAV) of their holdings, and arbitrageurs use the closing auction to correct price imbalances. Additionally, large institutional investors prefer closing auctions to execute substantial trades with minimal market impact. These factors have led to a rise in order imbalances — where buy and sell orders significantly diverge — during the closing session. █ How Do Order Imbalances Affect Prices? Studies have found that stocks with large order imbalances tend to experience price distortions in the last 15 minutes of trading. Stocks with high buy imbalances typically outperform those with high sell imbalances during this period. However, about 83% of this price impact reverses over the next three to five days, suggesting a short-term trading opportunity. ⚪ Example: At 3:55 PM, the exchange releases imbalance data: Buy Imbalance: +500,000 shares (demand is high) Sell Imbalance: -200,000 shares (supply is lower) Since there are more buy orders than sell orders, buyers are forced to increase their bid prices to get filled. As a result, the price moves up sharply, reflecting the strong demand. This is exactly what we see in the chart—the buy-side midpoint jumps higher than the sell-side midpoint drops, confirming a buy-heavy imbalance in the closing auction. █ A Profitable Trading Strategy Based on Order Imbalances Based on historical data, traders can exploit these patterns using two different strategies: ⚪ Momentum Strategy (Short-Term): Buy stocks with the largest buy-side imbalances and short stocks with the largest sell-side imbalances 15 minutes before the market close. Close positions at the market close. ⚪ Reversal Strategy (Over Multiple Days): Do the opposite—short stocks with the highest buy imbalances and go long on stocks with the highest sell imbalances at the close, holding positions for about five days. Backtests of this strategy show that the momentum approach can yield approximately 32 basis points per trade, translating to an annualized return of 80% when executed systematically. However, traders must account for transaction costs and slippage. █ Real-World Example: NYSE Closing Auction Data for AAP (02/20/2025) To better understand how closing auction imbalances impact price movements, let's analyze the NYSE imbalance data for AAP on February 20, 2025. The data provides three key insights: Imbalance Trends: At 15:55 and 15:56, AAP had significant sell imbalances (-40,849 and -40,718, respectively). However, this shifted at 15:57, showing a smaller sell imbalance (-13,023), followed by a net buy imbalance at 15:58 (+11,403) and 15:59 (+6,764). The final imbalance before dissemination was -34,286. Paired Quantity Increase: The paired quantity, representing executed trades, consistently increased from 258,135 at 15:55 to 311,382 by the final dissemination, indicating heightened auction activity as the market prepared to close. Impact on Clearing Price: AAP's price began at $42.17 but surged to $44.66 by 15:58, aligning with buy imbalances. However, the price slightly retraced to $44.34 at final dissemination, reinforcing the tendency for short-term reversals after strong closing auction moves. This example highlights how traders can monitor closing auction imbalance data to anticipate price behavior in the final minutes of trading. For a more interactive exploration, check out the NYSE’s Closing Auction Imbalance Analysis Tool. █ What Does This Mean for Retail Traders? Pay Attention to the Closing Session: Many traders overlook the last 15 minutes of the market, but this period offers crucial insights into order flows and institutional activity. Watch for Order Imbalances: Exchanges like the NYSE release imbalance data at 3:45 PM, giving traders a window to react before the market close. Avoid Chasing Closing Prices: Since price reversals are common, buying into a strong closing auction rally may lead to short-term losses. Use Data & Tools to Your Advantage: Platforms like Polygon.io provide real-time and historical imbalance data, which can enhance trading decisions. █ Key Takeaways Closing auctions play a crucial role in determining end-of-day prices, affecting institutional strategies and index valuations. Order imbalances in the last 15 minutes of trading can create short-term price distortions, often reversing in the following days. Traders can capitalize on these imbalances using either a short-term momentum strategy or a multi-day reversal strategy. Understanding and leveraging closing auction dynamics can provide a significant trading edge. Closing auctions are more than just an end-of-day formality—they reveal important market sentiment and provide trading opportunities. Whether you are a day trader looking to capitalize on short-term price movements or a swing trader seeking to exploit reversals, understanding the role of order imbalances in closing auctions can give you an edge in the market. By incorporating these insights into your strategy, you can navigate the complexities of the market more effectively and make more informed trading decisions. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman
1
S&P drops to test THIS key supportThe US markets wobbled at the start of Friday’s session, with major indices pulling back. However, the outlook isn’t overly bearish yet, as the S&P 500 is testing a key level here around 6075. A bounce into the close is still possible from here, but the bulls need to show and quickly. Even if the index closes near current levels, it wouldn't necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend. To turn short-term bearish, I would need to see a breakdown below the 6,000 level, which had been a strong support before the recent breakout. If that level fails, it would be a bearish signal, potentially leading to a deeper correction toward the long-term trendline or even the 200-day moving average. For now, the focus remains on short-term support and resistance levels. The 6075 level, marking the high of the hammer candle from last Wednesday, is a key short-term support level where the 21-day exponential moving average also converges. Should the S&P 500 experience a deeper pullback, this will be the first major test for the bulls. On the upside, 6100 is the level I am watching, which acted as resistance in December and January before breaking last week, and now we are back below it slightly. Beyond this level, there isn’t much immediate resistance until this week’s all-time high of 6148. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
NSDQ100 INTRADAY Bullish Flag breakout The NSDQ (USTec) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high. The key trading level is at the 21890 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance is now a newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21890 level could target the upside resistance at 22373 followed by the 22500 and 22620 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 21890 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 21770 support level followed by 21640. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Possible push down for NAS100After A strong Bearish push, price action is filling the inefficiency left behind. Price is currently testing the structure lows previous support. The bearish move and retracement is the 78.6% PRZ Wait for your lower time frame play to enter. This is an over all counter trend trade, however this could have a nice quick move down to retest the Daily previous structure high area of 21,843 Daily Chart has a Bearish Divergence that is playing out. **Caution** on the macro bullish trend, this recent pull back retraced back to the 23.6 lvl with a wick while "retesting" the previous structure high on the H4 time frame....Enter with caution.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Short
by brianfj
USNAS100 | Key Pivot Zone at 22,100 – Breakout or Rejection?USNAS100 Analysis – February 21, 2025 USNAS100 is currently trading around the pivot zone at 22200, a key level that will determine the next movement. Bullish Breakout: Holding above 22,100 could send prices toward 22200 and 22290 in continuation of the trend. Bearish Rejection: If the price fails to hold 22100 and confirms a 4H close below it, further downside toward 21970 and 21900 is expected. 📊 Key Levels: 🔹 Pivot Zone: 22200 - 22100 🔹 Resistance: 22292 | 22412 | 22560 🔹 Support: 21970 | 21900 | 21807 Will NAS100 sustain its bullish momentum, or is a correction ahead? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📉
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi